Milk intake and incident stroke and CHD in populations of European descent: a Mendelian randomisation study.

Higher milk intake has been associated with a lower stroke risk, but not with risk of CHD. Residual confounding or reverse causation cannot be excluded. Therefore, we estimated the causal association of milk consumption with stroke and CHD risk through instrumental variable (IV) and gene-outcome analyses. IV analysis included 29 328 participants (4611 stroke; 9828 CHD) of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-CVD (eight European countries) and European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Netherlands (EPIC-NL) case-cohort studies. rs4988235, a lactase persistence (LP) SNP which enables digestion of lactose in adulthood was used as genetic instrument. Intake of milk was first regressed on rs4988235 in a linear regression model. Next, associations of genetically predicted milk consumption with stroke and CHD were estimated using Prentice-weighted Cox regression. Gene-outcome analysis included 777 024 participants (50 804 cases) from MEGASTROKE (including EPIC-CVD), UK Biobank and EPIC-NL for stroke, and 483 966 participants (61 612 cases) from CARDIoGRAM, UK Biobank, EPIC-CVD and EPIC-NL for CHD. In IV analyses, each additional LP allele was associated with a higher intake of milk in EPIC-CVD (ß = 13·7 g/d; 95 % CI 8·4, 19·1) and EPIC-NL (36·8 g/d; 95 % CI 20·0, 53·5). Genetically predicted milk intake was not associated with stroke (HR per 25 g/d 1·05; 95 % CI 0·94, 1·16) or CHD (1·02; 95 % CI 0·96, 1·08). In gene-outcome analyses, there was no association of rs4988235 with risk of stroke (OR 1·02; 95 % CI 0·99, 1·05) or CHD (OR 0·99; 95 % CI 0·95, 1·03). Current Mendelian randomisation analysis does not provide evidence for a causal inverse relationship between milk consumption and stroke or CHD risk.

Substitution among milk and yogurt products and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes in the EPIC-NL cohort.

BACKGROUND: Higher dairy consumption has been associated with lower type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk, whereas dairy product subtypes appear to differ in their T2D risk association. We investigated whether replacing one type of milk or yogurt product with another is associated with T2D incidence. METHODS: Participants of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Netherlands (EPIC-NL) cohort (n = 35 982) were included in the present study. Information on milk and yogurt consumption at baseline was obtained by a validated food frequency questionnaire. T2D cases were identified by self-report or linkage to the hospital discharge registry, and validated by consulting the general practitioner. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate associations. RESULTS: During a mean of 15 years of follow-up, 1467 indecent T2D cases were validated. Median total milk and yogurt intake was 1.5 servings (25th percentile to 75th percentile: 0.8-2.4). After adjustment for demographic and cardiovascular risk factors, replacement of one serving (200 g) of whole-fat milk [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.93, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.60-1.44], buttermilk (HR = 0.88, 95% CI = 0.58-1.34), skimmed milk (HR = 0.87, 95% CI = 0.57-1.32) or skimmed fermented milk (HR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.63-1.54) with whole-fat yogurt was not associated with T2D risk. Substitutions among other milk and yogurt products were also not associated with T2D risk. Sensitivity analysis investigating T2D risk halfway follow-up suggested a lower risk for substitutions with whole-fat yogurt. CONCLUSIONS: No evidence was found for the association between substitutions among milk and yogurt products and the risk of incident T2D, although we cannot exclude possible attenuation of results as a result of dietary changes over time. This analysis should be repeated in a population with a wider consumption range of whole-fat yogurt.

Unraveling the associations of age and menopause with cardiovascular risk factors in a large population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Although the association between menopause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk has been studied extensively, the simultaneous role of chronological aging herein remains underexposed. This study aims to disentangle the relationships of menopausal status and chronological aging with CVD risk factors in the largest study population to date. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, CVD risk factors were compared between women with a different menopausal status within the same yearly age strata. The study population comprised female participants of the baseline visit of the population-based LifeLines Cohort Study. A total of 63,466 women, aged between 18 and 65 years, was included. Of them, 39,379 women were considered to be premenopausal, 8669 were perimenopausal, 14,514 were naturally postmenopausal, and 904 were surgically postmenopausal. RESULTS: Compared to postmenopausal women aged 45 years, average total cholesterol (TC) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) were 0.5 and 0.4 mmol/L higher, respectively, in postmenopausal women aged 50. Systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels were 4 and 1 mmHg higher, respectively. At all ages between 46 and 55 years, and after adjustment for confounders, naturally postmenopausal women had 0.2 to 0.4 mmol/L higher TC and 0.1 to 0.3 mmol/L higher LDL-c levels compared to premenopausal women in the same age range. Systolic blood pressure levels were up to 4 mmHg lower in naturally post- compared to premenopausal women at all ages between 29 and 52 years. Body mass index levels were up to 3.2 kg/m2 higher in women with surgical menopause compared to all other women between the ages 32 and 52 years. All aforementioned results were statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Chronological age and menopausal status are both independently associated with CVD risk factors. Based on the comparatively smaller observed differences associated with menopausal status than with chronological aging, the significance of a more unfavorable lipid profile in a later reproductive stage may be less obvious than previously thought.

Fluidity of the dietary fatty acid profile and risk of coronary heart disease and ischemic stroke: Results from the EPIC-Netherlands cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The fluidity of dietary fatty acids consumed has been suggested to inversely affect coronary heart disease (CHD) risk. Lipophilic index (LI) represents overall fluidity of the dietary fatty acid profile. Lipophilic load (LL) represents a combination of overall fluidity and absolute intake of dietary fatty acids. We investigated the relations of dietary LI and LL with risk of CHD and ischemic stroke (iStroke). METHODS AND RESULTS: We used data from the prospective EPIC-NL study, including 36,520 participants aged 20-70 years. LI and LL were calculated using dietary intake data estimated with a validated FFQ. Incident CHD (n = 2348) and iStroke (n = 479) cases were obtained through linkage to national registers during 15 years follow-up. LI and LL were not associated with CHD risk (HRshighest-versus-lowest-quartiles: 0.93 [95%CI: 0.83, 1.04], and 0.92 [95%CI: 0.79, 1.07], respectively), and neither with iStroke risk (HRs 1.15 (95%CI: 0.89, 1.48), and 0.98 (95%CI: 0.70, 1.38), respectively). Original fatty acid classes (SFA, MUFA and PUFA), and LI and LL stratified by these fatty acid classes, were overall not related to CHD and ischemic stroke either. CONCLUSIONS: In this Dutch population, neither the overall fluidity of the dietary fatty acid profile (LI), nor the combined fluidity and amount of fatty acids consumed (LL) were related to CHD or iStroke risk. Dietary LI and LL may have limited added value above original fatty acid classes and food sources in establishing the relation of fatty acid consumption with CVD.

A pro-inflammatory diet is associated with increased risk of developing hypertension among middle-aged women.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A pro-inflammatory diet is thought to lead to hypertension through oxidative stress and vessel wall inflammation. We therefore investigated the association between the dietary inflammatory index (DII) and developing hypertension in a population-based cohort of middle-aged women. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health included 7169 Australian women, aged 52 years (SD 1 year) at baseline in 2001, who were followed up through 4 surveys until 2013. The DII, a literature-derived dietary index that has been validated against several inflammatory markers, was calculated based on data collected via a validated food-frequency questionnaire administered at baseline. Hypertension was defined as new onset of doctor-diagnosed hypertension, ascertained through self-report between 2001 and 2013. Generalised Estimating Equation analyses were used to investigate the association between the DII and incident hypertension. The analyses were adjusted for demographic and hypertension risk factors. During 12-years follow-up we identified 1680 incident cases of hypertension. A more pro-inflammatory diet was associated with higher risk of hypertension in dichotomised analyses with an ORfully adjusted of 1.24, 95% CI: 1.06-1.45. CONCLUSION: A pro-inflammatory diet might lead to a higher risk of developing hypertension. These results need to be replicated in other studies.

Back to the basics of ovarian aging: a population-based study on longitudinal anti-Müllerian hormone decline.

BACKGROUND: Anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) is currently used as an ovarian reserve marker for individualized fertility counseling, but very little is known of individual AMH decline in women. This study assessed whether the decline trajectory of AMH is uniform for all women, and whether baseline age-specific AMH levels remain consistently high or low during this trajectory. METHODS: A total of 3326 female participants from the population-based Doetinchem Cohort Study were followed with five visits over a 20-year period. Baseline age was 40 ± 10 years with a range of 20-59 years. AMH was measured in 12,929 stored plasma samples using the picoAMH assay (AnshLabs). Decline trajectories of AMH were studied with both chronological age and reproductive age, i.e., time to menopause. Multivariable linear mixed effects models characterized the individual AMH decline trajectories. RESULTS: The overall rate of AMH decline accelerated after 40 years of age. Mixed models with varying age-specific AMH levels and decline rates provided the significantly best fit to the data, indicating that the fall in AMH levels over time does not follow a fixed pattern for individual women. AMH levels remained consistent along individual trajectories of age, with an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of 0.87. The ICC of 0.32 for AMH trajectories with time to menopause expressed the large variation in AMH levels at a given time before the menopause. The differences between low and high age-specific AMH levels remained distinguishable, but became increasingly smaller with increasing chronological and reproductive age. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to characterize individual AMH decline over a long time period and broad age range. The varying AMH decline rates do not support the premise of a uniform AMH decline trajectory. Although age-specific AMH levels remain consistently high or low with increasing age, the converging trajectories and variance of AMH levels at a given time before menopause shed doubt on the added value of AMH to represent individualized reproductive age.

The association of low ovarian reserve with cardiovascular disease risk: a cross-sectional population-based study.

STUDY QUESTION: Is there a relationship between serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in premenopausal women? SUMMARY ANSWER: There are indications that premenopausal women with very low ovarian reserve may have an unfavorable CVD risk profile. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Age at menopause is frequently linked to CVD occurrence. AMH is produced by ovarian antral follicles and provides a measure of remaining ovarian reserve Literature on whether AMH is related to CVD risk is still scarce and heterogeneous. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Cross-sectional study in 2338 women (age range of 20-57 years) from the general population, participating in the Doetinchem Cohort Study between 1993 and 1997. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: CVD risk was compared between 2338 premenopausal women in different AMH level-categories, with adjustment for confounders. CVD risk was assessed through levels of systolic and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and glucose, in addition to a summed score of CVD risk factors. Among other factors, analyses were corrected for smoking, oral contraceptive use and BMI. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The relationship of serum AMH levels with CVD risk factor outcomes was nonlinear. Women with AMH levels <0.16 µg/l had 0.11 (95% confidence intervals (CIs) 0.01; 0.21) more metabolic risk factors compared with women with AMH levels ≥0.16 µg/l. There was no association of individual risk factor levels with AMH levels, besides a tendency towards lower total cholesterol levels of 0.11 mmol/l (95% CI -0.23; 0.01) in women with AMH levels <0.002 µg/l compared with women with AMH levels ≥0.16 µg/l. Although not statistically significant, these effect sizes were larger in women below 40 years of age. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Causality and temporality of the studied association cannot be addressed here. Moreover, the clinical and statistical significance of the results of this exploratory study should be interpreted with caution due to the absence of adjustment for multiple statistical testing. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This population-based study supports previous findings that premenopausal women with very low AMH levels may have an increased CVD risk. It lays the groundwork for future research to focus on this group of women. Longitudinal studies with more sensitive AMH assays may furthermore help better understand the implications of these results. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST: No financial support was received for this research or manuscript. The Doetinchem Cohort Study is conducted and funded by the Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment F.J.M.B. has received fees and grant support from Merck Serono, Gedeon Richter, Ferring BV and Roche. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Long-term effects of joint bleeding before starting prophylaxis in severe haemophilia.

INTRODUCTION: Early initiation of prophylaxis in severe haemophilia is critical for effective prevention of arthropathy. However, the optimum time for starting prophylaxis has not been established yet. AIM: This study assessed long-term effects of age at starting prophylaxis and joint bleeding before prophylaxis on haemophilic arthropathy. METHODS: In patients with severe haemophilia (FVIII/IX <0.01 IU mL-1 ), born between 1965 and 2000, haemophilic arthropathy was evaluated on X-rays. Patient groups were compared by multivariable regression analysis, adjusted for bleeding phenotype and lifetime intensity of prophylaxis. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-four patients were evaluated at a median age of 22 years. When comparing patients according to age at starting prophylaxis, starting before age 6 years was significantly better than starting later (P < 0.01), but no additional benefit of starting before age 3 years was demonstrated. The number of joint bleeds before prophylaxis had a stronger association with arthropathy than age at starting prophylaxis. Starting prophylaxis before the onset of joint bleeding resulted in the best long-term outcome (P ≤ 0.02); starting after one joint bleed appeared to have acceptable long-term outcome. The difference between starting after 0-1 and 2-5 joint bleeds was notable, but statistical significance was not reached (P = 0.15). CONCLUSION: Future research with more patients on early prophylaxis will have to clarify whether starting prophylaxis before joint bleeding is superior.

Evaluating outcome of prophylaxis in haemophilia: objective and self-reported instruments should be combined.

INTRODUCTION: Routine outcome assessment of prophylaxis should use validated tools, while balancing comprehensiveness and burden. Collecting overlapping information should be avoided. AIM: To assess correlations between different outcome assessment tools in haemophilia. METHODS: From an international cross-sectional study, data on objective outcome (Haemophilia Joint Health Score (HJHS 2.1, range 0-124), radiological Pettersson score) and self-reported joint bleeding, Haemophilia Activities List (HAL, range 100-0), health-related quality of life (SF-36, including five physical and five mental domain scores, range 100-0), and Utility (SF6D and EQ-5D, range 1.0-0) were extracted. Spearman's correlations were calculated: ≥0.8 very strong, 0.60-0.79 strong, 0.40-0.59 moderate. RESULTS: Ninety patients with severe haemophilia, on prophylaxis since median age 3.4 years, were evaluated at median 25.5 years (range 16.0-37.6). Objective outcome was favourable (median HJHS 2.1 6 points, Pettersson score 9 points). Self-reported outcome showed a median of 7 joint bleeds in 5 years, median HAL sum 96 points, high scores for physical domains of SF-36 (median 80-95) and high Utility values (median SF6D 0.87; EQ-5D 0.84). Physical examination (HJHS 2.1) showed strong correlation with radiological scores, moderate correlation with physical domains of the SF-36 and Utility, but no correlation with self-reported bleeding or limitations in activities (HAL). Bleeding was not associated with any other outcome parameter. The HAL was only correlated with the SF36 'Physical functioning' domain. CONCLUSION: For the evaluation of patients on early prophylaxis, information on bleeding should be complemented by objective joint assessment as well as self-reported limitations in activities and quality of life.

Age at menopause in women with type 1 diabetes mellitus: the OVADIA study.

STUDY QUESTION: Is type 1 diabetes a determinant of advanced ovarian ageing, resulting in an early age at natural menopause? SUMMARY ANSWER: No clear evidence was provided that type 1 diabetes is a determinant of accelerated ovarian ageing resulting in an early menopause. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The association between type 1 diabetes and early menopause has been examined previously with inconsistent results. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A cross-sectional study was performed in 140 post-menopausal women with, and 5426 post-menopausal women without, diabetes. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Both women with and without diabetes had experienced natural menopause. Study participants filled out a standardized questionnaire including report of their age at last menstrual period. Differences in menopausal age were analysed using linear regression analyses, with adjustment for possible confounders. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Mean age at natural menopause was 49.8 ± 4.7 years in women with type 1 diabetes and 49.8 ± 4.1 in women without diabetes. Linear regression analyses showed that type 1 diabetes was not associated with an earlier menopause compared with the reference group without diabetes, after adjustment for age, smoking history and parity (difference in age at menopause between women with type 1 diabetes and reference group 0.34 years, 95% confidence interval -0.34, 1.01). LIMITATIONS, REASON FOR CAUTION: Age at menopause was self-reported and assessed retrospectively. We had no information regarding microvascular complications therefore a possible association between vascular health and menopausal age could not be investigated. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: It has been hypothesized that the possible mechanism behind an accelerated ovarian ageing process in type 1 diabetes is prolonged poor glycaemic control and subsequent effects on vascular health. The improved glycaemic control during the last decades may have prevented vascular damage from occurring to an extent that would affect organ function. Nevertheless, the present findings are reassuring for reproductive health prospects in women with type 1 diabetes.

Diabetes and onset of natural menopause: results from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition.

STUDY QUESTION: Do women who have diabetes before menopause have their menopause at an earlier age compared with women without diabetes? SUMMARY ANSWER: Although there was no overall association between diabetes and age at menopause, our study suggests that early-onset diabetes may accelerate menopause. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Today, more women of childbearing age are being diagnosed with diabetes, but little is known about the impact of diabetes on reproductive health. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: We investigated the impact of diabetes on age at natural menopause (ANM) in 258 898 women from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC), enrolled between 1992 and 2000. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Determinant and outcome information was obtained through questionnaires. Time-dependent Cox regression analyses were used to estimate the associations of diabetes and age at diabetes diagnosis with ANM, stratified by center and adjusted for age, smoking, reproductive and diabetes risk factors and with age from birth to menopause or censoring as the underlying time scale. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Overall, no association between diabetes and ANM was found (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.94; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.89-1.01). However, women with diabetes before the age of 20 years had an earlier menopause (10-20 years: HR = 1.43; 95% CI 1.02-2.01, <10 years: HR = 1.59; 95% CI 1.03-2.43) compared with non-diabetic women, whereas women with diabetes at age 50 years and older had a later menopause (HR = 0.81; 95% CI 0.70-0.95). None of the other age groups were associated with ANM. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Strengths of the study include the large sample size and the broad set of potential confounders measured. However, results may have been underestimated due to survival bias. We cannot be sure about the sequence of the events in women with a late age at diabetes, as both events then occur in a short period. We could not distinguish between type 1 and type 2 diabetes. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Based on the literature, an accelerating effect of early-onset diabetes on ANM might be plausible. A delaying effect of late-onset diabetes on ANM has not been reported before, and is not in agreement with recent studies suggesting the opposite association. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS: The coordination of EPIC is financially supported by the European Commission (DG-SANCO) and the International Agency for Research on Cancer. The national cohorts are supported by Danish Cancer Society (Denmark); Ligue Contre le Cancer, Institut Gustave Roussy, Mutuelle Générale de l'Education Nationale, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM) (France); German Cancer Aid, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ) and Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMMF) (Germany); Ministry of Health and Social Solidarity, Stavros Niarchos Foundation and Hellenic Health Foundation (Greece); Italian Association for Research on Cancer (AIRC) and National Research Council (Italy); Dutch Ministry of Public Health, Welfare and Sports (VWS), Netherlands Cancer Registry (NKR), LK Research Funds, Dutch Prevention Funds, Dutch ZON (Zorg Onderzoek Nederland), World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF), Statistics Netherlands (The Netherlands); ERC-2009-AdG 232997 and Nordforsk, Nordic Centre of Excellence programme on Food, Nutrition and Health (Norway); Health Research Fund (FIS), Regional Governments of Andalucía, Asturias, Basque Country, Murcia (no. 6236) and Navarra, ISCIII RETIC (RD06/0020) (Spain); Swedish Cancer Society, Swedish Scientific Council and Regional Government of Skåne and Västerbotten (Sweden); Cancer Research UK, Medical Research Council, Stroke Association, British Heart Foundation, Department of Health, Food Standards Agency, and Wellcome Trust (UK). None of the authors reported a conflict of interest.

Is an unfavourable cardiovascular risk profile a risk factor for vasomotor menopausal symptoms? Results of a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Evidence suggests an association between vasomotor menopausal symptoms (VMSs), i.e. hot flushes and night sweats, and cardiovascular disease. However, the causal pathway is unclear. We investigated whether an unfavourable cardiovascular risk profile is a risk factor for VMS later in life. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Women aged 50-70 from the general population. POPULATION: The Prospect-European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (Prospect-EPIC) cohort is a population-based cohort of women who enrolled between 1993 and 1997. Follow-up questionnaires were sent at 5-year intervals for 15 years. Women who returned the third questionnaire, answered questions regarding lifetime VMS and did not report VMS prior to baseline were included in this study (n = 1295). METHODS: At baseline, the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) was determined. We used logistic regression analysis to calculate odds ratios (ORs) for the association between baseline FRS and incident VMS. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident VMS. RESULTS: At baseline (mean age ± standard deviation, 52.2 ± 3.6 years), 21.2% had a FRS > 10%. During follow-up, 40.2% of women reported the onset of VMS. Adjusted for body mass index, physical activity, education and alcohol consumption, each point increase in FRS was associated with a decreased incidence of VMS [OR, 0.94 (95% CI, 0.91-0.97)]. Additional adjustment for menopausal status attenuated the OR to null [OR, 0.98 (95% CI, 0.95-1.01)]. None of the separate FRS variables were associated with VMS after adjustment for age. CONCLUSIONS: In our cohort, an unfavourable cardiovascular risk profile was not associated with VMS, and therefore we found no evidence for the involvement of a vascular mechanism in the etiology of VMS.

Dietary intake of carotenoids and risk of type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Carotenoids may reduce diabetes risk, due to their antioxidant properties. However, the association between dietary carotenoids intake and type 2 diabetes risk is still unclear. Therefore, the objective of this study was to examine whether higher dietary carotenoid intakes associate with reduced type 2 diabetes risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 37,846 participants of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition- Netherlands study were analyzed. Dietary intakes of ß-carotene, α-carotene, ß-cryptoxanthin, lycopene, lutein & zeaxanthin and the sum of these carotenoids were assessed using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Incident type 2 diabetes was mainly self-reported, and verified against general practitioner information. Mean ±SD total carotenoid intake was 10 ± 4 mg/day. During a mean ±SD follow-up of 10 ± 2 years, 915 incident cases of type 2 diabetes were ascertained. After adjustment for age, sex, diabetes risk factors, dietary intake, waist circumference and BMI, higher ß-carotene intakes associated inversely with diabetes risk [Hazard Ratio quartile 4 versus quartile 1 (HR(Q4)): 0.78 (95%CI:0.64,0.95), P-linear trend 0.01]. For α-carotene, a borderline significant reduced risk was observed, with a HR(Q4) of 0.85 (95%CI:0.70,1.03), and P-linear trend 0.05. ß-cryptoxanthin, lycopene, lutein & zeaxanthin, and the sum of all carotenoids did not associate with diabetes risk. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that diets high in ß-carotene and α-carotene are associated with reduced type 2 diabetes in generally healthy men and women.

Yearly hypertension screening in women with a history of pre-eclampsia: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: Women with a history of preeclampsia are at increased risk for future hypertension and cardiovascular disease (CVD); until now it is not clear whether preventive measures are needed. METHODS: A decision-analytic Markov model was constructed to evaluate healthcare costs and effects of screening and treatment (100 % compliance) for hypertension post preeclampsia based on the available literature. Cardiovascular events and CVD mortality were defined as health states. Outcomes were measured in absolute costs, events, life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Sensitivity and threshold analyses were performed to address uncertainty. RESULTS: Over a 20-year time horizon, events occurred in 7.2 % of the population after screening, and in 8.5 % of the population without screening. QALYs increased from 16.37 (no screening strategy) to 16.40 (screening strategy), an increment of 0.03 (95 % CI 0.01;0.05) QALYs. Total expected costs were € 8016 in the screening strategy, and € 9087 in the none screening strategy (expected saving of € 1071 (95 % CI - 3146;-87) per person). CONCLUSION: Annual hypertension screening and treatment in women with a history of preeclampsia may save costs, for at least a similar quality of life and survival due to prevented CVD compared with standard care.

The significance of fragile X mental retardation gene 1 CGG repeat sizes in the normal and intermediate range in women with primary ovarian insufficiency.

STUDY QUESTION: Are fragile X mental retardation gene 1 (FMR1) CGG repeats in the normal and intermediate range (up to 55 repeats) associated with primary ovarian insufficiency (POI) in a large case-control study? SUMMARY ANSWER: No association was found between CGG repeats of intermediate size and POI compared with controls. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: CGG repeats in the FMR1 gene in the premutation range (55-200 repeats) have consistenly associated with POI. Intermediate range CGG repeats have been considered for a potential association with POI. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE: A case-control study in 375 well-phenotyped Dutch women diagnosed with POI and 3368 controls with natural menopause ≥40 years of age. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: The FMR1 CGG repeat number was determined by PCR amplification in women diagnosed with POI and women with a known age at natural menopause ≥40 years. The prevalence of intermediate sized CGG repeats (45-54 repeats) was compared between POI cases and controls using Fisher's exact test. Differences in mean CGG repeat lengths on allele 1 and allele 2 between POI cases and controls were tested using analysis of variance. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The frequency of intermediate sized CGG repeats on the allele with the longest triple repeat number was not statistically significantly different between POI cases and controls (2.7 and 3.8%, respectively, odds ratio 0.72, 95% confidence interval: 0.38-1.39, P = 0.38). In women with POI, linear regression analysis for age at POI diagnosis and CGG repeat size also failed to show any association (ß = -0.018, P = 0.74). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: FMR1 CGG repeat lengths in POI cases and controls were genotyped in two different laboratories. The distributions of CGG repeats may vary among the different ethnic populations in our study. Also, in our study women with primary amenorrhea (N = 17) were included in the POI group. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: We found no association between intermediate sized CGG repeats and POI compared with controls. Therefore, a role for FMR1 CGG repeat sizes up to 55 repeats in the ovarian ageing process may be questioned. Moreover, there seems limited value in the evaluation of normal- and intermediate FMR1 repeat size in the diagnostic work-up of women affected by POI, or for prognostic purposes in women at risk of developing POI. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS: The Prospect-EPIC study was funded by 'Europe Against Cancer' Program of the European Commission (SANCO); the Dutch Ministry of Health; the Dutch Cancer Society; ZonMW the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development; World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF) and the Dutch Heart Association.

Anti-Mullerian hormone is a more accurate predictor of individual time to menopause than mother's age at menopause.

STUDY QUESTION: In the prediction of time to menopause (TTM), what is the added value of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) when mother's age at natural menopause (ANM) is also known? SUMMARY ANSWER: AMH is a more accurate predictor of individual TTM than mother's age at menopause. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Mother's ANM is considered a proxy for daughter's ANM although studies on its predictive accuracy are non-existent. AMH is a biomarker with a known capacity to predict ANM. However, its added value on top of known predictors, like mother's ANM, is unknown. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: Population-based cohort studies were used. To assess any additive predictive value of mother's ANM, 164 mother-daughter pairs were used (Group 1). To assess the added value of AMH, a second group of 150 women in whom AMH and mother's ANM were recorded prior to a 12-year follow-up period during which daughter's ANM was assessed was used (Group 2). PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Group 1 consisted of participants of the DOM cohort (an ongoing breast cancer study). Group 2 was a pooled cohort of women with regular menstrual cycles from two independent published studies. Cox proportional hazards analysis estimated uni- and multivariate regression coefficients for female age at study entry, mother's ANM and AMH in the prediction of TTM. Discrimination of models was assessed with C-statistics. Clinical added value of AMH was quantified with a net reclassification index (NRI). MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: A model with female age and mother's ANM had a c-statistic of 79 and 85% in groups 1 and 2, respectively. Both age and mother's ANM were significantly associated with TTM (HR 1.54 and HR 0.93 for age and mother's ANM in Cohort 1 and HR 1.59 and HR 0.89 in Group 2, respectively. P-value for all <0.001). In Group 2, the multivariate model with age, mother's ANM and AMH had a c-statistic of 92%, and only female age and AMH remained significantly associated with TTM (HR 1.41 P < 0.0001; HR 0.93 P = 0.08 and HR 0.06 P < 0.0001 for age, mother's ANM and AMH, respectively). The mean weighted NRI suggests that a 47% improvement in predictive accuracy is offered by adding AMH to the model of age and mother's ANM. In conclusion, AMH and mother's ANM both have added value in forecasting TTM for the daughter based on her age. In comparison, AMH is a more accurate added predictor of TTM than mother's ANM. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The cohort of women is relatively small and different cohorts of women were pooled. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This study shows that AMH is a more accurate predictor of ANM than mother's ANM. However, before achieving clinical applicability, the certainty with which a woman's prediction is made must improve. The association between mother's ANM and TTM in daughters did not appear to be influenced by whether ANM was recorded by mothers or daughters--an important finding because in the clinical setting daughters usually provide this information. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): No funding was received and there were no competing interests in direct relation to this study.

Intensification of medication and glycaemic control among patients with type 2 diabetes - the ADVANCE trial.

AIMS: The aim of this study was to assess associations between patient characteristics, intensification of blood glucose-lowering treatment through oral glucose-lowering therapy and/or insulin and effective glycaemic control in type 2 diabetes. METHODS: 11 140 patients from the Action in Diabetes and Vascular disease: preterAx and diamicroN-MR Controlled Evaluation (ADVANCE) trial who were randomized to intensive glucose control or standard glucose control and followed up for a median of 5 years were categorized into two groups: effective glycaemic control [haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) ≤ 7.0% or a proportionate reduction in HbA1c over 10%] or ineffective glycaemic control (HbA1c > 7.0% and a proportionate reduction in HbA1c less than or equal to 10%). Therapeutic intensification was defined as addition of an oral glucose-lowering agent or commencement of insulin. Pooled logistic regression models examined the associations between patient factors, intensification and effective glycaemic control. RESULTS: A total of 7768 patients (69.7%), including 3198 in the standard treatment group achieved effective glycaemic control. Compared to patients with ineffective control, patients with effective glycaemic control had shorter duration of diabetes and lower HbA1c at baseline and at the time of treatment intensification. Treatment intensification with addition of an oral agent or commencement of insulin was associated with a 107% [odds ratio, OR: 2.07 (95% confidence interval, CI: 1.95-2.20)] and 152% [OR: 2.52 (95% CI: 2.30-2.77)] greater chance of achieving effective glycaemic control, respectively. These associations were robust after adjustment for several baseline characteristics and not modified by the number of oral medications taken at the time of treatment intensification. CONCLUSIONS: Effective glycaemic control was associated with treatment intensification at lower HbA1c levels at all stages of the disease course and in both arms of the ADVANCE trial.

The link between family history and risk of type 2 diabetes is not explained by anthropometric, lifestyle or genetic risk factors: the EPIC-InterAct study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Although a family history of type 2 diabetes is a strong risk factor for the disease, the factors mediating this excess risk are poorly understood. In the InterAct case-cohort study, we investigated the association between a family history of diabetes among different family members and the incidence of type 2 diabetes, as well as the extent to which genetic, anthropometric and lifestyle risk factors mediated this association. METHODS: A total of 13,869 individuals (including 6,168 incident cases of type 2 diabetes) had family history data available, and 6,887 individuals had complete data on all mediators. Country-specific Prentice-weighted Cox models were fitted within country, and HRs were combined using random effects meta-analysis. Lifestyle and anthropometric measurements were performed at baseline, and a genetic risk score comprising 35 polymorphisms associated with type 2 diabetes was created. RESULTS: A family history of type 2 diabetes was associated with a higher incidence of the condition (HR 2.72, 95% CI 2.48, 2.99). Adjustment for established risk factors including BMI and waist circumference only modestly attenuated this association (HR 2.44, 95% CI 2.03, 2.95); the genetic score alone explained only 2% of the family history-associated risk of type 2 diabetes. The greatest risk of type 2 diabetes was observed in those with a biparental history of type 2 diabetes (HR 5.14, 95% CI 3.74, 7.07) and those whose parents had been diagnosed with diabetes at a younger age (<50 years; HR 4.69, 95% CI 3.35, 6.58), an effect largely confined to a maternal family history. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Prominent lifestyle, anthropometric and genetic risk factors explained only a marginal proportion of the excess risk associated with family history, highlighting the fact that family history remains a strong, independent and easily assessed risk factor for type 2 diabetes. Discovering factors that will explain the association of family history with type 2 diabetes risk will provide important insight into the aetiology of type 2 diabetes.

The association of CGG repeats in the FMR1 gene and timing of natural menopause.

STUDY QUESTION: Is there an association between the number of CGG repeats in the FMR1 gene in the normal and intermediate range and age at natural menopause? SUMMARY ANSWER: The number of CGG repeats in the normal and intermediate range in the FMR1 gene was not associated with age at natural menopause. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Excessive triple CGG repeats in the FMR1 gene have been widely associated with primary ovarian insufficiency. Recently, the number of CGG repeats in the normal and intermediate range (up to 55 repeats) was found to be associated with serum levels of anti-Müllerian hormone and follicle-stimulating hormone, as markers for ovarian ageing. This suggests that repeats in the normal and intermediate range could be involved in the rate of exhaustion of the ovarian primordial follicle pool and ultimately the timing of menopause. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE: Cross-sectional study in a population-based sample of 3611 Caucasian women with natural menopause. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: The FMR1 CGG repeat number was determined by PCR amplification in 3611 women with a known age at natural menopause. A possible relation between CGG repeats in the normal and intermediate range (up to 55 repeats) and menopausal age were analysed in various ways, including linear regression analysis and analysis of variance. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: The number of CGG repeats in the normal and intermediate range in the FMR1 gene was not associated with age at natural menopause. The mean age at menopause was 50.30 (± 4.2) years for women with <45 repeats and 50.64 (± 3.4) years for women with intermediate-sized repeats (P = 0.37). Linear regression analysis of the number of CGG repeats showed no association with menopausal age (ß = 0.019, P = 0.16). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: In our cohort, age at menopause was self-reported and determined retrospectively. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Earlier observations suggesting that the number of CGG repeats in the normal and intermediate range is associated with the individual variation of the ovarian ageing process could not be confirmed in the current, large sample size study. A relation between the number of CGG repeats in the normal and intermediate range and age at natural menopause appeared to be absent. This finding questions the role of CGG repeat sizes in the ovarian ageing process.

Longitudinal analysis of cardiovascular risk parameters in women with a history of hypertensive pregnancy disorders: the Doetinchem Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Women with hypertensive pregnancy disorders (HPD) are at increased risk of developing hypertension and cardiovascular disease later in life; however, it is not known how cardiovascular risk develops throughout life. We evaluated the longitudinal trends in cardiovascular risk factors in women after hypertensive pregnancy disorders compared with women with normotensive pregnancies. DESIGN AND POPULATION: All women of the Doetinchem Cohort Study (1987-91), a population-based cohort study, were included. METHODS: Women were examined (questionnaires and physical examination) four times at 5-year intervals. History of HPD was assessed from questionnaires. We compared 5-year changes in risk factors between women with and without HPD, by analysing longitudinal trends using generalised estimating equation analysis to estimate the effects of HPD and mean age, adjusting for treatment, body mass index (BMI), smoking and socio-economic status. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change over time in traditional cardiovascular risk factors, including systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), BMI, total and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol for women with and without a history of HPD. RESULTS: A total of 2703 women with normotensive pregnancies (mean age 40.5 years, SD 10.4) and 689 women with a history of HPD (mean age 38.4 years, SD 9.5) were included. Compared with normotensive women, in women with a history of HPD, SBP was 2.8 mmHg higher (95% CI 1.7-3.9), DBP was 2.3 mmHg higher (95% CI 1.6-3.0) and BMI was 0.7 kg/m(2) higher (95% CI 0.4-1.1). Total cholesterol (-0.05; 95% CI -0.1 to 0.0) and HDL cholesterol (0.02; 95% CI -0.0 to 0.1) were similar in both groups. No difference in annual change in blood pressure or in the other risk factors was observed between women with and without a history of HPD. CONCLUSION: Women with a history of HPD have higher levels of SBP, DBP and BMI compared with normotensive women, but the increase with ageing is similar in both groups.