Predicting 30-day mortality in intensive care unit patients with ischaemic stroke or intracerebral haemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Stroke patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) follow a particular survival pattern with a high short-term mortality, but if they survive the first 30 days, a relatively favourable subsequent survival is observed. OBJECTIVES: The development and validation of two prognostic models predicting 30-day mortality for ICU patients with ischaemic stroke and for ICU patients with intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), analysed separately, based on parameters readily available within 24 h after ICU admission, and with comparison with the existing Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV (APACHE-IV) model. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: All 85 ICUs participating in the Dutch National Intensive Care Evaluation database. PATIENTS: All adult patients with ischaemic stroke or ICH admitted to these ICUs between 2010 and 2019. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Models were developed using logistic regressions and compared with the existing APACHE-IV model. Predictive performance was assessed using ROC curves, calibration plots and Brier scores. RESULTS: We enrolled 14 303 patients with stroke admitted to ICU: 8422 with ischaemic stroke and 5881 with ICH. Thirty-day mortality was 27% in patients with ischaemic stroke and 41% in patients with ICH. Important factors predicting 30-day mortality in both ischaemic stroke and ICH were age, lowest Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score in the first 24 h, acute physiological disturbance (measured using the Acute Physiology Score) and the application of mechanical ventilation. Both prognostic models showed high discrimination with an AUC 0.85 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.84 to 0.87] for patients with ischaemic stroke and 0.85 (0.83 to 0.86) in ICH. Calibration plots and Brier scores indicated an overall good fit and good predictive performance. The APACHE-IV model predicting 30-day mortality showed similar performance with an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.85 to 0.87) in ischaemic stroke and 0.87 (0.86 to 0.89) in ICH. CONCLUSION: We developed and validated two prognostic models for patients with ischaemic stroke and ICH separately with a high discrimination and good calibration to predict 30-day mortality within 24 h after ICU admission. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial registration: Dutch Trial Registry ( https://www.trialregister.nl/ ); identifier: NTR7438.

Autologous red blood cell transfusion does not result in a more profound increase in pulmonary capillary wedge pressure compared to saline in critically ill patients: A randomized crossover trial.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO) is a major cause of severe transfusion-related morbidity. Transfusion of red blood cells (RBCs) has been shown to induce hydrostatic pressure overload. It is unclear which product-specific factors contribute. We set out to determine the effect of autologous RBC transfusion versus saline on pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) change. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In a randomized crossover trial, patients who had undergone coronary bypass surgery were allocated to treatment post-operatively in the intensive care unit with either an initial 300 ml autologous RBC transfusion (salvaged during surgery) or 300 ml saline infusion first, followed by the other. Primary outcome was the difference in PCWP change. Secondary outcome measures were the difference in extra-vascular lung water index (EVLWI) and pulmonary vascular permeability index (PVPI). RESULTS: Change in PCWP was not higher after autologous RBC transfusion compared to saline (ΔPCWP 0.3 ± 0.4 vs. 0.1 ± 0.4 mmHg). ΔEVLWI and ΔPVPI were significantly decreased after autologous RBC transfusion compared to saline (ΔEVLWI -1.6 ± 0.6 vs. 0.2 ± 0.4, p = 0.02; ΔPVPI -0.3 ± 0.1 vs. 0.0 ± 0.1, p = 0.01). Haemodynamic variables and colloid osmotic pressure were not different for autologous RBC transfusion versus saline. CONCLUSION: Transfusion of autologous RBCs did not result in a more profound increase in PCWP compared to saline. RBC transfusion resulted in a decrease of EVLWI and PVPI compared to saline. Our data suggest that transfusing autologous RBCs may lead to less pulmonary oedema compared to saline. Future studies with allogeneic RBCs are needed to investigate other factors that may mediate the increase of PCWP, resulting in TACO.

Differential effects of speed and volume on transfusion-associated circulatory overload: A randomized study in rats.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO) is the primary cause of transfusion-related mortality. Speed and volume of transfusion are major risk factors. The aim of this study was to investigate the interaction of red blood cell (RBC) transfusion speed and volume on the development of TACO. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A validated model for TACO in anaemic Lewis rats with an acute myocardial infarction was used. The effect on pulmonary hydrostatic pressure of one, two or four units of packed RBCs transfused in either 30 or 60 min was evaluated (3.3-26.6 ml·kg-1 ·hr-1 ). Pulmonary capillary pressure was measured as left ventricular end-diastolic pressure (LVEDP). Cardiac stress biomarkers atrial natriuretic-peptide (ANP) and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were measured 1-h post-transfusion. RESULTS: Thirty animals were included (n = 5 per group). Transfusion of RBCs increased LVEDP in a volume-dependent manner (ΔLVEDP [mmHg]: -0.95, +0.50, +6.26, p < 0.001). Fast transfusion increased overall ΔLVEDP by +3.5 mmHg and up to +11.8 mmHg in the four units' group (p = 0.016). Doubling transfusion speed increased ΔLVEDP more than doubling volume in the larger volume groups. No difference in ANP or NT-proBNP were seen in high transfusion volume or groups. CONCLUSION: Transfusion volume dose-dependently increased LVEDP, with speed of transfusion rapidly elevating LVEDP at higher transfusion volumes. ANP and NT-proBNP were not impacted by transfusion volume or speed in this model. TACO is seen as purely volume overload, however, this study emphasizes that limiting transfusion speed, as a modifiable risk factor, might aid in preventing TACO.

Perioperative Care Standards in Cardiac Surgery Patients Aiming at Enhancing Recovery: A Nationwide Survey in the Netherlands and Belgium.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this survey was to describe existing perioperative care standards and best practices in the Netherlands and Belgium. DESIGN: An online survey was followed up by an in-depth personal interview. The main outcomes were the existing standards of perioperative care for patients undergoing cardiac surgery. SETTING: The online survey and subsequent interviews were targeted to one representative in the intensive care unit (ICU), cardiac surgery, and anesthesiology department from each cardiac surgical center in the Netherlands and Belgium. PARTICIPANTS: A representative intensive care physician, cardiac surgeon, and cardiac anesthesiologist. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The response rate was 60% (71% for the Netherlands, and 44% in Belgium). Agreement across centers was found for discontinuation of proton-pump inhibitors (80%) and avoiding intra- and postoperative (92%) nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs. Additionally, 98% of respondents stated that physiotherapy should be started immediately in the ICU. Major divergence was found for elements such as the discontinuation of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (55%) or the postoperative use of chest support vests (44%). CONCLUSIONS: The authors demonstrated a wide range of different local protocols. Strategies differed among disciplines, hospitals, and countries. This emphasized the need for the implementation of a more universal protocol to further reduce variance and improve recovery practices. This nationwide survey was the first of its kind simultaneously studying best practices for cardiac surgery through the entire care pathway at the advent of Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) Cardiac implementation. A multinational randomized controlled trial to test the implementation of an evidence-based ERAS Cardiac protocol is the next step to pave the way for further outcome improvements in this high-risk population.

Performance of a machine-learning algorithm to predict hypotension in mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19 admitted to the intensive care unit: a cohort study.

The Hypotension Prediction Index (HPI) is a commercially available machine-learning algorithm that provides warnings for impending hypotension, based on real-time arterial waveform analysis. The HPI was developed with arterial waveform data of surgical and intensive care unit (ICU) patients, but has never been externally validated in the latter group. In this study, we evaluated diagnostic ability of the HPI with invasively collected arterial blood pressure data in 41 patients with COVID-19 admitted to the ICU for mechanical ventilation. Predictive ability was evaluated at HPI thresholds from 0 to 100, at incremental intervals of 5. After exceeding the studied threshold, the next 20 min were screened for positive (mean arterial pressure (MAP) < 65 mmHg for at least 1 min) or negative (absence of MAP < 65 mmHg for at least 1 min) events. Subsequently, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and time to event were determined for every threshold. Almost all patients (93%) experienced at least one hypotensive event. Median number of events was 21 [7-54] and time spent in hypotension was 114 min [20-303]. The optimal threshold was 90, with a sensitivity of 0.91 (95% confidence interval 0.81-0.98), specificity of 0.87 (0.81-0.92), PPV of 0.69 (0.61-0.77), NPV of 0.99 (0.97-1.00), and median time to event of 3.93 min (3.72-4.15). Discrimination ability of the HPI was excellent, with an area under the curve of 0.95 (0.93-0.97). This validation study shows that the HPI correctly predicts hypotension in mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients in the ICU, and provides a basis for future studies to assess whether hypotension can be reduced in ICU patients using this algorithm.

Effect of Hypotension Prediction Index-guided intraoperative haemodynamic care on depth and duration of postoperative hypotension: a sub-study of the Hypotension Prediction trial.

BACKGROUND: Intraoperative and postoperative hypotension are associated with morbidity and mortality. The Hypotension Prediction (HYPE) trial showed that the Hypotension Prediction Index (HPI) reduced the depth and duration of intraoperative hypotension (IOH), without excess use of intravenous fluid, vasopressor, and/or inotropic therapies. We hypothesised that intraoperative HPI-guided haemodynamic care would reduce the severity of postoperative hypotension in the PACU. METHODS: This was a sub-study of the HYPE study, in which 60 adults undergoing elective noncardiac surgery were allocated randomly to intraoperative HPI-guided or standard haemodynamic care. Blood pressure was measured using a radial intra-arterial catheter, which was connected to a FloTracIQ sensor. Hypotension was defined as MAP <65 mm Hg, and a hypotensive event was defined as MAP <65 mm Hg for at least 1 min. The primary outcome was the time-weighted average (TWA) of postoperative hypotension. Secondary outcomes were absolute incidence, area under threshold for hypotension, and percentage of time spent with MAP <65 mm Hg. RESULTS: Overall, 54/60 (90%) subjects (age 64 (8) yr; 44% female) completed the protocol, owing to failure of the FloTracIQ device in 6/60 (10%) patients. Intraoperative HPI-guided care was used in 28 subjects; 26 subjects were randomised to the control group. Postoperative hypotension occurred in 37/54 (68%) subjects. HPI-guided care did not reduce the median duration (TWA) of postoperative hypotension (adjusted median difference, vs standard of care: 0.118; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0-0.332; P=0.112). HPI-guidance reduced the percentage of time with MAP <65 mm Hg by 4.9% (adjusted median difference: -4.9; 95% CI, -11.7 to -0.01; P=0.046). CONCLUSIONS: Intraoperative HPI-guided haemodynamic care did not reduce the TWA of postoperative hypotension.

Clinical performance of a machine-learning algorithm to predict intra-operative hypotension with noninvasive arterial pressure waveforms: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Intra-operative hypotension is associated with adverse postoperative outcomes. A machine-learning-derived algorithm developed to predict hypotension based on arterial blood pressure (ABP) waveforms significantly reduced intra-operative hypotension. The algorithm calculates the likelihood of hypotension occurring within minutes, expressed as the Hypotension Prediction Index (HPI) which ranges from 0 to 100. Currently, HPI is only available for patients monitored with invasive ABP, which is restricted to high-risk procedures and patients. In this study, the performance of HPI, employing noninvasive continuous ABP measurements, is assessed. OBJECTIVES: The first aim was to compare the performance of the HPI algorithm, using noninvasive versus invasive ABP measurements, at a mathematically optimal HPI alarm threshold (Youden index). The second aim was to assess the performance of the algorithm using a HPI alarm threshold of 85 that is currently used in clinical trials. Hypotension was defined as a mean arterial pressure (MAP) below 65 mmHg for at least 1 min. The predictive performance of the algorithm at different HPI alarm thresholds (75 and 95) was studied. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: Tertiary academic medical centre. PATIENTS: Five hundred and seven adult patients undergoing general surgery. RESULTS: The performance of the algorithm with invasive and noninvasive ABP input was similar. A HPI alarm threshold of 85 showed a median [IQR] time from alarm to hypotension of 2.7 [1.0 to 7.0] min with a sensitivity of 92.7 (95% confidence interval [CI], 91.2 to 94.3), specificity of 87.6 (95% CI, 86.2 to 89.0), positive predictive value of 79.9 (95% CI, 77.7 to 82.1) and negative predictive value of 95.8 (95% CI, 94.9 to 96.7). A HPI alarm threshold of 75 provided a lower positive predictive value but a prolonged time from prediction to actual hypotension. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that the algorithm can be employed using continuous noninvasive ABP waveforms. This opens up the potential to predict and prevent hypotension in a larger patient population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinical trials registration number NCT03533205.

Goal-directed fluid therapy vs. low central venous pressure during major open liver resections (GALILEO): a surgeon- and patient-blinded randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Low central venous pressure (low-CVP) is the clinical standard for fluid therapy during major liver surgery. Although goal-directed fluid therapy (GDFT) has been associated with reduced morbidity and mortality in major abdominal surgery, concerns remain on blood loss when applying GDFT in liver surgery. This randomized trial compared outcomes of low-CVP and GDFT during major liver resections. METHODS: In this surgeon- and patient-blinded RCT, patients undergoing major open liver resections (≥3 segments) were randomized between low-CVP (n = 20) or GDFT (n = 20). Primary outcome was intraoperative blood loss. Secondary outcomes included the quality of the surgical field (VAS scale 0 (worst)-100 (best)) and major morbidity (≥grade 3 Clavien-Dindo). RESULTS: During surgery, CVP was 3 ± 2 mmHg in the low-CVP group vs. 7 ± 3 mmHg in the GDFT group (P < 0.001). Blood loss (1425 vs. 1275 mL; P = 0.640) and the rate of major morbidity (40% vs. 50%, P = 0.751), did not differ between low-CVP and GDFT, respectively. The quality of the surgical field was comparable between groups (low-CVP 83% vs. GDFT 80%, P = 0.955). CONCLUSION: In major open liver resections, GDFT was not associated with differences in intraoperative blood loss, major morbidity or quality of the surgical field, compared to low-CVP. Larger RCTs are needed to confirm this finding. Registration number: NTR5821 (www.trialregister.nl).

Long-Term Mortality Among ICU Patients With Stroke Compared With Other Critically Ill Patients.

OBJECTIVES: Assessment of all-cause mortality of intracerebral hemorrhage and ischemic stroke patients admitted to the ICU and comparison to the mortality of other critically ill ICU patients classified into six other diagnostic subgroups and the general Dutch population. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: All ICUs participating in the Dutch National Intensive Care Evaluation database. PATIENTS: All adult patients admitted to these ICUs between 2010 and 2015; patients were followed until February 2017. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of all 370,386 included ICU patients, 7,046 (1.9%) were stroke patients, 4,072 with ischemic stroke, and 2,974 with intracerebral hemorrhage. Short-term mortality in ICU-admitted stroke patients was high with 30 days mortality of 31% in ischemic stroke and 42% in intracerebral hemorrhage. In the longer term, the survival curve gradient among ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage patients stabilized. The gradual alteration of mortality risk after ICU admission was assessed using left-truncation with increasing minimum survival period. ICU-admitted stroke patients who survive the first 30 days after suffering from a stroke had a favorable subsequent survival compared with other diseases necessitating ICU admission such as patients admitted due to sepsis or severe community-acquired pneumonia. After having survived the first 3 months after ICU admission, multivariable Cox regression analyses showed that case-mix adjusted hazard ratios during the follow-up period of up to 3 years were lower in ischemic stroke compared with sepsis (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.06-1.36) and severe community-acquired pneumonia (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.39-1.77) and in intracerebral hemorrhage patients compared with these groups (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.98-1.33 and adjusted hazard ratio, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.28-1.73). CONCLUSIONS: Stroke patients who need intensive care treatment have a high short-term mortality risk, but this alters favorably with increasing duration of survival time after ICU admission in patients with both ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage, especially compared with other populations of critically ill patients such as sepsis or severe community-acquired pneumonia patients.

Colloid osmotic pressure of contemporary and novel transfusion products.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Colloid osmotic pressure (COP) is a principal determinant of intravascular fluid homeostasis and a pillar of fluid therapy and transfusion. Transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO) is a leading complication of transfusion, and COP could be responsible for recruiting additional fluid. Study objective was to measure COP of blood products as well as investigate the effects of product concentration and storage lesion on COP. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Three units of each product were sampled longitudinally. COP was measured directly as well as the determinants thereof albumin and total protein. Conventional blood products, that is red blood cell (RBC), fresh-frozen plasma (FFP) and platelet concentrates (PLTs), were compared with their concentrated counterparts: volume-reduced RBCs, hyperconcentrated PLTs, and fully and partially reconstituted lyophilized plasma (prLP). Fresh and maximally stored products were measured to determine changes in protein and COP. We calculated potential volume load (PVL) to estimate volume recruited using albumin's water binding per product. RESULTS: Colloid osmotic pressure varies widely between conventional products (RBCs, 1·9; PLTs, 7·5; and FFP, 20·1 mmHg); however, all are hypooncotic compared with human plasma COP (25·4 mmHg). Storage lesion did not increase COP. Concentrating RBCs and PLTs did not increase COP; only prLP showed a supraphysiological COP of 47·3 mm Hg. The PVL of concentrated products was lower than conventional products. CONCLUSION: Colloid osmotic pressure of conventional products was low. Therefore, third-space fluid recruitment is an unlikely mechanism in TACO. Concentrated products had a lower calculated fluid load and may prevent TACO. Finally, storage did not significantly increase oncotic pressure of blood products.

Comparing volumetric and biochemical assessment of intravasation caused by hysteroscopic surgery.

BACKGROUND: During hysteroscopic surgery intravasation of irrigation fluid occurs, leading to potentially dangerous intravascular fluid overload. Currently, intravasation is usually measured volumetrically as fluid deficit. Intravasation could also be calculated using the decrease in hemoglobin or increase in chloride ion concentration, both phenomena known to result from intravasation. We compared the values of intravasation measured volumetrically as fluid deficit versus calculated from the biochemical change in hemoglobin and chloride. We expected that these values would show strong correlation and agreement. METHODS: In a retrospective data analysis of 51 patients who underwent hysteroscopic resection of myomas or endometrium a pre and post procedure concentration of haemoglobin and chloride was available. The fluid deficit was plotted against the two versions of calculated intravasation. Furthermore, we put the data into Bland-Altman plots to scrutinize their relationship. RESULTS: The volumetric assessed fluid deficit and both versions of biochemically assessed intravasation, either using the change in hemoglobin or chloride ion concentration, turned out to be three totally different entities with weak correlation. Bland-Altman plots show too wide limits of agreement, and a striking difference between the two methods of calculated intravasation. CONCLUSION: Our study shows significant differences and poor agreement between volumetric and biochemically assessed intravasation. Based on this study, routinely assessing intravasation by biochemical methods does not have additional benefit compared to the volumetric fluid deficit. It remains unclear which method resembles true intravasation.

Effect of a Machine Learning-Derived Early Warning System for Intraoperative Hypotension vs Standard Care on Depth and Duration of Intraoperative Hypotension During Elective Noncardiac Surgery: The HYPE Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Intraoperative hypotension is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. A machine learning-derived early warning system to predict hypotension shortly before it occurs has been developed and validated. Objective: To test whether the clinical application of the early warning system in combination with a hemodynamic diagnostic guidance and treatment protocol reduces intraoperative hypotension. Design, Setting, and Participants: Preliminary unblinded randomized clinical trial performed in a tertiary center in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, among adult patients scheduled for elective noncardiac surgery under general anesthesia and an indication for continuous invasive blood pressure monitoring, who were enrolled between May 2018 and March 2019. Hypotension was defined as a mean arterial pressure (MAP) below 65 mm Hg for at least 1 minute. Interventions: Patients were randomly assigned to receive either the early warning system (n = 34) or standard care (n = 34), with a goal MAP of at least 65 mm Hg in both groups. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was time-weighted average of hypotension during surgery, with a unit of measure of millimeters of mercury. This was calculated as the depth of hypotension below a MAP of 65 mm Hg (in millimeters of mercury) × time spent below a MAP of 65 mm Hg (in minutes) divided by total duration of operation (in minutes). Results: Among 68 randomized patients, 60 (88%) completed the trial (median age, 64 [interquartile range {IQR}, 57-70] years; 26 [43%] women). The median length of surgery was 256 minutes (IQR, 213-430 minutes). The median time-weighted average of hypotension was 0.10 mm Hg (IQR, 0.01-0.43 mm Hg) in the intervention group vs 0.44 mm Hg (IQR, 0.23-0.72 mm Hg) in the control group, for a median difference of 0.38 mm Hg (95% CI, 0.14-0.43 mm Hg; P = .001). The median time of hypotension per patient was 8.0 minutes (IQR, 1.33-26.00 minutes) in the intervention group vs 32.7 minutes (IQR, 11.5-59.7 minutes) in the control group, for a median difference of 16.7 minutes (95% CI, 7.7-31.0 minutes; P < .001). In the intervention group, 0 serious adverse events resulting in death occurred vs 2 (7%) in the control group. Conclusions and Relevance: In this single-center preliminary study of patients undergoing elective noncardiac surgery, the use of a machine learning-derived early warning system compared with standard care resulted in less intraoperative hypotension. Further research with larger study populations in diverse settings is needed to understand the effect on additional patient outcomes and to fully assess safety and generalizability. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03376347.

Transfusion-associated circulatory overload-a systematic review of diagnostic biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: Transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO) is the leading cause of transfusion-related major morbidity and mortality. Diagnosing TACO is difficult because there are no pathognomonic signs and symptoms. TACO biomarkers may aid in diagnosis, decrease time to treatment, and differentiate from other causes of posttransfusion dyspnea such a transfusion-related acute lung injury. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A systematic review of literature was performed in EMBASE, PubMed, the TRIP Database, and the Cochrane Library, from inception to June 2018. All articles discussing diagnostic markers for TACO were included. Non-English articles or conference abstracts were excluded. RESULTS: Twenty articles discussing biomarkers for TACO were included. The majority investigated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and the N-terminal prohormone cleavage fragment of BNP (NT-proBNP), markers of hydrostatic pressure that can be determined within 1 hour. The data indicate that a post/pretransfusion NT-proBNP ratio > 1.5 can aid in the diagnosis of TACO. Posttransfusion levels of BNP less than 300 or NT-proBNP less than 2000 pg/mL, drawn within 24 hours of the reaction, make TACO unlikely. Cut-off levels that exclude TACO are currently unclear. In critically ill patients, the specificity of natriuretic peptides for circulatory overload is poor. Other biomarkers, such as cytokine profiles, cannot discriminate between TACO and transfusion-related acute lung injury. CONCLUSION: Currently, BNP and NT-proBNP are the primary diagnostic biomarkers researched for TACO. An NT-proBNP ratio greater than 1.5 is supportive of TACO, and low levels of BNP or NT-proBNP can exclude TACO. However, they are unreliable in critically ill patients. Other biomarkers, including cytokines and pulmonary edema fluid-to-serum protein ratio have not yet been sufficiently investigated for clinical use.

Volume incompliance and transfusion are essential for transfusion-associated circulatory overload: a novel animal model.

BACKGROUND: Transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO) is the predominant complication of transfusion resulting in death. The pathophysiology is poorly understood, but inability to manage volume is associated with TACO, and observational data suggest it is different from simple cardiac overload due to fluids. We developed a two-hit TACO animal model to assess the role of volume incompliance ("first-hit") and studied whether volume overload ("second-hit") by red blood cell (RBC) transfusion is different compared to fluids (Ringer's lactate [RL]). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Male adult Lewis rats were stratified into a control group (no intervention) or a first hit: either myocardial infarction (MI) or acute kidney injury (AKI). Animals were randomized to a second hit of either RBC transfusion or an equal volume of RL. A clinically relevant difference was defined as an increase in left ventricular end-diastolic pressure (ΔLVEDP) of +4.0 mm Hg between the RBC and RL groups. RESULTS: In control animals (without first hit) LVEDP was not different between infusion groups (Δ + 1.6 mm Hg). LVEDP increased significantly more after RBCs compared to RL in animals with MI (Δ7.4 mm Hg) and AKI (Δ + 5.4 mm Hg), respectively. Volume-incompliant rats matched clinical TACO criteria in 92% of transfused versus 25% of RL-infused animals, with a greater increase in heart rate and significantly higher blood pressure. CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this is the first animal model for TACO, showing that a combination of volume incompliance and transfusion is essential for development of circulatory overload. This model allows for further testing of mechanistic factors as well as therapeutic approaches.

On-demand versus continuous rocuronium infusion for deep neuromuscular relaxation in patients undergoing thoraco-laparoscopic esophagectomy: a randomized-controlled clinical trial (DEPTH).

PURPOSE: Deep neuromuscular blockade (NMB) can improve surgical conditions and possibly pain after low-risk laparoscopic surgery. We hypothesized that targeting a deep level of NMB by a continuous compared with an on-demand infusion of rocuronium could improve surgical conditions in patients undergoing thoraco-laparoscopic esophagectomy. METHODS: In this single-centre, randomized-controlled, double-blind trial, patients received either a continuous infusion of rocuronium 0.6 mg·kg-1·hr-1 (intervention) or NaCl 0.9% (control). Both surgeon and anesthesiologist were blinded to group assignment and the train-of-four measurements. Open-label rocuronium was given if requested (i.e., on-demand) by the surgeon. At the end of surgery, sugammadex was given if necessary to reverse the NMB. The primary outcome was the quality of surgical conditions during the abdominal phase of the operation as measured by the surgical rating scale (SRS). Secondary outcomes included the thoracic SRS, number of on-demand boluses, intraoperative surgical events, pain scores (up to 12 hr postoperatively), and duration of surgery. RESULTS: The median [interquartile range] abdominal SRS was not different between the intervention (4 [4-5]) and control (4 [4-5]) groups (median difference, 0; 95% confidence interval, 0 to 0; P = 0.45). The thoracic SRS was 4 [4-4] in both groups (P = 0.23). The median number of rocuronium bolus requests was higher in the control group compared with the intervention group (3 [3-6] vs 1 [0-2], respectively; P < 0.01). There were no between-group differences in intraoperative surgical events (P = 0.05), pain scores (overall P > 0.05), or duration of surgery (P = 0.95). CONCLUSIONS: Continuous rocuronium infusion did not improve surgical conditions when boluses of rocuronium were available on-demand. No major benefits in other outcomes were seen. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EUDRACT (2014-002147-18); registered 19 May, 2014 and clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02320734); registered 18 December, 2014.

Clinical Predictors of Survival and Functional Outcome of Stroke Patients Admitted to Critical Care.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the predictive value of commonly used clinical variables upon ICU admission for long-term all-cause mortality and functional outcome of adult stroke patients admitted to the ICU. DESIGN: Retrospective observational cohort study. SETTING: General and neurosurgical ICUs of the University College London Hospitals in North Central London. PATIENTS: All adult ICU patients with a clinical diagnosis of acute stroke admitted between February 2010 and May 2012. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Demographic and clinical data concerning the first 24 hours after ICU admission were obtained. Patients were followed until February 2016 to assess long-term survival. Functional outcome was determined using the modified Rankin Scale. We evaluated 131 critically ill stroke patients, with a median (interquartile range) age of 70 years (55-78 yr). One-year mortality rate was 52.7%. Surviving patients were followed up over a median (interquartile range) period of 4.3 years (4.0-4.8 yr). The multivariable model that best predicted long-term all-cause mortality indicated that mortality of critically ill stroke patients was predicted by high Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, impaired consciousness (Glasgow Coma Scale score ≤ 8) as reason for ICU admission, low Glasgow Coma Scale sum score after 24 hours, and absence of brainstem reflexes. Long-term independent functional status occurred in 30.9% of surviving patients and was predicted by low Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, high Glasgow Coma Scale sum score at ICU admission, and absence of mass effect on CT scan. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality in critically ill stroke patients is high and occurs most often shortly after the event. Less than one in three surviving patients is able to function independently after 1 year. This study has identified several clinical variables that predict long-term all-cause mortality and functional outcome among critically ill stroke patients and found that mainly acute physiologic disturbance and absolute values of neurologic clinical assessment are predictive.

Incidence, risk factors, and outcome of transfusion-associated circulatory overload in a mixed intensive care unit population: a nested case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to determine the incidence, risk factors, and outcome of transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO) in a cohort of mixed intensive care unit patients and to compare risk factors with those for cardiac overload in the absence of transfusion. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study, patients who developed TACO were compared using multivariate analysis of two control groups: patients without pulmonary deterioration who received transfusion and patients who developed circulatory overload in the absence of transfusion. RESULTS: TACO was diagnosed in 66 of 1140 patients who received transfusions (5.8%). A total of 585 control transfusion recipients and 76 control patients who developed circulatory overload also were identified. Risk factors were the referring specialties cardiology (odds ratio [OR], 13.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 5.1-35.7; p ≤ 0.001) and cardiothoracic surgery (OR, 8.8; 95% CI, 3.7-20.7; p ≤ 0.001), history of cardiac failure (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.2-4.6; p = 0.01), continuous veno-venous hemofiltration (OR, 3.2; 95% CI, 1.2-8.9; p = 0.03), and degree of positive fluid balance (OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.07-1.24; p ≤ 0.001), which was associated less with the onset of TACO compared with circulatory overload (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.82-0.97; p = 0.005). Patients in the TACO group had a longer length of stay in the intensive care unit compared with the transfusion and circulatory overload controls groups (median, 7.2 vs. 4.3 vs. 4.4 days; p = 0.001 vs. p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of TACO is high in a mixed intensive care unit population. The risk factors identified for TACO are cardiac failure, renal failure, and degree of positive fluid balance. A positive fluid balance may be less essential in the onset of TACO than in the onset of circulatory overload in the absence of transfusion.

The use of the oesophageal Doppler in perioperative medicine: new opportunities in research and clinical practice.

The oesophageal Doppler (OD) is a minimally invasive haemodynamic monitor used in the surgical theatre and the ICU. Using the OD, goal-directed therapy (GDT) has been shown to reduce perioperative complications in high-risk surgical patients. However, most GDT protocols currently in use are limited to stroke volume optimisation. In the present manuscript, we examine the conceptual models behind new OD-based measurements. These would provide the clinician with a comprehensive view of haemodynamic pathophysiology; including pre-load, contractility, and afterload. Specifically, volume status could be estimated using mean systemic filling pressure (MSFP), the pressure to which all intravascular pressures equilibrate during asystole. Using the OD, MSFP could be readily estimated by simultaneous measurements of aortic blood flow and arterial pressure with sequential manoeuvres of increasing airway pressure. This would result in subsequent reductions in cardiac output and arterial pressure and would allow for a linear extrapolation of a static MSFP value to a "zero flow" state. In addition, we also demonstrate that EF is proportional to mean blood flow velocity measured in the descending thoracic aorta with the OD. Furthermore, OD-derived indexes of blood flow velocity and acceleration, as well as force and kinetic energy, can be derived and used for continuous assessment of cardiac contractility at the bedside. Using OD-derived parameters, the different components of afterload: inertia, resistance and elastance, could also be individually determined. The integration of these additional haemodynamic parameters could assist the clinician in optimising and individualising haemodynamic performance in unstable patients.

Predicting Fluid Responsiveness by Passive Leg Raising: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of 23 Clinical Trials.

OBJECTIVE: Passive leg raising creates a reversible increase in venous return allowing for the prediction of fluid responsiveness. However, the amount of venous return may vary in various clinical settings potentially affecting the diagnostic performance of passive leg raising. Therefore we performed a systematic meta-analysis determining the diagnostic performance of passive leg raising in different clinical settings with exploration of patient characteristics, measurement techniques, and outcome variables. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and citation tracking of relevant articles. STUDY SELECTION: Clinical trials were selected when passive leg raising was performed in combination with a fluid challenge as gold standard to define fluid responders and non-responders. DATA EXTRACTION: Trials were included if data were reported allowing the extraction of sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. DATA SYNTHESIS: Twenty-three studies with a total of 1,013 patients and 1,034 fluid challenges were included. The analysis demonstrated a pooled sensitivity of 86% (95% CI, 79-92), pooled specificity of 92% (95% CI, 88-96), and a summary area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.92-0.98). Mode of ventilation, type of fluid used, passive leg raising starting position, and measurement technique did not affect the diagnostic performance of passive leg raising. The use of changes in pulse pressure on passive leg raising showed a lower diagnostic performance when compared with passive leg raising-induced changes in flow variables, such as cardiac output or its direct derivatives (sensitivity of 58% [95% CI, 44-70] and specificity of 83% [95% CI, 68-92] vs sensitivity of 85% [95% CI, 78-90] and specificity of 92% [95% CI, 87-94], respectively; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Passive leg raising retains a high diagnostic performance in various clinical settings and patient groups. The predictive value of a change in pulse pressure on passive leg raising is inferior to a passive leg raising-induced change in a flow variable.