The Association Between Allostatic Load and Frailty Trajectories Among Adults Aged 50+ Years: Mediating Role of Physical Activity.

OBJECTIVES: To identify frailty trajectories and examine its association with allostatic load (AL) and mediating effect of physical activity (PA). METHODS: This study included 8,082 adults from the English Longitudinal Study of Aging over Waves 4-9. AL was calculated by 14 biological indicators, and a 53-item frailty index was used to evaluate frailty. Frailty trajectories were classified by group-based trajectory modeling, and the mediated effect of PA was tested by causal mediation analysis. RESULTS: Four frailty trajectories were identified: "Robustness" (n = 4,437, 54.9%), "Incident prefrailty" (n = 2,061, 25.5%), "Prefrailty to frailty" (n = 1,136, 14.1%), and "Frailty to severe frailty" (n = 448, 5.5%). High baseline AL was associated with increased odds of "Incident prefrailty," "Prefrailty to frailty," and "Frailty to severe frailty" trajectories. PA demonstrated significant mediated effects in aforementioned associations. CONCLUSIONS: AL is significantly associated with the onset and progression of frailty, and such associations are partially mediated by PA.

Association between modifiable lifestyle pattern and periodontitis: a cross-sectional study based on NHANES.

BACKGROUND: Periodontitis can be avoided with a healthy lifestyle. However, studies have only looked at one lifestyle, ignoring the connection between lifestyle patterns and periodontitis. The purpose of this study was to look at the association between modifiable lifestyle patterns and periodontitis. METHODS: Data were obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey in 2009-2010 and 2011-2012. Smoke, drink, exercise, sleep duration, oral exams, and self-rated oral health were all lifestyle factors. The CDC/AAP classification/case definition was used to evaluate periodontitis. Drawing upon latent class analysis, distinct patterns of lifestyle were identified, with each participant exclusively affiliated with a single pattern. The association between lifestyle classes and periodontitis was then examined using ordinal logistic regression. RESULTS: 4686 (52%) of the total 9034 participants, with a mean age of 54.08, were women. Three lifestyle latent classes were found by fitting 2-10 models: "Class 1" (52%), " Class 2" (13%), and " Class 3" (35%). The "Class 1" displayed a prevalence of oral examination (75%), favorable self-rated oral health (92%), and engagement in physical activity (50%). The 'Class 2' exhibited the lowest alcohol consumption (64%) and smoking rates (73%) but the highest prevalence of physical inactivity (98%). The 'Class 3' showed a tendency for smoking (72%), alcohol consumption (78%), shorter sleep duration (50%), absence of oral examinations (75%), and suboptimal self-rated oral health (68%). The influencing variables for the latent classes of lifestyle were age, education, and poverty level. Periodontitis risk may rise by 24% for each additional unhealthy lifestyle practiced by participants (OR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.18-1.31). The 'Class 3' (OR = 1.80, 95% CI: 1.52-2.13) had a greater risk of periodontitis compared to the 'Class 1'. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis revealed that unhealthy lifestyle patterns are associated with periodontitis. These different lifestyle patterns need to be taken into account when developing public health interventions and clinical care.

Association between all-cause mortality and trajectories across quality and duration of sleep and cognitive function: based on Group-Based Multivariate Trajectory modeling.

BACKGROUND: Sleep duration and quality are associated with cognition, but the interaction of the 3 indicators and their association with all-cause mortality is unclear. METHODS: We used data from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey from 2005-2018 to identify latent trajectories of sleep duration, sleep quality, and cognitive function. Secondly, the multinomial logistic model was adopted to determine predictors of trajectory groups. Finally, the Cox regression model was used to examine the association between these trajectory groups and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 5046 adults (49% women) with an average age of 76.34 were included in the study. The median follow-up period was 11.11 years, during which 1784 (35%) participants died. We identified 4 latent groups among older adults: 'Good-performance' (51%), 'Decreasing' (26%), 'Oversleep & cognitive impairment' (12%), and 'Sleep-deprived' (11%). Individuals in the 'Decreasing' had a 51% increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.25 - 1.81, p < .001). Individuals in the 'Oversleep & cognitive impairment' had a 170% increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 2.7 95% CI: 2.13 - 3.43, p < .001). Women had a higher risk of all-cause mortality regardless of trajectory group (47-143% men VS. 74-365% women). Both urban and rural areas have a similarly increased risk of all-cause mortality (48-179%). CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals the latent trajectories across sleep duration, sleep quality, and cognitive function in older Chinese and further explores their association with death. These findings provide a rational basis for cognitive interventions and reduce all-cause mortality.

Association between multimorbidity trajectories and incident disability among mid to older age adults: China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND: Although multimorbidity is a risk factor for disability, the relationship between the accumulative patterns of multimorbidity and disability remains poorly understood. The objective of this study was to identify the latent groups of multimorbidity trajectories among mid to older age adults and to examine their associations with incident disability. METHODS: We included 5,548 participants aged ≥ 45 years who participated in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study from 2011 to 2018 and had no multimorbidity (≥ 2 chronic conditions) at baseline. The group-based multi-trajectory modeling was used to identify distinct trajectory groups of multimorbidity based on the latent dimensions underlying 13 chronic conditions. The association between multimorbidity trajectories and incident disability was analyzed using the generalized estimating equation model adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Of the 5,548 participants included in the current analysis, 2,407 (43.39%) developed multimorbidity during the follow-up. Among participants with new-onset multimorbidity, four trajectory groups were identified according to the combination of newly diagnosed diseases: "Cardiometabolic" (N = 821, 34.11%), "Digestive-arthritic" (N = 753, 31.28%), "Cardiometabolic/Brain" (N = 618, 25.68%), and "Respiratory" (N = 215, 8.93%). Compared to participants who did not develop multimorbidity, the risk of incident disability was most significantly increased in the "Cardiometabolic/Brain" trajectory group (OR = 2.05, 95% CI: 1.55-2.70), followed by the "Cardiometabolic" (OR = 1.96, 95% CI: 1.52 -2.53) and "Digestive-arthritic" (OR = 1.70, 95% CI: 1.31-2.20) trajectory groups. CONCLUSIONS: The growing burden of multimorbidity, especially the comorbid of cardiometabolic and brain diseases, may be associated with a significantly increased risk of disability for mid to older age adults. These findings improve our understanding of multimorbidity patterns that affect the independence of living and inform the development of strategies for the primary prevention of disability.

Sex differences in the association between latent class of lifestyle and disability among older adults in China.

BACKGROUND: A healthy lifestyle may prevent disability for older adults. But research to date is limited to a single lifestyle behavior and ignore sex difference in the lifestyle-disability association. This study aimed at identifying sex-specific latent classes of lifestyle and their relationship with disability among older Chinese adults. METHODS: Data were obtained from adults aged 65 years or above in the 2018 Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey, a nationally representative sample of older adults in China. We used latent class analysis to categorize participants into subgroups based on three dimensions of lifestyle factors: health behaviors, psychological wellbeing, and social engagement. Disability was assessed by the activities of daily living (ADL). Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the associations between the latent lifestyle classes and disability. RESULTS: A total of 15,771 older adults were included in this analysis, of whom 56% were women and 66% aged 80 years or above. We identified four latent lifestyle classes among older women: "Health Promoting" (28%), "Isolated and Health Harming" (34%), "Restless and Dismal" (21%), and "Restless" (17%). A different set of four lifestyle classes were identified in older men: "Health Promoting" (21%), "Isolated and Health Harming" (26%), "Restless and Dismal" (20%), and "Discordant" (33%). Compared with the "Health Promoting" class, the "Isolated and Health Harming" class (OR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.46-2.43) and the "Restless and Dismal" class (OR = 1.67, 95% CI: 1.27-2.20) had higher risk of disability in women. The "Discordant" class had lower risk of disability in men (OR = 0.52, 95% CI: 0.37-0.72). CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses revealed different lifestyle patterns for older women and men in China. Sex differences in the associations between lifestyle and disability need to be considered when formulating interventions to prevent disability.

Exploring the impact of climate technology, financial inclusion and renewable energy on ecological footprint: Evidence from top polluted economies.

Most South Asian countries' economies have grown dramatically during the past few decades. However, in light of their environmental sustainability goals, the quality of such growth performances by South Asian nations is called into doubt by the concurrent degradation in environmental quality. Consequently, reducing the environmental challenges these nations encounter is prioritized on the agendas of the relevant authorities. This study aimed to analyze the effect of the top 11 most polluted countries' levels of financial inclusion, technological innovation, consumption of renewable energy, and adoption of climate technology on environmental deterioration from 2000 to 2022. Therefore, this research aims to use cutting-edge panel data econometric techniques to investigate the factors contributing to high carbon footprints in the world's most polluted nations. The results support an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and carbon footprints, crediting the environmental Kuznets curve concept. In addition, it has been shown that TECH, REC, and CT can reduce carbon footprints in both the short and long term, while GDP and financial inclusion only affect carbon footprints in the long term. The results further endorsed the pollution haven hypothesis by showing that GDP positively affects carbon footprint. As a result, leading polluting economies need to strengthen their financial sectors, create green technology, migrate to renewable energy, and limit financial inclusion to improve environmental quality.

Association between multimorbidity trajectories, healthcare utilization, and health expenditures among middle-aged and older adults: China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND: To identify the latent groups of multimorbidity trajectories among middle-aged and older adults and examine their associations with healthcare utilization and health expenditures. METHODS: We included adults aged ≥45 years who participated in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study from 2011 to 2015 and were without multimorbidities (<2 chronic conditions) at baseline. Multimorbidity trajectories underlying 13 chronic conditions were identified using group-based multi-trajectory modeling based on the latent dimensions. Healthcare utilization included outpatient care, inpatient care, and unmet healthcare needs. Health expenditures included healthcare costs and catastrophic health expenditures (CHE). Random-effects logistic regression, random-effects negative binomial regression, and generalized linear regression models were used to examine the association between multimorbidity trajectories, healthcare utilization, and health expenditures. RESULTS: Of the 5548 participants, 2407 developed multimorbidities during follow-up. Three trajectory groups were identified among those with new-onset multimorbidity according to the increasing dimensions of chronic diseases: "digestive-arthritic" (N = 1377, 57.21 %), "cardiometabolic/brain" (N = 834, 34.65 %), and "respiratory/digestive-arthritic" (N = 196, 8.14 %). All trajectory groups had a significantly increased risk of outpatient care, inpatient care, unmet healthcare needs, and higher healthcare costs than those without multimorbidities. Notably, participants in the "digestive-arthritic" trajectory group had a significantly increased risk of incurring CHE (OR = 1.70, 95%CI: 1.03-2.81). LIMITATIONS: Chronic conditions were assessed using self-reported measures. CONCLUSIONS: The growing burden of multimorbidity, especially multimorbidities of digestive and arthritic diseases, was associated with a significantly increased risk of healthcare utilization and health expenditures. The findings may help in planning future healthcare and managing multimorbidity more effectively.

Factors associated with follow-up attendance of patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study examined the postoperative follow-up attendance of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) patients, evaluated some of the factors associated with it, and assessed its relationship with early detection of postoperative disease progression. METHODS: An exploratory retrospective cohort study of 430 OSCC patients was conducted. We examined associations of follow-up attendance within the first year after surgery with selected demographic and clinical factors, and with early detection of disease progression. RESULTS: The mean number of follow-up visits within the first year after surgery was 3.9 out of the 12 recommended at our center; few patients were fully adherent. Age ≥70 years, unmarried status, high education level, and negative history of surgery for premalignant or malignant lesions from oral cavity or other sites were significantly associated with lower follow-up attendance. Greater follow-up attendance was significantly associated with early detection of disease progression during the first year after surgery (p = 0.025). CONCLUSIONS: Adherence to follow-up visits was poor. Several sociodemographic and clinical factors were related to follow-up attendance, greater follow-up attendance was significantly associated with early detection of disease progression, and these should be further explored in future research.

Computed tomography-defined sarcopenia as a risk factor for short-term postoperative complications in oral cancer patients with free flap reconstruction: A retrospective population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative complications after free flap reconstruction for oral cancer can increase cost and prolong hospitalization. This study explored risk factors for complications, focusing on sarcopenia. METHODS: The study explored the associations between computed tomography-defined sarcopenia and the occurrence of postoperative complications, adjusted for age, gender, smoking, alcohol, ASA scoring, clinical stage of tumor, tumor site, type of free flap used, presence of tracheotomy, and blood test parameters. RESULTS: Of 253 patients, 17.39% (44/253) of oral cancer patients had comorbid sarcopenia. Univariate analysis showed an overall postoperative complication rate of 65.90% in the sarcopenia group and 51.67% in the non-sarcopenia group. Multivariate modeling showed sarcopenia and smoking were major risk factors for total and respiratory complications, increasing the risks by over two-fold. No factors significantly impacted surgery-specific complications. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified sarcopenia as a risk factor for postoperative complications in oral cancer patients undergoing flap reconstruction.

Mediating Effect of Physical Activity in the Association between Low 25-Hydroxyvitamin D and Frailty Trajectories: The English Longitudinal Study of Ageing.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is associated with adverse health outcomes, and vitamin D (VD) deficiency may be a risk factor. We aimed to identify frailty trajectories and examine the mediating effect of physical activity (PA) on the association between VD deficiency and frailty trajectories. METHODS: We included 2997 participants aged 60 to 85 years from ELSA. VD was measured using serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] (sufficient: >50; insufficient: 30−50; deficient: <30 nmol/L). Frailty was assessed by a 60-item frailty index, and PA was measured on the basis of total energy expenditure. Frailty trajectories were identified using group-based trajectory modeling, and the mediation effect of PA was tested using causal mediation analysis. RESULTS: Three distinct frailty trajectories emerged: "Non-frail" (66.48%), "Pre-frail to frail" (25.67%) and "Frail to severely frail" (7.85%). VD deficiency was associated with the "Pre-frail to frail" (OR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.98) and "Frail to severely frail" trajectories (OR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.45, 3.62). PA only mediated 48.4% (95% CI: 17.1%−270.8%) of the association between VD deficiency and the "Pre-frail to frail" trajectory. CONCLUSIONS: Vitamin D deficiency is associated with the onset and worsening of frailty in older adults, and reduced PA may mediate its impact on the transition from pre-frailty to frailty.

Burden of cancer and changing cancer spectrum among older adults in China: Trends and projections to 2030.

BACKGROUND: Cancer creates considerable challenges for China with its aging population. This analysis aimed to estimate the burden of cancer and transition in cancer spectrum among older adults in China by 2030. METHODS: Using data from the National Central Cancer Registry of China, we estimated annual percent change (APC) in cancer incidence and mortality rates among adults aged 60 years and above between 2006 and 2015 using joinpoint regression. We further estimated the number of new cancer cases and deaths from 2020 to 2030 based on the APC and population projections. RESULTS: Although cancer incidence and mortality rates have been decreasing among older adults in China between 2006 and 2015, there were marked increases in the incidence and mortality rates of cervical (incidence: APC = 9.2%, mortality: APC = 7.6% all p < 0.05) and thyroid cancers (incidence: APC = 9.3%, p < 0.05) in older women. Between 2015 and 2030, the number of new cancer cases is projected to increase by 46% from 2.2 million to 3.2 million; cancer deaths will increase by 31% from 1.6 million to 2.1 million among older Chinese adults. In 2015, the 3 most common cancers were lung, colorectal and breast cancer in women, and lung, colorectal and stomach cancer in men. By 2030, cervical cancer is projected to be the most common cancer in women, followed by lung and thyroid cancer; prostate cancer will surpass stomach cancer to become the third most common cancer in men. In both sexes, lung, liver and stomach cancer were the top 3 leading causes of cancer deaths in 2015. In women, cervical cancer will surpass lung cancer as the leading cause of cancer deaths by 2030. CONCLUSION: The growing burden of cervical, thyroid and prostate cancer among older Chinese adults represents a major shift in cancer spectrum in this population.

Cost-effectiveness of augmenting universal hepatitis B vaccination with immunoglobulin treatment: a case study in Zhejiang Province, East China.

Objective: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the current strategy combining universal vaccination with hepatitis B immunoglobulin (HBIG) treatment for infants of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positive mothers compared with universal vaccination with hepatitis B vaccine only.Methods: A decision tree model with a Markov process was constructed and used to simulate the lifetime of the birth cohort in Zhejiang Province during 2016. The current strategy was compared against universal vaccination with respect to costs and health effects. Costs were assessed from the health care system perspective. Health effects were measured by the number of hepatitis B virus (HBV) related diseases and deaths avoided and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. The incremental cost­effectiveness ratio (ICER) is calculated and compared to standard willingness-to-pay thresholds. A one-way sensitivity analysis and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) were performed to assess parameter uncertainties.Results: Over the cohort's lifetime, 182 acute symptomatic infections, 2215 chronic infections, 872 cases of cirrhosis, 595 cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and 1,350 HBV-related deaths among the cohort of 624,000 infants would be further avoided by the current strategy compared to universal vaccination. Universal vaccination was dominated by the current strategy that produced not only higher total QALYs, but also had lower costs. The results remained robust over a wide range of assumptions.Conclusions: The current strategy was cost saving compared to universal vaccination, and continuing the current strategy is recommended to further decrease the burden of hepatitis B.

Rational molecular design for improving digestive enzyme resistance of beta-glucosidase from Trichoderma viride based on inhibition of bound state formation.

Beta-glucosidase (BGL1) is widely used in animal feed industries. However, degradation caused by digestive enzymes in the intestine hampers its application. Improving the resistance of feed enzymes against proteases is crucial in livestock farming. To improve the resistance of beta-glucosidase against pepsin and trypsin, a rational molecular design based on the inhibition of bound-state formation and secondary design was developed. The strategy includes: (1) prediction of the interaction surface of the pepsin-BGL1 complex structure, (2) prediction of key amino acids affecting the formation of the complex, (3) optimization of pepsin-resistant mutants by structural evaluation, (4) secondary molecular design based on pepsin-resistant mutants, and optimization of pepsin and trypsin-resistant mutants. Two BGL1 protein mutants (BGL1Q627C and BGL1Q627C/R543H/R646W) were constructed, and then mutated and wild-type BGL1s were expressed in Pichia pastoris. The half-life of BGL1Q627C and BGL1Q627C/R543H/R646W were 1.36 and 1.51 times that of the wild type upon pepsin exposure, respectively. For trypsin resistance, the half-life were 0.93 and 1.53 times that of the wild type, respectively. Compare to those of the wild type, most of the basic enzymatic properties of both mutants were not significantly changed except for increased Michaelis constants. The rational design method can be used as a guide for modifying other feed enzymes.