Stuttering in adolescence and the risk for dysglycemia in early adulthood.

AIMS: To investigate the association between stuttering during adolescence and the onset of dysglycemia (prediabetes or type 2 diabetes) in early adulthood among men and women. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This cohort study included Maccabi Health Services members assessed for mandatory military service at ages 16-19 during 1990-2019 and followed until 31 December 2020. Stuttering status was recorded in the baseline medical evaluation. Incident cases of dysglycemia were identified systematically using prediabetes and diabetes registries. Cox proportional hazard models were applied for men and women separately, adjusting for sociodemographics and medical status. RESULTS: The study cohort comprised 866,304 individuals (55% men; 0.21% with stuttering) followed for a total of 12,696,250 person-years. During the study period, 7.6% (n = 36,603) of men and 9.0% (n = 34,723) of women were diagnosed with dysglycemia. The mean ages at diagnosis were 34 and 32 years for men and women, respectively. Women with stuttering exhibited the highest dysglycemia incidence rate (102.3 per 10,000 person-years) compared with the other groups (61.4, 69.0, and 51.9 per 10,000 person-years for women without stuttering, men with stuttering, and men without stuttering, respectively). For both men and women, those with stuttering showed an increased risk of being diagnosed with dysglycemia compared with those without (adjusted hazard ratios 1.18 [1.01-1.38] and 1.61 [1.15-2.26], respectively). The associations persisted in extensive sub-analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Stuttering in adolescence is associated with a higher risk of dysglycemia in early adulthood for men and women. Screening and targeted prevention in this population, especially women, may be beneficial.

Adolescent Hypertension Is Associated With Stroke in Young Adulthood: A Nationwide Cohort of 1.9 Million Adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Adult hypertension is a well-established risk factor for stroke in young adults (aged <55 years), and the effects are even more deleterious than at an older age. However, data are limited regarding the association between adolescent hypertension and the risk of stroke in young adulthood. METHODS: A nationwide, retrospective cohort study of adolescents (aged 16-19 years) who were medically evaluated before compulsory military service in Israel during 1985 to 2013. For each candidate for service, hypertension was designated after constructed screening, and the diagnosis was confirmed through a comprehensive workup process. The primary outcome was ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke incidence as registered at the national stroke registry. Cox proportional-hazards models were used. We conducted sensitivity analyses by excluding people with a diabetes diagnosis at adolescence or a new diabetes diagnosis during the follow-up period, analysis of adolescents with overweight, and adolescents with baseline unimpaired health status. RESULTS: The final sample included 1 900 384 adolescents (58% men; median age, 17.3 years). In total, 1474 (0.08%) incidences of stroke (1236 [84%] ischemic) were recorded, at a median age of 43 (interquartile range, 38-47) years. Of these, 18 (0.35%) occurred among the 5221 people with a history of adolescent hypertension. The latter population had a hazard ratio of 2.4 (95% CI, 1.5-3.9) for incident stroke after adjustment for body mass index and baseline sociodemographic factors. Further adjustment for diabetes status yielded a hazard ratio of 2.1 (1.3-3.5). We found similar results when the outcome was ischemic stroke with a hazard ratio of 2.0 (1.2-3.5). Sensitivity analyses for overall stroke, and ischemic stroke only, yielded consistent findings. CONCLUSIONS: Adolescent hypertension is associated with an increased risk of stroke, particularly ischemic stroke, in young adulthood.

Association Between Body Mass Index and Nonspecific Recurrent Low Back Pain in Over 600,000 Healthy Young Adults.

An association between body mass index (BMI; weight (kg)/height (m)2) and low back pain (LBP) has long been debated, but inconsistent measurements of BMI and varying definitions of LBP have produced conflicting findings. We explored this association using measured BMI and physician documentation of recurrent LBP among healthy young adults. Data were extracted from the Israel Defense Forces electronic medical record system. All Israeli citizens with compulsory military service during January 2008-March 2019 were included (n = 705,840). Exclusion criteria were spine deformities, disc pathologies, spinal surgeries, arthropathies, connective tissue diseases, pain syndromes, low bone density disorders, cancers, and psychiatric illnesses. LBP was defined as electronic medical record system documentation of 1) 2 medical visits at least 6 weeks apart with a diagnosis of LBP or "LBP with radiation" or 2) 1 medical visit resulting in referral to an orthopedic surgeon. Logistic regression models were used to explore the association between BMI category and LBP; 619,969 (87.8%) individuals (mean age = 18.9 (standard deviation, 0.97) years; 56.9% male) were included. LBP prevalence was 9.2% (n = 56,918) and higher among males (9.7%) than females (8.5%). Overweight (odds ratio = 1.123, 95% confidence interval: 1.096, 1.151) and obesity (odds ratio = 1.137, 95% confidence interval: 1.096, 1.179) were associated with LBP. The association remained significant after accounting for various sociodemographic factors. Maintaining a healthy BMI may aid in the prevention of LBP in young adults.

Familial clustering of psychiatric disorders and low IQ.

BACKGROUND: Although the ICD and DSM differentiate between different psychiatric disorders, these often share symptoms, risk factors, and treatments. This was a population-based, case-control, sibling study examining familial clustering of all psychiatric disorders and low IQ, using data from the Israel Draft-Board Registry on all Jewish adolescents assessed between 1998 and 2014. METHODS: We identified all cases with autism spectrum disorder (ASD, N = 2128), severe intellectual disability (ID, N = 9572), attention-deficit hyperactive disorder (ADHD) (N = 3272), psychotic (N = 7902), mood (N = 9704), anxiety (N = 10 606), personality (N = 24 816), or substance/alcohol abuse (N = 791) disorders, and low IQ (⩾2 SDs below the population mean, N = 31 186). Non-CNS control disorders were adolescents with Type-1 diabetes (N = 2427), hernia (N = 29 558) or hematological malignancies (N = 931). Each case was matched with 10 age-matched controls selected at random from the Draft-Board Registry, with replacement, and for each case and matched controls, we ascertained all full siblings. The main outcome measure was the relative recurrence risk (RRR) of the sibling of a case having the same (within-disorder RRR) or a different (across-disorder RRR) disorder. RESULTS: Within-disorder RRRs were increased for all diagnostic categories, ranging from 11.53 [95% confidence interval (CI): 9.23-14.40] for ASD to 2.93 (95% CI: 2.80-3.07) for personality disorders. The median across-disorder RRR between any pair of psychiatric disorders was 2.16 (95% CI: 1.45-2.43); the median RRR between low IQ and any psychiatric disorder was 1.37 (95% CI: 0.93-1.98). There was no consistent increase in across-disorder RRRs between the non-CNS disorders and psychiatric disorders and/or low IQ. CONCLUSION: These large population-based study findings suggest shared etiologies among most psychiatric disorders, and low IQ.

Body mass index and migraine in adolescence: A nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: The association between body mass index (BMI) and migraine in adults has been well established. However, studies in children and adolescents are inconclusive. We aimed to study the association between BMI and migraine using a national dataset that comprises the electronic medical records of more than two million adolescents. METHODS: This study included all Israeli adolescents (57.7% males, 42.3% females; mean age 17 years) who were medically assessed before mandatory military service during 1990-2020. As part of the pre-recruitment medical assessment, all the adolescents were screened for migraine and their height and weight were measured. Diagnoses of migraine were confirmed by board-certified neurologists. Prevalences and odds ratios (ORs) for migraine were computed across BMI subgroups. Spline models were applied. RESULTS: A total of 2,094,862 adolescents were included, of whom 57,385 (2.8%) had active migraine. Among males, the adjusted ORs for migraine were 1.11 (95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.16), 1.13 (1.08-1.17), and 1.24 (1.19-1.30), for the underweight, overweight, and obesity subgroups, respectively, compared to the reference group of low-normal BMI (5th-49th percentile). Among females, the respective adjusted ORs were 1.12 (1.05-1.19), 1.23 (1.19-1.28), and 1.38 (1.31-1.46). Results persisted in sensitivity analyses accounting for other medical and psychiatric comorbidities and parental history of migraine. Spline models demonstrated a J-shaped relation between BMI and migraine. CONCLUSIONS: Both adolescent obesity and underweight were associated with migraine in a sex-dependent manner. This association peaked in female adolescents with overweight and obesity.

Hypermobility spectrum disorders and active migraine in Israeli adolescents: A nationwide study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between hypermobility spectrum disorders/hypermobile type Ehlers Danlos Syndrome (HSD/hEDS) and migraine in a national sample of adolescents in Israel. BACKGROUND: The association between HSD/hEDS and migraine is unclear, even more so in pediatric populations. METHODS: This population-based, cross-sectional study included 1,627,345 Israeli adolescents (945,519/1,626,407 [58%] males; mean age 17 ± 0.5 years) who were medically assessed before mandatory military service during 1998-2020. Diagnoses of migraine with at least one attack per month (active migraine) and HSD/hEDS were confirmed by certified specialists. The prevalences of active migraine in adolescents with and without HSD/hEDS were computed and the association between HSD/hEDS and active migraine was examined. RESULTS: Active migraine was significantly more prevalent in adolescents with HSD/hEDS (307/4686 [6.5%]) compared to those without HSD/hEDS (51,931/1,621,721 [3.2%]) (OR = 2.16, 95% CI 1.90-2.45). The association between HSD/hEDS and active migraine persisted in a multivariable analysis (OR = 2.08, 95% CI 1.85-2.34) and in several sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: We found a significant association between HSD/hEDS and active migraine in both male and female adolescents. Clinical awareness of the association can promote early diagnosis and treatment of migraine. Further research is required to identify appropriate pharmacologic and nonpharmacologic migraine treatment strategies for individuals with HSD/hEDS.

Hypermobility spectrum disorders and irritable bowel syndrome: A nationwide study of 1.6 million adolescents.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The association between hypermobility spectrum disorders/hypermobile type Ehlers-Danlos syndrome (HDS/hEDS) and irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) is yet to be clarified. We aimed to assess this association in a national sample of adolescents. METHODS: A population-based cross-sectional study included 1 627 345 Israeli adolescents (58% male; mean age 17 years) who were medically assessed before compulsory military service during 1998-2020. Diagnoses of HSD/hEDS and IBS were confirmed by board-certified specialists. The prevalence and odds ratios (ORs) for IBS in adolescents with and without HSD/hEDS were computed. RESULTS: A total of 4686 adolescents (2553 male) with HSD/hEDS were identified, of whom 71 were diagnosed with IBS (prevalence = 1.5%). Of the 1 621 721 adolescents in the control group, 8751 were diagnosed with IBS (prevalence = 0.5%). Unadjusted logistic regression revealed a significant association between HSD/hEDS and IBS (OR = 2.16 [95% confidence interval, CI, 1.90-2.45]), which persisted in multivariable adjusted models (OR = 2.58 [95% CI, 2.02-3.24]), and in several sensitivity analyses. The association was evident in both male and female adolescents with ORs of 2.60 (95% CI, 1.87-3.49), and 2.46 (95% CI, 1.66-3.49), respectively. The association was accentuated in a sensitivity analysis accounting for other medical and psychiatric comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: We found a significant association between HSD/hEDS and IBS in both male and female adolescents. Clinical awareness of the association can promote early diagnosis of IBS and appropriate multidisciplinary treatment. Further research is required to identify the common pathological pathways of the conditions and to develop new IBS treatment strategies for people with HSD/hEDS.

Obesity in late adolescence and incident type 1 diabetes in young adulthood.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Studies in children have reported an association between increased BMI and risk for developing type 1 diabetes, but evidence in late adolescence is limited. We studied the association between BMI in late adolescence and incident type 1 diabetes in young adulthood. METHODS: All Israeli adolescents, ages 16-19 years, undergoing medical evaluation in preparation for mandatory military conscription between January 1996 and December 2016 were included for analysis unless they had a history of dysglycaemia. Data were linked with information about adult onset of type 1 diabetes in the Israeli National Diabetes Registry. Weight and height were measured at study entry. Cox proportional models were applied, with BMI being analysed both as a categorical and as a continuous variable. RESULTS: There were 777 incident cases of type 1 diabetes during 15,819,750 person-years (mean age at diagnosis 25.2±3.9 years). BMI was associated with incident type 1 diabetes. In a multivariable model adjusted for age, sex and sociodemographic variables, the HRs for type 1 diabetes were 1.05 (95% CI 0.87, 1.27) for the 50th-74th BMI percentiles, 1.41 (95% CI 1.11, 1.78) for the 75th-84th BMI percentiles, 1.54 (95% CI 1.23, 1.94) for adolescents who were overweight (85th-94th percentiles), and 2.05 (95% CI 1.58, 2.66) for adolescents with obesity (≥95th percentile) (reference group: 5th-49th BMI percentiles). One increment in BMI SD was associated with a 25% greater risk for incidence of type 1 diabetes (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.17, 1.32). CONCLUSIONS: Excessively high BMI in otherwise healthy adolescents is associated with increased risk for incident type 1 diabetes in early adulthood.

Personality disorders and cause-specific mortality: a nationwide study of 2 million adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Personality disorders are prevalent in 6-10% of the population, but their risk for cause-specific mortality is unclear. The aim of the study was to assess the association between personality disorders diagnosed in late adolescence and all-cause as well as cause-specific (cardiovascular-related, external-related) mortality. METHODS: We performed a longitudinal study on a historical prospective cohort based on nationwide screening prior to recruitment to the Israeli army. The study participants were 16-19-year-old persons who attended the army screening (medical and cognitive, including screening for psychiatric disorders) between 1967 and 2006. Participants were followed from 1967 till 2011. RESULTS: The study included 2 051 606 subjects, of whom 1 229 252 (59.9%) were men and 822 354 (40.1%) were women, mean age 17.36 years. There were 55 508 (4.5%) men and 8237 (1.0%) women diagnosed with personality disorders. The adjusted hazard ratio (HRs) for coronary, stroke, cardiovascular, external-related causes and all-cause mortality among men with personality disorders were 1.34 (1.03-1.74), 1.82 (1.20-2.76), 1.45 (1.23-1.71), 1.41 (1.30-1.53) and 1.44 (1.36-1.51), respectively. The absolute rate difference for all-cause mortality was 56.07 and 13.19 per 105 person-years among men and women, respectively. Among women with personality disorders, the adjusted HRs for external-related causes and all-cause mortality were 2.74 (1.87-4.00) and 2.01 (1.56-2.58). Associations were already evident within 10 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Personality disorder in late adolescence is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular, external- and all-cause mortality. Increased cardiovascular mortality is evident before the age of 40 years and may point to the importance of lifestyle education already in youth.

Being overweight and born in the spring are associated with an increased risk for rhinitis.

AIM: To explore the relationship between the season of birth and the prevalence of recurrent or chronic rhinitis (rhinitis). METHODS: The medical records of consecutive 17-year-old conscripts to the Israeli army were reviewed. We compared the prevalence of rhinitis between children born during different seasons. Multivariate analysis was performed with additional variables. RESULTS: The prevalence of rhinitis among the 1.1 million recruits was 7.1% in males and 5.3% in females. The association between birth season and the prevalence of rhinitis was highly significant (p < 0.001 for both genders). Spring was the birth season with the highest prevalence of rhinitis (7.4% in males and 5.5% in females). Males born in the winter and females born in the autumn had the lowest prevalence of rhinitis (6.7%, and 5.2% respectively). There was an increased odds ratio for rhinitis among those with a body mass index above 25, higher cognitive score and maternal birth country out of Israel or Africa. CONCLUSIONS: There was an increased risk of rhinitis among young Israeli adults who were born in the spring, were overweight and had a higher cognitive-score. Family planning to avoid a spring birth and preventing overweight may reduce the risk of chronic rhinitis.

Childhood Cancer and the Risk of ESKD.

BACKGROUND: Increasing cancer incidence among children alongside improved treatments has resulted in a growing number of pediatric cancer survivors. Despite childhood cancer survivors' exposure to various factors that compromise kidney function, few studies have investigated the association between childhood cancer and future kidney disease. METHODS: To assess the risk of ESKD among childhood cancer survivors, we conducted a nationwide, population-based, retrospective cohort study that encompassed all Israeli adolescents evaluated for mandatory military service from 1967 to 1997. After obtaining detailed histories, we divided the cohort into three groups: participants without a history of tumors, those with a history of a benign tumor (nonmalignant tumor with functional impairment), and those with a history of malignancy (excluding kidney cancer). This database was linked to the Israeli ESKD registry to identify incident ESKD cases. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of ESKD. RESULTS: Of the 1,468,600 participants in the cohort, 1,444,345 had no history of tumors, 23,282 had a history of a benign tumor, and 973 had a history of malignancy. During a mean follow-up of 30.3 years, 2416 (0.2%) participants without a history of tumors developed ESKD. Although a history of benign tumors was not associated with an increased ESKD risk, participants with a history of malignancy exhibited a substantially elevated risk for ESKD compared with participants lacking a history of tumors, after controlling for age, sex, enrollment period, and paternal origin (adjusted HR, 3.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 7.7). CONCLUSIONS: Childhood cancer is associated with an increased risk for ESKD, suggesting the need for tighter and longer nephrological follow-up.

Body Mass Index in 1.9 Million Adolescents and Stroke in Young Adulthood.

Background and Purpose: There is a continuous rise in the prevalence of adolescent obesity and incidence of stroke among young adults in many Western countries, but the association between them is unclear. Methods: A nationwide population-based study of 1 900 384 Israeli adolescents (58% men; mean age, 17.3 years) who were evaluated before mandatory military service during 1985 and 2013. Body mass index was classified according to the US Center for Disease Control and Prevention percentiles. Primary outcome was a first stroke event as recorded by the Israeli National Stroke Registry between 2014 and 2018. Cox proportional hazard models were applied. Results: There were 1088 first stroke events (921 ischemic and 167 hemorrhagic; mean diagnosis age, 41.0 years). Adolescent body mass index was significantly associated with a graded increase in the risk for any stroke, ischemic stroke, but less so with hemorrhagic stroke. The hazard ratios for the first ischemic stroke event were 1.4 (95% CI, 1.2­1.6), 2.0 (95% CI, 1.6­2.4), and 3.4 (95% CI, 2.7­4.3) for the 50th to 84th percentile, overweight and obese groups, respectively, after adjustment for sex, age, and sociodemographic confounders with the 5th to 49th body mass index percentile group as the reference. The respective hazard ratios after further adjustment for diabetes status were 1.3 (1.1­1.5), 1.6 (1.3­2.0), and 2.4 (1.9­3.1). Results persisted when the cohort was divided by diabetes status and when ischemic stroke before age 30 was the outcome. Conclusions: High adolescent body mass index was associated with ischemic stroke in young adults with or without diabetes. The rising prevalence of adolescent obesity may increase the future burden of stroke in young adults.

History of Childhood Kidney Disease and Risk of Adult End-Stage Renal Disease.

BACKGROUND: The long-term risk associated with childhood kidney disease that had not progressed to chronic kidney disease in childhood is unclear. We aimed to estimate the risk of future end-stage renal disease (ESRD) among adolescents who had normal renal function and a history of childhood kidney disease. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide, population-based, historical cohort study of 1,521,501 Israeli adolescents who were examined before compulsory military service in 1967 through 1997; data were linked to the Israeli ESRD registry. Kidney diseases in childhood included congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract, pyelonephritis, and glomerular disease; all participants included in the primary analysis had normal renal function and no hypertension in adolescence. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratio for ESRD associated with a history of childhood kidney disease. RESULTS: During 30 years of follow-up, ESRD developed in 2490 persons. A history of any childhood kidney disease was associated with a hazard ratio for ESRD of 4.19 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.52 to 4.99). The associations between each diagnosis of kidney disease in childhood (congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract, pyelonephritis, and glomerular disease) and the risk of ESRD in adulthood were similar in magnitude (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of 5.19 [95% CI, 3.41 to 7.90], 4.03 [95% CI, 3.16 to 5.14], and 3.85 [95% CI, 2.77 to 5.36], respectively). A history of kidney disease in childhood was associated with younger age at the onset of ESRD (hazard ratio for ESRD among adults <40 years of age, 10.40 [95% CI, 7.96 to 13.59]). CONCLUSIONS: A history of clinically evident kidney disease in childhood, even if renal function was apparently normal in adolescence, was associated with a significantly increased risk of ESRD, which suggests that kidney injury or structural abnormality in childhood has long-term consequences.

The opposing trends of body mass index and blood pressure during 1977-2020; nationwide registry of 2.8 million male and female adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Elevated blood pressure among adolescents has been shown to be associated with future adverse cardiovascular outcomes and early onset diabetes. Most data regarding systolic and diastolic blood pressure trends are based on surveys of selected populations within 10-20-year periods. The goal of this study was to characterize the secular trend of blood pressure given the rising prevalence of adolescent obesity. METHODS: This nationwide population-based study included 2,785,515 Israeli adolescents (41.6% females, mean age 17.4 years) who were medically evaluated and whose weight, height and blood pressure were measured, prior to mandatory military service between 1977 and 2020. The study period was divided into 5-year intervals. Linear regression models were used to describe the P for trend along the time intervals. Analysis of covariance was used to calculate means of blood pressure adjusted for body mass index. RESULTS: During the study period, the mean body mass index increased by 2.1 and 1.6 kg/m2 in males and females, respectively (P for trend < 0.001 in both sexes). The mean diastolic blood pressure decreased by 3.6 mmHg in males and by 2.9 mmHg in females (P < 0.001 in both sexes). The mean systolic blood pressure increased by 1.6 mmHg in males and decreased by 1.9 mmHg in females. These trends were also consistent when blood pressure values were adjusted to body mass index. CONCLUSION: Despite the increase in body mass index over the last four decades, diastolic blood pressure decreased in both sexes while systolic blood pressure increased slightly in males and decreased in females.

Kidney failure risk in type 1 vs. type 2 childhood-onset diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is becoming increasingly common among children. We aimed to estimate the risk of end-stage renal disease (ESKD) and mortality among adolescents with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) or type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and normal renal function compared with non-diabetics. We hypothesized that childhood onset T1DM vs. T2DM would be associated with a different risk profile for developing ESKD and its complications. METHODS: A nationwide, population-based, retrospective cohort study, including 1,500,522 adolescents examined for military service between 1967 and 1997, which were classified according to the presence and type of diabetes. Data were linked to the Israeli ESKD registry. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for ESKD. RESULTS: At study enrolment, 1183 adolescents had T1DM and 196 had T2DM. ESKD developed in 2386 non-diabetic individuals (0.2%) compared with 72 individuals (6.1%) with T1DM and 8 individuals (4.1%) with T2DM. Participants with T1DM were younger at ESKD onset than participants with T2DM (median age, 36.0 vs. 40.5 years, P < 0.05). In a multivariate model adjusted for age, sex, paternal origin, enrollment year, BMI, and blood pressure, T1DM and T2DM were associated with HR of 36.4 (95% CI 28.3-46.9) and 19.3 (95% CI 9.6-38.8) for ESKD, respectively. Stratification according to sex, ethnicity, immigration, and socioeconomic status did not materially change the HR. During the follow-up period, mortality rates were higher in T2DM as compared with T1DM and controls (8.7 %, 2.2%, and 2.7% respectively). CONCLUSIONS: T1DM and T2DM in adolescents with normal renal function confer a significantly increased risk for ESKD. T1DM is associated with younger age at ESKD onset while T2DM is associated with higher mortality rate.

Myopia and Childhood Migration: A Study of 607 862 Adolescents.

PURPOSE: Immigration studies can shed light on myopia development and reveal high-risk populations. To this end, we investigated the association among immigration, age at immigration, and myopia occurrence during adolescence. DESIGN: Population-based, retrospective, cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: Six hundred seven thousand eight hundred sixty-two adolescents, Israeli born and immigrants, with origins in the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), Ethiopia, or Israel, assessed for medical fitness for mandatory military service at 17 years of age between 1993 and 2016. METHODS: Myopia and high myopia were defined based on right eye refractive data. Age at immigration was categorized into 0 to 5 years of age, 6 to 11 years of age, and 12 to 19 years of age. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were created. Myopia odds ratios (ORs) were calculated according to immigration status, with Israeli-born natives as controls. Next, myopia ORs were calculated according to age at immigration, with Israeli-born of same origin as controls. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Myopia prevalence and ORs. RESULTS: Myopia was less prevalent among immigrants than Israeli-born controls. When stratified according to age at immigration, a decrease in myopia prevalence and ORs with increasing age at migration were observed, most prominent in immigrants arriving after 11 years of age, who also showed lower high-myopia ORs. The immigrants from the USSR and Ethiopia arriving after 11 years of age showed a myopia OR of 0.65 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-0.67; P < 10-205) and 0.52 (95% CI, 0.46-0.58; P < 10-27) compared with the Israeli-born controls. Notably, Ethiopians arriving earlier than 5 years of age showed a 2-fold higher myopia OR than those migrating after 11 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: Immigrants arriving after 11 years of age showed markedly lower ORs for myopia and high myopia relative to Israeli-born controls or those arriving during early childhood, likely because of environmental and lifestyle changes. Differences between immigrants arriving up to 5 years of age and those arriving between 6 and 11 years of age were relatively smaller, suggesting exposures at elementary school age play a greater role in this population.

Adolescent BMI and early-onset type 2 diabetes among Ethiopian immigrants and their descendants: a nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: We assessed in a nationwide cohort the association between adolescent BMI and early-onset (< 40 years) type 2 diabetes among Israelis of Ethiopian origin. METHODS: Normoglycemic adolescents (range 16-20 years old), including 93,806 native Israelis (≥ 3rd generation in Israel) and 27,684 Israelis of Ethiopian origin, were medically assessed for military service between 1996 and 2011. Weight and height were measured. Data were linked to the Israeli National Diabetes Registry. Incident type 2 diabetes by December 31, 2016 was the outcome. Cox regression models stratified by sex and BMI categories were applied. RESULTS: 226 (0.29%) men and 79 (0.18%) women developed diabetes during 992,980 and 530,814 person-years follow-up, respectively, at a mean age of 30.4 and 27.4 years, respectively. Among native Israeli men with normal and high (overweight and obese) BMI, diabetes incidence was 9.5 and 62.0 (per 105 person-years), respectively. The respective incidences were 46.9 and 112.3 among men of Ethiopian origin. After adjustment for sociodemographic confounders, the hazard ratios for type 2 diabetes among Ethiopian men with normal and high BMI were 3.4 (2.3-5.1) and 15.8 (8.3-30.3) respectively, compared to third-generation Israelis with normal BMI. When this analysis was limited to Israeli-born Ethiopian men, the hazard ratios were 4.4 (1.7-11.4) and 29.1 (12.9-70.6), respectively. Results persisted when immigrants of other white Caucasian origin were the reference; and among women with normal, but not high, BMI. CONCLUSIONS: Ethiopian origin is a risk factor for early-onset type 2 diabetes among young men at any BMI, and may require selective interventions.

Adolescent overweight and obesity and the risk for pancreatic cancer among men and women: a nationwide study of 1.79 million Israeli adolescents.

BACKGROUND: There is growing concern regarding the impact of adolescent obesity on adult health. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between body mass index (BMI) in late adolescence and the incidence of pancreatic cancer during adulthood. METHODS: The authors analyzed a cohort of 1087,358 Israeli Jewish men and 707,212 Jewish women who underwent a compulsory physical examination between ages 16 and 19 years from 1967 to 2002. Pancreatic cancer incidence through December 31, 2012 was identified by linkage to the national cancer registry. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for pancreatic cancer according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) BMI percentiles at baseline. RESULTS: Over a median 23 year follow-up, 551 incident cases of pancreatic cancer cases occurred (423 men; 128 women). Compared with normal weight (5th to-<85th percentile), obesity (≥95th percentile) was associated with an increased risk of cancer among both men (HR, 3.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.52-5.34) and women (HR, 4.07; 95% CI, 1.78-9.29). Among men, compared with low-normal BMI (≥5th to <25th percentile), high-normal BMI (≥75th to <85th percentile) and overweight (85th to 95th percentile) also were associated with a higher risk for cancer(high-normal BMI: HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.05-2.13; overweight: HR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.39-2.80). The estimated population-attributable fraction because of overweight and obesity was 10.9% (95% CI, 6.1%-15.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Men and women who were obese or overweight as adolescents are at an increased risk for subsequent pancreatic cancer.

Body-Mass Index in 2.3 Million Adolescents and Cardiovascular Death in Adulthood.

BACKGROUND: In light of the worldwide increase in childhood obesity, we examined the association between body-mass index (BMI) in late adolescence and death from cardiovascular causes in adulthood. METHODS: We grouped data on BMI, as measured from 1967 through 2010 in 2.3 million Israeli adolescents (mean age, 17.3±0.4 years), according to age- and sex-specific percentiles from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Primary outcomes were the number of deaths attributed to coronary heart disease, stroke, sudden death from an unknown cause, or a combination of all three categories (total cardiovascular causes) by mid-2011. Cox proportional-hazards models were used. RESULTS: During 42,297,007 person-years of follow-up, 2918 of 32,127 deaths (9.1%) were from cardiovascular causes, including 1497 from coronary heart disease, 528 from stroke, and 893 from sudden death. On multivariable analysis, there was a graded increase in the risk of death from cardiovascular causes and all causes that started among participants in the group that was in the 50th to 74th percentiles of BMI (i.e., within the accepted normal range). Hazard ratios in the obese group (≥95th percentile for BMI), as compared with the reference group in the 5th to 24th percentiles, were 4.9 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.9 to 6.1) for death from coronary heart disease, 2.6 (95% CI, 1.7 to 4.1) for death from stroke, 2.1 (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.9) for sudden death, and 3.5 (95% CI, 2.9 to 4.1) for death from total cardiovascular causes, after adjustment for sex, age, birth year, sociodemographic characteristics, and height. Hazard ratios for death from cardiovascular causes in the same percentile groups increased from 2.0 (95% CI, 1.1 to 3.9) during follow-up for 0 to 10 years to 4.1 (95% CI, 3.1 to 5.4) during follow-up for 30 to 40 years; during both periods, hazard ratios were consistently high for death from coronary heart disease. Findings persisted in extensive sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: A BMI in the 50th to 74th percentiles, within the accepted normal range, during adolescence was associated with increased cardiovascular and all-cause mortality during 40 years of follow-up. Overweight and obesity were strongly associated with increased cardiovascular mortality in adulthood. (Funded by the Environment and Health Fund.).

Body mass index at adolescence and risk of noncardia gastric cancer in a cohort of 1.79 million men and women.

BACKGROUND: This study assessed adolescent predictors of noncardia gastric cancer (NCGC) with a focus on the body mass index (BMI) in late adolescence. METHODS: This study analyzed a cohort of 1,087,358 Israeli Jewish males and 707,212 Israeli Jewish females who underwent a compulsory physical examination between the ages of 16 and 19 years from 1967 to 2002. By linkage to the national cancer registry, participants were followed for NCGC through December 31, 2012. With a median follow-up of 23 years, 515 NCGC cases occurred (379 men and 136 women), and the median age was 47.0 years (interquartile range, 39.3-53.4 years). Multivariate-adjusted Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for NCGC according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention BMI percentiles at the baseline (normal weight, 5th to <85th percentile; overweight, 85th to <95th percentile; and obesity, ≥95th percentile) as well as the country of birth, residential socioeconomic status (SES), and education. RESULTS: In comparison with normal weight, adolescent obesity, but not overweight, was associated in both men and women with the risk of subsequent NCGC (unadjusted HR, 1.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-3.06; adjusted HR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.12-2.83). Immigration from the former Soviet Union (FSU), a low education level, and a low residential SES were also associated with the risk for NCGC with adjusted HRs of 2.67 (95% CI, 1.86-3.83), 1.85 (95% CI, 1.53-2.25), and 1.48 (95% CI, 1.13-1.93), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that adolescent obesity, but not overweight, is associated with an increased risk for NCGC. Immigration from the FSU, a low residential SES, and a low education level are also significantly associated with the risk for NCGC. Cancer 2018;124:356-63. © 2017 American Cancer Society.