Development and verification of a prediction model for outcomes of elderly patients with nursing home-acquired pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Among all infections in nursing homes, pneumonia has the highest mortality. Nurses have a 24-h relationship with patients and have a key role in identifying and preventing adverse outcomes. However, tools to engage nurses in pneumonia patient outcomes evaluation have not occurred. PURPOSE: This study aimed to develop and validate a prediction model to predict the outcome of elderly patients with nursing home-acquired pneumonia (NHAP). METHODOLOGY: A retrospective observational study was conducted with 219 elderly NHAP patients. Baseline characteristics, health history, and treatment/nursing status were collected. Variables for constructing nomograms were screened by univariate and multivariate analysis. The nomogram model was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), decision curve analysis (DCA) curves, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: 9 independent risk factors were identified and assembled into the nomogram. The nomogram exhibited reasonably accurate discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC): 0.931, P < 0.05) and calibration (C-index: 0.931, 95 % CI: 0.898-0.964) in the validation cohort. DCA and clinical impact curves demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically beneficial. CONCLUSIONS: A visualization nomogram model was successfully established for predicting the outcome of the NHAP elderly patients. The model has extremely high reliability, extremely high predictive ability, and good clinical applicability.

The safety and effectiveness of enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) in older patients undergoing orthopedic surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: To systematically review and analyze the safety and effectiveness of ERAS in older patients undergoing orthopedic surgeries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, MEDLINE (Ovid), Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, and other databases to identify all randomized controlled studies and cohorts. We used the Cochrane Risk of Bias Assessment Tool and the Newcastle‒Ottawa Scale to assess the study quality. A meta-analysis was performed using the inverse variance weighting method. RESULTS: This study included 15 studies involving a total of 2591 older patients undergoing orthopedic surgeries with 1480 in the ERAS group. The ERAS group had a lower incidence of postoperative complications than the control group (RR 0.52; 95% CI 0.42-0.65). Length of stay was 3.37 days lower in the ERAS group than in the control group (P < 0.01). And the ERAS protocol reduced the patient's postoperative VAS score (P < 0.01). Meanwhile, there was a lack of evidence of significant differences between the ERAS group and the control group in total bleeding and 30-day readmission rate. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of the ERAS program in older patients undergoing orthopedic surgeries is safe and effective. However, there is still a lack of standardization of protocols across institutions and centers for orthopedic surgery for older patients. Identifying ERAS components that are beneficial to older patients and developing ERAS protocols that are appropriate for older adults may further improve outcomes.