The probabilistic model of Alzheimer disease: the amyloid hypothesis revised.

The current conceptualization of Alzheimer disease (AD) is driven by the amyloid hypothesis, in which a deterministic chain of events leads from amyloid deposition and then tau deposition to neurodegeneration and progressive cognitive impairment. This model fits autosomal dominant AD but is less applicable to sporadic AD. Owing to emerging information regarding the complex biology of AD and the challenges of developing amyloid-targeting drugs, the amyloid hypothesis needs to be reconsidered. Here we propose a probabilistic model of AD in which three variants of AD (autosomal dominant AD, APOE ε4-related sporadic AD and APOE ε4-unrelated sporadic AD) feature decreasing penetrance and decreasing weight of the amyloid pathophysiological cascade, and increasing weight of stochastic factors (environmental exposures and lower-risk genes). Together, these variants account for a large share of the neuropathological and clinical variability observed in people with AD. The implementation of this model in research might lead to a better understanding of disease pathophysiology, a revision of the current clinical taxonomy and accelerated development of strategies to prevent and treat AD.

Association of glial fibrillary acid protein, Alzheimer's disease pathology and cognitive decline.

Increasing evidence shows that neuroinflammation is a possible modulator of tau spread effects on cognitive impairment in Alzheimer's disease. In this context, plasma levels of the glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) have been suggested to have a robust association with Alzheimer's disease pathophysiology. This study aims to assess the correlation between plasma GFAP and Alzheimer's disease pathology, and their synergistic effect on cognitive performance and decline. A cohort of 122 memory clinic subjects with amyloid and tau positron emission tomography, MRI scans, plasma GFAP, and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) was included in the study. A subsample of 94 subjects had a follow-up MMSE score at least one year after baseline. Regional and voxel-based correlations between Alzheimer's disease biomarkers and plasma GFAP were assessed. Mediation analyses were performed to evaluate the effects of plasma GFAP on the association between amyloid and tau PET, and tau PET and cognitive impairment and decline. GFAP was associated with increased tau PET ligand uptake in the lateral temporal and inferior temporal lobes in a strong left-sided pattern independently of age, gender, education, amyloid, and APOE status (ß=0.001, p < 0.01). The annual rate of MMSE change was significantly and independently correlated with both GFAP (ß=0.006, p < 0.01) and global tau SUVR (ß=4.33, p < 0.01), but not with amyloid burden. Partial mediation effects of GFAP were found on the association between amyloid and tau pathology (13.7%), and between tau pathology and cognitive decline (17.4%), but not on global cognition at baseline. Neuroinflammation measured by circulating GFAP is independently associated with tau Alzheimer's disease pathology and with cognitive decline, suggesting neuroinflammation as a potential target for future disease-modifying trials targeting tau pathology. Peretti et al. show that a circulatory marker of neuroinflammation-glial fibrillary acidic protein-is associated with tau pathology in lateral temporal and frontal regions in patients with Alzheimer's disease, independent of amyloid load. Neuroinflammation appears to modulate the association between amyloid and tau biomarkers.

A comparison of visual assessment and semi-quantification for the diagnostic and prognostic use of [18F]flortaucipir PET in a memory clinic cohort.

PURPOSE: [18F]Flortaucipir PET is a powerful diagnostic and prognostic tool for Alzheimer's disease (AD). Tau status definition is mainly based in the literature on semi-quantitative measures while in clinical settings visual assessment is usually preferred. We compared visual assessment with established semi-quantitative measures to classify subjects and predict the risk of cognitive decline in a memory clinic population. METHODS: We included 245 individuals from the Geneva Memory Clinic who underwent [18F]flortaucipir PET. Amyloid status was available for 207 individuals and clinical follow-up for 135. All scans were blindly evaluated by three independent raters who visually classified the scans according to Braak stages. Standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) values were obtained from a global meta-ROI to define tau positivity, and the Simplified Temporo-Occipital Classification (STOC) was applied to obtain semi-quantitatively tau stages. The agreement between measures was tested using Cohen's kappa (k). ROC analysis and linear mixed-effects models were applied to test the diagnostic and prognostic values of tau status and stages obtained with the visual and semi-quantitative approaches. RESULTS: We found good inter-rater reliability in the visual interpretation of tau Braak stages, independently from the rater's expertise (k>0.68, p<0.01). A good agreement was equally found between visual and SUVR-based classifications for tau status (k=0.67, p<0.01). All tau-assessment modalities significantly discriminated amyloid-positive MCI and demented subjects from others (AUC>0.80) and amyloid-positive from negative subjects (AUC>0.85). Linear mixed-effect models showed that tau-positive individuals presented a significantly faster cognitive decline than the tau-negative group (p<0.01), independently from the classification method. CONCLUSION: Our results show that visual assessment is reliable for defining tau status and stages in a memory clinic population. The high inter-rater reliability, the substantial agreement, and the similar diagnostic and prognostic performance of visual rating and semi-quantitative methods demonstrate that [18F]flortaucipir PET can be robustly assessed visually in clinical practice.

The Taxonomy of Subjective Cognitive Decline: Proposal and First Clinical Evidence from the Geneva Memory Clinic Cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Subjective cognitive decline (SCD) is characterized by subjective cognitive concerns without objective cognitive impairment and is considered a risk factor for cognitive decline and dementia. However, most SCD patients will not develop neurodegenerative disorders, yet they may suffer from minor psychiatric, neurological, or somatic comorbidities. The aim of the present study was to provide a taxonomy of the heterogeneous SCD entity and to conduct a preliminary validation using data from a memory clinic sample. METHODS: Participants were fifty-five SCD individuals consecutively recruited at the Geneva Memory Center. Based on clinical reports, they were classified into three clinically pre-defined subgroups: (i) those with psychological or psychiatric comorbidities (Psy), (ii) those with somatic comorbidities (SomCom), (iii) and those with no apparent cause (NAC). Baseline demographics, clinical, cognitive, and biomarker differences among the SCD subgroups were assessed. Longitudinal cognitive changes (average 3 years follow-up) were modeled using a linear mixed model. RESULTS: Out of the 55 SCD cases, 16 were SomCom, 18 Psy, and 21 NAC. 47% were female, mean age was 71 years. We observed higher frequency of APOE ε4 carriers in NAC (53%) compared to SomCom (14%) and Psy (0%, p = 0.023) and lower level of plasma Aß42 in NAC (6.8 ± 1.0) compared to SomCom (8.4 ± 1.1; p = 0.031). SomCom subjects were older (74 years) than Psy (67 years, p = 0.011), and had greater medial temporal lobe atrophy (1.0 ± 1.0) than Psy (0.2 ± 0.6) and NAC (0.4 ± 0.5, p = 0.005). SomCom has worse episodic memory performances (14.5 ± 3.5) than Psy (15.8 ± 0.4) and NAC (15.8 ± 0.7, p = 0.032). We observed a slightly steeper, yet not statistically significant, cognitive decline in NAC (ß = -0.48) compared to Psy (ß = -0.28) and SomCom (ß = -0.24). CONCLUSIONS: NAC features a higher proportion of APOE ε4 carriers, lower plasma Aß42 and a trend towards steeper cognitive decline than SomCom and Psy. Taken together, these findings suggest that NACs are at higher risk of cognitive decline due to AD. The proposed clinical taxonomy might be implemented in clinical practice to identify SCD at higher risk. However, such taxonomy should be tested on an independent cohort with a larger sample size.

Insights into single-timepoint ASL hemodynamics: what visual assessment and spatial coefficient of variation can tell.

PURPOSE: Arterial spin labeling (ASL) represents a noninvasive perfusion biomarker, and, in the study of nonvascular disease, the use of the single-timepoint ASL technique is recommended. However, the obtained cerebral blood flow (CBF) maps may be highly influenced by delayed arterial transit time (ATT). Our aim was to assess the complexity of hemodynamic information of single-timepoint CBF maps using a new visual scale and comparing it with an ATT proxy, the "coefficient of spatial variation" (sCoV). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Individual CBF maps were estimated in a memory clinic population (mild cognitive impairment, dementia and cognitively unimpaired controls) and classified into four levels of delayed perfusion based on a visual rating scale. Calculated measures included global/regional sCoVs and common CBF statistics, as mean, median and standard deviation. One-way ANOVA was performed to compare these measures across the four groups of delayed perfusion. Spearman correlation was used to study the association of global sCoV with clinical data and CBF statistics. RESULTS: One hundred and forty-four participants (72 ± 7 years, 53% women) were included in the study. The proportion of maps with none, mild, moderate, and severe delayed perfusion was 15, 20, 37, and 28%, respectively. SCoV demonstrated a significant increase (p < 0.05) across the four groups, except when comparing none vs mild delayed perfusion groups (pBonf > 0.05). Global sCoV values, as an ATT proxy, ranged from 67 ± 4% (none) to 121 ± 24% (severe delayed) and were significantly associated with age and CBF statistics (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The impact of ATT delay in single-time CBF maps requires the use of a visual scale or sCoV in clinical or research settings.

Subjective cognitive decline: Memory complaints, cognitive awareness, and metacognition.

Cognitive complaints are common in elderly subjects and are a frequent reason for referral to memory clinics. If the complaints are not associated with objective cognitive impairment, the condition is labelled subjective cognitive decline (SCD). SCD is often considered as a stage antedating objective impairment, and an at-risk condition for subsequent dementia. Recent large-scale studies indicate that a significantly increased risk of clinical progression in subjects with SCD is associated with positivity for Alzheimer's disease (AD) biomarkers, a finding supporting the notion that SCD can be due to different mechanisms not associated with neurodegeneration, including functional cognitive disorders. In this paper we present a selective review of research on the relations among SCD, cognitive awareness, and metacognitive abilities. We propose that longitudinal studies of metacognitive efficiency in SCD may provide useful cues about the risk of progression to dementia and the possible presence of a functional cognitive disorder, with different implications for the management of this prevalent aging-related condition. HIGHLIGHTS: Subjective cognitive decline (SCD), a common cause of referral to memory clinics, can be due to multiple conditions. The predictive value of SCD for progression to Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia is high in association with AD biomarker positivity. The awareness of cognitive decline is the mechanism responsible for the emergence of SCD and metacognition is the underlying neuropsychological function. The awareness of cognitive decline in clinical patients is usually assessed comparing an informant rating to the patient self-assessment, a method that can be affected by informant bias. While there is strong evidence that awareness starts to decline with the onset of objective cognitive impairment, progressively leading to the anosognosia of AD, the status of metacognitive efficiency in SCD needs to be further investigated. Quantitative, performance-based indexes of metacognitive efficiency may contribute both to the assessment of progression risk and to the management of subjects with functional cognitive disorders.

The impact of tau deposition and hypometabolism on cognitive impairment and longitudinal cognitive decline.

INTRODUCTION: Tau and neurodegeneration strongly correlate with cognitive impairment, as compared to amyloid. However, their contribution in explaining cognition and predicting cognitive decline in memory clinics remains unclarified. METHODS: We included 94 participants with Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), tau positron emission tomography (PET), amyloid PET, fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET, and MRI scans from Geneva Memory Center. Linear regression and mediation analyses tested the independent and combined association between biomarkers, cognitive performance, and decline. Linear mixed-effects and Cox proportional hazards models assessed biomarkers' prognostic values. RESULTS: Metabolism had the strongest association with cognition (r = 0.712; p < 0.001), followed by tau (r = -0.682; p < 0.001). Neocortical tau showed the strongest association with cognitive decline (r = -0.677; p < 0.001). Metabolism mediated the association between tau and cognition and marginally mediated the one with decline. Tau positivity represented the strongest risk factor for decline (hazard ratio = 32). DISCUSSION: Tau and neurodegeneration synergistically contribute to global cognitive impairment while tau drives decline. The tau PET superior prognostic value supports its implementation in memory clinics. HIGHLIGHTS: Hypometabolism has the strongest association with concurrent cognitive impairment. Neocortical tau pathology is the main determinant of cognitive decline over time. FDG-PET has a superior value compared to MRI as a measure of neurodegeneration. The prognostic value of tau-PET exceeded all other neuroimaging modalities.

Plasma biomarkers for Alzheimer's disease: a field-test in a memory clinic.

BACKGROUND: The key Alzheimer's disease (AD) biomarkers are traditionally measured with techniques/exams that are either expensive (amyloid-positron emission tomography (PET) and tau-PET), invasive (cerebrospinal fluid Aß42 and p-tau181), or poorly specific (atrophy on MRI and hypometabolism on fluorodeoxyglucose-PET). Recently developed plasma biomarkers could significantly enhance the efficiency of the diagnostic pathway in memory clinics and improve patient care. This study aimed to: (1) confirm the correlations between plasma and traditional AD biomarkers, (2) assess the diagnostic accuracy of plasma biomarkers as compared with traditional biomarkers, and (3) estimate the proportion of traditional exams potentially saved thanks to the use of plasma biomarkers. METHODS: Participants were 200 patients with plasma biomarkers and at least one traditional biomarker collected within 12 months. RESULTS: Overall, plasma biomarkers significantly correlated with biomarkers assessed through traditional techniques: up to r=0.50 (p<0.001) among amyloid, r=0.43 (p=0.002) among tau, and r=-0.23 (p=0.001) among neurodegeneration biomarkers. Moreover, plasma biomarkers showed high accuracy in discriminating the biomarker status (normal or abnormal) determined by using traditional biomarkers: up to area under the curve (AUC)=0.87 for amyloid, AUC=0.82 for tau, and AUC=0.63 for neurodegeneration status. The use of plasma as a gateway to traditional biomarkers using cohort-specific thresholds (with 95% sensitivity and 95% specificity) could save up to 49% of amyloid, 38% of tau, and 16% of neurodegeneration biomarkers. CONCLUSION: The implementation of plasma biomarkers could save a remarkable proportion of more expensive traditional exams, making the diagnostic workup more cost-effective and improving patient care.

Prognostic value of imaging-based ATN profiles in a memory clinic cohort.

PURPOSE: The ATN model represents a research framework used to classify subjects based on the presence or absence of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology through biomarkers for amyloid (A), tau (T), and neurodegeneration (N). The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between ATN profiles defined through imaging and cognitive decline in a memory clinic cohort. METHODS: One hundred-eight patients from the memory clinic of Geneva University Hospitals underwent complete clinical and neuropsychological evaluation at baseline and 23 ± 5 months after inclusion, magnetic resonance imaging, amyloid and tau PET scans. ATN profiles were divided into four groups: normal, AD pathological change (AD-PC: A + T-N-, A + T-N +), AD pathology (AD-P: A + T + N-, A + T + N +), and suspected non-AD pathology (SNAP: A-T + N-, A-T-N + , A-T + N +). RESULTS: Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores were significantly different among groups, both at baseline and follow-up, with the normal group having higher average MMSE scores than the other groups. MMSE scores changed significantly after 2 years only in AD-PC and AD-P groups. AD-P profile classification also had the largest number of decliners at follow-up (55%) and the steepest global cognitive decline compared to the normal group. Cox regression showed that participants within the AD-P group had a higher risk of cognitive decline (HR = 6.15, CI = 2.59-14.59), followed by AD-PC (HR = 3.16, CI = 1.17-8.52). CONCLUSION: Of the different group classifications, AD-P was found to have the most significant effect on cognitive decline over a period of 2 years, highlighting the value of both amyloid and tau PET molecular imaging as prognostic imaging biomarkers in clinical practice.

Unsupervised [18F]Flortaucipir cutoffs for tau positivity and staging in Alzheimer's disease.

PURPOSE: Several [18F]Flortaucipir cutoffs have been proposed for tau PET positivity (T+) in Alzheimer's disease (AD), but none were data-driven. The aim of this study was to establish and validate unsupervised T+ cutoffs by applying Gaussian mixture models (GMM). METHODS: Amyloid negative (A-) cognitively normal (CN) and amyloid positive (A+) AD-related dementia (ADRD) subjects from ADNI (n=269) were included. ADNI (n=475) and Geneva Memory Clinic (GMC) cohorts (n=98) were used for validation. GMM-based cutoffs were extracted for the temporal meta-ROI, and validated against previously published cutoffs and visual rating. RESULTS: GMM-based cutoffs classified less subjects as T+, mainly in the A- CN (<3.4% vs >28.5%) and A+ CN (<14.5% vs >42.9%) groups and showed higher agreement with visual rating (ICC=0.91 vs ICC<0.62) than published cutoffs. CONCLUSION: We provided reliable data-driven [18F]Flortaucipir cutoffs for in vivo T+ detection in AD. These cutoffs might be useful to select participants in clinical and research studies.

The clinical heterogeneity of subjective cognitive decline: a data-driven approach on a population-based sample.

BACKGROUND: subjective cognitive decline (SCD) refers to the subjective experience of cognitive decline in the absence of detectable cognitive impairment. SCD has been largely studied as a risk condition for cognitive decline. Empirical observations suggest that persons with SCD are heterogeneous, including individuals with early Alzheimer's disease and others with psychological vulnerabilities and/or physical comorbidity. The semiology of SCD is still in its infancy, and the features predicting cognitive decline are poorly defined. The present study aims to identify subgroups of SCD using a data-driven approach and study their clinical evolution across 8 years. METHODS: the study population is the InveCe.Ab population-based cohort, including cognitively unimpaired people aged 70-74 years and followed for 8 years. Hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA) was carried out to identify distinct SCD subgroups based on nine clinical and cognitive features. Longitudinal changes by baseline SCD status were estimated using linear mixed models for cognitive decline and Cox proportional-hazard model for all-cause dementia risk. RESULTS: out of 956 individuals, 513 were female (54%); and the mean age was 72.1 (SD = 1.3), education was 7.2 (3.3), and 370 (39%) reported cognitive complaints (SCD). The HCA resulted in two clusters (SCD1 and SCD2). SCD2 were less educated and had more comorbidities, cardiovascular risk and depressive symptoms than SCD1 and controls. SCD2 presented steeper cognitive decline (Mini-Mental State Examination; ß = -0.31) and increased all-cause dementia risk (hazard-ratio = 3.4). CONCLUSIONS: at the population level, basic clinical information can differentiate individuals with SCD at higher risk of developing dementia, underlining the heterogeneous nature of this population even in a sample selected for a narrow age range, in a specific geographic area.

Diagnostic value of amyloid-PET and tau-PET: a head-to-head comparison.

PURPOSE: Assess the individual and combined diagnostic value of amyloid-PET and tau-PET in a memory clinic population. METHODS: Clinical reports of 136 patients were randomly assigned to two diagnostic pathways: AMY-TAU, amyloid-PET is presented before tau-PET; and TAU-AMY, tau-PET is presented before amyloid-PET. Two neurologists independently assessed all reports with a balanced randomized design, and expressed etiological diagnosis and diagnostic confidence (50-100%) three times: (i) at baseline based on the routine diagnostic workup, (ii) after the first exam (amyloid-PET for the AMY-TAU pathway, and tau-PET for the TAU-AMY pathway), and (iii) after the remaining exam. The main outcomes were changes in diagnosis (from AD to non-AD or vice versa) and in diagnostic confidence. RESULTS: Amyloid-PET and tau-PET, when presented as the first exam, resulted in a change of etiological diagnosis in 28% (p = 0.006) and 28% (p < 0.001) of cases, and diagnostic confidence increased by 18% (p < 0.001) and 19% (p < 0.001) respectively, with no differences between exams (p > 0.05). We observed a stronger impact of a negative amyloid-PET versus a negative tau-PET (p = 0.014). When added as the second exam, amyloid-PET and tau-PET resulted in a further change in etiological diagnosis in 6% (p = 0.077) and 9% (p = 0.149) of cases, and diagnostic confidence increased by 4% (p < 0.001) and 5% (p < 0.001) respectively, with no differences between exams (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Amyloid-PET and tau-PET significantly impacted diagnosis and diagnostic confidence in a similar way, although a negative amyloid-PET has a stronger impact on diagnosis than a negative tau-PET. Adding either of the two as second exam further improved diagnostic confidence. TRIAL NUMBER: PB 2016-01346.

The A/T/N model applied through imaging biomarkers in a memory clinic.

PURPOSE: The A/T/N model is a research framework proposed to investigate Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathological bases (i.e., amyloidosis A, neurofibrillary tangles T, and neurodegeneration N). The application of this system on clinical populations is still limited. The aim of the study is to evaluate the topography of T distribution by 18F-flortaucipir PET in relation to A and N and to describe the A/T/N status through imaging biomarkers in memory clinic patients. METHODS: Eighty-one patients with subjective and objective cognitive impairment were classified as A+/A- and N+/N- through amyloid PET and structural MRI. Tau deposition was compared across A/N subgroups at voxel level. T status was defined through a global cut point based on A/N subgroups and subjects were categorized following the A/T/N model. RESULTS: A+N+ and A+N- subgroups showed higher tau burden compared to A-N- group, with A+N- showing significant deposition limited to the medial and lateral temporal regions. Global cut point discriminated A+N+ and A+N- from A-N- subjects. On A/T/N classification, 23% of patients showed a negative biomarker profile, 58% fell within the Alzheimer's continuum, and 19% of the sample was characterized by non-AD pathologic change. CONCLUSION: Medial and lateral temporal regions represent a site of significant tau accumulation in A+ subjects and possibly a useful marker of early clinical changes. This is the first study in which the A/T/N model is applied using 18F-flortaucipir PET in a memory clinic population. The majority of patients showed a profile consistent with the Alzheimer's continuum, while a minor percentage showed a profile suggestive of possible other neurodegenerative diseases. These results support the applicability of the A/T/N model in clinical practice.

Randomized controlled trial on the efficacy of a multilevel non-pharmacologic intervention in older adults with subjective memory decline: design and baseline findings of the E.Mu.N.I. study.

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's Disease (AD) is a multifactorial disorder driven by genetic and modifiable lifestyle risk factors. Lifestyle primary prevention initiatives may reduce the prevalence and incidence of dementia in older adults. OBJECTIVES: The E.Mu.N.I study is a randomized controlled trial investigating the effect of multilevel non-pharmacologic interventions on cognitive performances (primary outcome) and structural and vascular brain MRI markers (secondary outcome), as well as markers of brain functional connectivity change (exploratory outcome), in older adults with subjective memory decline (SMD). Here, we present the study design and the baseline features of the sample. METHODS: Cognitively intact older adults with SMD, enrolled between February 2016 and June 2017, were randomly assigned to one of the 3 interventions for 1 year: Active Control Intervention (ACI), i.e., educational lessons; Partial Intervention (PI), i.e., homotaurine administration (100 mg/die) and lessons on the Mediterranean diet; Multilevel Intervention (MI), i.e., PI plus computerized cognitive training and physical exercise training. RESULTS: One-hundred and twenty-eight eligible participants were enrolled (66% female; age: 68 ± 5 years). Eighty-two percent of the sample was composed of volunteers with SMD from the community. Participants were randomly allocated to the interventions as follows: ACI (N = 40), PI (N = 44), MI (N = 44). No significant differences among groups emerged on socio-demographic, clinical-neuropsychological variables and MRI markers at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: The outcomes obtained from the E.Mu.N.I. study will clarify the efficacy of multilevel non-pharmacologic interventions on cognitive and neuroimaging markers in SMD individuals. This is a crucial step forward for the development of cost-effective non-pharmacologic primary prevention initiatives for AD.

Alterations in gamma frequency oscillations correlate with cortical tau deposition in Alzheimer's disease.

We assessed the relationship of gamma oscillations with tau deposition in Alzheimer's disease (AD) and other cognitive diseases, as both are altered during the disease course and relate to neurodegeneration. We retrospectively analyzed data from 7 AD, tau positive patients and 9 tau negative patients, who underwent cerebral amyloid PET and tau PET, and EEG within 12 months. Relative gamma power was higher in tau positive (AD) patients than in tau negative patients (p < .05). In tau positive AD patients, tau burden was associated with a linear increase in gamma power (p < .05), while no association was present in the tau negative group nor with amyloid-ß burden in either group. Thus, increase in the gamma power might represent a novel biomarker for tau driven neurodegeneration.

Comparison of plasma and neuroimaging biomarkers to predict cognitive decline in non-demented memory clinic patients.

BACKGROUND: Plasma biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology, neurodegeneration, and neuroinflammation are ideally suited for secondary prevention programs in self-sufficient persons at-risk of dementia. Plasma biomarkers have been shown to be highly correlated with traditional imaging biomarkers. However, their comparative predictive value versus traditional AD biomarkers is still unclear in cognitively unimpaired (CU) subjects and with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). METHODS: Plasma (Aß42/40, p-tau181, p-tau231, NfL, and GFAP) and neuroimaging (hippocampal volume, centiloid of amyloid-PET, and tau-SUVR of tau-PET) biomarkers were assessed at baseline in 218 non-demented subjects (CU = 140; MCI = 78) from the Geneva Memory Center. Global cognition (MMSE) was evaluated at baseline and at follow-ups up to 5.7 years. We used linear mixed-effects models and Cox proportional-hazards regression to assess the association between biomarkers and cognitive decline. Lastly, sample size calculations using the linear mixed-effects models were performed on subjects positive for amyloid-PET combined with tau-PET and plasma biomarker positivity. RESULTS: Cognitive decline was significantly predicted in MCI by baseline plasma NfL (ß=-0.55), GFAP (ß=-0.36), hippocampal volume (ß = 0.44), centiloid (ß=-0.38), and tau-SUVR (ß=-0.66) (all p < 0.05). Subgroup analysis with amyloid-positive MCI participants also showed that only NfL and GFAP were the only significant predictors of cognitive decline among plasma biomarkers. Overall, NfL and tau-SUVR showed the highest prognostic values (hazard ratios of 7.3 and 5.9). Lastly, we demonstrated that adding NfL to the inclusion criteria could reduce the sample sizes of future AD clinical trials by up to one-fourth in subjects with amyloid-PET positivity or by half in subjects with amyloid-PET and tau-PET positivity. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma NfL and GFAP predict cognitive decline in a similar manner to traditional imaging techniques in amyloid-positive MCI patients. Hence, even though they are non-specific biomarkers of AD, both can be implemented in memory clinic workups as important prognostic biomarkers. Likewise, future clinical trials might employ plasma biomarkers as additional inclusion criteria to stratify patients at higher risk of cognitive decline to reduce sample sizes and enhance effectiveness.

Head-to-head study of diagnostic accuracy of plasma and cerebrospinal fluid p-tau217 versus p-tau181 and p-tau231 in a memory clinic cohort.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Phosphorylated tau (p-tau) 217 has recently received attention because it seems more reliable than other p-tau variants for identifying Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology. Thus, we aimed to compare the diagnostic accuracy of plasma and CSF p-tau217 with p-tau181 and p-tau231 in a memory clinic cohort. METHODS: The study included 114 participants (CU = 33; MCI = 67; Dementia = 14). The p-tau variants were correlated versus continuous measures of amyloid (A) and tau (T)-PET. The p-tau phospho-epitopes were assessed through: (i) effect sizes (δ) between diagnostic and A ± and T ± groups; (ii) receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses in A-PET and T-PET. RESULTS: The correlations between both plasma and CSF p-tau217 with A-PET and T-PET (r range 0.64-0.83) were stronger than those of p-tau181 (r range 0.44-0.79) and p-tau231 (r range 0.46-0.76). Plasma p-tau217 showed significantly higher diagnostic accuracy than p-tau181 and p-tau231 in (i) differences between diagnostic and biomarker groups (δrange: p-tau217 = 0.55-0.96; p-tau181 = 0.51-0.67; p-tau231 = 0.53-0.71); (ii) ROC curves to identify A-PET and T-PET positivity (AUCaverage: p-tau217 = 0.96; p-tau181 = 0.76; p-tau231 = 0.79). On the other hand, CSF p-tau217 (AUCaverage = 0.95) did not reveal significant differences in A-PET and T-PET AUC than p-tau181 (AUCaverage = 0.88) and p-tau231 (AUCaverage = 0.89). DISCUSSION: Plasma p-tau217 demonstrated better performance in the identification of AD pathology and clinical phenotypes in comparison with other variants of p-tau in a memory clinic cohort. Furthermore, p-tau217 had comparable performance in plasma and CSF. Our findings suggest the potential of plasma p-tau217 in the diagnosis and screening for AD, which could allow for a decreased use of invasive biomarkers in the future.

ATN profile classification across two independent prospective cohorts.

Background: The ATN model represents a research framework used to describe in subjects the presence or absence of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology through biomarkers. The aim of this study was to describe the prevalence of different ATN profiles using quantitative imaging biomarkers in two independent cohorts, and to evaluate the pertinence of ATN biomarkers to identify comparable populations across independent cohorts. Methods: A total of 172 subjects from the Geneva Memory Clinic and 113 volunteers from a study on healthy aging at the University Hospital of Zurich underwent amyloid (A) and tau (T) PET, as well as T1-weigthed MRI scans using site-specific protocols. Subjects were classified by cognition (cognitively unimpaired, CU, or impaired, CI) based on clinical assessment by experts. Amyloid data converted into the standardized centiloid scale, tau PET data normalized to cerebellar uptake, and hippocampal volume expressed as a ratio over total intracranial volume ratio were considered as biomarkers for A, T, and neurodegeneration (N), respectively. Positivity for each biomarker was defined based on previously published thresholds. Subjects were then classified according to the ATN model. Differences among profiles were tested using Kruskal-Wallis ANOVA, and between cohorts using Wilcoxon tests. Results: Twenty-nine percent of subjects from the Geneva cohorts were classified with a normal (A-T-N-) profile, while the Zurich cohort included 64% of subjects in the same category. Meanwhile, 63% of the Geneva and 16% of the Zurich cohort were classified within the AD continuum (being A+ regardless of other biomarkers' statuses). Within cohorts, ATN profiles were significantly different for age and mini-mental state examination scores, but not for years of education. Age was not significantly different between cohorts. In general, imaging A and T biomarkers were significantly different between cohorts, but they were no longer significantly different when stratifying the cohorts by ATN profile. N was not significantly different between cohorts. Conclusion: Stratifying subjects into ATN profiles provides comparable groups of subjects even when individual recruitment followed different criteria.

The taxonomy of subjective cognitive decline: proposal and first clinical evidence from the Geneva memory clinic cohort.

Background: Subjective Cognitive Decline (SCD) is characterized by subjective cognitive complaints without objective cognitive impairment and is considered a risk factor for cognitive decline and dementia. However, most SCD patients will not develop neurodegenerative disorders, yet they may suffer from minor psychiatric, neurological, or somatic comorbidities. The aim of the present study is to provide a taxonomy of the heterogeneous SCD entity by isolating homogenous SCD subgroups with specific clinical features and cognitive trajectories. Methods: Participants were fifty-five SCD individuals consecutively recruited at the Geneva Memory Center. Based on clinical reports, they were classified into three clinically pre-defined subgroups: (i) those with psychological or psychiatric comorbidities (Psy), (ii) those with somatic comorbidities (SomCom), (iii) and those with no apparent cause (NAC). Baseline demographics, clinical, cognitive, and biomarker differences among the SCD subgroups were assessed. Longitudinal cognitive changes (average 3 years follow-up) were modeled using a linear mixed model. Results: Out of the 55 SCD cases, 16 were SomCom, 18 Psy, and 21 NAC. 47% were female, mean age was 71 years. We observed higher frequency of APOE ε4 carriers in NAC (53%) compared to SomCom (14%) and Psy (0%, P=0.023) and lower level of plasma Aß42 in NAC (6.8±1.0) compared to SomCom (8.4±1.1; P=0.031). SomCom subjects were older (74 years) than Psy (67 years, P=0.011), and had greater medial temporal lobe atrophy(1.0±1.0) than Psy (0.2±0.6) and NAC (0.4±0.5, P=0.005). SomCom have worse episodic memory performances(14.5±3.5) than Psy (15.8±0.4) and SomCom (15.1±0.7, P=0.032). We observed a slightly steeper, yet not statistically significant, cognitive decline in NAC (ß=-0.48) compared to Psy (ß=-0.28) and SomCom (ß=-0.24). Conclusions: NAC feature higher proportion of APOE ε4 carriers, lower plasma Aß42, worse memory performance, and a trend towards steeper cognitive decline than SomCom and Psy. Taken together, these findings suggest that NAC are at higher risk of cognitive decline due to AD. The proposed clinical taxonomy might be implemented in clinical practice to identify SCD at higher risk. However, such taxonomy should be tested on an independent cohort with larger sample size.

Patterns of amyloid accumulation in amyloid-negative cases.

Amyloid staging models showed that regional abnormality occurs before global positivity. Several studies assumed that the trajectory of amyloid spread is homogeneous, but clinical evidence suggests that it is highly heterogeneous. We tested whether different amyloid-ß (Aß) patterns exist by applying clustering on negative scans and investigating their demographics, clinical, cognitive, and biomarkers correlates, and cognitive trajectories. 151 individuals from Geneva and Zurich cohorts with T1-MRI, negative Aß positron emission tomography (PET,centiloid<12) and clinical assessment were included. N=123 underwent tau PET, and N=65 follow-up neuropsychological assessment. We performed k-means clustering using 33 Aß regional Standardized Uptake Vales ratio. Demographics, clinical, cognitive, and biomarkers differences were investigated. Longitudinal cognitive changes by baseline cluster status were estimated using a linear mixed model. The cluster analysis identified two clusters: temporal predominant (TP) and cingulate predominant (CP). TP tau deposition was higher than CP. A trend for a higher cognitive decline in TP compared to CP was observed. This study suggests the existence of two Aß deposition patterns in the earliest phases of Aß accumulation, differently prone to tau pathology and cognitive decline.