Body Mass Index in 1.9 Million Adolescents and Stroke in Young Adulthood.

Background and Purpose: There is a continuous rise in the prevalence of adolescent obesity and incidence of stroke among young adults in many Western countries, but the association between them is unclear. Methods: A nationwide population-based study of 1 900 384 Israeli adolescents (58% men; mean age, 17.3 years) who were evaluated before mandatory military service during 1985 and 2013. Body mass index was classified according to the US Center for Disease Control and Prevention percentiles. Primary outcome was a first stroke event as recorded by the Israeli National Stroke Registry between 2014 and 2018. Cox proportional hazard models were applied. Results: There were 1088 first stroke events (921 ischemic and 167 hemorrhagic; mean diagnosis age, 41.0 years). Adolescent body mass index was significantly associated with a graded increase in the risk for any stroke, ischemic stroke, but less so with hemorrhagic stroke. The hazard ratios for the first ischemic stroke event were 1.4 (95% CI, 1.2­1.6), 2.0 (95% CI, 1.6­2.4), and 3.4 (95% CI, 2.7­4.3) for the 50th to 84th percentile, overweight and obese groups, respectively, after adjustment for sex, age, and sociodemographic confounders with the 5th to 49th body mass index percentile group as the reference. The respective hazard ratios after further adjustment for diabetes status were 1.3 (1.1­1.5), 1.6 (1.3­2.0), and 2.4 (1.9­3.1). Results persisted when the cohort was divided by diabetes status and when ischemic stroke before age 30 was the outcome. Conclusions: High adolescent body mass index was associated with ischemic stroke in young adults with or without diabetes. The rising prevalence of adolescent obesity may increase the future burden of stroke in young adults.

Diagnosis despite clinical ambiguity: physicians' perspectives on the rise in Autism Spectrum disorder incidence.

BACKGROUND: To provide insight on physicians' perspectives concerning recent changes in the incidence and diagnostic process of Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) compared to other mental and neurodevelopmental disorders. METHOD: A questionnaire was sent to 191 specialists in child neurology and child development, and 200 child psychiatrists in Israel. Information was collected on professional background, as well as on physicians' opinions concerning the accuracy and rate of ASD diagnosis compared to that of cerebral palsy (CP), mental illness, and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD). For each closed-ended question, a global chi-square test for categorical variables was performed. RESULTS: 115 (60.2%) of specialists in child neurology and development, and 59 (29.5%) of child psychiatrists responded. Most physicians (67.2%) indicated that there was a moderate/significant increase in the incidence of ASD, which was higher than similar responses provided for CP (2.9%, p < 0.01) and mental illnesses (14.4%, p < 0.01), and similar to responses provided for ADHD (70.1%, p = 0.56). 52.8% of physicians believed that in more than 10% of clinical assessments, an ASD diagnosis was given despite an inconclusive evaluation (CP: 8.6%, p < 0.01; mental illnesses: 25.8%, p = 0.03; ADHD: 68.4%, p = 0.03). CONCLUSION: The clinicians perceive both ASD and ADHD as over-diagnosed disorders. The shared symptomology between ASD and other disorders, coupled with heightened awareness and public de-stigmatization of ASD and with the availability of ASD-specific services that are not accessible to children diagnosed with other conditions, might lead clinicians to over-diagnose ASD. It is advisable to adopt an approach in which eligibility for treatments is conditional on function, rather than solely on a diagnosis. The medical community should strive for accurate diagnoses and a continuous review of diagnostic criteria.

Postnatal steroid therapy is associated with autism spectrum disorder in children and adolescents of very low birth weight infants.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluates the association between major neonatal morbidities and autism spectrum disorder (ASD) in children and adolescents born of very low birth weight (VLBW). METHODS: Historical cohort study using the Israel national VLBW infant database linked with the Maccabi Healthcare Services (MHS) medical records. The study cohort comprised 4963 VLBW subjects born from 1999 to 2012, >1 year of age. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to assess factors associated with ASD. RESULTS: The diagnosis of ASD was confirmed in 113 children (2.3%). Infants with major neonatal morbidities had higher rates of ASD; however, in the multivariable analyses these were not significantly associated with ASD: severe intraventricular hemorrhage (OR 1.21 [95% CI 0.60-2.45]), post-hemorrhagic hydrocephalus (OR 1.77 [0.73-4.29]), periventricular leukomalacia (OR 1.02 [0.42-2.51]), severe retinopathy of prematurity (OR 1.91 [0.995-3.67]), and bronchopulmonary dysplasia (OR 1.44 [0.84-2.45]). Postnatal steroid therapy when included separately was associated with an OR of 1.97 [1.18-3.29] for ASD. This association remained significant when postnatal steroid therapy was included with each of the neonatal morbidities (ORs ranging from 1.91 to 2.11). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests a significant association between postnatal steroid therapy and ASD in VLBW infants. This possible association should be considered in future studies evaluating potential risk factors for ASD in preterm infants.

Glucose intolerance in pregnancy and risk of early-onset type 2 diabetes: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The risk of type 2 diabetes among women with glucose intolerance during pregnancy that does not meet gestational diabetes criteria requires further investigation. We aimed to explore the associations between various degrees of gestational glucose intolerance and the risk of type 2 diabetes in young adulthood. METHODS: For this population-based cohort study, the national Israeli conscription database was linked to Maccabi Healthcare Services (MHS), the second-largest state-mandated health provider in Israel. We included 177 241 women who underwent a pre-recruitment evaluation at adolescence (age 16-20 years), 1 year before mandatory military service, and later underwent, from Jan 1, 2001, to Dec 31, 2019, two-step gestational diabetes screening with a 50 g glucose challenge test (GCT) based on a threshold of 140 mg/dL (7·8 mmol/L), followed as needed by a 100 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Abnormal OGTT values were defined according to the Carpenter-Coustan thresholds: 95 mg/dL (5·3 mmol/L) or higher in the fasting state; 180 mg/dL (10·0 mmol/L) or higher at 1 h; 155 mg/dL (8·6 mmol/L) or higher at 2 h; and 140 mg/dL (7·8 mmol/L) or higher at 3 h. The primary outcome was incident type 2 diabetes in the MHS diabetes registry. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs for incident type 2 diabetes. FINDINGS: During a cumulative follow-up of 1 882 647 person-years, and with a median follow-up of 10·8 (IQR 5·2-16·4) years, 1262 women were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes. Crude incidence rates of type 2 diabetes were 2·6 (95% CI 2·4-2·9) per 10 000 person-years in women with gestational normoglycaemia, 8·9 (7·4-10·6) per 10 000 person-years in women with an abnormal GCT and normal OGTT, 26·1 (22·4-30·1) per 10 000 person-years in women with one abnormal OGTT value (in the fasting state or 1 h, 2 h, or 3 h post-challenge), and 71·9 (66·0-78·3) per 10 000 person-years in women with gestational diabetes. After adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics, adolescent BMI, and age at gestational screening, the risk of type 2 diabetes was higher, compared to the gestational normoglycaemia group, in women with an abnormal GCT and normal OGTT (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 3·39 [95% CI 2·77-4·16]; p<0·0001), in women with one abnormal OGTT value (9·11 [7·64-10·86]; p<0·0001), and in women with gestational diabetes (24·84 [21·78-28·34]; p<0·0001). The risk of type 2 diabetes was modestly increased in women with isolated elevated fasting glucose (adjusted HR 11·81 [95% CI 8·58-16·25]; p<0·0001), and in women with gestational diabetes and an abnormal fasting glucose (38·02 [32·41-44·61]; p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: Gestational glucose intolerance, including conditions not meeting gestational diabetes criteria of the two-step strategy, confers a high risk of type 2 diabetes in young adulthood. These conditions should be recognised as risk factors for type 2 diabetes, especially among women with abnormal fasting glucose concentrations during pregnancy. FUNDING: None.

Glucose Intolerance in Pregnancy and Offspring Obesity in Late Adolescence.

OBJECTIVE: Gestational hyperglycemia is associated with deleterious neonatal outcomes, but long-term risks for offspring obesity are less clear. We estimated the odds for offspring adolescent overweight and obesity among mothers with gestational glucose intolerance. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In a mother-offspring historical cohort, the Israel military conscription data set was linked to a large health maintenance organization. Included were women who were evaluated at adolescence and underwent two-step gestational diabetes screening (mean age, 31 years) with a 50-g glucose challenge test (GCT), followed by a 100-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) if the result was abnormal. Glucose tolerance categories included gestational normoglycemia, abnormal GCT with normal OGTT, impaired glucose tolerance (IGT; one abnormal OGTT value), and gestational diabetes. The primary outcome was offspring overweight/obesity (BMI ≥85th percentile) at adolescence, measured prior to military conscription. Logistic regression models were applied. RESULTS: Of 33,482 mother-offspring pairs, overweight and obesity were observed in 6,516 offspring. Across increasing categories of pregnancy glycemia, the proportions of offspring with adolescent overweight/obesity increased: normoglycemia, 19%; abnormal GCT with normal OGTT, 22%; gestational IGT, 24%; and gestational diabetes, 25% (P < 0.0001). Corresponding odds ratios after adjustment for the mother's late adolescent characteristics (sociodemographic confounders and BMI) and pregnancy age were 1.2 (95% CI 1.1-1.4), 1.3 (1.2-1.5), and 1.4 (1.3-1.6), respectively. Further adjustment for offspring birth weight percentile and sociodemographic variables did not materially change results. Associations were more pronounced with increasing obesity severity. CONCLUSIONS: Gestational glucose intolerance, including categories not meeting the gestational diabetes threshold, was associated with increased odds for offspring overweight/obesity at late adolescence.