Viral and Host Factors Are Associated With Mortality in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Persistent mortality in adults hospitalized due to acute COVID-19 justifies pursuit of disease mechanisms and potential therapies. The aim was to evaluate which virus and host response factors were associated with mortality risk among participants in Therapeutics for Inpatients with COVID-19 (TICO/ACTIV-3) trials. METHODS: A secondary analysis of 2625 adults hospitalized for acute SARS-CoV-2 infection randomized to 1 of 5 antiviral products or matched placebo in 114 centers on 4 continents. Uniform, site-level collection of participant baseline clinical variables was performed. Research laboratories assayed baseline upper respiratory swabs for SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA and plasma for anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid antigen (viral Ag), and interleukin-6 (IL-6). Associations between factors and time to mortality by 90 days were assessed using univariate and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Viral Ag ≥4500 ng/L (vs <200 ng/L; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.07; 1.29-3.34), viral RNA (<35 000 copies/mL [aHR, 2.42; 1.09-5.34], ≥35 000 copies/mL [aHR, 2.84; 1.29-6.28], vs below detection), respiratory support (<4 L O2 [aHR, 1.84; 1.06-3.22]; ≥4 L O2 [aHR, 4.41; 2.63-7.39], or noninvasive ventilation/high-flow nasal cannula [aHR, 11.30; 6.46-19.75] vs no oxygen), renal impairment (aHR, 1.77; 1.29-2.42), and IL-6 >5.8 ng/L (aHR, 2.54 [1.74-3.70] vs ≤5.8 ng/L) were significantly associated with mortality risk in final adjusted analyses. Viral Ag, viral RNA, and IL-6 were not measured in real-time. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline virus-specific, clinical, and biological variables are strongly associated with mortality risk within 90 days, revealing potential pathogen and host-response therapeutic targets for acute COVID-19 disease.

MAVMET trial: maraviroc and/or metformin for metabolic dysfunction associated fatty liver disease in adults with suppressed HIV.

OBJECTIVE: Metabolic dysfunction associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is over-represented in people with HIV (PWH). Maraviroc (MVC) and/or metformin (MET) may reduce MAFLD by influencing inflammatory pathways and fatty acid metabolism. DESIGN: Open-label, 48-week randomized trial with a 2 x 2 factorial design. SETTING: Multicenter HIV clinics. PARTICIPANTS: Nondiabetic, virologically suppressed PLWH, aged at least 35 years, with confirmed/suspected MAFLD (≥1 biochemical/anthropometric/radiological/histological features). INTERVENTION: Adjunctive MVC; MET; MVC+MET vs. antiretroviral therapy (ART) alone. PRIMARY OUTCOME: Change in liver fat fraction (LFF) between baseline and week-48 using magnetic resonance proton density fat fraction (MR PDFF). RESULTS: Six sites enrolled 90 participants (93% male; 81% white; median age 52 [interquartile range, IQR 47-57] years) between March 19, 2018, and November 11, 2019. Seventy percent had imaging/biopsy and at least one 1 MAFLD criteria. The analysis included 82/90 with week-0 and week-48 scans. Median baseline MR PDFF was 8.9 (4.6-17.1); 40, 38, 8, and 14% had grade zero, one, two, and three steatosis, respectively. Mean LFF increased slightly between baseline and follow-up scans: 2.22% MVC, 1.26% MET, 0.81% MVC+MET, and 1.39% ART alone. Prolonged intervention exposure (delayed week-48 scans) exhibited greater increases in MR PDFF (estimated difference 4.23% [95% confidence interval, 95% CI 2.97-5.48], P  < 0.001). There were no differences in predicted change for any intervention compared to ART alone: MVC (-0.42% [95% CI -1.53 to 0.68, P  = 0.45]), MET (-0.62 [-1.81 to 0.56, P  = 0.30]), and MVC+MET (-1.04 [-2.74 to 0.65, P  = 0.23]). Steatosis grade remained unchanged in 55% and increased in 24%. CONCLUSION: Baseline levels of liver fat were lower than predicted. Contrary to our hypothesis, neither MVC, MET, or the combination significantly reduced liver fat as measured by MRPDFF compared to ART alone.