The incidence of adverse outcome in donors after living donor liver transplantation: A meta-analysis of 60,829 donors.

The scarcity of liver grafts has prompted developments in living donor liver transplantations (LDLT), with previous literature illustrating similar outcomes in recipients compared to deceased donor transplants. However, significant concerns regarding living donor morbidity and mortality have yet to be examined comprehensively. This study aims to provide estimates of the incidence of various outcomes in living liver donors. In this meta-analysis, Medline and Embase were searched from inception to July 2022 for articles assessing the incidence of outcomes in LDLT donors. Complications in the included studies were classified into respective organ systems. Analysis of incidence was conducted using a generalized linear mixed model with Clopper-Pearson intervals. Eighty-seven articles involving 60,829 living liver donors were included. The overall pooled incidence of complications in LDLT donors was 24.7% (CI: 21.6%-28.1%). The incidence of minor complications was 17.3% (CI: 14.7%-20.3%), while the incidence of major complications was lower at 5.5% (CI: 4.5%-6.7%). The overall incidence of donor mortality was 0.06% (CI: 0.0%-0.1%) in 49,027 individuals. Psychological complications (7.6%, CI: 4.9%-11.5%) were the most common among LDLT donors, followed by wound-related (5.2%, CI: 4.4%-6.2%) and respiratory complications (4.9%, CI: 3.8%-6.3%). Conversely, cardiovascular complications had the lowest incidence among the subgroups at 0.8% (CI: 0.4%-1.3%). This study presents the incidence of post-LDLT outcomes in living liver donors, illustrating significant psychological, wound-related, and respiratory complications. While significant advancements in recent decades have contributed towards decreased morbidity in living donors, our findings call for targeted measures and continued efforts to ensure the safety and quality of life of liver donors post-LDLT.

Examining the interim proposal for name change to steatotic liver disease in the US population.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Fatty liver is the commonest liver condition globally and traditionally associated with NAFLD. A consensus meeting was held in Chicago to explore various terminologies. Herein, we explore the proposed changes in nomenclature in a population data set from the US. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Statistical analysis was conducted using survey-weighted analysis. Assessment of fatty liver was conducted with vibration-controlled transient elastography. A controlled attenuation parameter of 288 dB/m was used to identify hepatic steatosis. Patients were classified into nonalcoholic steatotic liver disease, alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease, and viral hepatitis steatotic liver disease. Liver stiffness measures at ≥8.8, ≥11.7, and ≥14 kPa were used to identify clinically significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis, respectively. A total of 5102 individuals were included in the analysis. Using a survey-weighted analysis, a total of 25.43%, 6.95%, and 0.73% of the population were classified as nonalcoholic steatotic liver disease, alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease, and viral hepatitis steatotic liver disease, respectively. A sensitivity analysis at controlled attenuation parameter of 248 dB/m and fatty liver index found similar distribution. In a comparison between nonalcoholic steatotic liver disease, alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease, and viral hepatitis steatotic liver disease, there was no significant difference between the odds of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis between groups. However, viral hepatitis steatotic liver disease individuals were found to have a significantly higher odds of clinically significant fibrosis (OR: 3.76, 95% CI, 1.27-11.14, p =0.02) compared with nonalcoholic steatotic liver disease. CONCLUSIONS: The current analysis assessed the proposed changes based on discussions from the consensus meeting. Although the definitions are an interim analysis of discussions, steatotic liver disease respects the underlying liver etiology and reduces stigma while increasing awareness of FL among viral and alcohol-associated steatosis/steatohepatitis.

Sex and Race-Ethnic Disparities in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: An Analysis of 40,166 Individuals.

BACKGROUND: To overcome the limitations of the term "non-alcoholic fatty liver disease" (NAFLD), the term metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) was introduced. While epidemiologic studies have been conducted on MASLD, there is limited evidence on its associated sex and ethnic variations. AIMS: This study assesses the differences across sex and race-ethnicity on the prevalence, associated risk factors and adverse outcomes in individuals with MASLD. METHODS: Data retrieved from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 1999 to 2018 was analyzed. Prevalence, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were evaluated according to sex and race-ethnicity. Adverse outcomes and mortality events were analyzed using multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Of 40,166 individuals included, 37.63% had MASLD. There was a significant increase in MASLD prevalence from 1999 to 2018 among Mexican Americans (Annual Percentage Change [APC] + 1.889%, p < 0.001), other Hispanics (APC + 1.661%, p = 0.013), NH Whites (APC + 1.084%, p = 0.018), NH Blacks (APC + 1.108%, p = 0.007), and females (APC + 0.879%, p = 0.030), but not males. Females with MASLD were at lower risk of all-cause (HR: 0.766, 95%CI 0.711 to 0.825, p < 0.001), cardiovascular disease-related (CVD) (SHR: 0.802, 95% CI 0.698 to 0.922, p = 0.002) and cancer-related mortality (SHR: 0.760, 95% CI 0.662 to 0.873, p < 0.001). Significantly, NH Blacks have the highest risk of all-cause and CVD-related mortality followed by NH Whites then Mexican Americans. CONCLUSION: There has been an increase in prevalence in most race-ethnicities over time. While the change in definition shows no significant differences in previous associations found in NAFLD, the increased mortality in NH Whites relative to Mexican Americans remains to be explored.

Global prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease, with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) as a major predictor. Insulin resistance and chronic inflammation are key pathways in the pathogenesis of T2DM leading to NAFLD and vice versa, with the synergistic effect of NAFLD and T2DM increasing morbidity and mortality risks. This meta-analysis aims to quantify the prevalence of NAFLD and the prevalence of clinically significant and advanced fibrosis in people with T2DM. METHODS: MEDLINE and Embase databases were searched from inception until 13 February 2023. The primary outcomes were the prevalence of NAFLD, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and fibrosis in people with T2DM. A generalised linear mixed model with Clopper-Pearson intervals was used for the analysis of proportions with sensitivity analysis conducted to explore heterogeneity between studies. RESULTS: 156 studies met the inclusion criteria, and a pooled analysis of 1 832 125 patients determined that the prevalence rates of NAFLD and NASH in T2DM were 65.04% (95% CI 61.79% to 68.15%, I2=99.90%) and 31.55% (95% CI 17.12% to 50.70%, I2=97.70%), respectively. 35.54% (95% CI 19.56% to 55.56%, I2=100.00%) of individuals with T2DM with NAFLD had clinically significant fibrosis (F2-F4), while 14.95% (95% CI 11.03% to 19.95%, I2=99.00%) had advanced fibrosis (F3-F4). CONCLUSION: This study determined a high prevalence of NAFLD, NASH and fibrosis in people with T2DM. Increased efforts are required to prevent T2DM to combat the rising burden of NAFLD. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022360251.

Comparative Burden of Metabolic Dysfunction in Lean NAFLD vs Non-lean NAFLD - A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is traditionally associated with obesity. However, there is a subtype of NAFLD, namely NAFLD in lean, that occurs without obesity. However, a recent call to redefine NAFLD to metabolic-associated fatty liver disease focuses on obesity and metabolic dysfunction. Criticism has arisen from the perceived over emphasis on systemic comorbidities, which may disadvantage the lean. The current analysis seeks to quantify the degree of metabolic dysfunction in NAFLD in lean and compare with NAFLD in overweight and obese and non-NAFLD. METHODS: Medline and Embase databases were searched from inception to March 3, 2022. The inclusion criteria were articles with NAFLD in lean patients presenting with baseline metabolic parameters. Comparisons were conducted with subgroup analysis. RESULTS: Eighty-five articles were included in the meta-analysis. NAFLD in lean accounted for 13.11% (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.26%-16.62%) of the global population and 14.55% (95% CI, 11.32%-18.51%) in Asia. The degree of metabolic dysfunction was weight dependent with significantly less metabolic dysfunction in NAFLD in lean subjects as compared with NAFLD in overweight counterparts. For NAFLD in lean, only 19.56% (95% CI, 15.28%-24.69%) of the subjects were diabetic, whereas 45.70% (95% CI, 35.01%-56.80%) of obese subjects with NAFLD had diabetes (P < .01). Fasting blood glucose and systolic and diastolic blood pressure values were significantly lower in subjects with NAFLD in lean than in overweight and obese. CONCLUSION: The current analysis highlights the weight-dependent nature of metabolic dysfunction in NAFLD. Lean subjects with NAFLD were significantly less metabolically unhealthy than were obese and overweight persons with NAFLD. An overreliance on metabolic dysfunction in defining fatty liver will be a flaw in potentially excluding previously characterized NAFLD.

The Spectrum and Impact of Metabolic Dysfunction in MAFLD: A Longitudinal Cohort Analysis of 32,683 Overweight and Obese Individuals.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) was recently proposed as an alternative name change for better encapsulation of disease. However, there exists a spectrum of MAFLD where both metabolically healthy (MH) and metabolically unhealthy (MU) individuals are included. In view of limited evidence, we sought to examine the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and differences in outcomes of MH-MAFLD at the population level. METHODS: Data were used from the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999 to 2018. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to obtain odds ratios for the estimation of events. Survival analysis was conducted with Cox regression and the Fine-Gray subdistribution model. RESULTS: There were 32,683 overweight and obese individuals included in the analysis. In MAFLD patients, the prevalence of MH-MAFLD was 6.92% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.58%-7.27%), and 93.08% (95% CI, 92.73%-93.42%) were considered as MU-MAFLD. Multivariate analysis found a significantly higher risk of MACE (odds ratio, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.28-1.49; P < .01), all-cause (hazard ratio, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.17-1.32; P < .01), cardiovascular disease (SHR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.02-1.42; P = .03), and cancer mortality (SHR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.07-1.44; P < .01) in MU-MAFLD relative to non-MAFLD. However, MH-MAFLD individuals were not associated with a statistically significant increased risk of these adverse outcomes compared with non-MAFLD. MU-MAFLD diabetics were also at a higher risk of adverse events compared with non-diabetics. CONCLUSIONS: This study reports on the heterogeneity and spectrum of metabolic dysfunction that exists in overweight and obese MAFLD. Although MAFLD may potentially be advantageous in improving awareness and patient outcomes, there remains substantial heterogeneity within patients included in MAFLD on the basis of the underlying metabolic burden.

Placebo Adverse Events in Non-alcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Trials: A Pooled Analysis of 2,944 Participants.

INTRODUCTION: In the absence of an effective treatment for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), a randomized, placebo-controlled trial (RCT) remains the current gold standard study design in NASH. As NASH is a largely asymptomatic disease, the side effects of potential therapies require careful evaluation, therefore a pooled rate of the adverse events (AEs) in placebo-treated patients serves as a useful comparator for safety. Therefore, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the rate of AEs among participants in the placebo arm of NASH RCTs. METHODS: Medline, Embase and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched to include clinical trials in phase 2-4 NASH RCTs with placebo treatment arms. A pooled proportions of AEs were analyzed using a generalized linear mixed model with Clopper-Pearson intervals. RESULTS: A total of 41 RCTs (2,944 participants on placebo) were included in this meta-analysis. A total of 68% (confidence interval [CI] 55%-77%) of participants on placebo experienced an AE, 7.8% (5.7%-10%) experienced serious AEs and 3.1% (CI: 1.9%-5.1%) experienced AEs leading to discontinuation. A significantly higher proportion of participants experienced serious AEs in phase 3 studies compared to in phase 2 studies ( P < 0.01) and in pharmaceutical funded studies as compared to studies which were federal-funded studies ( P < 0.01). An analysis of clinical trials evaluating bile acid modulating agents determined that 10% (CI: 5.5%-18%) of participants receiving placebo developed pruritus. DISCUSSION: The present study summarizes the AEs with NASH placebo. Among participants in the placebo arm in NASH, two-third experienced an AE, and nearly 10% experienced a serious AE.

De novo metabolic syndrome after liver transplantation: a meta-analysis on cumulative incidence, risk factors, and outcomes.

Post-transplant metabolic syndrome (PTMS) has been associated with increased cardiovascular risk which significantly impacts the morbidity and mortality rates of liver transplant (LT) recipients. This study sought to conduct a meta-analysis and systematic review on the cumulative incidence, risk factors, and cardiovascular outcomes associated with de novo PTMS.Medline and Embase were searched for articles describing the incidence, risk factors, and cardiovascular outcomes of de novo PTMS. Meta-analysis of proportions was conducted to calculate incidence. Conventional pairwise analysis using random effects model was used to tabulate OR and hazard ratio for risk factors and cardiovascular outcomes, respectively. Fifteen studies involving 2683 LT recipients were included. Overall rate of de novo PTMS was 24.7% (CI: 18.0%-32.9%) over a mean follow-up period of 15.3 months and was highest in patients with NAFLD (60.0%, CI: 52.0%-67.5%) compared with other liver diseases. Older age (OR: 1.05, CI: 1.01-1.09, p = 0.02) and pre-LT type II diabetes mellitus (OR: 5.00, CI: 4.17-5.99, p < 0.01) were predictive factors of de novo PTMS. Patients with de novo PTMS had significantly higher likelihood of cardiovascular disease events compared with those who did not (hazard ratio: 2.42, CI: 1.54-3.81, p < 0.01). De novo PTMS is a common complication and is significantly associated with increased cardiovascular disease morbidity. High-risk patients such as elderly recipients, those with pre-LT type II diabetes mellitus, or NASH-related cirrhosis should undergo routine screening to allow timely intervention.

Global Epidemiology of Cirrhosis: Changing Etiological Basis and Comparable Burden of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis between Males and Females.

INTRODUCTION: The etiology of liver diseases has changed significantly, but its impact on the comparative burden of cirrhosis between males and females is unclear. We estimated sex differences in the burden of cirrhosis across 204 countries and territories from 2010 to 2019. METHODS: We analyzed temporal trends in the burden of cirrhosis using the methodology framework of the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study. We estimated annual frequencies and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of cirrhosis incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by sex, region, country, and etiology. RESULTS: In 2019, the frequency of incident cases, deaths, and DALYs due to cirrhosis was 1,206,125, 969,068, and 31,781,079 in males versus 845,429, 502,944, and 14,408,336 in females, respectively. From 2010 to 2019, the frequency of cirrhosis deaths increased by 9% in males and 12% in females. Incidence ASRs remained stable in males but increased in females, while death ASRs declined in both. Death ASRs for both sexes declined in all regions, except in the Americas where they remained stable. In 2019, alcohol was the leading cause of cirrhosis deaths in males, and hepatitis C in females. Death ASRs declined for all etiologies in both sexes, except in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). The ratio of female-to-male incidence ASRs in 2019 was lowest in alcohol(0.5), and highest in NASH(1.3), while the ratio of female-to-male death ASRs was lowest in alcohol(0.3) and highest in NASH(0.8). CONCLUSION: The global burden of cirrhosis is higher in males. However, incidence and death ASRs from NASH cirrhosis in females are comparable to that of males.

Quality Assessment of Ultrasound and Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: To achieve early detection and curative treatment options, surveillance imaging for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) must remain of quality and without substantial limitations in liver visualization. However, the prevalence of limited liver visualization during HCC surveillance imaging has not been systematically assessed. Utilizing a systematic review and meta-analytic approach, we aimed to determine the prevalence of limited liver visualization during HCC surveillance imaging. METHODS: MEDLINE and Embase electronic databases were searched to identify published data on liver visualization limitations of HCC surveillance imaging. An analysis of proportions was pooled using a generalized linear mixed model with Clopper-Pearson intervals. Risk factors were analysed using a generalized mixed model with a logit link and inverse variance weightage. RESULTS: Of 683 records, 10 studies (7,131 patients) met inclusion criteria. Seven studies provided data on liver visualization limitations on ultrasound (US) surveillance exams: prevalence of limited liver visualization was 48.9% (95% CI: 23.5-74.9%) in the overall analysis and 59.2% (95% CI: 24.2-86.9%) in a sensitivity analysis for cirrhotic patients. Meta-regression determined that non-alcoholic fatty liver disease was associated with limited liver visualization on US. Four studies provided data for liver visualization limitations in abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (aMRI), with inadequate visualization ranging from 5.8% to 19.0%. One study provided data for complete MRI and none for computed tomography. CONCLUSION: A substantial proportion of US exams performed for HCC surveillance provide limited liver visualization, especially in cirrhosis, which may hinder detection of small observations. Alternative surveillance strategies including aMRI may be appropriate for patients with limited US visualization.

A Meta-analysis on Associated Risk of Mortality in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

OBJECTIVE: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects much of the worldwide population and poses a significant burden to the global healthcare. The rising numbers of individuals with NAFLD and instances of mortality point toward the importance of understanding the association causes of mortality in NAFLD. This meta-analysis aimed to seek the associations of NAFLD with all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related, liver-related, and cancer-related mortality. METHODS: MEDLINE and Embase were searched for articles relating to causes of mortality between NAFLD and non-NAFLD. The DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model was used to analyze adjusted hazard ratios (HR), and a sensitivity analysis was conducted to reduce heterogeneity through a graphical display of study heterogeneity. RESULTS: Fifteen studies involving 10 286 490 patients were included. Individuals with NAFLD exhibited an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.09-1.59; P < .01; I2 = 96.00%), CVD-related mortality (HR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.06-1.41; P < .01; I2 = 81.00%), and cancer-related mortality (HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.15-2.41; P < .01; I2 = 95.00%). However, no significant association was found between liver-related mortality and NAFLD (HR, 3.58; 95% CI, 0.69-18.46; P =.13; I2 = 96.00%). The sensitivity analysis conducted with graphic display of heterogeneity and only population-based studies found similar results. CONCLUSION: NAFLD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause, CVD-related, and cancer-related mortality but not liver-related mortality. The finding is likely because of low fibrosis prevalence in the community. However, the significant burden in other causes of mortality beyond the liver points to a need for multidisciplinary efforts to reduce the mortality risks.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus in metabolic-associated fatty liver disease vs. type 2 diabetes mellitus non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a longitudinal cohort analysis.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) is comorbidity commonly presenting with fatty liver. A recently proposed definition of "metabolic associated fatty liver disease" (MAFLD) is thought to replace non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Yet, despite the significant prevalence of T2DM among fatty liver, there remains limited evidence on the impact of the change in the definition of T2DM. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The current study uses data from the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2018. Survival analysis was conducted with a cox regression and sub-distribution hazard ratio for competing risk events. RESULTS: 6727 patients had a diagnosis of T2DM. 4982 individuals with T2DM had MAFLD and 2032 were MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(-), while 2950 patients were MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(+). The new definition increased fatty liver diagnosis by 68.89%. Patients who were classified as MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(-) were at a higher risk of major adverse cardiovascular events, advanced fibrosis, all-cause and cardiovascular-related mortality compared to MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(+). In MAFLD(+)/NAFLD(-), viral hepatitis significantly increases the odds of advanced fibrosis (OR: 6.77, CI: 3.92 to 11.7, p < 0.001) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.75, CI: 1.29 to 2.40, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The identification and treatment of NAFLD in patients with T2DM is a major concern and the premature change to MAFLD results in an over-diagnosis of fatty liver, exaggerated mortality, and morbidity in patients with T2DM. The definition of MAFLD causes further heterogeneity in fatty liver disease/NAFLD.

Donor Diabetes and Steatosis Affects Recipient Survival Following Liver Transplantation Based on Etiology of Liver Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) offers patients with decompensated cirrhosis the best chance at long-term survival. With the rising prevalence of diabetes, further clarity is needed on the impact of receiving a liver allograft from a donor with diabetes on post-LT outcomes. This study aims to evaluate the impact of donor diabetes on clinical outcomes after LT. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing registry data of LT recipients from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2021. Outcomes analysis was performed using Cox proportional model for all-cause mortality and graft failure. Confounding was reduced by coarsened exact matching causal inference analysis. RESULTS: Of 66 960 donors identified, 7178 (10.7%) had diabetes. Trend analysis revealed a longitudinal increase in the prevalence of donor diabetes ( P < 0.001). Importantly, donor diabetes was associated with increased all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.19; P < 0.001) and graft failure (HR: 1.16; 95% CI, 1.11-1.22; P < 0.001). Receiving donor organ with diabetes reduced graft survival in patients who received LT for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis cirrhosis (HR: 1.26; 95% CI, 1.13-1.41; P < 0.001) but not other etiologies of cirrhosis. CONCLUSIONS: Donor diabetes was associated with worse outcomes post-LT, particularly in patients receiving LT for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis cirrhosis. Future studies are needed to better understand the mechanism underlying this association to develop better risk stratification and clinical practice to improve the outcomes of the transplanted patients.

Hepatic, Extra-hepatic Outcomes and Causes of Mortality in NAFLD - An Umbrella Overview of Systematic Review of Meta-Analysis.

Background: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver disease globally. While the prevalence, impact, and causes of mortality have been described in various meta-analyses, a systematic all-encompassing umbrella review has yet to be conducted to consolidate the evidence on outcomes associated with NAFLD. Methods: Search was conducted on Medline and Embase for meta-analysis investigating associated complications and causes of mortality in NAFLD patients. Summary estimates were presented with original units, sample size, and I2 for heterogeneity. The Assessment of Multiple Systematic Reviews 2 was employed for article selection. Results: 25 meta-analyses were included in the present review. NAFLD increased the risks of systemic complications, including cardiovascular diseases, systemic malignancies, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease. Regarding hepatic outcomes, the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in NAFLD was 2.39 per 100 person years (CI: 1.40 to 4.08). Individuals with NAFLD were also found to have an increased likelihood of cholangiocarcinoma (OR: 1.88, CI: 1.25 to 2.83) and gallstone disease (OR: 1.55, CI: 1.31 to 1.82) compared to individuals without NAFLD. NAFLD was associated with a higher risk of fatal and non-fatal CVD events (HR: 1.45, CI: 1.31 to 1.61) compared to individuals without NAFLD. Coronary heart disease and subclinical and clinical coronary heart disease were also significantly elevated in NAFLD individuals compared to individuals without NAFLD. Additionally, NAFLD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.34, CI: 1.17 to 1.54) and cardiovascular (HR: 1.30, CI: 1.08 to 1.56) but not cancer-related mortality. Conclusion: The study summarizes high-level evidence from published meta-analyses to provide a much-needed update on the outcomes in patients with NAFLD. The significant systemic burden associated with NAFLD and impending fatty liver epidemic requires prompt action from multidisciplinary providers, policy providers, and stakeholders to reduce the burden of NAFLD.

Patterns in Cancer Incidence Among People Younger Than 50 Years in the US, 2010 to 2019.

Importance: Emerging data suggest that the incidence of early-onset cancers, defined as cancers diagnosed in people younger than 50 years, is increasing, but updated data are limited. Objective: To characterize the patterns in the incidence of early-onset cancers in the US from 2010 to 2019 and provide granular data on the cancers with the fastest-growing incidence rates. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study analyzed data from 17 National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2019. Age-standardized incidence rates per 100 000 people were extracted for early-onset cancers, with rates age adjusted to the US standard population. A total of 562 145 patients with early-onset cancer between 2010 and 2019 were identified and included. Data were analyzed from October 16, 2022, to May 23, 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were incidence rates and descriptive epidemiological data for people younger than 50 years with cancer. The annual percentage change (APC) of the age-standardized incidence rate was estimated using the Joinpoint regression program. Results: Among 562 145 patients (324 138 [57.7%] aged 40-49 years; 351 120 [62.5%] female) with early-onset cancer, 4565 (0.8%) were American Indian or Alaska Native, 54 876 (9.8%) were Asian or Pacific Islander, 61 048 (10.9%) were Black, 118 099 (21.0%) were Hispanic, 314 610 (56.0%) were White, and 8947 (1.6%) were of unknown race and/or ethnicity. From 2010 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate of early-onset cancers increased overall (APC, 0.28%; 95% CI, 0.09%-0.47%; P = .01) and in female individuals (APC, 0.67%; 95% CI, 0.39%-0.94%; P = .001) but decreased in male individuals (APC, -0.37%; 95% CI, -0.51% to -0.22%; P < .001). In contrast, the age-standardized incidence rate of cancers in individuals aged 50 years and older decreased over the study period (APC, -0.87%; 95% CI, -1.06% to -0.67%; P < .001). In 2019, the highest number of incident cases of early-onset cancer were in the breast (n = 12 649). From 2010 to 2019, gastrointestinal cancers had the fastest-growing incidence rates among all early-onset cancer groups (APC, 2.16%; 95% CI, 1.66%-2.67%; P < .001). Among gastrointestinal cancers, those with the fastest-growing incidence rates were in the appendix (APC, 15.61%; 95% CI, 9.21%-22.38%; P < .001), intrahepatic bile duct (APC, 8.12%; 95% CI, 4.94%-11.39%; P < .001), and pancreas (APC, 2.53%; 95% CI, 1.69%-3.38%; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, the incidence rates of early-onset cancer increased from 2010 to 2019. Although breast cancer had the highest number of incident cases, gastrointestinal cancers had the fastest-growing incidence rates among all early-onset cancers. These data may be useful for the development of surveillance strategies and funding priorities.

Meta-analysis: Chemoprevention of hepatocellular carcinoma with statins, aspirin and metformin.

BACKGROUND: Emerging data suggest that statins, aspirin and metformin may protect against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. However, prior meta-analyses were limited by heterogeneity and inclusion of studies without adequate adjustment for baseline risks. AIM: To examine by an updated meta-analysis the association between these medications and HCC risk. METHODS: Medline and Embase databases were searched from inception to March 2022 for studies that balanced baseline risks between study groups via propensity score matching or inverse probability of treatment weighting, that reported the impact of statins, aspirin or metformin on HCC risk. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for HCC were pooled using a random effects model. RESULTS: Statin use was associated with reduced HCC risk overall (HR: 0.52; 95% CI: 0.37-0.72) (10 studies, 1,774,476), and in subgroup analyses for cirrhosis, hepatitis B/C, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, studies accounting for concurrent aspirin and metformin consumption and lipophilic statins. Aspirin use was associated with reduced HCC risk overall (HR: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.27-0.87) (11 studies, 2,190,285 patients) but not in studies accounting for concurrent statin and metformin use. Metformin use was not associated with reduced HCC risk overall (HR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.31-1.06) (3 studies, 125,458 patients). Most analyses had moderate/substantial heterogeneity, except in follow-up <60 months for aspirin (I2  = 0%). CONCLUSION: Although statin and aspirin use were associated with reduced HCC risk, only statin use was significant in subgroup analyses accounting for concurrent medications. Metformin use was not associated with reduced HCC risk. These data have implications for future clinical trial design.

The prognostic value of including non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in the definition of metabolic syndrome.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) affects over one third of the US adult population. Despite its close association with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the traditional definition of MetS does not account for the presence of NAFLD. The present study thus aims to evaluate the inclusion of NAFLD in the diagnostic criteria of metabolic syndrome on its accuracy of capturing individuals with metabolic dysregulation and its prediction of adverse events. METHODS: Data collected from NHANES between 1999 and 2018 was analysed. Clinical characteristics and outcomes between individuals with metabolic syndrome from both the American Heart Association/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (MetS) and the study's proposed diagnostic criteria (MetS2) were evaluated. Outcomes in both groups were evaluated with multivariate analyses, and further subgroup analysis on individuals matched with Coarsened Exact Matching was performed. RESULTS: Of 46,184 individuals included, 32.54% and 40.54% fulfilled MetS and MetS2 criteria respectively. Considering NAFLD in the definition of metabolic syndrome, a further 8.00% (n = 3694) were included. MetS was significantly associated with all-cause (HR: 1.184, 95% CI: 1.110-1.263, p < 0.001) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality (SHR: 1.288, 95% CI: 1.233-1.347, p < 0.001), and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). MetS2 was similarly associated with all-cause (HR: 1.175, 95% CI: 1.088-1.269, p < 0.001), CVD mortality (SHR: 1.283, 95% CI: 1.245-1.323, p < 0.001) and MACE. CONCLUSION: Inclusion of NAFLD allows for identification a greater proportion of the population with metabolic risk. This allows for early intervention and potential to lift some burden off the global healthcare system.

Safety and tolerability of obeticholic acid in chronic liver disease: a pooled analysis of 1878 individuals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Obeticholic acid (OCA) is a farnesoid X receptor agonist used in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) treatment. Recent studies have expanded OCA use for NASH treatment and results from phase 3 clinical trial have shown beneficial reduction of ≥1 stage of fibrosis with no NASH worsening. However, safety concerns still preside, thus we systematically examine the safety profile of OCA in chronic liver disease. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A search was conducted in Medline and Embase databases for OCA randomized controlled trials in chronic liver disease. Binary events were pooled with Paule-Mandel random effects model and proportional events were examined in a generalized linear mixed model with Clopper-Pearson intervals. RESULTS: A total of 8 studies and 1878 patients were analyzed. There was a 75% [risk ratio (RR): 1.75, 95% CI: 1.43-2.15, p < 0.01] increased pruritis risk. OCA increased constipation incidence (RR: 1.88, 95% CI: 1.45-2.43, p < 0.01), decreased diarrhea (RR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.50-0.77, p < 0.01), and increased development of hyperlipidemia (RR: 2.69, 95% CI: 1.85-3.92, p < 0.01) relative to placebo. Sensitivity analysis in NASH-only studies found a dose-dependent effect with pruritis which increases to RR: 3.07 (95% CI: 1.74-5.41) at 25 mg. However, up to 9.98% (95% CI: 5.01%-18.89%) of NAFLD patients with placebo similarly experience pruritis events. Overall, 16.55% (95% CI: 6.47%-36.24%) of patients with NAFLD on OCA experienced pruritis. There was no significant increase in cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: OCA may represent the first pharmacological treatment approved for NASH. However, pruritis, constipation, diarrhea, and hyperlipidemia were major events with evident dose-dependent effect that affect tolerability in NASH. Future long-term studies for longitudinal safety events are required.

Mortality, Cardiovascular, and Medication Outcomes in Patients With Myocardial Infarction and Underweight in a Meta-Analysis of 6.3 Million Patients.

Although most of the current evidence on myocardial infarction focuses on obesity, there is growing evidence that patients who are underweight have unfavorable prognosis. This study aimed to explore the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and prognosis of this population at risk. Embase and Medline were searched for studies reporting outcomes in populations who were underweight with myocardial infarction. Underweight and normal weight were defined according to the World Health Organization criteria. A single-arm meta-analysis of proportions was used to estimate the prevalence of underweight in patients with myocardial infarction, whereas a meta-analysis of proportions was used to estimate the odds ratio of all-cause mortality, medications prescribed, and cardiovascular outcomes. Twenty-one studies involving 6,368,225 patients were included, of whom 47,866 were underweight. The prevalence of underweight in patients with myocardial infarction was 2.96% (95% confidence interval 1.96% to 4.47%). Despite having fewer classical cardiovascular risk factors, patients who were underweight had 66% greater hazard for mortality (hazard ratio 1.66, 95% confidence interval 1.44 to 1.92, p <0.0001). The mortality of patients who were underweight increased from 14.1% at 30 days to 52.6% at 5 years. Nevertheless, they were less likely to receive guideline-directed medical therapy. Relative to subjects with normal weight, Asian populations who were underweight had greater mortality risks than those of their Caucasian counterparts (p = 0.0062). In conclusion, in patients with myocardial infarction, those who were underweight tend to have poorer prognostic outcomes. A lower body mass index is an independent predictor of mortality, which calls for global efforts in addressing this modifiable risk factor in clinical practice guidelines.

Survival Trends in Sorafenib for Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Reconstructed Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials.

Background: Emerging data suggest that outcomes for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with sorafenib may have improved over time. We aimed to provide robust, time-to-event estimates of survival outcomes for sorafenib in advanced HCC. Summary: In this systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis of randomized-controlled trials (RCTs), we searched MEDLINE and Embase from inception till September 2022 for RCTs that provided data for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for sorafenib monotherapy as first-line systemic therapy for advanced HCC. We performed a pooled analysis using reconstructed individual participant data from published Kaplan-Meier curves to obtain robust estimates for OS and PFS. Of 1,599 articles identified, 29 studies (5,525 patients) met the inclusion criteria. Overall, the median OS was 10.4 (95% CI: 9.6-11.4) months. Median OS increased over time, from 9.8 (95% CI: 8.8-10.7) months in studies before 2015 to 13.4 (95% CI: 11.03-15.24) months in studies from 2015 onwards (p < 0.001). OS did not differ by trial phase, geographical region, or study design. The overall median PFS was 4.4 (95% CI: 3.9-4.8) months, but PFS did not improve over time. Sensitivity analysis of studies from 2015 and onwards to account for the introduction of direct-acting antivirals determined that hepatitis C virus was associated with reduced mortality (p < 0.001). There was minimal heterogeneity in the estimates for OS (all I2 ≤ 33). Key Messages: Survival outcomes for sorafenib in advanced HCC have improved over time. These data have important implications for clinical trial design.