Application of machine learning to determine top predictors of noncalcified coronary burden in psoriasis: An observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Psoriasis is associated with elevated risk of heart attack and increased accumulation of subclinical noncalcified coronary burden by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). Machine learning algorithms have been shown to effectively analyze well-characterized data sets. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we used machine learning algorithms to determine the top predictors of noncalcified coronary burden by CCTA in psoriasis. METHODS: The analysis included 263 consecutive patients with 63 available variables from the Psoriasis Atherosclerosis Cardiometabolic Initiative. The random forest algorithm was used to determine the top predictors of noncalcified coronary burden by CCTA. We evaluated our results using linear regression models. RESULTS: Using the random forest algorithm, we found that the top 10 predictors of noncalcified coronary burden were body mass index, visceral adiposity, total adiposity, apolipoprotein A1, high-density lipoprotein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, subcutaneous adiposity, small low-density lipoprotein particle, cholesterol efflux capacity and the absolute granulocyte count. Linear regression of noncalcified coronary burden yielded results consistent with our machine learning output. LIMITATION: We were unable to provide external validation and did not study cardiovascular events. CONCLUSION: Machine learning methods identified the top predictors of noncalcified coronary burden in psoriasis. These factors were related to obesity, dyslipidemia, and inflammation, showing that these are important targets when treating comorbidities in psoriasis.

Implementation of Telemedicine in Pediatric and Neonatal Transport.

OBJECTIVE: Telemedicine uses video technology to communicate visual clinical information. This study aimed to implement telemedicine in pediatric and neonatal transport, assess its value, and identify barriers. METHODS: This prospective study implemented telemedicine before transport to a tertiary care children's hospital. A preimplementation survey assessed attitudes toward telemedicine and perceived barriers. During the 12-week pilot, a video connection was initiated between transport and medical control. We collected survey results measuring telemedicine usefulness and hindrance after each use. A postimplementation survey assessed opinions about when telemedicine was useful. RESULTS: Initially, 82% of users had no direct experience with telemedicine. Perceived utility and burden of telemedicine varied significantly by department. During the study, telemedicine was offered 65% of the time, initiated in 47% of cases, and successful in 30% of cases. The greatest barrier was connectivity. Over time, transport members and physicians found telemedicine to be significantly more useful. In 14 cases, telemedicine changed patient outcome or management. Providers who reported a change in management rated telemedicine as significantly more useful. CONCLUSION: This prospective pilot successfully implemented telemedicine before pediatric transport. Telemedicine was more useful in patients with visual findings on examination and, in some cases, changed the clinical outcome.

Association of aortic vascular uptake of 18FDG by PET/CT and aortic wall thickness by MRI in psoriasis: a prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: The contribution of inflammation to the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been increasingly recognized in recent years. We investigated the relationship of aortic vascular uptake of 18F-FDG by PET/CT and aortic wall thickness (AWT) by MRI in psoriasis, a chronic inflammatory disease with increased incidence of CVD. One hundred sixty-five patients with plaque psoriasis participated in an ongoing longitudinal cohort study. Subclinical atherosclerosis was assessed as aortic uptake of 18F-FDG by PET/CT reported as target-to-background ratio (TBR) and AWT by MRI reported as maximal thickness. RESULTS: Patients with psoriasis were middle aged, predominantly male, and had mild CV risk by traditional risk factors. Psoriasis severity as measured by PASI score was a notable determinant of AWT (ρ = 0.20, p = 0.01). Moreover, aortic vascular uptake of 18F-FDG associated with AWT by MRI at baseline in unadjusted analysis (ß = 0.27 p = 0.001) and following adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, waist-to-hip ratio, and statin use (ß = 0.21 p = 0.01). Finally, following 1 year of psoriasis treatment, a decrease in aortic vascular uptake of 18F-FDG was associated with a reduction in AWT in fully adjusted models (ß = 0.33, p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: In conclusion, we demonstrate that psoriasis severity and aortic vascular uptake of 18F-FDG in the aorta were associated with AWT. Following treatment of psoriasis, a decrease in aortic vascular uptake of 18F-FDG was associated with a reduction in AWT at 1 year. These findings suggest that aortic vascular uptake of 18F-FDG is associated with early evidence of vascular disease assessed by aortic wall thickness. Prospective studies in larger populations including other inflammatory diseases are warranted.

Incremental Value of Polygenic Risk Scores in Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease: A Review.

Importance: Risk prediction for coronary heart disease (CHD) is a cornerstone of primary prevention strategies. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have emerged as a new approach to predict risk in asymptomatic people. Polygenic risk scores for CHD have been studied in several populations, but there is lack of agreement about the incremental value of PRS beyond traditional risk factor scores in the primary prevention of CHD. Observations: This narrative review critically appraised the 5 most highly cited studies published through 2021 that also included a large number (>45 000) of single-nucleotide variations (formerly single-nucleotide polymorphisms) and evaluated the incremental value of PRS in CHD risk prediction according to published PRS reporting standards. The cohorts studied included the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, FINRISK, the Framingham Heart Study, the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and the UK Biobank. All of the studies focused predominantly on populations of European ancestry. The hazard ratio per standard deviation of PRS ranged from 1.24 (95% CI, 1.15-1.34) to 1.74 (95% CI, 1.61-1.86). The C statistic for PRS alone ranged from 0.549 to 0.623. The change in C statistic when PRS was added to a standard risk factor model ranged between -0.001 to +0.021. Net reclassification index was reported in 4 of the 5 studies and varied from 0.001 to 0.097. At a sensitivity (true-positive rate) of 90%, positive predictive values ranged from 1.8% to 16.6%, and false-positive rates ranged from 77.1% to 85.7%. Conclusions and Relevance: In this review, PRS was significantly associated with CHD risk in all studies. The degree of improvement in C statistic and the net reclassification indexes when PRS was added to traditional risk scores ranged from negligible to modest. Based on established metrics to assess risk prediction scores, the addition of PRS to traditional risk scores does not appear to provide meaningful improvements in clinical decision-making in primary prevention populations.

Changes in proportionate cardiovascular mortality in patients with chronic infectious and inflammatory conditions in the United States, 1999-2018.

Treatment options for several chronic infectious and inflammatory conditions have expanded in recent years. This may have implications for evolving competing risks for chronic inflammation-associated comorbidities, including cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). Yet sparse data exist on patterns over time in cardiovascular mortality for chronic infectious and inflammatory conditions. We used data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 1999-2018 Multiple Causes of Death database to investigate patterns in CVD mortality from January 1, 1999 to December 31, 2018 in several infectious and inflammatory conditions. Specifically, we determined age-adjusted proportionate CVD mortality separately for patients with the following conditions (as well as the general population): hepatitis C virus (HCV), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), psoriasis (PSO), rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Proportionate CVD mortality differed significantly in 1999 and 2018 for each condition compared with the general population (p < 0.0001). Proportionate CVD mortality decreased steadily in the general population (40.9 to 30.6%) but increased for patients with HCV (7.0 to 10.2%) and HIV (1.9 to 6.7%). For IBD, PSO, RA, and SLE, proportionate CVD mortality initially decreased followed by plateauing or increasing rates. Underlying disease-specific pathophysiologies, changes in natural history, and competing risks of chronic end-organ diseases contributing to these differences merit further study.

Effectiveness of a novel, automated telephone intervention on time to hospitalisation in patients with COPD: A randomised controlled trial.

Introduction: Owing to its capacity to perform remote assessments, telemedicine is rising as a new force in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) management. We conducted an eight month randomised-controlled-trial to study the effect of an automated telemedicine intervention on patients' time-to-hospitalisation. Methods: A total of 168 patients with a diagnosis of COPD in the past 24 months were enrolled to receive the intervention at a primary care clinic. The treatment group received daily phone messages from an automated system asking them to report if they were breathing better than, worse than, or the same as the day prior. Patients reported their breathing status by responding to the text message or call. If a patient reported breathing worse, an alert was sent directly to that patient's provider within the clinic. The control group received the same daily phone messages as the treatment group. However, no proactive breathing alerts were ever generated to the provider for these subjects. The primary outcome was the subjects' time-to-first-COPD-related hospitalisation following the start of messages. Results: The treatment group's time-to-hospitalisation was significantly different than the control group's with a hazard ratio of 2.36 (95% confidence interval 1.02­5.45, p = 0.0443). The number needed-to-treat ratio was 8.62. Subject engagement consistently ranged between 60% and 75%. The treatment group received both proactive monitoring and follow-up care from the providers. Discussion: Active monitoring with provider feedback enables the detection of exacerbation events early enough for subjects to avoid admissions. The use of non-smartphone interventions reduces barriers to care presented by more complicated and expensive technologies. This intervention represents a simple, innovative, and inexpensive tool for improved COPD management.

Chronic Stress-Related Neural Activity Associates With Subclinical Cardiovascular Disease in Psoriasis: A Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: This study hypothesized that there is an association between chronic stress (as indexed by resting amygdalar activity [AmygA]), hematopoietic system activity (HMPA), and subclinical cardiovascular indexes (aortic vascular inflammation [VI] and noncalcified coronary plaque burden [NCB]) in psoriasis (PSO). The study also hypothesized that treatment of PSO would improve these parameters. BACKGROUND: PSO is a stress-related chronic inflammatory condition that is associated with increased prevalence of subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD). In individuals without PSO, stress has been linked to CVD through a serial biological pathway that involves the amygdala, hematopoietic tissues, and atherosclerotic plaques. METHODS: A total of 164 consecutive patients with PSO and 47 healthy volunteers underwent 18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography scans for assessment of AmygA, HMPA, and VI, as well as coronary computed tomography angiography scans for quantifying NCB. Furthermore, a consecutive subset of 30 patients with severe PSO (Psoriasis Area Severity Index Score >10) were followed at 1 year to assess the relationship between skin disease improvement and AmygA, HMPA, VI, and NCB. RESULTS: The PSO cohort was middle-aged (mean age: 50 years), had low cardiovascular risk (Framingham risk score: median: 3) and had mild to moderate PSO activity (median Psoriasis Area Severity Index Score: 5.6). AmygA was higher in patients with PSO compared to volunteer participants. AmygA was associated with HMPA (bone marrow activity: ß = 0.20, p = 0.01) and subclinical CVD (VI: ß = 0.31, p < 0.001; NCB: ß = 0.27, p < 0.001) The AmygA-CVD association was in part mediated by HMPA (VI: 20.9%, NCB: 36.7%). Following 1 year of PSO treatment in those with severe disease, improvement in skin disease was accompanied by a reduction in AmygA, bone marrow activity, and VI, with no progression of NCB. CONCLUSIONS: In PSO, a chronic inflammatory disease state, AmygA, which is a manifestation of chronic stress, substantially contributes to the risk of subclinical CVD. Additional studies that use psychometric measures of stress are required to explore therapeutic impact.

Association Between Soluble Lectinlike Oxidized Low-Density Lipoprotein Receptor-1 and Coronary Artery Disease in Psoriasis.

Importance: Psoriasis, a chronic inflammatory skin disease associated with accelerated noncalcified coronary burden (NCB) by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), accelerates lipoprotein oxidation in the form of oxidized modified lipoproteins. A transmembrane scavenger receptor for these oxidized modified lipoproteins is lectinlike oxidized low-density lipoprotein receptor-1 (LOX-1), which has been reported to be associated with coronary artery disease. It is unknown whether this receptor is associated with coronary artery disease in psoriasis. Objective: To assess the association between soluble LOX-1 (sLOX-1) and NCB in psoriasis over time. Design, Setting, and Participants: In a cohort study at the National Institutes of Health, 175 consecutive patients with psoriasis were referred from outpatient dermatology practices between January 1, 2013, and October 1, 2017. A total of 138 consecutively recruited patients with psoriasis were followed up at 1 year. Exposures: Circulating soluble lectinlike oxidized low-density lipoprotein receptor-1 levels were measured blindly by field scientists running undiluted serum using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Main Outcomes and Measures: Coronary computed tomography angiography scans were performed to quantify NCB in all 3 major epicardial coronary arteries by a reader blinded to patient demographics, visit, and treatment status. Results: Among the 175 patients with psoriasis, the mean (SD) age was 49.7 (12.6) years and 91 were men (55%). The cohort had relatively low median cardiovascular risk by Framingham risk score (median, 2.0 [interquartile range (IQR), 1.0-6.0]) and had a mean (SD) body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) suggestive of overweight profiles (29.6 [6.0]). Elevated sLOX-1 levels were found in patients with psoriasis compared with age- and sex-matched controls (median, 210.3 [IQR, 110.9-336.2] vs 83.7 [IQR, 40.1-151.0]; P < .001), and were associated with Psoriasis Area Severity Index (PASI) score (ß = 0.23; 95% CI, 0.082-0.374; P = .003). Moreover, sLOX-1 was associated with NCB independent of hyperlipidemia status (ß = 0.11; 95% CI, 0.016-0.200; P = .023), an association which persisted after adjusting for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, statin use, and biologic psoriasis treatment (ß = 0.10; 95% CI, 0.014-0.193; P = .03). At 1 year, in those who had clinical improvement in PASI (eg, >50% improvement), a reduction in sLOX-1 (median, 311.1 [IQR, 160.0-648.8] vs median, 224.2 [IQR, 149.1 - 427.4]; P = .01) was associated with a reduction in NCB (ß = 0.14; 95% CI, 0.028-0.246; P = .02). Conclusions and Relevance: Soluble lectinlike oxidized low-density lipoprotein receptor-1 levels were elevated in patients with psoriasis and were associated with severity of skin disease. Moreover, sLOX-1 associated with NCB independent of hyperlipidemia status, suggesting that inflammatory sLOX-1 induction may modulate lipid-rich NCB in psoriasis. Improvement of skin disease was associated with a reduction of sLOX-1 at 1 year, demonstrating the potential role of sLOX-1 in inflammatory atherogenesis in psoriasis.

The effect of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide 1 agonists on cardiovascular disease in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Patients with type 2 diabetes have a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared to the general population-with CVD accounting for two out of every three deaths in patients with diabetes. In 2008, the FDA suggested that CVD risk should be evaluated for any new antidiabetic therapy, leading to a multitude of large CVD outcome trials to assess CVD risk from these medications. Interestingly, several of these outcome trials with new novel antidiabetic therapies have demonstrated a clear and definite CVD advantage at mid-term follow up in high-risk patients with T2DM. In this review, we discuss two relatively new classes of diabetic drugs, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide 1 agonists, and their efficacy in improving cardiovascular outcomes.

Coronary artery plaque characteristics and treatment with biologic therapy in severe psoriasis: results from a prospective observational study.

AIMS: The use of biologic therapy has increased over the past decade well beyond primary autoimmune diseases. Indeed, a recent trial using an anti-IL-1beta antibody reduced second myocardial infarction (MI) in those who have had MI. Psoriasis is a chronic inflammatory disease often treated with biologics when severe, is associated with increased risk of MI, in part driven by high-risk coronary plaque phenotypes by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). We hypothesized that we would observe a reduction in inflammatory-driven phenotypes of coronary plaque, including non-calcified coronary plaque burden and lipid-rich necrotic core in those treated with biologic therapy after one-year compared with non-biologic therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective, observational study, 290 participants were recruited from 1 January 2013 through 31 October 2018 with 215 completing one-year follow-up. Of the 238, 121 consecutive participants who were biologic treatment naïve at baseline were included. A blinded reader (blinded to patient demographics, visit and treatment) quantified total coronary plaque burden and plaque subcomponents (calcified and non-calcified) in the three main coronary vessels >2 mm using dedicated software (QAngio, Medis, Netherlands). Psoriasis patients were middle-aged [mean (standard deviation) age, 50.5 (12.1) years], mostly male (n = 70, 58%) with low cardiovascular risk by Framingham score [median (interquartile range, IQR), 3 (1-6)] and had moderate to severe skin disease at baseline [median (IQR) Psoriasis Area Severity Index, PASI, 8.6 (5.3-14.0)]. Biologic therapy was associated with a 6% reduction in non-calcified plaque burden (P = 0.005) reduction in necrotic core (P = 0.03), with no effect on fibrous burden (P = 0.71). Decrease in non-calcified plaque burden in the biologic treated group was significant compared with slow plaque progression in non-biologic treated (Δ, -0.07 mm2 vs. 0.06 mm2; P = 0.02) and associated with biologic treatment beyond adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors (ß = 0.20, P = 0.02). CONCLUSION: In this observational study, we demonstrate that biologic therapy in severe psoriasis was associated with favourable modulation of coronary plaque indices by CCTA. These findings highlight the importance of systemic inflammation in coronary artery disease and support the conduct of larger, randomized trials.

Applying the ordinal model of atherosclerosis to imaging science: a brief review.

Atherogenesis has been well demonstrated to proceed in an ordinal fashion. Imaging technologies have advanced substantially in recent decades, enabling early detection of atherosclerosis. Some modalities, such as coronary CT, have seen broad clinical adaptation. In contrast, others, such as flow-mediated dilatation, remain predominantly research-based. Optimal and appropriate usage of these technologies remains an area of active investigation. We hypothesise that investigators ought to consider which stage of atherosclerosis is under investigation when choosing imaging modalities. Additionally, when assessing the efficacy of a particular treatment, some imaging modalities may be more appropriate than others. We review the most important available imaging modalities and suggest stages at which each may or may not be well used. Conceptual application of the classic stages of atherosclerosis model to the variety of modern imaging modalities available will result in more effective investigation and treatment of cardiovascular disease.

Association Between Aortic Vascular Inflammation and Coronary Artery Plaque Characteristics in Psoriasis.

Importance: Inflammation is critical to atherosclerosis. Psoriasis, a chronic inflammatory disease associated with early cardiovascular events and increased aortic vascular inflammation (VI), provides a model to study the process of early atherogenesis. Fludeoxyglucose F 18 positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) helps quantify aortic VI, and coronary computed tomography angiography provides coronary artery disease (CAD) assessment through evaluation of total plaque burden (TB) and noncalcified coronary plaque burden (NCB), luminal stenosis, and high-risk plaques (HRP). To our knowledge, association between aortic VI and broad CAD indices has not yet been assessed in a chronic inflammatory disease state. Such a study may provide information regarding the utility of aortic VI in capturing early CAD. Objective: To assess the association between aortic VI and CAD indices, including TB, NCB, luminal stenosis, and HRP prevalence, in psoriasis. Design, Setting, and Participants: In a cross-sectional cohort study at the National Institutes of Health, 215 consecutive patients with psoriasis were recruited from surrounding outpatient dermatology practices. All patients underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT for aortic VI assessment, and 190 of 215 patients underwent coronary computed tomography angiography to characterize CAD. The study was conducted between January 1, 2013, and May 31, 2017. Data were analyzed in March 2018. Exposures: Aortic VI assessed by 18F-FDG PET/CT. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcome: TB and NCB. Secondary outcomes: luminal stenosis and HRP. Results: Among 215 patients with psoriasis (mean [SD] age, 50.4 [12.6] years; 126 men [59%]), patients with increased aortic VI had increased TB (standardized ß = 0.48; P < .001), and higher prevalence of luminal stenosis (OR, 3.63; 95% CI, 1.71-7.70; P = .001) and HRP (OR, 3.05; 95% CI, 1.42-6.47; P = .004). The aortic VI and TB association was primarily driven by NCB (ß = 0.49; P < .001), whereas the aortic VI and HRP association was driven by low-attenuation plaque (OR, 5.63; 95% CI, 1.96-16.19; P = .001). All associations of aortic VI remained significant after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors: aortic VI and TB (ß = 0.23; P < .001), NCB (ß = 0.24; P < .001), luminal stenosis (OR, 3.40; 95% CI, 1.40-8.24; P = .007), and HRP (OR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.08-6.83; P = .03). No association was found between aortic VI and dense-calcified coronary plaque burden. Conclusions and Relevance: Aortic VI is associated with broad CAD indices, suggesting that aortic VI may be a surrogate for early CAD. Larger prospective studies need to assess these associations longitudinally and examine treatment effects on these outcomes.

A Novel Patient Engagement Platform Using Accessible Text Messages and Calls (Epharmix): Feasibility Study.

BACKGROUND: Patient noncompliance with therapy, treatments, and appointments represents a significant barrier to improving health care delivery and reducing the cost of care. One method to improve therapeutic adherence is to improve feedback loops in getting clinically acute events and issues to the relevant clinical providers as necessary (ranging from detecting hypoglycemic events for patients with diabetes to notifying the provider when patients are out of medications). Patients often don't know which information should prompt a call to their physician and proactive checks by the clinics themselves can be very resource intensive. We hypothesized that a two-way SMS system combined with a platform web service for providers would enable both high patient engagement but also the ability to detect relevant clinical alerts. OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this study are to develop a feasible two-way automated SMS/phone call + web service platform for patient-provider communication, and then study the feasibility and acceptability of the Epharmix platform. First, we report utilization rates over the course of the first 18 months of operation including total identified clinically significant events, and second, review results of patient user-satisfaction surveys for interventions for patients with diabetes, COPD, congestive heart failure, hypertension, surgical site infections, and breastfeeding difficulties. METHODS: To test this question, we developed a web service + SMS/phone infrastructure ("Epharmix"). Utilization results were measured based on the total number of text messages or calls sent and received, with percentage engagement defined as a patient responding to a text message at least once in a given week, including the number of clinically significant alerts generated. User satisfaction surveys were sent once per month over the 18 months to measure satisfaction with the system, frequency and degree of communication. Descriptive statistics were used to describe the above information. RESULTS: In total, 28,386 text messages and 24,017 calls were sent to 929 patients over 9 months. Patients responded to 80% to 90% of messages allowing the system to detect 1164 clinically significant events. Patients reported increased satisfaction and communication with their provider. Epharmix increased the number of patient-provider interactions to over 10 on average in any given month for patients with diabetes, COPD, congestive heart failure, hypertension, surgical site infections, and breastfeeding difficulties. CONCLUSIONS: Engaging high-risk patients remains a difficult process that may be improved through novel, digital health interventions. The Epharmix platform enables increased patient engagement with very low risk to improve clinical outcomes. We demonstrated that engagement among high-risk populations is possible when health care comes conveniently to where they are.