Mathematical model to predict B-type natriuretic peptide levels in haemodialysis patients.

AIM: Clinical interpretation of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels in haemodialysis (HD) patients for fluid management remains elusive. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational monocentric study. We built a mathematical model to predict BNP levels, using multiple linear regressions. Fifteen clinical/biological characteristics associated with BNP variation were selected. A first cohort of 150 prevalent HD (from September 2015 to March 2016) was used to build several models. The best model proposed was internally validated in an independent cohort of 75 incidents HD (from March 2016 to December 2017). RESULTS: In cohort 1, mean BNP level was 630 ± 717 ng/mL. Cardiac disease (CD - stable coronary artery disease and/or atrial fibrillation) was present in 45% of patients. The final model includes age, systolic blood pressure, albumin, CD, normo-hydrated weight (NHW) and the fluid overload (FO) assessed by bio-impedancemetry. The correlation between the measured and the predicted log-BNP was 0.567 and 0.543 in cohorts 1 and 2, respectively. Age (ß = 3.175e-2 , P < 0.001), CD (ß = 5.243e-1 , P < 0.001) and FO (ß = 1.227e-1 , P < 0.001) contribute most significantly to the BNP level, respectively, but within a certain range. We observed a logistic relationship between BNP and age between 30 and 60 years, after which this relationship was lost. BNP level was inversely correlated with NHW independently of CD. Finally, our model allows us to predict the BNP level according to the FO. CONCLUSION: We developed a mathematical model capable of predicting the BNP level in HD. Our results show the complex contribution of age, CD and FO on BNP level.

Management of patients at risk of acute kidney injury.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a multifaceted syndrome that occurs in different settings. The course of AKI can be variable, from single hit and complete recovery, to multiple hits resulting in end-stage renal disease. No interventions to improve outcomes of established AKI have yet been developed, so prevention and early diagnosis are key. Awareness campaigns and education for health-care professionals on diagnosis and management of AKI-with attention to avoidance of volume depletion, hypotension, and nephrotoxic interventions-coupled with electronic early warning systems where available can improve outcomes. Biomarker-based strategies have not shown improvements in outcome. Fluid management should aim for early, rapid restoration of circulatory volume, but should be more limited after the first 24-48 h to avoid volume overload. Use of balanced crystalloid solutions versus normal saline remains controversial. Renal replacement therapy should only be started on the basis of hard criteria, but should not be delayed when criteria are met. On the basis of recent evidence, the risk of contrast-induced AKI might be overestimated for many conditions.

Haste makes waste-Should current guideline recommendations for initiation of renal replacement therapy for acute kidney injury be changed?

There is broad consensus among guideline organizations that renal replacement therapy (RRT) should not be delayed in case of life-threatening conditions. However, in case of severe acute kidney injury (AKI) without these conditions, it is unclear whether immediate RRT has an advantage over delayed RRT. Two recently published randomized controlled trials (AKIKI and ELAIN) with seemingly opposite results have reignited the discussion whether guideline recommendations on initiation strategies in severe AKI should be adapted. This editorial discusses RRT initiation strategies in severe AKI, based on recent literature and highlights the potential advantages and disadvantages of immediate vs delayed start. Overall, evidence in favor of immediate compared to delayed strategies is sparse and there is wide heterogeneity across studies making it difficult to draw firm conclusions. RRT should not be delayed in case of refractory hyperkalemia, severe metabolic acidosis or pulmonary edema resistant to diuretics. In all other cases, a delayed strategy seems justified and might enhance renal recovery. RRT is not a "it doesn't hurt to try" technique and can expose the patient to a higher risk of bleeding, hemodynamic problems, under-dosing of antibiotics, loss of nutrients, catheter-related complications and the uncertain effects of blood-membrane interactions. There is no compelling reason to change current guideline recommendations and research focus should shift toward the development of algorithms as a decision aid tool for RRT initiation in severe AKI.

Blood urea nitrogen to serum creatinine ratio is an accurate predictor of outcome in diarrhea-associated hemolytic uremic syndrome, a preliminary study.

Diarrhea-associated hemolytic uremic syndrome (D+HUS) is a common thrombotic microangiopathy during childhood and early identification of parameters predicting poor outcome could enable timely intervention. This study aims to establish the accuracy of BUN-to-serum creatinine ratio at admission, in addition to other parameters in predicting the clinical course and outcome. Records were searched for children between 1 January 2008 and 1 January 2015 admitted with D+HUS. A complicated course was defined as developing one or more of the following: neurological dysfunction, pancreatitis, cardiac or pulmonary involvement, hemodynamic instability, and hematologic complications while poor outcome was defined by death or development of chronic kidney disease. Thirty-four children were included from which 11 with a complicated disease course/poor outcome. Risk of a complicated course/poor outcome was strongly associated with oliguria (p = 0.000006) and hypertension (p = 0.00003) at presentation. In addition, higher serum creatinine (p = 0.000006) and sLDH (p = 0.02) with lower BUN-to-serum creatinine ratio (p = 0.000007) were significantly associated with development of complications. A BUN-to-sCreatinine ratio ≤40 at admission was a sensitive and highly specific predictor of a complicated disease course/poor outcome. CONCLUSION: A BUN-to-serum Creatinine ratio can accurately identify children with D+HUS at risk for a complicated course and poor outcome. What is Known: • Oliguria is a predictor of poor long-term outcome in D+HUS What is New: • BUN-to-serum Creatinine ratio at admission is an entirely novel and accurate predictor of poor outcome and complicated clinical outcome in D+HUS • Early detection of the high risk group in D+HUS enabling early treatment and adequate monitoring.

Statins for the prevention of contrast-induced acute kidney injury.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To highlight the most recently published meta-analyses on the role of statins in the prevention of contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) and to formulate recommendations for clinical practice. RECENT FINDINGS: Nine meta-analyses were published on this topic from January 2015 to April 2016. Significant clinical heterogeneity between studies, regarding study population, treatment protocol, concomitant preventive strategies or dosage and duration of statin therapy was observed. In addition, the definition of CI-AKI was not uniform throughout all studies, and a number of other clinically meaningful endpoints, such as length of hospital stay in patients who developed CI-AKI, as well as adverse events, were rarely analyzed. SUMMARY: Despite some promising results, it is premature to adapt the existing guidelines and implement the preprocedural use of statins in daily clinical practice. At present, low volumes of iso-osmolar or low-osmolar intravascular contrast and adequate intravascular hydration in high-risk patients remain the cornerstone for the prevention of CI-AKI. There is a need for additional well designed randomized controlled trials to clarify these issues and assess the risk vs benefit of statin use for the purpose of CI-AKI prevention.

Prognostic robustness of serum creatinine based AKI definitions in patients with sepsis: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear how modifications in the way to calculate serum creatinine (sCr) increase and in the cut-off value applied, influences the prognostic value of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI). We wanted to evaluate whether these modifications alter the prognostic value of AKI for prediction of mortality at 3 months, 1 and 2 years. METHODS: We prospectively included 195 septic patients and evaluated the prognostic value of AKI by using three different algorithms to calculate sCr increase: either as the difference between the highest value in the first 24 h after ICU admission and a pre-admission historical (ΔHIS) or an estimated (ΔEST) baseline value, or by subtracting the ICU admission value from the sCr value 24 h after ICU admission (ΔADM). Different cut-off levels of sCr increase (0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4 and 0.5 mg/dl) were evaluated. RESULTS: Mortality at 3 months, 1 and 2 years in AKI defined as ΔADM > 0.3 mg/dl was 48.1 %, 63.0 % and 63.0 % vs 27.7 %, 39.8 % and 47.6 % in no AKI respectively (OR(95%CI): 2.42(1.06-5.54), 2.58(1.11-5.97) and 1.87(0.81-4.33); 0.3 mg/dl was the lowest cut-off value that was discriminatory. When AKI was defined as ΔHIS > 0.3 mg/dl or ΔEST > 0.3 mg/dl, there was no significant difference in mortality between AKI and no AKI. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic value of a 0.3 mg/dl increase in sCr, on mortality in sepsis, depends on how this sCr increase is calculated. Only if the evolution of serum creatinine over the first 24 h after ICU admission is taken into account, an association with mortality is found.

Influence of severity of illness on neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin performance as a marker of acute kidney injury: a prospective cohort study of patients with sepsis.

BACKGROUND: The role of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) as a diagnostic marker for acute kidney injury (AKI) in sepsis is still debated. We hypothesized that in sepsis, the performance of serum(s) and urinary(u) NGAL can be negatively impacted by severity of illness and inflammation, and that both uNGAL and sNGAL levels can be increased regardless of presence of AKI. METHODS: One hundred and seven patients with sepsis were included. uNGAL and sNGAL were measured at admission (T0) and 4 hours (T4) and 24 hours later (T24). Transient and intrinsic AKI were respectively defined as AKI according to RIFLE during the first 72 hours that did or did not recover to "no AKI" in the following 72 hours. Patients were classified according to tertiles of CRP and APACHE II score increase. The relationship between sNGAL and uNGAL was assessed by linear regression. RESULTS: Fifty-seven patients developed transient and 22 intrinsic AKI. Prevalence of transient and intrinsic AKI were higher in patients with versus without septic shock (OR (95% CI): 3.3(1.4-8.2)). uNGAL was associated with sNGAL, and this with parallel slopes but different intercepts for AKI (Y = 0.87*X + 314.3, R2 = 0.31) and no AKI (Y = 0.87*X + 20.1, R2 = 0.38). At T4, median uNGAL and sNGAL levels were higher in septic patients with versus without shock but this is independent of AKI ((545 ng/mL vs 196 ng/ml for uNGAL and 474 ng/ml vs 287 ng/ml for sNGAL (both P = 0.003)). Both uNGAL and sNGAL levels increased with tertiles of CRP and APACHE II score increase. CONCLUSIONS: Serum and uNGAL levels are influenced by severity of illness and inflammation, and this was found to be independent of the presence of AKI. There is a strong correlation between sNGAL and uNGAL levels in patients with sepsis, indicating that increased levels of uNGAL can also be due to overspill from the systemic circulation, blurring the discriminative value of NGAL as a biomarker for AKI in patients with sepsis.

Diagnosis and treatment of hyponatremia: a systematic review of clinical practice guidelines and consensus statements.

BACKGROUND: Hyponatremia is a common electrolyte disorder. Multiple organizations have published guidance documents to assist clinicians in managing hyponatremia. We aimed to explore the scope, content, and consistency of these documents. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and websites of guideline organizations and professional societies to September 2014 without language restriction for Clinical Practice Guidelines (defined as any document providing guidance informed by systematic literature review) and Consensus Statements (any other guidance document) developed specifically to guide differential diagnosis or treatment of hyponatremia. Four reviewers appraised guideline quality using the 23-item AGREE II instrument, which rates reporting of the guidance development process across six domains: scope and purpose, stakeholder involvement, rigor of development, clarity of presentation, applicability, and editorial independence. Total scores were calculated as standardized averages by domain. RESULTS: We found ten guidance documents; five clinical practice guidelines and five consensus statements. Overall, quality was mixed: two clinical practice guidelines attained an average score of >50% for all of the domains, three rated the evidence in a systematic way and two graded strength of the recommendations. All five consensus statements received AGREE scores below 60% for each of the specific domains.The guidance documents varied widely in scope. All dealt with therapy and seven included recommendations on diagnosis, using serum osmolality to confirm hypotonic hyponatremia, and volume status, urinary sodium concentration, and urinary osmolality for further classification of the hyponatremia. They differed, however, in classification thresholds, what additional tests to consider, and when to initiate diagnostic work-up. Eight guidance documents advocated hypertonic NaCl in severely symptomatic, acute onset (<48 h) hyponatremia. In chronic (>48 h) or asymptomatic cases, recommended treatments were NaCl 0.9%, fluid restriction, and cause-specific therapy for hypovolemic, euvolemic, and hypervolemic hyponatremia, respectively. Eight guidance documents recommended limits for speed of increase of sodium concentration, but these varied between 8 and 12 mmol/L per 24 h. Inconsistencies also existed in the recommended dose of NaCl, its initial infusion speed, and which second line interventions to consider. CONCLUSIONS: Current guidance documents on the assessment and treatment of hyponatremia vary in methodological rigor and recommendations are not always consistent.

Loin pain haematuria syndrome 1967-2020: a review.

The purpose of this retrospective review is to question the validity of the condition 'loin pain haematuria syndrome' (LPHS). We highlight the possibility that most patients regarded as having LPHS have a psychiatric/psychological basis for their symptoms, particularly loin pain. Because of this, and because it recurs despite treatment, the review also questions the use of treatments that are invasive, expensive, and carry considerable morbidity.

Urinary and serum biomarkers for the diagnosis of acute kidney injury: an in-depth review of the literature.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) remains associated with high morbidity and mortality, despite progress in medical care. Although the RIFLE (Risk, Injury, Failure, Loss, End-Stage Kidney Disease) and AKIN (Acute Kidney Injury Network) criteria, based on serum creatinine and urine output, were a step forward in diagnosing AKI, a reliable tool to differentiate between true parenchymal and pre-renal azotaemia in clinical practice is still lacking. In the last decade, many papers on the use of new urinary and serum biomarkers for the diagnosis and prognostication of AKI have been published. Thus, the question arises which biomarker is a reliable differential diagnostic tool under which circumstances. METHODS: We searched Medline from inception to April 2012 using medical subject heading and text words for AKI and biomarkers [neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), Cystatin C, interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), interleukin-18 (IL-18), N-acetyl-glucosaminidase (NAG), glutathione transferases (GST) and liver fatty acid binding protein (LFABP)] to identify relevant papers in five different settings (paediatrics, cardiac surgery, emergency department, critically ill and contrast-induced nephropathy). RESULTS: We included 87 relevant papers, reporting on 74 studies. Depending upon the setting, 7-27 different definitions of AKI were used. Reported diagnostic performance of the different biomarkers was variable from poor to excellent, and no consistent generalizable conclusions can be drawn on their diagnostic value. CONCLUSIONS: Early diagnosing of AKI in clinical conditions by using new serum and urinary biomarkers remains cumbersome, especially in those settings where timing and aetiology of AKI are not well defined. Putting too much emphasis on markers that have not convincingly proven reliability might lead to incorrect interpretation of clinical trials. Further research in this field is warranted before biomarkers can be introduced in clinical practice.

Urinary output and fractional excretion of sodium and urea as indicators of transient versus intrinsic acute kidney injury during early sepsis.

INTRODUCTION: The pathophysiology of acute kidney injury (AKI) in sepsis is ill defined. We investigated parameters associated with low glomerular filtration, and their predictive value to discriminate transient from intrinsic septic AKI. METHODS: In 107 sepsis patients, AKI was defined by the Risk, Injury, Failure, Loss of Kidney Function, End-stage renal disease (RIFLE) urinary output or serum creatinine criterion, or both. Transient AKI (TAKI) versus intrinsic AKI was defined as RIFLE R, I, or F on the first day evolving to no AKI or not, respectively, over the following 5 days. Fractional excretion of sodium (FENa), urea (FEUrea), and NGAL (FENGAL) at admission (d0t0), 4 (d0t4), and 24 hours (d1) was determined. RESULTS: Including versus not including the urinary-output criterion of RIFLE increased AKI from 43% to 64.5%. Median uNGAL levels and FENGAL were lower in no AKI versus transient AKI when AKI was defined based on creatinine (P = 0.002 and P = 0.04, respectively), but not when based on urinary output (P = 0.9 and P = 0.49, respectively). FENa < 1% and FEUrea <35% was present in 77.3% and 63.2% of patients. Urinary NGAL was higher (P < 0.001) in those with high versus low fractional sodium excretion, but this was only in patients with transient or intrinsic AKI (P < 0.001 in subgroups), and not in patients without AKI. The negative predictive value for either intrinsic AKI or not restoring diuresis in patients with FENa > 0.36% and FEUrea > 31.5% was 92% and 94.5% respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A low FENa and FEUrea is highly prevalent in the first hours of sepsis. In sepsis, oliguria is an earlier sign of impending AKI than increase in serum creatinine. A combination of a high FENa and a low FEUrea is associated with intrinsic AKI, whereas a combined high FENa and FEUrea is strongly predictive of transient AKI.

The role of albumin and the extracellular matrix on the pathophysiology of oedema formation in severe malnutrition.

BACKGROUND: While fluid flows in a steady state from plasma, through interstitium, and into the lymph compartment, altered fluid distribution and oedema can result from abnormal Starling's forces, increased endothelial permeability or impaired lymphatic drainage. The mechanism of oedema formation, especially the primary role of hypoalbuminaemia, remains controversial. Here, we explored the roles of albumin and albumin-independent mechanisms in oedema formation among children with severe malnutrition (SM). METHODS: We performed secondary analysis of data obtained from two independent clinical trials in Malawi and Kenya (NCT02246296 and NCT00934492). We then used an unconventional strategy of comparing children with kwashiorkor and marasmus by matching (discovery cohort, n = 144) and normalising (validation cohort, n = 98, 2 time points) for serum albumin. Untargeted proteomics was used in the discovery cohort to determine plausible albumin-independent mechanisms associated with oedema, which was validated using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and multiplex assays in the validation cohort. FINDINGS: We demonstrated that low serum albumin is necessary but not sufficient to develop oedema in SM. We further found that markers of extracellular matrix (ECM) degradation rather than markers of EG degradation distinguished oedematous and non-oedematous children with SM. INTERPRETATION: Our results show that oedema formation has both albumin-dependent and independent mechanisms. ECM integrity appears to have a greater role in oedema formation than EG shedding in SM. FUNDING: Research Foundation Flanders (FWO), Thrasher Foundation (15122 and 9403), VLIR-UOS-Ghent University Global Minds Fund, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1131320), MRC/DfID/Wellcome Trust Global Health Trials Scheme (MR/M007367/1), Canadian Institutes of Health Research (156307), Wellcome Trust (WT083579MA).

Prediction of cardiac surgery associated - acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI) by healthcare professionals and urine cell cycle arrest AKI biomarkers [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7]: A single center prospective study (the PREDICTAKI trial).

PURPOSE: Cardiac surgery associated acute kidney injury (CSA-AKI) is a contributor to adverse outcomes. Preventive measures reduce AKI incidence in high risk patients, identified by biomarkers [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] (Nephrocheck®). This study investigate clinical AKI risk assessment by healthcare professionals and the added value of the biomarker result. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Adult patients were prospectively included. Healthcare professionals predicted CSA-AKI, with and without biomarker result knowledge. Predicted outcomes were AKI based on creatinine, AKI stage 3 on urine output, anuria and use of kidney replacement therapy (KRT). RESULTS: One-hundred patients were included. Consultant and ICU residents were best in AKI prediction, respectively AUROC 0.769 (95% CI, 0.672-0.850) and 0.702 (95% CI, 0.599-0.791). AUROC of NephroCheck® was 0.541 (95% CI, 0.438-0.642). AKI 3 occurred in only 4 patients; there was no anuria or use of KRT. ICU nurses and ICU residents had an AUROC for prediction of AKI 3 of respectively 0.867 (95% CI, 0.780-0.929) and 0.809 (95% CI, 0.716-0.883); for NephroCheck® this was 0.838 (95% CI, 0.750-0.904). CONCLUSIONS: Healthcare professionals performed poor or fair in predicting CSA-AKI and knowledge of Nephrocheck® result did not improved prediction. No conclusions could be made for prediction of severe AKI, due to limited number of events.

Risk prediction models for acute kidney injury in adults: An overview of systematic reviews.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) and its human and economic cost is increasing steadily. One way to reduce the burden associated with AKI is to prevent the event altogether. An important step in prevention lies in AKI risk prediction. Due to the increasing number of available risk prediction models (RPMs) clinicians need to be able to rely on systematic reviews (SRs) to provide an objective assessment on which RPM can be used in a specific setting. Our aim was to assess the quality of SRs of RPMs in AKI. METHODS: The protocol for this overview was registered in PROSPERO. MEDLINE and Embase were searched for SRs of RPMs of AKI in any setting from 2003 till August 2020. We used the ROBIS tool to assess the methodological quality of the retrieved SRs. RESULTS: Eight SRs were retrieved. All studies were assessed as being at high risk for bias using the ROBIS tool. Eight reviews had a high risk of bias in study eligibility criteria (domain 1), five for study identification and selection (domain 2), seven for data collection and appraisal (domain 3) and seven for synthesis and findings (domain 4). Five reviews were scored at high risk of bias across all four domains. Risk of bias assessment with a formal risk of bias tool was only performed in five reviews. Primary studies were heterogeneous and used a wide range of AKI definitions. Only 19 unique RPM were externally validated, of which 11 had only 1 external validation report. CONCLUSION: The methodological quality of SRs of RPMs of AKI is inconsistent. Most SRs lack a formal risk of bias assessment. SRs ought to adhere to certain standard quality criteria so that clinicians can rely on them to select a RPM for use in an individual patient. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration number is CRD 42020204236, available at https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=204236.

A rare presentation of kidney failure in a patient with giant cell arteritis: case report and review of literature.

Although giant cell arteritis, also called temporal arteritis, is the most common primary vasculitis in the elderly, an association with AA amyloidosis has rarely been reported. AA amyloidosis is a disorder that results from the extracellular deposition of proteolytic cleavage products of serum amyloid A, which occurs in the setting of long-standing inflammation. We present a case of a patient with giant cell arteritis who developed a rapidly deteriorating kidney function, due to AA amyloidosis. Early recognition of this rare phenomenon is crucial as prompt treatment may be beneficial in the salvage of renal function.

The importance of the urinary output criterion for the detection and prognostic meaning of AKI.

Most reports on AKI claim to use KDIGO guidelines but fail to include the urinary output (UO) criterion in their definition of AKI. We postulated that ignoring UO alters the incidence of AKI, may delay diagnosis of AKI, and leads to underestimation of the association between AKI and ICU mortality. Using routinely collected data of adult patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU), we retrospectively classified patients according to whether and when they would be diagnosed with KDIGO AKI stage ≥ 2 based on baseline serum creatinine (Screa) and/or urinary output (UO) criterion. As outcomes, we assessed incidence of AKI and association with ICU mortality. In 13,403 ICU admissions (62.2% male, 60.8 ± 16.8 years, SOFA 7.0 ± 4.1), incidence of KDIGO AKI stage ≥ 2 was 13.2% when based only the SCrea criterion, 34.3% when based only the UO criterion, and 38.7% when based on both criteria. By ignoring the UO criterion, 66% of AKI cases were missed and 13% had a delayed diagnosis. The cause-specific hazard ratios of ICU mortality associated with KDIGO AKI stage ≥ 2 diagnosis based on only the SCrea criterion, only the UO criterion and based on both criteria were 2.11 (95% CI 1.85-2.42), 3.21 (2.79-3.69) and 2.85 (95% CI 2.43-3.34), respectively. Ignoring UO in the diagnosis of KDIGO AKI stage ≥ 2 decreases sensitivity, may lead to delayed diagnosis and results in underestimation of KDIGO AKI stage ≥ 2 associated mortality.