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BACKGROUND: The safety and efficacy of antenatal glucocorticoids in women in low-resource countries who are at risk for preterm birth are uncertain. METHODS: We conducted a multicountry, randomized trial involving pregnant women between 26 weeks 0 days and 33 weeks 6 days of gestation who were at risk for preterm birth. The participants were assigned to intramuscular dexamethasone or identical placebo. The primary outcomes were neonatal death alone, stillbirth or neonatal death, and possible maternal bacterial infection; neonatal death alone and stillbirth or neonatal death were evaluated with superiority analyses, and possible maternal bacterial infection was evaluated with a noninferiority analysis with the use of a prespecified margin of 1.25 on the relative scale. RESULTS: A total of 2852 women (and their 3070 fetuses) from 29 secondary- and tertiary-level hospitals across Bangladesh, India, Kenya, Nigeria, and Pakistan underwent randomization. The trial was stopped for benefit at the second interim analysis. Neonatal death occurred in 278 of 1417 infants (19.6%) in the dexamethasone group and in 331 of 1406 infants (23.5%) in the placebo group (relative risk, 0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.72 to 0.97; P = 0.03). Stillbirth or neonatal death occurred in 393 of 1532 fetuses and infants (25.7%) and in 444 of 1519 fetuses and infants (29.2%), respectively (relative risk, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.78 to 0.99; P = 0.04); the incidence of possible maternal bacterial infection was 4.8% and 6.3%, respectively (relative risk, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.56 to 1.03). There was no significant between-group difference in the incidence of adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Among women in low-resource countries who were at risk for early preterm birth, the use of dexamethasone resulted in significantly lower risks of neonatal death alone and stillbirth or neonatal death than the use of placebo, without an increase in the incidence of possible maternal bacterial infection. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the World Health Organization; Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number, ACTRN12617000476336; Clinical Trials Registry-India number, CTRI/2017/04/008326.).
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Dexametasona/administración & dosificación , Glucocorticoides/administración & dosificación , Enfermedades del Prematuro/prevención & control , Muerte Perinatal/prevención & control , Atención Prenatal , Adulto , Países en Desarrollo , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido de Bajo Peso , Recién Nacido , Recien Nacido Prematuro , Enfermedades del Prematuro/epidemiología , Inyecciones Intramusculares , Embarazo , Nacimiento Prematuro , Riesgo , Mortinato/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002220.].
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BACKGROUND: Postpartum hemorrhage is the most common cause of maternal death. Oxytocin is the standard therapy for the prevention of postpartum hemorrhage, but it requires cold storage, which is not available in many countries. In a large trial, we compared a novel formulation of heat-stable carbetocin with oxytocin. METHODS: We enrolled women across 23 sites in 10 countries in a randomized, double-blind, noninferiority trial comparing intramuscular injections of heat-stable carbetocin (at a dose of 100 µg) with oxytocin (at a dose of 10 IU) administered immediately after vaginal birth. Both drugs were kept in cold storage (2 to 8°C) to maintain double-blinding. There were two primary outcomes: the proportion of women with blood loss of at least 500 ml or the use of additional uterotonic agents, and the proportion of women with blood loss of at least 1000 ml. The noninferiority margins for the relative risks of these outcomes were 1.16 and 1.23, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 29,645 women underwent randomization. The frequency of blood loss of at least 500 ml or the use of additional uterotonic agents was 14.5% in the carbetocin group and 14.4% in the oxytocin group (relative risk, 1.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.95 to 1.06), a finding that was consistent with noninferiority. The frequency of blood loss of at least 1000 ml was 1.51% in the carbetocin group and 1.45% in the oxytocin group (relative risk, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.87 to 1.25), with the confidence interval crossing the margin of noninferiority. The use of additional uterotonic agents, interventions to stop bleeding, and adverse effects did not differ significantly between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Heat-stable carbetocin was noninferior to oxytocin for the prevention of blood loss of at least 500 ml or the use of additional uterotonic agents. Noninferiority was not shown for the outcome of blood loss of at least 1000 ml; low event rates for this outcome reduced the power of the trial. (Funded by Merck Sharpe & Dohme; CHAMPION Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number, ACTRN12614000870651 ; EudraCT number, 2014-004445-26 ; and Clinical Trials Registry-India number, CTRI/2016/05/006969 .).
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Oxitócicos/uso terapéutico , Oxitocina/análogos & derivados , Oxitocina/uso terapéutico , Hemorragia Posparto/prevención & control , Adulto , Método Doble Ciego , Estabilidad de Medicamentos , Femenino , Humanos , Inyecciones Intramusculares , Oxitócicos/efectos adversos , Oxitocina/efectos adversos , Embarazo , Riesgo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
This article challenges the "tyranny of P-value" and promote more valuable and applicable interpretations of the results of research on health care delivery. We provide here solid arguments to retire statistical significance as the unique way to interpret results, after presenting the current state of the debate inside the scientific community. Instead, we promote reporting the much more informative confidence intervals and eventually adding exact P-values. We also provide some clues to integrate statistical and clinical significance by referring to minimal important differences and integrating the effect size of an intervention and the certainty of evidence ideally using the GRADE approach. We have argued against interpreting or reporting results as statistically significant or statistically non-significant. We recommend showing important clinical benefits with their confidence intervals in cases of point estimates compatible with results benefits and even important harms. It seems fair to report the point estimate and the more likely values along with a very clear statement of the implications of extremes of the intervals. We recommend drawing conclusions, considering the multiple factors besides P-values such as certainty of the evidence for each outcome, net benefit, economic considerations and values and preferences. We use several examples and figures to illustrate different scenarios and further suggest a wording to standardize the reporting. Several statistical measures have a role in the scientific communication of studies, but it is time to understand that there is life beyond the statistical significance. There is a great opportunity for improvement towards a more complete interpretation and to a more standardized reporting.
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Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Estadística como Asunto , Toma de Decisiones , Humanos , JurisprudenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Obstetric haemorrhage continues to be a leading cause of maternal mortality, contributing to more than a quarter of the 2,443,000 maternal deaths reported between 2003 and 2009. During this period, about 70% of the haemorrhagic deaths occurred postpartum. In addition to other identifiable risk factors for greater postpartum blood loss, the duration of the third stage of labour (TSL) seems to be important, as literature shows that a longer TSL can be associated with more blood loss. To better describe the association between the duration of TSL and postpartum blood loss in women receiving active management of third stage of labour (AMTSL), this secondary analysis of the WHO CHAMPION trial data has been conducted. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of the WHO CHAMPION trial conducted in twenty-three sites in ten countries. We studied the association between the TSL duration and blood loss in the sub cohort of women from the CHAMPION trial (all of whom received AMTSL), with TSL upto 60 min and no interventions for postpartum haemorrhage. We used a general linear model to fit blood loss as a function of TSL duration on the log scale, arm and center, using a normal distribution and the log link function. We showed this association separately for oxytocin and for Heat stable (HS) carbetocin. RESULTS: For the 10,040 women analysed, blood loss rose steeply with third stage duration in the first 10 min, but more slowly after 10 min. This trend was observed for both Oxytocin and HS carbetocin and the difference in the trends for both drugs was not statistically significant (p-value = 0.2070). CONCLUSIONS: There was a positive association between postpartum blood loss and TSL duration with either uterotonic. Blood loss rose steeply with TSL duration until 10 min, and more slowly after 10 min. Study registration The main trial was registered with Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12614000870651 and Clinical Trial Registry of India CTRI/2016/05/006969.
The duration of the third stage of labour (TSL) seems to be an important risk factor for greater postpartum blood loss, as literature shows that a longer TSL can be associated with more blood loss. Active management of third stage of labour (AMTSL), included in the WHO guidelines for prevention of postpartum haemorrhage (PPH), is effective in reducing both the amount of postpartum blood loss and the duration of the third stage. To better describe the association between duration of TSL and postpartum blood loss in women receiving AMTSL, we conducted this secondary analysis of WHO CHAMPION trial data.To assess the association between the duration of third stage of labour and postpartum blood loss, a subcohort of the CHAMPION modified ITT population was selected by excluding women with missing blood loss or missing TSL duration or TSL duration more than 60 min and women with interventions. Thus, the subcohort consisted of 10,040 women.In women with vaginal birth and not receiving interventions for treating atonic PPH or other sources of bleeding, and with TSL duration up to 60 min, there was a positive association between duration of the TSL and postpartum blood loss. The blood loss rose steeply with duration in women with TSL of 10 min or less, while in women with longer TSL duration the slope was less steep.There was no evidence of a difference between oxytocin and HS carbetocin in the pattern of association of duration of the TSL and blood loss.
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Oxitócicos , Hemorragia Posparto , Australia , Ergonovina , Femenino , Humanos , Tercer Periodo del Trabajo de Parto , Oxitócicos/uso terapéutico , Hemorragia Posparto/epidemiología , Periodo Posparto , Embarazo , Organización Mundial de la SaludRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Access to quality, effective lifesaving uterotonics in low and middle-income countries (LMICs) remains a major barrier to reducing maternal deaths from postpartum haemorrhage (PPH). Our objective was to assess the costs of care for women who receive different preventative uterotonics, and with PPH and no-PPH so that the differences, if significant, can inform better resource allocation for maternal health care. METHODS: The costs of direct hospital care of women who received oxytocin or heat-stable carbetocin for prevention of PPH in selected tertiary care facilities in India, Kenya, Nigeria, and Uganda were assessed. We collected data from all women who had PPH, as well as a random sample of women without PPH. Cost data was collected for the cost of stay, PPH interventions, transfusions and medications for 2966 women. We analyzed the difference in cost of care at a facility level between women who experienced a PPH event and those who did not. Key findings The mean cost of care of a woman experiencing PPH in the study sites in India, Kenya, Nigeria, and Uganda exceeded the cost of care of a woman who did not experience PPH by between 21% and 309%. There was a large variation in cost across hospitals within a country and across countries. CONCLUSION: Our results quantify the increased cost of PPH of up to 4.1 times that for a birth without PPH. PPH cost information can help countries to evaluate options across different conditions and in the formulation of appropriate guidelines for intrapartum care, including rational selection of quality-assured, effective medicines. This information can be applied to national assessment and adaptation of international recommendations such as the World Health Organization's recommendations on uterotonics for the prevention of PPH or other interventions used to treat PPH. Trial registration HRP Trial A65870; UTN U1111-1162-8519; ACTRN12614000870651; CTRI/2016/05/006969, EUDRACT 2014-004445-26. Date of registration 14 August 2014 Access to quality, effective lifesaving medicines in low and middle-income countries remains a major barrier to reducing maternal deaths from bleeding after childbirth. Information on to what extent treatments for bleeding increases the cost of care of women after childbirth is important for informed resource allocation. We collected data from all women who had bleeding after childbirth, as well as a random sample of women without bleeding in selected hospitals in India, Kenya, Nigeria, and Uganda. Cost data was collected for the cost of stay and interventions to manage bleeding for 2966 women. We compared the difference in cost of care between women who experienced a bleeding event and those who did not. The mean cost of care of a woman with bleeding in the study sites exceeded the cost of care of a woman who did not experience PPH by between 21% and 309%. There was a large variation in cost across hospitals within a country and across countries. Our results indicate an increased cost of bleeding of up to 4.1 times that for birth without bleeding. Effective prevention reduces the cost of care. Cost information can help countries to evaluate options across different conditions and in the formulation of appropriate guidelines for intrapartum care, including rational selection of quality-assured, effective medicines. This information can be applied to national assessment and adaptation of international recommendations such as the World Health Organization's recommendations on medications for the prevention of bleeding after childbirth or other interventions used to treat bleeding.
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Costos de la Atención en Salud , Oxitócicos/uso terapéutico , Hemorragia Posparto/tratamiento farmacológico , Hemorragia Posparto/prevención & control , Adulto , Femenino , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud , Hospitales , Humanos , Kenia , Oxitócicos/economía , Oxitocina/análogos & derivados , Hemorragia Posparto/economía , Embarazo , UgandaRESUMEN
Ultrasound biometry is an important clinical tool for the identification, monitoring, and management of fetal growth restriction and development of macrosomia. This is even truer in populations in which perinatal morbidity and mortality rates are high, which is a reason that much effort is put onto making the technique available everywhere, including low-income societies. Until recently, however, commonly used reference ranges were based on single populations largely from industrialized countries. Thus, the World Health Organization prioritized the establishment of fetal growth charts for international use. New fetal growth charts for common fetal measurements and estimated fetal weight were based on a longitudinal study of 1387 low-risk pregnant women from 10 countries (Argentina, Brazil, Democratic Republic of Congo, Denmark, Egypt, France, Germany, India, Norway, and Thailand) that provided 8203 sets of ultrasound measurements. The participants were characterized by median age 28 years, 58% nulliparous, normal body mass index, with no socioeconomic or nutritional constraints (median caloric intake, 1840 calories/day), and had the ability to attend the ultrasound sessions, thus essentially representing urban populations. Median gestational age at birth was 39 weeks, and birthweight was 3300 g, both with significant differences among countries. Quantile regression was used to establish the fetal growth charts, which also made it possible to demonstrate a number of features of fetal growth that previously were not well appreciated or unknown: (1) There was an asymmetric distribution of estimated fetal weight in the population. During early second trimester, the distribution was wider among fetuses <50th percentile compared with those above. The pattern was reversed in the third trimester, with a notably wider variation >50th percentile. (2) Although fetal sex, maternal factors (height, weight, age, and parity), and country had significant influence on fetal weight (1-4.5% each), their effect was graded across the percentiles. For example, the positive effect of maternal height on fetal weight was strongest on the lowest percentiles and smallest on the highest percentiles for estimated fetal weight. (3) When adjustment was made for maternal covariates, there was still a significant effect of country as covariate that indicated that ethnic, cultural, and geographic variation play a role. (4) Variation between populations was not restricted to fetal size because there were also differences in growth trajectories. (5) The wide physiologic ranges, as illustrated by the 5th-95th percentile for estimated fetal weight being 2205-3538 g at 37 weeks gestation, signify that human fetal growth under optimized maternal conditions is not uniform. Rather, it has a remarkable variation that largely is unexplained by commonly known factors. We suggest this variation could be part of our common biologic strategy that makes human evolution extremely successful. The World Health Organization fetal growth charts are intended to be used internationally based on low-risk pregnancies from populations in Africa, Asia, Europe, and South America. We consider it prudent to test and monitor whether the growth charts' performance meets the local needs, because refinements are possible by a change in cut-offs or customization for fetal sex, maternal factors, and populations. In the same line, the study finding of variations emphasizes the need for carefully adjusted growth charts that reflect optimal local growth when public health issues are addressed.
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Desarrollo Fetal , Retardo del Crecimiento Fetal/diagnóstico , Macrosomía Fetal/diagnóstico , Gráficos de Crecimiento , Organización Mundial de la Salud , Argentina , Biometría , Brasil , República Democrática del Congo , Dinamarca , Egipto , Femenino , Peso Fetal , Francia , Alemania , Humanos , India , Recién Nacido , Estudios Longitudinales , Noruega , Embarazo , Segundo Trimestre del Embarazo , Tercer Trimestre del Embarazo , Valores de Referencia , Tailandia , Ultrasonografía PrenatalRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There is empirical evidence that measured postpartum blood loss has a lognormal distribution. This feature can be used to analyze events of the type 'blood loss greater than a certain cutoff point' using a lognormal approach, which takes into account all the quantitative observations, as opposed to dichotomizing the variable blood loss volume into two categories. This lognormal approach uses all the information contained in the data and is expected to provide more efficient estimates of proportions and relative risk when comparing treatments to prevent postpartum haemorrhage. As a consequence, sample size can be reduced in clinical trials, while keeping the statistical precision requirements. METHODS: The authors illustrate how a lognormal approach can be used in this situation, using data from a clinical trial and the event 'blood loss greater than 1000 mL'. RESULTS: Estimates of the proportions of this event for each treatment, and relative risks obtained with this method are presented and compared with the standard estimates obtained by dichotomizing measured blood loss volume. An example of how the blood loss distributions of two treatments can be compared is also presented. Different scenarios of the sample size needed to compare two treatments or interventions are presented to illustrate how with the lognormal approach the size of a clinical trial can be reduced. CONCLUSIONS: A distributional approach for postpartum blood loss using the lognormal distribution fitted to the data results in more precise estimates of risks of events and relative risks, compared to the use of binomial proportions of events. It also results in reduced required sample size for clinical trials. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This paper reports a secondary analysis for a trial that was registered at clinicaltrials.gov ( NCT00781066 ).
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Hemorragia Posparto/prevención & control , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo , Tamaño de la MuestraRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The loss of large amounts of blood postpartum can lead to severe maternal morbidity and mortality. Understanding the nature of postpartum blood loss distribution is critical for the development of efficient analysis techniques when comparing treatments to prevent this event. When blood loss is measured, resulting in a continuous volume measure, often this variable is categorized in classes, and reduced to an indicator of volume greater than a cutoff point. This reduction of volume to classes entails a substantial loss of information. As a consequence, very large trials are needed to assess clinically important differences between treatments to prevent postpartum haemorrhage. METHODS: The authors explore the nature of postpartum blood loss distribution, assuming that the physical properties of blood loss lead to a lognormal distribution. Data from four clinical trials and one observational study are used to confirm this empirically. Estimates of probabilities of postpartum haemorrhage events 'blood loss greater than a cutoff point' and relative risks are obtained from the fitted lognormal distributions. Confidence intervals for relative risk are obtained by bootstrap techniques. RESULTS: A variant of the lognormal distribution, the three-parameter lognormal distribution, showed an excellent fit to postpartum blood loss data of the four trials and the observational study. A measurement quality assessment showed that problems of digit preference and lower limit of detection were well handled by the lognormal fit. The analysis of postpartum haemorrhage events based on a lognormal distribution improved the efficiency of the estimates. Sample size calculation for a hypothetical future trial showed that the application of this procedure permits a reduction of sample size for treatment comparison. CONCLUSION: A variant of the lognormal distribution fitted very well postpartum blood loss data from different geographical areas, suggesting that the lognormal distribution might fit postpartum blood loss universally. An approach of analysis of postpartum haemorrhage events based on the lognormal distribution improves efficiency of estimates of probabilities and relative risk, and permits a reduction of sample size for treatment comparison. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This paper reports secondary analyses for trials registered at Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN 12608000434392 and ACTRN12614000870651); and at clinicaltrials.gov (NCT00781066).
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Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Modelos Teóricos , Hemorragia Posparto/prevención & control , Femenino , Humanos , Periodo Posparto , Embarazo , Índice de Severidad de la EnfermedadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: In the mid-2000s, neonatal mortality accounted for almost 40% of deaths of children under 5 years worldwide, and constituted 65% of infant deaths in India. The neonatal mortality rate in Andhra Pradesh was 44 per 1,000 live births, and was higher in the rural areas and tribal regions, such as the Nagarkurnool division of Mahabubnagar district (which became Nagarkurnool district in Telangana in 2014). The aim of the CHAMPION trial was to investigate whether a package of interventions comprising community health promotion and provision of health services (including outreach and facility-based care) could lead to a reduction of the order of 25% in neonatal mortality. METHODS AND FINDINGS: The design was a trial in which villages (clusters) in Nagarkurnool with a population < 2,500 were randomised to the CHAMPION package of health interventions or to the control arm (in which children aged 6-9 years were provided with educational interventions-the STRIPES trial). A woman was eligible for the CHAMPION package if she was married and <50 years old, neither she nor her husband had had a family planning operation, and she resided in a trial village at the time of a baseline survey before randomisation or married into the village after randomisation. The CHAMPION intervention package comprised community health promotion (including health education via village health worker-led participatory discussion groups) and provision of health services (including outreach, with mobile teams providing antenatal check-ups, and facility-based care, with subsidised access to non-public health centres [NPHCs]). Villages were stratified by travel time to the nearest NPHC and tribal status, and randomised (1:1) within strata. The primary outcome was neonatal mortality. Secondary outcomes included maternal mortality, causes of death, health knowledge, health practices including health service usage, satisfaction with care, and costs. The baseline survey (enumeration) was carried out between August and November 2007. After randomisation on 18 February 2008, participants, data collectors, and data analysts were not masked to allocation. The intervention was initiated on 1 August 2008. After an inception period, the assessment start date was 1 December 2008. The intervention ended on 31 May 2011, and data collection was completed on 30 November 2011. Primary analyses followed the intention to treat principle. In all, 14,137 women were enrolled in 232 control villages, and 15,532 in 232 intervention villages. Of these, 4,885 control women had 5,474 eligible pregnancies and gave birth to 4,998 eligible children. The corresponding numbers in intervention villages were 5,664 women, 6,351 pregnancies, and 5,798 children. Of the live-born babies, 343 (6.9%) in the control arm and 303 (5.2%) in the intervention arm died in their first 28 days of life (risk ratio 0.76, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.90, p = 0.0018; risk difference -1.59%, 95% CI -2.63% to -0.54%), suggesting that there were 92 fewer deaths (95% CI 31 to 152) as a result of the intervention. There were 9 (0.16%) maternal deaths in the control arm compared to 13 (0.20%) in the intervention arm (risk ratio 1.24, 95% CI 0.53 to 2.90, p = 0.6176; 1 death was reported as a serious adverse event). There was evidence of improved health knowledge and health practices including health service usage in the intervention arm compared to the control arm. Women in the intervention arm were more likely to rate their delivery and postnatal care as good or very good. The total cost of the CHAMPION interventions was US$1,084,955 ($11,769 per life saved, 95% CI $7,115 to $34,653). The main limitations of the study included that it could not be masked post-randomisation and that fetal losses were not divided into stillbirths and miscarriages because gestational age was not reliably reported. CONCLUSIONS: The CHAMPION trial showed that a package of interventions addressing health knowledge and health seeking behaviour, buttressing existing health services, and contracting out important areas of maternal and child healthcare led to a reduction in neonatal mortality of almost the hypothesized 25% in small villages in an Indian state with high mortality rates. The intervention can be strongly justified in much of rural India, and is of potential use in other similar settings. Ongoing changes in maternal and child health programmes make it imperative that a similar intervention that establishes ties between the community and health facilities is tested in different settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN registry ISRCTN24104646.
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Servicios de Salud Comunitaria , Conductas Relacionadas con la Salud , Promoción de la Salud/métodos , Salud del Lactante , Mortalidad Infantil , Población Rural , Servicios de Salud Comunitaria/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Humanos , India , Lactante , Salud del Lactante/estadística & datos numéricos , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Perinatal mortality and morbidity continue to be major global health challenges strongly associated with prematurity and reduced fetal growth, an issue of further interest given the mounting evidence that fetal growth in general is linked to degrees of risk of common noncommunicable diseases in adulthood. Against this background, WHO made it a high priority to provide the present fetal growth charts for estimated fetal weight (EFW) and common ultrasound biometric measurements intended for worldwide use. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a multinational prospective observational longitudinal study of fetal growth in low-risk singleton pregnancies of women of high or middle socioeconomic status and without known environmental constraints on fetal growth. Centers in ten countries (Argentina, Brazil, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Denmark, Egypt, France, Germany, India, Norway, and Thailand) recruited participants who had reliable information on last menstrual period and gestational age confirmed by crown-rump length measured at 8-13 wk of gestation. Participants had anthropometric and nutritional assessments and seven scheduled ultrasound examinations during pregnancy. Fifty-two participants withdrew consent, and 1,387 participated in the study. At study entry, median maternal age was 28 y (interquartile range [IQR] 25-31), median height was 162 cm (IQR 157-168), median weight was 61 kg (IQR 55-68), 58% of the women were nulliparous, and median daily caloric intake was 1,840 cal (IQR 1,487-2,222). The median pregnancy duration was 39 wk (IQR 38-40) although there were significant differences between countries, the largest difference being 12 d (95% CI 8-16). The median birthweight was 3,300 g (IQR 2,980-3,615). There were differences in birthweight between countries, e.g., India had significantly smaller neonates than the other countries, even after adjusting for gestational age. Thirty-one women had a miscarriage, and three fetuses had intrauterine death. The 8,203 sets of ultrasound measurements were scrutinized for outliers and leverage points, and those measurements taken at 14 to 40 wk were selected for analysis. A total of 7,924 sets of ultrasound measurements were analyzed by quantile regression to establish longitudinal reference intervals for fetal head circumference, biparietal diameter, humerus length, abdominal circumference, femur length and its ratio with head circumference and with biparietal diameter, and EFW. There was asymmetric distribution of growth of EFW: a slightly wider distribution among the lower percentiles during early weeks shifted to a notably expanded distribution of the higher percentiles in late pregnancy. Male fetuses were larger than female fetuses as measured by EFW, but the disparity was smaller in the lower quantiles of the distribution (3.5%) and larger in the upper quantiles (4.5%). Maternal age and maternal height were associated with a positive effect on EFW, particularly in the lower tail of the distribution, of the order of 2% to 3% for each additional 10 y of age of the mother and 1% to 2% for each additional 10 cm of height. Maternal weight was associated with a small positive effect on EFW, especially in the higher tail of the distribution, of the order of 1.0% to 1.5% for each additional 10 kg of bodyweight of the mother. Parous women had heavier fetuses than nulliparous women, with the disparity being greater in the lower quantiles of the distribution, of the order of 1% to 1.5%, and diminishing in the upper quantiles. There were also significant differences in growth of EFW between countries. In spite of the multinational nature of the study, sample size is a limiting factor for generalization of the charts. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides WHO fetal growth charts for EFW and common ultrasound biometric measurements, and shows variation between different parts of the world.
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Antropometría , Desarrollo Fetal , Peso Fetal , Adulto , Femenino , Salud Global , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Embarazo , Estudios Prospectivos , Valores de Referencia , Ultrasonografía , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002220.].
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BACKGROUND: The number of visits for antenatal (prenatal) care developed without evidence of how many visits are necessary. The content of each visit also needs evaluation. OBJECTIVES: To compare the effects of antenatal care programmes with reduced visits for low-risk women with standard care. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Group's Trials Register (23 March 2015), reference lists of articles and contacted researchers in the field. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised trials comparing a reduced number of antenatal visits, with or without goal-oriented care, versus standard care. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently assessed trials for inclusion and risk of bias, extracted data and checked for accuracy. We assessed studies for risk of bias and graded the quality of the evidence. MAIN RESULTS: We included seven trials (more than 60,000 women): four in high-income countries with individual randomisation; three in low- and middle-income countries with cluster randomisation (clinics as the unit of randomisation). Most of the data included in the review came from the three large, well-designed cluster-randomised trials that took place in Argentina, Cuba, Saudi Arabia, Thailand and Zimbabwe. All results have been adjusted for the cluster design effect. All of the trials were at some risk of bias as blinding of women and staff was not feasible with this type of intervention. For primary outcomes, evidence was graded as being of moderate or low quality, with downgrading decisions due to risks of bias and imprecision of effects.The number of visits for standard care varied, with fewer visits in low- and middle- income country trials. In studies in high-income countries, women in the reduced visits groups, on average, attended between 8.2 and 12 times. In low- and middle- income country trials, many women in the reduced visits group attended on fewer than five occasions, although in these trials the content as well as the number of visits was changed, so as to be more 'goal-oriented'.Perinatal mortality was increased for those randomised to reduced visits rather than standard care, and this difference was borderline for statistical significance (risk ratio (RR) 1.14; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00 to 1.31; five trials, 56,431 babies; moderate-quality evidence). In the subgroup analysis, for high-income countries the number of deaths was small (32/5108), and there was no clear difference between the groups (RR 0.90; 95% CI 0.45 to 1.80, two trials); for low- and middle-income countries perinatal mortality was significantly higher in the reduced visits group (RR 1.15; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.32, three trials).There was no clear difference between groups for our other primary outcomes: maternal death (RR 1.13, 95%CI 0.50 to 2.57, three cluster-randomised trials, 51,504 women, low-quality evidence); hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (various definitions including pre-eclampsia) (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.12, six studies, 54,108 women, low-quality evidence); preterm birth (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.11; seven studies, 53,661 women, moderate-quality evidence); and small-for-gestational age (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.09, four studies 43,045 babies, moderate-quality evidence).Reduced visits were associated with a reduction in admission to neonatal intensive care that was borderline for significance (RR 0.89; 95% CI 0.79 to 1.02, five studies, 43,048 babies, moderate quality evidence). There were no clear differences between the groups for the other secondary clinical outcomes.Women in all settings were less satisfied with the reduced visits schedule and perceived the gap between visits as too long. Reduced visits may be associated with lower costs. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: In settings with limited resources where the number of visits is already low, reduced visits programmes of antenatal care are associated with an increase in perinatal mortality compared to standard care, although admission to neonatal intensive care may be reduced. Women prefer the standard visits schedule. Where the standard number of visits is low, visits should not be reduced without close monitoring of fetal and neonatal outcome.
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Visita a Consultorio Médico/estadística & datos numéricos , Mortalidad Perinatal , Atención Prenatal/normas , Países Desarrollados , Países en Desarrollo , Medicina Familiar y Comunitaria , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Partería , Satisfacción del Paciente , Embarazo , Resultado del Embarazo , Atención Prenatal/estadística & datos numéricos , Evaluación de Programas y Proyectos de Salud , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como AsuntoRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the observed non-inferiority of heat-stable carbetocin (HSC), compared with oxytocin, was influenced by biologic (macrosomia, parity 3 or more, or history of postpartum hemorrhage [PPH]) and/or pharmacologic (induction or augmentation) risk factors for PPH. METHODS: The present study is a secondary analysis of the CHAMPION non-inferiority randomized trial-a two-arm, double-blind, active-controlled study conducted at 23 hospitals in 10 countries, between July 2015 and January 2018. Women with singleton pregnancies, expected to deliver vaginally with cervical dilatation up to 6 cm were eligible. Randomization was stratified by country, with 1:1 assignment. Women in the intervention and control groups received a single intramuscular injection of 100 µg of HSC or 10 IU of oxytocin, respectively. The drugs were administered immediately after birth, and the third stage of labor was managed according to the WHO guidelines. Blood was collected using a plastic drape. For this analysis, we defined a woman as being at risk if she had any one or more of the biologic or pharmacologic risk factor(s). RESULTS: The HSC and oxytocin arms contained 14 770 and 14 768 women, respectively. The risk ratios (RR) for PPH were 1.29 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.53) or 1.73 (95% CI 1.51-1.98) for those with only biologic (macrosomia, parity 3 or more, and PPH in the previous pregnancy) or only pharmacologic (induced or augmented) risk factors, respectively, compared with those with neither risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Findings reinforce previous evidence that macrosomia, high parity, history of PPH, and induction/augmentation are risk factors for PPH. We did not find a difference in effects between HSC and oxytocin for PPH among women who were neither induced nor augmented or among those who were induced or augmented.
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Productos Biológicos , Oxitócicos , Hemorragia Posparto , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Oxitocina , Hemorragia Posparto/epidemiología , Hemorragia Posparto/prevención & control , Calor , Macrosomía Fetal , Método Doble Ciego , Productos Biológicos/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Little information is available about the incidence of complications from vacuum aspiration for first-trimester abortion after cervical preparation with prostaglandin analogues. We compared incidence of complications from vacuum aspiration in women who had had cervical preparation with misoprostol and those who had not. METHODS: We did a randomised parallel-group trial at 14 centres in nine countries between Oct 22, 2002, and Sept 24, 2005. Healthy women seeking first-trimester abortion were randomly assigned via a computer-generated randomisation sequence stratified by centre, to receive vaginal administration of either two 200 µg tablets of misoprostol or two placebo tablets 3 h before abortion by vacuum aspiration. Participants and health-care personnel other than staff administering the treatment were masked to group assignment. Follow-up was up to 2 weeks. The primary outcome was one or more complications of vacuum aspiration (cervical tear, uterine perforation, incomplete abortion, uterine re-evacuation, pelvic inflammatory disease, or any other serious adverse event). We included women undergoing treatment and vacuum aspiration in the analysis of immediate complications; whereas, in the analysis of delayed complications, we included only those followed-up. In the analysis of any immediate or delayed complication, we excluded women lost to follow-up. This trial is registered, number ISRCTN85366519. FINDINGS: We randomly assigned 2485 women to the misoprostol group and 2487 to the placebo group. Two women in the misoprostol group did not have vacuum aspiration. 56 women in each group were lost to follow-up. 50 (2%) of 2427 women in the misoprostol group and 74 (3%) of 2431 in the placebo group had one or more complication of vacuum aspiration (relative risk [RR] 0·68, 95% CI 0·47-0·96). No women in the misoprostol group had cervical tears and three had uterine perforations compared with two women in the placebo group who had cervical tears and one who had perforation. 19 (<1%) women given misoprostol and 55 (2%) on placebo had incomplete abortions (0·35, 0·21-0·58), of whom 14 (<1%) versus 48 (2%) needed uterine re-evacuation (0·29, 0·16-0·53). We noted no difference between groups in incidence of pelvic inflammatory disease (30 [1%] vs 25 [1%]; RR 1·20, 0·71-2·04) or other serious adverse events. The main side-effects of misoprostol during the 3 h treatment were abdominal pain (1355 [55%] of 2484 women vs 545 [22%] of 2487 women in the placebo group) and vaginal bleeding (909 [37%] vs 167 [7%]). INTERPRETATION: Cervical preparation with 400 µg of vaginal misoprostol can reduce incidence of complications from vacuum aspiration for first trimester abortion. FUNDING: UN Development Programme/UN Population Fund/WHO/World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction, Department of Reproductive Health and Research, WHO, and the Packard Foundation.
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Abortivos no Esteroideos/administración & dosificación , Aborto Inducido/efectos adversos , Misoprostol/administración & dosificación , Primer Trimestre del Embarazo , Legrado por Aspiración/efectos adversos , Administración Intravaginal , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Perdida de Seguimiento , Placebos , Embarazo , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Active management of the third stage of labour reduces the risk of post-partum haemorrhage. We aimed to assess whether controlled cord traction can be omitted from active management of this stage without increasing the risk of severe haemorrhage. METHODS: We did a multicentre, non-inferiority, randomised controlled trial in 16 hospitals and two primary health-care centres in Argentina, Egypt, India, Kenya, the Philippines, South Africa, Thailand, and Uganda. Women expecting to deliver singleton babies vaginally (ie, not planned caesarean section) were randomly assigned (in a 1:1 ratio) with a centrally generated allocation sequence, stratified by country, to placental delivery with gravity and maternal effort (simplified package) or controlled cord traction applied immediately after uterine contraction and cord clamping (full package). After randomisation, allocation could not be concealed from investigators, participants, or assessors. Oxytocin 10 IU was administered immediately after birth with cord clamping after 1-3 min. Uterine massage was done after placental delivery according to local policy. The primary (non-inferiority) outcome was blood loss of 1000 mL or more (severe haemorrhage). The non-inferiority margin for the risk ratio was 1·3. Analysis was by modified intention-to-treat, excluding women who had emergency caesarean sections. This trial is registered with the Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, ACTRN 12608000434392. FINDINGS: Between June 1, 2009, and Oct 30, 2010, 12,227 women were randomly assigned to the simplified package group and 12,163 to the full package group. After exclusion of women who had emergency caesarean sections, 11,861 were in the simplified package group and 11,820 were in the full package group. The primary outcome of blood loss of 1000 mL or more had a risk ratio of 1·09 (95% CI 0·91-1·31) and the upper 95% CI limit crossed the pre-stated non-inferiority margin. One case of uterine inversion occurred in the full package group. Other adverse events were haemorrhage-related. INTERPRETATION: Although the hypothesis of non-inferiority was not met, omission of controlled cord traction has very little effect on the risk of severe haemorrhage. Scaling up of haemorrhage prevention programmes for non-hospital settings can safely focus on use of oxytocin. FUNDING: United States Agency for International Development and UN Development Programme/UN Population Fund/WHO/World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction, Department of Reproductive Health and Research.
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Parto Obstétrico/métodos , Tercer Periodo del Trabajo de Parto , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Hemorragia Posparto/prevención & control , EmbarazoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To avoid selection bias in clinical trials, random allocation concealment is crucial to ensure that participants and or researchers remain unaware of assignments. PURPOSE: We aimed to design an allocation concealment method that reduced the possibility of selection bias for a randomized, open-label, crossover trial to evaluate device function of four female condom (FC) types. METHODS: Using scratch card technology, we devised a simple method of concealment, whereby the treatment sequence was printed on a single card for each participant, and the codes for each treatment in the sequence were concealed beneath foil squares on a stiff A6-sized card. On the first and subsequent follow-up visits, the foil corresponding to that visit was scratched from the square to reveal the condom type allocation for the next condom-use period. Staff in the South African and Chinese trial sites were trained in use and care of the card, and on completion of the study completed a questionnaire on their experience of use. RESULTS: Research staff in both countries found the card easy to use and those who had previously used the sequentially numbered, opaque, sealed envelopes (SNOSE) system for random allocation reported the scratch card easier to use. Research staff most commonly used a coin to remove the foil square and some used their fingernails. In both South Africa and China, no errors in allocation sequence were found during study monitoring. LIMITATIONS: Scratch card system of allocation cannot be printed in-house. CONCLUSIONS: This novel, effective method of concealment for a crossover random allocation was well liked by study staff. The most important advantage of this method is the ability to conceal consecutive allocations of a crossover design using a single card, thus eliminating the need for multiple envelopes per participant. While we used this method in a clinical trial of FCs, it could be employed in a range of other clinical trials and other randomized studies.
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Estudios Cruzados , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/instrumentación , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto/métodos , China , Condones Femeninos , Femenino , Humanos , Proyectos de Investigación , Sesgo de Selección , Sudáfrica , Materiales de EnseñanzaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: In 2001, the WHO Antenatal Care Trial (WHOACT) concluded that an antenatal care package of evidence-based screening, therapeutic interventions and education across four antenatal visits for low-risk women was not inferior to standard antenatal care and may reduce cost. However, an updated Cochrane review in 2010 identified an increased risk of perinatal mortality of borderline statistical significance in three cluster-randomized trials (including the WHOACT) in developing countries. We conducted a secondary analysis of the WHOACT data to determine the relationship between the reduced visits, goal-oriented antenatal care package and perinatal mortality. METHODS: Exploratory analyses were conducted to assess the effect of baseline risk and timing of perinatal death. Women were stratified by baseline risk to assess differences between intervention and control groups. We used linear modeling and Poisson regression to determine the relative risk of fetal death, neonatal death and perinatal mortality by gestational age. RESULTS: 12,568 women attended the 27 intervention clinics and 11,958 women attended the 26 control clinics. 6,160 women were high risk and 18,365 women were low risk. There were 161 fetal deaths (1.4%) in the intervention group compared to 119 fetal deaths in the control group (1.1%) with an increased overall adjusted relative risk of fetal death (Adjusted RR 1.27; 95% CI 1.03, 1.58). This was attributable to an increased relative risk of fetal death between 32 and 36 weeks of gestation (Adjusted RR 2.24; 95% CI 1.42, 3.53) which was statistically significant for high and low risk groups. CONCLUSION: It is plausible the increased risk of fetal death between 32 and 36 weeks gestation could be due to reduced number of visits, however heterogeneity in study populations or differences in quality of care and timing of visits could also be playing a role. Monitoring maternal, fetal and neonatal outcomes when implementing antenatal care protocols is essential. Implementing reduced visit antenatal care packages demands careful monitoring of maternal and perinatal outcomes, especially fetal death.
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Visita a Consultorio Médico/estadística & datos numéricos , Mortalidad Perinatal , Atención Prenatal/estadística & datos numéricos , Atención Prenatal/normas , Adulto , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Embarazo , Resultado del Embarazo , Evaluación de Programas y Proyectos de Salud , Organización Mundial de la SaludRESUMEN
The CONSORT (Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials) Statement, which includes a checklist and a flow diagram, is a guideline developed to help authors improve the reporting of the findings from randomized controlled trials. It was updated most recently in 2010. Its primary focus is on individually randomized trials with 2 parallel groups that assess the possible superiority of one treatment compared with another. The CONSORT Statement has been extended to other trial designs such as cluster randomization, and recommendations for noninferiority and equivalence trials were made in 2006. In this article, we present an updated extension of the CONSORT checklist for reporting noninferiority and equivalence trials, based on the 2010 version of the CONSORT Statement and the 2008 CONSORT Statement for the reporting of abstracts, and provide illustrative examples and explanations for those items that differ from the main 2010 CONSORT checklist. The intent is to improve reporting of noninferiority and equivalence trials, enabling readers to assess the reliability of their results and conclusions.