Global Effect of Modifiable Risk Factors on Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Five modifiable risk factors are associated with cardiovascular disease and death from any cause. Studies using individual-level data to evaluate the regional and sex-specific prevalence of the risk factors and their effect on these outcomes are lacking. METHODS: We pooled and harmonized individual-level data from 112 cohort studies conducted in 34 countries and 8 geographic regions participating in the Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium. We examined associations between the risk factors (body-mass index, systolic blood pressure, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, current smoking, and diabetes) and incident cardiovascular disease and death from any cause using Cox regression analyses, stratified according to geographic region, age, and sex. Population-attributable fractions were estimated for the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease and 10-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 1,518,028 participants (54.1% of whom were women) with a median age of 54.4 years, regional variations in the prevalence of the five modifiable risk factors were noted. Incident cardiovascular disease occurred in 80,596 participants during a median follow-up of 7.3 years (maximum, 47.3), and 177,369 participants died during a median follow-up of 8.7 years (maximum, 47.6). For all five risk factors combined, the aggregate global population-attributable fraction of the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease was 57.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.4 to 62.1) among women and 52.6% (95% CI, 49.0 to 56.1) among men, and the corresponding values for 10-year all-cause mortality were 22.2% (95% CI, 16.8 to 27.5) and 19.1% (95% CI, 14.6 to 23.6). CONCLUSIONS: Harmonized individual-level data from a global cohort showed that 57.2% and 52.6% of cases of incident cardiovascular disease among women and men, respectively, and 22.2% and 19.1% of deaths from any cause among women and men, respectively, may be attributable to five modifiable risk factors. (Funded by the German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK); ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05466825.).

Serial blood pressure measurements, left ventricular remodelling and cardiovascular outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a risk factor for the development of cardiovascular disease. Whether serial blood pressure (BP) measurements are more closely associated with subclinical left ventricular (LV) remodelling and better predict risk of cardiovascular events over individual BP measurements are not known. METHODS: We assessed systolic BP, diastolic BP and pulse pressure at several time points during adulthood in 1333 women and 1211 men participating in the Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study. We defined serial BP measurements as the sum of averaged BPs from adjacent consecutive visits indexed to total exposure time between measurements. We assessed the associations between serial and individual BP measurements and (1) LV structure, function and volumes and (2) incident myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, heart failure and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: All indices of higher serial BP measurements were associated with increased indexed LV mass, and the associations were stronger than those of individual BP measurements. Serial diastolic BP pressure was strongly and inversely associated with LV systolic function, while higher serial systolic BP was primarily associated with higher LV volumes. Both serial systolic (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.10, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.17) and diastolic BPs (IRR 1.14, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.27) were associated with increased incidence of clinical events. CONCLUSION: In healthy community dwellers without established cardiovascular disease, different serial BP indices associate strongly with LV remodelling and cardiovascular outcomes. Whether the use of serial BP indices for guiding treatment is superior to individual measurements should be explored in additional prospective studies.

Cardiac Troponin T and NT-proBNP for Prediction of 30-Day Readmission or Death in Patients with Acute Dyspnea: Data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination 2 Study.

INTRODUCTION: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and cardiac troponin T (cTnT) measurements are recommended in patients with acute dyspnea. We aimed to assess the prognostic merit of cTnT compared to NT-proBNP for 30-day readmission or death in patients hospitalized with acute dyspnea. METHODS: We measured cTnT and NT-proBNP within 24 h in 314 patients hospitalized with acute dyspnea and adjudicated the cause of the index admission. Time to first event of readmission or death ≤30 days after hospital discharge was recorded, and cTnT and NT-proBNP measurements were compared head-to-head. RESULTS: Patients who died (12/314) or were readmitted (71/314) within 30 days had higher cTnT concentrations (median: 32.6, Q1-Q3: 18.4-74.2 ng/L vs. median: 19.4, Q1-Q3: 8.4-36.1 ng/L; p for comparison <0.001) and NT-proBNP concentrations (median: 1,753.6, Q1-Q3: 464.2-6,862.0 ng/L vs. median 984, Q1-Q3 201-3,600 ng/L; for comparison p = 0.027) compared to patients who survived and were not readmitted. cTnT concentrations were associated with readmission or death within 30 days after discharge both in the total cohort (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.64, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.30-2.05) and in patients with heart failure (HF) (aHR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.14-2.18). In contrast, NT-proBNP concentrations were not associated with short-term events, neither in the total cohort (aHR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.94-1.30) nor in patients with adjudicated HF (aHR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.80-1.40). CONCLUSION: cTnT concentrations are associated with 30-day readmission or death in patients hospitalized with acute dyspnea, as well as in patients adjudicated HF.

Lifetime obesity trends are associated with subclinical myocardial injury: The Trøndelag health study.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is associated with subclinical myocardial injury as quantified by concentrations of cardiac troponin T, but whether lifetime excess weight history is associated with increased concentrations of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) and how indices of abdominal adiposity and glycemic dysregulation affect these associations remain unclear. METHODS: We analyzed cTnI with a high-sensitivity assay in 9739 participants in the Trøndelag Health (HUNT) Study at study visit 4 (2017-2019). BMI was assessed at study Visit 1 (1984-1986), 2 (1995-1997), 3 (2006-2008), and 4. RESULTS: Median age at visit 4 was 68.7 years and 59% were women. Concentrations of cTnI were detectable in 84.1% of study participants, with a median of 2.5 (1.5-4.5 ng/L). We identified three clusters of BMI trajectories from visit 1 to 4, (1) stable normal weight, (2) stable overweight, and (3) stable obesity. Participants in clusters 2 and 3 were at increased risk of elevated concentrations of cTnI at visit 4 (odds ratio 1.27, 95% CI 1.09-1.47, and odds ratio 1.70, 95% CI 1.33-2.17, p for trend <0.001). Participants in cluster 3 had 22.0 (95% CI 14.1-29.9) higher concentrations of cTnI compared to participants in cluster 1 (p for trend <0.001). Dysregulated glucose metabolism and abdominal obesity did not influence our results. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with stable overweight or obesity are at increased risk of subclinical myocardial injury, independently of glycemic dysregulation and abdominal adiposity. Our data support a direct detrimental effect of long-standing obesity on cardiovascular health.

Circulating MicroRNA-210 Concentrations in Patients with Acute Heart Failure: Data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination 2 Study.

BACKGROUND: MicroRNA (miR)-210 expression is induced by acute and chronic hypoxia and provides prognostic information in patients with aortic stenosis and acute coronary syndrome. We hypothesized that circulating miR-210 concentrations could provide diagnostic and prognostic information in patients with acute heart failure (HF). METHODS: We measured miR-210 concentrations in serum samples on admission from 314 patients hospitalized for acute dyspnea and 9 healthy control subjects. The diagnostic and prognostic properties of miR-210 were tested in patients after adjudication of all diagnoses and with median follow-up of 464 days. RESULTS: All patients and control subjects had miR-210 concentrations within the range of detection, and the analytical variation was low as the coefficient of variation of synthetic spike-in RNA was 4%. Circulating miR-210 concentrations were increased in patients with HF compared to healthy control subjects, but miR-210 concentrations did not separate patients with acute HF (n = 143) from patients with non-HF-related dyspnea (n = 171): the area under the curve was 0.50 (95% CI 0.43-0.57). Circulating miR-210 concentrations were associated with mortality (n = 114) after adjustment for clinical risk factors (hazard ratio 1.65 [95% CI 1.03-2.62] per unit miR-210 increase), but this association was attenuated and not significant after adjustment for established cardiac protein biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: Circulating miR-210 concentrations are associated with mortality, but do not add to established protein biomarkers for diagnosis or prognosis in patients with acute dyspnea.

B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Is Associated with Indices of Left Ventricular Dysfunction in Healthy Subjects from the General Population: The Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study.

BACKGROUND: Concentrations of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) reflect myocardial distension and stress, and are associated with poor prognosis in patients with cardiovascular disease. Accordingly, we hypothesized that concentrations of BNP would be associated with indices of adverse left ventricular (LV) remodeling and early stages of LV systolic and diastolic dysfunction in healthy participants from the general population. METHODS: We measured BNP in 1757 women and 1677 men free from known coronary heart disease participating in the prospective observational Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study. All study participants underwent extensive cardiovascular phenotyping at baseline, including detailed echocardiography with assessment of indexed LV mass (LVMI), diastolic [tissue Doppler e', E/e' ratio, indexed left atrial volume (LAVI), maximal tricuspid regurgitation velocity (TRVmax), and E/A ratio], and systolic [global longitudinal strain (GLS) and LV ejection fraction (LVEF)] function. RESULTS: Study participants with the highest BNP concentrations had higher GLS, LVMI, e', E/e' ratio, LAVI, TRVmax, and E/A ratio. In adjusted analyses, both GLS and LVEF exhibited significant nonlinear associations with BNP, with reduced LV systolic function observed in both the low and high concentration range of BNP. CONCLUSIONS: In healthy participants recruited from the general population, concentrations of BNP exhibit nonlinear associations with LV systolic function, and both low and high concentrations are associated with reduced LV systolic function. This supports the notion that natriuretic peptides are beneficial and elicit cardioprotective effects, and may have important implications for the interpretation of BNP measurements in the general population.

Pragmatic trials - what are they? / Pragmatiske studier ­ hva er det?

Pragmatic clinical trials are based on data from unselected patients recruited from common clinical practice. These trials therefore bridge the gap between evidence-based medicine and clinical practice.

Cardiac Troponin I and T Are Associated with Left Ventricular Function and Structure: Data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study.

BACKGROUND: Concentrations of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) and T (cTnT) are associated with clinical cardiac outcomes, but do not correlate closely in subjects recruited from the general population. Accordingly, we hypothesized that cTnI and cTnT concentrations would be influenced by different cardiovascular (CV) and non-CV risk factors and reflect different CV phenotypes. METHODS: We measured cTnI and cTnT with last generation assays in 1236 women and 1157 men with no known CV disease participating in the prospective observational Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study. All study participants underwent extensive CV phenotyping at baseline, including detailed echocardiography. RESULTS: Concentrations of cTnI were measurable in 60.3% and cTnT in 72.5% of study participants (P < 0.001), and correlated moderately (r = 0.53; P < 0.001). cTnI was more strongly associated with male sex (P = 0.018), higher education (P < 0.001), history of hypertension (P < 0.001), and age (P < 0.001), whereas cTnT was more strongly associated with eGFR (P = 0.015). Both cTnI and cTnT were inversely associated with global longitudinal strain and positively associated with LV mass index (LVMI) in analyses adjusted for CV risk factors. The association between cTnI and LVMI was stronger than the association between cTnT and LVMI (P = 0.035). Concentrations of cTnI improved diagnostic accuracy for LV hypertrophy when added to established CV risk factors, but concentrations of cTnT did not improve these models further. CONCLUSIONS: In a large community-based cohort examined with extensive echocardiography, concentrations of cTnI and cTnT are associated with subclinical LV hypertrophy and dysfunction. Concentrations of cTnI appear superior to cTnT in predicting subclinical LV hypertrophy.

Plasma marine n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids and cardiovascular risk factors: data from the ACE 1950 study.

PURPOSE: A high intake of marine n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) might improve cardiovascular (CV) health. We conducted a cross-sectional study to investigate associations between plasma phospholipid levels of marine n-3 PUFAs and CV risk factors, educational level, physical activity and smoking habits. METHODS: A total of 3706 individuals from a general population, all born in 1950 and residing in Akershus County, Norway, were included in this study. The main statistical approach was multivariable adjusted linear regression. RESULTS: Plasma marine n-3 PUFA levels ranged from 2.7 to 20.3 wt%, with a median level of 7.7 wt% (interquartile range 4.3-11.1 wt%). High levels of plasma marine n-3 PUFAs were associated with lower serum triglycerides [Standardized regression coefficient (Std.ß-coeff.) - 0.14, p < 0.001], body mass index (Std. ß-coeff. -0.08, p < 0.001), serum creatinine (Std. ß-coeff. -0.03, p = 0.05), C-reactive protein levels (Std. ß-coeff. - 0.03, p = 0.04), higher levels of serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (Std. ß-coeff. 0.08, p < 0.001) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (Std. ß-coeff. 0.04, p = 0.003). High levels of plasma marine n-3 PUFAs were also associated with lower glycated hemoglobin (Std. ß-coeff. - 0.04, p = 0.01), however, only in individuals without diabetes. We found no associations between plasma marine n-3 PUFA levels and fasting plasma glucose or carotid intima-media thickness. High levels of plasma marine n-3 PUFAs were associated with higher educational level, more physical activity and lower prevalence of smoking. CONCLUSION: In this cross-sectional study of Norwegian individuals born in 1950, high levels of plasma marine n-3 PUFAs were favourably associated with several CV risk factors, suggesting that fish consumption might improve CV health.

Novel biomarkers of cardiovascular disease: Applications in clinical practice.

Measurement of biomarkers has revolutionized the work-up of patients with suspected cardiovascular disease. The most widely used contemporary cardiovascular biomarkers are the natriuretic peptides in the diagnosis and prognosis of heart failure and cardiac troponins in the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction. Numerous other biomarkers pertaining to diagnosis, prognosis, and risk prediction have been identified, but few have made their way to clinical practice. In this review, we will initially describe the fundamental approach to evaluate a novel biomarker. Before implementation of a biomarker into clinical practice, several stringent criteria related to its clinical utility are required. Essential statistical metrics such as discrimination, calibration, and reclassification are required to properly evaluate prediction models. We will then discuss the biomarkers according to main groups of cardiovascular pathology:1. myocardial injury (cardiac troponins, heart-type fatty acid-binding protein, cardiac myosin binding protein-C);2. myocardial stress (A-type and B-type natriuretic peptides, mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin, copeptin); 3. inflammation (C-reactive protein, interleukin 6, growth differentiation factor 15, soluble suppressor of tumorigenicity 2, galectin-3);4. platelet activation (soluble CD40 ligand, P-selectin);5. plaque instability (lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2, matrix metalloproteinase-9);6. systemic stress (catecholamines, granin proteins);7. calcium homeostasis (secretoneurin). Finally, we will discuss novel applications of cardiovascular biomarkers, more specifically prediction of ventricular arrhythmias, and the use of biomarkers in composite risk prediction models.

Prognostic and diagnostic significance of mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide in acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and acute heart failure: data from the ACE 2 Study.

PURPOSE: To compare the diagnostic and prognostic value of mid-regional pro-ANP (MR-proANP) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in patients with acute dyspnea. METHODS: MR-proANP and NT-proBNP were measured with commercial immunoassays at hospital admission (n = 313), on day 2 (n = 234), and before discharge (n = 91) and compared for diagnosing acute heart failure (HF; n = 143) and to predict mortality among patients with acute HF and acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD; n = 84) separately. RESULTS: The correlation coefficient between MR-proANP and NT-proBNP was 0.89 (p < 0.001) and the receiver-operating area under the curve (AUC) was 0.85 (95% CI 0.81-0.89) for MR-proANP and 0.86 (0.82-0.90) for NT-proBNP to diagnose acute HF. During a median follow-up of 816 days, mortality rates were 46% in acute HF patients and 42% in AECOPD patients. After adjustment for other risk variables by multivariate Cox regression analysis, MR-proANP and NT-proBNP concentrations were associated with mortality in patients with acute HF, but only MR-proANP were associated with mortality among patients with AECOPD: hazard ratio (lnMR-proANP) 1.98 (95% CI 1.17-3.34). CONCLUSION: MR-proANP and NT-proBNP concentrations provide similar diagnostic and prognostic information in patients with acute HF. In contrast to NT-proBNP, MR-proANP measurements also provided independent prognostic information in AECOPD patients.

Impact of Smoking on Circulating Cardiac Troponin I Concentrations and Cardiovascular Events in the General Population: The HUNT Study (Nord-Trøndelag Health Study).

BACKGROUND: Both tobacco smoking and circulating cardiac troponin I (cTnI) levels are associated with the risk of acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, and cardiovascular death. However, whether cTnI levels differ according to smoking status and whether smoking modifies the prognostic relationship between cTnI and outcomes remain unclear. METHODS: Using data from a large, population-based cohort, we assessed the association between smoking and cTnI and the impact of smoking on the associations between cTnI levels and the incidence of acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, and cardiovascular death. cTnI was measured with a high-sensitivity assay in 3824 never smokers, 2341 former smokers, and 2550 current smokers participating in the prospective observational HUNT Study (Nord-Trøndelag Health Study). All subjects were free from known prior cardiovascular disease and diabetes mellitus at baseline. RESULTS: The age of the participants ranged from 19 to 94 years; 55.5% were women. Current smokers exhibited significantly lower levels of cTnI (median, 2.9 ng/L; interquartile range, 2.0-4.1 ng/L) than never smokers (3.2 ng/L; interquartile range, 2.2-4.7 ng/L; P<0.001) and former smokers (3.4 ng/L; interquartile range, 2.3-5.0 ng/L; P<0.001). This association remained significant after adjustment for potential confounders (B=-0.098; 95% confidence interval, -0.129 to -0.068). We observed an association between increasing concentrations of cTnI and clinical end points in the total study cohort (adjusted hazard ratio per log unit increase in cTnI, 1.41; 95% confidence interval, 1.29-1.54). This association was attenuated for current smokers (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.40) and was significantly weaker than in never/former smokers (P for interaction=0.003). Prognostic accuracy, as assessed by C statistics, was significantly lower in current smokers than in never smokers (P<0.001). In addition, cTnI provided no incremental prognostic information to the Framingham Cardiovascular Disease risk score in current smokers (P=0.08). CONCLUSIONS: Current smoking is associated with lower concentrations of cTnI, suggesting that substances in tobacco smoke may affect cardiomyocyte injury. The association between cTnI levels and cardiovascular end points is stronger in never/former smokers than in current smokers, compatible with the theory that the detrimental cardiovascular impact of current smoking is mediated via mechanisms other than subclinical myocardial injury.

Heart and Brain Interactions--the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study Design.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study is to investigate the development and progression of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease (CVD/CeVD) in an extensively characterized age cohort of middle-aged subjects with longitudinal long-term follow-up. DESIGN: The ACE 1950 Study is a prospective, population-based, age-cohort study of all men and women born in 1950 in Akershus County, Norway. The study involves a comprehensive baseline examination, especially for CVD/CeVD, including advanced ultrasound imaging and biobanking ("deep phenotyping"). We expect to obtain an inclusion rate of > 60% from the total study population of 5,827 eligible subjects. Enrollment will be completed during 2015. CONCLUSIONS: The ACE 1950 Study will have potential to generate new and relevant insight into identification of subclinical disease progression. Extensive phenotyping will enable identification of novel disease markers and mechanisms for subclinical disease, which can prove important for future disease prevention.

Systolic Blood Pressure, Diastolic Blood Pressure and Pulse Pressure and the Risk of Subclinical Myocardial Injury: The HUNT Study.

BACKGROUND: Subclinical myocardial injury expressed as higher cardiac troponin concentrations may represent an important intermediary between hypertension and the risk of cardiovascular disease. The study aimed to assess the relative strength of associations between systolic blood pressure (BP), diastolic BP, and pulse pressure, and subclinical myocardial injury, and how change in BP variables over time associates with subclinical myocardial injury. METHODS AND RESULTS: cTnl (cardiac troponin I) was measured in 32 968 participants of the fourth wave of the population-based cohort HUNT4 (Trøndelag Health Study) without a history of cardiovascular disease. An additional longitudinal analysis included participants from HUNT4 with BP measurements from HUNT3 (n=18 681). Associations between BP variables and cTnI concentrations were assessed by linear and logistic regression analyses. The median cTnI concentration was 1.6 ng/L (25th-75th percentiles, 0.6-3.1 ng/L), median age was 52 years (39.1-65.6 years), and 57% were female subjects. Cross-sectionally, only systolic BP categories ≥130 mm Hg associated with higher cTnI concentrations, compared with a reference systolic BP of <110 mm Hg. All categories of diastolic BP and pulse pressure were positively associated with higher cTnI concentrations when diastolic BP 70 to 79 mm Hg and pulse pressure <40 mm Hg were used as references, respectively. When comparing systolic BP, diastolic BP, and pulse pressure as continuous variables, cross-sectionally, pulse pressure most strongly associated with cTnI concentrations (P for all comparisons <0.001), whereas longitudinally, change in diastolic BP was most strongly associated with cTnI concentrations (P for all comparisons <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Subjects with high pulse pressure and longitudinal increase in diastolic BP are at higher risk for subclinical myocardial injury.

Mortality and length of hospital stay after bloodstream infections caused by ESBL-producing compared to non-ESBL-producing E. coli.

OBJECTIVE: To compare mortality and length of hospital stay between patients with ESBL-producing E. coli bloodstream infections (BSIs) and patients with non-ESBL E. coli BSIs. We also aimed at describing risk factors for ESBL-producing E. coli BSIs and time to effective antibiotic treatment for the two groups. METHODS: A retrospective case-control study among adults admitted between 2014 and 2021 to a Norwegian University Hospital. RESULTS: A total of 468 E. coli BSI episodes from 441 patients were included (234 BSIs each in the ESBL- and non-ESBL group). Among the ESBL-producing E. coli BSIs, 10.9% (25/230) deaths occurred within 30 days compared to 9.0% (21/234) in the non-ESBL group. The adjusted 30-day mortality OR was 1.6 (95% CI 0.7-3.7, p = 0.248). Effective antibiotic treatment was administered within 24 hours to 55.2% (129/234) in the ESBL-group compared to 86.8% (203/234) in the non-ESBL group. Among BSIs of urinary tract origin (n = 317), the median length of hospital stay increased by two days in the ESBL group (six versus four days, p < 0.001). No significant difference in the length of hospital stay was found for other sources of infection (n = 151), with a median of seven versus six days (p = 0.550) in the ESBL- and non-ESBL groups, respectively. CONCLUSION: There was no statistically significant difference in 30-day mortality in ESBL-producing E. coli compared to non-ESBL E. coli BSI, despite a delay in the administration of an effective antibiotic in the former group. ESBL-production was associated with an increased length of stay in BSIs of urinary tract origin.

Patterns of Cardiac Troponin I Concentrations as Risk Predictors of Cardiovascular Disease and Death: The Trøndelag Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Concentrations of cardiac troponin predict risk of cardiovascular disease and death in the general population. There is limited evidence on changing patterns of cardiac troponin in the years preceding cardiovascular events. METHODS: We analyzed cardiac troponin I (cTnI) with a high-sensitivity assay in 3272 participants in the Trøndelag Health (HUNT) Study at study visit 4 (2017-2019). Of these, 3198 had measurement of cTnI at study visit 2 (1995-1997), 2661 at study visit 3, and 2587 at all 3 study visits. We assessed the trajectories of cTnI concentrations in the years prior to cardiovascular events using a generalized linear mixed model, with adjustment for age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors, and comorbidities. RESULTS: At HUNT4 baseline, median age was 64.8 (range 39.4-101.3) years, and 55% were women. Study participants who were admitted because of heart failure or died from cardiovascular cause on follow-up had a steeper increase in cTnI compared with study participants with no events (P < .001). The average yearly change in cTnI was 0.235 (95% confidence interval, 0.192-0.289) ng/L for study participants with heart failure or cardiovascular death, and -0.022 (95% confidence interval, -0.022 to -0.023) ng/L for study participants with no events. Study participants who experienced myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or noncardiovascular mortality exhibited similar cTnI patterns. CONCLUSIONS: Fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events are preceded by slowly increasing concentrations of cardiac troponin, independently of established cardiovascular risk factors. Our results support the use of cTnI measurements to identify at-risk subjects who progress to subclinical and later overt cardiovascular disease.

Prediction of incident atrial fibrillation with cardiac biomarkers and left atrial volumes.

OBJECTIVE: Atrial fibrillation is a common arrhythmia associated with risk of stroke, heart failure and death. We aimed to elucidate the associations of cardiac biomarkers, echocardiographic left atrial volumetric indices and risk of prevalent and incident atrial fibrillation in the general population. METHODS: We assessed cardiac troponin T (cTnT), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), maximum (LAVimax) and minimum (LAVimin) indexed left atrial volumes and left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) in subjects born in 1950 participating in the prospective observational cohort, Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study. The Cohorts for Heart and Ageing Research in Genomic Epidemiology for Atrial Fibrillation risk score and sex was used to adjust for residual risk of atrial fibrillation. RESULTS: Out of 3487 subjects, 157 (4.5%) had prevalent and 123 (3.5%) had incident atrial fibrillation. Echocardiographic left atrial volumes and cardiac biomarkers associated with prevalent atrial fibrillation, but GDF-15 was non-significant in adjusted analysis. Incident atrial fibrillation was predicted by LAVimax (adjusted HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.30 to 1.75), LAVimin (adjusted HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.35 to 1.72), LAEF (adjusted HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.48) and NT-proBNP (adjusted HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.32 to 1.85). cTnT and NT-proBNP provided incremental prognostic information to left atrial volumes, but GDF-15 demonstrated no prognostic value for incident atrial fibrillation. CONCLUSIONS: In the general population, echocardiographic left atrial volumetric indices and NT-proBNP, but not cTnT and GDF-15, associate with prevalent atrial fibrillation and with risk of incident atrial fibrillation. cTnT and NT-proBNP provide incremental prognostic information to echocardiography.

Tobacco Consumption and High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin I in the General Population: The HUNT Study.

Background Cardiac troponins represent a sensitive index of subclinical myocardial injury and are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular events in the general population. Despite positive associations with cardiovascular risk of both cardiac troponins and cigarette smoking, concentrations of cardiac troponin I measured by high-sensitivity assays (hs-cTnI) are paradoxically lower in current smokers than in never-smokers. The impact of smoking intensity and time from smoking cessation on hs-cTnI remains unknown. Methods and Results hs-cTnI concentrations were measured in 32028 subjects free from cardiovascular disease enrolled in the prospective, population-based HUNT (Trøndelag Health Study). Tobacco habits were self-reported and classified as never (n=14 559), former (n=14 248), and current (n=3221) smokers. Current smokers exhibited significantly lower concentrations of hs-cTnI than never-smokers (P<0.001). In adjusted models, both current smoking (-17.3%; 95% CI, -20.6 to -13.9%) and former smoking (-6.6%; 95% CI, -8.7 to -4.5%) were associated with significantly lower hs-cTnI concentrations. Among former smokers, higher smoking burden (>10 pack-years) were associated with lower concentrations of hs-cTnI. Time since smoking cessation was associated with increasing concentrations of hs-cTnI in a dose-dependent manner (P for trend<0.001), and subjects who quit smoking >30 years ago had concentrations of hs-cTnI comparable with those of never-smokers. Conclusions In the general population, both current and former cigarette smoking is associated with lower concentrations of hs-cTnI. In former smokers, there was a dose-response relationship between pack-years of smoking, and hs-cTnI. Time since smoking cessation was associated with increasing concentrations of hs-cTnI, indicating a continuum of hs-cTnI from current smoker to never-smokers.