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BACKGROUND: Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in children is highly prevalent but its acute and chronic implications have been minimally described. METHODS: In this controlled case-ascertained household transmission study, we recruited asymptomatic children <18 years with SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid testing performed at 12 tertiary care pediatric institutions in Canada and the United States. We attempted to recruit all test-positive children and 1 to 3 test-negative, site-matched controls. After 14 days' follow-up we assessed the clinical (ie, symptomatic) and combined (ie, test-positive, or symptomatic) secondary attack rates (SARs) among household contacts. Additionally, post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) was assessed in SARS-CoV-2-positive participating children after 90 days' follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 111 test-positive and 256 SARS-CoV-2 test-negative asymptomatic children were enrolled between January 2021 and April 2022. After 14 days, excluding households with co-primary cases, the clinical SAR among household contacts of SARS-CoV-2-positive and -negative index children was 10.6% (19/179; 95% CI: 6.5%-16.1%) and 2.0% (13/663; 95% CI: 1.0%-3.3%), respectively (relative risk = 5.4; 95% CI: 2.7-10.7). In households with a SARS-CoV-2-positive index child, age <5 years, being pre-symptomatic (ie, developed symptoms after test), and testing positive during Omicron and Delta circulation periods (vs earlier) were associated with increased clinical and combined SARs among household contacts. Among 77 asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2-infected children with 90-day follow-up, 6 (7.8%; 95% CI: 2.9%-16.2%) reported PCC. CONCLUSIONS: Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2-infected children, especially those <5 years, are important contributors to household transmission, with 1 in 10 exposed household contacts developing symptomatic illness within 14 days. Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2-infected children may develop PCC.
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Infecciones Asintomáticas , COVID-19 , Composición Familiar , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/transmisión , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , Niño , Estudios Prospectivos , Masculino , Femenino , Canadá/epidemiología , Preescolar , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , Infecciones Asintomáticas/epidemiología , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Lactante , Adolescente , Estudios de Casos y ControlesRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To develop a predictive model for thiamine responsive disorders (TRDs) among infants and young children hospitalized with signs or symptoms suggestive of thiamine deficiency disorders (TDDs) based on response to therapeutic thiamine in a high-risk setting. STUDY DESIGN: Children aged 21 days to <18 months hospitalized with signs or symptoms suggestive of TDD in northern Lao People's Democratic Republic were treated with parenteral thiamine (100 mg daily) for ≥3 days in addition to routine care. Physical examinations and recovery assessments were conducted frequently for 72 hours after thiamine was initiated. Individual case reports were independently reviewed by three pediatricians who assigned a TRD status (TRD or non-TRD), which served as the dependent variable in logistic regression models to identify predictors of TRD. Model performance was quantified by empirical area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: A total of 449 children (median [Q1, Q3] 2.9 [1.7, 5.7] months old; 70.3% exclusively/predominantly breastfed) were enrolled; 60.8% had a TRD. Among 52 candidate variables, those most predictive of TRD were exclusive/predominant breastfeeding, hoarse voice/loss of voice, cyanosis, no eye contact, and no diarrhea in the previous 2 weeks. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% CI) was 0.82 (0.78, 0.86). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the majority of children with signs or symptoms of TDD responded favorably to thiamine. While five specific features were predictive of TRD, the high prevalence of TRD suggests that thiamine should be administered to all infants and children presenting with any signs or symptoms consistent with TDD in similar high-risk settings. The usefulness of the predictive model in other contexts warrants further exploration and refinement. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT03626337.
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Pueblos del Sudeste Asiático , Deficiencia de Tiamina , Tiamina , Humanos , Laos/epidemiología , Lactante , Masculino , Femenino , Deficiencia de Tiamina/diagnóstico , Deficiencia de Tiamina/epidemiología , Deficiencia de Tiamina/tratamiento farmacológico , Estudios Prospectivos , Tiamina/uso terapéutico , Tiamina/administración & dosificación , Recién Nacido , Complejo Vitamínico B/uso terapéutico , Complejo Vitamínico B/administración & dosificaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Both increases and decreases in patients' prescribed daily opioid dose have been linked to increased overdose risk, but associations between 30-day dose trajectories and subsequent overdose risk have not been systematically examined. OBJECTIVE: To examine the associations between 30-day prescribed opioid dose trajectories and fatal opioid overdose risk during the subsequent 15 days. DESIGN: Statewide cohort study using linked prescription drug monitoring program and death certificate data. We constructed a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model that accounted for time-varying prescription-, prescriber-, and pharmacy-level factors. PARTICIPANTS: All patients prescribed an opioid analgesic in California from March to December, 2013 (5,326,392 patients). MAIN MEASURES: Dependent variable: fatal drug overdose involving opioids. Primary independent variable: a 16-level variable denoting all possible opioid dose trajectories using the following categories for current and 30-day previously prescribed daily dose: 0-29, 30-59, 60-89, or ≥90 milligram morphine equivalents (MME). KEY RESULTS: Relative to patients prescribed a stable daily dose of 0-29 MME, large (≥2 categories) dose increases and having a previous or current dose ≥60 MME per day were associated with significantly greater 15-day overdose risk. Patients whose dose decreased from ≥90 to 0-29 MME per day had significantly greater overdose risk compared to both patients prescribed a stable daily dose of ≥90 MME (aHR 3.56, 95%CI 2.24-5.67) and to patients prescribed a stable daily dose of 0-29 MME (aHR 7.87, 95%CI 5.49-11.28). Patients prescribed benzodiazepines also had significantly greater overdose risk; being prescribed Z-drugs, carisoprodol, or psychostimulants was not associated with overdose risk. CONCLUSIONS: Large (≥2 categories) 30-day dose increases and decreases were both associated with increased risk of fatal opioid overdose, particularly for patients taking ≥90 MME whose opioids were abruptly stopped. Results align with 2022 CDC guidelines that urge caution when reducing opioid doses for patients taking long-term opioid for chronic pain.
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Sobredosis de Droga , Endrín/análogos & derivados , Sobredosis de Opiáceos , Humanos , Analgésicos Opioides/efectos adversos , Estudios de Cohortes , Sobredosis de Opiáceos/complicaciones , Sobredosis de Opiáceos/tratamiento farmacológico , Sobredosis de Droga/tratamiento farmacológico , Pautas de la Práctica en Medicina , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
Prenatal and early postnatal air pollution exposures have been shown to be associated with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) risk but results regarding specific air pollutants and exposure timing are mixed and no study has investigated the effects of combined exposure to multiple air pollutants using a mixtures approach. We aimed to evaluate prenatal and early life multipollutant mixtures for the drivers of associations of air pollution with ASD. This study examined 484 typically developing (TD) and 660 ASD children from the CHARGE case-control study. Daily air concentrations for NO2, O3, ultrafine (PM0.1), fine (PM0.1-2.5), and coarse (PM2.5-10) particles were predicted from chemical transport models with statistical bias adjustment based on ground-based monitors. Daily averages were calculated for each exposure period (pre-pregnancy, each trimester of pregnancy, first and second year of life) between 2000 and 2016. Air pollution variables were natural log-transformed and then standardized. Individual and joint effects of pollutant exposure with ASD, and potential interactions, were evaluated for each period using hierarchical Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression (BKMR) models, with three groups: PM size fractions (PM0.1, PM0.1-2.5, PM2.5-10), NO2, and O3. In BKMR models, the PM group was associated with ASD in year 2 (group posterior inclusion probability (gPIP) = 0.75), and marginally associated in year 1 (gPIP = 0.497). PM2.5-10 appeared to drive the association (conditional PIP (cPIP) = 0.64) in year 1, while PM0.1 appeared to drive the association in year 2 (cPIP = 0.76), with both showing a moderately strong increased risk. Pre-pregnancy O3 showed a slight J-shaped risk of ASD (gPIP = 0.55). No associations were observed for exposures during pregnancy. Pre-pregnancy O3 and year 2 p.m.0.1 exposures appear to be associated with an increased risk of ASD. Future research should examine ultrafine particulate matter in relation to ASD.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Trastorno del Espectro Autista , Fosfatos de Inositol , Prostaglandinas E , Niño , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Material Particulado/toxicidad , Material Particulado/análisis , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Trastorno del Espectro Autista/inducido químicamente , Trastorno del Espectro Autista/epidemiología , Teorema de Bayes , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Mercaptopurina , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisisRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: This study sought to investigate the association of prenatal and early life exposure to a mixture of air pollutants on cognitive and adaptive outcomes separately in children with or without autism spectrum disorder (ASD). METHODS: Utilizing data from the CHARGE case-control study (birth years: 2000-2016), we predicted daily air concentrations of NO2, O3, and particulate matter <0.1 µm (PM0.1), between 0.1 and 2.5 µm (PM0.1-2.5), and between 2.5 and 10 µm (PM2.5-10) using chemical transport models with ground-based monitor adjustments. Exposures were evaluated for pre-pregnancy, each trimester, and the first two years of life. Individual and combined effects of pollutants were assessed with Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales (VABS) and Mullen Scales of Early Learning (MSEL), separately for children with ASD (n = 660) and children without ASD (typically developing (TD) and developmentally delayed (DD) combined; n = 753) using hierarchical Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression (BKMR) models with three groups: PM size fractions (PM0.1, PM0.1-2.5, PM2.5-10), NO2, and O3. RESULTS: Pre-pregnancy Ozone was strongly negatively associated with all scores in the non-ASD group (group posterior inclusion probability (gPIP) = 0.83-1.00). The PM group during year 2 was also strongly negatively associated with all scores in the non-ASD group (gPIP = 0.59-0.93), with PM0.1 driving the group association (conditional PIP (cPIP) = 0.73-0.96). Weaker and less consistent associations were observed between PM0.1-2.5 during pre-pregnancy and ozone during year 1 and VABS scores in the ASD group. CONCLUSIONS: These findings prompt further investigation into ozone and ultrafine PM as potential environmental risk factors for neurodevelopment.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Trastorno del Espectro Autista , Ozono , Material Particulado , Efectos Tardíos de la Exposición Prenatal , Humanos , Ozono/análisis , Ozono/efectos adversos , Ozono/toxicidad , Material Particulado/análisis , Femenino , Embarazo , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Preescolar , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Trastorno del Espectro Autista/inducido químicamente , Trastorno del Espectro Autista/epidemiología , Masculino , Efectos Tardíos de la Exposición Prenatal/inducido químicamente , Cognición/efectos de los fármacos , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Exposición Materna/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversosRESUMEN
Background: Barriers to attending family-centered rounds (FCR) exist for socially disadvantaged families. Using telehealth to conduct virtual FCR could potentially promote equitable parent/guardian FCR access. The objective of this work was to assess whether the effects of a virtual FCR intervention on parent FCR attendance varied by subgroups defined by social factors. Methods: We conducted a post hoc analysis of a randomized controlled trial of virtual FCR in the neonatal intensive care unit. Parents of intervention arm infants were invited to participate in virtual FCR plus usual care; control arm infants received usual care. Participants were analyzed according to the assigned group and by race/ethnicity, insurance, mother's education, and neighborhood health conditions. We used Poisson regression to estimate and compare FCR parent attendance rates. Heterogeneity of intervention effects was assessed using interaction terms to evaluate the relative benefit of the intervention in increasing parent FCR attendance. Results: We included all enrolled trial subjects (74 intervention, 36 control). Intervention arm infants had 3.36 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.66-4.23) times the FCR parent attendance rate of subjects in the control arm. Compared with the corresponding reference subgroup, intervention benefits were 2.15 times (95% CI: 1.30-3.56) better for racial/ethnic minorities, 3.08 times (95% CI: 1.59-5.95) better for those with private insurance, 2.68 times (95% CI: 1.12-6.40) better for those whose mother reported no college education, and 4.14 times (95% CI: 2.07-8.25) better for those from a neighborhood with worse health conditions. Conclusions: Virtual FCR improved parent FCR attendance overall, with even greater benefits for certain subgroups. Further research is needed to mitigate the differential benefit demonstrated for privately insured subjects.
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This study aimed to compare the breastfeeding (BF) duration of the younger siblings of children with ASD in an enriched-likelihood cohort for autism spectrum disorder (ASD), and to determine whether longer BF duration was associated with differences in neurodevelopmental outcomes in this cohort. Information on BF practices was collected via surveys in the MARBLES (Markers of Autism Risk in Babies-Learning Early Signs) study. Developmental evaluations, including the Mullen Scales of Early Learning and the Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule, were conducted by expert clinicians. Participants' neurodevelopmental outcome was classified by an algorithm into three groups: typical development, ASD, and non-typical development. The median duration of BF was 10.70 months (interquartile range of 12.07 months). There were no significant differences in the distribution of duration of BF among the three neurodevelopmental outcome categories. Children in this enriched-likelihood cohort who were breastfed for > 12 months had significantly higher scores on cognitive testing compared to those who were breastfed for 0-3 months. There was no significant difference in ASD symptomatology or ASD risk based on BF duration.
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BACKGROUND: Live dietary microbes have been hypothesized to contribute to human health but direct evidence is lacking. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to determine whether the dietary consumption of live microbes is linked to improved health outcomes. METHODS: Data from the NHANES 2001-2018 were used to assess microbial intake and their adjusted associations with selected physiological parameters (e.g., blood pressure, anthropometric measures, and biomarkers) among adults aged 19 y and older. Regression models were constructed to assess the microbial intake with each physiological parameter and adjusted for demographics and other covariates. Microbial intake was assessed as both a continuous variable and a 3-level categorical variable. Fermented foods were assessed in a separate model. RESULTS: In continuous models, an additional 100-g intake of microbe-containing foods was associated with a lower systolic blood pressure (regression coefficient: -0.331; 95% CI: -0.447, -0.215 mm Hg), C-reactive protein (-0.013; 95% CI: -0.019, -0.008 mg/dL), plasma glucose -0.347; 95% CI: -0.570, -0.124 mg/dL), plasma insulin (-0.201; 95% CI: -0.304, -0.099 µU/mL), triglyceride (-1.389; 95% CI: -2.672, -0.106 mg/dL), waist circumference (-0.554; 95% CI: -0.679, -0.428 cm), and BMI -0.217; 95% CI: -0.273, -0.160 kg/m2) levels and a higher level of high density lipoprotein cholesterols (0.432; 95% CI: 0.289, 0.574 mg/dL). Patterns were broadly similar when microbial intake was assessed categorically and when fermented foods were assessed separately. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, this study is the first to quantify, in a nationally representative data set of American adults and using stable sets of covariates in the regression models, the adjusted associations of dietary intakes of live microbes with a variety of outcomes, such as anthropometric measures, biomarkers, and blood pressure levels. Our findings suggest that foods with higher microbial concentrations are associated with modest health improvements across a range of outcomes.
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Alimentos Fermentados , Adulto , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Encuestas Nutricionales , Índice de Masa Corporal , Biomarcadores , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de SaludRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of brachial plexus birth injury (BPBI) and its associations with maternal demographic factors. Additionally, we sought to determine whether longitudinal changes in BPBI incidence differed by maternal demographics. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of over 8 million maternal-infant pairs using California's Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development Linked Birth Files from 1991 to 2012. Descriptive statistics were used to determine BPBI incidence and the prevalence of maternal demographic factors (race, ethnicity, age). Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine associations of year, maternal race, ethnicity, and age with BPBI. Excess population-level risk associated with these characteristics was determined by calculating population attributable fractions. RESULTS: The incidence of BPBI between 1991 and 2012 was 1.28 per 1,000 live births, with peak incidence of 1.84 per 1,000 in 1998 and low of 0.9 per 1,000 in 2008. Incidence varied by demographic group, with infants of Black (1.78 per 1,000) and Hispanic (1.34 per 1,000) mothers having higher incidences compared with White (1.25 per 1,000), Asian (0.8 per 1,000), Native American (1.29 per 1,000), other race (1.35 per 1,000), and non-Hispanic (1.15 per 1,000) mothers. After controlling for delivery method, macrosomia, shoulder dystocia, and year, infants of Black (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 1.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.70, 2.08), Hispanic (AOR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.18, 1.32), and advanced-age mothers (AOR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.09, 1.25) were at increased risk. Disparities in risk experienced by Black, Hispanic, and advanced-age mothers contributed to a 5, 10, and 2% excess risk at the population level, respectively. Longitudinal trends in incidence did not vary among demographic groups. Population-level changes in maternal demographics did not explain changes in incidence over time. CONCLUSION: Although BPBI incidence has decreased in California, demographic disparities exist. Infants of Black, Hispanic, and advanced-age mothers are at increased BPBI risk compared with White, non-Hispanic, and younger mothers. KEY POINTS: · The incidence of BPBI has decreased over time.. · Demographic disparities in BPBI incidence and risk exist.. · Infants of Black, Hispanic, and advanced age mothers are at greatest risk of BPBI..
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BACKGROUND: Treatment with analgesics for injured children is often not provided or delayed during prehospital transport. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to evaluate racial and ethnic disparities with the use of opioids during transport of injured children. METHODS: We conducted a prospective study of injured children transported to 1 of 10 emergency departments from July 2019 to April 2020. Emergency medical services (EMS) providers were surveyed about prehospital pain interventions during transport. Our primary outcome was the use of opioids. We performed multivariate regression analyses to evaluate the association of patient demographic characteristics (race, ethnicity, age, and gender), presence of a fracture, EMS provider type (Advanced Life Support [ALS] or non-ALS) and experience (years), and study site with the use of opioids. RESULTS: We enrolled 465 patients; 19% received opioids during transport. The adjusted odds ratios (AORs) for Black race and Hispanic ethnicity were 0.5 (95% CI 0.2-1.2) and 0.4 (95% CI 0.2-1.3), respectively. The presence of a fracture (AOR 17.0), ALS provider (AOR 5.6), older patient age (AOR 1.1 for each year), EMS provider experience (AOR 1.1 for each year), and site were associated with receiving opioids. CONCLUSIONS: There were no statistically significant associations between race or ethnicity and use of opioids for injured children. The presence of a fracture, ALS provider, older patient age, EMS provider experience, and site were associated with receiving opioids.
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Servicios Médicos de Urgencia , Fracturas Óseas , Humanos , Niño , Etnicidad , Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapéutico , Estudios Prospectivos , Dolor/tratamiento farmacológico , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Fracturas Óseas/tratamiento farmacológicoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Tubal ligation remains common in the USA, especially among low-income patients. OBJECTIVE: To compare the effectiveness and safety of intrauterine contraceptives (IUC) to laparoscopic tubal ligation for Medicaid clients. DESIGN: We partnered with patient and clinician stakeholders to conduct a retrospective cohort study using California Medicaid claims for patients who had an IUC placed or laparoscopic tubal ligation performed in 2008-2014, excluding procedures performed within 42 days of a birth. We applied log-linear (Poisson) event-history regression models for clustered person-period data to adjust for sociodemographic variables and pre-procedure health status when examining associations between these contraceptive procedures and claims related to contraceptive failure, complications, and pain in the first year post-procedure. KEY RESULTS: We identified 35,705 patients who had a levonorgestrel IUC placed, 23,628 patients who had a copper IUC placed, and 23,965 patients who underwent laparoscopic tubal ligation. In unadjusted analyses, rates of pregnancy within 1 year were similar following levonorgestrel IUC (2.40%) or copper IUC placement (2.99%) or tubal ligation (2.64%). In adjusted analyses, compared to tubal ligation, pregnancy was less common following placement of a levonorgestrel IUC (adj IRR 0.72, 95% CI 0.64-0.82) and similar with placement of a copper IUC (adj IRR 0.92, 95% CI 0.82-1.05). Procedural complications such as infection (0.35% vs. 2.91%) were significantly less common with IUC placement than tubal ligation. Claims for pelvic and abdominal pain decreased in frequency with time since all procedures; 6 to 12 months post-procedure, pelvic pain claims were less common after levonorgestrel IUC (adj IRR 0.69, 95% CI 0.65-0.73) or copper IUC placement (adj IRR 0.70, 95% CI 0.66-0.75) than tubal ligation. CONCLUSIONS: IUC appears at least as effective as laparoscopic tubal ligation at 1-year post-procedure with lower rates of infection and pelvic pain 6 to 12 months post-procedure. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT03438682.
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Esterilización Tubaria , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo , Anticoncepción , Cobre , Levonorgestrel , Dolor Pélvico/epidemiología , Dolor Pélvico/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Esterilización Tubaria/efectos adversos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Consuming live microbes in foods may benefit human health. Live microbe estimates have not previously been associated with individual foods in dietary databases. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to estimate intake of live microbes in US children (aged 2-18 y) and adults (≥19 y) (n = 74,466; 51.2% female). METHODS: Using cross-sectional data from the NHANES (2001-2018), experts assigned foods an estimated level of live microbes per gram [low (Lo), <104 CFU/g; medium (Med), 104-107 CFU/g; or high (Hi), >107 CFU/g]. Probiotic dietary supplements were also assessed. The mean intake of each live microbe category and the percentages of subjects who ate from each live microbe category were determined. Nutrients from foods with live microbes were also determined using the population ratio method. Because the Hi category comprised primarily fermented dairy foods, we also looked at aggregated data for Med or Hi (MedHi), which included an expanded range of live microbe-containing foods, including fruits and vegetables. RESULTS: Our analysis showed that 52%, 20%, and 59% of children/adolescents, and 61%, 26%, and 67% of adults, consumed Med, Hi, or MedHi foods, respectively. Per capita intake of Med, Hi, and MedHi foods was 69, 16, and 85 g/d for children/adolescents, and 106, 21, and 127 g/d for adults, respectively. The proportion of subjects who consumed live microbes and overall per capita intake increased significantly over the 9 cycles/18-y study period (0.9-3.1 g/d per cycle in children across categories and 1.4 g/d per cycle in adults for the Med category). CONCLUSIONS: This study indicated that children, adolescents, and adults in the United States steadily increased their consumption of foods with live microbes between the earliest (2001-2002) and latest (2017-2018) survey cycles. Additional research is needed to determine the relations between exposure to live microbes in foods and specific health outcomes or biomarkers.
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Dieta , Verduras , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Estudios Transversales , Ingestión de Alimentos , Ingestión de Energía , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Encuestas Nutricionales , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
A method was introduced in 2018 of performing indirect standardization for hospital profiling when only the marginal distributions of confounding variables are observed for the index hospital but the full joint covariate distribution is available for the reference hospitals (Wang et al, J Am Stat Assoc 2018; 114:662-630). The method constructs a synthetic comparison hospital using a weighted combination of reference hospitals, with weights assumed to follow a Dirichlet distribution with equal concentration parameters. In this article, we propose a novel method that improves upon the approach in a previous study (Wang et al, J Am Stat Assoc 2018; 114:662-630), by assuming the existence of latent classes among reference hospitals to allow for unequal Dirichlet concentration parameters. The latent class memberships, and thus the hospital weights, are informed by hospital-level characteristics. Our new method results in less biased point estimates and narrower uncertainty intervals for the standardized incidence ratio compared with the existing approach. We show the superiority of our novel methods in an application to a study on prevalence of high-radiation computed tomography exams, as well as in a simulation of the same medical context.
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Hospitales , Análisis por Conglomerados , Simulación por Computador , Factores de Confusión Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Estándares de ReferenciaRESUMEN
Exposure to per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) during pregnancy and lactation is of increasing public health concern, but little is known about longitudinal changes in maternal PFAS concentrations from pregnancy to a few years postpartum. We quantified 11 PFAS in 251 serum samples prospectively collected from 42 Northern California mothers during the first, second, and third trimesters of pregnancy and at 3, 6, and 24 months after delivery over 2009-2017. We fit separate linear mixed models during pregnancy, early postpartum, and late postpartum to estimate percent changes of PFAS for each subperiod. Among five PFAS detected in more than 99% of samples, linear and branched perfluorooctanesulfonate (n- and Sm-PFOS), linear perfluorooctanoate (n-PFOA), and perfluorononanoate (PFNA) concentrations changed -4% to -3% per month during pregnancy. During early postpartum, perfluorohexanesulfonate (PFHxS) and n-PFOA concentrations changed -6% and -5%, respectively, per month, and Sm-PFOS and PFNA concentrations changed -1% per month. During late postpartum, n-PFOS, Sm-PFOS, and PFNA concentrations changed -1% per month. Breastfeeding duration was the primary determinant of n-PFOA and PFNA concentrations during late postpartum, showing negative associations. Our findings might be useful for reconstructing reliable prenatal or early life PFAS exposures for offspring.
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Ácidos Alcanesulfónicos , Contaminantes Ambientales , Fluorocarburos , Femenino , Humanos , Lactancia , Modelos Lineales , Madres , EmbarazoRESUMEN
One-hundred seventy-two households were recruited from regions with high outdoor air pollution (Fresno and Riverside, CA) to participate in a randomized, sham-controlled, cross-over study to determine the effectiveness of high-efficiency air filtration to reduce indoor particle exposures. In 129 households, stand-alone HEPA air cleaners were placed in a bedroom and in the main living area. In 43 households, high-efficiency MERV 16 filters were installed in central forced-air heating and cooling systems and the participating households were asked to run the system on a clean-air cycle for 15 min per hour. Participating households that completed the study received true air filtration for a year and sham air filtration for a year. Air pollution samples were collected at approximately 6-month intervals, with two measurements in each of the sham and true filtration periods. One week indoor and outdoor time-integrated samples were collected for measurement of PM2.5 , PM10 , and ultrafine particulate matter (UFP) measured as PM0.2 . Reflectance measurements were also made on the PM2.5 filters to estimate black carbon. True filtration significantly improved indoor air quality, with a 48% reduction in the geometric mean indoor PM0.2 and PM2.5 concentrations, and a 31% reduction in PM10 . Geometric mean concentrations of indoor/outdoor reflectance values, indicating fraction of particles of outdoor origin remaining indoors, decreased by 77%. Improvements in particle concentrations were greater with continuously operating stand-alone air cleaners than with intermittent central system filtration. Keeping windows closed and increased utilization of the filtration systems further improved indoor air quality.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire Interior , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire Interior/análisis , Estudios Cruzados , Monitoreo del Ambiente , Filtración , Material Particulado/análisisRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate parent and therapist experience and cost savings from the payer perspective associated with a novel tele-physiatry program for children living in rural and underserved communities. DESIGN: We designed a noninferiority, cluster-randomized crossover study at 4 school-based clinics to evaluate parent experience and perceived quality of care between a telemedicine-based approach in which the physiatrist conducts the visit remotely with an in-person therapist and a traditional in-person physiatrist clinic. SETTING: Four school-based clinics in Northern California. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 268 encounters (124 telemedicine and 144 in-person) were completed by 200 unique patients (N=200). INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Parent and therapist experience scores. RESULTS: For parents and therapists, experience and perceived quality of care were high with no significant differences between telemedicine and in-person encounters. For parents whose children received a telemedicine encounter, 40 (54.8%) reported no preference for their child's subsequent encounter, 21 (28.8%) preferred a physiatrist telemedicine visit, and 12 (16.4%) preferred a physiatrist in-person visit. From the payer perspective, costs were $100 higher for in-person clinics owing to physician mileage reimbursement. CONCLUSIONS: We found that school-based tele-physiatry for children with special health care needs is not inferior to in-person encounters with regard to parent and provider experience and perceived quality of care. Tele-physiatry was also associated with an average cost savings of $100 per clinic to the payer.
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Actitud Frente a la Salud , Niños con Discapacidad/rehabilitación , Padres/psicología , Servicios de Salud Rural , Telemedicina/economía , Telemedicina/métodos , Poblaciones Vulnerables , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Cruzados , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Medicina Física y RehabilitaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Trauma is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in older adults and will become more common as the population ages. Tranexamic acid (TXA) is a lysine analogue frequently used in the setting of significant trauma with hemorrhage. The aim of this study is to investigate the heterogeneity of treatment effect of TXA as it relates to patient age during trauma care. METHODS: We included patients from the CRASH-2 trial who were randomized within 3 h of injury. Patients were stratified into age groups <26 years, 26 to 35 years, 36 to 45 years, 46 to 55 years, and >55 years. Multiple logistic regression models were utilized to evaluate adjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for mortality. Heterogeneity of treatment effect was evaluated using Akaike and Bayesian information criteria to determine the optimum logistic regression model after which a Wald Chi-square test was utilized to evaluate statistical significance. RESULTS: On univariate analysis, TXA administration decreased mortality within the <26 years cohort (decrease of 2.1%, 95% CI 0.2 to 4.0), 46 to 55 years cohort (decrease 6.7%, 95% CI 2.7 to 10.7), and >55 years cohort (decrease of 5.3%, 95% CI 0.4 to 10.3). On adjusted analysis, when compared to the 36 to 45 years cohort, the <26 year cohort experienced a decreased mortality (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.85) whereas the >55 year cohort experienced increased mortality (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.5 to 2.2). Assessment for heterogeneity of treatment effect of TXA administration between groups approached but did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.11). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality related to trauma increases with age, however, there does not appear to be heterogeneity of treatment effect for TXA administration among different age groups.
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Antifibrinolíticos , Ácido Tranexámico , Heridas y Lesiones , Adulto , Anciano , Antifibrinolíticos/uso terapéutico , Teorema de Bayes , Hemorragia/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Oportunidad Relativa , Ácido Tranexámico/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
Objective:To compare clinical recommendations given by psychiatrists and the adherence to these recommendations by primary care physicians (PCP) following consultations conducted by asynchronous telepsychiatry (ATP) and synchronous telepsychiatry (STP).Materials and Methods:ATP and STP consultations were compared using intermediate data from a randomized clinical trial with adult participant enrollment between April 2014 and December 2017. In both study arms, PCPs received written recommendations from the psychiatrist after each encounter. Independent clinicians reviewed PCP documentation to measure adherence to those recommendations in the 6 months following the baseline consultation.Results:Medical records were reviewed for 645 psychiatrists' consult recommendations; 344 from 61 ATP consultations and 301 from 62 STP consultations. Of those recommendations, 191 (56%) and 173 (58%) were rated fully adherent by two independent raters for ATP and STP, respectively. In a multilevel ordinal logistic regression model adjusted for recommendation type and recommended implementation timing, there was no statistically significant difference in adherence to recommendations for ATP compared with STP (adjusted odds ratio = 0.91, 95% confidence interval = 0.51-1.62). The profiles of recommendation type were comparable between ATP and STP.Conclusions:This is the first PCP adherence study comparing two forms of telemedicine. Although we did not find evidence of a difference between ATP and STP; this study supports the feasibility and acceptability of ATP and STP for the provision of collaborative psychiatric care. Clinical Trial Identifier NCT02084979.
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Médicos de Atención Primaria , Psiquiatría , Telemedicina , Adenosina Trifosfato , Adulto , Humanos , Derivación y ConsultaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between potentially avoidable transfers (PATs) and emergency department (ED) pediatric readiness scores and the score's associated components. STUDY DESIGN: This cross-sectional study linked the 2012 National Pediatric Readiness Project assessment with individual encounter data from California's statewide ED and inpatient databases during the years 2011-2013. A probabilistic linkage, followed by deterministic heuristics, linked pretransfer, and post-transfer encounters. Applying previously published definitions, a transferred child was considered a PAT if they were discharged within 1 day from the ED or inpatient care and had no specialized procedures. Analyses were stratified by injured and noninjured children. We compared PATs with necessary transfers using mixed-effects logistic regression models with random intercepts for hospital and adjustment for patient and hospital covariates. RESULTS: After linkage, there were 6765 injured children (27% PATs) and 18 836 noninjured children (14% PATs) who presented to 283 hospitals. In unadjusted analyses, a 10-point increase in pediatric readiness was associated with lower odds of PATs in both injured (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.90-0.96) and noninjured children (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.88-0.93). In adjusted analyses, a similar association was detected in injured patients (aOR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86-0.98) and was not detected in noninjured patients (aOR 0.94, 95% CI 0.88-1.00). Components associated with decreased PATs included having a nurse pediatric emergency care coordinator and a quality improvement plan. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital ED pediatric readiness is associated with lower odds of a PAT. Certain pediatric readiness components are modifiable risk factors that EDs could target to reduce PATs.
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Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital/organización & administración , Hospitalización , Transferencia de Pacientes , Adolescente , California , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Mejoramiento de la CalidadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Tools are needed to aid clinicians in estimating their patients' risk of transitioning to long-term opioid use and to inform prescribing decisions. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to develop and validate a model that predicts previously opioid-naive patients' risk of transitioning to long-term use. RESEARCH DESIGN: This was a statewide population-based prognostic study. SUBJECTS: Opioid-naive (no prescriptions in previous 2 y) patients aged 12 years old and above who received a pill-form opioid analgesic in 2016-2018 and whose prescriptions were registered in the California Prescription Drug Monitoring Program (PDMP). MEASURES: A multiple logistic regression approach was used to construct a prediction model with long-term (ie, >90 d) opioid use as the outcome. Models were developed using 2016-2017 data and validated using 2018 data. Discrimination (c-statistic), calibration (calibration slope, intercept, and visual inspection of calibration plots), and clinical utility (decision curve analysis) were evaluated to assess performance. RESULTS: Development and validation cohorts included 7,175,885 and 2,788,837 opioid-naive patients with outcome rates of 5.0% and 4.7%, respectively. The model showed high discrimination (c-statistic: 0.904 for development, 0.913 for validation), was well-calibrated after intercept adjustment (intercept, -0.006; 95% confidence interval, -0.016 to 0.004; slope, 1.049; 95% confidence interval, 1.045-1.053), and had a net benefit over a wide range of probability thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: A model for the transition from opioid-naive status to long-term use had high discrimination and was well-calibrated. Given its high predictive performance, this model shows promise for future integration into PDMPs to aid clinicians in formulating opioid prescribing decisions at the point of care.