Onvansertib in Combination with FOLFIRI and Bevacizumab in Second-Line Treatment of KRAS-Mutant Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: A Phase Ib Clinical Study.

PURPOSE: Onvansertib is a highly specific inhibitor of polo-like kinase 1 (PLK1), with demonstrated safety in solid tumors. We evaluated, preclinically and clinically, the potential of onvansertib in combination with chemotherapy as a therapeutic option for KRAS-mutant colorectal cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Preclinical activity of onvansertib was assessed (i) in vitro in KRAS wild-type and -mutant isogenic colorectal cancer cells and (ii) in vivo, in combination with irinotecan, in a KRAS-mutant xenograft model. Clinically, a phase Ib trial was conducted to investigate onvansertib at doses 12, 15, and 18 mg/m2 (days 1-5 and 14-19 of a 28-day cycle) in combination with FOLFIRI/bevacizumab (days 1 and 15) in patients with KRAS-mutant metastatic colorectal cancer who had prior oxaliplatin exposure. Safety, efficacy, and changes in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) were assessed. RESULTS: In preclinical models, onvansertib displayed superior activity in KRAS-mutant than wild-type isogenic colorectal cancer cells and demonstrated potent antitumor activity in combination with irinotecan in vivo. Eighteen patients enrolled in the phase Ib study. Onvansertib recommended phase II dose was established at 15 mg/m2. Grade 3 and 4 adverse events (AE) represented 15% of all treatment-related AEs, with neutropenia being the most common. Partial responses were observed in 44% of patients, with a median duration of response of 9.5 months. Early ctDNA dynamics were predictive of treatment efficacy. CONCLUSIONS: Onvansertib combined with FOLIFRI/bevacizumab exhibited manageable safety and promising efficacy in second-line treatment of patients with KRAS-mutant metastatic colorectal cancer. Further exploration of this combination therapy is ongoing. See related commentary by Stebbing and Bullock, p. 2005.

Deletions of chromosomes 3p and 14q molecularly subclassify clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The short arm of chromosome 3 (3p) harbors the von Hippel-Lindau (VHL) tumor suppressor gene, and the long arm of chromosome 14 (14q) harbors the hypoxia-inducible factor 1α (HIF-1α) gene. The objective of this study was to evaluate the significance of 3p loss (loss VHL gene) and 14q loss (loss HIF-1α gene) in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). METHODS: In total, 288 ccRCC tumors underwent a prospective cytogenetic analysis for alterations in chromosomes 3p and 14q. Tumors were assigned to 1 of 4 possible chromosomal alterations: VHL +3p/+14q (VHL wild type [VHL-WT]), VHL +3p/-14q (VHL-WT plus HIF2α [WT/H2]), -3p/+14q (HIF1α and HIF2α [H1H2]), and -3p/-14q (HIF2α [H2]). RESULTS: Among patients who had loss of 3p, tumors with -3p/-14q (H2) alterations were larger (P = .002), had higher grade (P = .002) and stage (P = .001), and more often were metastatic (P = .029) than tumors that retained 14q (H1H2). All patients who had tumors with -3p/-14q (H2) had worse cancer-specific survival (P = .014), and patients who had localized disease (P = .012) and primary T1 (pT1) tumors (P = .008) had worse recurrence-free survival. In patients who had pT1 tumors, combined 3p/14q loss was an independent predictor of recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio, 11.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.91-65.63) and cancer-specific survival (hazard ratio, 15.93; 95% confidence interval, 3.09-82.16). The current investigation was limited by its retrospective design, single-center experience, and a lack of confirmatory protein analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Loss of chromosome 3p (the VHL gene) was associated with improved survival in patients with ccRCC, whereas loss of chromosome 14q (the HIF-1α gene) was associated with worse outcomes. The results of the current study support the hypothesis that HIF-1α functions as an important tumor suppressor gene in ccRCC.

Evaluating sex as a predictive marker for response to bevacizumab in metastatic colorectal carcinoma: Pooled analysis of 3,369 patients in the ARCAD database.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies suggest a possible sex-specific response to bevacizumab in metastatic colorectal carcinoma (mCRC), showing a benefit in males, while the effect in females is less significant. METHODS: Data from 3369 patients with mCRC enrolled on four first-line randomised trials testing chemotherapy with or without bevacizumab (2000-2007) were pooled. Association between sex and progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) was evaluated by stratified Cox regression model, adjusted for potential confounders. Predictive value was evaluated by interaction effect between sex and treatment. In a pre-planned secondary analysis, analyses were stratified using an age cut point of 60 years to evaluate the possible role of menopausal-related effects. RESULTS: Bevacizumab was associated with an improved median OS in males and females, with a 2.3- and 0.6-months benefit, respectively. Stratified by age, bevacizumab resulted in improved OS in males at both age categories. In females at or above the age of 60 (n = 731), bevacizumab resulted in improved OS. However, in females below the age of 60 (n = 634), OS benefit did not reach statistical significance (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.94, 95% confidence interval 0.74-1.20). CONCLUSIONS: Our results confirmed the OS benefit from the addition of bevacizumab to first-line chemotherapy in mCRC in both sexes. Among females, the benefit was less than 1 month. For females under the age of 60, there was no survival benefit. These findings could be used to relieve financial toxicity or be redistributed within healthcare systems for other health-related purposes.

Evaluation of Intratumoral Response Heterogeneity in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer and Its Impact on Patient Overall Survival: Findings from 10,551 Patients in the ARCAD Database.

Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is a heterogeneous disease that can evoke discordant responses to therapy among different lesions in individual patients. The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) criteria do not take into consideration response heterogeneity. We explored and developed lesion-based measurement response criteria to evaluate their prognostic effect on overall survival (OS). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients enrolled in 17 first-line clinical trials, who had mCRC with ≥ 2 lesions at baseline, and a restaging scan by 12 weeks were included. For each patient, lesions were categorized as a progressing lesion (PL: > 20% increase in the longest diameter (LD)), responding lesion (RL: > 30% decrease in LD), or stable lesion (SL: neither PL nor RL) based on the 12-week scan. Lesion-based response criteria were defined for each patient as follows: PL only, SL only, RL only, and varied responses (mixture of RL, SL, and PL). Lesion-based response criteria and OS were correlated using stratified multivariable Cox models. The concordance between OS and classifications was measured using the C statistic. RESULTS: Among 10,551 patients with mCRC from 17 first-line studies, varied responses were noted in 51.6% of patients, among whom, 3.3% had RL/PL at 12 weeks. Among patients with RL/SL, 52% had stable disease (SD) by RECIST 1.1, and they had a longer OS (median OS (mOS) = 19.9 months) than those with SL only (mOS = 16.8 months, HR (95% CI) = 0.81 (0.76, 0.85), p < 0.001), although a shorter OS than those with RL only (mOS = 25.8 months, HR (95% CI) = 1.42 (1.32, 1.53), p < 0.001). Among patients with SL/PL, 74% had SD by RECIST 1.1, and they had a longer OS (mOS = 9.0 months) than those with PL only (mOS = 8.0 months, HR (95% CI) = 0.75 (0.57, 0.98), p = 0.040), yet a shorter OS than those with SL only (mOS = 16.8 months, HR (95% CI) = 1.98 (1.80, 2.18), p < 0.001). These associations were consistent across treatment regimen subgroups. The lesion-based response criteria showed slightly higher concordance than RECIST 1.1, although it was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Varied responses at first restaging are common among patients receiving first-line therapy for mCRC. Our lesion-based measurement criteria allowed for better mortality discrimination, which could potentially be informative for treatment decision-making and influence patient outcomes.

Smoking negatively impacts renal cell carcinoma overall and cancer-specific survival.

BACKGROUND: Tobacco use is a leading cause of premature death, yet few studies have investigated the effect of tobacco exposure on the outcome of patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). The authors of this report retrospectively studied the impact of smoking on clinicopathologic factors, survival outcomes, and p53 expression status in a large cohort of patients with RCC. METHODS: Eight hundred-two patients (457 nonsmokers and 345 smokers) who had up to 232 months of follow-up were compared for differences in their clinicopathologic features and survival outcomes. Immunohistochemical differences in p53 expression were correlated with smoking status. RESULTS: Smokers presented more commonly with pulmonary comorbidities (P < .0001) and cardiac comorbidities (P = .014) and with a worse performance status (P = .031) than nonsmokers. Smoking was associated significantly with tumor multifocality (P = .022), higher pathologic tumor classification (P = .037), an increased risk of bulky lymph node metastases (P = .031), and the presence of distant metastases (P < .0001), especially lung metastases (P < .0001). Both overall survival (OS) (62.37 months vs 43.64 months; P = .001) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) (87.43 months vs 56.57 months; P = .005) were significantly worse in patients who smoked. The number of pack-years was retained as an independent predictor of CSS and OS in patients with nonmetastatic disease. Mean expression levels of p53 were significantly higher in current smokers compared with former smokers and nonsmokers (P = .012). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with RCC, a history of smoking was associated with worse pathologic features and survival outcomes and with an increased risk of having mutated p53. Further investigation of the genetic and molecular mechanisms associated with decreased CSS in patients with RCC who have a history of smoking is indicated.

Gain of chromosome 8q is associated with metastases and poor survival of patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of chromosome 8q gain in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (CCRCC) and to correlate the findings with tumor phenotype and disease-specific survival (DSS). METHODS: The tumor karyotypes of 336 consecutive patients with CCRCC were prospectively evaluated with classical cytogenetic analysis. Chromosome 8q status was correlated with clinicopathological variables, and its impact on DSS was evaluated. RESULTS: Gain of 8q occurred in 28 tumors (8.3%). Gain of 8q was associated with a higher risk of regional lymph node (21.4% vs 6.2%, P = .011) and distant metastases (50.0% vs 24.4%, P = .006), and greater tumor sizes (P = .030). Patients with gain of 8q had a 3.22-fold increased risk of death from CCRCC (P < .001). In multivariable analysis, gain of 8q was identified as an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio, 2.37; P = .006). The concordance index of a multivariable base model increased significantly following inclusion of 8q gain (P = .0015). CONCLUSIONS: Gain of chromosome 8q occurs in a subset of CCRCCs and is associated with an increased risk of metastases and death from CCRCC. Because the proto-oncogene c-MYC is among the list of candidate genes located on 8q, our data suggest that these tumors may have unique pathways activated, which are associated with an aggressive tumor phenotype. If confirmed, defining tumors with gain of 8q may assist in identifying patients who would benefit for specific c-MYC inhibitors or agents that target the MAPK/ERK (mitogen-activated protein kinase) pathway.

Prognostic value of microvascular invasion in predicting the cancer specific survival and risk of metastatic disease in renal cell carcinoma: a multicenter investigation.

PURPOSE: While microvascular invasion is an accepted risk factor in various cancers, its prognostic role in renal cell carcinoma is still unclear. Therefore, a large multicenter study examining the experience of 5 international institutions was performed to evaluate the prognostic value of microvascular invasion in the occurrence of metastases and cancer specific survival. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 2,596 patients (475 with microvascular invasion and 2,121 without microvascular invasion) having up to 212 (median 22.4) months of followup were compared for differences in clinicopathological features, occurrence of metastases and cancer specific survival. RESULTS: Patients with microvascular invasion presented with higher age (p = 0.001) and a worse Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (p <0.0001). Microvascular invasion was associated with larger tumor diameter (p <0.0001), higher Fuhrman grade (p <0.0001), more advanced pT stage (p <0.0001), and the presence of lymph node and distant metastases (p <0.0001). In particular, in nonmetastatic cases worse survival was associated with microvascular invasion (p <0.0001, HR 2.38). Univariate analysis demonstrated a strong correlation between microvascular invasion and cancer specific survival (p <0.0001). However, after controlling for gender, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, Fuhrman grade and TNM stage statistical significance was lost. Of interest, low stage tumors with microvascular invasion were strongly correlated with the occurrence of metastases (p <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Microvascular invasion occurs in nearly 1 of 5 patients with renal cell carcinoma, is tightly correlated with adverse clinicopathological features and is an independent predictor of metastatic spread including in those presenting with low stage tumors.

The chromophobe tumor grading system is the preferred grading scheme for chromophobe renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: The prognostic usefulness of the Fuhrman nuclear grading system has been questioned for chromophobe renal cell carcinoma due to its frequent nuclear and nucleolar pleomorphism. Chromophobe tumor grade, a novel 3-tier tumor grading system based on geographic nuclear crowding and anaplasia, was recently reported to be superior to the Fuhrman system. We compared the 2 scoring systems in a large sporadic chromophobe renal cell carcinoma cohort to determine which grading scheme provides the most predictive assessment of clinical risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified a total of 84 cases of sporadic chromophobe renal cell carcinoma in 82 patients from a total of 2,634 cases (3.2%) spanning 1989 to 2010. A subset of 11 tumors had secondary areas of sarcomatoid transformation. All cases were reviewed for Fuhrman nuclear grade and chromophobe tumor grade according to published parameters by an expert genitourinary pathologist blinded to clinicopathological information. RESULTS: The distribution of Fuhrman nuclear grades 1 to 4 was 0%, 52.4%, 32.9% and 14.7% of cases, and the distribution of chromophobe tumor grades 1 to 3 was 48.8%, 36.5% and 14.7%, respectively. Metastasis developed in 20 patients (24.4%). Survival analysis revealed statistically significant differences in recurrence-free survival when adjusted for chromophobe tumor grade and Fuhrman nuclear grade. Chromophobe tumor grade showed a slightly higher AUC for recurrence-free survival and overall survival than the Fuhrman nuclear grading system. Neither chromophobe tumor grade nor Fuhrman nuclear grade was retained as an independent predictor of outcome in multivariate modeling when patients with sarcomatoid lesions were excluded. CONCLUSIONS: Chromophobe tumor grade effectively stratifies patients with chromophobe renal cell carcinoma across all grading levels. Since it does not rely on nuclear features, it avoids the hazard of overestimating the malignant potential of chromophobe renal cell carcinoma. Overall chromophobe tumor grade has higher predictive accuracy than the Fuhrman nuclear grading system.

Pathological, immunohistochemical and cytogenetic features of papillary renal cell carcinoma with clear cell features.

PURPOSE: Papillary renal cell carcinoma is characterized histologically by tumors with cells arranged in a papillary pattern. Typically the cells have a chromophilic appearance but areas may show cells with clear cytoplasm, similar to those in clear cell renal cell carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We re-reviewed the histological slides of 148 patients with papillary renal cell carcinoma who underwent nephrectomy for the presence of clear cells. Results were correlated with other pathological features, immunohistochemical expression of 22 protein markers, cytogenetic analysis and overall survival. RESULTS: Papillary renal cell carcinoma with clear cells was identified in 57 patients (39%). Clear cells were associated with higher T classification and grade, vascular invasion and type 2 papillary renal cell carcinoma. On immunohistochemistry these tumors revealed higher expression of epithelial vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-2 than papillary renal cell carcinoma without clear cells. All papillary renal cell carcinomas with clear cells expressed α-methylacyl-coenzyme A racemase and 76% expressed cytokeratin 7. Six of 8 tumors (75%) with chromosome 3p loss had clear cell features. The presence of clear cells was retained as an independent prognostic factor on multivariate analysis. In cases of papillary renal cell carcinoma with clear cells the loss of 3p material and absent cytokeratin 7 expression were associated with a worse outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Papillary renal cell carcinoma with clear cells is a novel entity with a unique clinical, immunohistochemical and cytogenetic phenotype. The presence of clear cells is associated with aggressive pathological characteristics and poorer prognosis.

Fuhrman grade provides higher prognostic accuracy than nucleolar grade for papillary renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Recent evidence suggests that nucleolar grade but not Fuhrman grade is applicable to papillary renal cell carcinoma. We tested this hypothesis in an independent large series from a single institution. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One dedicated uropathologist regraded 158 cases of papillary renal cell carcinoma by nucleolar and Fuhrman grades. The prognostic value and predictive accuracy of these grading systems to predict disease specific survival were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards models and the concordance index. RESULTS: There were 39 papillary renal cell carcinoma related deaths (25%) at a mean followup of 50 months. On univariate analysis nucleolar grade predicted disease specific survival with a concordance index of 67.8% but the survival difference between grades 1 and 2 did not attain statistical significance (p = 0.1441). Fuhrman grade predicted disease specific survival significantly better (concordance index 74.7%, p <0.001). Comparison of survival estimates between the grades revealed statistical significance across each grade category (each p <0.05). Fuhrman but not nucleolar grade was retained as an independent prognostic factor on multivariate analysis (p = 0.027 and 0.128, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Each grading system performs well but the predictive accuracy of Fuhrman grade is statistically superior to that of nucleolar grade and only Fuhrman grade provides independent prognostic information on patients with papillary renal cell carcinoma. Thus, Fuhrman grade should be the standard grading system for papillary renal cell carcinoma.

Development and external validation of a nomogram predicting disease specific survival after nephrectomy for papillary renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: We developed and externally validated a prognostic nomogram specifically for papillary renal cell carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively studied 435 patients who underwent radical or partial nephrectomy for papillary renal cell carcinoma at 3 institutions. Slides were reviewed by 1 uropathologist per institution. We constructed a nomogram predicting 5-year disease specific survival as a graphic representation of significant variables on multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis using data on 258 patients from 2 of the 3 institutions. Nomogram discrimination and calibration were assessed by bootstrapping to obtain relatively unbiased estimates. External validation was done in 177 patients from a third institution. RESULTS: At a median 50.8-month followup 77 papillary renal cell carcinoma related deaths had occurred. In the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model incidental detection, T classification, M classification, vascular invasion and tumor necrosis extent were retained as independent prognostic factors of disease specific survival and formed the basis of the nomogram. The nomogram predicted well with a 93.6% bootstrapped corrected concordance index and showed good calibration. External independent validation revealed 94.2% predictive accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a highly accurate tool specifically for papillary renal cell carcinoma using basic clinical and pathological information to predict disease specific survival. This tool should be helpful to identify papillary renal cell carcinoma with aggressive clinical behavior and may contribute to the ability to individualize postoperative surveillance and therapy.

Cytogenetic and molecular tumor profiling for type 1 and type 2 papillary renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: The goal of this study was to evaluate immunohistochemical and cytogenetic features and their prognostic value in papillary renal cell carcinoma (PRCC) subtypes. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: One hundred fifty-eight cases of PRCC were identified and reclassified by subtype. Tumoral expression of 29 molecular markers was determined by immunohistochemistry. Cytogenetic analyses were done on a prospective series of 65 patients. Associations with clinicopathologic information and disease-specific survival were assessed. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients (32%) had type 1 and 107 (68%) type 2 PRCC. Type 2 patients had worse Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, higher T stages, nodal and distant metastases, higher grades, and a higher frequency of necrosis, collecting system invasion and sarcomatoid features. Type 2 showed greater expression of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-R2 in the tumor epithelium, and of VEGF-R3 in both tumor epithelium and endothelium. Loss of chromosome 1p, loss of 3p, and gain of 5q were exclusively observed in type 2, whereas type 1 more frequently had trisomy 17. Type 2 PRCC was associated with worse survival than type 1, but type was not retained as an independent prognostic factor. Lower PTEN, lower EpCAM, lower gelsolin, higher CAIX, and higher VEGF-R2 and VEGF-R3 expression, loss of 1p, 3p, or 9p, and absence trisomy 17 were all associated with poorer prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Type 2 PRCC is associated with more aggressive clinicopathologic features and worse outcome. Molecular and chromosomal alterations can distinguish between PRCC subtypes and influence their prognosis. The effect of 3p loss on survival in PRCC is opposite to the relationship seen in clear cell RCC.

Molecular signatures of localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma to predict disease-free survival after nephrectomy.

PURPOSE: To identify the molecular signature of localized (N0M0) clear cell renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and assess its ability to predict outcome. METHODS: Clinical characteristics and pathologic records of 170 patients with localized clear cell RCC who underwent nephrectomy were reviewed. Immunohistochemical analysis was done on a tissue microarray of all primary tumors using a kidney cancer-related panel of protein markers, which included CAIX, CAXII, CXCR3, gelsolin, Ki-67, vimentin, EpCAM, p21, p27, p53, pS6, PTEN, HIF-1alpha, pAkt, VEGF-A, VEGF-C, VEGF-D, VEGFR-1, VEGFR-2, and VEGFR-3. Associations with disease-free survival (DFS) were evaluated with Cox models, and a concordance index assessed prognostic accuracy. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 7.1 years. The final multivariate Cox model determined T classification, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, and five molecular markers (Ki-67, p53, endothelial VEGFR-1, epithelial VEGFR-1, and epithelial VEGF-D) to be independent prognostic indicators of DFS. The molecular signature based on these markers predicted DFS with an accuracy of 0.838, an improvement over T classification of 0.746, and the University of California-Los Angeles Integrated Staging System of 0.780. A constructed nomogram combined the molecular, clinical, and pathologic factors and approached a concordance index of 0.904. CONCLUSIONS: A molecular signature consisting of five molecular markers (Ki-67, p53, endothelial VEGFR-1, epithelial VEGFR-1, and epithelial VEGF-D) can predict DFS for localized clear cell RCC. The prognostic ability of the signature and nomogram may be superior to clinical and pathologic factors alone and may identify a subset of localized patients with aggressive clinical behavior. Independent, external validation of the nomogram is required.

Clinical outcomes associated with bevacizumab-containing treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer: the BRiTE observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Bevacizumab Regimens' Investigation of Treatment Effects (BRiTE) study is a prospective, observational cohort study designed to elucidate safety and effectiveness outcomes associated with bevacizumab combined with chemotherapy as used in clinical practice for first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Baseline characteristics, prespecified bevacizumab-related adverse events, and effectiveness data were collected from 1,953 mCRC patients who were receiving first-line treatment including bevacizumab at 248 U.S. sites. RESULTS: At database lock, the median follow-up was 20.1 months. At baseline, 46% of patients were aged >or=65 years and 49% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status score >or=1. Fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin was the most common first-line chemotherapy regimen (56%). Overall rates of bevacizumab-related adverse events in the BRiTE study, such as gastrointestinal perforation (1.9%), arterial thromboembolic events (2%), grade 3-4 bleeding (2.2%), and de novo hypertension requiring medication (22%), were consistent with those reported in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of bevacizumab in first-line mCRC treatment. The median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) times were 9.9 (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.5-10.3) months and 22.9 (95% CI, 21.9-24.4) months, respectively. CONCLUSION: The median PFS and OS durations and safety profile of bevacizumab in the BRiTE study were similar to those in RCTs of bevacizumab plus chemotherapy in first-line mCRC patients. The observations from the BRiTE study complement and expand upon RCT data, providing clinical information in a large cohort of bevacizumab-treated patients and subgroups such as the elderly.

Presence of tumor necrosis is not a significant predictor of survival in clear cell renal cell carcinoma: higher prognostic accuracy of extent based rather than presence/absence classification.

PURPOSE: The presence of necrosis has been proposed as an adverse prognostic factor in clear cell renal cell carcinoma. However, classification based on a presence/absence basis ignores its heterogeneity, which may be associated with other important pathological factors and prognosis. We performed the first prospective study of necrosis in clear cell renal cell carcinoma to our knowledge and tested the traditional presence/absence classification vs an alternative extent based classification. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied the presence and extent of tumor necrosis, pathological features and cancer specific survival of 343 consecutive patients. RESULTS: Tumor necrosis was present in 227 tumors (66%) and was associated with more advanced tumors. However, the predictive accuracy for cancer specific survival was low (64.6%) and the presence of necrosis was not retained as an independent prognostic factor on multivariate analysis (p = 0.299). There was significant heterogeneity among tumors with necrosis. Increasing extent of necrosis was associated with poorer performance status, higher T, N, M stages and grades, vascular invasion and sarcomatoid features. Extent based classification predicted cancer specific survival better than presence alone (74.5% vs 64.6%) and was retained as an independent prognostic factor on multivariate analysis (p = 0.029). For clinical use a cutoff of 20% was identified for further prognostic subclassification of tumors with necrosis (c-index 71.7%). CONCLUSIONS: Tumor necrosis is an adverse prognostic factor in clear cell renal cell carcinoma but prospective evaluation of necrosis on a presence/absence basis shows that it does not provide independent prognostic information. The predictive accuracy of an extent based classification is superior and is retained as an independent prognostic factor. We recommend the scoring of necrosis according to its extent with further subclassification based on a 20% cutoff.

CA9 gene: single nucleotide polymorphism predicts metastatic renal cell carcinoma prognosis.

PURPOSE: We assessed CA9 single nucleotide polymorphisms and mutations, and their association with CAIX protein expression, overall survival and response to interleukin-2 in white patients with metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma. MATERIALS METHODS: Genomic DNA was extracted from frozen tumor samples of 54 metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinomas. The CA9 gene exons and flanking regions were amplified by polymerase chain reaction and sequenced. The monoclonal antibody M75 was used to evaluate CAIX protein expression in the primary tumor by immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: CA9 reference single nucleotide polymorphisms rs2071676, rs12553173, rs3829078 and rs1048638 were found in 59%, 15%, 11% and 33% of patients, respectively. The deletion c.376del393 was observed in 2 patients. CAIX expression was greater than 85% in 65% of patients. No single nucleotide polymorphisms were significantly associated with CAIX expression. Patients with the C allele variant of rs12553173 had improved median survival (27.3 vs 13.6 months, p = 0.0431) and a greater likelihood of an interleukin-2 response (57% vs 22%, p = 0.081) Likewise high CAIX expression was associated with longer median survival (25.5 vs 8.5 months, p <0.0001) and a greater interleukin-2 response rate (37% vs 8%, p = 0.070). In a multivariate Cox model the C allele variant of CA9 single nucleotide polymorphism rs12553173 and CAIX expression were retained as independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: CA9 single nucleotide polymorphisms are common in patients with metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma. The synonymous C allele variant of rs12553173 may be associated with improved overall survival and a greater likelihood of a response to interleukin-2. CA9 rs12553173 and CAIX are independent prognostic factors of overall survival and complementary for predicting the prognosis of metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

Evaluation of Continuous Tumor-Size-Based End Points as Surrogates for Overall Survival in Randomized Clinical Trials in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

Importance: Tumor measurements can be used to estimate time to nadir and depth of nadir as potential surrogates for overall survival (OS). Objective: To assess time to nadir and depth of nadir as surrogates for OS in metastatic colorectal cancer. Design, Setting, and Participants: Pooled analysis of 20 randomized clinical trials within the Aide et Recherche en Cancerologie Digestive database, which contains academic and industry-sponsored trials, was conducted. Three sets of comparisons were performed: chemotherapy alone, antiangiogenic agents, and anti-epidermal growth factor receptor agents in first-line treatment for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. Main Outcomes and Measures: Surrogacy of time to nadir and depth of nadir was assessed at the trial level based on joint modeling of relative tumor-size change vs baseline and OS. Treatment effects on time to nadir and on depth of nadir were defined in terms of between-arm differences in time to nadir and in depth of nadir, and both were assessed in linear regressions for their correlation with treatment effects (hazard ratios) on OS within each set. The strengths of association were quantified using sample-size-weighted coefficients of determination (R2), with values closer to 1.00 indicating stronger association. At the patient level, the correlation was assessed between modeled relative tumor-size change and OS. Results: For 14 chemotherapy comparisons in 4289 patients, the R2 value was 0.63 (95% CI, 0.30-0.96) for the association between treatment effects on time to nadir and OS and 0.08 (95% CI, 0-0.37) for depth of nadir and OS. For 11 antiangiogenic agent comparisons (4854 patients), corresponding values of R2 were 0.25 (95% CI, 0-0.72) and 0.06 (95% CI, 0-0.35). For 8 anti-epidermal growth factor receptor comparisons (2684 patients), corresponding values of R2 were 0.24 (95% CI, 0-0.83) and 0.21 (95% CI, 0-0.78). Conclusions and Relevance: In contrast with early reports favoring depth of response as a surrogate, these results suggest that neither time to nadir nor depth of nadir is an acceptable surrogate for OS in the first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer.

Health-related quality of life impact of bevacizumab when combined with irinotecan, 5-fluorouracil, and leucovorin or 5-fluorouracil and leucovorin for metastatic colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE: To compare the time to deterioration in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients with previously untreated metastatic colorectal cancer receiving a 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based chemotherapy regimen with or without the addition of bevacizumab (BV) in two randomized, placebo-controlled studies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Prespecified HRQoL endpoints in the phase II (Study 2192) and phase III (Study 2107) studies were time to deterioration in HRQoL, measured by the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Colorectal (FACT-C) Colorectal Cancer Subscale (CCS), Trial Outcome Index (TOI-C), and FACT-C total score. Time to deterioration in HRQoL was evaluated for patients with baseline and postbaseline assessments, using the stratified log-rank test. RESULTS: In the pivotal phase III trial, HRQoL baseline and postbaseline CCS scores were available for 127 patients receiving irinotecan, 5-FU, and leucovorin (LV) (IFL) and 122 patients receiving IFL plus BV. The time to deterioration in HRQoL did not differ significantly between treatment groups as measured by the CCS, TOI-C, or FACT-C total score. In the phase II study, baseline and postbaseline CCS scores were available for 77 and 89 patients receiving 5-FU and LV and 5-FU and LV plus BV, respectively. In that study, the time to deterioration in HRQoL was similar between groups as measured by the CCS and TOI-C scores, but was significantly longer in the 5-FU and LV plus BV arm than in the 5-FU and LV plus placebo arm for the FACT-C total score. CONCLUSIONS: When added to 5-FU chemotherapy, BV significantly prolonged overall survival and progression-free survival without compromising HRQoL.

The chemokine receptor CXCR3 is an independent prognostic factor in patients with localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Through its binding with interferon inducible angiostatic chemokines the chemokine receptor CXCR3 has an important role in regulating tumor mediating immunity, angiogenesis and metastatic spread. To evaluate its role in the biology of clear cell renal cell carcinoma we performed a tissue microarray based study. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The tissue microarray comprised 154 patients who underwent nephrectomy for localized (N0M0) clear cell renal cell carcinoma at UCLA from 1989 to 2000. Immunohistochemical staining was evaluated by 2 anatomical pathologists who were blinded to outcome. The end point of this study was disease-free survival. Median followup was 5.9 years. RESULTS: A total of 96% of the tumor specimens stained positive for CXCR3. The mean percent of cells staining positive was 68% (range 0 to 100%). CXCR3 expression was not associated with other common clinicopathological features, such as Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, T stage, Fuhrman grade, vascular invasion or sarcomatoid features. Patients with low CXCR3 expression (less than 30%) had a significantly worse prognosis than patients with high CXCR3 expression with a 5-year disease-free survival rate of 57% vs 82% (p = 0.009). Multivariate Cox regression analysis retained T stage, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, sarcomatoid features and CXCR3 as independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: CXCR3 is a novel molecular marker in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma. Its higher expression is an independent predictor of improved disease-free survival following nephrectomy for localized disease. Since CXCR3 is not associated with other clinicopathological prognostic factors, it may represent an ideal complementary molecular marker for identifying patients who are at higher risk for recurrence after nephrectomy.

Tumor size does not predict risk of metastatic disease or prognosis of small renal cell carcinomas.

PURPOSE: We characterized the clinicopathological features and the prognosis of small solid renal tumors defined as tumors 4 cm or smaller. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified 1,208 patients who were treated with nephrectomy at 5 international academic centers for small solid renal tumors. Clinicopathological parameters and outcome data were collected for each patient and analyzed. RESULTS: Of the tumors 88% were renal cell carcinoma and 12% were benign. Of those with renal cell carcinoma 995 (93%) were localized (N0M0) and 72 (7%) presented with metastatic disease. Tumor size did not predict synchronous metastatic disease. The incidence of metastatic disease in the tumor size ranges 0.1 to 1.0, 1.1 to 2.0, 2.1 to 3.0 and 3.1 to 4.0 cm was 7%, 6%, 5% and 8%, respectively (p = 0.322). Survival rates were excellent. The majority of patients who died of renal cell carcinoma (54%) presented with synchronous metastatic disease, but 3% of patients with localized disease also died of renal cell carcinoma. In patients with localized disease there was a 7% chance of recurrence post nephrectomy at 5 years. Progression-free survival (28 months) was better than for patients with metastatic disease having a primary tumor greater than 4 cm (8 months). Tumor size was not retained as an independent prognostic factor of survival in multivariate analyses. The University of California Integrated Staging System and the Karakiewicz nomogram were the best predictors of cancer specific survival for all renal cell carcinoma stages (c-index 0.87). CONCLUSIONS: More than 85% of small solid renal tumors are renal cell carcinoma. The majority of localized small renal tumors can be cured with existing surgical approaches. However, there is a small but not insignificant risk of synchronous and metachronous metastatic disease and cancer associated death. Patients considering experimental therapies such as ablation and surveillance should be aware of this. Tumor size alone is not sufficient to distinguish renal cell carcinoma with benign behavior from aggressive small renal cell carcinoma. Survival of patients with small metastatic renal cell carcinoma is better then expected. The biology of these unique tumors should be further studied.