RESUMEN
Time-to-event prediction is a key task for biological discovery, experimental medicine, and clinical care. This is particularly true for neurological diseases where development of reliable biomarkers is often limited by difficulty visualising and sampling relevant cell and molecular pathobiology. To date, much work has relied on Cox regression because of ease-of-use, despite evidence that this model includes incorrect assumptions. We have implemented a set of deep learning and spline models for time-to-event modelling within a fully customizable 'app' and accompanying online portal, both of which can be used for any time-to-event analysis in any disease by a non-expert user. Our online portal includes capacity for end-users including patients, Neurology clinicians, and researchers, to access and perform predictions using a trained model, and to contribute new data for model improvement, all within a data-secure environment. We demonstrate a pipeline for use of our app with three use-cases including imputation of missing data, hyperparameter tuning, model training and independent validation. We show that predictions are optimal for use in downstream applications such as genetic discovery, biomarker interpretation, and personalised choice of medication. We demonstrate the efficiency of an ensemble configuration, including focused training of a deep learning model. We have optimised a pipeline for imputation of missing data in combination with time-to-event prediction models. Overall, we provide a powerful and accessible tool to develop, access and share time-to-event prediction models; all software and tutorials are available at www.predictte.org.
RESUMEN
Gastric cancer (GC) is the fifth most common type of cancer worldwide with high incidences in Asia, Central, and South American countries. This patchy distribution means that GC studies are neglected by large research centers from developed countries. The need for further understanding of this complex disease, including the local importance of epidemiological factors and the rich ancestral admixture found in Brazil, stimulated the implementation of the GE4GAC project. GE4GAC aims to embrace epidemiological, clinical, molecular and microbiological data from Brazilian controls and patients with malignant and pre-malignant gastric disease. In this letter, we summarize the main goals of the project, including subject and sample accrual and current findings