Multi-center validation of an artificial intelligence system for detection of COVID-19 on chest radiographs in symptomatic patients.

OBJECTIVES: While chest radiograph (CXR) is the first-line imaging investigation in patients with respiratory symptoms, differentiating COVID-19 from other respiratory infections on CXR remains challenging. We developed and validated an AI system for COVID-19 detection on presenting CXR. METHODS: A deep learning model (RadGenX), trained on 168,850 CXRs, was validated on a large international test set of presenting CXRs of symptomatic patients from 9 study sites (US, Italy, and Hong Kong SAR) and 2 public datasets from the US and Europe. Performance was measured by area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC). Bootstrapped simulations were performed to assess performance across a range of potential COVID-19 disease prevalence values (3.33 to 33.3%). Comparison against international radiologists was performed on an independent test set of 852 cases. RESULTS: RadGenX achieved an AUC of 0.89 on 4-fold cross-validation and an AUC of 0.79 (95%CI 0.78-0.80) on an independent test cohort of 5,894 patients. Delong's test showed statistical differences in model performance across patients from different regions (p < 0.01), disease severity (p < 0.001), gender (p < 0.001), and age (p = 0.03). Prevalence simulations showed the negative predictive value increases from 86.1% at 33.3% prevalence, to greater than 98.5% at any prevalence below 4.5%. Compared with radiologists, McNemar's test showed the model has higher sensitivity (p < 0.001) but lower specificity (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: An AI model that predicts COVID-19 infection on CXR in symptomatic patients was validated on a large international cohort providing valuable context on testing and performance expectations for AI systems that perform COVID-19 prediction on CXR. KEY POINTS: • An AI model developed using CXRs to detect COVID-19 was validated in a large multi-center cohort of 5,894 patients from 9 prospectively recruited sites and 2 public datasets. • Differences in AI model performance were seen across region, disease severity, gender, and age. • Prevalence simulations on the international test set demonstrate the model's NPV is greater than 98.5% at any prevalence below 4.5%.

Mitochondrial Transfer Regulates Bioenergetics in Healthy and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Airway Smooth Muscle.

Mitochondrial dysfunction has been reported in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Transfer of mitochondria from mesenchymal stem cells to airway smooth muscle cells (ASMCs) can attenuate oxidative stress-induced mitochondrial damage. It is not known whether mitochondrial transfer can occur between structural cells in the lungs or what role this may have in modulating bioenergetics and cellular function in healthy and COPD airways. Here, we show that ASMCs from both healthy ex-smokers and subjects with COPD can exchange mitochondria, a process that happens, at least partly, via extracellular vesicles. Exposure to cigarette smoke induces mitochondrial dysfunction and leads to an increase in the donation of mitochondria by ASMCs, suggesting that the latter may be a stress response mechanism. Healthy ex-smoker ASMCs that receive mitochondria show increases in mitochondrial biogenesis and respiration and a reduction in cell proliferation, irrespective of whether the mitochondria are transferred from healthy ex-smoker or COPD ASMCs. Our data indicate that mitochondrial transfer between structural cells is a homeostatic mechanism for the regulation of bioenergetics and cellular function within the airways and may represent an endogenous mechanism for reversing the functional consequences of mitochondrial dysfunction in diseases such as COPD.

Issues in pulmonary function testing for the screening and diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The purpose of this review article is to provide an up-to-date summary on the current evidence for or against the use of lung function tests as screening and diagnostic tools for airflow obstruction in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and to consider the relevant issues in context. RECENT FINDINGS: COPD is characterized by chronic respiratory symptoms and airflow limitation with only partial reversibility on lung function testing. However, screening on a population basis or of an enriched 'at-risk' subset like chronic smokers is not supported by findings from previous epidemiological studies, screening trials or in currently published clinical management guidelines by professional societies and review bodies. The definition of airflow obstruction and the classification of disease severity of COPD also differ slightly between guidelines and statements from different professional societies. SUMMARY: Given the experience from previous screening trials and controversial classification of airflow obstruction by severity, it is impossible to have accurate screening results for COPD based on lung function tests alone. Clinical respiratory symptoms should be taken into consideration in terms of the diagnosis and management of COPD, as well as in any screening trial or programme that is to be attempted or implemented.

Confronting COVID-19-associated cough and the post-COVID syndrome: role of viral neurotropism, neuroinflammation, and neuroimmune responses.

Cough is one of the most common presenting symptoms of COVID-19, along with fever and loss of taste and smell. Cough can persist for weeks or months after SARS-CoV-2 infection, often accompanied by chronic fatigue, cognitive impairment, dyspnoea, or pain-a collection of long-term effects referred to as the post-COVID syndrome or long COVID. We hypothesise that the pathways of neurotropism, neuroinflammation, and neuroimmunomodulation through the vagal sensory nerves, which are implicated in SARS-CoV-2 infection, lead to a cough hypersensitivity state. The post-COVID syndrome might also result from neuroinflammatory events in the brain. We highlight gaps in understanding of the mechanisms of acute and chronic COVID-19-associated cough and post-COVID syndrome, consider potential ways to reduce the effect of COVID-19 by controlling cough, and suggest future directions for research and clinical practice. Although neuromodulators such as gabapentin or opioids might be considered for acute and chronic COVID-19 cough, we discuss the possible mechanisms of COVID-19-associated cough and the promise of new anti-inflammatories or neuromodulators that might successfully target both the cough of COVID-19 and the post-COVID syndrome.

Patterns of Inpatient Antibiotic Use Among Public Hospitals in Hong Kong from 2000 to 2015.

BACKGROUND: Studies have demonstrated that higher rates of antibiotic resistance are found in countries with higher antibiotic consumption. The global increase in antibiotic consumption is a major public health concern. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to describe the antibiotic dispensing patterns in public hospitals in Hong Kong from 2000 to 2015. METHODS: We acquired data on all hospital admissions with any antibiotics dispensed from 2000 to 2015 from the Hong Kong public hospitals. The annual proportion of hospital admissions with antibiotics dispensed was estimated and stratified by age group. An interrupted time series analysis was conducted to examine any potential change in tetracycline dispensing after the release of the new clinical practice guideline. RESULTS: A total of 35,535,506 antibiotic prescriptions were dispensed among 2,161,360 unique hospitalized patients from 2000 to 2015. Antibiotics were dispensed in 29.2% of all hospital admissions in the public hospitals, the annual proportions of hospital admissions with antibiotics dispensed increased over the study period from 27.87% in 2000 to 31.39% in 2015, ranging from 27.17 to 31.39%. However, a significant increase was only observed in age groups of 5-19, 20-44, and 85 years or above when stratifying by age. In the interrupted time series analysis, a change in trend was detected for tetracycline dispensing that coincided with the time of publication of the new clinical practice guideline. CONCLUSIONS: We found that the overall volume of antibiotic use increased between 2000 and 2015. The rise in the dispensing of carbapenems in our study is concerning. The significant change in tetracycline use after being recommended as one of the preferred regimens demonstrated that the change in the clinical practice guideline had an immediate effect on the antibiotic prescribing practice in Hong Kong public hospitals.

Incident Type 2 Diabetes in OSA and Effect of CPAP Treatment: A Retrospective Clinic Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between OSA and glucose metabolism remains controversial. This retrospective study investigated the relationship between OSA and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) in a clinic cohort of Chinese adults in Hong Kong, and the effect of long-term CPAP treatment. METHODS: Data for diagnosis of incident T2D and CPAP usage were obtained from the territory-wide electronic health administration system and records of protocolized evaluation of CPAP adherence at the sleep clinic. The relationship between baseline OSA and incident T2D and the effect of CPAP therapy were examined by Cox regression models. Risk of incident T2D over the continuum of apnea-hypopnea index was examined with cubic spline analysis. RESULTS: Of 1,206 subjects with overnight sleep studies and clinical assessment in 2006 through 2013, 152 developed diabetes (median follow-up, 7.3 years). In fully adjusted models, untreated moderate or patients with severe OSA had higher risk of developing diabetes, hazard ratios 2.01 (95% CI, 1.06-3.81) and 2.62 (95% CI, 1.40-4.93) respectively, with a trend to plateau in those with severe OSA. No interaction was demonstrated between OSA and obesity. Regular CPAP use, which was attained in about one-third of subjects with moderate-severe OSA, was associated with reduction of diabetes incidence from 3.41 to 1.61 per 100 person-years, and of adjusted hazard risk to that of non-OSA. CONCLUSIONS: OSA severity independently predicted incident diabetes. Regular long-term CPAP use was associated with reduced risk of incident T2D, after adjustment for various baseline metabolic risk factors and subsequent body weight change.

Use of influenza antivirals in patients hospitalized in Hong Kong, 2000-2015.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to describe patterns in the usage of antivirals to treat influenza virus infection in hospitals in Hong Kong from 2000 through 2015. METHODS: We analyzed centralized electronic health records that included dispensation information and diagnosis codes. Information collected on admissions included patient age, sex, admission year and month, and medications dispensed, and were matched with the first 15 discharge diagnosis codes. We divided monthly admission episodes by relevant population denominators to obtain admission rates, and stratified analyses by drug type, age group, and diagnosis codes. RESULTS: Amantadine was used for influenza treatment in the early 2000s but changed with recommendations to avoid its use in 2006, and is now mainly used to treat Parkinson's disease. Oseltamivir usage increased substantially in 2009 and is now commonly used, with almost 40,000 hospitalizations treated with oseltamivir in the years 2012 through 2015, 66% of which was in persons ≥65 years of age. During the entire study period, of the 98,253 admission episodes in which oseltamivir was dispensed, 40,698 (41%) included a diagnosis code for influenza, and 80,283 (82%) included any diagnosis code for respiratory illness. CONCLUSIONS: The amount of oseltamivir used from 2012-15 was comparable to a separate ecological estimate of around 13,000 influenza-associated hospitalizations per year on average. We did not have access to individual patient laboratory testing data.

Plasma EGFR Mutation Detection Associated With Survival Outcomes in Advanced-Stage Lung Cancer.

UNLABELLED: We confirmed the performance of an array method for plasma epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation detection and showed the association of plasma EGFR mutation with survival outcomes. BACKGROUND: Noninvasive detection of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation in plasma is feasible and could be adjunct for therapeutic monitoring especially when repeated biopsy of tumor tissue is challenging. The aims of this study were to establish the diagnostic performance of peptide nucleic acid-locked nucleic acid polymerase chain reaction followed by custom array for plasma EGFR mutation and to evaluate the association of detection with clinical characteristics and survival outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Plasma genomic DNA from consecutive advanced lung cancer subjects was tested for EGFR mutations before anticancer treatment, and compared with mutation status in tumor tissue. Clinical characteristics were compared between patients who were EGFR-mutant and wild type; and within EGFR mutants, whether EGFR mutations could be detected in plasma. RESULTS: In 74 lung cancer patients, the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of plasma EGFR detection were 79.1%, 96.8%, 97.1%, and 76.9%, respectively. EGFR mutants with concomitant detection of plasma EGFR mutation showed worse survival compared with mutants with no concomitant plasma mutation detected in biopsy specimens. CONCLUSION: Plasma EGFR mutation detected using this method demonstrated high diagnostic performance. In EGFR mutants, plasma EGFR mutation detection correlated not only EGFR mutation status in biopsy but was also associated with worse prognosis compared with EGFR mutant without plasma EGFR mutation detection.

Indacaterol: pharmacologic profile, efficacy and safety in the treatment of adults with COPD.

Indacaterol is a novel once-daily long-acting ß2-agonist (LABA) for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) that is currently completing Phase II and Phase III trials. It represents the first of a group of drugs now referred to as the 'ultra-LABAs'. It has recently gained approval in Europe, and is pending regulatory review in the USA. Indacaterol produces a rapid and sustained bronchodilation that lasts for at least 24 h in patients with COPD. To date, 1-year studies with indacaterol indicate that it can be taken once daily with good overall safety and tolerability profiles. The therapeutic potential for indacaterol is supported by data on patient-reported outcomes with an improvement in symptoms such as dyspnea, exercise capacity and quality of life, and a reduction in exacerbations. It is likely that indacaterol could be used in conjunction with other agents such as inhaled corticosteroids and anticholinergics for the treatment of COPD as a single once-daily combination treatment.