Variance-components tests for genetic association with multiple interval-censored outcomes.

Massive genetic compendiums such as the UK Biobank have become an invaluable resource for identifying genetic variants that are associated with complex diseases. Due to the difficulties of massive data collection, a common practice of these compendiums is to collect interval-censored data. One challenge in analyzing such data is the lack of methodology available for genetic association studies with interval-censored data. Genetic effects are difficult to detect because of their rare and weak nature, and often the time-to-event outcomes are transformed to binary phenotypes for access to more powerful signal detection approaches. However transforming the data to binary outcomes can result in loss of valuable information. To alleviate such challenges, this work develops methodology to associate genetic variant sets with multiple interval-censored outcomes. Testing sets of variants such as genes or pathways is a common approach in genetic association settings to lower the multiple testing burden, aggregate small effects, and improve interpretations of results. Instead of performing inference with only a single outcome, utilizing multiple outcomes can increase statistical power by aggregating information across multiple correlated phenotypes. Simulations show that the proposed strategy can offer significant power gains over a single outcome approach. We apply the proposed test to the investigation that motivated this study, a search for the genes that perturb risks of bone fractures and falls in the UK Biobank.

Identification of Pancreatic Cancer Germline Risk Variants With Effects That Are Modified by Smoking.

PURPOSE: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is a deadly disease most often diagnosed in late stages. Identification of high-risk subjects could both contribute to preventative measures and help diagnose the disease at earlier timepoints. However, known risk factors, assessed independently, are currently insufficient for accurately stratifying patients. We use large-scale data from the UK Biobank (UKB) to identify genetic variant-smoking interaction effects and show their importance in risk assessment. METHODS: We draw data from 15,086,830 genetic variants and 315,512 individuals in the UKB. There are 765 cases of PC. Crucially, robust resampling corrections are used to overcome well-known challenges in hypothesis testing for interactions. Replication analysis is conducted in two independent cohorts totaling 793 cases and 570 controls. Integration of functional annotation data and construction of polygenic risk scores (PRS) demonstrate the additional insight provided by interaction effects. RESULTS: We identify the genome-wide significant variant rs77196339 on chromosome 2 (per minor allele odds ratio in never-smokers, 2.31 [95% CI, 1.69 to 3.15]; per minor allele odds ratio in ever-smokers, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.30 to 0.91]; P = 3.54 × 10-8) as well as eight other loci with suggestive evidence of interaction effects (P < 5 × 10-6). The rs77196339 region association is validated (P < .05) in the replication sample. PRS incorporating interaction effects show improved discriminatory ability over PRS of main effects alone. CONCLUSION: This study of genome-wide germline variants identified smoking to modify the effect of rs77196339 on PC risk. Interactions between known risk factors can provide critical information for identifying high-risk subjects, given the relative inadequacy of models considering only main effects, as demonstrated in PRS. Further studies are necessary to advance toward comprehensive risk prediction approaches for PC.

Predictive Roles of Baseline Stromal Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes and Ki-67 in Pathologic Complete Response in an Early-Stage Triple-Negative Breast Cancer Prospective Trial.

High stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) are associated with improved pathologic complete response (pCR) in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). We hypothesize that integrating high sTILs and additional clinicopathologic features associated with pCR could enhance our ability to predict the group of patients on whom treatment de-escalation strategies could be tested. In this prospective early-stage TNBC neoadjuvant chemotherapy study, pretreatment biopsies from 408 patients were evaluated for their clinical and demographic features, as well as biomarkers including sTILs, Ki-67, PD-L1 and androgen receptor. Multivariate logistic regression models were developed to generate a computed response score to predict pCR. The pCR rate for the entire cohort was 41%. Recursive partitioning analysis identified ≥20% as the optimal cutoff for sTILs to denote 35% (143/408) of patients as having high sTILs, with a pCR rate of 59%, and 65% (265/408) of patients as having low sTILs, with a pCR rate of 31%. High Ki-67 (cutoff > 35%) was identified as the only predictor of pCR in addition to sTILs in the training set. This finding was verified in the testing set, where the highest computed response score encompassing both high sTILa and high Ki-67 predicted a pCR rate of 65%. Integrating Ki67 and sTIL may refine the selection of early stage TNBC patients for neoadjuvant clinical trials evaluating de-escalation strategies.

Impact of conditioning chemotherapy on lymphocyte kinetics and outcomes in LBCL patients treated with CAR T-cell therapy.

Conditioning chemotherapy (CCT) has been shown to be essential for optimal efficacy of chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy. Here, we determined whether the change in absolute lymphocyte count, referred to as delta lymphocyte index (DLIx), may serve as a surrogate marker for pharmacodynamic effects of CCT and whether it associated with germline genetic variants in patients with large B-cell lymphoma (LBCL). One-hundred and seventy-one patients were included, of which 86 (50%) received bridging therapy post-leukapheresis. Median DLIx was 0.5 × 109/L (range, 0.01-2.75 × 109/L) and was significantly higher in patients who achieved complete response (p = 0.04). On multivariate analysis, low DLIx was associated only with use of bridging therapy (odds ratio 0.4, 95% CI 0.2-0.8, p = 0.007). Low DLIx was independently associated with shorter progression-free (p = 0.02) and overall survival (p = 0.02). DLIx was associated with genetic variations related to drug metabolism and macrophage biology such as ABCB1, MISP and CPVL. The impact of CCT on lymphocyte count is affected by use of bridging therapy but change in lymphocyte count is independently associated with efficacy. Studies aimed at investigating macrophage biology in this setting may suggest strategies to increase the efficacy of CCT and improve outcomes.