HIV is hyperendemic among men who have sex with men in San Francisco: 10-year trends in HIV incidence, HIV prevalence, sexually transmitted infections and sexual risk behaviour.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate trends in the HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men (MSM) in San Francisco and the implications for HIV prevention. METHODS: An ecological approach assessed temporal trends in sexual risk behaviour, sexually transmitted infections (STI), HIV incidence and prevalence from multiple data sources between 1998 and 2007. RESULTS: By 2007, there were over 13 000 HIV-infected MSM living in San Francisco. No consistent upward or downward temporal trends were found in HIV incidence, newly reported HIV cases, AIDS deaths, proportion of AIDS cases using antiretroviral therapy, rectal gonorrhoea or primary and secondary syphilis cases among MSM during the study period. Trends in indicators of sexual risk behaviour among MSM were mixed. Overall, unprotected anal intercourse (UAI) increased in community-based surveys. Among HIV-positive MSM, no significant trends were noted for UAI. Among HIV-negative MSM, UAI with unknown serostatus partners decreased but increased with potentially discordant serostatus partners. Among MSM seeking HIV testing, increases were noted in insertive UAI at anonymous testing sites and at the STI clinic, in receptive UAI at anonymous test sites and in receptive UAI with a known HIV-positive partner at the STI clinic. CONCLUSIONS: Temporal trends in multiple biological and behavioural indicators over the past decade describe a hyperendemic state of HIV infection among MSM in San Francisco, whereby prevalence has stabilised at a very high level. In the absence of new, effective prevention strategies this state will persist.

A study of hepatocellular carcinoma using morphometric and densitometric image analysis.

Hepatocellular carcinoma is often difficult to diagnose in cytologic material and biopsy specimens. To demonstrate the utility of image analysis in discriminating benign and malignant hepatocytes, 42 malignant cell groups were compared with 26 benign cell groups with a wide range of nuclear morphology in hematoxylin and eosin-stained histologic sections from 42 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Nuclear measurements were performed with a relatively inexpensive microcomputer-based image analysis system using a highly flexible imaging software package. Twenty-two nuclear morphometric and densitometric parameters were evaluated. The best single discriminator of benign and malignant cells was the nuclear major axis. Classification of the test samples using optimized linear discriminant functions achieved the following positive predictive values (PV+) and negative predictive values (PV-) for hepatocellular carcinoma: 95.0% PV+ and 85.7% PV- for the major axis; 90.5% PV+ and 84.6% PV- for five densitometric parameters; 100% PV+ and 86.7% PV- for three morphometric parameters; and 95.5% PV+ and 100% PV- for nine combined morphometric/densitometric parameters. These results demonstrate that multivariate linear discriminant functions of nuclear features measured by image analysis can be used to classify benign and malignant hepatocytes accurately.

Renal transplantation from living related donors: a single center experience in Viet Nam.

INTRODUCTION: End-stage renal disease is a major public health problem in Viet Nam. A cooperative project between the University of Liège, Belgium, and the University of Medicine Pham Ngoc Thach, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam, has permitted the establishment of an autonomous program of renal transplantation from living-related donors at the Peoples' Hospital No 115. The aim of this paper was to report the primary results of the project and to draw conclusions for the future. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From January 2004 to July 2008, we performed 33 living-related renal transplantations. Mean ages of donors and recipients were 31.8 ± 9.5 and 41.6 ± 13.5 years, respectively. Laparoscopic nephrectomy was performed in 6 donors. The immunosuppressive regimen consisted of three drugs associated with induction therapy using anti-interleukin-2 receptor monoclonal antibody. RESULTS: The 33 donors are in good health at follow-up. Four developed major intra- or postoperative hemorrhage necessitating transfusion, with a surgical re-exploration in 1 donor. Wound infection occurred in 2 donors. Posttransplant recipient and graft survivals at 1 versus 3 years were 82% and 73% versus 82% and 65%, respectively. Eight recipients presented 13 biopsy-proven acute rejection episodes that were reversible in 7, but 1 patient lost his graft due to an irreversible rejection. Two recipients developed cancer. CONCLUSIONS: These initial results have encouraged us to continue the program of renal transplantation from living-related donors. However, they also pointed out the need to develop other donor sources.

Increases in sexually transmitted infections and sexual risk behaviour without a concurrent increase in HIV incidence among men who have sex with men in San Francisco: a suggestion of HIV serosorting?

BACKGROUND: Sexually transmitted infections (STI) and unprotected anal intercourse (UAI) have been increasing among men who have sex with men (MSM) in San Francisco. However, HIV incidence has stabilised. OBJECTIVES: To describe recent trends in sexual risk behaviour, STI, and HIV incidence among MSM in San Francisco and to assess whether increases in HIV serosorting (that is, selective unprotected sex with partners of the same HIV status) may contribute to preventing further expansion of the epidemic. METHODS: The study applies an ecological approach and follows the principles of second generation HIV surveillance. Temporal trends in biological and behavioural measures among MSM were assessed using multiple pre-existing DATA SOURCES: STI case reporting, prevention outreach programmatic data, and voluntary HIV counselling and testing data. RESULTS: Reported STI cases among MSM rose from 1998 through 2004, although the rate of increase slowed between 2002 and 2004. Rectal gonorrhoea cases increased from 157 to 389 while early syphilis increased from nine to 492. UAI increased overall from 1998 to 2004 (p<0.001) in community based surveys; however, UAI with partners of unknown HIV serostatus decreased overall (p<0.001) among HIV negative MSM, and among HIV positive MSM it declined from 30.7% in 2001 to a low of 21.0% in 2004 (p<0.001). Any UAI, receptive UAI, and insertive UAI with a known HIV positive partner decreased overall from 1998 to 2004 (p<0.001) among MSM seeking anonymous HIV testing and at the STI clinic testing programme. HIV incidence using the serological testing algorithm for recent HIV seroconversion (STARHS) peaked in 1999 at 4.1% at the anonymous testing sites and 4.8% at the STI clinic voluntary testing programme, with rates levelling off through 2004. CONCLUSIONS: HIV incidence among MSM appears to have stabilised at a plateau following several years of resurgence. Increases in the selection of sexual partners of concordant HIV serostatus may be contributing to the stabilisation of the epidemic. However, current incidence rates of STI and HIV remain high. Moreover, a strategy of risk reduction by HIV serosorting can be severely limited by imperfect knowledge of one's own and one's partners' serostatus.

Image analysis and diagnostic classification of hepatocellular carcinoma using neural networks and multivariate discriminant functions.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is often difficult to diagnose in cytologic material and small tissue biopsies since histomorphologic information is minimal or absent. The potential for misdiagnosis is greatest in attempting to discriminate well-differentiated HCC from dysplastic hepatocytes in cirrhosis. We investigated the feasibility of developing artificial intelligence classification methods based on nuclear image analysis data for use as adjuncts to the morphologic diagnosis of HCC. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Ninety hematoxylin-eosin stained histologic slides including 56 with well- to poorly differentiated HCC and 34 showing a morphologic continuum from normal to markedly dysplastic benign hepatocytes were assembled from four laboratories. A relatively inexpensive PC-based image analysis system was used to measure 35 nuclear morphometric and densitometric parameters of 100 nuclei in each specimen. The data were randomized into classification training and testing sets containing equal numbers of benign and HCC samples. Objective diagnostic classification criteria for HCC based on neural networks and multivariate discriminant functions (DFs) were developed for the most discriminatory subsets of morphometric, densitometric, and combined morphometric/densitometric variables as selected by stepwise discriminant analysis of training data. RESULTS: Morphometric parameters provided the best results with the following testing data positive and negative predictive values (PV+ and PV-) for HCC classification: 86.2% PV+ and 81.3% PV- for a linear DF, 85.7% PV+ and 76.5% PV- for a quadratic DF and 100% PV+ and 85.0% PV- for a neural network. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that nuclear image analysis-based objective classification criteria for HCC can be developed using artificial intelligence methods and that histologic material prepared at different institutions can be reliably classified. Neural networks for HCC classification were superior to linear and quadratic DFs. Morphometric data yielded the best results compared with densitometric or combined morphometric/densitometric data.