The log TSH-free T4 relationship in a community-based cohort is nonlinear and is influenced by age, smoking and thyroid peroxidase antibody status.

BACKGROUND: The TSH-T4 relationship was thought to be inverse log-linear, but recent cross-sectional studies of selected populations report a complex, nonlinear relationship. The TSH-T4 relationship has not been evaluated in an unselected, community-based cohort, and there are limited data regarding clinical factors which affect it. OBJECTIVE: To analyse the TSH-free T4 relationship in a community-based cohort. DESIGN, PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: In a cross-sectional, retrospective study, we analysed serum TSH and free T4 concentrations from 4427 participants (55% female) in the 1994 Busselton Health Study who were not taking thyroxine. Simple linear, segmented-linear and nonlinear regression models of log10 TSH on free T4 were compared for goodness of fit. RESULTS: All 5 log TSH-free T4 models tested (separate lines, segmented conterminal line, quartic, error function, double-sigmoid curve) fitted significantly better than a simple linear model (each P < 0·01 by Vuong test). Ranking by Akaike information criterion indicated that the segmented conterminal line and double-sigmoid models provided best fit, followed by the error function, quartic and separate lines models. From multiple regression analysis, age tertile, current smoking and TPOAb status each significantly influenced the TSH-free T4 relationship, whereas BMI category and diabetes did not. A sex difference in the TSH-free T4 relationship was apparent only in the lower part of the free T4 reference range. CONCLUSION: In a community-based setting, the relationship between log TSH and free T4 is complex, nonlinear and influenced by age, smoking and TPOAb status.

Significant association between thyroid hormones and erythrocyte indices in euthyroid subjects.

OBJECTIVE: Hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism are each associated with anaemia, but relationships between thyroid function and erythrocyte indices in euthyroid subjects have not been examined. The aim of this study was to examine these relationships in a community-based cohort. DESIGN, SUBJECTS AND MEASUREMENTS: Linear regression models with free T4, free T3 and TSH as predictors of erythrocyte indices and serum iron parameters were fitted to data from a cohort of 1179 participants in the 1994 Busselton health study and a subset of 1011 euthyroid participants. All models were adjusted for age, age(2), sex and an age-sex interaction. RESULTS: In the full cohort and euthyroid subset, there were significant, positive linear relationships between free T4 and each of haemoglobin, haematocrit and erythrocyte count (P < 0·01 for each), such that in euthyroid participants, each 1·0 pM increase in free T4 was associated with an increase in haemoglobin of 0·39 g/l. There were significant relationships between free T3 and each of haemoglobin, haematocrit and erythrocyte count (P < 0·001 for each), with the best model fits obtained using free T3(2), indicating curved relationships. TSH had a significant (P < 0·05) inverse relationship with serum iron and transferrin saturation in the full cohort and the euthyroid subset. Serum iron concentrations were lower in participants with subclinical hypothyroidism (n = 87) than euthyroid subjects [mean (SD) 15·9 (4·7) vs 18·4 (6·0) µM, P = 0·001]. CONCLUSION: In euthyroid subjects, small differences in thyroid function are associated with significant differences in erythrocyte indices.

Cost-Effectiveness of Personalized Screening for Colorectal Cancer Based on Polygenic Risk and Family History.

BACKGROUND: There is growing evidence for personalizing colorectal cancer screening based on risk factors. We compared the cost-effectiveness of personalized colorectal cancer screening based on polygenic risk and family history to uniform screening. METHODS: Using the MISCAN-Colon model, we simulated a cohort of 100 million 40-year-olds, offering them uniform or personalized screening. Individuals were categorized based on polygenic risk and family history of colorectal cancer. We varied screening strategies by start age, interval and test and estimated costs, and quality-adjusted life years (QALY). In our analysis, we (i) assessed the cost-effectiveness of uniform screening; (ii) developed personalized screening scenarios based on optimal screening strategies by risk group; and (iii) compared the cost-effectiveness of both. RESULTS: At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000/QALY, the optimal uniform screening scenario was annual fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) from ages 50 to 74 years, whereas for personalized screening the optimal screening scenario consisted of annual and biennial FIT screening except for those at highest risk who were offered 5-yearly colonoscopy from age 50 years. Although these scenarios gained the same number of QALYs (17,887), personalized screening was not cost-effective, costing an additional $428,953 due to costs associated with determining risk (assumed to be $240 per person). Personalized screening was cost-effective when these costs were less than ∼$48. CONCLUSIONS: Uniform colorectal cancer screening currently appears more cost-effective than personalized screening based on polygenic risk and family history. However, cost-effectiveness is highly dependent on the cost of determining risk. IMPACT: Personalized screening could become increasingly viable as costs for determining risk decrease.

Initial evaluation of thyroid dysfunction - Are simultaneous TSH and fT4 tests necessary?

OBJECTIVE: Guidelines for thyroid function evaluation recommend testing TSH first, then assessing fT4 only if TSH is out of the reference range (two-step), but many clinicians initially request both TSH and fT4 (one-step). Given limitations of previous studies, we aimed to compare the two-step with the one-step approach in an unselected community-dwelling study population, and develop a prediction score based on clinical parameters that could identify at-risk patients for thyroid dysfunction. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of the population-based Busselton Health Study. METHODS: We compared the two-step with the one-step approach, focusing on cases that would be missed by the two-step approach, i.e. those with normal TSH, but out-of-range fT4. We used likelihood ratio tests to identify demographic and clinical parameters associated with thyroid dysfunction and developed a clinical prediction score by using a beta-coefficient based scoring method. RESULTS: Following the two-step approach, 93.0% of all 4471 participants had normal TSH and would not need further testing. The two-step approach would have missed 3.8% of all participants (169 of 4471) with a normal TSH, but a fT4 outside the reference range. In 85% (144 of 169) of these cases, fT4 fell within 2 pmol/l of fT4 reference range limits, consistent with healthy outliers. The clinical prediction score that performed best excluded only 22.5% of participants from TSH testing. CONCLUSION: The two-step approach may avoid measuring fT4 in as many as 93% of individuals with a very small risk of missing thyroid dysfunction. Our findings do not support the simultaneous initial measurement of both TSH and fT4.

Distribution and metabolism of topically applied progesterone in a rat model.

This study investigated the transdermal uptake and subsequent tissue distribution of [(3)H]progesterone applied in a commercially available progesterone cream in a rat model. Concentrations of lipid- and water-soluble metabolites of [(3)H]progesterone were also measured in plasma, urine and selected tissues (uterus, liver, kidney, salivary gland) 3 h after its topical application. Female rats were ovariectomized and adrenalectomized to remove all endogenous progesterone, and 4 weeks later were anaesthetized and 150 mg Pro-Feme cream (containing progesterone 3.2% w/w and 200 microCi [(3)H]progesterone) was applied to the abdominal skin. Six arterial blood samples were then obtained from a carotid cannula over the following 3h, and urine and selected tissue samples were collected after the final blood sample. Plasma progesterone increased progressively until 90 min, then remained relatively stable. Plasma levels of [(3H)]progesterone were high by the 15-min sample and increased only slightly thereafter. Water-soluble metabolites were detectable in plasma at 15 min, whereas lipid-soluble metabolites became apparent only by 60 min then increased progressively to 180 min. The tissue:plasma concentration ratio for [(3)H]progesterone exceeded 1 in all tissues, most notably in uterus (8.4) and lung (9.6), whereas urinary [(3)H]progesterone levels were only half those in plasma. Concentrations of lipid- and water-soluble progesterone metabolites were most prevalent in liver and kidney, and both reached very high concentrations in urine. These results demonstrate that topically applied progesterone is rapidly absorbed transdermally and that its patterns of distribution and metabolism are comparable to those previously reported for intravascularly administered progesterone.

Age-related changes in thyroid function: a longitudinal study of a community-based cohort.

CONTEXT: In cross-sectional studies, serum TSH concentrations increase with age. This has not been examined longitudinally, and it is uncertain whether the TSH increase reflects healthy aging or occult thyroid failure. METHODS: We measured serum TSH, free T(4), thyroid peroxidase, and thyroglobulin antibodies in 1100 participants in the 1981 and 1994 Busselton Health Surveys and derived a reference group of 908 individuals without thyroid disease or thyroid antibodies. We examined changes in thyroid function longitudinally and, in 781 participants, explored associations with the CAPZB polymorphism rs10917469. RESULTS: At 13 yr follow-up, mean serum TSH increased from 1.49 to 1.81 mU/liter, a change in mean TSH (ΔTSH) of 0.32 mU/liter [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.27, 0.38, P < 0.001], whereas mean free T(4) concentration was unchanged (16.6 vs. 16.6 pmol/liter, P = 0.7). The TSH increase was most marked in the elderly, such that gender-adjusted ΔTSH increased by 0.08 mU/liter (95% CI 0.04, 0.11) for each decade of baseline age. People with higher baseline TSH values had proportionally smaller increases in TSH, with each additional 1.0 mU/liter of baseline TSH associated with a 0.13 mU/liter decrease (age and gender adjusted) in ΔTSH (95% CI 0.09, 0.16). The ΔTSH did not differ significantly by CAPZB genotype. CONCLUSIONS: Aging is associated with increased serum TSH concentrations, with no change in free T(4) concentrations. The largest TSH increase is in people with the lowest TSH at baseline. This suggests that the TSH increase arises from age-related alteration in the TSH set point or reduced TSH bioactivity rather than occult thyroid disease.

Investigations of thyroid hormones and antibodies based on a community health survey: the Busselton thyroid study.

OBJECTIVE: Overt or subclinical thyroid dysfunction is common within the community, yet the significance of subtle anomalies in thyroid function tests remains contentious. The aims of this study were to: (a) establish reference intervals for serum-free thyroxine (FT4), thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and thyroid antibodies (antithyroperoxidase, TPOAb and antithyroglobulin, TgAb) in the Busselton community of south-western Western Australia; and (b) determine the prevalence of thyroid hormone anomalies in this community. SUBJECTS AND DESIGN: In 1981, 2115 adults residing in Busselton participated in a cross-sectional health survey that involved blood collection and a questionnaire on lifestyle and general health history. MEASUREMENTS: Serum samples were analysed for FT4, TSH, TPOAb and TgAb by immunochemiluminescent assays. RESULTS: Based on standard statistical approaches and using guidelines recommended by the National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry (NACB), reference intervals were derived for each analyte: 9-23 pmol/l for FT4, 0.4-4.0 mIU/l (TSH), < 35 KIU/l (TPOAb) and < 55 KIU/l (TgAb). The prevalence of elevated thyroid antibodies was 12.4% among subjects without a history of thyroid disease and is more common in women than in men. Elevated thyroid antibody levels were observed at both extremes of TSH abnormality, but were more commonly increased when TSH levels were above 4.0 mIU/l (63% subjects) than for those with TSH levels 0.4-4.0 mIU/l (7.8% subjects). CONCLUSIONS: This study establishes the prevalence of antibodies to thyroperoxidase and thyroglobulin in a community-based sample and reference intervals for free T4 and TSH. When the NACB decision limits are applied to older men or women, there is a markedly increased number with 'elevated' autoantibody levels compared to sex- and age-specific reference intervals.

Human gene patents: the possible impacts on genetic services healthcare.

The patent system has been seen as a critical factor driving innovation in clinical medicine, particularly in medical devices and diagnostic assays. The licence terms and business model proposed by Myriad Genetics Inc. for testing the hereditary breast cancer susceptibility genes BRCA1 and BRCA2 could stifle innovation (particularly if other companies adopt similar business models), and are likely to limit the ability to provide high quality public genetic testing services in Australia. Under the Myriad model, testing for the BRCA1 gene would be undertaken by an organisation removed from the integrated public healthcare system. Based on overseas experience, Australia can expect a 2-3-fold increase in the cost of this testing, which will provide only partial information on the hereditary breast cancer status of the patient. Commercial exploitation of gene patents needs to be regulated to balance the patent holders' right to profit from their inventions (necessary to drive further innovation) and the public policy objective of high quality, equitable healthcare.