Evaluating inter-individual variability captured by the Eleveld pharmacokinetics model.

Inter-individual variability in Pharmacokinetic (PK) and Pharmacodynamic (PD) models significantly affects the accuracy of Target Controlled Infusion and closed-loop control of anesthesia. We hypothesize that the novel Eleveld PK model captures more inter-individual variability relevant to both open-loop and closed-loop control design, resulting in reduced variability in PD models identified using the Eleveld PK model's plasma prediction compared to the Schuttler or Schnider PK model. We used a dataset of propofol infusion rates and Depth of Hypnosis measurements across three demographic groups: elderly, obese, and adult. PD models are identified based on plasma concentration prediction using three PK models (Schuttler, Schnider, and Eleveld). Validation methods are presented to confirm acceptable predictive performance and comparable PK-PD model variability within each demographic group. To test our hypothesis, we compared coefficient variations in step responses for open-loop control and multiplicative uncertainty of PD model sets for closed-loop control. Validated PKPD models using the Schuttler and Schnider PK model showed no significant differences in predictive response and multiplicative uncertainty compared to the Eleveld PK model. The coefficient variations in step responses of PD model sets and the frequency ranges, corresponding to uncertainty below one, were comparable for all three PK models. The comparison of the accumulated coefficient of variation in the step-response and the uncertainty of the PD model sets indicated that the Eleveld PK model does not offer any advantage for the design of open-loop or closed-loop control of anesthesia.

Choosing blood pressure thresholds to inform pregnancy care in the community: An analysis of cluster trials.

OBJECTIVE: To inform digital health design by evaluating diagnostic test properties of antenatal blood pressure (BP) outputs and levels to identify women at risk of adverse outcomes. DESIGN: Planned secondary analysis of cluster randomised trials. SETTING: India, Pakistan, Mozambique. POPULATION: Women with in-community BP measurements and known pregnancy outcomes. METHODS: Blood pressure was defined by its outputs (systolic and/or diastolic, systolic only, diastolic only or mean arterial pressure [calculated]) and level: normotension-1 (<135/85 mmHg), normotension-2 (135-139/85-89 mmHg), non-severe hypertension (140-149/90-99 mmHg; 150-154/100-104 mmHg; 155-159/105-109 mmHg) and severe hypertension (≥160/110 mmHg). Dose-response (adjusted risk ratio [aRR]) and diagnostic test properties (negative [-LR] and positive [+LR] likelihood ratios) were estimated. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Maternal/perinatal composites of mortality/morbidity. RESULTS: Among 21 069 pregnancies, different BP outputs had similar aRR, -LR, and +LR for adverse outcomes. No BP level (even normotension-1) was associated with low risk (all -LR ≥0.20). Across outcomes, risks rose progressively with higher BP levels above normotension-1. For each of maternal central nervous system events and stillbirth, BP ≥155/105 mmHg showed at least good diagnostic test performance (+LR ≥5.0) and BP ≥135/85 mmHg at least fair performance, similar to BP ≥140/90 mmHg (+LR 2.0-4.99). CONCLUSIONS: In the community, normal BP values do not provide reassurance about subsequent adverse outcomes. Given the similar performance of BP cut-offs of 135/85 and 140/90 mmHg for hypertension, and 155/105 and 160/110 mmHg for severe hypertension, digital decision support for women in the community should consider using these lower thresholds.

Measurement Uncertainty in Clinical Validation Studies of Sensors.

Accurate clinical sensors and devices are essential to support optimal medical decision-making, and accuracy can be demonstrated through the conduct of clinical validation studies using validated reference sensors and/or devices for comparison. Typically unmeasurable, the true reference value can be substituted with an accepted physiological measurement with an associated uncertainty. We describe a basic model of measurement uncertainty that specifies the factors that may degrade the accuracy of an observed measurement value from a sensor, and we detail validation study design strategies that may be used to quantify and minimize these uncertainties. In addition, we describe a model that extends the observed measurement uncertainty to the resultant clinical decision and the factors that may impact the uncertainty of this decision. Clinical validation studies should be designed to estimate and minimize uncertainty that is unrelated to the sensor accuracy. The contribution of measurement observation uncertainty to clinical decision-making should be minimized but also acknowledged and incorporated into the clinical decision-making process.

The Effect of Low-Dose Intraoperative Ketamine on Closed-Loop-Controlled General Anesthesia: A Randomized Controlled Equivalence Trial.

BACKGROUND: Closed-loop control of propofol-remifentanil anesthesia using the processed electroencephalography depth-of-hypnosis index provided by the NeuroSENSE monitor (WAVCNS) has been previously described. The purpose of this placebo-controlled study was to evaluate the performance (percentage time within ±10 units of the setpoint during the maintenance of anesthesia) of a closed-loop propofol-remifentanil controller during induction and maintenance of anesthesia in the presence of a low dose of ketamine. METHODS: Following ethical approval and informed consent, American Society of Anesthesiologist (ASA) physical status I-II patients aged 19-54 years, scheduled for elective orthopedic surgery requiring general anesthesia for >60 minutes duration, were enrolled in a double-blind randomized, placebo-controlled, 2-group equivalence trial. Immediately before induction of anesthesia, participants in the ketamine group received a 0.25 mg·kg-1 bolus of intravenous ketamine over 60 seconds followed by a continuous 5 µg·kg-1·min-1 infusion for up to 45 minutes. Participants in the control group received an equivalent volume of normal saline. After the initial study drug bolus, closed-loop induction of anesthesia was initiated; propofol and remifentanil remained under closed-loop control until the anesthetic was tapered and turned off at the anesthesiologist's discretion. An equivalence range of ±8.99% was assumed for comparing controller performance. RESULTS: Sixty patients participated: 41 males, 54 ASA physical status I, with a median (interquartile range [IQR]) age of 29 [23, 38] years and weight of 82 [71, 93] kg. Complete data were available from 29 cases in the ketamine group and 27 in the control group. Percentage time within ±10 units of the WAVCNS setpoint was median [IQR] 86.6% [79.7, 90.2] in the ketamine group and 86.4% [76.5, 89.8] in the control group (median difference, 1.0%; 95% confidence interval [CI] -3.6 to 5.0). Mean propofol dose during maintenance of anesthesia for the ketamine group was higher than for the control group (median difference, 24.9 µg·kg-1·min-1; 95% CI, 6.5-43.1; P = .005). CONCLUSIONS: Because the 95% CI of the difference in controller performance lies entirely within the a priori equivalence range, we infer that this analgesic dose of ketamine did not alter controller performance. Further study is required to confirm the finding that mean propofol dosing was higher in the ketamine group, and to investigate the implication that this dose of ketamine may have affected the WAVCNS.

Effect of ketamine on the NeuroSENSE WAVCNS during propofol anesthesia; a randomized feasibility trial.

Dose-dependent effects of ketamine on processed electroencephalographic depth-of-hypnosis indices have been reported. Limited data are available for the NeuroSENSE WAVCNS index. Our aim was to establish the feasibility of closed-loop propofol-remifentanil anesthesia guided by the WAVCNS index in the presence of an analgesic dose of ketamine. Thirty ASA I-II adults, 18-54 years, requiring general anesthesia for anterior cruciate ligament surgery were randomized to receive: full-dose [ketamine, 0.5 mg kg-1 initial bolus, 10 mcg kg-1 min-1 infusion] (recommended dose for postoperative pain management); half-dose [ketamine, 0.25 mg kg-1 bolus, 5 mcg kg-1 min-1 infusion]; or control [no ketamine]. After the ketamine bolus, patients received 1.0 mcg kg-1 remifentanil over 30 s, then 1.5 mg kg-1 propofol over 30 s, followed by manually-adjusted propofol-remifentanil anesthesia. The WAVCNS was > 60 for 7/9 patients in the full-dose group at 7 min after starting the propofol infusion. This was inconsistent with clinical observations of depth-of-hypnosis and significantly higher than control (median difference [MD] 17.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 11.4-26.8). WAVCNS was median [interquartile range] 49.3 [42.2-62.6] in the half-dose group, and not different to control (MD 5.1, 95% CI - 4.9 to 17.9). During maintenance of anesthesia, the WAVCNS was higher in the full-dose group compared to control (MD 14.7, 95% CI 10.2-19.2) and in the half-dose group compared to control (MD 11.4, 95% CI 4.7-20.4). The full-dose of ketamine recommended for postoperative pain management had a significant effect on the WAVCNS. This effect should be considered when using the WAVCNS to guide propofol-remifentanil dosing.Trial Registration ClinicalTrails.gov No. NCT02908945.

Evaluating NeuroSENSE for assessing depth of hypnosis during desflurane anesthesia: an adaptive, randomized-controlled trial.

PURPOSE: Processed electroencephalography (EEG) monitors support depth-of-hypnosis assessment during anesthesia. This randomized-controlled trial investigated the performance of the NeuroSENSE electroencephalography (EEG) monitor to determine whether its wavelet anesthetic value for central nervous system (WAVCNS) index distinguishes consciousness from unconsciousness during induction of anesthesia (as assessed by the anesthesiologist) and emergence from anesthesia (indicated by patient responsiveness), and whether it correlates with changes in desflurane minimum alveolar concentration (MAC) during maintenance of anesthesia. METHODS: EEG was collected using a fronto-temporal bilateral montage. The WAVCNS was continuously recorded by the NeuroSENSE monitor, to which the anesthesiologist was blinded. Anesthesia was induced with propofol/remifentanil and maintained with desflurane, with randomized changes of -0.4, 0, or +0.4 MAC every 7.5 min within the 0.8-1.6 MAC range, if clinically acceptable to the anesthesiologist. During emergence from anesthesia, desflurane was stepped down by 0.2 MAC every five minutes. RESULTS: Data from 75 patients with a median [interquartile range] age of 41[35-52] yr were obtained. The WAVCNS distinguished consciousness from unconsciousness as assessed by the anesthesiologist, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 99.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 98.5 to 100.0) at loss of consciousness and 99.4% (95% CI, 98.5 to 100.0) at return of consciousness. Bilateral WAVCNS changes correlated with desflurane concentrations, with -8.0 and -8.6 WAVCNS units, respectively, per 1 MAC change in the 0.8-1.6 MAC range during maintenance of anesthesia and -10.0 and -10.5 WAVCNS units, respectively, in the 0.4-1.6 MAC range including emergence from anesthesia. CONCLUSION: The NeuroSENSE monitor can reliably discriminate between consciousness and unconsciousness, as assessed by the anesthesiologist, during induction of anesthesia and with a lower level of reliability during emergence from anesthesia. The WAVCNS correlates with desflurane concentration but plateaus at higher concentrations, similar to other EEG monitors, which suggests limited utility to titrate higher concentrations of anesthetic vapour. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov, NCT02088671; registered 17 March, 2014.

Smart triage: triage and management of sepsis in children using the point-of-care Pediatric Rapid Sepsis Trigger (PRST) tool.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is the leading cause of death and disability in children. Every hour of delay in treatment is associated with an escalating risk of morbidity and mortality. The burden of sepsis is greatest in low- and middle-income countries where timely treatment may not occur due to delays in diagnosis and prioritization of critically ill children. To circumvent these challenges, we propose the development and clinical evaluation of a digital triage tool that will identify high risk children and reduce time to treatment. We will also implement and clinically validate a Radio-Frequency Identification system to automate tracking of patients. The mobile platform (mobile device and dashboard) and automated patient tracking system will create a low cost, highly scalable solution for critically ill children, including those with sepsis. METHODS: This is pre-post intervention study consisting of three phases. Phase I will be a baseline period where data is collected on key predictors and outcomes before implementation of the digital triage tool. In Phase I, there will be no changes to healthcare delivery processes in place at the study hospitals. Phase II will involve model derivation, technology development, and usability testing. Phase III will be the intervention period where data is collected on key predictors and outcomes after implementation of the digital triage tool. The primary outcome, time to treatment initiation, will be compared to assess effectiveness of the digital health intervention. DISCUSSION: Smart technology has the potential to overcome the barrier of limited clinical expertise in the identification of the child at risk. This mobile health platform, with sensors and data-driven applications, will provide real-time individualized risk prediction to rapidly triage patients and facilitate timely access to life-saving treatments for children in low- and middle-income countries, where specialists are not regularly available and deaths from sepsis are common. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinical Trials.gov Identifier: NCT04304235, Registered 11 March 2020.

Design and Evaluation of a Closed-Loop Anesthesia System With Robust Control and Safety System.

BACKGROUND: Closed-loop control of anesthesia involves continual adjustment of drug infusion rates according to measured clinical effect. The NeuroSENSE monitor provides an electroencephalographic measure of depth of hypnosis (wavelet-based anesthetic value for central nervous system monitoring [WAVCNS]). It has previously been used as feedback for closed-loop control of propofol, in a system designed using robust control engineering principles, which implements features specifically designed to ensure patient safety. Closed-loop control of a second drug, remifentanil, may be added to improve WAVCNS stability in the presence of variable surgical stimulation. The objective of this study was to design and evaluate the feasibility of a closed-loop system for robust control of propofol and remifentanil infusions using WAVCNS feedback, with an infusion safety system based on the known pharmacological characteristics of these 2 drugs. METHODS: With Health Canada authorization, research ethics board approval, and informed consent, American Society of Anesthesiologists I-III adults, requiring general anesthesia for elective surgery, were enrolled in a 2-phase study. In both phases, infusion of propofol was controlled in closed loop during induction and maintenance of anesthesia, using WAVCNS feedback, but bounded by upper- and lower-estimated effect-site concentration limits. In phase I, remifentanil was administered using an adjustable target-controlled infusion and a controller was designed based on the collected data. In phase II, remifentanil was automatically titrated to counteract rapid increases in WAVCNS. RESULTS: Data were analyzed for 127 patients, of median (range) age 64 (22-86) years, undergoing surgical procedures lasting 105 (9-348) minutes, with 52 participating in phase I and 75 in phase II. The overall control performance indicator, global score, was a median (interquartile range) 18.3 (14.2-27.7) in phase I and 14.6 (11.6-20.7) in phase II (median difference, -3.25; 95% confidence interval, -6.35 to -0.52). The WAVCNS was within ±10 of the setpoint for 84.3% (76.6-90.6) of the maintenance of anesthesia in phase I and 88.2% (83.1-93.4) in phase II (median difference, 3.7; 95% confidence interval, 0.1-6.9). The lower propofol safety bound was activated during 30 of 52 (58%) cases in phase I and 51 of 75 (68%) cases in phase II. CONCLUSIONS: Adding closed-loop control of remifentanil improved overall controller performance. This controller design offers a robust method to optimize the control of 2 drugs using a single sensor. The infusion safety system is an important component of a robust automated anesthesia system, but further research is required to determine the optimal constraints for these safe conditions.

Feasibility of continuous sedation monitoring in critically ill intensive care unit patients using the NeuroSENSE WAVCNS index.

Sedation in the intensive care unit (ICU) is challenging, as both over- and under-sedation are detrimental. Current methods of assessment, such as the Richmond Agitation Sedation Scale (RASS), are measured intermittently and rely on patients' behavioral response to stimulation, which may interrupt sleep/rest. A non-stimulating method for continuous sedation monitoring may be beneficial and allow more frequent assessment. Processed electroencephalography (EEG) monitors have not been routinely adopted in the ICU. The aim of this observational study was to assess the feasibility of using the NeuroSENSE™ monitor for EEG-based continuous sedation assessment. With ethical approval, ICU patients on continuous propofol sedation were recruited. Depth-of-hypnosis index (WAVCNS) values were obtained from the NeuroSENSE. Bedside nurses, blinded to the NeuroSENSE, performed regular RASS assessments and maintained the sedation regimen as per standard of care. Participants were monitored throughout the duration of their propofol infusion, up to 24 h. Fifteen patients, with median [interquartile range] age of 57 [52-62.5] years were each monitored for a duration of 9.0 [5.7-20.1] h. Valid WAVCNS values were obtained for 89% [66-99] of monitoring time and were widely distributed within and between individuals, with 6% [1-31] spent < 40 (very deep), and 3% [1-15] spent > 90 (awake). Significant EEG suppression was detected in 3/15 (20%) participants. Observed RASS matched RASS goals in 36/89 (40%) assessments. The WAVCNS variability, and incidence of EEG suppression, highlight the limitations of using RASS as a standalone sedation measure, and suggests potential benefit of adjunct continuous brain monitoring.

A delayed functional observer/predictor with bounded-error for depth of hypnosis monitoring.

With the motivation of providing safety for a patient under anesthesia, this paper suggests conditions for evaluating the correctness of an available user interface for systems under shared control based on observability and predictability requirements. Situation awareness is necessary for the user to make correct decisions about the inputs. In this article, we develop a technique to investigate the conditions under which an anesthetists can attain situation awareness about a limited but important aspect of anesthesia, namely depth of hypnosis (DOH). Furthermore, we consider that, in practice, to attain situation awareness, the estimation of the task states does not necessarily need to be precise but can be bounded within certain margins. Hence, attaining situation awareness about DOH is modeled as a bounded-error delayed functional observation/prediction. Unless such an observer/predictor exists for a system with a given user-interface, the safety of the operation may be compromised. The suggested technique proves that, in order to provide safety for the patient under anesthesia, it is necessary for the anesthetist to have access to the predictive information from a clinical decision support system.