Predicting Readmission or Death After Discharge From the ICU: External Validation and Retraining of a Machine Learning Model.

OBJECTIVES: Many machine learning (ML) models have been developed for application in the ICU, but few models have been subjected to external validation. The performance of these models in new settings therefore remains unknown. The objective of this study was to assess the performance of an existing decision support tool based on a ML model predicting readmission or death within 7 days after ICU discharge before, during, and after retraining and recalibration. DESIGN: A gradient boosted ML model was developed and validated on electronic health record data from 2004 to 2021. We performed an independent validation of this model on electronic health record data from 2011 to 2019 from a different tertiary care center. SETTING: Two ICUs in tertiary care centers in The Netherlands. PATIENTS: Adult patients who were admitted to the ICU and stayed for longer than 12 hours. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We assessed discrimination by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration (slope and intercept). We retrained and recalibrated the original model and assessed performance via a temporal validation design. The final retrained model was cross-validated on all data from the new site. Readmission or death within 7 days after ICU discharge occurred in 577 of 10,052 ICU admissions (5.7%) at the new site. External validation revealed moderate discrimination with an AUC of 0.72 (95% CI 0.67-0.76). Retrained models showed improved discrimination with AUC 0.79 (95% CI 0.75-0.82) for the final validation model. Calibration was poor initially and good after recalibration via isotonic regression. CONCLUSIONS: In this era of expanding availability of ML models, external validation and retraining are key steps to consider before applying ML models to new settings. Clinicians and decision-makers should take this into account when considering applying new ML models to their local settings.

Functional brain network and trail making test changes following major surgery and postoperative delirium: a prospective, multicentre, observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Delirium is a frequent complication after surgery in older adults and is associated with an increased risk of long-term cognitive impairment and dementia. Disturbances in functional brain networks were previously reported during delirium. We hypothesised that alterations in functional brain networks persist after remission of postoperative delirium and that functional brain network alterations are associated with long-term cognitive impairment. METHODS: In this prospective, multicentre, observational cohort study, we included older patients who underwent clinical assessments (including the Trail Making Test B [TMT-B]) and resting-state functional MRI (rs-fMRI) before and 3 months after elective surgery. Delirium was assessed on the first seven postoperative days. RESULTS: Of the 554 enrolled patients, 246 remained after strict motion correction, of whom 38 (16%) developed postoperative delirium. The rs-fMRI functional connectivity strength increased 3 months after surgery in the total study population (ß=0.006; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.001-0.011; P=0.013), but it decreased after postoperative delirium (ß=-0.015; 95% CI: -0.028 to 0.002; P=0.023). No difference in TMT-B scores was found at follow-up between patients with and without postoperative delirium. Patients with decreased functional connectivity strength declined in TMT-B scores compared with those who did not (ß=11.04; 95% CI: 0.85-21.2; P=0.034). CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative delirium was associated with decreased brain functional connectivity strength after 3 months, suggesting that delirium has a long-lasting impact on brain networks. The decreased connectivity strength was associated with significant cognitive deterioration after major surgery. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02265263.

Analyzing patient experiences using natural language processing: development and validation of the artificial intelligence patient reported experience measure (AI-PREM).

BACKGROUND: Evaluating patients' experiences is essential when incorporating the patients' perspective in improving healthcare. Experiences are mainly collected using closed-ended questions, although the value of open-ended questions is widely recognized. Natural language processing (NLP) can automate the analysis of open-ended questions for an efficient approach to patient-centeredness. METHODS: We developed the Artificial Intelligence Patient-Reported Experience Measures (AI-PREM) tool, consisting of a new, open-ended questionnaire, an NLP pipeline to analyze the answers using sentiment analysis and topic modeling, and a visualization to guide physicians through the results. The questionnaire and NLP pipeline were iteratively developed and validated in a clinical context. RESULTS: The final AI-PREM consisted of five open-ended questions about the provided information, personal approach, collaboration between healthcare professionals, organization of care, and other experiences. The AI-PREM was sent to 867 vestibular schwannoma patients, 534 of which responded. The sentiment analysis model attained an F1 score of 0.97 for positive texts and 0.63 for negative texts. There was a 90% overlap between automatically and manually extracted topics. The visualization was hierarchically structured into three stages: the sentiment per question, the topics per sentiment and question, and the original patient responses per topic. CONCLUSIONS: The AI-PREM tool is a comprehensive method that combines a validated, open-ended questionnaire with a well-performing NLP pipeline and visualization. Thematically organizing and quantifying patient feedback reduces the time invested by healthcare professionals to evaluate and prioritize patient experiences without being confined to the limited answer options of closed-ended questions.

Different phenotypes of neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus are related to a distinct pattern of structural changes on brain MRI.

OBJECTIVES: The underlying structural brain correlates of neuropsychiatric involvement in systemic lupus erythematosus (NPSLE) remain unclear, thus hindering correct diagnosis. We compared brain tissue volumes between a clinically well-defined cohort of patients with NPSLE and SLE patients with neuropsychiatric syndromes not attributed to SLE (non-NPSLE). Within the NPSLE patients, we also examined differences between patients with two distinct disease phenotypes: ischemic and inflammatory. METHODS: In this prospective (May 2007 to April 2015) cohort study, we included 38 NPSLE patients (26 inflammatory and 12 ischemic) and 117 non-NPSLE patients. All patients underwent a 3-T brain MRI scan that was used to automatically determine white matter, grey matter, white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and total brain volumes. Group differences in brain tissue volumes were studied with linear regression analyses corrected for age, gender, and total intracranial volume and expressed as B values and 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: NPSLE patients showed higher WMH volume compared to non-NPSLE patients (p = 0.004). NPSLE inflammatory patients showed lower total brain (p = 0.014) and white matter volumes (p = 0.020), and higher WMH volume (p = 0.002) compared to non-NPSLE patients. Additionally, NPSLE inflammatory patients showed lower white matter (p = 0.020) and total brain volumes (p = 0.038) compared to NPSLE ischemic patients. CONCLUSION: We showed that different phenotypes of NPSLE were related to distinct patterns of underlying structural brain MRI changes. Especially the inflammatory phenotype of NPSLE was associated with the most pronounced brain volume changes, which might facilitate the diagnostic process in SLE patients with neuropsychiatric symptoms. KEY POINTS: • Neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus (NPSLE) patients showed a higher WMH volume compared to SLE patients with neuropsychiatric syndromes not attributed to SLE (non-NPSLE). • NPSLE patients with inflammatory phenotype showed a lower total brain and white matter volume, and a higher volume of white matter hyperintensities, compared to non-NPSLE patients. • NPSLE patients with inflammatory phenotype showed lower white matter and total brain volumes compared to NPSLE patients with ischemic phenotype.

The association between intraoperative hyperglycemia and cerebrovascular markers.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Hyperglycemia can lead to an increased rate of apoptosis of microglial cells and to damaged neurons. The relation between hyperglycemia and cerebrovascular markers on MRI is unknown. Our aim was to study the association between intraoperative hyperglycemia and cerebrovascular markers. METHODS: In this further analysis of a subgroup investigation of the BIOCOG study, 65 older non-demented patients (median 72 years) were studied who underwent elective surgery of ≥ 60 minutes. Intraoperative blood glucose maximum was determined retrospectively in each patient. In these patients, preoperatively and at 3 months follow-up a MRI scan was performed and white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume and shape, infarcts, and perfusion parameters were determined. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to determine associations between preoperative cerebrovascular markers and occurrence of intraoperative hyperglycemia. Linear regression analyses were performed to assess the relation between intraoperative hyperglycemia and pre- to postoperative changes in WMH volume. Associations between intraoperative hyperglycemia and postoperative WMH volume at 3 months follow-up were also assessed by linear regression analyses. RESULTS: Eighteen patients showed intraoperative hyperglycemia (glucose maximum ≥ 150 mg/dL). A preoperative more smooth shape of periventricular and confluent WMH was related to the occurrence of intraoperative hyperglycemia [convexity: OR 33.318 (95 % CI (1.002 - 1107.950); p = 0.050]. Other preoperative cerebrovascular markers were not related to the occurrence of intraoperative hyperglycemia. Intraoperative hyperglycemia showed no relation with pre- to postoperative changes in WMH volume nor with postoperative WMH volume at 3 months follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: We found that a preoperative more smooth shape of periventricular and confluent WMH was related to the occurrence of intraoperative hyperglycemia. These findings may suggest that a similar underlying mechanism leads to a certain pattern of vascular brain abnormalities and an increased risk of hyperglycemia.

ExploreASL: An image processing pipeline for multi-center ASL perfusion MRI studies.

Arterial spin labeling (ASL) has undergone significant development since its inception, with a focus on improving standardization and reproducibility of its acquisition and quantification. In a community-wide effort towards robust and reproducible clinical ASL image processing, we developed the software package ExploreASL, allowing standardized analyses across centers and scanners. The procedures used in ExploreASL capitalize on published image processing advancements and address the challenges of multi-center datasets with scanner-specific processing and artifact reduction to limit patient exclusion. ExploreASL is self-contained, written in MATLAB and based on Statistical Parameter Mapping (SPM) and runs on multiple operating systems. To facilitate collaboration and data-exchange, the toolbox follows several standards and recommendations for data structure, provenance, and best analysis practice. ExploreASL was iteratively refined and tested in the analysis of >10,000 ASL scans using different pulse-sequences in a variety of clinical populations, resulting in four processing modules: Import, Structural, ASL, and Population that perform tasks, respectively, for data curation, structural and ASL image processing and quality control, and finally preparing the results for statistical analyses on both single-subject and group level. We illustrate ExploreASL processing results from three cohorts: perinatally HIV-infected children, healthy adults, and elderly at risk for neurodegenerative disease. We show the reproducibility for each cohort when processed at different centers with different operating systems and MATLAB versions, and its effects on the quantification of gray matter cerebral blood flow. ExploreASL facilitates the standardization of image processing and quality control, allowing the pooling of cohorts which may increase statistical power and discover between-group perfusion differences. Ultimately, this workflow may advance ASL for wider adoption in clinical studies, trials, and practice.

MRI Markers of Neurodegenerative and Neurovascular Changes in Relation to Postoperative Delirium and Postoperative Cognitive Decline.

Postoperative delirium (POD) and postoperative cognitive decline (POCD) are common in elderly patients. The aim of the present review was to explore the association of neurodegenerative and neurovascular changes with the occurrence of POD and POCD. Fifteen MRI studies were identified by combining multiple search terms for POD, POCD, and brain imaging. These studies described a total of 1,422 patients and were all observational in design. Neurodegenerative changes (global and regional brain volumes) did not show a consistent association with the occurrence of POD (four studies) or POCD (two studies). In contrast, neurovascular changes (white matter hyperintensities and cerebral infarcts) were more consistently associated with the occurrence of POD (seven studies) and POCD (five studies). In conclusion, neurovascular changes appear to be consistently associated with the occurrence of POD and POCD, and may identify patients at increased risk of these conditions. Larger prospective studies are needed to study the consistency of these findings and to unravel the underlying pathophysiological mechanisms.

Predicting Depression Risk in Patients With Cancer Using Multimodal Data: Algorithm Development Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with cancer starting systemic treatment programs, such as chemotherapy, often develop depression. A prediction model may assist physicians and health care workers in the early identification of these vulnerable patients. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop a prediction model for depression risk within the first month of cancer treatment. METHODS: We included 16,159 patients diagnosed with cancer starting chemo- or radiotherapy treatment between 2008 and 2021. Machine learning models (eg, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator [LASSO] logistic regression) and natural language processing models (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers [BERT]) were used to develop multimodal prediction models using both electronic health record data and unstructured text (patient emails and clinician notes). Model performance was assessed in an independent test set (n=5387, 33%) using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis to assess initial clinical impact use. RESULTS: Among 16,159 patients, 437 (2.7%) received a depression diagnosis within the first month of treatment. The LASSO logistic regression models based on the structured data (AUROC 0.74, 95% CI 0.71-0.78) and structured data with email classification scores (AUROC 0.74, 95% CI 0.71-0.78) had the best discriminative performance. The BERT models based on clinician notes and structured data with email classification scores had AUROCs around 0.71. The logistic regression model based on email classification scores alone performed poorly (AUROC 0.54, 95% CI 0.52-0.56), and the model based solely on clinician notes had the worst performance (AUROC 0.50, 95% CI 0.49-0.52). Calibration was good for the logistic regression models, whereas the BERT models produced overly extreme risk estimates even after recalibration. There was a small range of decision thresholds for which the best-performing model showed promising clinical effectiveness use. The risks were underestimated for female and Black patients. CONCLUSIONS: The results demonstrated the potential and limitations of machine learning and multimodal models for predicting depression risk in patients with cancer. Future research is needed to further validate these models, refine the outcome label and predictors related to mental health, and address biases across subgroups.

Applying natural language processing to patient messages to identify depression concerns in cancer patients.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to explore and develop tools for early identification of depression concerns among cancer patients by leveraging the novel data source of messages sent through a secure patient portal. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed classifiers based on logistic regression (LR), support vector machines (SVMs), and 2 Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) models (original and Reddit-pretrained) on 6600 patient messages from a cancer center (2009-2022), annotated by a panel of healthcare professionals. Performance was compared using AUROC scores, and model fairness and explainability were examined. We also examined correlations between model predictions and depression diagnosis and treatment. RESULTS: BERT and RedditBERT attained AUROC scores of 0.88 and 0.86, respectively, compared to 0.79 for LR and 0.83 for SVM. BERT showed bigger differences in performance across sex, race, and ethnicity than RedditBERT. Patients who sent messages classified as concerning had a higher chance of receiving a depression diagnosis, a prescription for antidepressants, or a referral to the psycho-oncologist. Explanations from BERT and RedditBERT differed, with no clear preference from annotators. DISCUSSION: We show the potential of BERT and RedditBERT in identifying depression concerns in messages from cancer patients. Performance disparities across demographic groups highlight the need for careful consideration of potential biases. Further research is needed to address biases, evaluate real-world impacts, and ensure responsible integration into clinical settings. CONCLUSION: This work represents a significant methodological advancement in the early identification of depression concerns among cancer patients. Our work contributes to a route to reduce clinical burden while enhancing overall patient care, leveraging BERT-based models.

Impact of a Digital Scribe System on Clinical Documentation Time and Quality: Usability Study.

BACKGROUND: Physicians spend approximately half of their time on administrative tasks, which is one of the leading causes of physician burnout and decreased work satisfaction. The implementation of natural language processing-assisted clinical documentation tools may provide a solution. OBJECTIVE: This study investigates the impact of a commercially available Dutch digital scribe system on clinical documentation efficiency and quality. METHODS: Medical students with experience in clinical practice and documentation (n=22) created a total of 430 summaries of mock consultations and recorded the time they spent on this task. The consultations were summarized using 3 methods: manual summaries, fully automated summaries, and automated summaries with manual editing. We then randomly reassigned the summaries and evaluated their quality using a modified version of the Physician Documentation Quality Instrument (PDQI-9). We compared the differences between the 3 methods in descriptive statistics, quantitative text metrics (word count and lexical diversity), the PDQI-9, Recall-Oriented Understudy for Gisting Evaluation scores, and BERTScore. RESULTS: The median time for manual summarization was 202 seconds against 186 seconds for editing an automatic summary. Without editing, the automatic summaries attained a poorer PDQI-9 score than manual summaries (median PDQI-9 score 25 vs 31, P<.001, ANOVA test). Automatic summaries were found to have higher word counts but lower lexical diversity than manual summaries (P<.001, independent t test). The study revealed variable impacts on PDQI-9 scores and summarization time across individuals. Generally, students viewed the digital scribe system as a potentially useful tool, noting its ease of use and time-saving potential, though some criticized the summaries for their greater length and rigid structure. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the potential of digital scribes in improving clinical documentation processes by offering a first summary draft for physicians to edit, thereby reducing documentation time without compromising the quality of patient records. Furthermore, digital scribes may be more beneficial to some physicians than to others and could play a role in improving the reusability of clinical documentation. Future studies should focus on the impact and quality of such a system when used by physicians in clinical practice.

Identification of Distinct Brain MRI Phenotypes and Their Association With Long-Term Dementia Risk in Community-Dwelling Older Adults.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Individual brain MRI markers only show at best a modest association with long-term occurrence of dementia. Therefore, it is challenging to accurately identify individuals at increased risk for dementia. We aimed to identify different brain MRI phenotypes by hierarchical clustering analysis based on combined neurovascular and neurodegenerative brain MRI markers and to determine the long-term dementia risk within the brain MRI phenotype subgroups. METHODS: Hierarchical clustering analysis based on 32 combined neurovascular and neurodegenerative brain MRI markers in community-dwelling individuals of the Age-Gene/Environment Susceptibility Reykjavik Study was applied to identify brain MRI phenotypes. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to determine the long-term risk for dementia per subgroup. RESULTS: We included 3,056 participants and identified 15 subgroups with distinct brain MRI phenotypes. The phenotypes ranged from limited burden, mostly irregular white matter hyperintensity (WMH) shape and cerebral atrophy, mostly irregularly WMHs and microbleeds, mostly cortical infarcts and atrophy, mostly irregularly shaped WMH and cerebral atrophy to multiburden subgroups. Each subgroup showed different long-term risks for dementia (min-max range hazard ratios [HRs] 1.01-6.18; mean time to follow-up 9.9 ± 2.6 years); especially the brain MRI phenotype with mainly WMHs and atrophy showed a large increased risk (HR 6.18, 95% CI 3.37-11.32). DISCUSSION: Distinct brain MRI phenotypes can be identified in community-dwelling older adults. Our results indicate that distinct brain MRI phenotypes are related to varying long-term risks of developing dementia. Brain MRI phenotypes may in the future assist in an improved understanding of the structural correlates of dementia predisposition.

Availability of Evidence for Predictive Machine Learning Algorithms in Primary Care: A Systematic Review.

Importance: The aging and multimorbid population and health personnel shortages pose a substantial burden on primary health care. While predictive machine learning (ML) algorithms have the potential to address these challenges, concerns include transparency and insufficient reporting of model validation and effectiveness of the implementation in the clinical workflow. Objectives: To systematically identify predictive ML algorithms implemented in primary care from peer-reviewed literature and US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and Conformité Européene (CE) registration databases and to ascertain the public availability of evidence, including peer-reviewed literature, gray literature, and technical reports across the artificial intelligence (AI) life cycle. Evidence Review: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Emcare, Academic Search Premier, IEEE Xplore, ACM Digital Library, MathSciNet, AAAI.org (Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence), arXiv, Epistemonikos, PsycINFO, and Google Scholar were searched for studies published between January 2000 and July 2023, with search terms that were related to AI, primary care, and implementation. The search extended to CE-marked or FDA-approved predictive ML algorithms obtained from relevant registration databases. Three reviewers gathered subsequent evidence involving strategies such as product searches, exploration of references, manufacturer website visits, and direct inquiries to authors and product owners. The extent to which the evidence for each predictive ML algorithm aligned with the Dutch AI predictive algorithm (AIPA) guideline requirements was assessed per AI life cycle phase, producing evidence availability scores. Findings: The systematic search identified 43 predictive ML algorithms, of which 25 were commercially available and CE-marked or FDA-approved. The predictive ML algorithms spanned multiple clinical domains, but most (27 [63%]) focused on cardiovascular diseases and diabetes. Most (35 [81%]) were published within the past 5 years. The availability of evidence varied across different phases of the predictive ML algorithm life cycle, with evidence being reported the least for phase 1 (preparation) and phase 5 (impact assessment) (19% and 30%, respectively). Twelve (28%) predictive ML algorithms achieved approximately half of their maximum individual evidence availability score. Overall, predictive ML algorithms from peer-reviewed literature showed higher evidence availability compared with those from FDA-approved or CE-marked databases (45% vs 29%). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings indicate an urgent need to improve the availability of evidence regarding the predictive ML algorithms' quality criteria. Adopting the Dutch AIPA guideline could facilitate transparent and consistent reporting of the quality criteria that could foster trust among end users and facilitating large-scale implementation.

Don't be misled: 3 misconceptions about external validation of clinical prediction models.

Clinical prediction models provide risks of health outcomes that can inform patients and support medical decisions. However, most models never make it to actual implementation in practice. A commonly heard reason for this lack of implementation is that prediction models are often not externally validated. While we generally encourage external validation, we argue that an external validation is often neither sufficient nor required as an essential step before implementation. As such, any available external validation should not be perceived as a license for model implementation. We clarify this argument by discussing 3 common misconceptions about external validation. We argue that there is not one type of recommended validation design, not always a necessity for external validation, and sometimes a need for multiple external validations. The insights from this paper can help readers to consider, design, interpret, and appreciate external validation studies.

Diagnosis Classification in the Emergency Room Using Natural Language Processing.

Diagnosis classification in the emergency room (ER) is a complex task. We developed several natural language processing classification models, looking both at the full classification task of 132 diagnostic categories and at several clinically applicable samples consisting of two diagnoses that are hard to distinguish.

Predicting Depression Risk in Patients with Cancer Using Multimodal Data.

When patients with cancer develop depression, it is often left untreated. We developed a prediction model for depression risk within the first month after starting cancer treatment using machine learning and Natural Language Processing (NLP) models. The LASSO logistic regression model based on structured data performed well, whereas the NLP model based on only clinician notes did poorly. After further validation, prediction models for depression risk could lead to earlier identification and treatment of vulnerable patients, ultimately improving cancer care and treatment adherence.

Postoperative delirium is associated with grey matter brain volume loss.

Delirium is associated with long-term cognitive dysfunction and with increased brain atrophy. However, it is unclear whether these problems result from or predisposes to delirium. We aimed to investigate preoperative to postoperative brain changes, as well as the role of delirium in these changes over time. We investigated the effects of surgery and postoperative delirium with brain MRIs made before and 3 months after major elective surgery in 299 elderly patients, and an MRI with a 3 months follow-up MRI in 48 non-surgical control participants. To study the effects of surgery and delirium, we compared brain volumes, white matter hyperintensities and brain infarcts between baseline and follow-up MRIs, using multiple regression analyses adjusting for possible confounders. Within the patients group, 37 persons (12%) developed postoperative delirium. Surgical patients showed a greater decrease in grey matter volume than non-surgical control participants [linear regression: B (95% confidence interval) = -0.65% of intracranial volume (-1.01 to -0.29, P < 0.005)]. Within the surgery group, delirium was associated with a greater decrease in grey matter volume [B (95% confidence interval): -0.44% of intracranial volume (-0.82 to -0.06, P = 0.02)]. Furthermore, within the patients, delirium was associated with a non-significantly increased risk of a new postoperative brain infarct [logistic regression: odds ratio (95% confidence interval): 2.8 (0.7-11.1), P = 0.14]. Our study was the first to investigate the association between delirium and preoperative to postoperative brain volume changes, suggesting that delirium is associated with increased progression of grey matter volume loss.

Intensive Care Unit Physicians' Perspectives on Artificial Intelligence-Based Clinical Decision Support Tools: Preimplementation Survey Study.

BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence-based clinical decision support (AI-CDS) tools have great potential to benefit intensive care unit (ICU) patients and physicians. There is a gap between the development and implementation of these tools. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate physicians' perspectives and their current decision-making behavior before implementing a discharge AI-CDS tool for predicting readmission and mortality risk after ICU discharge. METHODS: We conducted a survey of physicians involved in decision-making on discharge of patients at two Dutch academic ICUs between July and November 2021. Questions were divided into four domains: (1) physicians' current decision-making behavior with respect to discharging ICU patients, (2) perspectives on the use of AI-CDS tools in general, (3) willingness to incorporate a discharge AI-CDS tool into daily clinical practice, and (4) preferences for using a discharge AI-CDS tool in daily workflows. RESULTS: Most of the 64 respondents (of 93 contacted, 69%) were familiar with AI (62/64, 97%) and had positive expectations of AI, with 55 of 64 (86%) believing that AI could support them in their work as a physician. The respondents disagreed on whether the decision to discharge a patient was complex (23/64, 36% agreed and 22/64, 34% disagreed); nonetheless, most (59/64, 92%) agreed that a discharge AI-CDS tool could be of value. Significant differences were observed between physicians from the 2 academic sites, which may be related to different levels of involvement in the development of the discharge AI-CDS tool. CONCLUSIONS: ICU physicians showed a favorable attitude toward the integration of AI-CDS tools into the ICU setting in general, and in particular toward a tool to predict a patient's risk of readmission and mortality within 7 days after discharge. The findings of this questionnaire will be used to improve the implementation process and training of end users.

MRI phenotypes of glioblastomas early after treatment are suggestive of overall patient survival.

Background: Distinguishing true tumor progression (TP) from treatment-induced abnormalities (eg, pseudo-progression (PP) after radiotherapy) on conventional MRI scans remains challenging in patients with a glioblastoma. We aimed to establish brain MRI phenotypes of glioblastomas early after treatment by combined analysis of structural and perfusion tumor characteristics and assessed the relation with recurrence rate and overall survival time. Methods: Structural and perfusion MR images of 67 patients at 3 months post-radiotherapy were visually scored by a neuroradiologist. In total 23 parameters were predefined and used for hierarchical clustering analysis. Progression status was assessed based on the clinical course of each patient 9 months after radiotherapy (or latest available). Multivariable Cox regression models were used to determine the association between the phenotypes, recurrence rate, and overall survival. Results: We established 4 subgroups with significantly different tumor MRI characteristics, representing distinct MRI phenotypes of glioblastomas: TP and PP rates did not differ significantly between subgroups. Regression analysis showed that patients in subgroup 1 (characterized by having mostly small and ellipsoid nodular enhancing lesions with some hyper-perfusion) had a significant association with increased mortality at 9 months (HR: 2.6 (CI: 1.1-6.3); P = .03) with a median survival time of 13 months (compared to 22 months of subgroup 2). Conclusions: Our study suggests that distinct MRI phenotypes of glioblastomas at 3 months post-radiotherapy can be indicative of overall survival, but does not aid in differentiating TP from PP. The early prognostic information our method provides might in the future be informative for prognostication of glioblastoma patients.

Machine learning did not beat logistic regression in time series prediction for severe asthma exacerbations.

Early detection of severe asthma exacerbations through home monitoring data in patients with stable mild-to-moderate chronic asthma could help to timely adjust medication. We evaluated the potential of machine learning methods compared to a clinical rule and logistic regression to predict severe exacerbations. We used daily home monitoring data from two studies in asthma patients (development: n = 165 and validation: n = 101 patients). Two ML models (XGBoost, one class SVM) and a logistic regression model provided predictions based on peak expiratory flow and asthma symptoms. These models were compared with an asthma action plan rule. Severe exacerbations occurred in 0.2% of all daily measurements in the development (154/92,787 days) and validation cohorts (94/40,185 days). The AUC of the best performing XGBoost was 0.85 (0.82-0.87) and 0.88 (0.86-0.90) for logistic regression in the validation cohort. The XGBoost model provided overly extreme risk estimates, whereas the logistic regression underestimated predicted risks. Sensitivity and specificity were better overall for XGBoost and logistic regression compared to one class SVM and the clinical rule. We conclude that ML models did not beat logistic regression in predicting short-term severe asthma exacerbations based on home monitoring data. Clinical application remains challenging in settings with low event incidence and high false alarm rates with high sensitivity.

Different cardiovascular risk factors are related to distinct white matter hyperintensity MRI phenotypes in older adults.

The underlying mechanisms of the association between cardiovascular risk factors and a higher white matter hyperintensity (WMH) burden are unknown. We investigated the association between cardiovascular risk factors and advanced WMH markers in 155 non-demented older adults (mean age: 71 ± 5 years). The association between cardiovascular risk factors and quantitative MRI-based WMH shape and volume markers were examined using linear regression analysis. Presence of hypertension was associated with a more irregular shape of periventricular/confluent WMH (convexity (B (95 % CI)): -0.12 (-0.22--0.03); concavity index: 0.06 (0.02-0.11)), but not with total WMH volume (0.22 (-0.15-0.59)). Presence of diabetes was associated with deep WMH volume (0.89 (0.15-1.63)). Body mass index or hyperlipidemia showed no association with WMH markers. In conclusion, different cardiovascular risk factors seem to be related to a distinct pattern of WMH shape markers in non-demented older adults. These findings may suggest that different underlying cardiovascular pathological mechanisms lead to different WMH MRI phenotypes, which may be valuable for early detection of individuals at risk for stroke and dementia.