Prognostic factors after open and endovascular repair for infected native aneurysms of the abdominal aorta and common iliac artery.

OBJECTIVE: Infected native aneurysms (INAs) of the abdominal aorta and iliac arteries are uncommon, but potentially fatal. Endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) has recently been introduced as a durable treatment option, with outcomes comparable to those yielded by conventional open repair. However, owing to the rarity of the disease, the strengths and limitations of each treatment remain uncertain. The present study aimed to separately assess post-open repair and post-EVAR outcomes and to clarify factors affecting the short-term and late prognosis after each treatment. METHODS: Using a nationwide clinical registry, we investigated 600 patients treated with open repair and 226 patients treated with EVAR for INAs of the abdominal aorta and/or common iliac artery. The relationships between preoperative or operative factors and postoperative outcomes, including 90-day and 3-year mortality and persistent or recurrent aneurysm-related infection, were examined. RESULTS: Prosthetic grafts were used in >90% of patients treated with open repair, and in situ and extra-anatomic arterial reconstruction was performed in 539 and 57 patients, respectively. Preoperative anemia and imaging findings suggestive of aneurysm-enteric fistula were independently associated with poor outcomes in terms of both 3-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.62; P = .046, and HR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.12-4.46; P = .022, respectively) and persistent or recurrent infection (odds ratio [OR], 2.16; 95% CI, 1.04-4.49; P = .039, and OR, 4.96; 95% CI, 1.81-13.55; P = .002, respectively) after open repair, whereas omental wrapping or packing and antibiotic impregnation of the prosthetic graft for in situ reconstruction contributed to improved 3-year survival (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.39-0.92; P = .019, and HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.32-0.88; P = .014, respectively). Among patients treated with EVAR, abscess formation adjacent to the aneurysm was significantly associated with the occurrence of persistent or recurrent infection (OR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.06-4.72; P = .034), whereas an elevated preoperative white blood cell count was predictive of 3-year mortality (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.00-3.13; P = .048). CONCLUSIONS: Profiles of prognostic factors differed between open repair and EVAR in the treatment of INAs of the abdominal aorta and common iliac artery. Open repair may be more suitable than EVAR for patients with concurrent abscess formation.

The accuracy and characteristics of gastric cancer treatment information in the national data of the hospital-based cancer registry.

OBJECTIVE: The hospital-based cancer registry is used extensively for research to support cancer control activities by providing an overview of how cancer treatments are provided nationwide. This study aimed to shed light on the quality and characteristics of treatment data in the hospital-based cancer registry using the linked dataset on gastric cancer. METHODS: Using the nationally linked data of the hospital-based cancer registry and the health services utilization data, the treatment data in the hospital-based cancer registry for patients who were newly diagnosed with gastric cancer in 2016 and 2017 and received the first course of treatment at their own institutions were examined. The agreement rates between registry data and utilization data were analyzed by stage, treatment, age, period from the date of diagnosis to the date of treatment and hospital type. RESULTS: The sensitivity of open surgery, laparoscopic surgery and endoscopic treatment tended to decrease in advanced stages, whereas the sensitivity of chemotherapy and radiation therapy increased. Specificity was high for all treatments and stages, at ˃90%. Sensitivity by age was slightly different for chemotherapy and radiation therapy, but specificities did not differ.For all treatments, the longer the time from diagnosis to treatment implementation, the higher the coverage rate. CONCLUSIONS: The hospital-based cancer registry recorded the treatment performed appropriately. It is necessary to interpret the data from the hospital-based cancer registry whilst keeping in mind that, chemotherapy and radiation therapy are registered less frequently than surgical treatments administered.

Inventory of real-world data sources in Japan: Annual survey conducted by the Japanese Society for Pharmacoepidemiology Task Force.

PURPOSE: The Database Task Force of the Japan Society for Pharmacoepidemiology began its annual surveys of databases available for clinico and pharmacoepidemiological studies in 2010. In this report, we summarize the characteristics of the databases available in Japan based on the results of our 2021 survey to illustrate the recent developments in the infrastructure for database research in Japan. METHODS: We included 20 major databases from the academia, government, or industry that were accessible to third parties. We used a web-based questionnaire to ask the database providers about their characteristics, such as their organization, data source(s), numbers of individuals enrolled, age distribution, code(s) used, and average follow-up periods. RESULTS: We received responses from all 20 databases approached: eight hospital-based databases, six insurer-based databases, four pharmacy-based databases, and two in the "other" category. Among them, 17 contained information from medical claims, pharmacy claims, and/or Diagnosis Procedure Combination data. Most insurer databases contained health check-up data that could be attached to the claims component. Some hospital-based databases had data from electronic medical records. Most insurer-based databases collected data from the insurers of working-age employees and therefore had limited coverage of older people. Most databases coded their medication data using the Japanese reimbursement codes, and many provided Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical Classification codes. CONCLUSIONS: The number of databases available for clinico and pharmacoepidemiological research and the proportion of the population they cover are increasing in Japan. The differences in their characteristics mean that the appropriate database must be selected for a particular study purpose.

Open Versus Zone 0/1 Endovascular Aortic Repair for Arch Aneurysm: A Propensity Score-Matched Study from the National Clinical Database in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Although open surgical repair (OSR) is the gold standard for treating arch aneurysms, thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) may be a less invasive alternative. However, it remains unclear which of the 2 methods yields better outcomes. In this study, we compared the perioperative outcomes of both procedures for arch aneurysms using a nationwide surgical database. METHODS: Data of patients who underwent elective aortic repair for true arch aneurysms were extracted from the National Clinical Database of Japan. Patients who underwent OSR and Zone 0/1 TEVAR were matched in a 1:1 ratio using propensity scores and their mortality and morbidity rates were compared. RESULTS: A total of 2,815 and 1,125 patients underwent OSR and Zone 0/1 TEVAR, respectively. After propensity score matching, 1,058 patients were included in both groups. Compared with OSR, Zone 0/1 TEVAR was associated with a significantly higher incidence of stroke (5.8 vs. 10.0%, P < 0.001) and paraplegia/paraparesis (1.6 vs. 4.4%, P < 0.001). However, there were no significant differences in the 30-day and operative mortality rates between the 2 groups (2.2 vs. 2.7% and 4.5 vs. 5.4%, respectively). In the Zone 0/1 TEVAR group, postoperative computed tomography was performed in 92.4% of patients, and types I and III endoleaks were identified in 6.4% and 1.1% of patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Zone 0/1 TEVAR has higher incidences of stroke and paraplegia/paraparesis than OSR, with a risk of postoperative endoleaks. Resolving these problems is the key for expanding the application of Zone 0/1 TEVAR and in the meantime OSR remains the gold standard for surgically fit patients.

No difference in the incidence of postoperative pulmonary complications between abdominal laparoscopy and laparotomy for minimally invasive thoracoscopic esophagectomy: a retrospective cohort study using a nationwide Japanese database.

INTRODUCTION: There remains a lack of evidence regarding the optimal abdominal approach, including laparoscopy, hand-assisted, and open laparotomy for minimally invasive thoracoscopic esophagectomy. We aimed to compare the incidence of postoperative complications, particularly pulmonary complications, between laparoscopy and open laparotomy for minimally invasive thoracoscopic esophagectomy using nationwide Japanese databases. METHODS: Data from patients in the National Clinical Database (NCD) who underwent thoracoscopic esophagectomy for esophageal cancer were analyzed. The incidence of pulmonary complications was compared between abdominal laparoscopy and laparotomy after matching the propensity scores (PS) from preoperative factors to account for confounding bias. Laparoscopic-assisted surgery (LAS) was also compared to hand-assisted laparoscopic surgery (HALS). RESULTS: Of the 24,790 patients who underwent esophagectomy between 2018 and 2021, data from 12,633 underwent thoracoscopic procedure. The proportion of patients who experienced pulmonary complications did not significantly differ between the laparoscopy group and the laparotomy group after matching (664/3195 patients, 20.8% versus 702/3195 patients, 22.0%; P = 0.25). No difference in the incidence of pulmonary complications was observed among patients treated using the laparoscopic approach (508/2439 patients, 20.8% in the LAS group versus 498/2439 patients, 20.4% in the HALS group; P = 0.72). CONCLUSIONS: We observed no significant difference in the incidence of postoperative pulmonary complications between laparoscopy and laparotomy for thoracoscopic esophagectomy. Short-term outcomes were similar between the laparoscopic-assisted approach and the hand-assisted approach. This study provides valuable insights into the optimal abdominal approach for thoracoscopic esophagectomy using data from a nationwide database that reflect real-world clinical practice.

Outcomes of Surgery for Endograft Infection in the Abdominal Aorta and Iliac Artery: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to clarify the clinical features, postoperative outcomes, and prognostic factors in patients with endograft infection in the abdominal aorta and iliac artery. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Endograft infection in the abdominal aorta and iliac artery is a potentially fatal condition. However, due to its rarity, clinical characteristics and optimal treatment strategy remain to be established. METHODS: In this nationwide retrospective cohort study, we investigated 112 patients who underwent surgical treatment for endograft infection in the abdominal aorta and/or iliac artery between 2011 and 2017 using a Japanese clinical registry. We examined the relationships between the preoperative and operative factors and the outcomes after surgery including persistent or recurrent infection related to the endograft and 90-day and 3-year mortality. RESULTS: The median period between the index endograft placement and surgery for infection was 369.5 days. Persistent or recurrent endograft-related infection occurred in 34 patients (30.4%). The cumulative overall survival rates at 30 days, 90 days, 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years were 90.2%, 76.5%, 66.7%, 50.9%, and 31.5%, respectively. Partial removal or total preservation of the infected endograft was independently associated with short-term and late mortality. Preoperative anemia and imaging findings suggestive of fistula development to the gastrointestinal tract also showed an independent association with late mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Surgical intervention for endograft infection in the abdominal aorta and iliac artery was associated with a high risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality. Total removal of the infected endograft should be attempted because partial removal or total preservation can lead to a poor prognosis.

Analysis of prognosis in different subtypes of invasive lobular carcinoma using the Japanese National Cancer Database-Breast Cancer Registry.

PURPOSE: Many studies have shown that the prognosis of invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) is better than that of invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC). However, both disorders exhibit different prognoses according to molecular subtype, and the prognosis of ILC subtypes might depend on their hormone receptor positivity rate. This study clarified the prognosis of ILC and IDC in each subtype and examined the effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) in luminal ILC. METHODS: We planned the analysis using data from the Breast Cancer Registry in Japan. Because it was presumed that there are differences in characteristics between ILC and IDC, we created matched cohorts using exact matching to compare their prognoses. We compared the prognosis of ILC and IDC for each subtype. We also compared the prognosis of luminal ILC between the CT and non-CT groups. RESULTS: For all subtypes, the disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) of ILC were poorer than those of IDC. In the analysis by each subtype, no statistically significant difference was found in DFS and OS in luminal human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2), HER2, and triple-negative cohorts; however, luminal ILC had significantly poorer DFS and OS than luminal IDC. The CT effects on the prognosis of luminal ILC were greater in more advanced cases. CONCLUSION: Luminal ILC had a poorer prognosis than luminal IDC, contributing to the worse prognosis of ILC than that of IDC in the overall cohort. Different therapeutic approaches from luminal IDC are essential for a better prognosis of luminal ILC.

Comparative cardiovascular safety of LABA/LAMA FDC versus LABA/ICS FDC in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a population-based cohort study with a target trial emulation framework.

BACKGROUND: Use of combinations of long-acting ß2 agonists/long-acting muscarinic antagonists (LABA/LAMA) in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is increasing. Nevertheless, existing evidence on cardiovascular risk associated with LABA/LAMA versus another dual combination, LABA/inhaled corticosteroids (ICS), was limited and discrepant. AIM: The present cohort study aimed to examine comparative cardiovascular safety of LABA/LAMA and LABA/ICS with a target trial emulation framework, focusing on dual fixed-dose combination (FDC) therapies. METHODS: We identified patients with COPD who initiated LABA/LAMA FDC or LABA/ICS FDC from a nationwide Taiwanese database during 2017-2020. The outcome of interest was a hospitalized composite cardiovascular events of acute myocardial infarction, unstable angina, heart failure, cardiac dysrhythmia, and ischemic stroke. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for composite and individual cardiovascular events after matching up to five LABA/LAMA FDC initiators to one LABA/ICS FDC initiator using propensity scores (PS). RESULTS: Among 75,926 PS-matched patients, use of LABA/LAMA FDC did not show a higher cardiovascular risk compared to use of LABA/ICS FDC, with a HR of 0.89 (95% CI, 0.78-1.01) for the composite events, 0.80 (95% CI, 0.61-1.05) for acute myocardial infarction, 1.48 (95% CI, 0.68-3.25) for unstable angina, 1.00 (95% CI, 0.80-1.24) for congestive heart failure, 0.62 (95% CI, 0.37-1.05) for cardiac dysrhythmia, and 0.82 (95% CI, 0.66-1.02) for ischemic stroke. The results did not vary substantially in several pre-specified sensitivity and subgroup analyses. CONCLUSION: Our findings provide important reassurance about comparative cardiovascular safety of LABA/LAMA FDC treatment among patients with COPD.

Surgical Repair of Abdominal Aorto-Iliac Prosthetic Graft Infections: A Nationwide Japanese Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Prosthetic graft infection (PGI) after open abdominal aortic and iliac artery reconstruction is life threatening. However, because it is rare and frequently difficult to diagnose, robust evidence on its treatment and optimal management strategies are lacking. This study aimed to clarify the clinical characteristics and surgical treatment outcomes of this condition and to identify pre-operative and operative factors affecting its prognosis. METHODS: This was a nationwide cohort study. Using a nationwide clinical registry system, patients who were treated surgically for PGI after open abdominal aortic and iliac artery reconstruction between 2011 and 2017 were investigated, and their profiles and clinical courses were analysed. The relationships between the pre-operative and operative factors and the post-operative outcomes, including death and persistent or recurrent graft related infection, were evaluated. RESULTS: The study included 213 patients. The median duration between the index arterial reconstruction and surgical treatment for PGI was 644 days. Fistula development to the gastrointestinal tract was confirmed during surgery in 53.1% of patients. The cumulative overall survival rates at 30 and 90 days, one, three, and five years were 87.3%, 74.8%, 62.2%, 54.5%, and 48.1%, respectively. Pre-operative shock was the only factor independently associated with 90 day and three year death. Short term and late mortality rates, as well as the rate of persistent or recurrent graft related infection, did not differ significantly between patients treated with total removal of the infected graft and those treated with partial removal of the graft. CONCLUSION: Surgery for PGI after open reconstruction of the abdominal aorta and iliac arteries is complex, and the post-operative mortality rate remains high. Partial removal of the infected graft may be an alternative in selected patients with limited extent of infection.

Interaction of impaired myocardial flow reserve and extent of myocardial ischemia assessed using 13N-ammonia positron emission tomography imaging on adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial flow reserve (MFR) and the extent of myocardial ischemia identify patients at high risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Associations between positron emission tomography (PET)-assessed extent of ischemia, MFR, and MACEs is unclear. METHOD: Overall, 640 consecutive patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease undergoing 13N-ammonia myocardial perfusion PET were followed-up for MACEs. Patients were categorized into three groups based on myocardial ischemia severity: Group I (n = 335), minimal (myocardial ischemia < 5%); Group II (n = 150), mild (5-10%); and Group III (n = 155), moderate-to-severe (> 10%). RESULTS: Cardiovascular death and MACEs occurred in 17 (3%) and 93 (15%) patients, respectively. Following statistical adjustment for confounding factors, impaired MFR (global MFR < 2.0) was revealed as an independent predictor of MACEs in Groups I (hazard ratio [HR], 2.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.48-5.64; P = 0.002) and II (HR, 3.40; 95% CI 1.37-8.41; P = 0.008) but was not significant in Group III (HR, 1.15; 95% CI 0.59-2.26; P = 0.67), with a significant interaction (P < 0.0001) between the extent of myocardial ischemia and MFR. CONCLUSION: Impaired MFR was significantly associated with increased risk of MACEs in patients with ≤ 10% myocardial ischemia but not with those having > 10% ischemia, allowing a clinically effective risk stratification.

The utility of the self-controlled study design for pharmacoepidemiological studies without an active comparator medication using a medical information database: An application to assess the risk of varenicline on cardiovascular outcomes.

PURPOSE: To illustrate the utility of the self-controlled study design for studies without an active comparator, we compared the results of a cohort design study with a non-user comparator with those of a self-controlled design study in evaluating the risk of varenicline on cardiovascular outcomes, using a Japanese medical claims database. METHODS: The participating smokers were identified from health-screening results collected between May 2008 and April 2017. Using a non-user-comparator cohort study design, we estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of varenicline on initial hospitalization with cardiovascular outcomes using Cox's model adjusted for patients' sex, age, medical history, medication history, and health-screening results. Using a self-controlled study design, the within-subject HR was estimated using a stratified Cox's model adjusted for medical history, medication history, and health-screening results. The estimate from a recent meta-analysis was considered the gold standard (risk ratio: 1.03). RESULTS: We identified 460 464 smokers (398 694 males [86.6%]; mean (standard deviation) age: 42.9 [10.8] years) in the database. Of these, 11 561 had been dispensed varenicline at least once, and 4511 had experienced cardiovascular outcomes. The estimate of the non-user-comparator cohort study design exceeded the gold standard (HR [95% CI]: 2.04 [1.22-3.42]), whereas that of the self-controlled study design was close to the gold standard (within-subject HR [95% CI]: 1.12 [0.27-4.70]). CONCLUSIONS: The self-controlled study design is useful alternative to a non-user-comparator cohort design when evaluating the risk of medications relative to their non-use, based on a medical information database.

Pulse Oximetry Screening: Association of State Mandates with Emergency Hospitalizations.

We evaluated the association between implementation of state-mandated pulse oximetry screening (POS) and rates of emergency hospitalizations among infants with Critical Congenital Heart Disease (CCHD) and assessed differences in that association across race/ethnicity. We hypothesized that emergency hospitalizations among infants with CCHD decreased after implementation of mandated POS and that the reduction was larger among racial and ethnic minorities compared to non-Hispanic Whites. We utilized statewide inpatient databases from Arizona, California, Kentucky, New Jersey, New York, and Washington State (2010-2014). A difference-in-differences model with negative binomial regression was used. We identified patients with CCHD whose hospitalizations between three days and three months of life were coded as "emergency" or "urgent" or occurred through the emergency department. Numbers of emergency hospitalizations aggregated by month and state were used as outcomes. The intervention variable was an implementation of state-mandated POS. Difference in association across race/ethnicity was evaluated with interaction terms between the binary variable indicating the mandatory policy period and each race/ethnicity group. The model was adjusted for state-specific variables, such as percent of female infants and percent of private insurance. We identified 9,147 CCHD emergency hospitalizations. Among non-Hispanic Whites, there was a 22% (Confidence Interval [CI] 6%-36%) decline in CCHD emergency hospitalizations after implementation of mandated POS, on average. This decline was 65% less among non-Hispanic Blacks compared to non-Hispanic Whites. Our study detected an attenuated association with decreased number of emergency hospitalizations among Black compared to White infants. Further research is needed to clarify this disparity.

Impact of the hospital volume and setting on postoperative complications of surgery for gastroenterological cancers in a regional area of Western Japan.

PURPOSE: A research subgroup was established by the Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery to improve the health care quality in the Chushikoku area of Western Japan. METHODS: The records of four surgical procedures were extracted from the Japanese National Clinical Database and analyzed retrospectively to establish the association between hospital characteristics, defined using a combination of hospital case-volume and patients' hospital travel distance, and the incidences of perioperative complications of ≥ Grade 3 of the Clavien-Dindo classification after gastroenterological surgery. RESULTS: This study analyzed 11,515 cases of distal gastrectomy for gastric cancer, 4,705 cases of total gastrectomy for gastric cancer, 4,996 cases of right hemicolectomy for colon cancer, and 5,243 cases of lower anterior resection for rectal cancer, with composite outcome incidences of 5.6%, 10.2%, 5.5%, and 10.7%, respectively. After adjusting for patient characteristics and surgical procedures, no association was identified between the hospital category and surgical outcomes. CONCLUSION: The findings of our study of the Chushikoku region did not provide positive support for the consolidation and centralization of hospitals, based solely on hospital case volume. Our grouping was unique in that we included patient travel distance in the analysis, but further investigations from other perspectives are needed.

Initial Triple Combination Therapy Including Intravenous Prostaglandin I2 for the Treatment of Patients with Severe Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

Upfront combination therapy including intravenous prostaglandin I2 (PGI2-IV) is recognized as the most appropriate treatment for patients with severe pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). This retrospective study aimed to determine reasons why this therapy is not used for some patients with severe PAH and describe the hemodynamic and clinical prognoses of patients receiving initial combination treatment with (PGI2-IV+) or without (PGI2-IV-) PGI2-IV.Data for patients with severe PAH (World Health Organization Functional Class III/IV and mean pulmonary arterial pressure [mPAP] ≥ 40 mmHg) were extracted from the Japan Pulmonary Hypertension Registry. Overall, 73 patients were included (PGI2-IV + n = 17; PGI2-IV- n = 56). The PGI2-IV+ cohort was younger than the PGI2-IV- cohort (33.8 ± 10.6 versus 52.6 ± 18.2 years) and had higher mPAP (58.1 ± 12.9 versus 51.8 ± 9.0 mmHg), greater prevalence of idiopathic PAH (88% versus 32%), and less prevalence of connective tissue disease-associated PAH (0% versus 29%). Hemodynamic measures, including mPAP, showed improvement in both cohorts (post-treatment median [interquartile range] 38.5 [17.0-40.0] for the PGI2-IV + cohort and 33.0 [25.0-43.0] mmHg for the PGI2-IV - cohort). Deaths (8/56) and lung transplantation (1/56) occurred only in the PGI2-IV - cohort.These Japanese registry data indicate that older age, lower mPAP, and non-idiopathic PAH may influence clinicians against using upfront combination therapy including PGI2-IV for patients with severe PAH. Early combination therapy including PGI2-IV was associated with improved hemodynamics from baseline, but interpretation is limited by the small sample size.

Geriatric Risk Prediction Models for Major Gastroenterological Surgery Using the National Clinical Database in Japan: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of geriatric variables on 5 newly added outcomes and create risk models for predicting these outcomes. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Because there is a current lack of geriatric research focusing on geriatric outcomes using a national surgical database in Japan, there is a need to investigate outcomes associated with major gastro-enterological surgery using these data. METHODS: This multicenter prospective cohort study was conducted at 26 surgery departments across 21 institutions in Japan using the NCD surgical registry. in total, 22 new geriatric variables were imported from the ACS National Surgical Quality Improvement Program geriatric pilot study. The following 5 geriatric outcomes were defined: (1) postoperative delirium, (2) physical function on postoperative day 30, (3) fall risk on discharge, (4) discharge other than home with social service, and (5) functional decline on discharge, and geriatric risk prediction models for major gastroenterological surgery were created. RESULTS: Between January 2018 and December 2018, data on 3981 procedures from 7 major gastroenterological surgeries were collected and analyzed. Older age and preoperative geriatric variables (Origin status from home, History of dementia, Use of mobility aid, fall history, and not competent on admission) were strongly associated with postoperative outcomes. Geriatric risk prediction models for these outcomes were created, with C-statistic values ranging from 0.74 to 0.90, demonstrating model validity and sufficiency of fit. CONCLUSIONS: The risk models for the newly defined 5 geriatric outcomes that we created can be used in the decision-making process or provision of care in geriatric patients.

Prognosis and effectiveness of chemotherapy for medullary breast carcinoma.

PURPOSE: We aimed to determine the prognosis and potential benefit of postoperative chemotherapy according to subtype of medullary breast carcinoma (MedBC), a very rare invasive breast cancer. METHODS: A cohort of 1518 female patients with unilateral MedBC and 284,544 invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) cases were enrolled from the Japanese Breast Cancer Registry. Prognosis of MedBC was compared to IDC among patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-negative and HER2-negative subtype (553 exact-matched patients) and ER-positive and HER2-negative subtype (163 MedBC and 489 IDC patients via Cox regression). Disease free-survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between propensity score-matched adjuvant chemotherapy users and non-users with ER-negative and HER2-negative MedBC. RESULTS: Among ER-negative and HER2-negative subtype patients, DFS (hazard ratio (HR) 0.45; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.30-0.68; log-rank P < 0.001) and OS (HR 0.51; 95% CI 0.32-0.83; log-rank P = 0.004) were significantly better in MedBC than IDC. Patients treated with postoperative chemotherapy showed better DFS (HR 0.27; 95% CI 0.09-0.80; log-rank P = 0.02) and OS (HR 0.27; 95% CI 0.09-0.80; log-rank P = 0.02) compared to those without. For the ER-positive and HER2-negative subtype, the point estimate for HR for DFS was 0.60 (95% CI 0.24-1.22) while that for OS was 0.98 (95% CI 0.46-1.84) for MedBC. CONCLUSION: In ER-negative and HER2-negative MedBC, the risk of recurrence and death was significantly lower than that of IDC, about half. Postoperative chemotherapy reduced recurrence and mortality. ER-positive and HER2-negative MedBC may have a lower risk of recurrence compared to IDC.

Prediction Models for Two Year Overall Survival and Amputation Free Survival After Revascularisation for Chronic Limb Threatening Ischaemia.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to create prediction models for two year overall survival (OS) and amputation free survival (AFS) after revascularisation in patients with chronic limb threatening ischaemia (CLTI). METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected multicentre registry data (JAPAN Critical Limb Ischaemia Database; JCLIMB). Data from 3 505 unique patients with CLTI who had undergone revascularisation from 2013 to 2017 were extracted from the JCLIMB for the analysis. The cohort was randomly divided into development (2 861 patients) and validation cohorts (644 patients). In the development cohort, multivariable risk models were constructed to predict two year OS and AFS using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. These models were applied to the validation cohort and their performances were evaluated using Harrell's C index and calibration plots. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier estimates of two year OS and AFS post-revascularisation in the whole cohort were 69% and 62%, respectively. Strong predictors for OS consisted of age, activity, malignant neoplasm, chronic kidney disease (CKD), congestive heart failure (CHF), geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI), and sex. Strong predictors for AFS included age, activity, malignant neoplasm, CKD, CHF, GNRI, body temperature, white blood cells, urgent revascularisation procedure, and sex. Prediction models for two year OS and AFS showed good discrimination with Harrell's C indexes of 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.69 - 0.77) and 0.72 (95% CI 0.68 - 0.76), respectively CONCLUSION: Prediction models for two year OS and AFS post-revascularisation in patients with CLTI were created. They can assist in determining treatment strategies and serve as risk adjustment modalities for quality benchmarking for revascularisation in patients with CLTI at each facility.

Clinical Outcomes of Urgent or Emergency Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation　- Insights From the Nationwide Registry of Japan Transcatheter Valve Therapies.

BACKGROUND: Limited data are available for clinical outcomes in patients who underwent urgent or emergency transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). This study investigated in-hospital and 1-year outcomes and explored prognostic covariates in urgent/emergency TAVI using nationwide registry data.Methods and Results: Among 26,775 patients who underwent TAVI between August 2013 and December 2019, 25,495 with 1-year follow-up information were analyzed in this study. Baseline and procedural characteristics, as well as clinical adverse events, were compared between the urgent/emergency and elective TAVI groups. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 1 year after TAVI. Multivariable Cox regression models were constructed to identify independent predictors after urgent or emergency TAVI. Urgent or emergency TAVI was performed in 578 (2.3%) patients. The Society of Thoracic Surgeons score was significantly higher in the urgent/emergency than elective TAVI group (13.3% vs. 6.0%; P<0.001). Device success rate was comparable between the 2 groups. All-cause death-free survival within 1 year was lower in the urgent/emergency than elective TAVI group (77.2% vs. 92.2%; log rank P<0.001). Malignancy, albumin and creatinine concentrations, ejection fraction, and mean pressure gradient were associated with 1-year mortality in the urgent/emergency TAVI group. CONCLUSIONS: Despite higher surgical risk and more comorbidities, the procedure was successfully performed in patients undergoing urgent/emergency TAVI, although it should be noted that prognosis was worse than for elective TAVI.

Assessment of coding-based frailty algorithms for long-term outcome prediction among older people in community settings: a cohort study from the Shizuoka Kokuho Database.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the applicability of Electronic Frailty Index (eFI) and Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) algorithms to Japanese administrative claims data and to evaluate their association with long-term outcomes. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A cohort study using a regional government administrative healthcare and long-term care (LTC) claims database in Japan 2014-18. PARTICIPANTS: Plan enrollees aged ≥50 years. METHODS: We applied the two algorithms to the cohort and assessed the scores' distributions alongside enrollees' 4-year mortality and initiation of government-supported LTC. Using Cox regression and Fine-Gray models, we evaluated the association between frailty scores and outcomes as well as the models' discriminatory ability. RESULTS: Among 827,744 enrollees, 42.8% were categorised by eFI as fit, 31.2% mild, 17.5% moderate and 8.5% severe. For HFRS, 73.0% were low, 24.3% intermediate and 2.7% high risk; 35 of 36 predictors for eFI, and 92 of 109 codes originally used for HFRS were available in the Japanese system. Relative to the lowest frailty group, the highest frailty group had hazard ratios [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 2.09 (1.98-2.21) for mortality and 2.45 (2.28-2.63) for LTC for eFI; those for HFRS were 3.79 (3.56-4.03) and 3.31 (2.87-3.82), respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curves for the unadjusted model at 48 months was 0.68 for death and 0.68 for LTC for eFI, and 0.73 and 0.70, respectively, for HFRS. CONCLUSIONS: The frailty algorithms were applicable to the Japanese system and could contribute to the identifications of enrollees at risk of long-term mortality or LTC use.

No association between hospital volume and short-term outcomes of some common surgeries: a retrospective cohort study based on a Japanese nationwide database.

PURPOSE: Centralization of high-risk surgeries has become a widespread strategy. However, whether or not the hospital volume affects the outcomes of common surgeries remains unclear. This study explored the association between hospital volume and short-term outcomes of common surgeries, as represented by appendectomy, cholecystectomy, and pneumothorax surgery, by analyzing data from a Japanese nationwide database. METHODS: All hospitals were categorized into four groups (very low-, low-, high-, and very high-volume) according to the annual hospital volume of all gastrointestinal surgeries or all respiratory surgeries in 2017. Patient demographic data and surgical outcomes were evaluated across hospital volume categories. RESULTS: We analyzed 2392 facilities which performed 771,182 gastrointestinal surgeries, and 992 facilities which performed 98,656 respiratory surgeries. Short-term outcomes of patients who underwent appendectomy (n = 50,568), cholecystectomy (n = 104,262), and pneumothorax surgery (n = 11,723) were evaluated. The incidences of postoperative complications, reoperation, and readmission were similar among the groups. Multivariable logistic regression analyses revealed hospital volume to have no association with these short-term outcomes. CONCLUSION: Analyses of a Japanese nationwide database revealed that the hospital volume was not associated with short-term outcomes of appendectomy, cholecystectomy, and pneumothorax surgery. These common surgical procedures may not require centralization into high-volume hospitals.