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OBJECTIVE: To risk-adjust the Potential Inpatient Complication (PIC) measure set and propose a method to identify large deviations between observed and expected PIC counts. DATA SOURCES: Acute inpatient stays from the Premier Healthcare Database from January 1, 2019 to December 31, 2021. STUDY DESIGN: In 2014, the PIC list was developed to identify a broader set of potential complications that can occur as a result of care decisions. Risk adjustment for 111 PIC measures is performed across 3 age-based strata. Using patient-level risk factors and PIC occurrences, PIC-specific probabilities of occurrence are estimated through multivariate logistic regression models. Poisson Binomial cumulative mass function estimates identify deviations between observed and expected PIC counts across levels of patient-visit aggregation. Area under the curve (AUC) estimates are used to demonstrate PIC predictive performance in an 80:20 derivation-validation split framework. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: We used N=3,363,149 administrative hospitalizations between 2019 and 2021 from the Premier Healthcare Database. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: PIC-specific model predictive performance was strong across PICs and age strata. Average area under the curve estimates across PICs were 0.95 (95% CI: 0.93-0.96), 0.91 (95% CI: 0.90-0.93), and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.89-0.91) for the neonate and infant, pediatric, and adult strata, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed method provides a consistent quality metric that adjusts for the population's case mix. Age-specific risk stratification further addresses currently ignored heterogeneity in PIC prevalence across age groups. Finally, the proposed aggregation method identifies large PIC-specific deviations between observed and expected counts, flagging areas with a potential need for quality improvements.
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Pacientes Internos , Ajuste de Riesgo , Adulto , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Niño , Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades , Hospitalización , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The associations between England's incentivised primary care-based diabetes prevention activities and hard clinical endpoints remain unclear. We aimed to examine the associations between attainment of primary care indicators and incident diabetic retinopathy (DR) among people with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: A historical cohort (n = 60,094) of people aged ≥ 18 years with type 2 diabetes and no DR at baseline was obtained from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). Exposures included attainment of the Quality and Outcomes Framework (QOF) HbA1c (≤ 7.5% or 59 mmol/mol), blood pressure (≤ 140/80 mmHg), and cholesterol (≤ 5 mmol/L) indicators, and number of National Diabetes Audit (NDA) care processes completed (categorised as 0-3, 4-6, or 7-9), in 2010-2011. Outcomes were time to development of DR and sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR). Nearest neighbour propensity score matching was undertaken and Cox proportional hazards models then fitted using the matched samples. Concordance statistics were calculated for each model. RESULTS: 8263 DR and 832 STDR diagnoses were observed over mean follow-up periods of 3.5 (SD 2.1) and 3.8 (SD 2.0) years, respectively. HbA1c and blood pressure (BP) indicator attainment were associated with lower rates of DR (adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) 0.94 (95% CI 0.89-0.99) and 0.87 (0.83-0.92), respectively), whereas cholesterol indicator attainment was not (aHR 1.03 (0.97-1.10)). All QOF indicators were associated with lower rates of STDR (aHRs 0.74 (0.62-0.87) for HbA1c, 0.78 (0.67-0.91) for BP, and 0.82 (0.67-0.99) for cholesterol). Completion of 7-9 vs. 0-3 NDA processes was associated with fewer STDR diagnoses (aHR 0.72 (0.55-0.94)). CONCLUSIONS: Attainment of key primary care indicators is associated with lower incidence of DR and STDR among patients with type 2 diabetes in England.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Retinopatía Diabética , Estudios de Cohortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Retinopatía Diabética/diagnóstico , Retinopatía Diabética/epidemiología , Humanos , Incidencia , Atención Primaria de Salud , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
AIM: To examine the impact of attainment of primary care diabetes clinical indicators on progression to sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR) among those with mild non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR). MATERIALS AND METHODS: An historical cohort study of 18,978 adults (43.63% female) diagnosed with type 2 diabetes before 1 April 2010 and mild NPDR before 1 April 2011 was conducted. The data were obtained from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink during 2010-2017, provided by 330 primary care practices in England. Exposures included attainment of the Quality and Outcomes Framework HbA1c (≤59 mmol/mol [≤7.5%]), blood pressure (≤140/80 mmHg) and cholesterol (≤5 mmol/L) indicators in the financial year 2010-2011, as well as the number of National Diabetes Audit processes completed in 2010-2011. The outcome was time to incident STDR. Nearest neighbour propensity score matching was undertaken, and univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were then fitted using the matched samples. Concordance statistics were calculated for each model. RESULTS: A total of 1037 (5.5%) STDR diagnoses were observed over a mean follow-up of 3.6 (SD 2.0) years. HbA1c, blood pressure and cholesterol indicator attainment were associated with lower rates of STDR (adjusted hazard ratios [95% CI] 0.64 [0.55-0.74; p < .001], 0.83 [0.72-0.94; p = .005] and 0.80 [0.66-0.96; p = .015], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide support for meeting appropriate indicators for the management of type 2 diabetes in primary care to bring a range of benefits, including improved health outcomes-such as a reduction in the risk of STDR-for people with type 2 diabetes.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Retinopatía Diabética , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/terapia , Retinopatía Diabética/epidemiología , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Atención Primaria de SaludRESUMEN
Electrical energy is generated in different ways, each located at some specific geographical area, and with different impact on the environment. Different sectors require heterogeneous rates of energy delivery, due to economic requirements. An important problem to solve is to determine how much energy must be sent from each supplier to satisfy each demand. Besides, the energy distribution process may have to satisfy ecological, technological, or economic cost constraints.
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BACKGROUND: Colombia is a developing nation in need for efficient resource administration in fields such as health care, where innovation is constant. Since the introduction of laparoscopic appendectomy (LA), direct costs have been increasing without definitive results in terms of clinical outcomes. The objective of this study is to determine the cost-effectiveness of open appendectomy (OA) versus LA and thereby help surgeons in clinical decision-making in a limited resource setting. METHODS: A retrospective cost-effectiveness analysis comparing OA versus multiport LA during 2013 in a third-level university hospital (Hospital Universitario San Ignacio) in Bogota, Colombia was performed. Effectiveness was determined as the number of days in additional length of stay (LOS) due to the complications saved. A total of 377 clinical histories were collected by the authors and analyzed for the following variables: surgery type, conversion to open laparotomy, complications (surgical site infection, reintervention, and readmission), hospital LOS, and total cost of hospitalization for initial surgery and subsequent complications-related hospitalizations. The total accumulative costs and LOS for OA and LA plus complications were estimated. The cost-effectiveness threshold was set at US $46 (139,000 Colombian Peso [COP]), the cost of an additional day in LOS. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated for OA as the comparator and LA as the intervention. RESULTS: The number of LA was 130 and of OA was 247. The two groups were balanced in terms of population characteristics. Complication rate was 13.7 % for OA and 10.4% for LA (P < 0.05), and LOS was 2 days for LA and OA (P = 0.9). No conversions from LA to OA were recorded. The total costs for complications for OA were US $8523 (25,569,220 COP) and US 3385 (10,157,758 COP) for LA. Cumulative costs including cost of surgery and complications and LOS for OA were US $65,753 (197,259,310 COP) and 297, respectively. Similarly, for LA were US $66,425 (199,276,948 COP) and 271, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was US $25.86 (77,601 COP) making LA a cost-effective alternative with a difference of US $20.76 (62,299 COP) under the cost-effectiveness threshold. CONCLUSIONS: LA is a cost-effective alternative over OA with an increasing cost of $25.85 per day of additional hospitalization due to complications saved. This is accounting the low cost of surgical interventions and complications in developing nations such as Colombia.
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Apendicectomía/economía , Laparoscopía/economía , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Países en Desarrollo , Femenino , Costos de Hospital , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Nowadays, Physical Web together with the increase in the use of mobile devices, Global Positioning System (GPS), and Social Networking Sites (SNS) have caused users to share enriched information on the Web such as their tourist experiences. Therefore, an area that has been significantly improved by using the contextual information provided by these technologies is tourism. In this way, the main goals of this work are to propose and develop an algorithm focused on the recommendation of Smart Point of Interaction (Smart POI) for a specific user according to his/her preferences and the Smart POIs' context. Hence, a novel Hybrid Recommendation Algorithm (HyRA) is presented by incorporating an aggregation operator into the user-based Collaborative Filtering (CF) algorithm as well as including the Smart POIs' categories and geographical information. For the experimental phase, two real-world datasets have been collected and preprocessed. In addition, one Smart POIs' categories dataset was built. As a result, a dataset composed of 16 Smart POIs, another constituted by the explicit preferences of 200 respondents, and the last dataset integrated by 13 Smart POIs' categories are provided. The experimental results show that the recommendations suggested by HyRA are promising.
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Risk neutral measures are defined such that the basic random assets in a portfolio are martingales. Hence, when the market model is complete, valuation of other financial instruments is a relatively straightforward task when those basic random assets constitute their underlying asset. To determine the risk neutral measure, it is assumed that the current prices of the basic assets are known exactly. However, oftentimes all we know about the current price, or that of a derivative having it as underlying, is a bid-ask range. The question then arises as to how to determine the risk neutral measure from that information. We may want to determine risk neutral measures from that information to use it, for example, to price other derivatives on the same asset. In this paper we propose an extended version of the maximum entropy method to carry out that task. This approach provides a novel solution to this problem, which is computationally simple and fast.
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The etiology of prostate cancer is not fully elucidated. Among environmental risk factors, endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) deserve special mention, as they alter metabolic pathways involved in hormone-dependent cancers. Epidemiological evidence assessing the carcinogenicity of EDCs is scarce. The aim of this study was to analyze the relationship between exposure to parabens and benzophenones and prostate cancer risk. We conducted a case-cohort study nested within the EPIC-Spain prospective multi-center cohort. Study population comprised 1,838 sub-cohort participants and 467 non-sub-cohort prostate cancer cases. Serum concentrations of four parabens and two benzophenones were assessed at recruitment. Covariates included age, physical activity, tobacco smoking, alcohol consumption, body mass index, educational level and diabetes. Borgan II weighted Cox proportional hazard models stratified by study center were applied. Median follow-up time was 18.6 years (range = 1.0-21.7 years). Most sub-cohort participants reached primary education at most (65.5%), were overweight (57.7%) and had a low level of physical activity (51.3%). Detection percentages varied widely, being lowest for butyl-paraben (11.3%) and highest for methyl-paraben (80.7%), which also showed the highest geometric mean (0.95 ng/ml). Cases showed significantly higher concentrations of methyl-paraben (p = 0.041) and propyl-paraben (p < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, methyl-paraben - log-transformed (HR = 1.07; 95%CI = 1.01-1.12) and categorized into tertiles (HR = 1.60 for T3; 95%CI = 1.16-2.20) -, butyl-paraben - linear (HR = 1.19; 95%CI = 1.14-1.23) and log-transformed (HR = 1.17; 95%CI = 1.01-1.35) - and total parabens - log-transformed (HR = 1.09; 95%CI = 1.02-1.17) and categorized into tertiles (HR = 1.62 for T3; 95%CI = 1.10-2.40) - were associated with an increased prostate cancer risk. In this study, higher concentrations of methyl-, butyl-, and total parabens were positively associated with prostate cancer risk. Further research is warranted to confirm these findings.
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Disruptores Endocrinos , Neoplasias de la Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Estudios de Cohortes , Parabenos/análisis , Estudios Prospectivos , Benzofenonas , España/epidemiología , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisisRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: A variety of industry composite indices are employed within health research in risk-adjusted outcome measures and to assess health-related social needs. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the relationships among risk adjustment, clinical outcomes, and composite indices of social risk have become relevant topics for research and healthcare operations. Despite the widespread use of these indices, composite indices are often comprised of correlated variables and therefore may be affected by information duplicity of their underlying risk factors. METHODS: A novel approach is proposed to assign outcome- and disease group-driven weights to social risk variables to form disease and outcome-specific social risk indices and apply the approach to the county-level Centers for Disease Control and Prevention social vulnerability factors for demonstration. The method uses a subset of principal components reweighed through Poisson rate regressions while controlling for county-level patient mix. The analyses use 6,135,302 unique patient encounters from 2021 across seven disease strata. RESULTS: The reweighed index shows reduced root mean squared error in explaining county-level mortality in five of the seven disease strata and equivalent performance in the remaining strata compared with the reduced root mean squared error using the current Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Social Vulnerability Index as a benchmark. CONCLUSIONS: A robust method is provided, designed to overcome challenges with current social risk indices, by accounting for redundancy and assigning more meaningful disease and outcome-specific variable weights.
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COVID-19 , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Pandemias/prevención & control , Benchmarking , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , IndustriasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The effect of teaching hospital status on cardiovascular surgery has been of common interest in recent decades, yet its magnitude on heart valve replacement is still a matter of debate. Given the ethical and practical unfeasibility of randomly assigning a patient to such an exposure, we use the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) to assess this marginal effect on the survival of Colombian patients who underwent a first heart valve replacement between 2016 and 2019. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted based on administrative records. The time-to-death event and cumulative incidences of death, readmission, and reoperation are presented as outcomes. An artificial sample is configured through IPTW, adjusting for sociodemographic variables, comorbidities, technique, and intervention weight. RESULTS: Of a sample of 3,517 patients, 1,051 (29.9%) were operated on in a teaching hospital. The median age was 65.0 (18.1-91.5), 38.5% of patients were ≤60, and 6.9% were ≥80. The cumulative incidences of death at 30, 90 days, and one year were 5.9%, 8%, and 10.9%, respectively. Furthermore, 23.5% of the patients were readmitted within 90 days and 3.6% underwent reintervention within one year. The odds of 30-day mortality are lower for patients operated in a teaching hospital (OR 0.51; 95% CI 0.29-0.92); however, no effect on survival was identified in terms of time-to-event of death (HR 1.07; 95%CI 0.78-1.46). CONCLUSIONS: After IPTW, the odds of 30-day mortality are lower for patients operated in a teaching hospital. There was no effect on survival, 90-day or one-year mortality, 90-day readmission, or one-year reintervention. Together, we offer an opening for investigating an exposure that has yet to be explored in Latin America with potential value to understand teaching hospitals as the essential nature of reality of an academic-clinical synergy.
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Hospitales de Enseñanza , Anciano , Humanos , Colombia/epidemiología , Probabilidad , Reoperación , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios de CohortesRESUMEN
Introduction: Music is known to elicit strong emotions in listeners, and, if primed appropriately, can give rise to specific and observable crossmodal correspondences. This study aimed to assess two primary objectives: (1) identifying crossmodal correspondences emerging from music-induced emotions, and (2) examining the predictability of music-induced emotions based on the association of music with visual shapes and materials. Methods: To achieve this, 176 participants were asked to associate visual shapes and materials with the emotion classes of the Geneva Music-Induced Affect Checklist scale (GEMIAC) elicited by a set of musical excerpts in an online experiment. Results: Our findings reveal that music-induced emotions and their underlying core affect (i.e., valence and arousal) can be accurately predicted by the joint information of musical excerpt and features of visual shapes and materials associated with these music-induced emotions. Interestingly, valence and arousal induced by music have higher predictability than discrete GEMIAC emotions. Discussion: These results demonstrate the relevance of crossmodal correspondences in studying music-induced emotions. The potential applications of these findings in the fields of sensory interactions design, multisensory experiences and art, as well as digital and sensory marketing are briefly discussed.
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OBJECTIVES: More robust attribution methods are necessary to understand physician-level variation in quality of care across risk-adjusted inpatient measures. We address a gap in the literature involving attribution of physicians to inpatient stays using administrative claims data, in which rule-based methods often inadequately attribute physicians. STUDY DESIGN: Methodology comparison study using a cross-section of inpatient stays. METHODS: A novel approach is proposed in which physicians' relative degrees of responsibility for inpatient stays are expressed through physician-specific attribution ratios informed by existing patient characteristics and comorbidities. Attribution results are compared with the rule-based benchmark method for 7 CMS-defined clinical cohorts, including a COVID-19 cohort. RESULTS: Using 6,835,460 unique patient encounters during 2020 (n = 136,339 in out-of-sample cohort), the proposed approach favored specialists generally considered responsible for primary clinical conditions when compared with the benchmark. The most salient shift within the acute myocardial infarction (+17.0%), heart failure (+20.2%), and coronary artery bypass graft (+4.0%) cohorts was toward the cardiovascular diseases specialty, and the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (+24.0%) and pneumonia (+16.2%) cohorts resulted in a shift toward the pulmonary diseases specialty. The COVID-19 cohort resulted in considerable shifts toward infectious diseases and pulmonary diseases specialties (+17.4% and +14.1%, respectively). The stroke cohort experienced a considerable shift toward the neurology specialty (+42.2%). CONCLUSIONS: We provide a robust method to attribute physicians to patients, which is a necessary tool to understand physician-level variation in quality of care within the inpatient acute care setting. The proposed method provides consistency across facilities and eliminates unattributed patients resulting from unsatisfied business rules.
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COVID-19 , Medicina , Infarto del Miocardio , Médicos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Humanos , Pacientes InternosRESUMEN
Paratuberculosis is a disease caused by Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis (MAP). It is of great interest to better understand the proteins involved in the pathogenicity of this organism in order to be able to identify potential therapeutic targets and design new vaccines. The protein of interest-MAP3773c-was investigated, and molecular modeling in silico, docking, cloning, expression, purification, and partial characterization of the recombinant protein were achieved. In the in silico study, it was shown that MAP3773c of MAP has 34% sequence similarity with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) FurB, which is a zinc uptake regulator (Zur) protein. The docking data showed that MAP3773c exhibits two metal-binding sites. The presence of structural Zn2+ in the purified protein was confirmed by SDS-PAGE PAR staining. The purification showed one band that corresponded to a monomer, which was confirmed by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS). The presence of a monomer was verified by analyzing the native protein structure through BN-SDS-PAGE (Native Blue (BN) Two-Dimensional Electrophoresis) and BN-Western blotting. The MAP3773c protein contains structural zinc. In conclusion, our results show that MAP3773c displays the features of a Fur-type protein with two metal-binding sites, one of them coordinating structural Zn2+.
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INTRODUCTION: England has invested considerably in diabetes care through such programs as the Quality and Outcomes Framework (QOF) and National Diabetes Audit (NDA). Associations between program indicators and clinical endpoints, such as amputation, remain unclear. We examined associations between primary care indicators and incident lower limb amputation. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This population-based retrospective cohort study, spanning 2010-2017, was comprised of adults in England with type 2 diabetes and no history of lower limb amputation. Exposures at baseline (2010-2011) were attainment of QOF glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), blood pressure and total cholesterol indicators, and number of NDA processes completed. Propensity score matching was performed and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for disease-related, comorbidity, lifestyle, and sociodemographic factors, were fitted using matched samples for each exposure. RESULTS: 83 688 individuals from 330 English primary care practices were included. Mean follow-up was 3.9 (SD 2.0) years, and 521 (0.6%) minor or major amputations were observed (1.62 per 1000 person-years). HbA1c and cholesterol indicator attainment were associated with considerably lower risks of minor or major amputation (adjusted HRs; 95% CIs) 0.61 (0.49 to 0.74; p<0.0001) and 0.67 (0.53 to 0.86; p=0.0017), respectively). No evidence of association between blood pressure indicator attainment and amputation was observed (adjusted HR 0.88 (0.73 to 1.06; p=0.1891)). Substantially lower amputation rates were observed among those completing a greater number of NDA care processes (adjusted HRs 0.45 (0.24 to 0.83; p=0.0106), 0.67 (0.47 to 0.97; p=0.0319), and 0.38 (0.20 to 0.70; p=0.0022) for comparisons of 4-6 vs 0-3, 7-9 vs 0-3, and 7-9 vs 4-6 processes, respectively). Results for major-only amputations were similar for HbA1c and blood pressure, though cholesterol indicator attainment was non-significant. CONCLUSIONS: Comprehensive primary care-based secondary prevention may offer considerable protection against diabetes-related amputation. This has important implications for diabetes management and medical decision-making for patients, as well as type 2 diabetes quality improvement programs.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Adulto , Amputación Quirúrgica , Estudios de Cohortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Humanos , Extremidad Inferior , Atención Primaria de Salud , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: England has invested considerably in diabetes care over recent years through programmes such as the Quality and Outcomes Framework and National Diabetes Audit. However, associations between specific programme indicators and key clinical endpoints, such as emergency hospital admissions, remain unclear. We aimed to examine whether attainment of Quality and Outcomes Framework and National Diabetes Audit primary care diabetes indicators is associated with diabetes-related, cardiovascular, and all-cause emergency hospital admissions. DESIGN: Historical cohort study. SETTING: A total of 330 English primary care practices, 2010-2017, using UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 84,441 adults with type 2 diabetes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was emergency hospital admission for any cause. Secondary outcomes were (1) diabetes-related and (2) cardiovascular-related emergency admission. RESULTS: There were 130,709 all-cause emergency admissions, 115,425 diabetes-related admissions and 105,191 cardiovascular admissions, corresponding to unplanned admission rates of 402, 355 and 323 per 1000 patient-years, respectively. All-cause hospital admission rates were lower among those who met HbA1c and cholesterol indicators (incidence rate ratio = 0.91; 95% CI 0.89-0.92; p < 0.001 and 0.87; 95% CI 0.86-0.89; p < 0.001), respectively), with similar findings for diabetes and cardiovascular admissions. Patients who achieved the Quality and Outcomes Framework blood pressure target had lower cardiovascular admission rates (incidence rate ratio = 0.98; 95% CI 0.96-0.99; p = 0.001). Strong associations were found between completing 7-9 (vs. either 4-6 or 0-3) National Diabetes Audit processes and lower rates of all admission outcomes (p-values < 0.001), and meeting all nine National Diabetes Audit processes had significant associations with reductions in all types of emergency admissions by 22% to 26%. Meeting the HbA1c or cholesterol Quality and Outcomes Framework indicators, or completing 7-9 National Diabetes Audit processes, was also associated with longer time-to-unplanned all-cause, diabetes and cardiovascular admissions. CONCLUSIONS: Attaining Quality and Outcomes Framework-defined diabetes intermediate outcome thresholds, and comprehensive completion of care processes, may translate into considerable reductions in emergency hospital admissions. Out-of-hospital diabetes care optimisation is needed to improve implementation of core interventions and reduce unplanned admissions.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/terapia , Servicios Médicos de Urgencia , Hospitalización , Hospitales , Motivación , Atención Primaria de Salud/normas , Indicadores de Calidad de la Atención de Salud , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Presión Sanguínea , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/sangre , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/terapia , Colesterol/sangre , Estudios de Cohortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangre , Urgencias Médicas , Inglaterra , Femenino , Hemoglobina Glucada/metabolismo , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Auditoría Médica , Persona de Mediana Edad , Admisión del PacienteRESUMEN
AIMS: To describe associations between incentivised primary care clinical and process indicators and mortality, among patients with type 2 diabetes in England. METHODS: A historical 2010-2017 cohort (n = 84,441 adults) was derived from the UK CPRD. Exposures included English Quality and Outcomes Framework glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c; 7.5%, 59 mmol/mol), blood pressure (140/80 mmHg), and cholesterol (5 mmol/L) indicator attainment; and number of National Diabetes Audit care processes completed, in 2010-11. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Over median 3.9 (SD 2.0) years follow-up, 10,711 deaths occurred. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) indicated 12% (95% CI 8-16%; p < 0.0001) and 16% (11-20%; p < 0.0001) lower mortality rates among those who attained the HbA1c and cholesterol indicators, respectively. Rates were also lower among those who completed 7-9 vs. 0-3 or 4-6 care processes (aHRs 0.76 (0.71-0.82), p < 0.0001 and 0.61 (0.53-0.71), p < 0.0001, respectively), but did not obviously vary by blood pressure indicator attainment (aHR 1.04, 1.00-1.08; p = 0.0811). CONCLUSIONS: Cholesterol, HbA1c and comprehensive process indicator attainment, was associated with enhanced survival. Review of community-based care provision could help reduce the gap between indicator standards and current outcomes, and in turn enhance life expectancy.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/mortalidad , Motivación , Atención Primaria de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Presión Sanguínea , Colesterol/sangre , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/terapia , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Femenino , Hemoglobina Glucada/análisis , Humanos , Masculino , Pronóstico , Reembolso de Incentivo , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tasa de SupervivenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Large intracardiac bronchogenic cysts are rare mediastinal masses. However, they must always be considered in the differential diagnosis of heart failure with abnormal chest X-ray. CASE PRESENTATION: We present a 60-year-old female patient with de novo atrial fibrillation, heart failure and a very large intrapericardial mass. The patient underwent successful surgical resection, with pathological findings confirming a bronchogenic cyst. CONCLUSIONS: Large bronchogenic cysts located intrapericardially are very rare. However, they should be included in the differential diagnosis of patients presenting with atrial fibrillation and heart failure with abnormal radiologic studies.
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Fibrilación Atrial/etiología , Quiste Broncogénico/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/complicaciones , Pericardio/diagnóstico por imagen , Anciano , Fibrilación Atrial/complicaciones , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico , Quiste Broncogénico/complicaciones , Quiste Broncogénico/cirugía , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Femenino , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Humanos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Radiografía Torácica , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos XRESUMEN
While Scholastic Assessment Test (SAT) scores are becoming less widespread than in previous years, they continue to be used as an input by many higher education institutions in the United States to select which students to accept among applicants. This paper explores the association between average SAT scores of incoming undergraduate cohorts and major completions of graduating student cohorts. College Scorecard data from 2019 is collected from all U.S. undergraduate degree-granting, higher education institutions reporting average SAT scores of incoming cohorts (n=1,389). A multivariate beta regression approach, which allows for overdispersion and unit-interval responses, is proposed to explore associations between graduation rates by major (explanatory variables) and SAT percentiles of new student cohorts (response). Forty-nine percent of the variability in average SAT percentiles of incoming cohorts can be explained by the graduation proportions by major within institutions. Results show strong concurrent positive associations between average SAT percentiles of incoming cohorts and proportions of students graduating in: STEM fields; ethnic, cultural, and gender studies; social science; or languages, among others (p<0.01). A negative association is found between average SAT percentiles of incoming cohorts and graduating cohorts in degrees like security law enforcement or parks & recreation and fitness, as well as some traditional major choices, such as theology and psychology (p<0.01). Results are consistent by institution size, as well as public versus private, across most clusters. A statistical framework is introduced for analysis of the expected impact on average SAT percentiles of future student cohorts derived from changes in proportions by major of graduating student cohorts. Higher education institutions can benefit from the proposed methodology by adjusting their degree offerings to their target cohorts. While illustrated using SAT scores due to their historical prevalence and availability across institutions, the proposed approach can utilize any alternative quantitative measure of student preferred characteristics.
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INTRODUCTION: Research productivity has been linked to a country's intellectual and economic wealth. Further analysis is needed to assess the association between the distribution of research across disciplines and the economic status of countries. METHODS: By using 55 years of data, spanning 1962 to 2017, of Elsevier publications across a large set of research disciplines and countries globally, this manuscript explores the relationship and evolution of relative research productivity across different disciplines through a network analysis. It also explores the associations of those with economic productivity categories, as measured by the World Bank economic classification. Additional analysis of discipline similarities is possible by exploring the cross-country evolution of those disciplines. RESULTS: Results show similarities in the relative importance of research disciplines among most high-income countries, with larger idiosyncrasies appearing among the remaining countries. This group of high-income countries shows similarities in the dynamics of the relative distribution of research productivity over time, forming a stable research productivity cluster. Lower income countries form smaller, more independent and evolving clusters, and differ significantly from each other and from higher income countries in the relative importance of their research emphases. Country-based similarities in research productivity profiles also appear to be influenced by geographical proximity. CONCLUSIONS: This new form of analyses of research productivity, and its relation to economic status, reveals novel insights to the dynamics of the economic and research structure of countries. This allows for a deeper understanding of the role a country's research structure may play in shaping its economy, and also identification of benchmark resource allocations across disciplines for developing countries.
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Eficiencia , Investigación , Países Desarrollados/economía , Países Desarrollados/estadística & datos numéricos , Países en Desarrollo/economía , Países en Desarrollo/estadística & datos numéricos , Estatus Económico , Geografía/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Publicaciones/economía , Publicaciones/estadística & datos numéricos , Publicaciones/tendencias , Investigación/economía , Investigación/estadística & datos numéricos , Investigación/tendencias , Comunicación Académica/economía , Comunicación Académica/estadística & datos numéricos , Comunicación Académica/tendenciasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Increased interest about gun ownership and gun control are oftentimes driven by informational shocks in a common factor, namely violent attacks, and the perceived need for higher levels of safety. A causal depiction of the societal interest around violent attacks, gun control and gun purchase, both synchronous and over time, should be a stepping stone for designing future strategies regarding the safety concerns of the U.S. population. OBJECTIVE: Examine the causal relationships between unexpected increases in population interest about violent attacks, gun control, and gun purchase. METHODS: Relationships among online searches for information about violent attacks, gun control, and gun purchase occurring between 2004 and 2017 in the U.S. are explained through a novel structural vector autoregressive time series model to account for simultaneous causal relationships. RESULTS: More than 20% of the stationary variability in each of gun control and gun purchase interest can be explained by the remaining factors. Gun control interest appears to be caused, in part, by violent attacks informational shocks, yet violent attacks, although impactful, have a lesser effect than gun control debate on long-term gun ownership interests. CONCLUSIONS: The form in which gun control has been introduced in public debate may have further increased gun ownership interest. Reactive gun purchase interest may be an unintended side effect of gun control debate. U.S. policymakers may need to rethink current approaches to promotion of gun control, and whether societal policy debate without policy outcomes could be having unintended effects.