Serosurvey for Japanese encephalitis virus antibodies following an outbreak in an immunologically naïve population, Victoria, 2022: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the distribution and prevalence of Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) antibody (as evidence of past infection) in northern Victoria following the 2022 Japanese encephalitis outbreak, seeking to identify groups of people at particular risk of infection; to investigate the distribution and prevalence of antibodies to two related flaviviruses, Murray Valley encephalitis virus (MVEV) and West Nile virus Kunjin subtype (KUNV). STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional serosurvey (part of a national JEV serosurveillance program). SETTING: Three northern Victorian local public health units (Ovens Murray, Goulburn Valley, Loddon Mallee), 8 August - 1 December 2022. PARTICIPANTS: People opportunistically recruited at pathology collection centres and by targeted recruitment through community outreach and advertisements. People vaccinated against or who had been diagnosed with Japanese encephalitis were ineligible for participation, as were those born in countries where JEV is endemic. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Seroprevalence of JEV IgG antibody, overall and by selected factors of interest (occupations, water body exposure, recreational activities and locations, exposure to animals, protective measures). RESULTS: 813 participants were recruited (median age, 59 years [interquartile range, 42-69 years]; 496 female [61%]); 27 were JEV IgG-seropositive (3.3%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.2-4.8%) (median age, 73 years [interquartile range, 63-78 years]; 13 female [48%]); none were IgM-seropositive. JEV IgG-seropositive participants were identified at all recruitment locations, including those without identified cases of Japanese encephalitis. The only risk factors associated with JEV IgG-seropositivity were age (per year: prevalence odds ratio [POR], 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.10) and exposure to feral pigs (POR, 21; 95% CI, 1.7-190). The seroprevalence of antibody to MVEV was 3.0% (95% CI, 1.9-4.5%; 23 of 760 participants), and of KUNV antibody 3.3% (95% CI, 2.1-4.8%; 25 of 761). CONCLUSIONS: People living in northern Victoria are vulnerable to future JEV infection, but few risk factors are consistently associated with infection. Additional prevention strategies, including expanding vaccine eligibility, may be required to protect people in this region from Japanese encephalitis.

An outbreak of gastroenteritis linked to a buffet lunch served at a Canberra restaurant.

In 2013, an outbreak of gastrointestinal illness occurred following a buffet lunch at a restaurant in Canberra. An investigation was conducted to identify the cause of illness and to implement appropriate public health measures to prevent further disease. We conducted a retrospective cohort study via telephone interviews, using a structured questionnaire developed from the restaurant buffet menu. A case was defined as someone who ate the buffet lunch at the restaurant on the implicated date and developed any symptoms of gastrointestinal illness (such as diarrhoea, abdominal pain and nausea) following the consumption of food. A total of 74% (225/303) of known attendees were interviewed, of whom 56% (125/225) had become ill. The median incubation period and duration of illness were 13 and 19 hours respectively. The most commonly reported symptoms were diarrhoea (94%, 118/125) and abdominal pain (82%, 103/125). A toxin-mediated gastrointestinal illness was suspected based on the incubation period, duration of illness and the symptoms. The environmental health investigation identified a lack of designated hand washing facilities in the kitchen, an absence of thermometers for measuring food temperatures and several maintenance and minor cleaning issues. A number of food samples were taken for microbiological analysis. Multivariable analysis showed that illness was significantly associated with consuming curried prawns (OR 18.4, 95% CI 8.6-39.3, P < 0.001) and Caesar salad (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.8-7.5, P 0.001). Enterotoxin-producing Staphylococcus aureus and Bacillus cereus were identified in leftover samples of cooked buffet food, but this food was not epidemiologically implicated. The investigation suggested that a breakdown in cleanliness, temperature control and food handling practices may have resulted in contamination of the buffet food. In order to prevent such outbreaks in the future, caterers and restaurateurs need to ensure they have the appropriate facilities and procedures in place if planning to cater for large groups.

Tuberculosis in elderly Australians: a 10-year retrospective review.

Objective: This report describes the epidemiology of active tuberculosis (TB) in elderly Australians (≥ 65 years) with analysis of the factors associated with TB disease and successful treatment outcomes. Methods: A retrospective study of TB cases reported to the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System over a 10-year period from 2011 to 2020 was conducted. Cases were stratified by sex, age, risk factors, drug resistance, treatment type and outcome. Notification rates and incidence rate ratios with 95% confidence intervals were calculated and factors associated with treatment success analysed using multivariable logistic regression. Results: A total of 2231 TB cases among elderly people were reported over the study period, with a 10-year mean incidence rate of 6.2 per 100 000 population. The median age of cases was 75 years (range 65-100 years); most were male (65%) and born overseas (85%). Multivariable analysis found that successful treatment outcome was strongly associated with younger age, while unsuccessful treatment outcome was associated with being diagnosed within the first 2 years of arrival in Australia, ever having resided in an aged-care facility and resistance to fluoroquinolones. Discussion: Compared to other low-incidence settings in the Western Pacific Region, TB incidence in elderly people is low and stable in Australia, with most cases occurring among recent migrants from TB-endemic settings. Continued efforts to reduce TB importation and address migrant health, especially among elderly people, are important.

The impact of the National Shingles Vaccination Program on the epidemiology of herpes zoster among adults ≥ 60 years in Victoria, Australia.

Introduction: In November 2016, Australia recommended herpes zoster (HZ) vaccination for adults aged ≥ 60 years and implemented a National Shingles Vaccination Program (NSVP) offering free HZ vaccination to adults aged 70-79 years. This study investigated trends in HZ epidemiology among Victorian adults aged ≥ 60 years and the impact of the NSVP in this population. Methods: We conducted epidemiological analyses of routinely collected HZ surveillance data for Victorian adults aged ≥ 60 years who were notified as having a HZ illness or vaccination between 2012 and 2021. Annual incidence rates are presented for vaccinations, case notifications, emergency department presentations, hospitalisations and deaths by five-year age groups. Age-specific incidence rate ratios are calculated comparing the period prior to (1 January 2012 to 31 October 2016) and following (1 November 2016 to 31 December 2021) NSVP implementation. Results: HZ vaccination rates were highest among those eligible to receive free vaccination (70-79 years), but appear to have plateaued across all age groups and remained below full coverage. Incidence rate ratios showed a statistically significant increase (p < 0.01) in HZ notifications across all age-groups. Emergency presentations and hospitalisations showed a statistically significant decline (p < 0.05) among the 70-79 year old age groups; however, these rates remained consistent or increased among other age groups for whom vaccination is recommended. Mortality rates declined, particularly among those aged 85+ years. Discussion: HZ continues to cause significant disease among the older adult population in Victoria. The findings of this study suggest the NSVP has led to some changes in the epidemiology of HZ among the 70-79 years old age group in Victoria; however, there is less evidence that it has influenced other age groups for whom vaccination is recommended. An evaluation of the NSVP and epidemiology of HZ at a national level is required to identify strategies to improve vaccination coverage among the target populations.

Lessons from the re-emergence of imported measles cases following the COVID-19 pandemic in Victoria, Australia.

Introduction: Australia was declared to have eliminated endemic measles in 2014; however, imported cases continue to pose a threat of outbreaks. International travel restrictions during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic led to a rapid decline in measles cases. The re-opening of the Australian international border to measles endemic regions returns the threat of outbreaks, which may be further compounded by disruptions in routine vaccinations during the COVID-19 pandemic. We consider lessons learned from the public health response to recent measles cases. Methods: This case series includes all confirmed measles cases meeting the national case definition reported to the Victorian Government Department of Health (the Department) between 1 January and 31 December 2022. The Department conducted active case finding and contact tracing of all cases in line with national guidelines. Cases were descriptively analysed. Results: In 2022, six of the seven measles cases reported in Australia occurred in Victoria, all of whom resided in Australia and acquired their infection overseas. Three cases were unlinked, and three formed an epidemiologically-linked household cluster. One case was partially vaccinated, one was not eligible for vaccination, one had unknown vaccination status, and three were unvaccinated, one of whom was under 12 months old but would have been eligible for vaccination prior to travel to endemic regions. None of the cases led to secondary transmission within Australia. Discussion: Following the COVID-19 pandemic, measles importations have re-commenced in Victoria. Although few measles cases occurred in 2022 and none resulted in onwards transmission, imported measles cases remain complex and require substantial public health follow-up. Delays in case diagnosis and flight contact tracing pose a significant risk for outbreaks of measles. Public health interventions are needed to maintain high vaccination rates, improve contact tracing, and ensure public health authorities and healthcare providers can rapidly identify and respond to imported measles cases.

An outbreak of acute rheumatic fever in a remote Aboriginal community.

OBJECTIVES: We describe the public health response to an outbreak of acute rheumatic fever (ARF) in a remote Aboriginal community. METHODS: In August 2021, the Northern Territory Rheumatic Heart Disease Control Program identified an outbreak of acute rheumatic fever in a remote Aboriginal community. A public health response was developed using a modified acute poststreptococcal glomerulonephritis protocol and the National Acute Rheumatic Fever Guideline for Public Health Units. RESULTS: 12 cases were diagnosed during the outbreak; six-times the average number of cases in the same period in the five years prior (n=1.8). Half (n=6) of the outbreak cases were classified as recurrent episodes with overdue secondary prophylaxis. Contact tracing and screening of 11 households identified 86 close contacts. CONCLUSIONS: This outbreak represented an increase in both first episodes and recurrences of acute rheumatic fever and highlights the critical need for strengthened delivery of acute rheumatic fever secondary prophylaxis, and for improvements to the social determinants of health in the region. IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH: Outbreaks of acute rheumatic fever are rare despite continuing high rates of acute rheumatic fever experienced by remote Aboriginal communities. Nevertheless, there can be improvements in the current national public health guidance relating to acute rheumatic fever cluster and outbreak management.

How Australia's measles control activities have catalyzed rubella elimination.

BACKGROUND: By 2017, rubella had been officially eliminated in Australia. This success was attributed to Australia's longstanding national immunization programme and two enhanced measles immunization activities using measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccines - the Measles Control Campaign (MCC) and the Young Adult MMR Campaign (YAC). Our study describes the impact of these activities on rubella incidence, and its elimination in Australia. METHODS: Aggregate national serological survey data were assigned to birth cohorts, and mean, median, and age-group estimates calculated and analyzed against MMR immunization coverage estimates (1998-2018) and rubella notifications (1993-2018). Three-year cumulative incidences were calculated by birth cohort. RESULTS: The serological surveys revealed high and stable levels of rubella immunity among females, but estimates for three male cohorts were lower. Since 2007, MMR immunization coverage among children aged 24-27 months has remained above 90% for both doses. The 3-year cumulative incidence of rubella declined across all birth cohorts following the MCC and the YAC. DISCUSSION: Using MMR vaccines to address measles immunity gaps had the additional benefit of controlling rubella in Australia. Both the MCC and YAC shifted rubella epidemiology, accelerating the interruption of endemic transmission. Countries should consider combined measles and rubella vaccines for all catch-up activities.

A novel semi-quantitative methodology for national poliovirus reintroduction and outbreak risk assessment.

BACKGROUND: Under the International Health Regulations (2005), World Health Organization Member States need to verify certification of polio-free status annually. In 2018, Australia sought to reassess and comprehensively characterise the risk posed by wild-type and vaccine-derived poliovirus introductions to national health security. However formal guidelines for national polio risk assessment were not publicly available. METHODS: Four risk elements were identified and weighted using an expert-informed modified Delphi method: reintroduction hazard; population susceptibility; detection capability; and response capability. Australian data and qualitative evidence were analysed, documented and scored against risk element indicators to characterise polio risk as a semi-quantitative estimate and qualitative risk category statement. RESULTS: The semi-quantitative risk characterisation calculated likelihood and impact scores of 0.43 and 0.13, respectively (possible range: 0.02-4.5). The assessment concluded that the risk of poliovirus reintroduction, resultant outbreaks of poliovirus infection, and sustained transmission occurring in Australia is very low. CONCLUSIONS: Until poliovirus is eradicated, it remains in countries' strategic health security interest to maintain optimal investment in polio prevention, preparedness, surveillance and response capability to manage their level of risk. We present a structured, transparent and reproducible methodology for national or sub-national polio risk characterisation that generates evidence for targeted investment to maintain polio-free status.

The effect of COVID-19 public health measures on nationally notifiable diseases in Australia: preliminary analysis.

ABSTRACT: Since the introduction of COVID-19-related public health measures, notifications for most nationally notifiable diseases have declined when compared to previous years. Physical distancing, travel restrictions, and emphasis on hygiene are likely to have affected the number of expected notifications, with the greatest reductions observed among disease spread via person-to-person contact such as influenza, and among overseas-acquired infections such as dengue virus and measles. However, quantifying the magnitude of the effect of COVID-19 public health measures on communicable diseases in Australia will be difficult, due to confounding factors such as: changes in testing priorities in laboratories; diversion of resources to the COVID-19 response; changes in health-seeking behaviours; greater utilisation of telehealth practices; and financial impacts such as income loss and ability to afford healthcare. It is considered likely that these other factors will have also impacted notification numbers.