Effect of tonsillectomy combined with steroid pulse therapy upon IgA nephropathy depending on proteinuria status at diagnosis: a nationwide multicenter cohort study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: The effects of tonsillectomy combined with steroid pulse (TSP) therapy for IgA nephropathy (IgAN) are little known. Therefore, we examined the effects of TSP therapy on the kidney outcomes of IgAN in a large, nationwide cohort study in Japan. METHODS: Between 2002 and 2004, 632 IgAN patients with ≥ 0.5 g/day proteinuria at diagnosis were divided into three groups with mild (0.50-0.99 g/day; n = 264), moderate (1.00-1.99 g/day, n = 216), or severe (≥ 2.00 g/day; n = 153). Decline in kidney function and urinary remission were compared among the three groups after TSP therapy, corticosteroid (ST) therapy, or conservative therapy during a mean follow-up of 6.2 ± 3.3 years. 10.6% and 5.9% of patients in the ST and conservative therapy group underwent tonsillectomy. RESULTS: The rate of urinary remission at the final observation was significantly higher in the TSP therapy group than in the ST or conservative therapy groups (mild proteinuria: 64%, 43%, and 41%; moderate proteinuria: 51%, 45%, and 28%; severe proteinuria: 48%, 30%, and 22%, respectively). In contrast, the rate of a 50% increase in serum creatinine was lower in groups TSP therapy, than ST or conservative therapy (mild proteinuria: 2.1%, 10.1% and 16.7%; moderate proteinuria: 4.8%, 8.8% and 27.7%; severe proteinuria: 12.0%, 28.9% and 43.1%, respectively). In multivariate analysis, TSP therapy significantly prevented a 50% increase in serum creatinine levels compared with conservative therapy in groups with moderate and severe proteinuria (hazard ratio, 0.12 and 0.22, respectively). CONCLUSION: TSP significantly increased the rate of proteinuria disappearance and urinary remission in IgAN patients with mild-to-moderate urinary protein levels. It may also reduce the decline in kidney function in patients with moderate-to-severe urinary protein levels.

Analysis of the impact of obesity on the prognosis of IgA nephropathy according to renal function and sex.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have observed the direct effect of obesity on renal prognoses in immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) or separately evaluated its effects according to sex. We aimed to evaluate the direct and indirect effects of obesity on the renal outcomes of IgAN and observe these effects separately according to renal function and sex. METHODS: We extracted patients with body mass index (BMI) descriptions from a multicenter retrospective cohort analysis in Japan, and excluded those with < 30 days of follow-up, diabetes mellitus, and steroid treatment. Patients were divided into normal (n = 720; 18.5 ≤ BMI < 25) and obese (n = 212; BMI ≥ 25) groups, which were then compared. The endpoints were a 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels and the initiation of renal replacement therapy. RESULTS: The obese group was older, included more males, and was more likely have hypertension, dyslipidemia, proteinuria, tubular atrophy, and lower renal function than the normal group. Patients with an eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 had well-matched characteristics between the groups; however, hypertension, low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and hypertriglyceridemia were more common in the obese group. Obesity contributed to tubular atrophy, even when adjusted for renal function. In addition, it contributed to proteinuria only in females. However, obesity itself was not a significant prognostic factor. CONCLUSIONS: Although no independent effect on renal prognosis was observed during the study period, the obese group had more risk factors for IgAN progression and obesity contributed to tubular atrophy and female proteinuria. Our results suggest that separately analyzing the prognostic effect of obesity according to sex is important.

Prognostic factors of IgA nephropathy presenting with mild proteinuria at the time of diagnosis (a multicenter cohort study).

BACKGROUND: Clinical factors affecting renal prognosis in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) and low urinary protein excretion (U-Prot) remain unclear. This study evaluated such factors in patients with clinical grade I (CG-I) IgAN with U-Prot < 0.5 g/day. METHODS: This secondary analysis of a previous retrospective study included 394 patients with CG-I IgAN. The primary outcome was the first occurrence of a 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels from baseline. Factors related to renal prognosis were examined using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. CG-I was divided into C-Grade Ia (CG-Ia) (n = 330) with baseline eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2, and C-Grade Ib (CG-Ib) (n = 64) with baseline eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2. Outcome incidence was compared between conservative and aggressive therapy (corticosteroids and/or tonsillectomy) groups. RESULTS: Overall outcome incidence was significantly higher in CG-Ib than in CG-Ia; the cumulative incidence was significantly higher in CG-Ib (hazard ratio, 9.67; 95% confidence interval, 2.90-32.23). Older age, higher IgA levels, eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, lower eGFR at baseline were independent prognostic factors for CG-I. Older age, lower eGFR, higher IgA levels at baseline, and U-Prot remission at 1-year post-diagnosis were independent prognostic factors for CG-Ib. Aggressive therapy tended to suppress the cumulative outcome incidence compared with conservative therapy in CG-Ib (p = 0.087). CONCLUSION: An eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 is a significant predictor of renal prognosis in patients with IgAN and U-Prot < 0.5 g/day.

Application of the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool one or two years post-biopsy.

The International IgA Nephropathy (IgAN) Prediction Tool is the preferred method in the 2021 KDIGO guidelines to predict, at the time of kidney biopsy, the risk of a 50% drop in estimated glomerular filtration rate or kidney failure. However, it is not known if the Prediction Tool can be accurately applied after a period of observation post-biopsy. Using an international multi-ethnic derivation cohort of 2,507 adults with IgAN, we updated the Prediction Tool for use one year after biopsy, and externally validated this in a cohort of 722 adults. The original Prediction Tool applied at one-year without modification had a coefficient of variation (R2) of 55% and 54% and four-year concordance (C statistic) of 0.82 but poor calibration with under-prediction of risk (integrated calibration index (ICI) 1.54 and 2.11, with and without race, respectively). Our updated Prediction Tool had a better model fit with higher R2 (61% and 60%), significant increase in four-year C-statistic (0.87 and 0.86) and better four-year calibration with lower ICI (0.75 and 0.35). On external validation, the updated Prediction Tool had similar R2 (60% and 58%) and four-year C-statistics (both 0.85) compared to the derivation analysis, with excellent four-year calibration (ICI 0.62 and 0.56). This updated Prediction Tool had similar prediction performance when used two years after biopsy. Thus, the original Prediction Tool should be used only at the time of biopsy whereas our updated Prediction Tool can be used for risk stratification one or two years post-biopsy.

Gross hematuria after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination: questionnaire survey in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Recent clinical reports indicate a correlation between gross hematuria after the coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination in patients with glomerulonephritis, especially immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). Furthermore, healthcare workers in Japan were initially vaccinated with an mRNA vaccine from February 17, 2021, and some of them experienced gross hematuria after receiving the vaccination. METHODS: We conducted a web-based survey of the councilor members of the Japanese Society of Nephrology (581 members, 382 facilities) to elucidate the relationship between gross hematuria and COVID-19 vaccination. RESULTS: In the first survey, 27 cases (female: 22, 81.5%) of gross hematuria were reported after receiving a COVID-19 vaccination. Of them, 19 (70.4%) patients were already diagnosed with IgAN at the occurrence of gross hematuria. Proteinuria appeared in eight of the 14 (57.1%) cases with no proteinuria before vaccination and hematuria in five of the seven (71.4%) cases with no hematuria before vaccination. The second survey revealed that a renal biopsy was performed after vaccination in four cases, all of whom were diagnosed with IgAN. Only one case showed a slightly increased serum creatinine level, and no patients progressed to severe renal dysfunction. CONCLUSION: This study clarified the clinical features of gross hematuria after a COVID-19 vaccination. Because there was no obvious progression to severe renal dysfunction, safety of the COVID-19 vaccination is warranted at least in the protocol of inoculation twice.

Quantifying Duration of Proteinuria Remission and Association with Clinical Outcome in IgA Nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: On the basis of findings of observational studies and a meta-analysis, proteinuria reduction has been proposed as a surrogate outcome in IgA nephropathy. How long a reduction in proteinuria needs to be maintained to mitigate the long-term risk of disease progression is unknown. METHODS: In this retrospective multiethnic cohort of adult patients with IgA nephropathy, we defined proteinuria remission as a ≥25% reduction in proteinuria from the peak value after biopsy, and an absolute reduction in proteinuria to <1 g/d. The exposure of interest was the total duration of first remission, treated as a time-varying covariate using longitudinal proteinuria measurements. We used time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression models to quantify the association between the duration of remission and the primary outcome (ESKD or a 50% reduction in eGFR). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 274 of 1864 patients (14.7%) experienced the primary outcome. The relationship between duration of proteinuria remission and outcome was nonlinear. Each 3 months in sustained remission up to approximately 4 years was associated with an additional 9% reduction in the risk of disease progression (hazard ratio [HR], 0.91; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.89 to 0.93). Thereafter, each additional 3 months in remission was associated with a smaller, nonsignificant risk reduction (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.03). These findings were robust to multivariable adjustment and consistent across clinical and histologic subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the use of proteinuria as a surrogate outcome in IgA nephropathy, but additionally demonstrate the value of quantifying the duration of proteinuria remission when estimating the risk of hard clinical endpoints.

Utility of remission criteria for the renal prognosis of IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Novel criteria for the remission of Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) based on an opinion survey of Japanese nephrologists and literature review were proposed in 2013. This single-center, longitudinal retrospective cohort study was conducted to validate this criteria. METHODS: Present study included the IgAN patients diagnosed between 2001 and 2005 in the Juntendo University Hospital. Remission of hematuria was defined as three consecutive dipstick test results of ( -) to ( ±) or a red blood cell count < 5 in urinary sediment per high-power field during at least 6 months. Remission of proteinuria was defined as three consecutive dipstick results of ( -) to ( ±) during at least 6 months. We categorized four groups according to the remission status which was assessed 2 years after the renal biopsy. The primary outcome was a 50% increase in the serum creatinine over the baseline. We evaluated the slope of eGFR decline (mL/min/1.73 m2/year) and a decrease in the eGFR of 30% from baseline eGFR as the secondary outcome, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 74 patients (male: 47.3%, median age: 30 years) were included and were followed for a median of 86.5 months. During the period, forty-one patients achieved neither remission of proteinuria nor hematuria (NR). Twelve patients met the primary study outcome. A survival analysis revealed that the NR had the worst prognosis and the steepest slope of eGFR decline. CONCLUSION: Although further validation in a large cohort is necessary, these novel remission criteria for IgAN patients appear to predict the renal prognosis.

Impact of the number of steroid pulses in tonsillectomy combined with steroid pulse therapy: a nationwide retrospective study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Steroid pulse therapy with tonsillectomy is known as a major treatment for IgA nephropathy (IgAN). However, its protocol was different among institutions and the effects of varying the number of steroid pulses remain unclear. METHODS: From a total of 1,174 IgAN patients in a multicenter retrospective cohort analysis in Japan, 195 patients were treated by tonsillectomy combined with corticosteroid. They were divided into four groups based on the number of administered steroid pulses from 0 to three (TSP0-3), and remission of urinary abnormalities and renal survival until 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level from baseline were analyzed among the four groups and between TSP1 and TSP3. RESULTS: Among the four groups, renal function was relatively good when the estimated glomerular filtration rate was approximately 80-90 mL/min/1.73m2 and proteinuria was relatively mild (< 1.0 g/gCre). The ratio of patients who developed renal dysfunction was < 5% in all groups, and the cumulative renal survival rate by Kaplan-Meier analysis was similar among groups (log-rank test, p = 0.37), despite varying clinical backgrounds and treatments. After adjustment of the background variables between TSP1 and TSP3, the remission rates of urinary abnormalities were similar and the renal survival rate also remained similar (66.8 vs. 85.4%, p = 0.45). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with mild proteinuria and good renal function, the number of steroid pulses did not affect the renal outcome in steroid pulse therapy with tonsillectomy. The adaptation and protocols, such as the number of steroid pulses, should be determined for each IgAN patient's background.

Improving treatment decisions using personalized risk assessment from the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool.

Immunosuppression in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) should be reserved for patients at high-risk of disease progression, which KDIGO guidelines determine based solely on proteinuria 1g or more/day. To investigate if treatment decisions can be more accurately accomplished using individualized risk from the International IgAN Prediction Tool, we simulated allocation of a hypothetical immunosuppression therapy in an international cohort of adults with IgAN. Two decision rules for treatment were applied based on proteinuria of 1g or more/day or predicted risk from the Prediction Tool above a threshold probability. An appropriate decision was defined as immunosuppression allocated to patients experiencing the primary outcome (50% decline in eGFR or ESKD) and withheld otherwise. The net benefit and net reduction in treatment are the proportion of patients appropriately allocated to receive or withhold immunosuppression, adjusted for the harm from inappropriate decisions, calculated for all threshold probabilities from 0-100%. Of 3299 patients followed for 5.1 years, 522 (15.8%) experienced the primary outcome. Treatment allocation based solely on proteinuria of 1g or more/day had a negative net benefit (was harmful) because immunosuppression was increasingly allocated to patients without progressive disease. Compared to using proteinuria, treatment allocation using the Prediction Tool had a larger net benefit up to 23.4% (95% confidence interval 21.5-25.2%) and a larger net reduction in treatment up to 35.1% (32.3-37.8%). Thus, allocation of immunosuppression to high-risk patients with IgAN can be substantially improved using the Prediction Tool compared to using proteinuria.

The association between depressive symptoms and self-rated health among university students: a cross-sectional study in France and Japan.

BACKGROUND: Depressive disorders in University students have risen dramatically in the past few decades to the extent that students' mental health has become a current global public health priority. Obtaining information from University students about their mental health is challenging because of potential embarrassment of disclosing one's concerns and fear of stigmatization. Self-rated health might be a good solution to evaluate mental health state by a simple and neutral indicator. The aim of the study is to investigate the association between depressive symptoms and self-rated health by sex among University students in France and Japan. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted by using two large cohorts of students aged ≥18 years (n = 5655 in Bordeaux, France and n = 17,148 in Kyoto, Japan). Depressive symptoms (PHQ-2 scale), Likert scale of self-rated health, socio-demographic characteristics and health habits were collected through self-administered questionnaires. Multivariate logistic regression models were performed to describe the association between depressive symptoms and other variables including self-rated health, stratified by sex. RESULTS: A high score of PHQ-2 (high depressive symptoms) was associated with poor self-rated health in both cohorts independently of all other variables (OR 2.82, 95%CI 1.99-4.01 in France, OR 7.10, 95%CI 5.76-8.74 in Japan). Although the prevalence of depressive symptoms between sexes was different in French students (males 15.4%, females 25.0%, p < 0.001), it was similar in Japanese students (males 3.5%, females 3.3%, p = 0.466), who reported less depressive symptoms than French students. The association between depressive symptoms and poor self-rated health was greater in Japanese females (OR 12.40, 95%CI 7.74-20.00) than in males (OR 6.30, 95%CI 4.99-7.95), whereas the strength of the association was almost similar in French students (OR 2.17, 95%CI 0.86-5.47 in males, OR 2.98, 95%CI 2.03-4.38 in females). CONCLUSIONS: Depressive symptoms were associated with self-rated health among University students in both countries with slightly differences in sex. Self-rated health would be a simple, reliable and universal indicator for healthcare professionals and University staff to identify students at risk of depression.

Antiproliferative and Antimigration Activities of Beauvericin Isolated from Isaria sp. on Pancreatic Cancer Cells.

This study describes the antiproliferative and antimigration effects of beauvericin from a culture broth of Isaria sp. in human pancreatic cancer cells (PANC-1). Activity-guided fractionation of the EtOAc extract of cultured broth of Isaria sp. RD055140 afforded beauvericin (1), a new isariotin derivative, 7-O-methylisariotin C (2), together with the known isariotin analogs, TK-57-164A (3) and B (4). As a result of the measurement of the cell viability, 1 inhibited cell growth (IC50 = 4.8 µM) of PANC-1 cells. Furthermore, 1 was found to inhibit the migration activity of PANC-1 cells by upregulating the expression of the E-cadherin gene and reducing N-cadherin and Snail genes in a dose-dependent manner (0.1-1 µM). These activities of 1 had lower concentrations than the cytotoxic activity. These findings suggest that 1 can be used as an anticancer agent against human pancreatic carcinoma.

Marylosides A-G, Norcycloartane Glycosides from Leaves of Cymbidium Great Flower 'Marylaurencin'.

Seven novel norcycloartane glycosides, maryloside A-G (1-7), were isolated from the leaves of Cymbidium Great Flower 'Marylaurencin', along with a known norcycloartane glycoside, cymbidoside (8). These structures were determined on the basis of mainly NMR experiments as well as chemical degradation and X-ray crystallographic analysis. The isolated compounds (1-6 and 8) were evaluated for the inhibitory activity on lipopolysaccharide (LPS) and interferon-γ (IFN-γ)-stimulated nitric oxide (NO) production in RAW 264.7 cells. Consequently, 1 and 3 exhibited moderate activity.

Identification of Two Phenanthrene Derivatives from Australasian Allied Species in Genus Dendrobium.

Genus Dendrobium (Orchidaceae) contains numerous species. Phylogenetic analyses based on morphological characteristics and DNA sequences indicated that this genus is divided into two major groups: Asian and Australasian clades. On the other hand, little is known about the phytochemical differences and similarities among the species in each clade. In this study, we selected 18 Dendrobium species (11 from the Asian clade and 7 from the Australasian clade) and constructed HPLC profiles, arrays composed of relative intensity of the chromatographic peaks. Next, orthogonal partial least square discriminant analysis (OPLS-DA) was applied to the profile matrix to classify Dendrobium species into the Asian and Australasian clades in order to identify the peaks that significantly contribute to the class separation. In the end, two phenanthrenes, 4,9-dimethoxyphenanthrene-2,5-diol 1 and 1,5-dimethoxyphenanthrene-2,7-diol 2, which contributed to the class separation, were isolated from the HPLC peaks. The existence of 2 was limited to the genetically related Australasian species.

Proposal of remission criteria for IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: The remission criteria of immunoglobulin A (IgA) nephropathy have varied depending on the clinical study. Therefore, nephrologists cannot make a uniform assessment of treatment outcomes and the standardization of explanations of the condition is difficult in patients with IgA nephropathy. This study aims to propose clinical remission criteria for IgA nephropathy based on a nationwide opinion survey in Japan regarding IgA nephropathy remission/relapse. METHOD: This nationwide survey was sent to 312 teaching facilities of the Japanese Society of Nephrology by Progressive Renal Disease Research, Research on Intractable Disease, from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan. RESULTS: Valid answers were obtained from 193 facilities (61.9 %) (136 internal medicine facilities and 57 pediatric facilities), of which 134 (69.4 %) thought that both hematuria and proteinuria should be used in the remission standards. Approximately half of the survey respondents shared the opinion on standards of negative results for hematuria and proteinuria and the duration and frequency of these conditions. CONCLUSION: In this paper, we propose a standardized set of criteria for defining IgA nephropathy remission: three consecutive negative results over a 6-month period in urinary occult blood tests; urinary sediment red blood cell count of <5/high-power field (hematuria remission); and urinary protein of <0.3 g/day (g/g Cr; proteinuria remission). Clinical remission is defined as cases with both hematuria and proteinuria remission. These consensus-based remission criteria should be verified in future studies. In the meantime, they may be useful in predicting therapeutic outcome in cases of IgA nephropathy.

Serum levels of galactose-deficient immunoglobulin (Ig) A1 and related immune complex are associated with disease activity of IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: The primary abnormal manifestation in immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) is recurring bouts of hematuria with or without proteinuria. Although immunohistochemical analysis of renal biopsy tissue remains the gold standard not only for diagnosis but also for evaluating the activity of IgAN, new sensitive and reasonably specific noninvasive tests are emerging to guide therapeutic strategy applicable to all stages of IgAN. The present study examined serum levels of galactose-deficient IgA1 (Gd-IgA1) and its immune complex (IgA/IgG-IC) as noninvasive markers for the disease activity. METHODS: We enrolled 50 IgAN patients (male 40 %, median age 37 years) showing complete or partial clinical remission after steroid pulse therapy with tonsillectomy (TSP) whose clinical data and serum could be followed up for 3-5 years. RESULTS: Cross-sectional analysis revealed that the degree of hematuria and proteinuria were significantly associated with levels of Gd-IgA1 and levels of IgA/IgG-IC. Longitudinal analysis further showed that from the group of 44 patients with heavy hematuria before TSP, 31 patients showed complete disappearance of hematuria (group A), but the remaining patients did not (group B). Although the levels of Gd-IgA1 and IgA/IgG-IC in the two groups before TSP were similar, percentage decrease of Gd-IgA1 and IgA/IgG-IC levels in group A was significantly higher than in group B. CONCLUSION: Disease activity of IgAN assessed by hematuria and proteinuria correlated with serum levels and changes of Gd-IgA1 and IgA/IgG-IC. These new noninvasive disease activity markers can be useful for future activity scoring system and guiding therapeutic approaches.

2(3H)-Dihydrofranolactone metabolites from Pleosporales sp. NUH322 as anti-amyotrophic lateral sclerosis drugs.

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a devastating motor disease with limited treatment options. A domestic fungal extract library was screened using three assays related to the pathophysiology of ALS with the aim of developing a novel ALS drug. 2(3H)-dihydrofuranolactones 1 and 2, and five known compounds 3-7 were isolated from Pleosporales sp. NUH322 culture media, and their protective activity against the excitotoxicity of ß-N-oxalyl-L-α,ß-diaminopropionic acid (ODAP), an α-amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazolepropionic acid (AMPA)-type glutamatergic agonist, was evaluated under low mitochondrial glutathione levels induced by ethacrynic acid (EA) and low sulfur amino acids using our developed ODAP-EA assay. Additional assays evaluated the recovery from cytotoxicity caused by transfected SOD1-G93A, an ALS-causal gene, and the inhibitory effect against reactive oxygen species (ROS) elevation. The structures of 1 and 2 were elucidated using various spectroscopic methods. We synthesized 1 from D-ribose, and confirmed the absolute structure. Isolated and synthesized 1 displayed higher ODAP-EA activities than the extract and represented its activity. Furthermore, 1 exhibited protective activity against SOD1-G93A-induced toxicity. An ALS mouse model, SOD1-G93A, of both sexes, was treated orally with 1 at pre- and post-symptomatic stages. The latter treatment significantly extended their lifespan (p = 0.03) and delayed motor deterioration (p = 0.001-0.01). Our result suggests that 1 is a promising lead compound for the development of ALS drugs with a new spectrum of action targeting both SOD1-G93A proteopathy and excitotoxicity through its action on the AMPA-type glutamatergic receptor.

Clinicopathological prognostic stratification for proteinuria and kidney survival in IgA nephropathy: a Japanese prospective cohort study.

Background: We require a clinicopathological risk stratification method for immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) to predict kidney outcomes. We examined a renal failure risk group (RF-RG) classification system created following a prior multicentre, retrospective study to determine if RF-RG could predict kidney outcomes. Methods: We collected data from Japanese patients with IgAN registered between 1 April 2005 and 31 August 2015. The primary outcome was a composite 50% increase in serum creatinine from baseline or dialysis induction. The secondary outcomes were times to proteinuria remission (ProR) and haematuria remission (HemR). Results: The enrolled 991 patients from 44 facilities were followed for a median of 5.5 years (interquartile range 2.5-7.5), during which 87 composite events (8.8%) occurred. RF-RG was significantly associated with the primary outcome {hazard ratio [HR] II 2.78 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-6.93], III 7.15 (2.90-17.6), IV 33.4 (14.1-79.0), I as a reference, P < .001}.The discrimination performance was good [C-statistic 0.81 (95% CI 0.76-0.86)] and the time-dependent C-statistics exceeded 0.8 over 10 years. Among the 764 patients with proteinuria and 879 patients with haematuria at baseline, 515 and 645 patients showed ProR and HemR, respectively. ProR was significantly less frequent in patients with advanced disease [subdistribution HR: II 0.79 (95% CI 0.67-0.94), III 0.53 (0.41-0.66), IV 0.15 (0.09-0.23), I as a reference, P < .001]. We also observed an association between HemR and RF-RG. Conclusions: RF-RG demonstrated good predictive ability for kidney outcomes.

Gross Hematuria after the COVID-19 mRNA Vaccination: Nationwide Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: In the past three years, cases of gross hematuria (GH) after the vaccination for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in IgA nephropathy (IgAN) patients have been frequently reported worldwide. However, the post-event renal prognosis of these patients, their clinical backgrounds, and underlying mechanisms remain unknown. Therefore, we conducted a nationwide multicenter prospective cohort study in Japan. METHODS: We analyzed laboratory findings at the time of the first presentation to the hospital, and 3 and 6 months after in patients with GH after the vaccination, and histopathological findings in their kidney biopsy specimens. Moreover, changes in pathological biomarkers of IgAN such as galactose-deficient IgA1 (Gd-IgA1) and its immune complexes (ICs) were also evaluated. RESULTS: During the study period, 127 newly presenting with GH after the vaccination were enrolled, with a clear female bias (73.2%). GH was observed after the second or subsequent vaccinations in most patients (92.9%). Of the 37 patients undergoing kidney biopsy prior to the vaccination, 36 patients had been diagnosed with IgAN/IgA vasculitis (IgAV). In remaining 90 patients, 69 of the 70 who newly underwent kidney biopsy were diagnosed with IgAN (N=67)/IgAV (N=2). Their histopathology did not show a high incidence of acute lesions such as endocapillary hypercellularity and crescentic lesions. Most cases showed a temporary increase in proteinuria, but no sustained worsening in renal function. Among the biomarkers measured, serum Gd-IgA1 and ICs were comparable throughout the observation period, however, only urinary Gd-IgA1 was increased at the time of GH. CONCLUSIONS: We found that GH after the vaccination is more likely to occur in IgAN/IgAV patients, with a female bias, but without progressive exacerbation of renal function. Although further investigation is needed regarding causal relationship between vaccination and GH, this study provides many insights into the molecular mechanisms of GH.