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BACKGROUND: Despite the introduction of rubella-containing vaccine into routine immunization in 1977, rubella has not been eliminated in Japan. This study aimed to validate the immunization strategy and to highlight the crucial elements of elimination program. METHODS: We scrutinized cases of rubella and congenital rubella syndrome (CRS). Additionally, we analyzed the national vaccination coverage, seroprevalence, and number of maternal rubella-related spontaneous or artificial fetal deaths. RESULTS: The shift from selective to universal immunization significantly reduced rubella cases coupled with increased seroprevalence in children. However, rubella resurged in 2012-2013 and 2018-2019, which was virologically and serologically confirmed to be associated with imported rubella virus (RuV) and susceptible males. Although the disease burden of CRS may have been suppressed in the past by the large number of spontaneous or artificial fetal deaths, the incidence rate of CRS was comparable to that of the 1960s to 1980s. Cases of breakthrough infection and CRS were identified in females who were considered to have a history of single-dose vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Even with universal immunization, future epidemics and severe outcomes cannot be prevented unless immunization gaps are closed. Furthermore, CRS and breakthrough infection are not completely prevented by single-dose vaccination, indicating the need for second-dose vaccination.
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Sapovirus (SaV) is a nonenveloped RNA virus that causes acute gastroenteritis in humans. Although SaV is a clinically important pathogen in children, an effective vaccine is currently unavailable. The capsid protein VP1 of SaVs forms the outer shell of the virion and is highly diverse, as often seen in the virion-surface proteins of RNA viruses, creating an obstacle for vaccine development. We here report a unique phenomenon pertaining to the variation of SaV VP1. Phylogenetic and information entropy analyses using full-length VP1 sequences from a public database consistently showed that the amino acid sequences of the VP1 protein have been highly conserved over more than 40 years in the major epidemic genotype GI.1 but not in GI.2. Structural modeling showed that even the VP1 P2 subdomain, which is arranged on the outermost shell of the virion and presumably exposed to anti-SaV antibodies, remained highly homogeneous in GI.1 but not in GI.2. These results suggest strong evolutionary constraints against amino acid changes in the P2 subdomain of the SaV GI.1 capsid and illustrate a hitherto unappreciated mechanism, i.e., preservation of the VP1 P2 subdomain, involved in SaV survival. Our findings could have important implications for the development of an anti-SaV vaccine.
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Sapovirus , Vacunas , Niño , Humanos , Sapovirus/genética , Proteínas de la Cápside/genética , Filogenia , Aminoácidos/genética , Genotipo , HecesRESUMEN
Since the elimination of the measles virus, patients with vaccination records for the measles-containing vaccine have increased in Japan. According to several studies, the transmission risk from previously immunized patients, especially those with secondary vaccine failure (SVF), is lower than that from those with primary measles infections. Immunological features of SVF were identified per specific immunoglobulin G (IgG) induction with high avidity and high plaque reduction neutralization antibody concentration. However, the virological features of SVF have not been well investigated. To examine not only immunological but also virological differences between SVF and immunologically naive patients, throat swabs and blood and urine specimens of 25 patients with confirmed measles infection after an outbreak at the Kansai International Airport in 2016 were analyzed. Patients were categorized as naive (n = 3) or with SVF (n = 22) based on measles-specific IgG antibody concentrations and their avidity. Virus isolation and quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction were performed to quantify the viral load in clinical specimens and estimate the infectivity in each specimen. The number of viral genome copies in the blood specimens of those with SVF was significantly different and approximately 1 out of 100 of that in immunologically naive patients. However, genome copy numbers in throat swabs and urine specimens were not significantly different between the groups. The virus was isolated only from those in the naive group. Our study indicated low transmission risk of the virus in patients with SVF.
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Aeropuertos , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Brotes de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricos , Vacuna Antisarampión/inmunología , Sarampión/epidemiología , Sarampión/transmisión , Adulto , Anticuerpos Neutralizantes/sangre , Femenino , Genoma Viral , Humanos , Inmunización Secundaria/estadística & datos numéricos , Inmunoglobulina G/sangre , Inmunoglobulina M/sangre , Japón , Masculino , Sarampión/sangre , Sarampión/inmunología , Virus del Sarampión/genética , Virus del Sarampión/inmunología , Virus del Sarampión/aislamiento & purificación , Vacunación , Carga Viral , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Since the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, laboratory diagnosis has mainly been conducted using reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Detecting the presence of an infectious virus in the collected sample is essential to analyze if a person can transmit infectious severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). However, there have been no quantitative investigations conducted for infectious SARS-CoV-2 in clinical samples. Therefore, in the present study, a rapid and simple focus-forming assay using the peroxidase-antiperoxidase technique was developed to quantify infectious SARS-CoV-2 titers in 119 samples (n = 52, nasopharyngeal swabs [NPS]; n = 67, saliva) from patients with COVID-19. Furthermore, the study findings were compared with the cycle threshold (Ct) values of real-time RT-PCR. The infectious virus titers in NPS samples and Ct values were inversely correlated, and no infectious virus could be detected when the Ct value exceeded 30. In contrast, a low correlation was observed between the infectious virus titers in saliva and Ct values (r = -0.261, p = 0.027). Furthermore, the infectious virus titers in the saliva were significantly lower than those in the NPS samples. Ten days after the onset of COVID-19 symptoms, the infectious virus was undetectable, and Ct values were more than 30 in NSP and saliva samples. The results indicate that patients whose symptoms subsided 10 days after onset, with Ct values more than 30 in NSP and saliva samples, were less likely to infect others.
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Prueba de COVID-19 , COVID-19/diagnóstico , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , Ensayo de Placa Viral , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/virología , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Nasofaringe/virología , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Saliva/virología , Carga Viral , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
This study investigated the correlation between biochemical markers and viral load among 38 measles cases, including 15 immunologically naive patients and 23 patients with secondary vaccine failure (SVF). We examined four biochemical markers, namely, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, C-reactive protein, and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and their relationship between virus genome copy numbers in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) and throat swabs as well as the concentration of measles-specific IgG. Although viral genome copies in both clinical specimens showed a significant correlation with specific IgG concentration, they had a higher correlation in PBMCs (Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficient, -0.662; p < .0001) than in throat swabs (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient, -0.443; p = .0078). The viral load in PBMCs also significantly correlated with LDH values (correlation coefficient, 0.360; p = .036). Thus, the serum LDH level might be a potential auxiliary indicator to distinguish immunologically naive patients with measles from those with SVF.
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Sarampión , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Biomarcadores , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina G , L-Lactato Deshidrogenasa , Leucocitos Mononucleares , Vacuna Antisarampión , Virus del Sarampión/genética , Virus del Sarampión/inmunología , Carga ViralRESUMEN
The exact evolutionary patterns of human G4P[6] rotavirus strains remain to be elucidated. Such strains possess unique and strain-specific genotype constellations, raising the question of whether G4P[6] strains are primarily transmitted via independent interspecies transmission or human-to-human transmission after interspecies transmission. Two G4P[6] rotavirus strains were identified in fecal specimens from hospitalized patients with severe diarrhea in Thailand, namely, DU2014-259 (RVA/Human-wt/THA/DU2014-259/2014/G4P[6]) and PK2015-1-0001 (RVA/Human-wt/THA/PK2015-1-0001/2015/G4P[6]). Here, we analyzed the full genomes of the two human G4P[6] strains, which provided the opportunity to study and confirm their evolutionary origin. On whole genome analysis, both strains exhibited a unique Wa-like genotype constellation of G4-P[6]-I1-R1-C1-M1-A8-N1-T1-E1-H1. The NSP1 genotype A8 is commonly found in porcine rotavirus strains. Furthermore, on phylogenetic analysis, each of the 11 genes of strains DU2014-259 and PK2015-1-0001 appeared to be of porcine origin. On the other hand, the two study strains consistently formed distinct clusters for nine of the 11 gene segments (VP4, VP6, VP1-VP3, and NSP2-NSP5), strongly indicating the occurrence of independent porcine-to-human interspecies transmission events. Our observations provide important insights into the origin of zoonotic G4P[6] strains, and into the dynamic interaction between porcine and human rotavirus strains.
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Diarrea/genética , Infecciones por Rotavirus/genética , Rotavirus/genética , Enfermedades de los Porcinos/genética , Animales , Diarrea/virología , Genoma Viral/genética , Humanos , Filogenia , Rotavirus/patogenicidad , Infecciones por Rotavirus/transmisión , Infecciones por Rotavirus/virología , Especificidad de la Especie , Porcinos/genética , Porcinos/virología , Enfermedades de los Porcinos/transmisión , Enfermedades de los Porcinos/virologíaRESUMEN
In Japan, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection generally has occurred during autumn and winter. However, a possible change in the seasonal trend of RSV infection has been observed recently. The current study was conducted to determine whether the epidemic season of RSV infection in Japan has indeed changed significantly. We used expectation-based Poisson scan statistics to detect periods with high weekly reported RSV cases (epidemic cluster), and the epidemic clusters were detected between September and December in the 2012-2016 seasons while those were detected between July and October in the 2017-2019 seasons. Non-linear and linear ordinary least squares regression models were built to evaluate whether there is a difference in year trend in the epidemic seasonality, and the epidemic season was shifted to earlier in the year in 2017-2019 compared to that in 2012-2016. Although the reason for the shift is unclear, this information may help in clinical practice and public health.
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Epidemias/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Humanos , Japón/epidemiología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/virología , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano , Estaciones del Año , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
Group A rotavirus (RVA) is a major cause of acute gastroenteritis in infants and young children worldwide. This study aims to clarify the distribution of G/P types and genetic characteristics of RVAs circulating in Thailand. Between January 2014 and September 2016, 1867 stool specimens were collected from children and adults with acute gastroenteritis in six provinces in Thailand. RVAs were detected in 514/1867 (27.5%) stool specimens. G1P[8] (44.7%) was the most predominant genotype, followed by G3P[8] (33.7%), G2P[4] (11.5%), G8P[8] (7.0%), and G9P[8] (1.3%). Unusual G3P[9] (0.8%), G3P[10] (0.4%), G4P[6] (0.4%), and G10P[14] (0.2%) were also detected at low frequencies. The predominant genotype, G1P[8] (64.4%), in 2014 decreased to 6.1% in 2016. In contrast, the frequency of G3P[8] markedly increased from 5.5% in 2014 to 65.3% in 2015 and 89.8% in 2016. On polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis, most (135/140; 96.4%) of the G3P[8] strains exhibited a short RNA profile. Successful determination of the nucleotide sequences of the VP7 genes of 98 G3P[8] strains with a short RNA profile showed that they are all equine-like G3P[8] strains. On phylogenetic analysis of genome segments of two representative Thai equine-like G3P[8] strains, it was noteworthy that they possessed distinct NSP4 genes, one bovine-like and the other human-like. Thus, we found that characteristic equine-like G3P[8] strains with a short RNA electropherotype are becoming highly prevalent in children and adults in Thailand.
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Gastroenteritis/virología , Infecciones por Rotavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Rotavirus/virología , Rotavirus/clasificación , Rotavirus/genética , Adolescente , Adulto , Animales , Niño , Preescolar , Equidae , Heces/virología , Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Genoma Viral , Genotipo , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Persona de Mediana Edad , Tipificación Molecular , Filogenia , Prevalencia , ARN Viral/genética , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Análisis de Secuencia de ADN , Tailandia/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Bejel, an endemic treponematosis caused by infection with Treponema pallidum subspecies endemicum, has not been reported in eastern Asia and the Pacific region. We report local spread of bejel among men who have sex with men in Japan. Spread was complicated by venereal syphilis.
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Homosexualidad Masculina , Enfermedades Bacterianas de Transmisión Sexual/epidemiología , Treponema pallidum , Infecciones por Treponema/epidemiología , Infecciones por Treponema/microbiología , Adulto , Genes Bacterianos , Humanos , Japón/epidemiología , Masculino , Filogenia , Vigilancia en Salud Pública , Análisis de Secuencia de ADN , Treponema pallidum/clasificación , Treponema pallidum/genética , Treponema pallidum/aislamiento & purificación , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Although rubella is epidemic in Indonesia, the phylogenetic profile of circulating rubella virus strains has not been clarified. In 2017, rubella virus was detected in 2 travelers who returned from Indonesia to Japan. These strains were classified into genotype 1E lineage 2, which may be an indigenous strain in Indonesia.
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Virus de la Rubéola/aislamiento & purificación , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán)/diagnóstico , Viaje , Adulto , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Genotipo , Humanos , Indonesia , Japón , Masculino , Filogenia , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán)/prevención & control , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán)/virología , Virus de la Rubéola/clasificación , Virus de la Rubéola/genéticaRESUMEN
In September 2016, 140 patients with primary symptoms of sore throat and fever were identified in a school dormitory in Osaka, Japan. Epidemiological and laboratory investigations determined that these symptomatic conditions were from a foodborne outbreak of group G streptococcus (GGS), with GGS being isolated from samples from patients, cooks, and foods. The strain of GGS was identified as Streptococcus dysgalactiae subsp. equisimilis of two emm types (stG652.0 and stC36.0). The causative food, a broccoli salad, was contaminated with the two types of S. dysgalactiae subsp. equisimilis, totaling 1.3 × 104 CFU/g. Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) of samples from patients, cooks, and foods produced similar band patterns among samples with the same emm type. This result suggested the possibility of exposure from the contaminated food. The average onset time was 44.9 h and the prevalence rate was 62%. This is the first report to identify the causative food of a foodborne outbreak by Streptococcus dysgalactiae subsp. equisimilis.
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Brotes de Enfermedades , Microbiología de Alimentos , Faringitis/epidemiología , Instituciones Académicas , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/epidemiología , Streptococcus/aislamiento & purificación , Anticuerpos Antibacterianos/sangre , Antígenos Bacterianos/genética , Proteínas de la Membrana Bacteriana Externa/genética , Brassica/microbiología , Proteínas Portadoras/genética , ADN Bacteriano/genética , Electroforesis en Gel de Campo Pulsado , Humanos , Japón/epidemiología , Faringitis/diagnóstico , Faringitis/patología , Instituciones Residenciales , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/diagnóstico , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/patología , Streptococcus/genética , Streptococcus/crecimiento & desarrollo , Streptococcus/inmunologíaRESUMEN
The store-operated Ca(2+) release-activated Ca(2+) (CRAC) channel is activated by diminished luminal Ca(2+) levels in the endoplasmic reticulum and sarcoplasmic reticulum (SR), and constitutes one of the major Ca(2+) entry pathways in various tissues. Tubular aggregates (TAs) are abnormal structures in the skeletal muscle, and although their mechanism of formation has not been clarified, altered Ca(2+) homeostasis related to a disordered SR is suggested to be one of the main contributing factors. TA myopathy is a hereditary muscle disorder that is pathologically characterized by the presence of TAs. Recently, dominant mutations in the STIM1 gene, encoding a Ca(2+) sensor that controls CRAC channels, have been identified to cause tubular aggregate myopathy (TAM). Here, we identified heterozygous missense mutations in the ORAI1 gene, encoding the CRAC channel itself, in three families affected by dominantly inherited TAM with hypocalcemia. Skeletal myotubes from an affected individual and HEK293 cells expressing mutated ORAI1 proteins displayed spontaneous extracellular Ca(2+) entry into cells without diminishment of luminal Ca(2+) or the association with STIM1. Our results indicate that STIM1-independent activation of CRAC channels induced by dominant mutations in ORAI1 cause altered Ca(2+) homeostasis, resulting in TAM with hypocalcemia.
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Canales de Calcio/genética , Hipocalcemia/genética , Fibras Musculares Esqueléticas/patología , Miopatías Estructurales Congénitas/genética , Miopatías Estructurales Congénitas/patología , Adulto , Calcio/metabolismo , Canales de Calcio/metabolismo , Niño , Preescolar , Células HEK293 , Heterocigoto , Humanos , Masculino , Fibras Musculares Esqueléticas/metabolismo , Mutación Missense , Miopatías Estructurales Congénitas/complicaciones , Proteína ORAI1 , Linaje , Molécula de Interacción Estromal 1RESUMEN
The genetic characteristics of Norovirus GII.17 were evaluated. Phylogenetic analysis and comparisons of amino acid (Aa) substitutions and nonsynonymous (NS) substitutions/site/year were performed. The complete VP1 sequence of Tokyo/27-3/1976 clustered independently with GII.P17_GII.17 strains. Aa substitutions were mainly accumulated in the P2 domain. NS substitutions/site/year for Tokyo/27-3/1976 compared to Kawasaki323/2014 and Kawasaki308/2015 were 0.57 × 10-3 and 0.78 × 10-3 , respectively; for GII.4 Sydney/NSW0514/2012 compared to CHDC2094/1974 and CHDC5191/1974 were 0.93 × 10-3 and 1.06 × 10-3 , respectively. These findings imply that evolutionary diversity in the VP1 of GII.17 might be strictly constrained in contrast to that of GII.4.
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Evolución Molecular , Genotipo , Norovirus/clasificación , Norovirus/genética , Sustitución de Aminoácidos , Humanos , Filogenia , Homología de Secuencia de Aminoácido , Proteínas Virales/genéticaRESUMEN
This study aimed to analyze NoV GII.4 sequences from archival specimens obtained during 1975-1987 by comparing them with reference sequences. The first NoV GII.P4_GII.4 sequence was identified in 1980. NoV GII.4 collected in 1970 had a GII.P1_GII.4 sequence. These results indicate that the GII.P4_GII.4 sequence may be the result of a recombination that might have occurred around 1980. Amino acid substitutions based on this replacement were mainly accumulated in the NTPase, p22, and RdRp regions. The emergence of GII.P4_GII.4 sequence is considered to have ended the major prevalence of NoV GII.4. J. Med. Virol. 89:363-367, 2017. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
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Infecciones por Caliciviridae/virología , Genotipo , Norovirus/clasificación , Norovirus/genética , Análisis de Secuencia de ADN , Sustitución de Aminoácidos , Infecciones por Caliciviridae/epidemiología , Evolución Molecular , Humanos , Epidemiología Molecular , Norovirus/aislamiento & purificación , Recombinación Genética , Tokio/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The duration of viral shedding in the patients from two outbreaks and four sporadic cases of norovirus (NoV) infections was investigated. The longest period of viral shedding into feces was for 173 days in an inpatient from one case of outbreak. The VP1 sequence from two long-term viral shedding cases in the outbreak revealed four synonymous and one non-synonymous mutations in one inpatient at 26 days from the onset of illness, and nine synonymous and two non-synonymous mutations and a deletion, 10 synonymous mutations and a deletion in other inpatient at 29 days and 54 days from the onset of illness, respectively. Ten of the 11 amino acid positions detected in these two inpatients were in the outermost P2 domain of the viral capsid protein, and mutations at positions 295, 297, and 394 were shared in the inpatients. Mutations in the P2 domain were in epitopes A and D or near epitopes A, C, and E, suggesting that the long-term carrier state of norovirus infection contributes to the generation of escape mutants by host immunoselection.
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Infecciones por Caliciviridae/virología , Genoma Viral , Norovirus/genética , Norovirus/aislamiento & purificación , Mutación Puntual , Esparcimiento de Virus , Adulto , Infecciones por Caliciviridae/epidemiología , Preescolar , Brotes de Enfermedades , Epítopos/genética , Epítopos/inmunología , Heces/virología , Humanos , Evasión Inmune , Lactante , Tasa de Mutación , Mutación Missense , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Measles is a contagious viral disease causing infant mortality in developing countries without vaccination programs. In Japan, measles vaccination was launched in 1978, surveillance commenced in 1981, and elimination was achieved in 2015. This was due to improved, legally required surveillance methods and vaccine programs. METHODS: The data sets of sentinel (1982-2007) and notifiable (2008-2021) disease surveillance, as well as the vaccination coverage, detected genotypes, and seroepidemiology during the study period in Osaka Prefecture, were analyzed. Additionally, the trend under the current notifiable surveillance was compared before (2008-2014) and after (2015-2021) measles elimination. RESULTS: Under sentinel surveillance, 51,107 cases were reported, predominantly infants aged 1-4 years (63.6 %). Under notifiable disease surveillance, the 781 patients were predominantly in their 20s-30s (43.7 %). From 2000, the age of the major susceptible group increased due to the rise in vaccination coverage, which exceeded 95% for the first dose in 1998 and 90% for the second dose in 2009. Consistent with these data, seroprevalence exceeded 95% in 2011. However, the geometric mean of the antibody titer showed a decreasing trend with a falling number of patients. Compared with before and after measles elimination, the number of modified measles cases increased from 10.1% to 48.2%. During the study period, 398 strains comprising eight genotypes were identified, and the dominant type changed over time. After measles elimination, genotypes B3 and D8, derived from imported cases, became predominant. CONCLUSIONS: Improved vaccination coverage and surveillance reduced measles cases and increased herd immunity. However, the lack of a booster effect due to the low incidence of measles caused waning antibody titers despite high seroprevalence, which may contribute to the rising rate of vaccine failures causing modified measles. Careful monitoring of measles incidence and herd immunity are necessary for measles eradication.
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Sarampión , Lactante , Humanos , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Japón/epidemiología , Sarampión/epidemiología , Sarampión/prevención & control , Vacuna Antisarampión/uso terapéutico , Virus del Sarampión/genética , VacunaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Previous study has shown that height loss (defined as the highest quartile of height loss per year) was inversely associated with serum albumin levels. Furthermore, comparatively healthy hyponutrition has been linked with being underweight; as such, underweight might be inversely associated with serum albumin levels and positively associated with height loss. METHODS: To clarify the associations between serum albumin level, underweight status, and height loss, we conducted a retrospective study of 8,096 men over 4.0 years (median). RESULTS: Serum albumin level at baseline was inversely associated with being underweight (body mass index [BMI]: < 18.5 kg/m2) at baseline and height loss. The known cardiovascular risk factor adjusted odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of underweight at baseline and of height loss for 1 standard deviation increment of serum albumin (0.28 g/dL) was 0.79 (0.70, 0.90) and 0.84 (0.80, 0.88). Underweight was also shown to be positively associated with height loss: with the reference of normal-low weight (BMI: 18.5-22.9 kg/m2), the adjusted OR (95% CI) was 1.60 (1.21, 2.10). CONCLUSION: Comparative healthy hyponutrition, which is related to low serum albumin levels and being underweight, is a significant risk factor for height loss among Japanese men. These results help to clarify the mechanisms underlying height loss.
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Estatura , Albúmina Sérica , Delgadez , Humanos , Masculino , Delgadez/epidemiología , Delgadez/sangre , Estudios Retrospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Japón/epidemiología , Estatura/fisiología , Albúmina Sérica/análisis , Adulto , Anciano , Índice de Masa Corporal , Pueblos del Este de AsiaRESUMEN
Objectives: Owing to the nonpharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection was nearly absent in 2020. An unusual epidemic size and irregular seasonal pattern were observed worldwide in 2021. In Osaka, Japan, after disrupting the regular pattern of RSV infection dynamics (before the COVID-19 pandemic, RSV epidemics typically start in summer and peak around fall), the epidemic size of RSV infection returned to normal in 2022. However, the epidemic onset timing remained irregular in 2022 and 2023. This study investigated whether the onset of the RSV infection epidemic in 2023 was predictable using previous seasonal patterns. Methods: The weekly number of RSV infection cases obtained from sentinel pediatric sites between 2007 and the 15th week of 2023 was modeled using the time series susceptible-infected-recovered model. Forecasting of the remainder of 2023 was conducted based on estimated transmission parameters. Results: None of the estimated transmission rates from previous years successfully forecast the epidemic onset in 2023. Only the transmission rate estimated in the early part of 2023 captured the trend for that year, indicating irregular seasonal transmission rates. Conclusions: It is still hard to forecast RSV epidemics because of the changed landscape due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The seasonality of RSV infection dynamics has not returned to pre-pandemic level in 2023. Cautious attention to future RSV dynamics in Japan is warranted because further changes may occur in the near future.
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BACKGROUND: Human norovirus is a predominant etiological agent responsible for acute gastroenteritis across all age groups. Recently, norovirus recombinant strains have been reported as the cause of norovirus outbreaks in several settings and the strains that cause outbreaks mostly belong to the norovirus GII. However, yet, the norovirus GI recombinant strains have never been reported previously in Thailand. The aims of this study were to investigate the genetic recombination and genotype diversity of norovirus GI strains in children hospitalized with acute gastroenteritis in Chiang Mai, Thailand during a period of seven years from 2015 to 2021. METHODS: A total of 2829 stool specimens were screened for norovirus GI by real-time PCR, and the polymerase and capsid genes were sequenced and analyzed. RESULTS: Of 2829 specimens tested, 12 (0.4%) were positive for norovirus GI. Of these, 7 out of 12 (58.3%) strains were identified as norovirus GI recombinant strains. Among 7 norovirus GI recombinant strains, 3, 3, and 1 were identified as GI.3[P13], GI.5[P4], and GI.6[P11], respectively. The remaining five strains were identified as non-recombinant strains of the GI.4[P4], GI.5[P5], and GI.6[P6] genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: The findings highlight the genetic diversity and multiple intergenotype recombinant strains of norovirus GI circulating in children with acute gastroenteritis in Chiang Mai, Thailand from 2015 to 2021. The detection of multiple intergenotype norovirus GI recombinant strains further underscore the complexity of norovirus GI strains circulating in this region.