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1.
Ann Surg ; 2024 Jul 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39041223

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Assess the impact of having a living donor on waitlist outcomes and overall survival through an intention-to-treat analysis. BACKGROUND: Living-donor liver transplantation (LDLT) offers an alternative to deceased donation in the face of organ shortage. An as-treated analysis revealed that undergoing LDLT, compared to staying on the waiting list, is associated with improved survival, even at Model for End-stage Liver Disease-sodium (MELD-Na) score of 11. METHODS: Liver transplant candidates listed at the Ajmera Transplant Centre (2000-2021) were categorized as pLDLT (having a potential living donor) or pDDLT (without a living donor). Employing Cox proportional-hazard regression with time-dependent covariates, we evaluated pLDLT's impact on waitlist dropout and overall survival through a risk-adjusted analysis. RESULTS: Of 4,124 candidates, 984 (24%) had potential living donors. The pLDLT group experienced significantly lower overall waitlist dropouts (5.2%vs. 34.4%, P<0.001) and mortality (3.8%vs. 24.4%, P<0.001) compared to the pDDLT group. Possessing a living donor correlated with a 26% decline in the risk of waitlist dropout (adjusted hazard ratio 0.74, 95%CI 0.55-0.99, P=0.042). The pLDLT group also demonstrated superior survival outcomes at 1- (84.9%vs. 80.1%), 5- (77.6%vs. 61.7%), and 10-year (65.6%vs.52.9%) from listing (log-rank P<0.001) with a 35% reduced risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio 0.65, 95%CI 0.56-0.76, P<0.001). Moreover, the predicted hazard ratios consistently remained below 1 across the MELD-Na range 11-26. CONCLUSIONS: Having a potential living donor significantly improves survival in end-stage liver disease patients, even with MELD-Na scores as low as 11. This emphasizes the need to promote awareness and adoption of LDLT in liver transplant programs worldwide.

2.
Ann Surg ; 279(1): 104-111, 2024 01 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37522174

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate long-term oncologic outcomes of patients post-living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) within and outside standard transplantation selection criteria and the added value of the incorporation of the New York-California (NYCA) score. BACKGROUND: LDLT offers an opportunity to decrease the liver transplantation waitlist, reduce waitlist mortality, and expand selection criteria for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Primary adult LDLT recipients between October 1999 and August 2019 were identified from a multicenter cohort of 12 North American centers. Posttransplantation and recurrence-free survival were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: Three hundred sixty LDLTs were identified. Patients within Milan criteria (MC) at transplantation had a 1, 5, and 10-year posttransplantation survival of 90.9%, 78.5%, and 64.1% versus outside MC 90.4%, 68.6%, and 57.7% ( P = 0.20), respectively. For patients within the University of California San Francisco (UCSF) criteria, respective posttransplantation survival was 90.6%, 77.8%, and 65.0%, versus outside UCSF 92.1%, 63.8%, and 45.8% ( P = 0.08). Fifty-three (83%) patients classified as outside MC at transplantation would have been classified as either low or acceptable risk with the NYCA score. These patients had a 5-year overall survival of 72.2%. Similarly, 28(80%) patients classified as outside UCSF at transplantation would have been classified as a low or acceptable risk with a 5-year overall survival of 65.3%. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term survival is excellent for patients with HCC undergoing LDLT within and outside selection criteria, exceeding the minimum recommended 5-year rate of 60% proposed by consensus guidelines. The NYCA categorization offers insight into identifying a substantial proportion of patients with HCC outside the MC and the UCSF criteria who still achieve similar post-LDLT outcomes as patients within the criteria.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trasplante de Hígado , Adulto , Humanos , Trasplante de Hígado/métodos , Donadores Vivos , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/etiología , Selección de Paciente , América del Norte , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento
3.
Liver Transpl ; 30(8): 785-795, 2024 Aug 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38619393

RESUMEN

Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) offers the opportunity to decrease waitlist time and mortality for patients with autoimmune liver disease (AILD), autoimmune hepatitis, primary biliary cholangitis, and primary sclerosing cholangitis. We compared the survival of patients with a potential living donor (pLDLT) on the waitlist versus no potential living donor (pDDLT) on an intention-to-treat basis. Our retrospective cohort study investigated adults with AILD listed for a liver transplant in our program between 2000 and 2021. The pLDLT group comprised recipients with a potential living donor. Otherwise, they were included in the pDDLT group. Intention-to-treat survival was assessed from the time of listing. Of the 533 patients included, 244 (43.8%) had a potential living donor. Waitlist dropout was higher for the pDDLT groups among all AILDs (pDDLT 85 [29.4%] vs. pLDLT 9 [3.7%], p < 0.001). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year intention-to-treat survival rates were higher for pLDLT versus pDDLT among all AILDs (95.7% vs. 78.1%, 89.0% vs. 70.1%, and 87.1% vs. 65.5%, p < 0.001). After adjusting for covariates, pLDLT was associated with a 38% reduction in the risk of death among the AILD cohort (HR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.42-0.93 [ p <0.05]), and 60% among the primary sclerosing cholangitis cohort (HR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.22-0.74 [ p <0.05]). There were no differences in the 1-, 3-, and 5-year post-transplant survival between LDLT and DDLT (AILD: 95.6% vs. 92.1%, 89.9% vs. 89.4%, and 89.1% vs. 87.1%, p =0.41). This was consistent after adjusting for covariates (HR: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.56-1.68 [ p >0.9]). Our study suggests that having a potential living donor could decrease the risk of death in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis on the waitlist. Importantly, the post-transplant outcomes in this population are similar between the LDLT and DDLT groups.


Asunto(s)
Colangitis Esclerosante , Hepatitis Autoinmune , Análisis de Intención de Tratar , Trasplante de Hígado , Donadores Vivos , Listas de Espera , Humanos , Trasplante de Hígado/efectos adversos , Trasplante de Hígado/mortalidad , Trasplante de Hígado/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Masculino , Donadores Vivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Listas de Espera/mortalidad , Adulto , Resultado del Tratamiento , Colangitis Esclerosante/cirugía , Colangitis Esclerosante/mortalidad , Colangitis Esclerosante/complicaciones , Hepatitis Autoinmune/cirugía , Hepatitis Autoinmune/mortalidad , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/cirugía , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/mortalidad , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/diagnóstico , Cirrosis Hepática Biliar/cirugía , Cirrosis Hepática Biliar/mortalidad , Enfermedades Autoinmunes/cirugía , Enfermedades Autoinmunes/mortalidad , Anciano , Factores de Tiempo , Supervivencia de Injerto
4.
Am J Transplant ; 23(1): 64-71, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36695623

RESUMEN

Many countries curate national registries of liver transplant (LT) data. These registries are often used to generate predictive models; however, potential performance and transferability of these models remain unclear. We used data from 3 national registries and developed machine learning algorithm (MLA)-based models to predict 90-day post-LT mortality within and across countries. Predictive performance and external validity of each model were assessed. Prospectively collected data of adult patients (aged ≥18 years) who underwent primary LTs between January 2008 and December 2018 from the Canadian Organ Replacement Registry (Canada), National Health Service Blood and Transplantation (United Kingdom), and United Network for Organ Sharing (United States) were used to develop MLA models to predict 90-day post-LT mortality. Models were developed using each registry individually (based on variables inherent to the individual databases) and using all 3 registries combined (variables in common between the registries [harmonized]). The model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. The number of patients included was as follows: Canada, n = 1214; the United Kingdom, n = 5287; and the United States, n = 59,558. The best performing MLA-based model was ridge regression across both individual registries and harmonized data sets. Model performance diminished from individualized to the harmonized registries, especially in Canada (individualized ridge: AUROC, 0.74; range, 0.73-0.74; harmonized: AUROC, 0.68; range, 0.50-0.73) and US (individualized ridge: AUROC, 0.71; range, 0.70-0.71; harmonized: AUROC, 0.66; range, 0.66-0.66) data sets. External model performance across countries was poor overall. MLA-based models yield a fair discriminatory potential when used within individual databases. However, the external validity of these models is poor when applied across countries. Standardization of registry-based variables could facilitate the added value of MLA-based models in informing decision making in future LTs.


Asunto(s)
Trasplante de Hígado , Adulto , Humanos , Adolescente , Medicina Estatal , Canadá/epidemiología , Aprendizaje Automático , Sistema de Registros , Estudios Retrospectivos
5.
Am J Transplant ; 23(2): 248-256, 2023 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36804132

RESUMEN

Absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) is considered a surrogate marker for nutritional status and immunocompetence. We investigated the association between ALC and post-liver transplant outcomes in patients who received a deceased donor liver transplant (DDLT). Patients were categorized by ALC at liver transplant: low (<500/µL), mid (500-1000/µL), and high ALC (>1000/µL). Our main analysis used retrospective data (2013-2018) for DDLT recipients from Henry Ford Hospital (United States); the results were further validated using data from the Toronto General Hospital (Canada). Among 449 DDLT recipients, the low ALC group demonstrated higher 180-day mortality than mid and high ALC groups (83.1% vs 95.8% and 97.4%, respectively; low vs mid: P = .001; low vs high: P < .001). A larger proportion of patients with low ALC died of sepsis compared with the combined mid/high groups (9.1% vs 0.8%; P < .001). In multivariable analysis, pretransplant ALC was associated with 180-day mortality (hazard ratio, 0.20; P = .004). Patients with low ALC had higher rates of bacteremia (22.7% vs 8.1%; P < .001) and cytomegaloviremia (15.2% vs 6.8%; P = .03) than patients with mid/high ALC. Low ALC pretransplant through postoperative day 30 was associated with 180-day mortality among patients who received rabbit antithymocyte globulin induction (P = .001). Pretransplant lymphopenia is associated with short-term mortality and a higher incidence of posttransplant infections in DDLT patients.


Asunto(s)
Trasplante de Hígado , Linfopenia , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Trasplante de Hígado/efectos adversos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Donadores Vivos , Linfopenia/etiología , Recuento de Linfocitos
6.
Hepatology ; 76(5): 1291-1301, 2022 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35178739

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Following liver resection (LR) for HCC, the likelihood of survival is dynamic, in that multiple recurrences and/or metastases are possible, each having variable impacts on outcomes. We sought to evaluate the natural progression, pattern, and timing of various disease states after LR for HCC using multistate modeling and to create a practical calculator to provide prognostic information for patients and clinicians. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Adult patients undergoing LR for HCC between January 2000 and December 2018 were retrospectively identified at a single center. Multistate analysis modeled post-LR tumor progression by describing transitions between distinct disease states. In this model, the states included surgery, intrahepatic recurrence (first, second, third, fourth, fifth), distant metastasis with or without intrahepatic recurrence, and death. Of the 486 patients included, 169 (34.8%) remained recurrence-free, 205 (42.2%) developed intrahepatic recurrence, 80 (16.5%) developed distant metastasis, and 32 (7%) died. For an average patient having undergone LR, there was a 33.1% chance of remaining disease-free, a 31.0% chance of at least one intrahepatic recurrence, a 16.3% chance of distant metastasis, and a 19.8% chance of death within the first 60 months post-LR. The transition probability from surgery to first intrahepatic recurrence, without a subsequent state transition, increased from 3% (3 months) to 17.4% (30 months) and 17.2% (60 months). Factors that could modify these probabilities included tumor size, satellite lesions, and microvascular invasion. The online multistate model calculator can be found on https://multistatehcc.shinyapps.io/home/. CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to standard single time-to-event estimates, multistate modeling provides more realistic prognostication of outcomes after LR for HCC by taking into account many postoperative disease states and transitions between them. Our multistate modeling calculator can provide meaningful data to guide the management of patients undergoing postoperative surveillance and therapy.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Adulto , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patología , Hepatectomía , Pronóstico , Factores de Riesgo
7.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 30(5): 2793-2802, 2023 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36515750

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The role of viral hepatitis status in post-hepatectomy outcomes has yet to be delineated. This large, multicentred contemporary study aimed to evaluate the effect of viral hepatitis status on 30-day post-hepatectomy complications in patients treated for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: Patients from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database with known viral hepatitis status, who underwent hepatectomy for HCC between 2014 and 2018, were included. Patients were classified as HBV-only, HCV-only, HBV and HCV co-infection (HBV/HCV), or no viral hepatitis (NV). Multivariable models were used to assess outcomes of interest. The primary outcome was any 30-day post-hepatectomy complication. The secondary outcomes were major complications and post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). Subgroup analyses were performed for cirrhotic and noncirrhotic patients. RESULTS: A total of 3234 patients were included. The 30-day complication rate was 207/663 (31.2%) HBV, 356/1077 (33.1%) HCV, 29/81 (35.8%) HBV/HCV, and 534/1413 (37.8%) NV (p = 0.01). On adjusted analysis, viral hepatitis status was not associated with occurrence of any 30-day post-hepatectomy complications (ref: NV, HBV odds ratio (OR) 0.89 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.71-1.12]; HCV OR 0.91 [95% CI: 0.75-1.10]; HBV/HCV OR 1.17 [95% CI: 0.71-1.93]). Similar results were found in cirrhotic and noncirrhotic subgroups, and for secondary outcomes: occurrence of any major complications and PHLF. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HCC managed with resection, viral hepatitis status is not associated with 30-day post-hepatectomy complications, major complications, or PHLF compared with NV. This suggests that clinical decisions and prognostication of 30-day outcomes in this population likely should not be made based on viral hepatitis status.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatitis C Crónica , Hepatitis C , Fallo Hepático , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Hepatectomía/efectos adversos , Antivirales , Factores de Riesgo , Hepatitis C Crónica/complicaciones , Hepatitis C Crónica/cirugía , Fallo Hepático/etiología , Hepatitis C/complicaciones , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Cirrosis Hepática/cirugía
8.
Liver Int ; 43(5): 1107-1119, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36737866

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Identifying international differences in utilization and outcomes of liver transplantation (LT) after donation after circulatory death (DCD) donation provides a unique opportunity for benchmarking and population-level insight. METHODS: Adult (≥18 years) LT data between 2008 and 2018 from the UK and US were used to assess mortality and graft failure after DCD LT. We used time-dependent Cox-regression methods to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for risk-adjusted short-term (0-90 days) and longer-term (90 days-5 years) outcomes. RESULTS: One-thousand five-hundred-and-sixty LT receipts from the UK and 3426 from the US were included. Over the study period, the use of DCD livers increased from 15.7% to 23.9% in the UK compared to 5.1% to 7.6% in the US. In the UK, DCD donors were older (UK:51 vs. US:33 years) with longer cold ischaemia time (UK: 437 vs. US: 333 min). Recipients in the US had higher Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores, higher body mass index, higher proportions of ascites, encephalopathy, diabetes and previous abdominal surgeries. No difference in the risk-adjusted short-term mortality or graft failure was observed between the countries. In the longer-term (90 days-5 years), the UK had lower mortality and graft failure (adj.mortality HR:UK: 0.63 (95% CI: 0.49-0.80); graft failure HR: UK: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.58-0.91). The cumulative incidence of retransplantation was higher in the UK (5 years: UK: 11.9% vs. 4.6%; p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: For those receiving a DCD LT, longer-term post-transplant outcomes in the UK are superior to the US, however, significant differences in recipient illness, graft quality and access to retransplantation were seen between the two countries.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal , Trasplante de Hígado , Obtención de Tejidos y Órganos , Adulto , Humanos , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/cirugía , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Donantes de Tejidos , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Supervivencia de Injerto , Muerte Encefálica
9.
Transpl Int ; 36: 11648, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37779513

RESUMEN

Liver transplantation offers the best chance of cure for most patients with non-metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although not all patients with HCC are eligible for liver transplantation at diagnosis, some can be downstaged using locoregional treatments such as ablation and transarterial chemoembolization. These aforementioned treatments are being applied as bridging therapies to keep patients within transplant criteria and to avoid them from dropping out of the waiting list while awaiting a liver transplant. Moreover, immunotherapy might have great potential to support downstaging and bridging therapies. To address the contemporary status of downstaging, bridging, and immunotherapy in liver transplantation for HCC, European Society of Organ Transplantation (ESOT) convened a dedicated working group comprised of experts in the treatment of HCC to review literature and to develop guidelines pertaining to this cause that were subsequently discussed and voted during the Transplant Learning Journey (TLJ) 3.0 Consensus Conference that took place in person in Prague. The findings and recommendations of the working group on Downstaging, Bridging and Immunotherapy in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma are presented in this article.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Quimioembolización Terapéutica , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trasplante de Hígado , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Trasplante de Hígado/efectos adversos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Quimioembolización Terapéutica/efectos adversos , Terapia Neoadyuvante/efectos adversos , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Inmunoterapia
10.
HPB (Oxford) ; 25(5): 556-567, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36828740

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a rising indication for liver transplantation. This unique population, with multiple comorbidities, has potential for worse post-transplant outcomes. We compared post-transplant survival of NASH and non-NASH HCC patients using a large cohort. METHODS: Adults transplanted for HCC between 2008 and 2018, from United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) and University Health Network (UHN) databases were divided into two populations: NASH and non-NASH. Recipient characteristics and post-transplant survival were compared. Subgroup analyses were performed within and beyond Milan criteria. RESULTS: 2071 of 20,672 (10.0%) patients underwent transplantation for NASH HCC, with annual proportional increase of 1.2%UHN (p = 0.02) and 1.3%UNOS (p < 0.001). The 1-,3-,5-year post-transplant survival were 90.8%, 83.9%, 76.3% NASH HCC versus 91.9%, 82.1%, 74.9% non-NASH HCC (p = 0.94). No survival differences were observed in populations within or beyond Milan. Competing-risk analysis demonstrated no differences in risk for cardiovascular-related death (HR1.24, 95%CI 0.87-1.55, p = 0.16), or HCC recurrence-related death (HR1.21, 95%CI 0.89-1.65, p = 0.23). NASH HCC patients had lower risk of liver-related deaths (HR0.57, 95%CI 0.34-0.98, p = 0.04). DISCUSSION: NASH HCC is a rising indication for liver transplantation. Despite demographic differences, no post-transplantation survival differences were observed between NASH and non-NASH HCC. This justifies equivalent organ allocation, irrespective of NASH status.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trasplante de Hígado , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico , Adulto , Humanos , Trasplante de Hígado/efectos adversos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Estudios Retrospectivos , Enfermedad del Hígado Graso no Alcohólico/cirugía
11.
J Hepatol ; 77(6): 1607-1618, 2022 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36170900

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Adult-to-adult living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) offers an opportunity to decrease the liver transplant waitlist and reduce waitlist mortality. We sought to compare donor and recipient characteristics and post-transplant outcomes after LDLT in the US, the UK, and Canada. METHODS: This is a retrospective multicenter cohort-study of adults (≥18-years) who underwent primary LDLT between Jan-2008 and Dec-2018 from three national liver transplantation registries: United Network for Organ Sharing (US), National Health Service Blood and Transplantation (UK), and the Canadian Organ Replacement Registry (Canada). Patients undergoing retransplantation or multi-organ transplantation were excluded. Post-transplant survival was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and multivariable adjustments were performed using Cox proportional-hazards models with mixed-effect modeling. RESULTS: A total of 2,954 living donor liver transplants were performed (US: n = 2,328; Canada: n = 529; UK: n = 97). Canada has maintained the highest proportion of LDLT utilization over time (proportion of LDLT in 2008 - US: 3.3%; Canada: 19.5%; UK: 1.7%; p <0.001 - in 2018 - US: 5.0%; Canada: 13.6%; UK: 0.4%; p <0.001). The 1-, 5-, and 10-year patient survival was 92.6%, 82.8%, and 70.0% in the US vs. 96.1%, 89.9%, and 82.2% in Canada vs. 91.4%, 85.4%, and 66.7% in the UK. After adjustment for characteristics of donors, recipients, transplant year, and treating transplant center as a random effect, all countries had a non-statistically significantly different mortality hazard post-LDLT (Ref US: Canada hazard ratio 0.53, 95% CI 0.28-1.01, p = 0.05; UK hazard ratio 1.09, 95% CI 0.59-2.02, p = 0.78). CONCLUSIONS: The use of LDLT has remained low in the US, the UK and Canada. Despite this, long-term survival is excellent. Continued efforts to increase LDLT utilization in these countries may be warranted due to the growing waitlist and differences in allocation that may disadvantage patients currently awaiting liver transplantation. LAY SUMMARY: This multicenter international comparative analysis of living donor liver transplantation in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada demonstrates that despite low use of the procedure, the long-term outcomes are excellent. In addition, the mortality risk is not statistically significantly different between the evaluated countries. However, the incidence and risk of retransplantation differs between the countries, being the highest in the United Kingdom and lowest in the United States.


Asunto(s)
Trasplante de Hígado , Donadores Vivos , Humanos , Adulto , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Trasplante de Hígado/métodos , Medicina Estatal , Estudios Retrospectivos , Canadá/epidemiología
12.
Liver Transpl ; 28(4): 593-602, 2022 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34626159

RESUMEN

Liver transplantation (LT) listing criteria for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain controversial. To optimize the utility of limited donor organs, this study aims to leverage machine learning to develop an accurate posttransplantation HCC recurrence prediction calculator. Patients with HCC listed for LT from 2000 to 2016 were identified, with 739 patients who underwent LT used for modeling. Data included serial imaging, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), locoregional therapies, treatment response, and posttransplantation outcomes. We compared the CoxNet (regularized Cox regression), survival random forest, survival support vector machine, and DeepSurv machine learning algorithms via the mean cross-validated concordance index. We validated the selected CoxNet model by comparing it with other currently available recurrence risk algorithms on a held-out test set (AFP, Model of Recurrence After Liver Transplant [MORAL], and Hazard Associated with liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma [HALT-HCC score]). The developed CoxNet-based recurrence prediction model showed a satisfying overall concordance score of 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-0.84). In comparison, the recalibrated risk algorithms' concordance scores were as follows: AFP score 0.64 (outperformed by the CoxNet model, 1-sided 95% CI, >0.01; P = 0.04) and MORAL score 0.64 (outperformed by the CoxNet model 1-sided 95% CI, >0.02; P = 0.03). The recalibrated HALT-HCC score performed well with a concordance of 0.72 (95% CI, 0.63-0.81) and was not significantly outperformed (1-sided 95% CI, ≥0.05; P = 0.29). Developing a comprehensive posttransplantation HCC recurrence risk calculator using machine learning is feasible and can yield higher accuracy than other available risk scores. Further research is needed to confirm the utility of machine learning in this setting.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trasplante de Hígado , Humanos , Trasplante de Hígado/efectos adversos , Aprendizaje Automático , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , alfa-Fetoproteínas
13.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 2022 Feb 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35181812

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Recurrence rates of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) after curative hepatectomy are as high as 50% to 70%, and about half of these recurrences occur within 2 years. This systematic review aims to define prognostic factors (PFs) for early recurrence (ER, within 24 months) and 24-month disease-free survival (DFS) after curative-intent iCCA resections. METHODS: Systematic searching was performed from database inception to 14 January 2021. Duplicate independent review and data extraction were performed. Data on 13 predefined PFs were collected. Meta-analysis was performed on PFs for ER and summarized using forest plots. The Quality in Prognostic Factor Studies tool was used for risk-of-bias assessment. RESULTS: The study enrolled 10 studies comprising 4158 patients during an accrual period ranging from 1990 to 2016. In the risk-of-bias assessment of patients who experienced ER after curative-intent iCCA resection, six studies were rated as low risk and four as moderate risk (49.6%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 49.2-50.0). Nine studies were pooled for meta-analysis. Of the postoperative PFs, multiple tumors, microvascular invasion, macrovascular invasion, lymph node metastasis, and R1 resection were associated with an increased hazard for ER or a reduced 24-month DFS, and the opposite was observed for receipt of adjuvant chemo/radiation therapy. Of the preoperative factors, cirrhosis, sex, HBV status were not associated with ER or 24-month DFS. CONCLUSION: The findings from this systematic review could allow for improved surveillance, prognostication, and treatment decision-making for patients with resectable iCCAs. Further well-designed prospective studies are needed to explore prognostic factors for iCCA ER with a focus on preoperative variables.

14.
J Surg Oncol ; 125(5): 872-879, 2022 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35050522

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The clinical course of patients experiencing recurrence following hepatectomy for colorectal cancer metastases (CRM) is poorly defined. Previous studies associated shorter time to recurrence (TTR) in months, node-positive primary tumor, and more than one site of recurrence with worse outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study across four Canadian institutions to externally validate previously established prognostic factors of overall survival (OS). We included consecutive adult patients who had a recurrence following curative-intent liver resection for CRM. Prognostic factors were explored using a multivariable Cox regression model. Risk group cutoffs were identified through recursive partitioning. OS between low- and high-risk groups was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: This study included 471 patients. Shorter TTR in months (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.95, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.93-0.97), presence of extrahepatic disease at first hepatectomy (HR: 2.54, 95% CI: 1.18-5.50), and larger tumor size in millimetres (HR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00-1.02) were associated with worse OS. Median OS in the high- and low-risk groups were 40.5 (95% CI: 34.0-45.7 months) versus 64.7 months (95% CI: 57.9-72.3 months; p < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We externally validated the prognostic significance of shorter TTR (<8.5 months) as a predictor of worse OS in patients who recur the following hepatectomy for CRM.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Colorrectales , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Adulto , Canadá , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Hepatectomía/métodos , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/secundario , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patología , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos
15.
Can J Surg ; 65(5): E665-E674, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36223935

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: To our knowledge, no analysis of data from liver transplantation registries exists in Canada. We aimed to describe temporal trends in the number of liver transplantation procedures, patient characteristics and posttransplantation outcomes for autoimmune liver diseases (AILDs) in Canada. METHODS: We used administrative data from the Canadian Organ Replacement Register, which contains liver transplantation information from 6 centres in Canada. This study included transplantation information from 5 of the centres, as liver transplantation procedures in children were not included. We included adult (age ≥ 18 yr) patients with a diagnosis of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC), autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) or overlap syndrome (PBC-AIH or PSC-AIH) who received a liver transplant from 2000 to 2018. RESULTS: Of 5722 primary liver transplantation procedures performed over the study period, 1070 (18.7%) were for an AILD: 489 (45.7%) for PSC, 341 (31.9%) for PBC, 220 (20.6%) for AIH and 20 (1.9%) for overlap syndrome. There was a significant increase in the absolute number of procedures for PSC, with a yearly increase of 0.6 (95% confidence interval 0.1 to 1.2), whereas the absolute number of procedures for PBC and AIH remained stable. The proportion of transplantation procedures decreased for PBC and AIH but remained stable for PSC. Recipient age at transplantation increased over time for males with PBC (median 53 yr in 2000-2005 to 57 yr in 2012-2018, p = 0.03); whereas the median age among patients with AIH decreased, from 53 years in 2000-2005 to 44 years in 2006-2011 (p = 0.03). The Model for Endstage Liver Disease score at the time of transplantation increased over time for all AILDs, particularly AIH (median 16 in 2000-2005 v. 24 in 2012-2018, p < 0.001). There was a trend toward improved survival in the PBC group, with a 5-year survival rate of 81% in 2000-2005 and 90% in 2012-2018 (p = 0.06). CONCLUSION: Between 2000 and 2018, the absolute number of liver transplantation procedures in Canada increased for PSC but remained stable for PBC and AIH; proportionally, PBC and AIH decreased as indications for transplantation. Posttransplantation survival improved only for the PBC group. An improved understanding of trends and outcomes on a national scale among patients with AILD undergoing liver transplantation can identify disparities and areas for potential health care improvement.


Asunto(s)
Colangitis Esclerosante , Hepatitis Autoinmune , Cirrosis Hepática Biliar , Hepatopatías , Trasplante de Hígado , Adulto , Canadá , Niño , Colangitis Esclerosante/diagnóstico , Colangitis Esclerosante/cirugía , Hepatitis Autoinmune/diagnóstico , Hepatitis Autoinmune/cirugía , Humanos , Cirrosis Hepática Biliar/diagnóstico , Cirrosis Hepática Biliar/cirugía , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad
16.
HPB (Oxford) ; 24(9): 1535-1542, 2022 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35474005

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is increasing. The objective of this study was to compare the 30-day post-operative complications and length-of-stay (LOS) between patients undergoing hepatectomy for iCCA with and without NAC. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted using the ACS-NSQIP database queried from 2014 to 2018. Patients with NAC receipt were propensity-score matched into 1:3 ratio with controls using the greedy-matching algorithm and a caliper of 0.2. Logistic and Poisson regression models were used to estimate the effect sizes. RESULTS: A total of 1508 patients who underwent hepatectomy for iCCA were included. 706 patients remained after matching and balance were achieved. The NAC group had 110 (60.1%) complications vs. 289 (55.3%) complications in the non-NAC group (p = 0.29). NAC was not associated with worse 30-day postoperative complications [OR 1.24, 95% CI: 0.87-1.76; p = 0.24]. Post-operative LOS in the NAC group was 8.56 days (mean, SD 7.4) vs. non-NAC group 9.27 days (mean, SD 8.41, p = 0.32). NAC was not associated with longer post-operative LOS [RR 0.93, 95% CI:0.80, 1.08; p = 0.32]. CONCLUSION: NAC may be safely administered without increasing the risk of 30-day complications or post-operative hospital LOS.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares , Colangiocarcinoma , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias de los Conductos Biliares/cirugía , Conductos Biliares Intrahepáticos , Colangiocarcinoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Colangiocarcinoma/cirugía , Hepatectomía/efectos adversos , Humanos , Terapia Neoadyuvante/efectos adversos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Puntaje de Propensión , Estudios Retrospectivos
17.
HPB (Oxford) ; 24(3): 370-378, 2022 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34325968

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The impact of packed Red Blood Cell (pRBC) transfusion on oncological outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. We evaluated the impact of pRBC transfusion on HCC recurrence and overall survival (OS) after LT for HCC. METHODS: Patients with HCC transplanted between 2000 and 2018 were included and stratified by receipt of pRBC transfusion. Outcomes were HCC recurrence and OS. Propensity score matching was performed to account for confounders. RESULTS: Of the 795 patients, 234 (29.4%) did not receive pRBC transfusion. After matching the 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence was 6.6%, 12.5% and 14.8% for no-pRBC transfusion, and 8.6%, 18.8% and 21.3% (p = 0.61) for pRBC transfusion. The OS at 1-, 3-, 5-year was 93.0%, 84.6% and 75.8% vs 92.0%, 79.7% and 73.5% (p = 0.83) for no-pRBC transfusion and pRBC transfusion, respectively. There were no differences in recurrence (HR 1.13, 95%CI 0.71-1.78, p = 0.61) or OS (HR 1.04, 95%CI 0.71-1.54, p = 0.83). CONCLUSION: Perioperative administration of pRBC in liver transplant recipients for HCC resulted in a nonsignificant increase of HCC recurrence and death after accounting for confounder. Surgeons should continue to exercise cation and optimize patients iron stores medically preoperatively.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trasplante de Hígado , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , Eritrocitos/patología , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Trasplante de Hígado/efectos adversos , Estudios Retrospectivos
18.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 28(11): 6816-6825, 2021 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33778907

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Intraoperative blood cell salvage and autotransfusion (IBSA) during liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is controversial for concern regarding adversely impacting oncologic outcomes. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the long-term oncologic outcomes of patients who underwent LT with incidentally discovered HCC who received IBSA compared with those who did not receive IBSA. METHODS: Patients undergoing LT (January 2001-October 2018) with incidental HCC on explant pathology were retrospectively identified. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed. HCC recurrence and patient survival were compared. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed, and univariable Cox proportional hazard analyses were performed for risks of recurrence and death. RESULTS: Overall, 110 patients were identified (IBSA, n = 76 [69.1%]; non-IBSA, n = 34 [30.9%]). Before matching, the groups were similar in terms of demographics, transplant, and tumor characteristics. Overall survival was similar for IBSA and non-IBSA at 1, 3, and 5 years (96.0%, 88.4%, 83.0% vs. 97.1%, 91.1%, 87.8%, respectively; p = 0.79). Similarly, the recurrence rate at 1, 3, and 5 years was not statistically different (IBSA 0%, 1.8%, 1.8% vs. non-IBSA 0%, 3.2%, 3.2%, respectively; p = 0.55). After 1:1 matching (26 IBSA, 26 non-IBSA), Cox proportional hazard analysis demonstrated similar risk of death and recurrence between the groups (IBSA hazard ratio [HR] of death 1.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.52-3.05, p = 0.61; and HR of recurrence 2.64, 95% CI 0.28-25.30, p = 0.40). CONCLUSIONS: IBSA does not appear to adversely impact oncologic outcomes in patients undergoing LT with incidental HCC. This evidence further supports the need for randomized trials evaluating the impact of IBSA use in LT for HCC.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trasplante de Hígado , Células Sanguíneas , Transfusión de Sangre Autóloga , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/cirugía , Puntaje de Propensión , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo
19.
Br J Surg ; 109(1): 79-88, 2021 12 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34738095

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Despite high waiting list mortality rates, concern still exists on the appropriateness of using livers donated after circulatory death (DCD). We compared mortality and graft loss in recipients of livers donated after circulatory or brainstem death (DBD) across two successive time periods. METHODS: Observational multinational data from the United Kingdom and Ireland were partitioned into two time periods (2008-2011 and 2012-2016). Cox regression methods were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) comparing the impact of periods on post-transplant mortality and graft failure. RESULTS: A total of 1176 DCD recipients and 3749 DBD recipients were included. Three-year patient mortality rates decreased markedly from 19.6 per cent in time period 1 to 10.4 per cent in time period 2 (adjusted HR 0.43, 95 per cent c.i. 0.30 to 0.62; P < 0.001) for DCD recipients but only decreased from 12.8 to 11.3 per cent (adjusted HR 0.96, 95 per cent c.i. 0.78 to 1.19; P = 0.732) in DBD recipients (P for interaction = 0.001). No time period-specific improvements in 3-year graft failure were observed for DCD (adjusted HR 0.80, 95% c.i. 0.61 to 1.05; P = 0.116) or DBD recipients (adjusted HR 0.95, 95% c.i. 0.79 to 1.14; P = 0.607). A slight increase in retransplantation rates occurred between time period 1 and 2 in those who received a DCD liver (from 7.3 to 11.8 per cent; P = 0.042), but there was no change in those receiving a DBD liver (from 4.9 to 4.5 per cent; P = 0.365). In time period 2, no difference in mortality rates between those receiving a DCD liver and those receiving a DBD liver was observed (adjusted HR 0.78, 95% c.i. 0.56 to 1.09; P = 0.142). CONCLUSION: Mortality rates more than halved in recipients of a DCD liver over a decade and eventually compared similarly to mortality rates in recipients of a DBD liver. Regions with high waiting list mortality may mitigate this by use of DCD livers.


Asunto(s)
Muerte Encefálica , Causas de Muerte , Supervivencia de Injerto , Trasplante de Hígado/mortalidad , Donantes de Tejidos , Femenino , Humanos , Irlanda/epidemiología , Trasplante de Hígado/efectos adversos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sistema de Registros , Reoperación/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Donantes de Tejidos/estadística & datos numéricos , Reino Unido/epidemiología
20.
Transpl Int ; 34(8): 1444-1454, 2021 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33977568

RESUMEN

The liver transplantation (LT) landscape is continuously evolving. We sought to evaluate trends in indications for LT in Canada and the impact of primary liver disease on post-LT outcomes using a national transplant registry. Adult patients who underwent a primary LT between 2000 and 2018 were retrospectively identified in the Canadian Organ Replacement Registry. Outcomes included post-LT patient and graft survival. A total of 5,722 LTs were identified. The number of LT per year increased from 251 in 2000 to 349 in 2018. The proportion of patients transplanted for HCV decreased from 31.5% in 2000 to 3.4% in 2018. In contrast, the percentage of transplants for HCC increased from 2.3% in 2000 to 32.4% in 2018, and those performed for NASH increased from 0.4% in 2005 to 12.6% in 2018. Year of transplant (per 1 year) was protective for both patient (HR:0.96,95%CI:0.94-0.97; P < 0.001) and graft survival (HR:0.97, 95%CI: 0.96-0.99; P = 0.001). Post-LT outcomes have improved over time in this nationwide analysis spanning 18 years. Moreover, trends in the indications for LT have changed, with HCC becoming the leading etiology. The decrease in the proportion of HCV patients and increase in those with NASH has implications on the evolving management of LT patients.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Trasplante de Hígado , Adulto , Canadá , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , Supervivencia de Injerto , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento
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