Organ allocation waiting time during extracorporeal bridge to lung transplant affects outcomes.

BACKGROUND: The use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) as a bridge to lung transplant (LTX) is still being debated. METHODS: We performed a retrospective two-center analysis of the relationship between ECMO bridging duration and survival in 25 patients. Further survival analysis was obtained by dividing the patients according to waiting time on ECMO: up to 14 days (Early group) or longer (Late group). We also analyzed the impact of the ventilation strategy during ECMO bridging (ie, spontaneous breathing and noninvasive ventilation [NIV] or intubation and invasive mechanical ventilation [IMV]). RESULTS: Seventeen of 25 patients underwent a transplant (with a 76% 1-year survival), whereas eight patients died during bridging. In the 17 patients who underwent a transplant, mortality was positively related to waiting days until LTX (hazard ratio [HR], 1.12 per day; 95% CI, 1.02-1.23; P = .02), and the Early group showed better Kaplan-Meier curves (P = .02), higher 1-year survival rates (100% vs 50%, P = .03), and lower morbidity (days on IMV and length of stay in ICU and hospital). During the bridge to transplant, mortality increased steadily with time. Considering the overall outcome of the bridging program (25 patients), bridge duration adversely affected survival (HR, 1.06 per day; 95% CI, 1.01-1.11; P = .015) and 1-year survival (Early, 82% vs Late, 29%; P = .015). Morbidity indexes were lower in patients treated with NIV during the bridge. CONCLUSIONS: The duration of the ECMO bridge is a relevant cofactor in the mortality and morbidity of critically ill patients awaiting organ allocation. The NIV strategy was associated with a less complicated clinical course after LTX.

Usefulness of simplified acute physiology score II in predicting mortality in patients admitted to an emergency medicine ward.

The Objective of this prospective observational study was to evaluate the applicability of the simplified acute physiology score (SAPS II) in patients admitted to an Emergency Medicine Ward in the Emergency Medicine Ward of a tertiary university hospital. We studied consecutive patients admitted to an Emergency Medicine Ward from the emergency department. The SAPS II was assessed in predicting overall in-hospital mortality in terms of sensitivity, specificity and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. A total of 211 consecutive patients were admitted over a period of 2 months. Median SAPS II score was 28 (range 6-93), with a mean risk of in-hospital mortality of 0.17 (range 0.01-0.97) for the whole population, and an observed mortality of 15%. The area under the receiver operator curve (ROC) was 0.84 (0.77-0.91). Considering a cut-off value of SAPS II of 49, the sensitivity was 0.50 (95% CI 0.42-0.56), the specificity was 0.95 (0.92-0.98), the positive predictive value (PPV) was 0.64 (0.58-0.71), and the negative predictive value (NPV) was 0.91 (0.87-0.95), the positive likelihood ratio (pLH) was 9.9, and the negative likelihood ratio (nLH) was 0.5. If contrarily a cut-off value of SAPS II of 22 were used, the sensitivity would be 1.0, the specificity would be 0.21 (0.16-0.26), the PPV would be 0.18 (0.13-0.23), the NPV would be 1.0, the pLH would be 1.3, and the nLH would be 0.0. In this preliminary study, SAPS II predicted in-hospital mortality in patients admitted to an Emergency Ward.