Effect of Colonoscopy Screening on Risks of Colorectal Cancer and Related Death.

BACKGROUND: Although colonoscopy is widely used as a screening test to detect colorectal cancer, its effect on the risks of colorectal cancer and related death is unclear. METHODS: We performed a pragmatic, randomized trial involving presumptively healthy men and women 55 to 64 years of age drawn from population registries in Poland, Norway, Sweden, and the Netherlands between 2009 and 2014. The participants were randomly assigned in a 1:2 ratio either to receive an invitation to undergo a single screening colonoscopy (the invited group) or to receive no invitation or screening (the usual-care group). The primary end points were the risks of colorectal cancer and related death, and the secondary end point was death from any cause. RESULTS: Follow-up data were available for 84,585 participants in Poland, Norway, and Sweden - 28,220 in the invited group, 11,843 of whom (42.0%) underwent screening, and 56,365 in the usual-care group. A total of 15 participants had major bleeding after polyp removal. No perforations or screening-related deaths occurred within 30 days after colonoscopy. During a median follow-up of 10 years, 259 cases of colorectal cancer were diagnosed in the invited group as compared with 622 cases in the usual-care group. In intention-to-screen analyses, the risk of colorectal cancer at 10 years was 0.98% in the invited group and 1.20% in the usual-care group, a risk reduction of 18% (risk ratio, 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.70 to 0.93). The risk of death from colorectal cancer was 0.28% in the invited group and 0.31% in the usual-care group (risk ratio, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.64 to 1.16). The number needed to invite to undergo screening to prevent one case of colorectal cancer was 455 (95% CI, 270 to 1429). The risk of death from any cause was 11.03% in the invited group and 11.04% in the usual-care group (risk ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.04). CONCLUSIONS: In this randomized trial, the risk of colorectal cancer at 10 years was lower among participants who were invited to undergo screening colonoscopy than among those who were assigned to no screening. (Funded by the Research Council of Norway and others; NordICC ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00883792.).

Cause-specific excess mortality in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden during the COVID-19 pandemic 2020-2022: a study using nationwide population data.

While there is substantial evidence on excess mortality in the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic, no study has conducted a cause-specific analysis of excess mortality for the whole period 2020-2022 across multiple countries. We examined cause-specific excess mortality during 2020-2022 in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden-four countries with similar demographics and welfare provisions, which implemented different pandemic response policies. To this end, we utilized nationwide register-based information on annual cause-specific deaths stratified by age and sex, and applied linear regression models to predict mortality in 2020-2022 based on the reference period 2010-2019. Excess deaths were obtained by contrasting actual and expected deaths. Additional analyses employed standardization to a common population, as well as population adjustments to account for previous deaths. Our results showed that, besides deaths due to COVID-19 (a total of 32,491 during 2020-2022), all countries experienced excess deaths due to cardiovascular diseases (in total 11,610 excess deaths), and under-mortality due to respiratory diseases other than COVID-19 (in total 9878) and dementia (in total 8721). The excess mortality due to cardiovascular diseases was particularly pronounced in Finland and Norway in 2022, and the under-mortality due to dementia was particularly pronounced in Sweden in 2021-2022. In conclusion, while COVID-19 deaths emerge as the most apparent consequence of the pandemic, our findings suggest that mortality has also been influenced by substitutions between different causes of death and over time, as well as indirect consequences of COVID-19 infection and pandemic responses-albeit to different extents in the different countries.

Validation of IgA nephropathy diagnosis in the Swedish Renal Registry.

AIM: The Swedish Renal Registry (SRR) is a unique national quality registry that monitors the clinical trajectory of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We have validated the biopsy data registered in the SRR for IgA Nephropathy (IgAN) diagnosis. METHODS: In total 25% of all patients (n = 142), registered with IgAN in the SRR after having performed a kidney biopsy during 2015-2019, were randomly selected. We obtained original biopsy and medical records for 139 (98%) patients. We evaluated the IgAN diagnosis using a standardized template, calculated its positive predictive value (PPV) with 95% confidence interval (CI) and reported clinical features at the time of diagnosis. RESULTS: A histological and clinical diagnosis of IgAN was confirmed in 132 of the 139 patients, yielding a PPV of 95% (95% CI 90-98%). Median age was 46 years (range: 18-85) and the male:female ratio was 2.1:1. The median creatinine level was 123 µmol/L, with a corresponding estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) level of 51 mL/min/1.73m2. Histological features of IgA deposits were seen in all patients, hypercellularity in 102/132 (77.2%), C3 deposits in 98/132 (72.4%) and C1q deposits in 27/132 (20.5%) of the cases. CONCLUSION: Validating data is not research per se, but continuous validation of medical registries is an important feature necessary to ensure reliable data and the foundation of good epidemiological data for future research. Our validation showed a high PPV (95%) for IgAN diagnosis registered in the SRR. Clinical characteristics were consistent with previous reports. The biopsy data in the SRR will be a valuable resource in future IgAN research.

Excess mortality in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden during the COVID-19 pandemic 2020-2022.

BACKGROUND: The Nordic countries represent a unique case study for the COVID-19 pandemic due to socioeconomic and cultural similarities, high-quality comparable administrative register data and notable differences in mitigation policies during the pandemic. We aimed to compare weekly excess mortality in the Nordic countries across the three full pandemic years 2020-2022. METHODS: Using data on weekly all-cause mortality from official administrative registers in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden, we employed time series regression models to assess mortality developments within each pandemic year, with the period 2010-2019 used as reference period. We then compared excess mortality across the countries in 2020-2022, taking differences in population size and age- and sex-distribution into account. Results were age- and sex-standardized to the Danish population of 2020. Robustness was examined with a variety of sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: While Sweden experienced excess mortality in 2020 [75 excess deaths per 100 000 population (95% prediction interval 29-122)], Denmark, Finland and Norway experienced excess mortality in 2022 [52 (14-90), 130 (83-177) and 88 (48-128), respectively]. Weekly death data reveal how mortality started to increase in mid-2021 in Denmark, Finland and Norway, and continued above the expected level through 2022. CONCLUSION: Although the Nordic countries experienced relatively low pandemic excess mortality, the impact and timing of excess mortality differed substantially. These estimates-arguably the most accurate available for any region in capturing pandemic-related excess deaths-may inform future research and policy regarding the complex mortality dynamics in times of a health crisis such as the COVID-19 pandemic.

Association of inflammatory bowel disease in first-degree relatives with risk of colorectal cancer: A nationwide case-control study in Sweden.

This study aims to assess the association between inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) history in first-degree relatives (FDRs) and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. We conducted a nationwide case-control study in Sweden among 69 659 CRC cases and 343 032 non-CRC controls matched on age, sex, birth year and residence county. Through linkage of multi-generation register and the nationwide ESPRESSO (Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden) cohort, we ascertained IBD diagnoses among parents, full siblings and offspring of the index individuals. Odds ratios (ORs) of CRC associated with IBD family history were calculated using conditional logistic regression. 2.2% of both CRC cases (1566/69659) and controls (7676/343027) had ≥1 FDR with IBD history. After adjusting for family history of CRC, we observed no increased risk of CRC in FDRs of IBD patients (OR, 0.96; 95%CI, 0.91-1.02). The null association was consistent according to IBD subtype (Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis), number of FDRs with IBD (1 or ≥ 2), age at first IBD diagnosis in FDRs (<18, 18-39, 40-59 or ≥60 years), maximum location/extent of IBD or FDR relation (parent, sibling or offspring). The null association remained for early-onset CRC (diagnosed at age <50 years). In conclusion, IBD history in FDRs was not associated with an increased risk of CRC. Our findings suggest that extra screening for CRC may not be needed in the offspring, siblings or parents of IBD patients, and strengthen the theory that it is the actual inflammation or atypia of the colon in IBD patients that confers the increased CRC risk.

Appendectomy and Future Risk of Microscopic Colitis: A Population-Based Case-Control Study in Sweden.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Microscopic colitis (MC) is an inflammatory bowel disease and a common cause of chronic diarrhea. Appendectomy has been suggested to have immunomodulating effects in the colon, influencing the risk of gastrointestinal disease. The relationship between appendectomy and MC has only been sparsely studied. METHODS: This was a case-control study based on the nationwide ESPRESSO (Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden) cohort, consisting of histopathological examinations in Sweden, linked to national registers. Patients with MC were matched to population controls by age, sex, calendar year of biopsy, and county of residence. Data on antecedent appendectomy and comorbidities were retrieved from the Patient Register. Unconditional logistic regression models were conducted presenting odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted for country of birth and matching factors. Further subanalyses were made based on MC subtypes (lymphocytic colitis and collagenous colitis), follow-up time postappendectomy and severity of appendicitis. RESULTS: The study included 14,520 cases of MC and 69,491 controls, among these 7.6% (n = 1103) and 5.1% (n = 3510), respectively, had a previous appendectomy ≥1 year prior to MC or matching date. Patients with a previous appendectomy had an increased risk of MC in total (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.40-1.61) and per the collagenous colitis subtype (OR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.48-1.88) or lymphocytic colitis subtype (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.30-1.55). The risk remained elevated throughout follow-up, and the highest risk was observed in noncomplicated appendicitis. CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide case-control study found a modestly increased risk of developing MC following appendectomy.

Hospitalizations and severe complications following acute sinusitis in general practice: a registry-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate complication rates of acute sinusitis in general practice, and whether antibiotic prescribing had an impact on complication rate. METHODS: All adult patients diagnosed with sinusitis in Norwegian general practice between 1 July 2012 and 30 June 2019 were included. GP consultation data from the Norwegian Control and Payment for Health Reimbursements Database were linked with antibiotic prescriptions (Norwegian Prescription Database) and hospital admissions (Norwegian Patient Registry). Main outcomes were sinusitis-related hospitalizations and severe complications within 30 days. Logistic regression was used to estimate associations between antibiotic prescriptions, prespecified risk factors, individual GP prescribing quintile, and outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 711 069 episodes of acute sinusitis in 415 781 patients were identified. During the study period, both annual episode rate (from 30.2 to 21.2 per 1000 inhabitants) and antibiotic prescription rate (63.3% to 46.5%; P < 0.001) decreased. Yearly hospitalization rate was stable at 10.0 cases per 10 000 sinusitis episodes and the corresponding rate of severe complications was 3.2, with no yearly change (P = 0.765). Antibiotic prescribing was associated with increased risk of hospitalization [adjusted OR 1.8 (95% CI 1.5-2.1)] but not with severe complications. Individual GP prescribing quintile was not associated with any of the outcomes, whereas risk factors such as previous drug abuse, or head injury, skull surgery or malformations, and being immunocompromised were significantly associated with increased risk of both outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Severe complications of acute sinusitis were rare and no protective effect of high prescribing practice among GPs was found. Recommendations to further reduce antibiotic prescribing are generally encouraged, except for high-risk groups.

Target trial emulation of aspirin after diagnosis of colorectal polyps.

BACKGOUND AND AIMS: Previous research on the potential chemoprotective effect of aspirin for colorectal cancer (CRC) shows conflicting results. We aimed to emulate a trial of aspirin intiation in individuals with incident polyps. METHODS: We identified individuals registered with their first colorectal polyp in the nationwide gastrointestinal ESPRESSO histopathology cohort in Sweden. Individuals aged 45-79 years diagnosed with colorectal polyps 2006-2016 in Sweden without CRC or contraindications for preventive aspirin (cerebrovascular disease, heart failure, aortic aneurysms, pulmonary emboli, myocardial infarction, gastric ulcer, dementia, liver cirrhosis, or any other metastatic cancer) registered until the month of first polyp detection were eligible. Using duplication and inverse probability weighting, we emulated a target trial of aspirin initiation within 2 years of initial polyp detection. The main outcome measures were incident CRC, CRC mortality and all-cause mortality registered until 2019. RESULTS: Of 31,633 individuals meeting our inclusion criteria, 1716 (5%) initiated aspirin within 2 years of colon polyp diagnosis. Median follow-up was 8.07 years. The 10-year cumulative incidence in initiators versus non-initiators was 6% versus 8% for CRC incidence, 1% versus 1% for CRC mortality and 21% versus 18% for all-cause mortality. The corresponding hazard ratios were 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 95%CI = 0.86-0.90), 0.90 (95%CI = 0.75-1.06) and 1.18 (95%CI = 1.12-1.24). CONCLUSION: Aspirin initiation in individuals with polyp removal was linked to 2% lower cumulative incidence of CRC after 10 years but did not alter CRC mortality. We also observed a 4% increased risk difference of all-cause mortality at 10 years after the initiation of aspirin.

Cancer Risk in 47,241 Individuals With Celiac Disease: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Celiac disease (CD) is associated with increased mortality, in part due to cancer. Most studies investigating this cancer risk involved patients diagnosed before widespread increases in CD diagnosis rates and access to gluten-free food. We performed a population-based study of the risk of cancer in CD. METHODS: We identified all patients in Sweden with CD as defined as duodenal/jejunal villus atrophy, using the Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden cohort. Each patient was matched to ≤5 controls by age, sex, and county. We used stratified Cox proportional hazards model, following patients from diagnosis until first cancer, or by December 31, 2016. RESULTS: Among 47,241 patients with CD, 30,080 (64%) were diagnosed since 2000. After a median follow-up of 11.5 years, the incidence of cancer was 6.5 and 5.7 per 1000 person-years in CD patients and controls, respectively. The overall risk of cancer was increased (hazard ratio [HR], 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.15), but it was only significantly elevated in the first year after CD diagnosis (HR, 2.47; 95% CI, 2.22-2.74) and not subsequently (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.97-1.05), although the risks of hematologic, lymphoproliferative, hepatobiliary, and pancreatic cancers persisted. The overall risk was highest in those diagnosed with CD after age 60 years (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.16-1.29) and was not increased in those diagnosed before age 40. The cancer risk was similar among those diagnosed with CD before or after the year 2000. CONCLUSIONS: There is an increased risk of cancer in CD even in recent years, but this risk increase is confined to those diagnosed with CD after age 40 and is primarily present within the first year of diagnosis.

Cancer risk in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy: a Swedish population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is the most common primary glomerulonephritis affecting all ages and both sexes, but there is a lack of studies on its association with cancer and whether it is a paramalignant condition. METHODS: In a Swedish population-based cohort study we compared the risk of cancer among 3882 biopsy-verified IgAN patients diagnosed during 1974-2011 with 19 341 reference individuals and followed them until 2015. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for cancer in IgAN patients versus controls and conditional logistic regression assessed the risk of cancer before the IgAN was confirmed. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 12.6 years, 488 (12.6%) patients with IgAN and 1783 (9.2%) matched reference individuals were diagnosed with cancer {HR 1.70 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.52-1.89]}. The increased risk was only seen in IgAN patients developing end-stage renal disease (ESRD), with an HR of 4.01 (95% CI 3.33-4.82) for any cancer and HR of 2.22 (95% CI 1.79-2.75) when excluding non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC). Non-ESRD IgAN patients did not have an increased overall cancer risk [HR 1.13 (95% CI 0.99-1.30)]. There was no increased risk of cancer preceding an IgAN diagnosis [odds ratio 1.10 (95% CI 0.92-1.32)]. CONCLUSIONS: We found no support for IgAN being a paramalignant condition. There was an increased risk of cancer in IgAN patients, but only for those with ESRD. Our results indicate ∼6 extra cancer cases per 100 IgAN patients with ESRD per 10 years, or >17 extra cases if including NMSC as well.

Emergency hospital admissions, prognosis, and population mortality in Norway during the first wave of the Covid-19 epidemic.

BACKGROUND: During the first wave of the Covid-19 epidemic, a national lockdown was established in Norway, and inhabitants were asked to contact healthcare only if absolutely necessary. We investigated hospital admissions and mortality due to non-Covid-19 disease during the lockdown compared to previous years. METHODS: We compared the number of emergency admissions and in-hospital fatality for diagnoses probably unaffected (acute myocardial infarction, acute abdominal conditions, cerebrovascular diseases) and affected by the lockdown (infections, injuries) in the South-Eastern Health Region of Norway during weeks 12-22, 2020, compared to the mean of the same period in the years 2017-2019. We also compared population mortality March-May 2020, to the mean of the same period in years 2017-2019. RESULTS: A total of 280,043 emergency admissions were observed; 20,911 admissions probably unaffected, and 30,905 admissions probably affected by the lockdown. Admissions due to diagnoses probably unaffected was reduced by 12% (95% confidence interval (CI) 9-15%), compared to 2017-2019. Admissions for diagnoses probably affected was reduced by 30% (95% CI 28-32%). There was a 34% reduction in in-hospital fatality due to acute myocardial infarction (95% CI 4-56%), 19% due to infections (95% CI 1-33%), and no change for the other diagnoses, compared to 2017-2019. The risk of in-hospital mortality to total mortality was lower for acute myocardial infarction (relative risk 0.85, 95% CI 0.73-0.99) and injuries (relative risk 0.83, 95% CI 0.70-0.98). CONCLUSIONS: Even though fewer patients were admitted to hospital, there was no increase in in-hospital fatality or population mortality, indicating that those who were most in need still received adequate care.

Mortality in Norway and Sweden during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Background: Norway and Sweden are similar countries in terms of socioeconomics and health care. Norway implemented extensive COVID-19 measures, such as school closures and lockdowns, whereas Sweden did not. Aims: To compare mortality in Norway and Sweden, two similar countries with very different mitigation measures against COVID-19. Methods: Using real-world data from national registries, we compared all-cause and COVID-19-related mortality rates with 95% confidence intervals (CI) per 100,000 person-weeks and mortality rate ratios (MRR) comparing the five preceding years (2015-2019) with the pandemic year (2020) in Norway and Sweden. Results: In Norway, all-cause mortality was stable from 2015 to 2019 (mortality rate 14.6-15.1 per 100,000 person-weeks; mean mortality rate 14.9) and was lower in 2020 than from 2015 to 2019 (mortality rate 14.4; MRR 0.97; 95% CI 0.96-0.98). In Sweden, all-cause mortality was stable from 2015 to 2018 (mortality rate 17.0-17.8; mean mortality rate 17.1) and similar to that in 2020 (mortality rate 17.6), but lower in 2019 (mortality rate 16.2). Compared with the years 2015-2019, all-cause mortality in the pandemic year was 3% higher due to the lower rate in 2019 (MRR 1.03; 95% CI 1.02-1.04). Excess mortality was confined to people aged ⩾70 years in Sweden compared with previous years. The COVID-19-associated mortality rates per 100,000 person-weeks during the first wave of the pandemic were 0.3 in Norway and 2.9 in Sweden. Conclusions: All-cause mortality in 2020 decreased in Norway and increased in Sweden compared with previous years. The observed excess deaths in Sweden during the pandemic may, in part, be explained by mortality displacement due to the low all-cause mortality in the previous year.

Inflammatory Bowel Disease Is More Common in Patients with IgA Nephropathy and Predicts Progression of ESKD: A Swedish Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Case reports suggest an association between inflammatory bowel disease, a chronic autoimmune condition linked to increased circulating IgA levels, and IgA nephropathy, the most common form of primary GN and a leading cause of ESKD. METHODS: In a Swedish population-based cohort study, we compared 3963 biopsy-verified IgA nephropathy patients with 19,978 matched controls between 1974 and 2011, following up participants until 2015. Inflammatory bowel disease data and ESKD status were obtained through national medical registers. We applied Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for future inflammatory bowel disease in IgA nephropathy and conditional logistic regression to assess risk of earlier inflammatory bowel disease in IgA nephropathy. We also explored whether inflammatory bowel disease affects development of ESKD in IgA nephropathy. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 12.6 years, 196 (4.95%) patients with IgA nephropathy and 330 (1.65%) matched controls developed inflammatory bowel disease (adjusted HR, 3.29; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 2.73 to 3.96). Inflammatory bowel disease also was more common before a confirmed IgA nephropathy diagnosis. Some 103 (2.53%) IgA nephropathy patients had an earlier inflammatory bowel disease diagnosis compared with 220 (1.09%) controls (odds ratio [OR], 2.37; 95% CI, 1.87 to 3.01). Both logistic regression (OR, 2.60; 95% CI, 2.02 to 3.35) and time-varying Cox regression (HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.33 to 2.55) demonstrated that inflammatory bowel disease was associated with increased ESKD risk in patients with IgA nephropathy. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with IgA nephropathy have an increased risk of inflammatory bowel disease both before and after their nephropathy diagnosis. In addition, among patients with IgA nephropathy, comorbid inflammatory bowel disease elevates the risk of progression to ESKD.

Antibiotic Use Associated With Risk of Colorectal Polyps in a Nationwide Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Use of antibiotics affects the composition of the microbiome and might affect development of colorectal polyps, which are precursors to colorectal cancer. METHODS: We performed a nested case-control study in Sweden of 45,744 patients with a colorectal polyp (cases) in the nationwide gastrointestinal ESPRESSO histopathology cohort, using unaffected full siblings as controls (n = 93,307). Polyps were classified by morphology SnoMed codes into conventional adenomas and serrated polyps. Through linkage to the Prescribed Drug Register, we assessed use and cumulative dispensations of antibiotic until 1 year prior to polyp diagnosis for cases and their sibling controls. RESULTS: During a median study period of 6.9 years, compared with non-users, users of antibiotics (including 28,884 cases [63.1%] and 53,222 sibling controls [57.0%]) had a higher risk of colorectal polyps (odds ratio [OR], 1.08; 95% CI, 1.04-1.13). Risk increased with higher number of dispensations (OR for ≥ 6 dispensations, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.25-1.43) (Ptrend < .0001). We observed a stronger association with polyps for broad-spectrum antibiotics (OR comparing users to non-users, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.18-1.29) than for narrow-spectrum antibiotics (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.10), and for tetracyclines and quinolones (OR, 1.21) than penicillin and other classes (ORs ranged from 1.04 to 1.16). The findings remained robust with several sensitivity analyses, including use of a 2-year lead-in period for antibiotic assessment and correction for misclassification in controls. Use of broad-spectrum antibiotics was more strongly associated with risk of serrated polyps (OR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.21-1.38) compared with risk of conventional adenomas (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.11-1.24). We found no differences in risk of colon vs rectal polyps with antibiotic use (Pheterogeneity > .10). We found stronger associations for younger (<50 years) vs older adults (≥50 years) for users of quinolones, sulfonamides, trimethoprim, and cephalosporins (Pinteraction < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In a nationwide case-control study in Sweden, after accounting for hereditary and early life environmental factors, antibiotic use was associated with increased risk of colorectal polyps. Our findings indicate a role for intestinal dysbiosis in early stages of colorectal carcinogenesis.

Risk of Small Bowel Adenocarcinoma, Adenomas, and Carcinoids in a Nationwide Cohort of Individuals With Celiac Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The incidence of small bowel cancers is increasing. Associations have been made between celiac disease (CD) and small bowel cancers, but there have been no detailed studies of large cohorts. METHODS: Through the nationwide Epidemiology Strengthened by Histopathology Reports in Sweden cohort study, we retrieved data from Sweden's 28 pathology departments on all individuals who received a diagnosis of CD from 1965 through 2017. Individuals with CD, defined as duodenal or jejunal villous atrophy (stage 3 Marsh score), were matched with as many as 5 randomly selected reference individuals from the general population. We used stratified Cox regression to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for small bowel adenocarcinoma, adenomas, and carcinoids. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11 years, we identified 48,119 individuals with CD (patients) and 239,249 reference individuals. Beginning at 1 year after a diagnosis of CD, 29 patients (0.06%) received a diagnosis of small bowel adenocarcinoma vs 45 reference individuals (0.02%), 7 patients received a diagnosis of carcinoids vs 31 reference individuals, and 48 patients received a diagnosis of adenomas vs 50 reference individuals. Corresponding HRs were small bowel adenocarcinoma 3.05 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.86-4.99), carcinoids 0.59 (95% CI, 0.16-2.10), and adenomas 5.73 (95% CI, 3.70-8.88). HRs were independent of sex and age. Overall, there was 1 extra case of small bowel adenocarcinoma in every 2944 patients with CD followed for 10 years. There was an inverse association between mucosal healing risk of future small bowel adenocarcinoma (HR, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.02-1.61), although the HR failed to attain statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: In an analysis of a nationwide pathology database in Sweden, we found the absolute risk of small bowel adenocarcinoma is low in individuals with CD. However, risks of small bowel adenocarcinoma and adenomas (but not carcinoids) are significantly increased in people with CD compared to people without this disease.

Psychiatric Disorders in Patients With a Diagnosis of Celiac Disease During Childhood From 1973 to 2016.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Few studies have explored the link between childhood celiac disease and long-term psychiatric comorbidities. We performed a population-based cohort study of associations between childhood celiac disease and psychiatric disorders and investigated whether risk persists into adulthood. METHODS: We performed a nationwide study in Sweden using data from the Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden cohort. In this cohort, 19,186 children with a diagnosis of biopsy-verified celiac disease from 1973 through 2016 were identified from Sweden's 28 pathology departments. Each patient was matched with as many as 5 reference children (controls, n = 94,249). Data on psychiatric disorders were obtained from the patient register. We used Cox proportional modeling to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 12.3 years, 3174 children (16.5%) with celiac disease received a new diagnosis of a psychiatric disorder, compared with 13,286 controls (14.1%). Corresponding incidence rates were 12.2 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 11.8-12.7) vs 10.3 per 1000 person-years (95% Cl, 10.2-10.5). Childhood celiac disease was associated with a 19% increase in risk of any psychiatric disorder (95% CI, 1.14-1.23); the increase in risk was observed in all childhood age groups. The highest HRs were seen in the first year after celiac diagnosis (HR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.41-2.05). The risk increase persisted into adulthood (age, >18 y: HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.04-1.17). We found increased risks of mood disorders (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.12-1.28), anxiety disorders (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.06-1.19), eating disorders (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.18-1.51), attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.20-1.39), and autism spectrum disorder (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.32-1.64). We found no statistically significant risk increase for psychotic disorders, psychoactive substance misuse, behavioral disorders, personality disorders, suicide attempt, or suicide. Celiac disease also was linked to an increased use of psychiatric drugs (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.24-1.43). A conditional logistic regression found that psychiatric disorders also were more common before a diagnosis of celiac disease (odds ratio, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.39-1.76). CONCLUSIONS: Childhood celiac disease is associated with an increased risk of subsequent psychiatric disorders, which persists into adulthood. Mental health surveillance should be integral in the care of celiac disease.

Long-Term Incidence and Mortality of Colorectal Cancer After Endoscopic Biopsy With Normal Mucosa: A Swedish-Matched Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Endoscopic screening reduces colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality. Individuals with a negative result are recommended to undergo rescreening within a 10-year interval, but evidence supporting this advice is limited. METHODS: We performed a matched cohort study using prospectively collected data from 88,798 individuals in Sweden with normal mucosa at the first colorectal biopsy (aged ≥50 years) in the nationwide gastrointestinal epidemiology strengthened by histopathology reports (ESPRESSO) (1965-2016) and 424,150 matched reference individuals from the general population. Cox proportional hazards regression estimated multivariable hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of CRC incidence and mortality of incident CRCs up to 44 years of follow-up. RESULTS: In the normal biopsy and reference groups, respectively, the 20-year incidences of CRC were 3.03% and 4.53% and the 20-year mortalities of incident CRC were 0.89% and 1.54%. The multivariable hazard ratio comparing the normal biopsy and reference groups was 0.62 for CRC incidence (95% CI = 0.58-0.66, P < 0.001) and 0.56 for mortality of incident CRC (95% CI = 0.49-0.64, P < 0.001). When assessed by time interval after biopsy, lower CRC incidence and mortality were observed throughout the follow-up. The association seemed weaker for proximal colon cancer than for rectal and distal colon cancer. DISCUSSION: A normal colorectal biopsy was associated with lower CRC incidence and mortality for at least 20 years after the examination. Our findings confirm previous data and suggest that the screening intervals after a normal colonoscopy could be longer than the commonly recommended 10 years. It may be time to open the discussion for a revision of the international guidelines.

The COVID-19 pandemic in Norway and Sweden - threats, trust, and impact on daily life: a comparative survey.

BACKGROUND: Norway and Sweden have similar populations and health care systems, but different reactions to the COVID-19 pandemic. Norway closed educational institutions, and banned sports and cultural activities; Sweden kept most institutions and training facilities open. We aimed to compare peoples' attitudes towards authorities and control measures, and perceived impact of the pandemic and implemented control measures on life in Norway and Sweden. METHODS: Anonymous web-based surveys for individuals age 15 or older distributed through Facebook using the snowball method, in Norway and Sweden from mid-March to mid-April, 2020. The survey contained questions about perceived threat of the pandemic, views on infection control measures, and impact on daily life. We performed descriptive analyses of the responses and compared the two countries. RESULTS: 3508 individuals participated in the survey (Norway 3000; Sweden 508). 79% were women, the majority were 30-49 years (Norway 60%; Sweden 47%), and about 45% of the participants in both countries had more than 4 years of higher education. Participants had high trust in the health services, but differed in the degree of trust in their government (High trust in Norway 17%; Sweden 37%). More Norwegians than Swedes agreed that school closure was a good measure (Norway 66%; Sweden 18%), that countries with open schools were irresponsible (Norway 65%; Sweden 23%), and that the threat from repercussions of the mitigation measures were large or very large (Norway 71%; Sweden 56%). Both countries had a high compliance with infection preventive measures (> 98%). Many lived a more sedentary life (Norway 69%; Sweden 50%) and ate more (Norway 44%; Sweden 33%) during the pandemic. CONCLUSION: Sweden had more trust in the authorities, while Norwegians reported a more negative lifestyle during the pandemic. The level of trust in the health care system and self-reported compliance with preventive measures was high in both countries despite the differences in infection control measures.

Mortality From Postscreening (Interval) Colorectal Cancers Is Comparable to That From Cancer in Unscreened Patients-A Randomized Sigmoidoscopy Trial.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Endoscopic screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) is performed at longer time intervals than the fecal occult blood test or screenings for breast or prostate cancer. This causes concerns about interval cancers, which have been proposed to progress more rapidly. We compared outcomes of patients with interval CRCs after sigmoidoscopy screening vs outcomes of patients with CRC who had not been screened. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of a randomized sigmoidoscopy screening trial in Norway with 98,684 participants (age range, 50-64 years) who were randomly assigned to groups that were (n = 20,552) or were not (n = 78,126) invited for sigmoidoscopy screening from 1999 through 2001; participants were followed up for a median 14.8 years. We compared CRC mortality and all-cause mortality between individuals who underwent screening and were diagnosed with CRC 30 days or longer after screening (interval cancer group, n = 163) and individuals diagnosed with CRC in the nonscreened group (controls, n = 1740). All CRCs in the control group were identified when they developed symptoms (clinically detected CRCs). Analyses were stratified by cancer site. We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratio (HRs), adjusted for age and sex. RESULTS: Over the follow-up period, 43 individuals in the interval cancer group died from CRC; among controls, 525 died from CRC. CRC mortality (adjusted HR, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-1.35; P = .92), rectosigmoid cancer mortality (adjusted HR, 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 0.63-1.92; P = .74), and all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 0.99; 95% confidence interval, 0.76-1.27; P = .91) did not differ significantly between the interval cancer group and controls. CONCLUSIONS: In this randomized sigmoidoscopy screening trial, mortality did not differ significantly between individuals with interval CRCs and unscreened patients with clinically detected CRCs. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00119912.

Implications of different guidelines for surveillance after serrated polyp resection in United States of America and Europe.

INTRODUCTION: Because individuals with serrated polyps and adenomas are at increased risk of developing new polyps and colorectal cancer (CRC), surveillance after resection is justified. After adenoma resection, most international guidelines are consistent, but recommendations for surveillance after serrated polyp resection vary. The United States Multi-Society Taskforce on CRC (US-MSTF) base surveillance intervals on serrated polyp subtype (traditional serrated adenoma, sessile serrated polyp, hyperplastic polyps), while the European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE) guidelines do not take serrated polyp subtype into account. We evaluated the implications of this difference in a primary colonoscopy screening cohort. METHODS: We included participants from a large colonoscopy screening trial. In a post-hoc simulation, assuming full protocol adherence, we determined the surveillance interval for each subject based on their polyp burden, using the most recent US-MSTF and ESGE guidelines. RESULTS: We included 5323 participants, of whom 1228 had one or more serrated polyps. In 5201 of all participants (98 %; Cohen's kappa 0.90) and in 1106 of those with serrated polyps (90 %; Cohen's kappa 0.80), both guidelines recommended identical surveillance intervals. Recommendations for a 3-year surveillance interval were identical between the two guidelines. All 122 subjects with discordant recommendations would receive a follow-up colonoscopy after 10 years using ESGE guidance and after 5 years using US-MSTF guidance. CONCLUSION: Despite the different criteria used to determine surveillance after serrated polyp resection, most individuals are recommended identical colonoscopy surveillance intervals whether following the ESGE or US-MSTF guidelines. This suggests that surveillance recommendations do not need to consider the serrated polyp subtype.