AI-powered prediction of HCC recurrence after surgical resection: Personalised intervention opportunities using patient-specific risk factors.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence following surgical resection remains a significant clinical challenge, necessitating reliable predictive models to guide personalised interventions. In this study, we sought to harness the power of artificial intelligence (AI) to develop a robust predictive model for HCC recurrence using comprehensive clinical datasets. METHODS: Leveraging data from 958 patients across multiple centres in Australia and Hong Kong, we employed a multilayer perceptron (MLP) as the optimal classifier for model generation. RESULTS: Through rigorous internal cross-validation, including a cohort from the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), our AI model successfully identified specific pre-surgical risk factors associated with HCC recurrence. These factors encompassed hepatic synthetic function, liver disease aetiology, ethnicity and modifiable metabolic risk factors, collectively contributing to the predictive synergy of our model. Notably, our model exhibited high accuracy during cross-validation (.857 ± .023) and testing on the CUHK cohort (.835), with a notable degree of confidence in predicting HCC recurrence within accurately classified patient cohorts. To facilitate clinical application, we developed an online AI digital tool capable of real-time prediction of HCC recurrence risk, demonstrating acceptable accuracy at the individual patient level. CONCLUSION: Our findings underscore the potential of AI-driven predictive models in facilitating personalised risk stratification and targeted interventions to mitigate HCC recurrence by identifying modifiable risk factors unique to each patient. This model aims to aid clinicians in devising strategies to disrupt the underlying carcinogenic network driving recurrence.

Cirrhosis in primary practice: many patients remain potentially undiagnosed and are not receiving liver cancer surveillance.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Most patients with cirrhosis have compensated disease and are cared for in primary care; however, the exact epidemiology within Australia remains largely unknown. The aim of this study was to assess cirrhosis care in an Australian primary care setting by evaluating rates of cirrhosis diagnosis, appropriate hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance and specialist communication. METHODS: Electronic medical records in consenting general practices were reviewed using the "Liver Toolkit" to identify patients with an existing cirrhosis diagnosis. Individual cases were reviewed to identify outcomes of interest. RESULTS: One hundred seventy-one patients with confirmed cirrhosis across nine general practices were identified (74% male, mean age: 61.2 years). There was significant variation in the rate of cirrhosis diagnosis between practices (range 31.7-637.9 per 100 000 patients, P < 0.0001). Patients with cirrhosis had predominately compensated disease (75% Child-Pugh A) and common etiologies of cirrhosis were alcohol (49%), hepatitis C (47%), and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (29%). Forty-two patients (25%) had received appropriate HCC surveillance. Predictors of inadequate HCC surveillance were time from last specialist correspondence (odds ratio [OR] = 1.06 per month increase, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.10, P = 0.002) and hepatitis B (OR = 0.24, 95% CI: 0.06-0.98, P = 0.047). Specialist correspondence with primary care was older than 2 years or absent in 37% of cases. CONCLUSIONS: There was a 20-fold difference in the rate of cirrhosis diagnosis between general practices within Sydney, suggesting a large proportion of patients remain undiagnosed. Three quarters of patients with diagnosed cirrhosis are not receiving appropriate HCC surveillance.

Gastroenterology hospital outpatients report high rates of satisfaction with a Telehealth model of care.

AIMS: This study aimed to capture patient satisfaction with a Telehealth model of care in a tertiary hospital gastroenterology outpatient setting. An in-depth patient questionnaire addressed patients' experience with telephone based consultations, as well as capturing demographic data to predict patients who may benefit from a Telehealth model of care. METHODS: Patients aged ≥ 18 years who had a telephone appointment from 1st March 2020 to 1st September 2020 at the St George Hospital and Sutherland Hospital Gastroenterology Clinics in Sydney, Australia, were invited to complete an anonymous online survey detailing their experience. Clinics included general gastroenterology, inflammatory bowel disease, hepatology and swallow disorders. Chi squared analysis was used to investigate if demographic data (age, gender, educational status, English-spoken at home, and presence of IBD or cirrhosis) impacted on a patients rating of care they received. RESULTS: 1894 patients were invited to complete with survey, with 302 responses. 294 respondents (88.4%) rated the care they received as "very good" or "good". 254 (84.1%) stated the main reason for attending the clinic was dealt with to their satisfaction. There was no statistical relationship between age, gender, educational status and the rating of care received. 49.7% preferred their telephone appointment, and 63.6% would like the option of a telephone appointment in the future. CONCLUSION: Gastroenterology outpatients reported a very high satisfaction with Telehealth, demonstrating a potential for Telehealth to be incorporated into usual care.

Understanding the nuances of microwave ablation for more accurate post-treatment assessment.

Microwave ablation (MWA) is a relatively new thermal modality for minimally invasive procedures compared with radiofrequency ablation. Although MWA and radiofrequency ablation are thermal modalities, their underlying physics and principles greatly differ. Consequently, it is imperative that clinicians be aware of how these differences impact realized ablation volumes to consistently ensure technical success and better patient outcomes. This paper will review the nuances specific to MWA technology (i.e., tissue properties, perfusion/heat sink effect, ablation assessment, imaging accuracy and tissue contraction) that are often overlooked based on familiarity with conventional thermal modalities to guide more accurate assessment of post-treatment MWA volumes.

Screening patients in general practice for advanced chronic liver disease using an innovative IT solution: The Liver Toolkit.

BACKGROUND: Identifying patients with undiagnosed advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) is a public health challenge. Patients with advanced fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis have much better outcomes than those with decompensated disease and may be eligible for interventions to prevent disease progression. METHODS: A cloud-based software solution ("the Liver Toolkit") was developed to access primary care practice software to identify patients at risk of ACLD. Clinical history and laboratory results were extracted to calculate aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis 4 scores. Patients identified were recalled for assessment, including Liver Stiffness Measurement (LSM) via transient elastography. Those with an existing diagnosis of cirrhosis were excluded. RESULTS: Existing laboratory results of more than 32,000 adults across nine general practices were assessed to identify 703 patients at increased risk of ACLD (2.2% of the cohort). One hundred seventy-nine patients (26%) were successfully recalled, and 23/179 (13%) were identified to have ACLD (LSM ≥10.0 kPa) (10% found at indeterminate risk [LSM 8.0-9.9 kPa] and 77% low risk of fibrosis [LSM <8.0 kPa]). In most cases, the diagnosis of liver disease was new, with the most common etiology being metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (n=20, 83%). Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index ≥1.0 and fibrosis 4 ≥3.25 had a positive predictive value for detecting ACLD of 19% and 24%, respectively. Patients who did not attend recall had markers of more severe disease with a higher median aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index score (0.57 vs. 0.46, p=0.041). CONCLUSIONS: This novel information technology system successfully screened a large primary care cohort using existing laboratory results to identify patients at increased risk ACLD. More than 1 in 5 patients recalled were found to have liver disease requiring specialist follow-up.

Changes in Body Mass Index in Children and Adolescents with Asthma during the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Background: Increased weight gain in children during the COVID-19 pandemic has been reported. Changes in weight in children with asthma during this period have not been well described. Methods: Retrospective review of children with asthma, 6-18 years of age, seen in 2019 and 2020. Mean monthly rates of change in body mass index (BMI) were compared between years. Demographic and asthma-related factors were examined. Results: Two hundred sixty-seven patients were enrolled. BMI increased by 0.128 ± 0.283 kg/m2/month during the pandemic year as compared with 0.084 ± 0.160 kg/m2/month during the previous year (P = 0.03). Patients with baseline overweight or obesity trended toward higher rates of BMI increase than those starting with normal weight, with the greatest BMI increase occurring in the severely obese. Conclusions: In this single-site study of children with asthma, there was a greater monthly rate of BMI gain during the early pandemic as compared with that observed in the previous year.

Methylxanthine inhibit fungal chitinases and exhibit antifungal activity.

Chitinases are necessary for fungal cell wall remodeling and cell replication. Methylxanthines have been shown to competitively inhibit family 18 chitinases in vitro. We sought to determine the effects of methylxanthines on fungal chitinases. Fungi demonstrated variable chitinase activity and incubation with methylxanthines (0.5-10 mM) resulted in a dose-dependent decrease in this activity. All fungi tested, except for Candida spp., demonstrated growth inhibition in the presence of methylxanthines at a concentration of 10 mM. India ink staining demonstrated impaired budding and decreased cell size for methylxanthine-treated Cryptococcus neoformans. C. neoformans and Aspergillus fumigatus treated with pentoxifylline also exhibited abnormal cell morphology. In addition, pentoxifylline-treated C. neoformans exhibited increased susceptibility to calcofluor and a leaky melanin phenotype consistent with defective cell wall function. Our data suggest that a variety of fungi express chitinases and that methylxanthines have antifungal properties related to their inhibition of fungal chitinases. Our results highlight the potential utility of targeting chitinases in the development of novel antifungal therapies.

The relationship between weight and pulmonary outcomes in overweight and obese people with cystic fibrosis: A retrospective observational study.

Background: A major focus in cystic fibrosis (CF) care aims to increase weight gain. Rates of overweight and obese people with CF have gradually increased over the past decade. Obesity could be a risk for restriction of lung volumes and airway obstruction as well as increase rates of pulmonary exacerbations in people with CF. Aim: To assess the relationship between weight categories and pulmonary outcomes in children and adults with CF. Methods: Patients 6 years of age and older were categorized into weight categories based on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) definitions. A retrospective chart review was conducted to obtain lung function testing and other outcomes. Results: One hundred five patients with a median age of 20.6 years were included in this analysis. 8.4%, 64%, 18%, and 10% of patients were underweight, normal/healthy weight, overweight, and obese, respectively. Forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) (% predicted) did not differ between patients with weights in the normal range versus patients in the overweight/obese categories. Linear regression analysis showed a direct correlation between body mass index (BMI) and FEV1 that continued as BMI entered overweight and obese categories in both pediatric and adult patients. Overweight/obese patients did not have increased rates of pulmonary exacerbations compared to those in the normal/healthy weight category. Conclusion: As CF therapies continue to improve, an increasing number of people with CF are exceeding the CDC's normal-weight range. Gaining weight past the normal range does not appear to negatively impact pulmonary health of people with CF. If this trend of increased weight gain continues, it remains to be seen if it will eventually negatively affect lung health.

Incidence and prevalence of common respiratory pathogens before and after implementation of the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation Infection Prevention and Control Guideline.

BACKGROUND: The 2013 Cystic Fibrosis Foundation's Infection Prevention and Control Guideline (CFF IP&C) was developed to reduce the risk of acquisition and transmission of respiratory pathogens in patients with cystic fibrosis (CF). OBJECTIVE: We hypothesised that the incidence of common CF respiratory pathogens would decrease at our centre after implementation of the guideline. METHODS: All patients with CF seen at our centre from August 2012 through August 2017 who had respiratory cultures were included. Patients were excluded from incidence analysis if they did not have at least one culture per year. Quarterly data were collected for one year before and three years after implementation of the guidelines to determine the incidence and prevalence of seven organisms commonly found in respiratory cultures of patients with CF. RESULTS: Quarterly and annual incidence and prevalence rates of common organisms did not change during the study period. DISCUSSION: There were no significant differences in the incidence or prevalence of common respiratory organisms in the first three years after implementation of the CF IP&C guideline. Long-term follow-up is needed to determine if changes occur over time.

Genome Sequences of Cluster K Mycobacteriophages Deby, LaterM, LilPharaoh, Paola, SgtBeansprout, and Sulley.

Mycobacteriophages Deby, LaterM, LilPharaoh, Paola, SgtBeansprout, and Sulley were isolated from soil using Mycobacterium smegmatis mc2155. Genomic analysis indicated that they belong to subclusters K1 and K5. Their genomic architectures are typical of cluster K mycobacteriophages, with most variability occurring on the right end of the genome sequence.

Requirements for two proximal NF-kappaB binding sites and IkappaB-zeta in IL-17A-induced human beta-defensin 2 expression by conducting airway epithelium.

Among a panel of 21 cytokines (IL-1alpha, -1beta, -2-13, and -15-18; interferon-gamma; granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor; and tumor necrosis factor alpha), we have recently observed that IL-17A is the most potent inducer for human beta-defensin 2 (hBD-2) in conducting airway epithelial cells (Kao, C. Y., Chen, Y., Thai, P., Wachi, S., Huang, F., Kim, C., Harper, R. W., and Wu, R. (2004) J. Immunol. 173, 3482-3491). The molecular basis of this regulation is not known. In this study, we demonstrated a coordinated degradation of inhibitory kappaB(IkappaB)-alpha followed by a nuclear translocation of p50 and p65 NF-kappaB subunits and their binding to NF-kappaB sites of hBD-2 promoter region. With site-directed mutagenesis, we demonstrated the requirement of two proximal NF-kappaB binding sites (pkappaB1, -205 to -186; pkappaB2, -596 to -572) but not the distal site (dkappaB, -2193 to -2182) in supporting IL-17A-induced hBD-2 promoter activity. These results are consistent with the data of the chromatin immunoprecipitation assay, which showed enhanced p50 binding to these pkappaB sites but not the dkappaB site in cells after IL-17A treatment. We also found that the NF-kappaB binding cofactor, IkappaB-zeta, was up-regulated by IL-17A, and the knockdown of IkappaB-zeta significantly diminished the IL-17A-induced hBD-2 expression. This is the first demonstration of the involvement of two proximal NF-kappaB sites and IkappaB-zeta in the regulation of hBD-2 by IL-17A, two important genes responsible for host defense.

Up-regulation of CC chemokine ligand 20 expression in human airway epithelium by IL-17 through a JAK-independent but MEK/NF-kappaB-dependent signaling pathway.

CCL20, like human beta-defensin (hBD)-2, is a potent chemoattractant for CCR6-positive immature dendritic cells and T cells in addition to recently found antimicrobial activities. We previously demonstrated that IL-17 is the most potent cytokine to induce an apical secretion and expression of hBD-2 by human airway epithelial cells, and the induction is JAK/NF-kappaB-dependent. Similar to hBD-2, IL-17 also induced CCL20 expression, but the nature of the induction has not been elucidated. Compared with a panel of cytokines (IL-1alpha, 1beta, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 18, IFN-gamma, GM-CSF, and TNF-alpha), IL-17 was as potent as IL-1alpha, 1beta, and TNF-alpha, with a time- and dose-dependent phenomenon in stimulating CCL20 expression in both well-differentiated primary human and mouse airway epithelial cell culture systems. The stimulation was largely dependent on the treatment of polarized epithelial cultures from the basolateral side with IL-17, achieving an estimated 4- to 10-fold stimulation at both message and protein levels. More than 90% of induced CCL20 secretion was toward the basolateral compartment (23.02 +/- 1.11 ng/chamber/day/basolateral vs 1.82 +/- 0.82 ng/chamber/day/apical). Actinomycin D experiments revealed that enhanced expression did not occur at mRNA stability. Inhibitor studies showed that enhanced expression was insensitive to inhibitors of JAK/STAT, p38, JNK, and PI3K signaling pathways, but sensitive to inhibitors of MEK1/2 and NF-kappaB activation, suggesting a MEK/NF-kappaB-based mechanism. These results suggest that IL-17 can coordinately up-regulate both hBD-2 and CCL20 expressions in airways through differentially JAK-dependent and -independent activations of NF-kappaB-based transcriptional mechanisms, respectively.

IL-17 markedly up-regulates beta-defensin-2 expression in human airway epithelium via JAK and NF-kappaB signaling pathways.

Using microarray gene expression analysis, we first observed a profound elevation of human beta-defensin-2 (hBD-2) message in IL-17-treated primary human airway epithelial cells. Further comparison of this stimulation with a panel of cytokines (IL-1alpha, 1beta, 2-13, and 15-18; IFN-gamma; GM-CSF; and TNF-alpha) demonstrated that IL-17 was the most potent cytokine to induce hBD-2 message (>75-fold). IL-17-induced stimulation of hBD-2 was time and dose dependent, and this stimulation also occurred at the protein level. Further studies demonstrated that hBD-2 stimulation was attenuated by IL-17R-specific Ab, but not by IL-1R antagonist or the neutralizing anti-IL-6 Ab. This suggests an IL-17R-mediated signaling pathway rather than an IL-17-induced IL-1alphabeta and/or IL-6 autocrine/paracrine loop. hBD-2 stimulation was sensitive to the inhibition of the JAK pathway, and to the inhibitors that affect NF-kappaB translocation and the DNA-binding activity of its p65 NF-kappaB subunit. Transient transfection of airway epithelial cells with an hBD-2 promoter-luciferase reporter gene expression construct demonstrated that IL-17 stimulated promoter-reporter gene activity, suggesting a transcriptional mechanism for hBD-2 induction. These results support an IL-17R-mediated signaling pathway involving JAK and NF-kappaB in the transcriptional stimulation of hBD-2 gene expression in airway epithelium. Because IL-17 has been identified in a number of airway diseases, especially diseases related to microbial infection, these findings provide a new insight into how IL-17 may play an important link between innate and adaptive immunity, thereby combating infection locally within the airway epithelium.