Risk factors associated with 1-year mortality among patients with HIV-associated tuberculosis in areas with intermediate tuberculosis burden and low HIV prevalence.

INTRODUCTION: Data are limited regarding risk factors for mortality among patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-associated tuberculosis (TB) in areas with low HIV prevalence and intermediate TB burden, such as the Western Pacific region. This study aimed to assess such risk factors in Hong Kong, which has an intermediate TB burden and low HIV prevalence. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of adult patients reported to the Hong Kong TB-HIV Registry between 2006 and 2015. Baseline characteristics were compared with Kaplan-Meier estimates. Cox proportional hazards regression modelling was used to identify factors associated with mortality. RESULTS: Of 299 patients studied, 21 (7.0%) died within 12 months of anti-TB treatment (median [interquartile range], 7.5 [3.8-10] months). The median age of death was 54 (interquartile range, 40.5-75.0) years. The cause of death was TB in five and unrelated to TB in the remaining 16. Cox proportional hazards regression showed that older age (adjusted hazard ratio=4.5; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.4-14.9), history of drug addiction (4.6; 95% CI=1.6-13.0), and low baseline CD4 cell count of <50/µL (2.9; 95% CI=1.1-7.7) were independent risk factors for death within 12 months. CONCLUSION: This study complements previous studies by providing information regarding risk factors associated with mortality among patients with HIV-associated TB in areas with intermediate TB burden and low HIV prevalence. The results from our study may guide targeted measures to improve survival in other areas with intermediate TB burden and low HIV prevalence, such as the Western Pacific region.

Early and late tuberculosis risks among close contacts in Hong Kong.

SETTING: Tuberculosis (TB) notification is a statutory requirement in Hong Kong, where contact investigations are performed by the Tuberculosis and Chest Service. OBJECTIVES: 1) To evaluate the risk of active TB in close contacts within 5 years, and 2) to identify risk factors associated with early and late development of active TB disease. DESIGN: The characteristics of consecutive TB cases notified from 18 January to 17 April 2000 were collected together with those of their contacts. Contacts were prospectively followed up through the territory-wide TB notification registry for 5 years for the development of disease. RESULTS: A total of 1537 index cases and 4661 close contacts were analysed. Screening found 31 (0.67%) active TB cases within a 3-month period, and another 58 (1.24%) cases presented subsequently. Index cases with cough or pulmonary cavities and diabetic contacts were independent risk factors of early cases (all P<0.05). Adjusted at risk index characteristics for late TB development included positive sputum smear (2.79, 95%CI 1.31-5.95) and family history of TB (4.26, 95%CI 2.01-9.03). Contact risk factors included diabetes mellitus (3.44, 95%CI 1.04-11.33) and institutionalisation (3.61, 95%CI 1.70-7.65). CONCLUSION: Considerable TB risk remains after initial contact screening. A number of possible risk factors were identified.

Peak plasma rifampicin level in tuberculosis patients with slow culture conversion.

The clinical utility of therapeutic drug monitoring in tuberculosis has not been adequately evaluated by controlled clinical trials. To examine the relationship between slow culture conversion and peak plasma rifampicin level (Cmax-rfm) in a case-control study, patients with persistence of positive sputum smear despite at least 8 weeks of directly observed treatment with standard pyrazinamide-containing regimens were enrolled prospectively in government chest clinics from 16 December 2005 to 15 November 2006. Patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, human immunodeficiency virus infection, or poor treatment adherence were excluded. Cases referred to patients with persistence of positive culture whereas controls had negative culture despite positive smear. Blood was checked at 2 and 4 hours post-dosing to capture Cmax-rfm. A cohort of 88 patients was identified. After excluding 16 patients, there were 36 controls and 36 cases. None had symptoms of malabsorption. Cmax-rfm was below 6 mg/l among 47% of controls and 44% of cases. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses showed no significant association between slow culture conversion and Cmax-rfm after logarithmic transformation. Thus, there is probably no association between Cmax-rfm and slow culture conversion.