Can fruit and vegetable aggregation systems better balance improved producer livelihoods with more equitable distribution?

The need for food systems to generate sustainable and equitable benefits for all is a global imperative. However, whilst ample evidence exists linking smallholder farmer coordination and aggregation (i.e. the collective transport and marketing of produce on behalf of multiple farmers) to improved market participation and farmer incomes, the extent to which interventions that aim to improve farmer market engagement may co-develop equitable consumer benefits remains uncertain. This challenge is pertinent to the horticultural systems of South Asia, where the increasing purchasing power of urban consumers, lengthening urban catchments, underdeveloped rural infrastructures and inadequate local demands combine to undermine the delivery of fresh fruits and vegetables to smaller, often rural or semi-rural markets serving nutritionally insecure populations. To this end, we investigate the potential for aggregation to be developed to increase fruit and vegetable delivery to these neglected smaller markets, whilst simultaneously improving farmer returns. Using an innovative system dynamics modelling approach based on an aggregation scheme in Bihar, India, we identify potential trade-offs between outcomes relating to farmers and consumers in smaller local markets. We find that changes to aggregation alone (i.e. scaling-up participation; subsidising small market transportation; mandating quotas for smaller markets) are unable to achieve significant improvements in smaller market delivery without risking reduced farmer participation in aggregation. Contrastingly, combining aggregation with the introduction of market-based cold storage and measures that boost demand improves fruit and vegetable availability significantly in smaller markets, whilst avoiding farmer-facing trade-offs. Critically, our study emphasises the benefits that may be attained from combining multiple nutrition-sensitive market interventions, and stresses the need for policies that narrow the fruit and vegetable cold storage deficits that exist away from more lucrative markets in developing countries. The future pathways and policy options discovered work towards making win-win futures for farmers and disadvantaged consumers a reality.

Elevated C-reactive protein and self-reported disease activity in systemic lupus erythematosus.

C-reactive protein (CRP), a biomarker of inflammation, has been associated with increased disease activity in rheumatoid arthritis. However, the association in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) remains unclear. We examined the association of CRP with self-reported disease activity in the Carolina Lupus Study and described differences by sociodemographic characteristics. The study included baseline and three-year follow-up data on 107 African-American and 69 Caucasian SLE patients enrolled at a median 13 months since diagnosis. Models estimated prevalence differences in the association of baseline CRP with self-reported flares, adjusting for age, sex, race and education. Active disease or flare was reported by 59% at baseline and 58% at follow-up. Higher CRP (>10 µg/ml vs. <3 µg/ml) was associated with a 17% (95% confidence interval (CI): -20, 53%) higher prevalence of flare at baseline and a 26% (95% CI: -9, 62%) higher prevalence of flare at follow-up. These CRP-flare associations were notably stronger in patients with lower education at baseline and in African-Americans at follow-up. These findings suggest that CRP may be a useful marker in studies of SLE health disparities.

Endoscopist-directed propofol administration versus anesthesiologist assistance for colorectal cancer screening: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: Propofol for colonoscopy is largely administered by anesthesiologists or anesthesiology nurses in the United States (US) and Europe. Endoscopist-directed administration of propofol (EDP) by nonanesthesiologists has recently been proposed, with potential savings of anesthetist reimbursement costs. We aimed to assess potential EDP-related benefit in a screening setting. METHODS: In a Markov model the total number of screening and follow-up colonoscopies in a cohort of 100 000 US subjects were estimated. Anesthetist-assisted colonoscopy was compared with an EDP strategy. Model outputs were projected onto the 50 - 80-year-old US population, assuming 27 % as the current uptake for colonoscopy screening. Anesthetist costs were estimated using the mean reimbursement for the corresponding Medicare code (≥ 65-year-olds) and from commercial insurance information (50 - 64-year-olds). The proportion of colonoscopies with anesthesiologist assistance was estimated from the Medicare database. Mean nurse salary was used to estimate the cost of a 2-week EDP training. The absolute number of US endoscopists was estimated by inflating by 33 % the number of board-certified gastroenterologists. No EDP mortality was assumed in the reference scenario, and 0.0008 % mortality in the sensitivity analysis. US census data were adopted. Analogous inputs were used for France to assess EDP-related benefit in a European country. RESULTS: EDP training for 17 166 nurses (one for each US endoscopist) showed a cost of $ 47 million. Cost estimates for anesthesiologist assistance for colonoscopy were $ 95 (Medicare) and $ 450 (non-Medicare commercial insurance), with 34.8 % of colonoscopies requiring anesthesiologist assistance. US implementation of an EDP policy showed a 10-year saving of $ 3.2 billion (Monte Carlo analysis 5 - 95 % percentiles $ 2.7 - $ 11.9 billion). In the sensitivity analysis, assuming 50 % of colonoscopies were anesthetist-assisted showed an EDP benefit of $ 4.6 billion. Assuming a 0.0008 % mortality rate, the incremental cost - effectiveness of anesthetist-assisted colonoscopy versus an EDP policy was $ 1.5 million per life-year gained, supporting EDP as the optimal choice. A 31-fold increase of EDP-related mortality or a 17-fold cost reduction for anesthetist-assisted colonoscopy was required for EDP to become not cost-effective in this scenario. Implementation of an EDP policy in France, within a guaiac-fecal occult blood test (g-FOBT) screening program, was estimated to save € 0.8 billion in 10 years. CONCLUSIONS: The absolute economic benefit of EDP implementation in a screening setting is probably substantial with 10-year savings of $3.2 billion in the US and €0.8 billion in France. The impact of an eventual EDP-related mortality on EDP cost - effectiveness seems marginal. The huge economic and medical resources entailed by anesthetist-assisted colonoscopy could be more efficiently invested in other clinical fields.

Total serum IgE levels in systemic lupus erythematosus and associations with childhood onset allergies.

Elevated serum IgE has been described in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), but associations with disease risk and characteristics remain unresolved. We assessed total serum IgE levels and atopy (IgE > 100 IU/ml) in recently diagnosed SLE patients (n = 228) compared with population controls (n = 293) and in relation to disease activity, autoantibodies, clinical features, total immunoglobulins, C-reactive protein, and allergy history. Multivariate models estimated determinants of IgE and atopy in patients and controls, and associations of SLE with allergy and atopy. Total IgE levels were higher in patients than controls (median = 42 vs. 29 IU/ml); 32% of patients and 25% of controls were atopic (p = 0.06). IgE levels were significantly higher in non-Whites and patients reporting childhood onset (<18 years) asthma and hives, and in controls reporting childhood asthma, hay fever, eczema, and adult onset hives. After accounting for racial differences, atopy was not associated with SLE, nephritis, or other clinical and laboratory parameters. In sum, our findings provide limited evidence of a direct association between total serum IgE and SLE overall or with other disease characteristics after adjusting for demographic characteristics and allergy history. Future studies may want to explore potentially shared risk factors for development of allergy, atopy, and SLE.

Single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the C-reactive protein (CRP) gene promoter that affect transcription factor binding, alter transcriptional activity, and associate with differences in baseline serum CRP level.

To investigate whether functional polymorphisms exist in the C-reactive protein (CRP) gene, i.e., ones that contribute directly to differences in baseline CRP among individuals, we sequenced a 1,156-nucleotide-long stretch of the CRP gene promoter in 287 ostensibly healthy people. We identified two single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), a bi-allelic one at nucleotide -409 (G-->A), and a tri-allelic one at -390 (C-->T-->A), both resident within the hexameric core of transcription factor binding E-box elements. Electrophoretic mobility shift assays confirmed that the SNP within the sequence (-412)CACGTG(-407) (E-box 1) modulates transcription factor binding, and that the one within (-394)CACTTG(-389) (E-box 2) supports transcription factor binding only when the -390 T allele is present. The commonest of four E-box 1/E-box 2 haplotypes (-409G/-390T) identified in the population supported highest promoter activity in luciferase reporter assays, and the rarest one (-409A/-390T) supported the least. Importantly, serum CRP in people with these haplotypes reproduced this rank order, i.e., people with the -409G/-390T haplotype had the highest baseline serum CRP (mean +/- SEM 10.9 +/- 2.25 microg/ml) and people with the -409A/-390T haplotype had the lowest (5.01 +/- 1.56 microg/ml). Furthermore, haplotype-associated differences in baseline CRP were not due to differences in age, sex, or race, and were still apparent in people with no history of smoking. At least two other SNPs in the CRP promoter lie within E-box elements (-198 C-->T, E-box 4, and -861 T-->C, E-box 3), indicating that not only is the quality of E-box sites in CRP a major determinant of baseline CRP level, but also that the number of E-boxes may be important. These data confirm that the CRP promoter does encode functional polymorphisms, which should be considered when baseline CRP is being used as an indicator of clinical outcome. Ultimately, development of genetic tests to screen for CRP expression variants could allow categorization of healthy people into groups at high versus low future risk of inflammatory disease.

Atomic force microscopy reveals defects within mica supported lipid bilayers induced by the amyloidogenic human amylin peptide.

To date, over 20 peptides or proteins have been identified that can form amyloid fibrils in the body and are thought to cause disease. The mechanism by which amyloid peptides cause the cytotoxicity observed and disease is not understood. However, one of the major hypotheses is that amyloid peptides cause membrane perturbation. Hence, we have studied the interaction between lipid bilayers and the 37 amino acid residue polypeptide amylin, which is the primary constituent of the pancreatic amyloid associated with type 2 diabetes. Using a dye release assay we confirmed that the amyloidogenic human amylin peptide causes membrane disruption; however, time-lapse atomic force microscopy revealed that this did not occur by the formation of defined pores. On the contrary, the peptide induced the formation of small defects spreading over the lipid surface. We also found that rat amylin, which has 84% identity with human amylin but cannot form amyloid fibrils, could also induce similar lesions to supported lipid bilayers. The effect, however, for rat amylin but not human amylin, was inhibited under high ionic conditions. These data provide an alternative theory to pore formation, and how amyloid peptides may cause membrane disruption and possibly cytotoxicity.

Primary care physician recommendations for colorectal cancer screening. Patient and practitioner factors.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines for colorectal cancer screening do not specify the role of age or comorbidity in patient selection. Reported screening practices may thus be influenced by patient, as well as physician, characteristics. METHODS: A questionnaire was sent to primary care physicians in 10 states to determine recommendations for fecal occult blood testing (FOBT) and sigmoidoscopy in 4 pairs of clinical vignettes that varied by patient age (65 or 75 years) and comorbidity (none, mild, moderate, and terminal). RESULTS: Among the 884 respondents (50%), most physicians recommended FOBT in all vignettes except those with a terminal illness and fewer than half recommended sigmoidoscopy in any vignette. Physician recommendations were influenced by comorbidity, but one third still recommended FOBT for terminally ill patients and less than 50% recommended sigmoidoscopy for patients with no comorbidity. Differences in recommended screening between vignettes that differed only in patient age were small. Among all subgroups of physicians, at least 30% recommended FOBT in terminally ill patients and no more than 60% recommended sigmoidoscopy in healthy patients. CONCLUSIONS: Primary care physicians were much more likely to recommend screening with FOBT than sigmoidoscopy, regardless of patient and practitioner factors. Although physician recommendations were influenced by patient comorbidity and age, they frequently recommended FOBT in clinically inappropriate settings and failed to recommend sigmoidoscopy when appropriate. Broad-based interventions to improve appropriate screening practices may be needed.

Management of gallstones in diabetic patients.

The management of gallstones in diabetic patients has traditionally been considered problematic. Autopsy findings and uncontrolled studies have documented a higher prevalence of cholelithiasis in diabetics, and early reports showed dramatically increased perioperative morbidity and mortality for treatment of diabetics with acute cholecystitis. As a result, some authorities have recommended prophylactic cholecystectomy for diabetic patients with asymptomatic gallstones, which is in contrast to recommendations for nondiabetics. More recent investigators have shown comparable rates of operative morbidity and mortality for biliary surgery in diabetics when compared with the general population. Recent studies have questioned whether diabetes is an independent risk factor for gallstone formation. Decision analyses using these new data have shown that prophylactic cholecystectomy is not of clear benefit and should not be routinely recommended for diabetics with asymptomatic gallstones. We believe that available data, although limited, indicate that asymptomatic patients with diabetes do not benefit from screening for gallstones and that cholecystectomy should only be performed in cases of symptomatic cholelithiasis, as is the case in the general population.

Impact of a guideline-based disease management team on outcomes of hospitalized patients with congestive heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Congestive heart failure is the most common reason for hospitalization in the United States, and guidelines to improve the quality of care for patients with congestive heart failure have been developed. However, adherence is typically low. We hypothesized that a guideline-based care management team would result in greater quality and efficiency of care than guidelines alone. METHODS: A faculty cardiologist and nurse care manager at an academic medical center reviewed each patient's data and made guideline-based recommendations. Hospital length of stay, total costs, and use of recommended guidelines were compared between 173 patients before team implementation but with available guidelines, 283 care-managed patients, and 126 concurrent non-care-managed patients. RESULTS: Care-managed patients achieved higher rates of use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor than baseline or non-care-managed patients (95%, 60%, and 75%, respectively; P<.001), as well as increased adherence to guidelines for daily weight monitoring and assessment of left ventricular function. Hospital length of stay was lower (median, 3, 4, and 5 days, respectively; P<.001) as were costs of hospitalization (median, $2934, $3209, and $4830, respectively; P<.01). These differences persisted after adjustment for severity of illness. CONCLUSIONS: When compared with dissemination of guidelines alone, an active care management approach was associated with significant improvements in quality and efficiency of care for hospitalized patients with congestive heart failure.

Use of intensive care units for patients with low severity of illness.

OBJECTIVE: To determine variations among hospitals in use of intensive care units (ICUs) for patients with low severity of illness. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Twenty-eight hospitals with 44 ICUs in a large metropolitan region. PATIENTS: Consecutive eligible patients (N=104,487) admitted to medical, surgical, neurological, or mixed medical-surgical ICUs from March 1, 1991, to March 31, 1995. OUTCOME MEASURES: The predicted risk of in-hospital death for each patient was assessed using a validated method that is based on age, ICU admission source, diagnosis, severe comorbid conditions, and abnormalities in 17 physiologic variables. Admissions were classified as low severity if the patient's predicted risk of death was less than 1%. In a subset of 12,929 consecutive patients, use of 19 specific interventions typically delivered in ICUs was examined. RESULTS: Twenty thousand four hundred fifty-one admissions (19.6%) were categorized as low severity, including 23.6% of postoperative and 16.9% of nonoperative admissions. Alcohol and other drug overdoses accounted for 40.2% of nonoperative low-severity admissions; laminectomy and carotid endarterectomy accounted for 52.3% of postoperative low-severity admissions. Mortality among patients with low-severity illness was 0.3%, and only 28.6% received an ICU-specific intervention during the first ICU day. Although mean ICU length of stay was shorter (P<.001) in low-severity admissions (2.2 vs 4.7 days in nonoperative and 2.4 vs 4.2 days in postoperative admissions), low-severity admissions accounted for 11.1% of total ICU bed days. Rates of low-severity admissions varied (P<.001) across hospitals, ranging from 5% to 27% for nonoperative and 9% to 68% for postoperative admissions. CONCLUSIONS: A large proportion of patients admitted to the ICU have a low probability of death and do not receive ICU-specific interventions. Rates of low-severity admissions varied among hospitals. The development and implementation of protocols to target ICU care to patients most likely to benefit may decrease the number of low-severity ICU admissions and improve the cost-effectiveness of ICU care.

Are vitamin D receptor polymorphisms associated with bone mineral density? A meta-analysis.

Vitamin D receptor (VDR) polymorphisms have been strongly associated with bone mineral density (BMD) in some studies but not in others. We used a meta-analytic approach to assess quantitatively the association between VDR and BMD and to examine the influence of specific study characteristics (e.g., skeletal site, mean age of subjects, menopausal status) on the reported results. Sixteen papers published in peer-reviewed journals through July 1996 were included. We calculated the mean difference, percent difference, and effect size (mean difference divided by standard deviation), comparing BMD between homozygous genotypes. At the hip, BMD in the BB genotype was lower than in the bb genotype (mean difference, -0.02 g/cm2; percent difference, -2.4% and effect size -0.18; p = 0.032). At the spine, the mean difference was -0.03 g/cm2; percent difference, -2.5%; and effect size, -0.19; p = 0.062. At the distal radius, the VDR effect was estimated as the mean difference, -0.01 g/cm2; percent difference, -1.7%; and effect size, -0.16; p = 0.078. The spine measurements exhibited the greatest between- and within-study variability. The difference in hip BMD between genotypes was larger (i.e., a more negative number) among the younger women and seemed to decrease with increasing age. However, statistical evidence for this trend was weak (p = 0.06). Data from the spine and the radius showed no evidence of a comparable interaction of the VDR effect with age. When we omitted data from the first report of an association between VDR polymorphisms and BMD, our analyses gave similar results, although the overall effect estimates were smaller. In the combined data from 29 study groups, the BB genotype frequency was 17.2, 4.9, and 2.3% in studies of whites, blacks, and Asians, respectively. VDR polymorphisms represent one genetic factor affecting BMD, but further research into the mechanisms, clinical significance, and its relation between other genetic and environmental factors is needed.

Polymicrobial bacteremia in the late 1980s: predictors of outcome and review of the literature.

Although polymicrobial bacteremia has been described in several previous series, there has been no recent study of patients using rigorous statistical analysis. Our objective was to characterize a present-day patient population with polymicrobial bacteremia and to define factors prognostic of survival. Polymicrobial bacteremia accounted for 6% of all positive blood cultures at a university hospital and a Veterans Administration hospital over a 2 1/2 year period in the late 1980s. The majority of these patients were elderly with significant underlying diseases, notably malignancies, and 56% of all episodes were nosocomially acquired. Enterobacteriaceae have remained the most common organisms, though the frequency of gram-positive cocci isolated has increased compared to older studies. Gastrointestinal, genitourinary, and skin and soft-tissue sources were the most common, although the incidence of infections due to central venous catheters appeared to be increasing. The source of 25% of bacteremia was not identified despite newer diagnostic techniques. By univariate analysis, mortality, which was 36% overall, correlated with thrombocytopenia, respiratory failure, disseminated intravascular coagulation, encephalopathy, severity of underlying disease, hemolysis, adult respiratory distress syndrome, use of steroids, renal insufficiency, institution, presence of central lines, and nosocomial acquisition. Using stepwise logistic regression analysis, mortality was predicted by respiratory failure, severity of underlying disease, and hemolysis. We conclude that polymicrobial bacteremia remains an important entity in the present-day hospitalized population, with an increasing frequency of gram-positive organisms and catheter sources, and a large proportion of undiagnosed etiologies.

Racial disparity in the incidence and case-fatality of colorectal cancer: analysis of 329 United States counties.

In the United States, blacks have higher death rates from colon cancer than whites, and the survival disparity may be due in part to differences in screening programs and acute medical care in counties with a high concentration of blacks. We studied 148,947 Medicare beneficiaries with newly diagnosed colorectal cancer in 1989-1991 who resided in the 329 most populous counties in the United States to determine the relationship of race and county racial composition to cancer incidence and survival. Counties were divided into quartiles based on proportion of blacks in the population, and aggregate incidence and 2-year case-fatality rates were compared within and between quartiles. Within each quartile, the adjusted incidence rate for whites was consistently higher than that for blacks (P < 0.0001), and case-fatality rates were consistently lower among whites (P < 0.0001) for all but the quartile with the lowest proportion of blacks. Between quartiles, the incidence rates for both whites (P = 0.0001) and blacks (P = 0.008) decreased progressively, and case fatality rates increased progressively for both whites (P = 0.001) and blacks (P = 0.007) as the proportion of blacks increased. When counties were grouped into three different geographic areas, racial disparity in survival was observed in all regions. The variability between groups of counties in colon cancer incidence and mortality for both white and black patients may suggest differences at the county level in screening and treatment. However, consistent racial disparity within county quartiles may reflect persistent deficiencies in access to and quality of care for black patients.

Risk of adult acute leukemia in relation to prior immune-related conditions.

We explored the association between immune-related conditions and adult acute leukemia in a study of 624 patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML), 124 patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), 63 patients with other acute leukemias, and 637 healthy population controls. Common childhood viral diseases were weakly associated with AML and ALL, particularly with early exposure (< or = 5 years of age). Odds ratios (ORs) were elevated for chicken pox and measles at any age, but only the associations with measles were statistically significant [OR = 1.89; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.40-2.56 for AML and OR = 1.81; 95% CI, 1.07-3.06 for ALL]. There was no association between other infectious diseases, allergies, asthma, or eczema and risk for AML or ALL, although there was a significant association between psoriasis and ALL (OR = 3.23; 95% CI, 1.25-8.30). These results offer little support for either a protective effect of enhanced immune surveillance or a harmful effect from antigenic stimulation in relation to risk for acute leukemia in adults. However, the associations between cancer risk and childhood infectious diseases are intriguing and may warrant additional research.

Age at natural menopause and mortality.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to examine the association between age at menopause and mortality in a population-based sample of women in the United States. METHODS: This study was based on data from the National Health and Examination Survey (NHANES) Epidemiologic Follow-up Study; 3191 women aged 50-86 years were included. There were 345 deaths over a mean follow-up time of 4.0 years. We used age-stratified and Poisson regression procedures to assess mortality risk by age at natural menopause, with adjustment for age, duration of follow-up, race, education, smoking, and use of hormone replacement therapy. We conducted a separate analysis for surgical menopause with bilateral oophorectomy. RESULTS: Compared with women who were menstruating to age 50 or later, the adjusted mortality rate ratios (RR) were 1.50 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.97-2.34) for women with a natural menopause at age < 40, 1.04 (95% CI, 0.72-1.51) for those with menopause at age 40-44, and 0.96 (95% CI, 0.72-1.26) for those with menopause at age 45-49. Women with a natural menopause at age 40-44 years experienced an increased risk of cancer-related mortality (adjusted RR 2.34, 95% CI, 1.20-4.58). No age-related increased mortality risk was seen among women who had surgical menopause with bilateral oophorectomy. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides some support for the concept that age at natural menopause serves as a biological marker of health and aging, with potential implications extending beyond cardiovascular diseases.

Measurement of lactose consumption reliability and comparison of two methods.

The objective of this study was to assess the reliability of lactose consumption measured with a food-frequency questionnaire and to compare food-frequency data to prospectively recorded data. A self-administered food-frequency questionnaire (FF1) was completed by 295 women ages 38 to 49. Two months later, 75 received the same food-frequency questionnaire (FF2), and 75 received a 1-week diet diary listing 23 commonly eaten lactose-containing foods. Estimated mean intake of lactose was 16.1 g/d with FF1. Intake was slightly (but not significantly) higher at follow-up: Mean difference (95% confidence interval) was 1.4 (-0.8, 3.7) g/d for FF2 versus FF1, and 0.5 g (1.3, 2.3) g/d for the diet diary versus FF1. A moderate level of correlation was found: r = 0.57 between FF1 and FF2, and r = 0.65 between FF1 and the diet diary. Smaller subsets of items (n = 15 and n = 7) could be used to estimate lactose, with 89% and 82% agreement within tertiles, respectively. Since relatively few foods contain substantial amounts of lactose, a limited food-frequency or structured diary may be useful in research studies on the association between lactose consumption and ovarian cancer or other diseases.

Occupational exposure to crystalline silica and autoimmune disease.

Occupational exposure to silica dust has been examined as a possible risk factor with respect to several systemic autoimmune diseases, including scleroderma, rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and some of the small vessel vasculitidies with renal involvement (e.g., Wegener granulomatosis). Crystalline silica, or quartz, is an abundant mineral found in sand, rock, and soil. High-level exposure to respirable silica dust can cause chronic inflammation and fibrosis in the lung and other organs. Studies of specific occupational groups with high-level silica exposure (e.g., miners) have shown increased rates of autoimmune diseases compared to the expected rates in the general population. However, some clinic- and population-based studies have not demonstrated an association between silica exposure and risk of autoimmune diseases. This lack of effect may be due to the limited statistical power of these studies to examine this association or because the lower- or moderate-level exposures that may be more common in the general population were not considered. Experimental studies demonstrate that silica can act as an adjuvant to nonspecifically enhance the immune response. This is one mechanism by which silica might be involved in the development of autoimmune diseases. Given that several different autoimmune diseases may be associated with silica dust exposure, silica dust may act to promote or accelerate disease development, requiring some other factor to break immune tolerance or initiate autoimmunity. The specific manifestation of this effect may depend on underlying differences in genetic susceptibility or other environmental exposures.

The role of genetic factors in autoimmune disease: implications for environmental research.

Studies in both humans and in animal models of specific disorders suggest that polymorphisms of multiple genes are involved in conferring either a predisposition to or protection from autoimmune diseases. Genes encoding polymorphic proteins that regulate immune responses or the rates and extent of metabolism of certain chemical structures have been the focus of much of the research regarding genetic susceptibility. We examine the type and strength of evidence concerning genetic factors and disease etiology, drawing examples from a number of autoimmune diseases. Twin studies of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), type I diabetes, and multiple sclerosis (MS) indicate that disease concordance in monozygotic twins is 4 or more times higher than in dizygotic twins. Strong familial associations (odds ratio ranging from 5-10) are seen in studies of MS, type I diabetes, Graves disease, discoid lupus, and SLE. Familial association studies have also reported an increased risk of several systemic autoimmune diseases among relatives of patients with a systemic autoimmune disease. This association may reflect a common etiologic pathway with shared genetic or environmental influences among these diseases. Recent genomewide searches in RA, SLE, and MS provide evidence for multiple susceptibility genes involving major histocompatibility complex (MHC) and non-MHC loci; there is also evidence that many autoimmune diseases share a common set of susceptibility genes. The multifactorial nature of the genetic risk factors and the low penetrance of disease underscore the potential influence of environmental factors and gene-environment interactions on the etiology of autoimmune diseases.

Linking environmental agents and autoimmune disease: an agenda for future research.

Autoimmune diseases are influenced by multiple factors including genetics, age, gender, reproductive status, hormones, and potential environmental contaminants. A workshop, "Linking Environmental Agents and Autoimmune Diseases," was convened at the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, 1-3 September 1998, to review current knowledge about links between environmental exposures and autoimmune disease, to identify and prioritize research needs, and to develop an integrated, multidisciplinary research agenda. Participants spent the last half-day of the workshop in small group discussions for the purpose of developing consensus on research needs. Research needs identified were a) develop research tools needed to explore links between environmental agents and autoimmune disease; b) establish a disease registry or surveillance system; c) develop and validate strategies for screening chemicals for the potential to induce or exacerbate autoimmune disease; d) develop an emergency response strategy to gain information from accidental exposures; and e) conduct hypothesis-driven research in occupationally exposed groups and/or in experimental animals. There was consensus that meetings like this workshop and projects that facilitate interactions between specialties should be encouraged. A multidisciplinary approach is needed to address this problem.

Menstrual patterns and risk of adult-onset diabetes mellitus.

We examined the association between menstrual patterns and risk of developing adult-onset diabetes in a prospective study of 668 white, college-educated women who completed menstrual diaries throughout their reproductive years. We calculated summary measures of cycle length and variability and bleeding duration for ages < or = 22, 23-27, 28-32, and 33-37 years. The analysis included 35,418 person-years of follow-up and 49 self-reported cases of diabetes (median age at diagnosis, 63 years). There was no association between diabetes risk and age at menarche, mean cycle length, cycle variability, or frequency of long cycles (> 42 days). Longer bleeding periods in the mid- and late reproductive years were somewhat associated with an increased risk of diabetes (adjusted rate ratio 1.4, 95% confidence interval 1.0-1.8 per day increase in bleeding duration for menses during ages 28-32). These results do not support the association of long or irregular menstrual cycles with post-menopausal diabetes incidence, but do suggest a possible association of longer bleeding duration with subsequent onset of diabetes.