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1.
Lancet ; 403(10426): 533-544, 2024 Feb 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38310910

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Recently, we found that a new malaria vaccine, R21/Matrix-M, had over 75% efficacy against clinical malaria with seasonal administration in a phase 2b trial in Burkina Faso. Here, we report on safety and efficacy of the vaccine in a phase 3 trial enrolling over 4800 children across four countries followed for up to 18 months at seasonal sites and 12 months at standard sites. METHODS: We did a double-blind, randomised, phase 3 trial of the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine across five sites in four African countries with differing malaria transmission intensities and seasonality. Children (aged 5-36 months) were enrolled and randomly assigned (2:1) to receive 5 µg R21 plus 50 µg Matrix-M or a control vaccine (licensed rabies vaccine [Abhayrab]). Participants, their families, investigators, laboratory teams, and the local study team were masked to treatment. Vaccines were administered as three doses, 4 weeks apart, with a booster administered 12 months after the third dose. Half of the children were recruited at two sites with seasonal malaria transmission and the remainder at standard sites with perennial malaria transmission using age-based immunisation. The primary objective was protective efficacy of R21/Matrix-M from 14 days after third vaccination to 12 months after completion of the primary series at seasonal and standard sites separately as co-primary endpoints. Vaccine efficacy against multiple malaria episodes and severe malaria, as well as safety and immunogenicity, were also assessed. This trial is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04704830, and is ongoing. FINDINGS: From April 26, 2021, to Jan 12, 2022, 5477 children consented to be screened, of whom 1705 were randomly assigned to control vaccine and 3434 to R21/Matrix-M; 4878 participants received the first dose of vaccine. 3103 participants in the R21/Matrix-M group and 1541 participants in the control group were included in the modified per-protocol analysis (2412 [51·9%] male and 2232 [48·1%] female). R21/Matrix-M vaccine was well tolerated, with injection site pain (301 [18·6%] of 1615 participants) and fever (754 [46·7%] of 1615 participants) as the most frequent adverse events. Number of adverse events of special interest and serious adverse events did not significantly differ between the vaccine groups. There were no treatment-related deaths. 12-month vaccine efficacy was 75% (95% CI 71-79; p<0·0001) at the seasonal sites and 68% (61-74; p<0·0001) at the standard sites for time to first clinical malaria episode. Similarly, vaccine efficacy against multiple clinical malaria episodes was 75% (71-78; p<0·0001) at the seasonal sites and 67% (59-73; p<0·0001) at standard sites. A modest reduction in vaccine efficacy was observed over the first 12 months of follow-up, of similar size at seasonal and standard sites. A rate reduction of 868 (95% CI 762-974) cases per 1000 children-years at seasonal sites and 296 (231-362) at standard sites occurred over 12 months. Vaccine-induced antibodies against the conserved central Asn-Ala-Asn-Pro (NANP) repeat sequence of circumsporozoite protein correlated with vaccine efficacy. Higher NANP-specific antibody titres were observed in the 5-17 month age group compared with 18-36 month age group, and the younger age group had the highest 12-month vaccine efficacy on time to first clinical malaria episode at seasonal (79% [95% CI 73-84]; p<0·001) and standard (75% [65-83]; p<0·001) sites. INTERPRETATION: R21/Matrix-M was well tolerated and offered high efficacy against clinical malaria in African children. This low-cost, high-efficacy vaccine is already licensed by several African countries, and recently received a WHO policy recommendation and prequalification, offering large-scale supply to help reduce the great burden of malaria in sub-Saharan Africa. FUNDING: The Serum Institute of India, the Wellcome Trust, the UK National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, and Open Philanthropy.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la Malaria , Malaria , Nanopartículas , Saponinas , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Burkina Faso , Método Doble Ciego , Inmunización , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Vacunas contra la Malaria/efectos adversos
2.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 25(4): 701-709, 2019 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30882307

RESUMEN

Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia is a substantial cause of childhood disease and death, but few studies have described its epidemiology in developing countries. Using a population-based surveillance system for pneumonia, sepsis, and meningitis, we estimated S. aureus bacteremia incidence and the case-fatality ratio in children <5 years of age in 2 regions in the eastern part of The Gambia during 2008-2015. Among 33,060 children with suspected pneumonia, sepsis, or meningitis, we performed blood culture for 27,851; of 1,130 patients with bacteremia, 198 (17.5%) were positive for S. aureus. S. aureus bacteremia incidence was 78 (95% CI 67-91) cases/100,000 person-years in children <5 years of age and 2,080 (95% CI 1,621-2,627) cases/100,000 person-years in neonates. Incidence did not change after introduction of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine. The case-fatality ratio was 14.1% (95% CI 9.6%-19.8%). Interventions are needed to reduce the S. aureus bacteremia burden in The Gambia, particularly among neonates.


Asunto(s)
Bacteriemia , Población Rural , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/microbiología , Staphylococcus aureus , Preescolar , Manejo de la Enfermedad , Femenino , Gambia/epidemiología , Historia del Siglo XXI , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Vacunas Neumococicas/administración & dosificación , Vacunas Neumococicas/inmunología , Vigilancia de la Población , Factores de Riesgo , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/historia , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/prevención & control
3.
Trop Med Int Health ; 24(2): 143-154, 2019 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30461138

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To review the findings of studies of pharyngeal carriage of Neisseria meningitidis and related species conducted in the African meningitis belt since a previous review published in 2007. METHODS: PubMed and Web of Science were searched in July 2018 using the terms 'meningococcal OR Neisseria meningitidis OR lactamica AND carriage AND Africa', with the search limited to papers published on or after 1st January 2007. We conducted a narrative review of these publications. RESULTS: One hundred and thirteen papers were identified using the search terms described above, 20 of which reported new data from surveys conducted in an African meningitis belt country. These papers described 40 surveys conducted before the introduction of the group A meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MenAfriVacR ) during which 66 707 pharyngeal swabs were obtained. Carriage prevalence of N. meningitidis varied substantially by time and place, ranging from <1% to 24%. The mean pharyngeal carriage prevalence of N. meningitidis across all surveys was 4.5% [95% CI: 3.4%, 6.8%] and that of capsulated N. meningitidis was 2.8% [95% CI: 1.9%; 5.2%]. A study of households provided strong evidence for meningococcal transmission within and outside households. The introduction of MenAfriVac® led to marked reductions in carriage of the serogroup A meningococcus in Burkina Faso and Chad. CONCLUSIONS: Recent studies employing standardised methods confirm the findings of older studies that carriage of N. meningitidis in the African meningitis belt is highly variable over time and place, but generally occurs with a lower prevalence and shorter duration than reported from industrialised countries.


Asunto(s)
Portador Sano/epidemiología , Meningitis Meningocócica/epidemiología , Neisseria meningitidis/aislamiento & purificación , África , Humanos , Vacunación Masiva , Meningitis Meningocócica/prevención & control , Vacunas Meningococicas/administración & dosificación , Neisseria meningitidis Serogrupo A
4.
Clin Infect Dis ; 64(5): 645-653, 2017 03 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28362910

RESUMEN

Background: Chronic asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum infections are common in endemic areas and are thought to contribute to the maintenance of malaria immunity. Whether treatment of these infections increases the subsequent risk of clinical episodes of malaria is unclear. Methods: In a 3-year study in Mali, asymptomatic individuals with or without P. falciparum infection at the end of the 6-month dry season were identified by polymerase chain reaction (PCR), and clinical malaria risk was compared during the ensuing 6-month malaria transmission season. At the end of the second dry season, 3 groups of asymptomatic children were identified: (1) children infected with P. falciparum as detected by rapid diagnostic testing (RDT) who were treated with antimalarials (n = 104), (2) RDT-negative children whose untreated P. falciparum infections were detected retrospectively by PCR (n = 55), and (3) uninfected children (RDT/PCR negative) (n = 434). Clinical malaria risk during 2 subsequent malaria seasons was compared. Plasmodium falciparum-specific antibody kinetics during the dry season were compared in children who did or did not harbor asymptomatic P. falciparum infections. Results: Chronic asymptomatic P. falciparum infection predicted decreased clinical malaria risk during the subsequent malaria season(s); treatment of these infections did not alter this reduced risk. Plasmodium falciparum-specific antibodies declined similarly in children who did or did not harbor chronic asymptomatic P. falciparum infection during the dry season. Conclusions: These findings challenge the notion that chronic asymptomatic P. falciparum infection maintains malaria immunity and suggest that mass drug administration during the dry season should not increase the subsequent risk of clinical malaria.


Asunto(s)
Malaria Falciparum/epidemiología , Plasmodium falciparum , Adolescente , Adulto , Anticuerpos Antiprotozoarios/sangre , Anticuerpos Antiprotozoarios/inmunología , Antimaláricos/farmacología , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Infecciones Asintomáticas , Niño , Preescolar , Enfermedad Crónica , Femenino , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina G/sangre , Inmunoglobulina G/inmunología , Lactante , Malaria Falciparum/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria Falciparum/parasitología , Malaria Falciparum/transmisión , Masculino , Malí/epidemiología , Plasmodium falciparum/efectos de los fármacos , Plasmodium falciparum/genética , Plasmodium falciparum/inmunología , Vigilancia de la Población , Riesgo , Estaciones del Año , Adulto Joven
5.
BMC Genomics ; 18(1): 398, 2017 05 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28532434

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Serogroup A Neisseria meningitidis (NmA) was the cause of the 2011 meningitis epidemics in Chad. This bacterium, often carried asymptomatically, is considered to be an "accidental pathogen"; however, the transition from carriage to disease phenotype remains poorly understood. This study examined the role genetic diversity might play in this transition by comparing genomes from geographically and temporally matched invasive and carried NmA isolates. RESULTS: All 23 NmA isolates belonged to the ST-5 clonal complex (cc5). Ribosomal MLST comparison with other publically available NmA:cc5 showed that isolates were closely related, although those from Chad formed two distinct branches and did not cluster with other NmA, based on their MLST profile, geographical and temporal location. Whole genome MLST (wgMLST) comparison identified 242 variable genes among all Chadian isolates and clustered them into three distinct phylogenetic groups (Clusters 1, 2, and 3): no systematic clustering by disease or carriage source was observed. There was a significant difference (p = 0.0070) between the mean age of the individuals from which isolates from Cluster 1 and Cluster 2 were obtained, irrespective of whether the person was a case or a carrier. CONCLUSIONS: Whole genome sequencing provided high-resolution characterization of the genetic diversity of these closely related NmA isolates. The invasive meningococcal isolates obtained during the epidemic were not homogeneous; rather, a variety of closely related but distinct clones were circulating in the human population with some clones preferentially colonizing specific age groups, reflecting a potential age-related niche adaptation. Systematic genetic differences were not identified between carriage and disease isolates consistent with invasive meningococcal disease being a multi-factorial event resulting from changes in host-pathogen interactions along with the bacterium.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Asintomáticas/epidemiología , Epidemias , Genómica , Meningitis Meningocócica/epidemiología , Neisseria meningitidis/genética , Neisseria meningitidis/fisiología , Serogrupo , Adolescente , Adulto , Chad/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Análisis por Conglomerados , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Secuenciación Completa del Genoma , Adulto Joven
6.
J Clin Microbiol ; 54(11): 2743-2748, 2016 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27582517

RESUMEN

Conventional methods for detecting pharyngeal carriage of Neisseria meningitidis are complex. There is a need for simpler methods with improved performance. We have investigated two alternative approaches. Three pharyngeal swabs were collected from 999 pupils aged 10 to 18 years in The Gambia. Carriage of N. meningitidis was investigated by using three different methods: (i) plating on Thayer-Martin selective medium and testing by conventional microbiological methods followed by PCR testing; (ii) seeding in Todd-Hewitt broth (THB) and, after culture overnight, testing by PCR; and (iii) compression of the swab on filter paper and, after DNA concentration, testing by PCR. PCR after culture in THB was more than twice as sensitive as conventional methods in detecting N. meningitidis (13.2% versus 5.7%; P < 0.0001). PCR after DNA extraction from filter paper had a sensitivity similar to that of conventional methods (4.9% versus 5.7%; P = 0.33). Capsular genogroups detected by broth culture were genogroups W (21 isolates), B (12 isolates), Y (8 isolates), E (3 isolates), and X (2 isolates), and 68 meningococci had the capsule-null intergenic region. The distributions of genogroups and of capsule-null organisms were similar with each of the three methods. The carriage density in samples extracted from filter paper ranged from 1 to 25,000 DNA copies. PCR of broth cultures grown overnight doubled the yield of N. meningitidis carriage isolates compared with conventional methods. This approach could improve the efficiency of carriage studies. Collection on filter paper followed by quantitative PCR could be useful for density measurement and for carriage studies in areas with limited resources.


Asunto(s)
Carga Bacteriana/métodos , Portador Sano/diagnóstico , Infecciones Meningocócicas/diagnóstico , Neisseria meningitidis/aislamiento & purificación , Faringe/microbiología , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa/métodos , Adolescente , Niño , Estudios Transversales , Medios de Cultivo/química , Femenino , Gambia , Humanos , Masculino , Sensibilidad y Especificidad
7.
BMC Pediatr ; 16: 39, 2016 Mar 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26979832

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A high twinning rate and an increased risk of mortality among twins contribute to the high burden of infant mortality in Africa. This study examined the contribution of twins to neonatal and post-neonatal mortality in The Gambia, and evaluated factors that contribute to the excess mortality among twins. METHODS: We analysed data from the Basse Health and Demographic Surveillance System (BHDSS) collected from January 2009 to December 2013. Demographic and epidemiological variables were assessed for their association with mortality in different age groups. RESULTS: We included 32,436 singletons and 1083 twins in the analysis (twining rate 16.7/1000 deliveries). Twins represented 11.8 % of all neonatal deaths and 7.8 % of post-neonatal deaths. Mortality among twins was higher than in singletons [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 4.33 (95 % CI: 3.09, 6.06) in the neonatal period and 2.61 (95 % CI: 1.85, 3.68) in the post-neonatal period]. Post-neonatal mortality among twins increased in girls (P for interaction = 0.064), being born during the dry season (P for interaction = 0.030) and lacking access to clean water (P for interaction = 0.042). CONCLUSION: Mortality among twins makes a significant contribution to the high burden of neonatal and post-neonatal mortality in The Gambia and preventive interventions targeting twins should be prioritized.


Asunto(s)
Mortalidad Infantil , Gemelos/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Gambia/epidemiología , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Oportunidad Relativa , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo
8.
J Infect Dis ; 211(5): 680-8, 2015 Mar 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25180240

RESUMEN

Plasmodium falciparum parasites that are resistant to artemisinins have been detected in Southeast Asia. Resistance is associated with several polymorphisms in the parasite's K13-propeller gene. The molecular epidemiology of these artemisinin resistance genotypes in African parasite populations is unknown. We developed an assay to quantify rare polymorphisms in parasite populations that uses a pooled deep-sequencing approach to score allele frequencies, validated it by evaluating mixtures of laboratory parasite strains, and then used it to screen P. falciparum parasites from >1100 African infections collected since 2002 from 14 sites across sub-Saharan Africa. We found no mutations in African parasite populations that are associated with artemisinin resistance in Southeast Asian parasites. However, we observed 15 coding mutations, including 12 novel mutations, and limited allele sharing between parasite populations, consistent with a large reservoir of naturally occurring K13-propeller variation. Although polymorphisms associated with artemisinin resistance in P. falciparum in Southeast Asia are not prevalent in sub-Saharan Africa, numerous K13-propeller coding polymorphisms circulate in Africa. Although their distributions do not support a widespread selective sweep for an artemisinin-resistant phenotype, the impact of these mutations on artemisinin susceptibility is unknown and will require further characterization. Rapid, scalable molecular surveillance offers a useful adjunct in tracking and containing artemisinin resistance.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/farmacología , Artemisininas/farmacología , Malaria Falciparum/parasitología , Mutación , Plasmodium falciparum/efectos de los fármacos , Adulto , África del Sur del Sahara/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Frecuencia de los Genes , Genotipo , Secuenciación de Nucleótidos de Alto Rendimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Epidemiología Molecular , Plasmodium falciparum/aislamiento & purificación , Polimorfismo Genético , Embarazo , Prevalencia
9.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 21(1): 115-8, 2015 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25536336

RESUMEN

In 2011, vaccination with a serogroup A meningococcal polysaccharide conjugate vaccine was implemented in 3 of 23 regions in Chad. Cases of meningitis declined dramatically in vaccinated areas, but an epidemic continued in the rest of Chad. In 2012, the remaining Chad population was vaccinated, and the epidemic was halted.


Asunto(s)
Meningitis Meningocócica/prevención & control , Vacunas Meningococicas/administración & dosificación , Vacunación , Adolescente , Adulto , Chad/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Lactante , Meningitis Meningocócica/epidemiología , Meningitis Meningocócica/inmunología , Adulto Joven
10.
Malar J ; 14: 321, 2015 Aug 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26283418

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Long-acting artemisinin-based combination therapy (LACT) offers the potential to prevent recurrent malaria attacks in highly exposed children. However, it is not clear where this advantage will be most important, and deployment of these drugs is not rationalized on this basis. METHODS: To understand where post-treatment prophylaxis would be most beneficial, the relationship between seasonality, transmission intensity and the interval between malaria episodes was explored using data from six cohort studies in West Africa and an individual-based malaria transmission model. The total number of recurrent malaria cases per 1000 child-years at risk, and the fraction of the total annual burden that this represents were estimated for sub-Saharan Africa. RESULTS: In settings where prevalence is less than 10 %, repeat malaria episodes constitute a small fraction of the total burden, and few repeat episodes occur within the window of protection provided by currently available drugs. However, in higher transmission settings, and particularly in high transmission settings with highly seasonal transmission, repeat malaria becomes increasingly important, with up to 20 % of the total clinical burden in children estimated to be due to repeat episodes within 4 weeks of a prior attack. CONCLUSION: At a given level of transmission intensity and annual incidence, the concentration of repeat malaria episodes in time, and consequently the protection from LACT is highest in the most seasonal areas. As a result, the degree of seasonality, in addition to the overall intensity of transmission, should be considered by policy makers when deciding between ACT that differ in their duration of post-treatment prophylaxis.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Artemisininas/uso terapéutico , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Quimioterapia Combinada , Humanos , Incidencia , Malaria/transmisión , Estaciones del Año
11.
J Infect Dis ; 209(7): 1126-35, 2014 Apr 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24265439

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Analysis of genome-wide polymorphism in many organisms has potential to identify genes under recent selection. However, data on historical allele frequency changes are rarely available for direct confirmation. METHODS: We genotyped single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 4 Plasmodium falciparum drug resistance genes in 668 archived parasite-positive blood samples of a Gambian population between 1984 and 2008. This covered a period before antimalarial resistance was detected locally, through subsequent failure of multiple drugs until introduction of artemisinin combination therapy. We separately performed genome-wide sequence analysis of 52 clinical isolates from 2008 to prospect for loci under recent directional selection. RESULTS: Resistance alleles increased from very low frequencies, peaking in 2000 for chloroquine resistance-associated crt and mdr1 genes and at the end of the survey period for dhfr and dhps genes respectively associated with pyrimethamine and sulfadoxine resistance. Temporal changes fit a model incorporating likely selection coefficients over the period. Three of the drug resistance loci were in the top 4 regions under strong selection implicated by the genome-wide analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Genome-wide polymorphism analysis of an endemic population sample robustly identifies loci with detailed documentation of recent selection, demonstrating power to prospectively detect emerging drug resistance genes.


Asunto(s)
Resistencia a Medicamentos , Malaria Falciparum/epidemiología , Malaria Falciparum/parasitología , Plasmodium falciparum/efectos de los fármacos , Plasmodium falciparum/genética , Selección Genética , Alelos , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , ADN Protozoario/química , ADN Protozoario/genética , Gambia/epidemiología , Genoma de Protozoos , Genotipo , Humanos , Malaria Falciparum/tratamiento farmacológico , Plasmodium falciparum/aislamiento & purificación , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple , Análisis de Secuencia de ADN
12.
Malar J ; 12: 222, 2013 Jul 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23815826

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: As countries make progress in malaria control, transmission may be reduced to such an extent that few cases occur, and identification of the remaining foci of transmission may require a combination of surveillance tools. The study explored the usefulness of parasite prevalence, seroprevalence and model-estimated seroconversion rates for detecting local differences in malaria transmission in a West African country. METHODS: Age-stratified cross-sectional surveys were conducted during the wet season in 2008 and the following dry season in 2009 in The Gambia. In each season, 20 village communities were sampled from six diverse areas throughout the country. A total of 7,586 participants were surveyed, 51% (3,870) during the wet season. Parasites were detected by thick film slide microscopy, and anti-MSP1-19 antibodies were detected by ELISA using eluted dried blood from filter papers. RESULTS: Overall parasite prevalence was 12.4% in the wet season and 2.2% in the dry season, with village-specific parasite prevalence ranging from 1.4 to 45.9% in the wet season and from 0.0 to 13.2% in the dry season. Prevalence was highest in the eastern part of the country. Serological indices also varied between villages, indicating local heterogeneity in transmission, and there was a high correlation between wet and dry season estimates across the villages. The overall prevalence of anti-MSP119 antibodies was similar in the wet (19.5%) and in the dry (19.6%) seasons. CONCLUSION: The study illustrates the utility of measuring both parasite prevalence and serological indices for monitoring local variation in malaria transmission, which are more informative than single measures as control intensifies and malaria declines. Measurements of seropositivity have the logistical advantage of being relative stable seasonally so that sampling at any time of year may be conducted.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Antiprotozoarios/sangre , Malaria/epidemiología , Plasmodium/aislamiento & purificación , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Ensayo de Inmunoadsorción Enzimática , Femenino , Gambia/epidemiología , Geografía , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Malaria/diagnóstico , Malaria/inmunología , Malaria/parasitología , Masculino , Microscopía , Persona de Mediana Edad , Plasmodium/citología , Plasmodium/inmunología , Estaciones del Año , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Adulto Joven
13.
Malar J ; 12: 355, 2013 Oct 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24093726

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Malaria transmission is highly heterogeneous and analysis of incidence data must account for this for correct statistical inference. Less widely appreciated is the occurrence of a large number of zero counts (children without a malaria episode) in malaria cohort studies. Zero-inflated regression methods provide one means of addressing this issue, and also allow risk factors providing complete and partial protection to be disentangled. METHODS: Poisson, negative binomial (NB), zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) and zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) regression models were fitted to data from two cohort studies of malaria in children in Ghana. Multivariate models were used to understand risk factors for elevated incidence of malaria and for remaining malaria-free, and to estimate the fraction of the population not at risk of malaria. RESULTS: ZINB models, which account for both heterogeneity in individual risk and an unexposed sub-group within the population, provided the best fit to data in both cohorts. These approaches gave additional insight into the mechanism of factors influencing the incidence of malaria compared to simpler approaches, such as NB regression. For example, compared to urban areas, rural residence was found to both increase the incidence rate of malaria among exposed children, and increase the probability of being exposed. In Navrongo, 34% of urban residents were estimated to be at no risk, compared to 3% of rural residents. In Kintampo, 47% of urban residents and 13% of rural residents were estimated to be at no risk. CONCLUSION: These results illustrate the utility of zero-inflated regression methods for analysis of malaria cohort data that include a large number of zero counts. Specifically, these results suggest that interventions that reach mainly urban residents will have limited overall impact, since some urban residents are essentially at no risk, even in areas of high endemicity, such as in Ghana.


Asunto(s)
Malaria/epidemiología , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Femenino , Ghana/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Factores de Riesgo , Estadística como Asunto
14.
J Glob Health ; 13: 04106, 2023 Sep 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37772795

RESUMEN

Background: Invasive bacterial diseases (IBD) cause significant mortality in young infants. There are limited population-based data on IBD in young infants in Sub-Saharan Africa. Methods: We conducted population-based surveillance for IBD among infants aged 0-90 days in a demographic surveillance area in rural Gambia between 1 March 2011 and 31 December 2017. Infants admitted to health facilities within the study area had standardised clinical evaluation plus conventional microbiological investigation. We defined IBD as isolation of pathogenic bacteria from blood, cerebrospinal fluid, lung, or pleural aspirate. We determined incidence, aetiology and case-fatality of IBD. Results: A total of 3794 infants were admitted and 3605 (95%) had at least one sample collected for culture. We detected 254 (8.0%) episodes of IBD (bacteraemia 241; meningitis 14; pneumonia seven). The incidence of IBD in infants aged 0-90 days was 25 episodes/1000 person-years (95% confidence interval (CI) = 22-28), the incidence in neonates was 50 episodes/1000 person-years (95% CI = 43-58) and the incidence in infants aged 29-90 days was 12 episodes/1000 person-years (95% CI = 9-15). The most common pathogens causing IBD were Staphylococcus aureus (n = 102, 40%), Escherichia coli (n = 37, 15%), Streptococcus pneumoniae (n = 24, 9%) and Klebsiella pneumoniae (n = 12, 5%). Case-fatality was 29% (95% CI = 23-37) in neonates and 19% (95% CI = 11-29) in infants aged 29-90 days. A minimum of 7.3% of all young infant deaths in the population were caused by IBD. Conclusions: IBD are common in young infants in rural Gambia and have a high case-fatality. Strategies are needed to prevent IBD in young infants. Overcoming barriers to widespread implementation of existing vaccines and developing new vaccines against the most common pathogens causing IBD should be among top priorities for reducing the high mortality rate in young infants.

15.
PLoS Med ; 9(1): e1001161, 2012 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22272192

RESUMEN

Routine use of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) in developing countries is expected to lead to a significant reduction in childhood deaths. However, PCVs have been associated with replacement disease with non-vaccine serotypes. We established a population-based surveillance system to document the direct and indirect impact of PCVs on the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and radiological pneumonia in those aged 2 months and older in The Gambia, and to monitor changes in serotype-specific IPD. Here we describe how this surveillance system was set up and is being operated as a partnership between the Medical Research Council Unit and the Gambian Government. This surveillance system is expected to provide crucial information for immunisation policy and serves as a potential model for those introducing routine PCV vaccination in diverse settings.


Asunto(s)
Implementación de Plan de Salud/métodos , Vacunas Neumococicas/inmunología , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Vacunas Conjugadas/inmunología , Áreas de Influencia de Salud , Gambia/epidemiología , Geografía , Implementación de Plan de Salud/economía , Humanos , Tamizaje Masivo , Enfermeras y Enfermeros , Vacunas Neumococicas/economía , Tamaño de la Muestra , Vacunas Conjugadas/economía
16.
PLoS One ; 17(8): e0265299, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35947593

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The introduction in many countries of conjugate vaccines against Haemophilus influenzae type b, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Neisseria meningitidis has led to significant reductions in acute bacterial meningitis (ABM) in children. However, recent population-based data on ABM in sub-Saharan Africa are limited. METHODS: Population-based surveillance for meningitis was carried out in a rural area of The Gambia under demographic surveillance from 2008 to 2017, using standardised criteria for referral, diagnosis and investigation. We calculated incidence using population denominators. RESULTS: We diagnosed 1,666 patients with suspected meningitis and collected cerebrospinal fluid (n = 1,121) and/or blood (n = 1,070) from 1,427 (88%) of cases. We identified 169 cases of ABM, 209 cases of suspected non-bacterial meningitis (SNBM) and 1,049 cases of clinically suspected meningitis (CSM). The estimated average annual incidence of ABM was high at 145 per 100,000 population in the <2-month age group, 56 per 100,000 in the 2-23-month age group, but lower at 5 per 100,000 in the 5-14-year age group. The most common causes of ABM were Streptococcus pneumoniae (n = 44), Neisseria meningitidis (n = 42), and Gram-negative coliform bacteria (n = 26). Eighteen of 22 cases caused by pneumococcal serotypes included in PCV13 occurred prior to vaccine introduction and four afterwards. The overall case fatality ratio for ABM was 29% (49/169) and was highest in the <2-month age group 37% (10/27). The case fatality ratio was 8.6% (18/209) for suspected non-bacterial meningitis and 12.8% (134/1049) for clinically suspected meningitis cases. CONCLUSIONS: Gambian children continue to experience substantial morbidity and mortality associated with suspected meningitis, especially acute bacterial meningitis. Such severely ill children in sub-Saharan Africa require improved diagnostics and clinical care.


Asunto(s)
Meningitis Bacterianas , Neisseria meningitidis , Niño , Gambia/epidemiología , Bacterias Gramnegativas , Humanos , Lactante , Meningitis Bacterianas/líquido cefalorraquídeo , Meningitis Bacterianas/diagnóstico , Meningitis Bacterianas/epidemiología , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Vacunas Conjugadas
17.
J Clin Invest ; 118(4): 1266-76, 2008 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18382739

RESUMEN

There are still approximately 500 million cases of malaria and 1 million deaths from malaria each year. Yet recently, malaria incidence has been dramatically reduced in some parts of Africa by increasing deployment of anti-mosquito measures and new artemisinin-containing treatments, prompting renewed calls for global eradication. However, treatment and mosquito control currently depend on too few compounds and thus are vulnerable to the emergence of compound-resistant parasites and mosquitoes. As discussed in this Review, new drugs, vaccines, and insecticides, as well as improved surveillance methods, are research priorities. Insights into parasite biology, human immunity, and vector behavior will guide efforts to translate parasite and mosquito genome sequences into novel interventions.


Asunto(s)
Malaria/parasitología , Animales , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Resistencia a Medicamentos/efectos de los fármacos , Humanos , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria/epidemiología , Malaria/prevención & control , Vacunas contra la Malaria/inmunología , Plasmodium falciparum/fisiología
18.
Lancet ; 376(9752): 1566-78, 2010 Nov 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21035842

RESUMEN

In the past 150 years, roughly half of the countries in the world eliminated malaria. Nowadays, there are 99 endemic countries-67 are controlling malaria and 32 are pursuing an elimination strategy. This four-part Series presents evidence about the technical, operational, and financial dimensions of malaria elimination. The first paper in this Series reviews definitions of elimination and the state that precedes it: controlled low-endemic malaria. Feasibility assessments are described as a crucial step for a country transitioning from controlled low-endemic malaria to elimination. Characteristics of the 32 malaria-eliminating countries are presented, and contrasted with countries that pursued elimination in the past. Challenges and risks of elimination are presented, including Plasmodium vivax, resistance in the parasite and mosquito populations, and potential resurgence if investment and vigilance decrease. The benefits of elimination are outlined, specifically elimination as a regional and global public good. Priorities for the next decade are described.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Endémicas/prevención & control , Malaria/prevención & control , Animales , Demografía , Resistencia a Medicamentos , Economía , Humanos , Malaria/epidemiología , Malaria/transmisión , Malaria Vivax/tratamiento farmacológico , Plasmodium vivax/efectos de los fármacos
19.
Trop Med Int Health ; 16(10): 1314-25, 2011 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21707875

RESUMEN

UNLABELLED: To describe how, through a DSS in a rural area of The Gambia, it has been possible to measure substantial reductions in child mortality rates and how we investigated whether the decline paralleled the registered fall in malaria incidence in the country. METHODS: Demographic surveillance data spanning 19.5 years (1 April 1989-30 September 2008) from 42 villages around the town of Farafenni, The Gambia, were used to estimate childhood mortality rates for neonatal, infant, child (1-4 years) and under-5 age groups. Data were presented in five a priori defined time periods, and annual rates per 1000 live births were derived from Kaplan-Meier survival probabilities. RESULTS: From 1989-1992 to 2004-2008, under-5 mortality declined by 56% (95% CI: 48-63%), from 165 (95% CI: 151-181) per 1000 live births to 74 (95% CI: 65-84) per 1000 live births. In 1- to 4-year-olds, mortality during the period 2004-2008 was 69% (95% CI: 60-76%) less than in 1989-1992. The corresponding mortality decline in infants was 39% (95% CI: 23-52%); in neonates, it was 38% (95% CI: 13-66%). The derived annual under-5 mortality rates declined from 159 per 1000 live births in 1990 to 45 per 1000 live births in 2008, thus implying an attainment of MDG4 seven years in advance of the target year of 2015. CONCLUSION: Achieving MDG4 is possible in poor, rural areas of Africa through widespread deployment of relatively simple measures that improve child survival, such as immunisation and effective malaria control.


Asunto(s)
Mortalidad del Niño/tendencias , Mortalidad Infantil/tendencias , Mortalidad Perinatal/tendencias , Distribución por Edad , Causas de Muerte , Preescolar , Gambia/epidemiología , Humanos , Lactante , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Distribución de Poisson , Vigilancia de la Población , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estaciones del Año , Tasa de Supervivencia
20.
Malar J ; 10: 2, 2011 Jan 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21214940

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Individual malaria interventions provide only partial protection in most epidemiological situations. Thus, there is a need to investigate whether combining interventions provides added benefit in reducing mortality and morbidity from malaria. The potential benefits of combining IPT in children (IPTc) with home management of malaria (HMM) was investigated. METHODS: During the 2008 malaria transmission season, 1,277 children under five years of age resident in villages within the rural Farafenni demographic surveillance system (DSS) in North Bank Region, The Gambia were randomized to receive monthly IPTc with a single dose of sulphadoxine/pyrimethamine (SP) plus three doses of amodiaquine (AQ) or SP and AQ placebos given by village health workers (VHWs) on three occasions during the months of September, October and November, in a double-blind trial. Children in all study villages who developed an acute febrile illness suggestive of malaria were treated by VHWs who had been taught how to manage malaria with artemether-lumefantrine (Coartem™). The primary aims of the project were to determine whether IPTc added significant benefit to HMM and whether VHWs could effectively combine the delivery of both interventions. RESULTS: The incidence of clinical attacks of malaria was very low in both study groups. The incidence rate of malaria in children who received IPTc was 0.44 clinical attacks per 1,000 child months at risk while that for control children was 1.32 per 1,000 child months at risk, a protective efficacy of 66% (95% CI -23% to 96%; p = 0.35). The mean (standard deviation) haemoglobin concentration at the end of the malaria transmission season was similar in the two treatment groups: 10.2 (1.6) g/dL in the IPTc group compared to 10.3 (1.5) g/dL in the placebo group. Coverage with IPTc was high, with 94% of children receiving all three treatments during the study period. CONCLUSION: Due to the very low incidence of malaria, no firm conclusion can be drawn on the added benefit of IPTc in preventing clinical episodes of malaria among children who had access to HMM in The Gambia. However, the study showed that VHWs can successfully combine provision of HMM with provision of IPTc.


Asunto(s)
Amodiaquina/administración & dosificación , Antimaláricos/administración & dosificación , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria/prevención & control , Pirimetamina/administración & dosificación , Sulfadoxina/administración & dosificación , Preescolar , Método Doble Ciego , Combinación de Medicamentos , Femenino , Gambia , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Masculino , Placebos/administración & dosificación , Población Rural , Resultado del Tratamiento
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