A Phase 3 Biomarker Validation of GALAD for the Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Better surveillance tests for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are needed. The GALAD score (gender, age, α-fetoprotein [AFP] L3, AFP, and des carboxyprothrombin) has been shown to have excellent sensitivity and specificity for HCC in phase 2 studies. We performed a phase 3 biomarker validation study to compare GALAD with AFP in detecting HCC. METHODS: This is a prospective study of patients with cirrhosis enrolled at 7 centers. Surveillance for HCC was performed every 6 months at each site, and HCC diagnosis was confirmed per American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases guidelines. Blood for biomarker research was obtained at each follow-up visit and stored in a biorepository. Measurements of AFP, AFP-L3, and des-γ carboxyprothrombin) were performed in a FujiFilm laboratory by staff blinded to clinical data. The performance of GALAD in detecting HCC was retrospectively evaluated within 12 months before the clinical diagnosis. All analyses were conducted by an unblinded statistician in the EDRN data management and coordinating center. RESULTS: A total of 1,558 patients with cirrhosis were enrolled and followed for a median of 2.2 years. A total of 109 patients developed HCC (76 very early or early stage), with an annual incident rate of 2.4%. The areas under the curve for AFP and GALAD within 12 months before HCC were 0.66 and 0.78 (P < .001), respectively. Using a cutoff for GALAD of -1.36, the specificity was 82%, and the sensitivity at 12 months before HCC diagnosis was 62%. For comparison, performance of AFP at 82% specificity showed 41% sensitivity at 12 months before HCC diagnosis (P = .001). CONCLUSIONS: GALAD score, compared to AFP, improves the detection of HCC within 12 months before the actual diagnosis.

Recompensation of Chronic Hepatitis C-Related Decompensated Cirrhosis Following Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy: Prospective Cohort Study From a Hepatitis C Virus Elimination Program.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Chronic hepatitis C-related decompensated cirrhosis is associated with lower sustained virologic response (SVR)-12 rates and variable regression of disease severity after direct-acting antiviral agents. We assessed rates of SVR-12, recompensation (Baveno VII criteria), and survival in such patients. METHODS: Between July 2018 and July 2023, patients with decompensated chronic hepatitis C-related cirrhosis after direct-acting antiviral agents treatment were evaluated for SVR-12 and then had 6-monthly follow-up. RESULTS: Of 6516 patients with cirrhosis, 1152 with decompensated cirrhosis (age 53.2 ± 11.5 years; 63% men; Model for End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium [MELD-Na]: 16.5 ± 4.6; 87% genotype 3) were enrolled. SVR-12 was 81.8% after 1 course; ultimately SVR was 90.8% after additional treatment. Decompensation events included ascites (1098; 95.3%), hepatic encephalopathy (191; 16.6%), and variceal bleeding (284; 24.7%). Ascites resolved in 86% (diuretic withdrawal achieved in 24% patients). Recompensation occurred in 284 (24.7%) at a median time of 16.5 (interquartile range, 14.5-20.5) months. On multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, low bilirubin (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.5-0.8; P < 0.001), international normalized ratio (aHR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1-0.3; P < 0.001), absence of large esophageal varices (aHR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.9; P = 0.048), or gastric varices (aHR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.3-0.7; P = 0.022) predicted recompensation. Portal hypertension progressed in 158 (13.7%) patients, with rebleed in 4%. Prior decompensation with variceal bleeding (aHR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.8; P = 0.042), and presence of large varices (aHR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.3-6.5; P < 0.001) were associated with portal hypertension progression. Further decompensation was seen in 221 (19%); 145 patients died and 6 underwent liver transplantation. A decrease in MELDNa of ≥3 was seen in 409 (35.5%) and a final MELDNa score of <10 was seen in 335 (29%), but 2.9% developed hepatocellular carcinoma despite SVR-12. CONCLUSIONS: SVR-12 in hepatitis C virus-related decompensated cirrhosis in a predominant genotype 3 population led to recompensation in 24.7% of patients over a follow-up of 4 years in a public health setting. Despite SVR-12, new hepatic decompensation evolved in 19% and hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 2.9% of patients. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT03488485).

Role of point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) in clinical hepatology.

Hospitalized patients with cirrhosis frequently require critical care management for sepsis, HE, respiratory failure, acute variceal bleeding, acute kidney injury (AKI), shock, and optimization for liver transplantation, while outpatients have unique care considerations. Point-of-care ultrasonography (POCUS) enhances bedside examination of the hepatobiliary system and relevant extrahepatic sites. POCUS includes cardiac US and is used to assess volume status and hemodynamic parameters like cardiac output, systemic vascular resistance, cardiac contractility, and pulmonary artery pressure, which aid in the early and accurate diagnosis of heart failure, cirrhotic cardiomyopathy, porto-pulmonary hypertension, hepatopulmonary syndrome, arrhythmia, and pulmonary embolism. This also helps in fluid management and vasopressor use in the resuscitation of patients with cirrhosis. Lung ultrasound (LUS) can help in differentiating pneumonia, effusion, and edema. Further, US guides interventions such as line placement, drainage of abdominal collections/abscesses, relief of tension pneumothorax, drainage of pleural and pericardial effusions, and biliary drainage in cholangitis. Additionally, its role is essential to assess liver masses foci of sepsis, for appropriate sites for paracentesis, and to assess for vascular disorders such as portal vein or hepatic vein thrombosis. Renal US can identify renal and postrenal causes of AKI and aid in diagnosis of prerenal AKI through volume assessment. In this review, we address the principles and methods of POCUS in hospitalized patients and in outpatients with cirrhosis and discuss the application of this diverse modality in clinical hepatology.

Evaluation of terlipressin-related patient outcomes in hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury using point-of-care echocardiography.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Treatment of hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI), with terlipressin and albumin, provides survival benefits, but may be associated with cardiopulmonary complications. We analyzed the predictors of terlipressin response and mortality using point-of-care echocardiography (POC-Echo) and cardiac and renal biomarkers. APPROACH: Between December 2021 and January 2023, patients with HRS-AKI were assessed with POC-Echo and lung ultrasound within 6 hours of admission, at the time of starting terlipressin (48 h), and at 72 hours. Volume expansion was done with 20% albumin, followed by terlipressin infusion. Clinical data, POC-Echo data, and serum biomarkers were prospectively collected. Cirrhotic cardiomyopathy (CCM) was defined per 2020 criteria. RESULTS: One hundred and forty patients were enrolled (84% men, 59% alcohol-associated disease, mean MELD-Na 25±SD 5.6). A median daily dose of infused terlipressin was 4.3 (interquartile range: 3.9-4.6) mg/day; mean duration 6.4 ± SD 1.9 days; the complete response was in 62% and partial response in 11%. Overall mortality was 14% and 16% at 30 and 90 days, respectively. Cutoffs for prediction of terlipressin nonresponse were cardiac variables [ratio of early mitral inflow velocity and mitral annular early diastolic tissue doppler velocity > 12.5 (indicating increased left filling pressures, C-statistic: 0.774), tissue doppler mitral velocity < 7 cm/s (indicating impaired relaxation; C-statistic: 0.791), > 20.5% reduction in cardiac index at 72 hours (C-statistic: 0.885); p < 0.001] and pretreatment biomarkers (CysC > 2.2 mg/l, C-statistic: 0.640 and N-terminal proBNP > 350 pg/mL, C-statistic: 0.655; p <0.050). About 6% of all patients with HRS-AKI and 26% of patients with CCM had pulmonary edema. The presence of CCM (adjusted HR 1.9; CI: 1.8-4.5, p = 0.009) and terlipressin nonresponse (adjusted HR 5.2; CI: 2.2-12.2, p <0.001) were predictors of mortality independent of age, sex, obesity, DM-2, etiology, and baseline creatinine. CONCLUSIONS: CCM and reduction in cardiac index, reliably predict terlipressin nonresponse. CCM is independently associated with poor survival in HRS-AKI.

Liver transplantation for acute liver failure and acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Acute liver failure (ALF) and acute-on-chronic liver (ACLF) are distinct phenotypes of liver failure and, thus, need to be compared and contrasted for appropriate management. There has been a significant improvement in the outcomes of these patients undergoing liver transplantation (LT). Survival post-LT for ALF and ACLF ranges between 90% and 95% and 80% and 90% at 1 year, futility criteria have been described in both ALF and ACLF where organ failures define survival. Plasma exchange and continuous renal replacement therapy may serve as bridging therapies. Identifying the futility of LT is as necessary as the utility of LT in patients with ALF and ACLF. The role of regenerative therapies such as granulocyte colony-stimulating factors in ACLF and hepatocyte and xenotransplantation in both conditions remains uncertain. Measures to increase the donor pool through increasing deceased donor transplants in Asian countries, living donations in Western countries, auxiliary liver transplants, and ABO-incompatible liver transplants are necessary to improve the survival of these patients. In this review, we discuss the similarities and differences in clinical characteristics and the timing and outcomes of LT for ALF and ACLF, briefly highlighting the role of bridging therapies and providing an overview of recent advances in the management of ALF and ACLF.

Terlipressin plus Albumin for the Treatment of Type 1 Hepatorenal Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: The vasoconstrictor terlipressin is used for type 1 hepatorenal syndrome (HRS-1) in many parts of the world and is part of the clinical practice guidelines in Europe. METHODS: We conducted a phase 3 trial to confirm the efficacy and safety of terlipressin plus albumin in adults with HRS-1. The patients were randomly assigned in a 2:1 ratio to receive terlipressin or placebo for up to 14 days; in both groups, concomitant use of albumin was strongly recommended. The primary end point was verified reversal of HRS, defined as two consecutive serum creatinine measurements of 1.5 mg per deciliter or less at least 2 hours apart and survival without renal-replacement therapy for at least 10 days after the completion of treatment. Four prespecified secondary end points were analyzed with the Hochberg procedure to account for multiple comparisons. RESULTS: A total of 300 patients underwent randomization - 199 were assigned to the terlipressin group and 101 to the placebo group. Verified reversal of HRS was reported in 63 patients (32%) in the terlipressin group and 17 patients (17%) in the placebo group (P = 0.006). With respect to the prespecified secondary end points, HRS reversal, defined as any serum creatinine level of 1.5 mg per deciliter or less during the first 14 days, was reported in 78 patients (39%) in the terlipressin group and 18 (18%) in the placebo group (P<0.001); HRS reversal without renal-replacement therapy by day 30, in 68 (34%) and 17 (17%), respectively (P = 0.001); HRS reversal among patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (84 patients in the terlipressin group and 48 patients in the placebo group), in 31 (37%) and 3 (6%), respectively (P<0.001); and verified reversal of HRS without recurrence by day 30, in 52 (26%) and 17 (17%), respectively (P = 0.08). At day 90, liver transplantations had been performed in 46 patients (23%) in the terlipressin group and 29 patients (29%) in the placebo group, and death occurred in 101 (51%) and 45 (45%), respectively. More adverse events, including abdominal pain, nausea, diarrhea, and respiratory failure, occurred with terlipressin than with placebo. Death within 90 days due to respiratory disorders occurred in 22 patients (11%) in the terlipressin group and 2 patients (2%) in the placebo group. CONCLUSIONS: In this trial involving adults with cirrhosis and HRS-1, terlipressin was more effective than placebo in improving renal function but was associated with serious adverse events, including respiratory failure. (Funded by Mallinckrodt Pharmaceuticals; CONFIRM ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02770716.).

Incidence and Risk Factors for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Cirrhosis: The Multicenter Hepatocellular Carcinoma Early Detection Strategy (HEDS) Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Worldwide, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy. We aimed to prospectively determine the incidence and risk factors of HCC in a U.S. METHODS: The multicenter Hepatocellular Carcinoma Early Detection Strategy study of the National Institutes of Health prospectively enrolled patients with cirrhosis who underwent standard surveillance for HCC. Demographics, medical and family history, etiology of liver disease, and clinical features were evaluated for associations with HCC. RESULTS: Between April 10, 2013 and December 31, 2021, 1723 patients were enrolled and confirmed eligible. During median follow-up of 2.2 years (range, 0-8.7 years), there were 109 incident cases of HCC for an incidence rate of 2.4 per 100 person-years: 88 (81%) patients with very early/early Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage (0, A), 20 (18%) intermediate stage (B), and 1 (1%) unknown stage. Risk factor analyses were restricted to 1325 patients, including 95 incident HCC, with at least 6 months of follow-up. The majority were men (53.2%), obese or severely obese (median body mass index, 30.2 kg/m2), and white (86.3%); 42.0% had history of hepatitis C virus infection, 20.7% had alcoholic liver disease, and 24.9% had nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Fourteen risk factors for HCC were significant (P < .05) in univariate analyses, and a multivariate subset was selected using stepwise logistic regression. The multivariate subset contained gender (P < .001; male; odds ratio [OR], 2.47; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.54-4.07), years with cirrhosis (P = .004; OR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.1), family history of liver cancer (P = .02; yes; OR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.11-5.86), age (per 5 years; P = .02; OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.03-1.33), obesity (P = .02; yes; OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.08-2.73), aspartate aminotransferase (log(1+AST); P = .06; OR, 1.54; 95% CI, 0.97-2.42), alpha-fetoprotein (log(1+AFP); P = .07; OR, 1.32; 95% CI, 0.97-1.77), and albumin (P = .10; OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.46-1.07). CONCLUSIONS: Thus far, this is the largest prospective and geographically diverse study of a U.S. cohort of patients with cirrhosis that validates known risk factors for HCC (gender, age, obesity, years with cirrhosis, family history of liver cancer, baseline AFP, albumin, and AST). The incidence of HCC was 2.4% per 100 person-years.

Predictors of Respiratory Failure Development in a Multicenter Cohort of Inpatients With Cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: Hospitalized patients with cirrhosis can develop respiratory failure (RF), which is associated with a poor prognosis, but predisposing factors are unclear. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled a multicenter North American cirrhosis inpatient cohort and collected admission and in-hospital data (grading per European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic Liver Failure scoring system, acute kidney injury [AKI], infections [admission/nosocomial], and albumin use) in an era when terlipressin was not available in North America. Multivariable regression to predict RF was performed using only admission day and in-hospital events occurring before RF. RESULTS: A total of 511 patients from 14 sites (median age 57 years, admission model for end-stage liver disease [MELD]-Na 23) were enrolled: RF developed in 15%; AKI occurred in 24%; and 11% developed nosocomial infections (NI). At admission, patients who developed RF had higher MELD-Na, gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding/AKI-related admission, and prior infections/ascites. During hospitalization, RF developers had higher NI (especially respiratory), albumin use, and other organ failures. RF was higher in patients receiving albumin (83% vs 59%, P < 0.0001) with increasing doses (269.5 ± 210.5 vs 208.6 ± 186.1 g, P = 0.01) regardless of indication. Admission for AKI, GI bleeding, and high MELD-Na predicted RF. Using all variables, NI (odds ratio [OR] = 4.02, P = 0.0004), GI bleeding (OR = 3.1, P = 0.002), albumin use (OR = 2.93, P = 0.01), AKI (OR = 3.26, P = 0.008), and circulatory failure (OR = 3.73, P = 0.002) were associated with RF risk. DISCUSSION: In a multicenter inpatient cirrhosis study of patients not exposed to terlipressin, 15% of patients developed RF. RF risk was highest in those admitted with AKI, those who had GI bleeding on admission, and those who developed NI and other organ failures or received albumin during their hospital course. Careful volume monitoring and preventing nosocomial respiratory infections and renal or circulatory failures could reduce this risk.

Early living donor liver transplantation for alcohol-associated hepatitis: Status in the era of increasing demand, unmet needs, and future considerations.

Hazardous alcohol consumption is the leading cause of liver disease worldwide. Alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is an acute and serious presentation of alcohol-associated liver disease that is associated with high short-term mortality. Medical management remains limited to corticosteroid therapy and intensive nutrition but improves survival in <50% of individuals. Liver transplantation (LT) is increasingly recognized as a treatment option for many patients with AH and may lead to greater survival benefits than medical management alone. The rate of waitlistings and LTs for AH has doubled in recent years, especially in the United States. Several studies from the West have reported early LT for AH to be successful, where deceased donor LT is the norm. The challenges of LT in living donor centers, particularly for those with AH, are unique and have previously not been discussed in depth. In this review, we aim to discuss the challenges unique to LDLT with respect to candidate and donor selection, ethical considerations, disparities in LDLT, post-LT alcohol relapse, and measures to prevent them while also addressing the definitions and outcomes of early-living donor liver LT for AH.

Decreased need for RRT in liver transplant recipients after pretransplant treatment of hepatorenal syndrome-type 1 with terlipressin.

Hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI), a serious complication of decompensated cirrhosis, has limited therapeutic options and significant morbidity and mortality. Terlipressin improves renal function in some patients with HRS-1, while liver transplantation (LT) is a curative treatment for advanced chronic liver disease. Renal failure post-LT requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT) is a major risk factor for graft and patient survival. A post hoc analysis with a 12-month follow-up of LT recipients from a placebo-controlled trial of terlipressin (CONFIRM; NCT02770716) was conducted to evaluate the need for RRT and overall survival. Patients with HRS-1 were treated with terlipressin plus albumin or placebo plus albumin for up to 14 days. RRT was defined as any type of procedure that replaced kidney function. Outcomes compared between groups included the incidence of HRS-1 reversal, the need for RRT (pretransplant and posttransplant), and overall survival. Of the 300 patients in CONFIRM (terlipressin n = 199; placebo, n = 101), 70 (23%) underwent LT alone (terlipressin, n = 43; placebo, n = 27) and 5 had simultaneous liver-kidney transplant (terlipressin, n = 3, placebo, n = 2). The rate of HRS reversal was significantly higher in the terlipressin group compared with the placebo group (37%, n = 16 vs. 15%, n = 4; p = 0.033). The pretransplant need for RRT was significantly lower among those who received terlipressin ( p = 0.007). The posttransplant need for RRT, at 12 months, was significantly lower among those patients who received terlipressin and were alive at Day 365, compared to placebo ( p = 0.009). Pretransplant treatment with terlipressin plus albumin in patients with HRS-1 decreased the need for RRT pretransplant and posttransplant.

Safety and efficacy of continuous terlipressin infusion in HRS-AKI in a transplant population.

Hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (HRS-AKI) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. While liver transplantation is the definitive treatment, continuous terlipressin infusion for HRS-AKI may provide benefit and, as such, was assessed in a population composed of candidates for liver transplant (LT). Fifty hospitalized LT-eligible patients with HRS-AKI received a single bolus followed by continuous terlipressin infusion. Acute-on-chronic liver failure grade 3, serum creatinine (SCr)>5.0 mg/dL, or Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) ≥35 were exclusions. Fifty hospitalized patients who received midodrine and octreotide or norepinephrine for HRS-AKI served as a historical comparator cohort. Complete response (CR) was defined as a ≥30% decrease in SCr with end-of-treatment (EOT) SCr≤1.5, partial response as a ≥30% decrease in SCr with EOT SCr>1.5, and nonresponse as a <30% decrease in SCr. CR rate was significantly higher in the terlipressin cohort compared to the historical cohort (64% vs. 16%, p <0.001). Survival, while numerically higher in those who received terlipressin, was statistically similar (D30: 94% vs. 82%, p =0.12; D90: 78% vs. 68%, p =0.37). Renal replacement therapy (RRT) was more common among terlipressin NR than CR and PR (70% vs. 3% vs. 13%, p < 0.001). EOT MELD and SCr were significantly lower within terlipressin cohort (MELD: 19 vs. 25, SCr: 1.4 vs. 2.1 mg/dL, p <0.001). Sixteen of 40 terlipressin-treated patients received LT-alone (terlipressin CR in 10/16). One patient on terlipressin had a hypoxic respiratory failure that responded to diuretics; one possibly had drug-related rash. With continuous terlipressin infusion, a CR rate of 64% was observed with a favorable safety profile. Terlipressin use was associated with lower EOT MELD and SCr than the historical midodrine and octreotide/norepinephrine cohort; LT-alone was accomplished in a high proportion of complete terlipressin responders.

Long-term Follow-up of Hepatitis C Patients Who Achieved Sustained Virologic Response in the Pragmatic PRIORITIZE Study.

Multiple real-world studies have confirmed the safety and efficacy of hepatitis C (HCV) direct-acting antivirals (DAAs); however, few studies have provided data on long-term outcomes of patients without cirrhosis after achieving sustained virologic response (SVR).1-3 The aims of this analysis were to describe, among individuals in the PRIORITIZE Study achieving SVR: (1) the frequency of laboratory testing and imaging during long-term follow-up (LTFU), (2) changes in liver tests, (3) occurrence of hepatic decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and deaths, and (4) durability of SVR.

Validation of a Clinical Risk-based Classification System in a Large Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Real-world Cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There is an unmet need to validate simple and easily available methods that can be used in routine practice to identify those at risk of adverse outcomes from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). A retrospective-prospective analysis of NAFLD patients enrolled in a longitudinal noninterventional study (TARGET-NASH) was performed to validate the prognostic utility of the following risk-categories: (A) Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) <1.3 and/or liver-stiffness measurement (LSM) measured by Fibroscan <8 kp, (B) FIB-4 1.31‒2.6 and/or LSM 8.1-12.5 kp, and (C) FIB-4 >2.6 and/or LSM >12.5 kp. METHODS: Those in class A with aspartate transaminase:alanine transaminase ratio >1 or platelets <150,000/mm3, or class B with aspartate transaminase:alanine transaminase ratio >1 or platelets <150,000/mm3 were upstaged by one class. Fine-Gray competing risk analyses were performed for all outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 2523 individuals (class A = 555, B = 879, C = 1089) were followed for a median duration of 3.74 years. Adverse outcomes increased from class A to C in all-cause mortality (0.07 vs 0.3 vs 2.5/100 person-years [PY], hazard ratio [HR], 3.0 and 16.3 class B and C vs A), liver-associated clinical events (0.2 vs 1 vs 8/100 PY, HR, 4.3 and 36.6 B and C vs A), major adverse cardiovascular events (0.69 vs 0.87 vs 2.02/100 PY, HR, 0.78 and 1.55 B and C vs A), hepatocellular carcinoma (0 vs 0.09 vs 0.88/100 PY, HR, 8.32 C vs B), and chronic kidney disease (1.24 vs 2.48 vs 3.51/100 PY). Those who were upstaged had outcome rates similar to the lower class defined by their FIB-4. CONCLUSIONS: These data support a FIB-4-based risk-stratification of NAFLD that can be used in routine clinical practice. CLINICALTRIALS: gov Identifier: NCT02815891.

Admission Serum Metabolites and Thyroxine Predict Advanced Hepatic Encephalopathy in a Multicenter Inpatient Cirrhosis Cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Grades 3 to 4 hepatic encephalopathy (advanced HE), also termed brain failure, is an organ failure that defines acute-on-chronic liver failure. It is associated with poor outcomes in cirrhosis but cannot be predicted accurately. We aimed to determine the admission metabolomic biomarkers able to predict the development of advanced HE with subsequent validation. METHODS: Prospective inpatient cirrhosis cohorts (multicenter and 2-center validation) without brain failure underwent admission serum collection and inpatient follow-up evaluation. Serum metabolomics were analyzed to predict brain failure on random forest analysis and logistic regression. A separate validation cohort also was recruited. RESULTS: The multicenter cohort included 602 patients, of whom 144 developed brain failure (105 only brain failure) 3 days after admission. Unadjusted random forest analysis showed that higher admission microbially derived metabolites and lower isoleucine, thyroxine, and lysophospholipids were associated with brain failure development (area under the curve, 0.87 all; 0.90 brain failure only). Logistic regression area under the curve with only clinical variables significantly improved with metabolites (95% CI 0.65-0.75; P = .005). Four metabolites that significantly added to brain failure prediction were low thyroxine and maltose and high methyl-4-hydroxybenzoate sulfate and 3-4 dihydroxy butyrate. Thyroxine alone also significantly added to the model (P = .05). The validation cohort including 81 prospectively enrolled patients, of whom 11 developed brain failure. Admission hospital laboratory thyroxine levels predicted brain failure development despite controlling for clinical variables with high specificity. CONCLUSIONS: In a multicenter inpatient cohort, admission serum metabolites, including thyroxine, predicted advanced HE development independent of clinical factors. Admission low local laboratory thyroxine levels were validated as a predictor of advanced HE development in a separate cohort.

Role of Oral Health, Frailty, and Minimal Hepatic Encephalopathy in the Risk of Hospitalization: A Prospective Multi-Center Cohort of Outpatients With Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hospitalizations are a sentinel event in cirrhosis; however, the changing demographics in patients with cirrhosis require updated hospitalization prediction models. Periodontitis is a risk factor for liver disease and potentially progression. The aim of this study was to determine factors, including poor oral health, associated with 3-month hospitalizations in a multi-center cohort of outpatients with cirrhosis. METHODS: North American Consortium for Study of End-stage Liver Disease (NACSELD-3), a new study cohort, recruits outpatients with cirrhosis. Cirrhosis details, demographics, minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE), frailty, and comorbid conditions including oral health were collected. All patients were followed for 3 months for nonelective hospitalizations. Multi-variable models were created for this outcome using demographics, cirrhosis details, oral health, MHE, frailty, and comorbid conditions with K-fold internal validation using 25%/75% split. RESULTS: A total of 442 outpatients (70% men; 37% compensated; Model for End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium, 12; 42% ascites; and 33% prior HE) were included. MHE was found in 70%, frailty in 10%; and both in 8%. In terms of oral health, 15% were edentulous and 10% had prior periodontitis. Regarding 3-month hospitalizations, 14% were admitted for mostly liver-related reasons. These patients were more likely to be decompensated with higher cirrhosis complications, MHE, frailty and periodontitis history. Multi-variable analysis showed prior periodontitis (P = .026), composite MHE + frailty score (P = .0016), ascites (P = .004), prior HE (P = .008), and hydrothorax (P = .004) were associated with admissions using the training and validation subsets. CONCLUSIONS: In a contemporaneous, prospective, multi-center cohort study in outpatients with cirrhosis, poor oral health is significantly associated with 3-month hospitalizations independent of portal hypertensive complications, MHE, and frailty. Potential strategies to reduce hospitalizations should consider oral evaluation in addition to MHE and frailty assessment in practice pathways.

Outcomes of patients with acute liver failure listed for liver transplantation: A multicenter prospective cohort analysis.

Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving treatment for patients with acute liver failure (ALF). Currently, there are few detailed data regarding long-term outcomes after LT for ALF. We combined prospective data from the Acute Liver Failure Study Group (ALFSG) Registry with those of the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) to assess outcomes among consecutive patients with ALF listed for LT. Cohort analysis of detailed pretransplantation data for patients listed for LT for ALF in the ALFSG Registry between January 1998 and October 2018 matched with transplantation-related data from the SRTR. Primary outcomes were 1- and 3-year post-LT patient survival. Secondary outcome was receipt of LT; independent associations with successful receipt of LT were determined using multivariable logistic regression. Of 624 patients with ALF listed for LT, 398 (64%) underwent LT, 100 (16%) died without LT, and 126 (20%) recovered spontaneously. Among LT recipients, etiologies included seronegative/indeterminate (22%), drug-induced liver injury (18%), acetaminophen overdose (APAP; 16%), and viral hepatitis (15%). The 1- and 3-year post-LT patient survival rates were 91% and 90%, respectively. Comparing those dying on the waiting list versus with those who received LT, the former had more severe multiorgan failure, reflected by increased vasopressor use (65% vs. 22%), mechanical ventilation (84% vs. 57%), and renal replacement therapy (57% vs. 30%; p < 0.0001 for all). After adjusting for relevant covariates, age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-1.04), APAP etiology (aOR 2.72, 95% CI 1.42-5.23), requirement for vasopressors (aOR 4.19, 95% CI 2.44-7.20), Grade III/IV hepatic encephalopathy (aOR 2.47, 95% CI 1.29-4.72), and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores (aOR 1.05, 95% CI 1.02-1.09; p < 0.05 for all) were independently associated with death without receipt of LT. Post-LT outcomes for ALF are excellent in this cohort of very ill patients. The development of multiorgan failure while on the transplantation list and APAP ALF etiology were associated with a lower likelihood of successful receipt of LT.

Prevalence and determinants of hepatitis delta virus infection among HIV/hepatitis B-coinfected adults in care in the United States.

Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection increases the risk of liver complications compared to hepatitis B virus (HBV) alone, particularly among persons with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). However, no studies have evaluated the prevalence or determinants of HDV infection among people with HIV/HBV in the US. We performed a cross-sectional study among adults with HIV/HBV coinfection receiving care at eight sites within the Center for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) between 1996 and 2019. Among patients with available serum/plasma specimens, we selected the first specimen on or after their initial HBV qualifying test. All samples were tested for HDV IgG antibody and HDV RNA. Multivariable log-binomial generalized linear models were used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) with 95% CIs of HDV IgG antibody-positivity associated with determinants of interest (age, injection drug use [IDU], high-risk sexual behaviour). Among 597 adults with HIV/HBV coinfection in CNICS and available serum/plasma samples (median age, 43 years; 89.9% male; 52.8% Black; 42.4% White), 24/597 (4.0%; 95% CI, 2.4%-5.6%) were HDV IgG antibody-positive, and 10/596 (1.7%; 95% CI, 0.6%-2.7%) had detectable HDV RNA. In multivariable analysis, IDU was associated with exposure to HDV infection (adjusted PR = 2.50; 95% CI, 1.09-5.74). In conclusion, among a sample of adults with HIV/HBV coinfection in care in the US, 4.0% were HDV IgG antibody-positive, among whom 41.7% had detectable HDV RNA. History of IDU was associated with exposure to HDV infection. These findings emphasize the importance of HDV testing among persons with HIV/HBV coinfection, especially those with a history of IDU.

Effectiveness of Remdesivir Treatment Protocols Among Patients Hospitalized with COVID-19: A Target Trial Emulation.

BACKGROUND: Remdesivir is recommended for certain hospitalized patients with COVID-19. However, these recommendations are based on evidence from small randomized trials, early observational studies, or expert opinion. Further investigation is needed to better inform treatment guidelines with regard to the effectiveness of remdesivir among these patients. METHODS: We emulated a randomized target trial using chargemaster data from 333 US hospitals from 1 May 2020 to 31 December 2021. We compared three treatment protocols: remdesivir within 2 days of hospital admission, no remdesivir within the first 2 days of admission, and no remdesivir ever. We used baseline comorbidities recorded from encounters up to 12 months before admission and identified the use of in-hospital medications, procedures, and oxygen supplementation from charges. We estimated the cumulative incidence of mortality or mechanical ventilation/extracorporeal membrane oxygenation with an inverse probability of censoring weighted estimator. We conducted analyses in the total population as well as in subgroups stratified by level of oxygen supplementation. RESULTS: A total of 274,319 adult patients met the eligibility criteria for the study. Thirty-day in-hospital mortality risk differences for patients adhering to the early remdesivir protocol were -3.1% (95% confidence interval = -3.5%, -2.7%) compared to no early remdesivir and -3.7% (95% confidence interval -4.2%, -3.2%) compared to never remdesivir, with the strongest effect in patients needing high-flow oxygen. For mechanical ventilation/extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, risk differences were minimal. CONCLUSIONS: We estimate that, among hospitalized patients with COVID-19, remdesivir treatment within 2 days of admission reduced 30-day in-hospital mortality, particularly for patients receiving supplemental oxygen on the day of admission.

Type of Infection Is Associated with Prognosis in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: A National Veterans Health Administration Study.

BACKGROUND: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome in patients with cirrhosis with high short-term mortality. Infection is a frequent precipitant of ACLF; however, it is unclear if prognosis varies by difference infectious sources. To address this knowledge gap, we utilized a large national database of patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with cirrhosis in the Veterans Health Administration between 2008 and 2016. First ACLF hospitalizations were identified and infections were classified using validated algorithms, categorized as bacteremia, fungal, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), pyelonephritis/urinary tract infection, or skin and soft tissue/musculoskeletal infection (SST/MSK). Inverse probability treatment weighing for infection-associated ACLF followed by multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between infection type and 90-day mortality. RESULTS: A total 22,589 ACLF hospitalizations were included, 3998 (17.7%) of which had ACLF grade 3. Infection was associated with 12,405 (54.9%) of ACLF hospitalizations. In regression models, SBP was associated with a 1.79-fold increased odds of 90-day mortality vs. no infection (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.58-2.02, p < 0.001), whereas SST/MSK infections had a lower relative odds of mortality (odds ratio 0.48, 95% CI 0.42-0.53, p < 0.001). There was a significant interaction between infection category and ACLF grade on the outcome of 90-day mortality (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The impact of infection on short-term mortality in ACLF varies depending on the source of infection. This has relevance for ACLF prognostication and challenges previous notions that bacterial infection invariably worsens prognosis among all patients with ACLF.

Clinical Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Transfer in Admitted Patients with Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with cirrhosis are at high risk of mortality after organ failure that requires ICU care. There have been attempts to predict which patients are at highest risk, with some success found in adapting liver disease-specific scoring systems with clinical variables commonly associated with critical illness. However, the clinical factors predictive of which patients with cirrhosis are most at-risk of needing ICU level care are unknown. AIMS: Our study set out to better understand which clinical variables were associated with need for ICU care in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of admitted patients with cirrhosis at single tertiary care center. RESULTS: Patients with cirrhosis admitted to our center were categorized into three groups: those without ICU transfer, those admitted to the ICU directly from the emergency department (ED), and those admitted to the ICU from the medicine floor. These groups differed in mortality at 30 days (3.5% vs. 15% vs. 25%, P < 0.001) and at subsequent intervals up to 1 year. These groups differed in indication for ICU transfer, with GI bleed, hemorrhagic shock, hepatic encephalopathy, and hyponatremia occurring more in the ED-to-ICU group, while respiratory failure was more common in the floor-to-ICU group. In multivariable analysis, factors associated with ICU transfer included worsened kidney function, anemia, hyponatremia, leukocytosis, and the decision to obtain a lactate level. Similar analysis with only floor-to-ICU patients found that ICU transfer was associated with hypoalbuminemia, hyponatremia, hypotension, and SIRS score. CONCLUSION: Our study found significant differences in mortality among three distinct groups of patients with cirrhosis. A risk factor model for ICU transfer found that variables both specific and nonspecific to liver disease were associated with ICU transfer, with between-group differences supporting the idea of different clinical phenotypes and suggesting factors that should be considered in early triage and assessment of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis.