Derivation and validation of the ED-SAS score for very early prediction of mortality and morbidity with acute pancreatitis: a retrospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Existing scoring systems to predict mortality in acute pancreatitis may not be directly applicable to the emergency department (ED). The objective of this study was to derive and validate the ED-SAS, a simple scoring score using variables readily available in the ED to predict mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis. METHODS: This retrospective observational study was performed based on patient data collected from electronic health records across 2 independent health systems; 1 was used for the derivation cohort and the other for the validation cohort. Adult patients who were eligible presented to the ED, required hospital admission, and had a confirmed diagnosis of acute pancreatitis. Patients with chronic or recurrent episodes of pancreatitis were excluded. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Analyses tested and derived candidate variables to establish a prediction score, which was subsequently applied to the validation cohort to assess odds ratios for the primary and secondary outcomes. RESULTS: The derivation cohort included 599 patients, and the validation cohort 2011 patients. Thirty-day mortality was 4.2 and 3.9%, respectively. From the derivation cohort, 3 variables were established for use in the predictive scoring score: ≥2 systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, age > 60 years, and SpO2 < 96%. Summing the presence or absence of each variable yielded an ED-SAS score ranging from 0 to 3. In the validation cohort, the odds of 30-day mortality increased with each subsequent ED-SAS point: 4.4 (95% CI 1.8-10.8) for 1 point, 12.0 (95% CI 4.9-29.4) for 2 points, and 41.7 (95% CI 15.8-110.1) for 3 points (c-statistic = 0.77). CONCLUSION: An ED-SAS score that incorporates SpO2, age, and SIRS measurements, all of which are available in the ED, provides a rapid method for predicting 30-day mortality in acute pancreatitis.

Emergency Physician Performed Ultrasound-Guided Abdominal Paracentesis: A Retrospective Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Emergency physicians commonly perform ultrasound-assisted abdominal paracentesis, using point of care ultrasound (POCUS) to identify ascites and select a site for needle insertion. However, ultrasound-guided paracentesis has the benefit of real-time needle visualization during the entire procedure. Our objective was to characterize the performance of emergency physician-performed ultrasound-guided paracentesis using POCUS, their ability to achieve good in-plane needle visualization, and factors associated with procedural success. METHODS: A POCUS database was retrospectively reviewed for examinations where abdominal paracentesis was performed by an emergency physician at two academic urban emergency departments over a six-year period. Medical records were reviewed for demographics, presenting history, complications, and hospital course. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize the data. RESULTS: 131 patients were included in the final analysis. The success rate for ultrasound-guided paracentesis was 97.7% (84/86 [95% CI: 92-100%]) compared to 95.6% (43/45 [95% CI: 85-99%]) for ultrasound-assisted paracentesis (p=0.503). 58% (50/86) demonstrated good in-plane needle visualization; 17% (15/86) had partial or out-of-plane visualization; and 24% (21/86) did not demonstrate needle visibility on their saved POCUS images. All four procedural failures were performed by first- or second-year residents using a curvilinear transducer, while all procedures using a linear transducer were successful. The most common complications were ascites leak, infection at the site, and minor bleeding. CONCLUSIONS: Emergency physicians with training in real-time needle guidance with ultrasound were able to use POCUS to perform ultrasound-guided paracentesis in the emergency department with a high success rate and no fatal complications. Based on our experience, we recommend performing ultrasound-guided paracentesis using a linear transducer, with attention to identifying vessels near the procedure site and maintaining sterile technique.

Clinician Absences and Contributing Factors During a COVID-19 Surge: Potential Areas for Intervention and Planning.

INTRODUCTION: Our goal was to quantify healthcare clinician (HCC) absenteeism in the emergency department (ED) during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) surge and to identify potential interventions that may mitigate the number of absences. METHODS: This was a retrospective, descriptive record review that included 82 resident physicians, physician assistants, and staff physicians who were scheduled to work more than three clinical shifts during March 2020 in an urban, academic ED that received a high number of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. Exposure was defined as a healthcare clinician who was not wearing appropriate personal protective equipment (PPE) having contact with a confirmed COVID-19 positive patient in the ED. The main outcome was the number of HCC absences secondary to exposure to or symptoms concerning for COVID-19. RESULTS: During March 2020, of 82 ED HCCs, 28 (34%) required an absence from clinical duties, totaling 152 absentee calendar days (N = 13 women [46%]; N = 15 men [54%]). Median HCC age was 32 years (interquartile range 28-39), and median number of days absent was four (interquartile range 3-7). While 16 (57%) of the total absences were secondary to a known exposure, 12 (43%) were symptomatic without a known exposure. A total of 25 (89%) absent HCCs received COVID-19 testing (N = 5 positive [20%]; N = 20 negative [80%]) with test results returning in 1-10 days. Eleven (39%) symptomatic HCCs had traveled domestically or internationally in the prior 30 days. CONCLUSION: Emergency departments should anticipate substantial HCC absences during the initial surge of a pandemic. Possible interventions to mitigate absences include early and broad use of PPE, planning for many asymptomatic HCC absences secondary to exposures, prioritizing HCC virus testing, and mandating early travel restrictions.

Impact of frailty and anticoagulation status on readmission and mortality rates following falls in patients over 80.

Falls are the leading cause of trauma-related mortality in geriatric patients. We hypothesized that frailty and anticoagulation status are risk factors for readmission and mortality following falls in patients >80 years. A retrospective review was performed on patients over 80 years old who presented to our level 1 trauma center for a fall and underwent a computed tomography of the head between January 2014 and January 2016. Frailty was assessed via the Rockwood Frailty Score. Clinical outcomes were death, readmission, recurrent falls, and delayed intracranial hemorrhage. Of 803 fall-related encounters, 173 patients over 80 years old were identified for inclusion. The 30-day readmission rate was 17.5% and was associated with an increased 6-month mortality (P = 0.01). One-year and 2-year mortality rates were 28% and 47%, respectively. Frailty was the strongest predictor of 6-month and overall mortality (P < 0.01). Anticoagulation status did not significantly influence these outcomes. The recurrent fall rate was 21%, and delayed intracranial hemorrhage did not occur in this study. Mortality of octogenarians after a fall is most influenced by patient frailty. Acknowledgment of frailty, risk of recurrent falls, and increased mortality should direct goals of care for geriatric trauma patients.

Prognostication of Survival Outcomes in Patients Diagnosed with Glioblastoma.

OBJECTIVE: Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is an aggressive primary brain tumor with dismal survival. This study aims to examine the prognostic value of primary tumor sites and race on survival outcomes. METHODS: Patient data obtained from the Scott and White Hospital Brain Tumor Registry (1976-2013) were stratified according to sex, age, race, primary tumor site, vital status, and survival. RESULTS: Of the 645 patients, 580 (89.9%) were diagnosed with GBM not otherwise specified (GBM NOS), 57 (8.8%) with GBM, and 8 (1.2%) with giant-cell GBM. Most were male (53.5%), aged 50 years or older (78.7%). The white population had the highest GBM prevalence (87.1%) and the lowest overall survival versus all other race groups (6.6% vs. 30.1%; P < 0.01). The black population had a relatively low prevalence of GBM (5.9%) and the greatest overall survival versus all others (47.4% vs. 7.3%; P < 0.01). Primary tumor sites located in the temporal (25.8% vs. 20.2%; P = 0.03), occipital (8.1% vs. 2.9%; P = 0.05), and parietal lobes (24.2% vs. 20.8%; P = 0.05) had a greater occurrence in surviving individuals. The overall survival for men versus women was (62.9% vs. 37.1%; P = 0.12). CONCLUSIONS: Black racial background and temporal, occipital, or parietal primary tumor sites are suggestive of positive survival outcomes. Conversely, white racial background with primary tumor sites in the brain overlapping and NOS areas seem to be associated with negative outcomes and decreased survival. Thus, racial background and primary tumor site may be useful prognostic factors in patients with GBM.

Texas Occurrence of Lyme Disease and Its Neurological Manifestations.

Today, Lyme disease is the most commonly reported tick-borne disease in the United States and Europe. The culprits behind Lyme disease are the Borrelia species of bacteria. In the USA, Borrelia burgdorferi causes the majority of cases, while in Europe and Asia Borrelia afzelii and Borrelia garinii carry the greatest burden of disease. The clinical manifestations of Lyme disease have been identified as early localized, early disseminated, and late chronic. The neurological effects of Lyme disease include both peripheral and central nervous systems involvement, including focal nerve abnormalities, cranial neuropathies, painful radiculoneuritis, meningitis, and/or toxic metabolic encephalopathy, known as Lyme encephalopathy. Given the geographic predominance of Lyme disease in the Northeast and Midwest of the USA, no major studies have been conducted regarding Southern states. Between 2005 and 2014, the Center for Disease Control has reported 582 confirmed cases of Lyme disease in Texas. Because of the potential for increased incidence and prevalence in Texas, it has become essential for research and clinical efforts to be diverted to the region. The Texas A&M College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences Lyme Lab has been investigating the ecology of Lyme disease in Texas and developing a pan-specific serological test for Lyme diagnosis. This report aimed to exposure materials and raise awareness of Lyme disease to healthcare providers.

A retrospective analysis of meningioma in Central Texas.

Documented meningioma cases in Central Texas (USA) from 1976 to 2013 were studied utilizing the Scott & White Brain Tumor Registry. All the cases examined were histologically diagnosed as meningiomas. Of the 372 cases, most were benign tumors (p<0.05). A majority of the patients were females (p<0.05). Elderly individuals (>45years of age) superseded the younger patients in meningioma incidence (p<0.05). Previous data regarding meningioma epidemiology in Texas showed a higher incidence in black patients when compared to white patients. By contrast, this study's findings of Central Texas meningioma demographics show increased incidence of meningiomas in white patients (p<0.05). This interesting find in meningioma prevalence warrants further investigation with a larger sample size, in order to establish validity and further parse out possible causes of meningioma development among white individuals.