COVID-19 and the duration of operating room procedures in Ontario: a population-based retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Studies have estimated that a large backlog of procedures was generated by emergency measures implemented in Ontario, Canada, at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, when nonessential and scheduled procedures were postponed. Understanding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the time needed to perform a procedure may help to determine the resources needed to tackle the substantial backlog caused by the deferral of cases. The purpose of this study was to examine the duration of operating room (OR) procedures before and after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic to inform planning around changes in required resources. METHODS: A population-based, retrospective cohort study was conducted using Ontario Health Insurance Plan claims data and other administrative health care data from Apr. 1, 2019, to Sept. 30, 2020. Statistical analysis was conducted using multivariate regression, with procedure duration as the outcome variable. RESULTS: Results showed that the average duration of nonelective procedures increased by 34 minutes during the COVID-19 period and by 19 minutes after the resumption of scheduled procedures. Controlling for physician, patient and hospital characteristics, and the procedure code submitted, procedure duration increased by 12 minutes in the nonelective COVID-19 period and by 5 minutes when scheduled procedures resumed, compared with the pre-COVID-19 period. CONCLUSION: Procedures may take longer in the COVID-19 period. This will affect wait times, which had already increased because of the deferral of procedures at the beginning of the pandemic, and will have an impact on Ontario's ability to provide patients with timely care.

Supply and demographic characteristics of Ontario's ophthalmologists from 2010 to 2019: a population-based analysis.

BACKGROUND: With an aging population in Ontario, ophthalmologists provide most of their care to older adults, which has prominent human resource implications. In this study, we sought to investigate the supply and demographic characteristics of Ontario's ophthalmologists. METHODS: In this retrospective, population-based analysis, we evaluated cohort demographics, including sex and career stage, of Ontario's ophthalmologists from 2010 to 2019, which we reported using descriptive statistics. Similarly, we detailed ophthalmologist supply within different areas of care using descriptive statistics. RESULTS: Over the study period, a median of 464 ophthalmologists were practising in Ontario each year. The proportion of female ophthalmologists increased from 18.7% in 2010 to 24.1% in 2019. The proportion of late-career ophthalmologists (aged > 55 yr) significantly increased by 6.4% over the study period and constituted 45.3% of the workforce in 2019. Comprehensive cataract surgery was the most common area of care. Although the number of ophthalmologists per 100 000 people remained stable over the study period (3.27 ophthalmologists/100 000 people in 2019), the number of ophthalmologists per 100 000 people aged 65 years and older fell by 18.4% from 2010 to 2019. The greatest supply reduction was among moderate-volume comprehensive cataract surgeons (-20.2% overall and -35.4% relative to the population aged ≥ 65 yr). INTERPRETATION: Between 2010 and 2019, the overall number of ophthalmologists in Ontario remained stable; however, we observed declines in the number of ophthalmologists per 100 000 people aged 65 years and older for most areas of care. Nearly half of the ophthalmology workforce is now older than 55 years and female representation is increasing.