A modified Hospital Frailty Risk Score for patients with cirrhosis undergoing abdominal operations.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Existing tools for perioperative risk stratification in patients with cirrhosis do not incorporate measures of comorbidity. The Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) is a widely used measure of comorbidity burden in administrative dataset analyses. However, it is not specific to patients with cirrhosis, and application of this index is limited by its complexity. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Adult patients with cirrhosis who underwent nontransplant abdominal operations were identified from the National Inpatient Sample, 2016-2018. Adjusted associations between HFRS and in-hospital mortality and length of stay were computed with logistic and Poisson regression. Lasso regularization was used to identify the components of the HFRS most predictive of mortality and develop a simplified index, the cirrhosis-HFRS. Of 10,714 patients with cirrhosis, the majority were male, the median age was 62 years, and 32% of operations were performed electively. HFRS was associated with an increased risk of both in-hospital mortality (OR=6.42; 95% CI: 4.93, 8.36) and length of stay (incidence rate ratio [IRR]=1.79; 95% CI: 1.72, 1.88), with adjustment. Using lasso, we found that a subset of 12 of the 109 ICD-10 codes within the HFRS resulted in superior prediction of mortality in this patient population (AUC = 0.89 vs. 0.79, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: While the 109-component HFRS was associated with adverse surgical outcomes, 12 components accounted for much of the association between the HFRS and mortality. We developed the cirrhosis-HFRS, a tool that demonstrates superior predictive accuracy for in-hospital mortality and more precisely reflects the specific comorbidity pattern of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis undergoing general surgery procedures.

The future of liver transplantation.

Over the last 50 years, liver transplantation has evolved into a procedure routinely performed in many countries worldwide. Those able to access this therapy frequently experience a miraculous risk-benefit ratio, particularly if they face the imminently life-threatening disease. Over the decades, the success of liver transplantation, with dramatic improvements in early posttransplant survival, has aggressively driven demand. However, despite the emergence of living donors to augment deceased donors as a source of organs, supply has lagged far behind demand. As a result, rationing has been an unfortunate focus in recent decades. Recent shifts in the epidemiology of liver disease combined with transformative innovations in liver preservation suggest that the underlying premise of organ shortage may erode in the foreseeable future. The focus will sharpen on improving equitable access while mitigating constraints related to workforce training, infrastructure for organ recovery and rehabilitation, and their associated costs. Research efforts in liver preservation will undoubtedly blossom with the aim of optimizing both the timing and conditions of transplantation. Coupled with advances in genetic engineering, regenerative biology, and cellular therapies, the portfolio of innovation, both broad and deep, offers the promise that, in the future, liver transplantation will not only be broadly available to those in need but also represent a highly durable life-saving therapy.

Advancing mouse models for transplantation research.

Mouse models have been instrumental in understanding mechanisms of transplant rejection and tolerance, but cross-study reproducibility and translation of experimental findings into effective clinical therapies are issues of concern. The Mouse Models in Transplantation symposium gathered scientists and physician-scientists involved in basic and clinical research in transplantation to discuss the strengths and limitations of mouse transplant models and strategies to enhance their utility. Participants recognized that increased procedure standardization, including the use of prespecified, defined endpoints, and statistical power analyses, would benefit the field. They also discussed the generation of new models that incorporate environmental and genetic variables affecting clinical outcomes as potentially important. If implemented, these strategies are expected to improve the reproducibility of mouse studies and increase their translation to clinical trials and, ideally, new Food and Drug Administration-approved drugs.

Banff 2022 Liver Group Meeting report: Monitoring long-term allograft health.

The Banff Working Group on Liver Allograft Pathology met in September 2022. Participants included hepatologists, surgeons, pathologists, immunologists, and histocompatibility specialists. Presentations and discussions focused on the evaluation of long-term allograft health, including noninvasive and tissue monitoring, immunosuppression optimization, and long-term structural changes. Potential revision of the rejection classification scheme to better accommodate and communicate late T cell-mediated rejection patterns and related structural changes, such as nodular regenerative hyperplasia, were discussed. Improved stratification of long-term maintenance immunosuppression to match the heterogeneity of patient settings will be central to improving long-term patient survival. Such personalized therapeutics are in turn contingent on a better understanding and monitoring of allograft status within a rational decision-making approach, likely to be facilitated in implementation with emerging decision-support tools. Proposed revisions to rejection classification emerging from the meeting include the incorporation of interface hepatitis and fibrosis staging. These will be opened to online testing, modified accordingly, and subject to consensus discussion leading up to the next Banff conference.

The type, duration, and severity of pretransplant kidney injury predict prolonged kidney dysfunction after liver transplantation.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major complication of liver transplantation (LT) associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Knowing the drivers of post-LT kidney dysfunction-with a granular focus on the type, duration, and severity of pre-LT kidney disease-can highlight intervention opportunities and inform dual-organ allocation policies. We retrospectively analyzed predictors of safety net kidney after liver transplant (KALT) eligibility and kidney replacement therapy (KRT) for > 14 days after LT. Among 557 recipients of adult deceased-donor LT, 49% had normal kidney function, 25% had acute kidney injury (AKI), and 25% had CKD±AKI at the time of LT. A total of 36 (6.5%) qualified for KALT and 63 (11%) required KRT > 14 days. In univariable analysis, factors associated with KALT eligibility and KRT > 14 days, respectively, included stage 3 AKI (OR 7.87; OR 7.06), CKD±AKI (OR 4.58; OR 4.22), CKD III-V duration (OR 1.10 per week; OR 1.06 per week), and increasing CKD stage (stage III: OR 3.90, IV: OR 5.24, V: OR 16.8; stage III: OR 2.23, IV: OR 3.62, V: OR 19.4). AKI stage I-II and AKI duration in the absence of CKD were not associated with the outcomes. Pre-LT KRT had a robust impact on KALT eligibility (OR 4.00 per week) and prolonged post-LT KRT (OR 5.22 per week), with 19.8% of patients who received any pre-LT KRT ultimately qualifying for KALT. Eligibility for KALT was similar between those who received 0 days and ≤ 14 days of KRT after LT (2.1% vs. 2.9%, p = 0.53). In conclusion, the type, duration, and severity of pre-LT kidney dysfunction have unique impacts on post-LT kidney-related morbidity, and future research must use these novel classifications to study mitigation strategies.