N-Terminal Pro-Brain Type Natriuretic Peptide Predicts Cardiovascular Events Independently of Arterial Stiffness, Assessed By Carotid-to-Femoral Pulse Wave Velocity, in Apparently Healthy Subjects.

AIM: This study aimed to evaluate whether N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and carotid-to-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV) carried independent prognostic value in predicting cardiovascular events in apparently healthy individuals beyond traditional risk factors. METHODS: A total of 1,872 participants aged 41, 51, 61, or 71 years from the MONItoring of trends and determinants in CArdiovascular disease (MONICA) study were included. Traditional risk factors were assessed, including: smoking status; mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure; body mass index; fasting plasma glucose; serum triglycerides; total, high-density, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; NT-proBNP; and PWV. The principal endpoint that was assessed during 16 years of follow-up was a composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The secondary endpoints were cardiovascular mortality (CVM), hospitalisation for coronary artery disease (CAD), and a composite of hospitalisation for heart failure (HF) or atrial fibrillation (AF). RESULTS: At baseline, NT-proBNP was associated with PWV (ß=0.14; p<0.001), but not after adjustment for traditional risk factors (ß=-0.01; p=0.67). In models including traditional risk factors and PWV, NT-proBNP was associated with all four outcomes (HRMACE=1.33, 95% CI 1.16-1.52; HRCVM=2.02, 95% CI 1.65-2.48; HRCAD=1.29, 95% CI 1.07-1.55; and HRHF or AF=1.79, 95% CI 1.40-2.28). In the same model, PWV was only associated with CVM (HRCVM=1.20, 95% CI 1.01-1.41). No interactions between NT-proBNP and PWV were found. N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide significantly improved net reclassification (NRI) for MACE (NRI=0.12; p=0.03), CVM (NRI=0.33; p<0.001), and HF or AF (NRI=0.33; p<0.001) beyond traditional risk factors, while PWV did not aid in net reclassification improvement for any endpoint. CONCLUSIONS: In apparently healthy individuals, NT-proBNP and PWV predicted cardiovascular events independently. N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide improved reclassification for the prediction of MACE, CVM, and hospitalisation for HF or AF beyond traditional risk factors, while PWV did not.

Patients with fulminant myocarditis supported with veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of short-term mortality and impact of risk factors.

Fulminant myocarditis (FM) may lead to cardiogenic shock requiring veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO). Results of effectiveness studies of VA-ECMO have been contradictory. We evaluated the aggregate short-term mortality after VA-ECMO and predictive factors in patients with FM. We systematically searched in electronic databases (February 2022) to identify studies evaluating short-term mortality (defined as mortality at 30 days or in-hospital) after VA-ECMO support for FM. We included studies with 5 or more patients published after 2009. We assessed the quality of the evidence using the QUIPS and GRADE tools. Mortality was pooled using random effect models. We performed meta-regression to explore heterogeneity based on a priori defined factors. We included 54 observational studies encompassing 2388 FM patients supported with VA-ECMO. Median age was 41 years (25th to 75th percentile 37-47), and 50% were female. The pooled short-term mortality was 35% (95% CI 29-40%, I2 = 69%; moderate certainty). By meta-regression, studies with younger populations showed lower mortality. Female sex, receiving a biopsy, cardiac arrest, left ventricular unloading, and earlier recruitment time frame, did not explain heterogeneity. These results remained consistent regardless of continent and the risk of bias category. In individual studies, low pH value, high lactate, absence of functional cardiac recovery on ECMO, increased burden of malignant arrhythmia, high peak coronary markers, and IVIG use were identified as independent predictors of mortality. When conventional therapies have failed, especially in younger patients, cardiopulmonary support with VA-ECMO should be considered in the treatment of severe FM.

Risk prediction of atrial fibrillation and its complications in the community using hs troponin I.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is becoming increasingly common. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF) do not explain all AF cases. Blood-based biomarkers reflecting cardiac injury such as high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) may help close this gap. METHODS: We investigated the predictive ability of hsTnI for incident AF in 45,298 participants (median age 51.4 years, 45.0% men) across European community cohorts in comparison to CVRF and established biomarkers (C-reactive protein, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 1734 (3.8%) participants developed AF. Those in the highest hsTnI quarter (≥4.2 ng/L) had a 3.91-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 3.30, 4.63; p < .01) risk for developing AF compared to the lowest quarter (<1.4 ng/L). In multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models a statistically significant association was seen between hsTnI and AF (hazard ratio (HR) per 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in log10(hsTnI) 1.08; 95% CI 1.01, 1.16; p = .03). Inclusion of hsTnI did improve model discrimination (C-index CVRF 0.811 vs. C-index CVRF and hsTnI 0.813; p < .01). Higher hsTnI concentrations were associated with heart failure (HR per SD 1.37; 95% CI 1.12, 1.68; p < .01) and overall mortality (HR per SD 1.24; 95% CI 1.09, 1.41; p < .01). CONCLUSION: hsTnI as a biomarker of myocardial injury does not improve prediction of AF incidence beyond classical CVRF and NT-proBNP. However, it is associated with the AF-related disease heart failure and mortality likely reflecting underlying subclinical cardiovascular impairment.

The influence of age and sex on the prognostic importance of traditional cardiovascular risk factors, selected circulating biomarkers and other markers of subclinical cardiovascular damage.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: There is an increasing need for improved risk stratification to better individualize cardiovascular preventive measures. Although age and sex are strong and easily obtained cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs), their influence on the prognostic importance of other CVRF, circulating biomarkers and other markers of subclinical cardiovascular damage has not previously been systematically and critically appraised. Therefore, we have revisited the European MORGAM and the Danish MONI10 cohorts. RECENT FINDINGS: Theoretically, the relative risk of many CVRF is expected to be lower in older healthy individuals due to a combination of selection bias by disease, higher absolute risk primarily due to older age, and the fact that the CVRF and markers may primarily influence or reflect early parts of the cardiovascular disease process. This influence of age may vary between sexes, as the cardiovascular disease process is delayed and possibly different in women compared with men. SUMMARY: Adjusted for the remaining Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) CVRF, higher SBP, serum cholesterol, soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor, left ventricular mass index and atherosclerotic plaques were more closely associated with outcomes in individuals younger than 52 years with some sex-specific differences, whereas higher N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and urine albumin/creatine ratio were more closely associated with outcomes in subjects aged 61 or 71 years.

Exploring the incremental utility of circulating biomarkers for robust risk prediction of incident atrial fibrillation in European cohorts using regressions and modern machine learning methods.

AIMS: To identify robust circulating predictors for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) using classical regressions and machine learning (ML) techniques within a broad spectrum of candidate variables. METHODS AND RESULTS: In pooled European community cohorts (n = 42 280 individuals), 14 routinely available biomarkers mirroring distinct pathophysiological pathways including lipids, inflammation, renal, and myocardium-specific markers (N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP], high-sensitivity troponin I [hsTnI]) were examined in relation to incident AF using Cox regressions and distinct ML methods. Of 42 280 individuals (21 843 women [51.7%]; median [interquartile range, IQR] age, 52.2 [42.7, 62.0] years), 1496 (3.5%) developed AF during a median follow-up time of 5.7 years. In multivariable-adjusted Cox-regression analysis, NT-proBNP was the strongest circulating predictor of incident AF [hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation (SD), 1.93 (95% CI, 1.82-2.04); P < 0.001]. Further, hsTnI [HR per SD, 1.18 (95% CI, 1.13-1.22); P < 0.001], cystatin C [HR per SD, 1.16 (95% CI, 1.10-1.23); P < 0.001], and C-reactive protein [HR per SD, 1.08 (95% CI, 1.02-1.14); P = 0.012] correlated positively with incident AF. Applying various ML techniques, a high inter-method consistency of selected candidate variables was observed. NT-proBNP was identified as the blood-based marker with the highest predictive value for incident AF. Relevant clinical predictors were age, the use of antihypertensive medication, and body mass index. CONCLUSION: Using different variable selection procedures including ML methods, NT-proBNP consistently remained the strongest blood-based predictor of incident AF and ranked before classical cardiovascular risk factors. The clinical benefit of these findings for identifying at-risk individuals for targeted AF screening needs to be elucidated and tested prospectively.

Impact of serial measurements of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion on mortality and morbidity after heart transplantation.

The impact of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction on long-term post-HTx outcomes remains uncertain. We assessed the impact of serial measurements of Tricuspid Annular Plane Systolic Excursion (TAPSE) on post-HTx mortality and morbidity. This two-center retrospective cohort study included consecutive adult HTx recipients (2000-2017). We used multivariable extended hazard regression models to evaluate the association between TAPSE and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), entered as time-dependent variables, and all-cause mortality, cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV), acute cellular rejection (ACR), and chronic kidney disease (CKD). TAPSE was modelled using cubic splines. We included 485 HTx recipients (9461 TAPSE measurements), median (25th- 75th percentile) 19 (10-27) mm; median age was 52 (41-59) years, and 71.3% were male. During a follow-up of 6.7 (3.0-10.8) years, 92 patients died, 225 had ACR >2R, 234 CAV, and 91 CKD. By multivariable analysis, for each 1-mm decrease in patients with a TAPSE value <15mm, mortality increased by 22% (P<.001). For the average HTx recipient with a TAPSE of 15mm, 10mm, and 6mm, 1-year mortality was 3%, 7%, and 17%, and 5-year mortality was 8%, 20%, and 43%, respectively. Reduced TAPSE was significantly associated with increased CAV but notACR and CKD. A decrease in TAPSE below 15mm represents clinically significant graft dysfunction, warranting close monitoring.

Association between continuous-flow left ventricular assist device infections requiring long-term antibiotic use and post-heart transplant morbidity and mortality.

BACKGROUND AND AIM OF STUDY: There exists controversy regarding the impact of infection in patients with a left ventricular assist device (LVAD) on post-heart transplant outcomes. This study evaluated the association between infections during LVAD support and the risk of early and late post-heart transplant infection, rejection, and mortality in transplant recipients bridged with an LVAD. METHODS: This is a single-center retrospective observational cohort study of consecutive adults supported with a continuous flow LVAD undergoing heart transplant between 2006 and 2019 at the Toronto General Hospital. The grade of LVAD infection was classified as per International Society of Heart and Lung Transplantation guidelines. Patients were divided into three groups: (1) patients with LVAD-specific infection confirmed with positive cultures requiring long-term antibiotic use until the time of transplant; (2) patients with any type of infection in whom antibiotics were stopped at least 1 month before transplant; (3) patients without any infections between LVAD implant and transplant. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate early- and late-post transplant outcomes, respectively. RESULTS: We included 75 LVAD recipients: 16 (21%) patients had a chronic LVAD-related infection on suppressive antibiotics, 30 (40%) had a resolved infection, and 29 (39%) had no infections. During a median post-transplant follow-up time of 4 (2 to 7) years, 65 (87%) patients developed infections, 43 (64%) rejections, and 17 (23%) deaths. Both short- and long-term risks of infection, rejection, and mortality did not differ significantly among the groups. CONCLUSION: LVAD patients with infections did not have a significantly higher risk of infection, rejection, or mortality at any time point after transplant.

Alcohol consumption, cardiac biomarkers, and risk of atrial fibrillation and adverse outcomes.

AIMS: There is inconsistent evidence on the relation of alcohol intake with incident atrial fibrillation (AF), in particular at lower doses. We assessed the association between alcohol consumption, biomarkers, and incident AF across the spectrum of alcohol intake in European cohorts. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a community-based pooled cohort, we followed 107 845 individuals for the association between alcohol consumption, including types of alcohol and drinking patterns, and incident AF. We collected information on classical cardiovascular risk factors and incident heart failure (HF) and measured the biomarkers N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin I. The median age of individuals was 47.8 years, 48.3% were men. The median alcohol consumption was 3 g/day. N = 5854 individuals developed AF (median follow-up time: 13.9 years). In a sex- and cohort-stratified Cox regression analysis alcohol consumption was non-linearly and positively associated with incident AF. The hazard ratio for one drink (12 g) per day was 1.16, 95% CI 1.11-1.22, P < 0.001. Associations were similar across types of alcohol. In contrast, alcohol consumption at lower doses was associated with reduced risk of incident HF. The association between alcohol consumption and incident AF was neither fully explained by cardiac biomarker concentrations nor by the occurrence of HF. CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to other cardiovascular diseases such as HF, even modest habitual alcohol intake of 1.2 drinks/day was associated with an increased risk of AF, which needs to be considered in AF prevention.

Exercise Tolerance in Patients Treated With a Durable Left Ventricular Assist Device: Importance of Myocardial Recovery.

The number of patients supported with left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) is growing and support times are increasing. This has led to a greater focus on functional capacity of these patients. LVADs greatly improve heart failure symptoms, but surprisingly, improvement in peak oxygen uptake (pVO2) is small and remains decreased at approximately 50% of normal values. Inadequate increase in cardiac output during exercise is the main responsible factor for the low pVO2 in LVAD recipients. Some patients experience LV recovery during mechanical unloading and these patients have a higher pVO2. Here we review the various components determining exercise cardiac output in LVAD recipients and discuss the potential impact of cardiac recovery on these components. LV recovery may affect several components, leading to improved hemodynamics during exercise and, in turn, physical capacity in patients with advanced heart failure undergoing LVAD implantation.

Sex- and age-related differences in the predictive capability of circulating biomarkers: from the MONICA 10 cohort.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to assess whether high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) differed in their ability to predict cardiovascular outcomes beyond traditional risk factors in younger and older men and women without known cardiovascular disease. Design. Prospective population-based cohort study of 1951 individuals from the MONItoring of trends and determinants in Cardiovascular disease (MONICA) study, examined 1993-1994. Participants were stratified into four groups based on sex and age. Subjects aged 41 or 51 years were classified as younger; those aged 61 or 71 years were classified as older. The principal endpoint was death from cardiovascular causes. Predictive capabilities of biomarkers were tested using Cox proportional-hazards regression, Harrell's concordance-index, net reclassification improvement, and classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. Results. Median follow-up was 18.5 years, during which 19/597 younger men, 100/380 older men, 12/607 younger women, and 46/367 older women had died from a cardiovascular cause. NT-proBNP was independently associated with death from cardiovascular causes among all participants (p ≤ .02) except younger women (p = .70), whereas hs-CRP was associated with this endpoint in men (p ≤ .007), and suPAR in older men only (p < .001). None of the biomarkers improved discrimination ability beyond traditional risk factors (p ≥ .07). However, NT-proBNP enhanced reclassification in men and older women. CART-analysis showed that NT-proBNP was generally of greater value among men, and suPAR among women. Conclusions. Hs-CRP, NT-proBNP, and suPAR displayed different associations with cardiovascular death among apparently healthy younger and older men and women.

Cardiac Troponin I and Incident Stroke in European Cohorts: Insights From the BiomarCaRE Project.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Stroke is a common cause of death and a leading cause of disability and morbidity. Stroke risk assessment remains a challenge, but circulating biomarkers may improve risk prediction. Controversial evidence is available on the predictive ability of troponin concentrations and the risk of stroke in the community. Furthermore, reports on the predictive value of troponin concentrations for different stroke subtypes are scarce. METHODS: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hsTnI) concentrations were assessed in 82 881 individuals (median age, 50.7 years; 49.7% men) free of stroke or myocardial infarction at baseline from 9 prospective European community cohorts. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to determine relative risks, followed by measures of discrimination and reclassification using 10-fold cross-validation to control for overoptimism. Follow-up was based upon linkage with national hospitalization registries and causes of death registries. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 12.7 years, 3033 individuals were diagnosed with incident nonfatal or fatal stroke (n=1654 ischemic strokes, n=612 hemorrhagic strokes, and n=767 indeterminate strokes). In multivariable regression models, hsTnI concentrations were associated with overall stroke (hazard ratio per 1-SD increase, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.10-1.21]), ischemic stroke (hazard ratio, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.09-1.21]), and hemorrhagic stroke (hazard ratio, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.01-1.20]). Adding hsTnI concentrations to classical cardiovascular risk factors (C indices, 0.809, 0.840, and 0.736 for overall, ischemic, and hemorrhagic stroke, respectively) increased the C index significantly but modestly. In individuals with an intermediate 10-year risk (5%-20%), the net reclassification improvement for overall stroke was 0.038 (P=0.021). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated hsTnI concentrations are associated with an increased risk of incident stroke in the community, irrespective of stroke subtype. Adding hsTnI concentrations to classical risk factors only modestly improved estimation of 10-year risk of stroke in the overall cohort but might be of some value in individuals at an intermediate risk.

Temporal relations between atrial fibrillation and ischaemic stroke and their prognostic impact on mortality.

AIMS: Limited evidence is available on the temporal relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) and ischaemic stroke and their impact on mortality in the community. We sought to understand the temporal relationship of AF and ischaemic stroke and to determine the sequence of disease onset in relation to mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: Across five prospective community cohorts of the Biomarkers for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment in Europe (BiomarCaRE) project we assessed baseline cardiovascular risk factors in 100 132 individuals, median age 46.1 (25th-75th percentile 35.8-57.5) years, 48.4% men. We followed them for incident ischaemic stroke and AF and determined the relation of subsequent disease diagnosis with overall mortality. Over a median follow-up of 16.1 years, N = 4555 individuals were diagnosed solely with AF, N = 2269 had an ischaemic stroke but no AF diagnosed, and N = 898 developed both, ischaemic stroke and AF. Temporal relationships showed a clustering of diagnosis of both diseases within the years around the diagnosis of the other disease. In multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analyses with time-dependent covariates subsequent diagnosis of AF after ischaemic stroke was associated with increased mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 4.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.17-7.54; P < 0.001] which was also apparent when ischaemic stroke followed after the diagnosis of AF (HR 3.08, 95% CI 1.90-5.00; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The temporal relations of ischaemic stroke and AF appear to be bidirectional. Ischaemic stroke may precede detection of AF by years. The subsequent diagnosis of both diseases significantly increases mortality risk. Future research needs to investigate the common underlying systemic disease processes.

Clinical presentation and outcomes in women and men with advanced heart failure.

OBJECTIVE: To examine clinical characteristics and outcomes in women and men referred for advanced heart failure (HF) therapies such as left ventricular assist device (LVAD) or heart transplantation (HTx). Design: A retrospective study of 429 (23% women) consecutive adult HF patients not on inotropic or mechanical circulatory support with left ventricular ejection fraction ≤45% referred for assessment of advanced HF therapies at a single tertiary institution between 2002 and 2016. Clinical characteristics and outcomes were compared in women and men, and all patients underwent right heart catheterization (RHC). Results: At evaluation, women were younger than men (48 ± 13 vs. 51 ± 12 years, p = .02), and less likely to have ischemic cardiomyopathy. There were no significant differences in NYHA class, contemporary HF therapy use, or physical examination findings, except for lower jugular vein distension and body surface area in women. On RHC, women had lower cardiac filling pressures, but similar pulmonary vascular resistance and cardiac index. Peak oxygen uptake from cardiopulmonary exercise testing was similar in both sexes. At total follow-up time, there were 164 deaths (21% vs. 44%, p < .0001), 46 LVADs (3% vs. 13%, p = .005), 110 HTxs (32% vs. 25%, p = .15), and 82 HTxs without requiring LVAD (29% vs. 16%, p = .03) in women and men. The time from RHC to HTx (±LVAD) was significantly shorter in women compared to men. Female sex was significantly associated with higher survival independent of time-trend, age, and comorbidities. Conclusion: At evaluation, hemodynamics were less deranged in women. A higher proportion of women received HTx, their waitlist time was shorter, and survival greater.

Association between antecedent blood pressure, hypertension-mediated organ damage and cardiovascular outcome.

Purpose: The objective of this study was to test if combining antecedent systolic blood pressure (SBP) with traditional risk factors and hypertension-mediated organ damage (HMOD) improves risk stratification for subsequent cardiovascular disease.Materials and methods: 1910 subjects participated in this study. Antecedent SBP was defined as the average of measurements obtained in 1982 and in 1987. Current SBP was obtained in 1993. HMOD were examined in 1993. HMOD was defined as either atherosclerotic plaque(s), increased pulse wave velocity, increased urine albumin creatinine ratio (above the 90th percentile) or left ventricular hypertrophy. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) including myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular disease, heart failure and arrhythmia were obtained from national registries.Results: Subjects were divided into two age categories: a middle-aged group (aged 41 or 51) and an older group (aged 61 or 71). From 1993 to 2010, 425 events were observed. In multivariable analysis with both current and antecedent SBP adjusted for traditional risk factors, current SBP was associated with each measure of HMOD whilst antecedent SBP was not significantly associated with urine albumin creatinine ratio in the older group, LVMI in the middle-aged group, or the presence of plaque in any of the age groups (all p > 0.15). When current and antecedent SBP were evaluated together, current SBP was not associated with MACE in the middle-aged subgroup [HR = 1.09 (0.96-1.22), p = 0.18] but remained associated with MACE in the older subgroup [HR = 1.21 (1.10-1.34), p < 0.01]. Contrariwise, antecedent SBP was only associated with MACE in the middle-aged subgroup [HR = 1.24 (1.04-1.48), p = 0.02]. Adding antecedent SBP to traditional risk factors did not improve the predictive accuracy of the survival model.Conclusion: In healthy non-medicated middle-aged subjects, antecedent SBP is associated with cardiovascular outcome independently of current BP, traditional risk factors and HMOD. However, improvement in risk stratification seems to be limited.

Relationship between invasive hemodynamics and liver function in advanced heart failure.

Objective. To examine how liver function (LF) relates to invasive hemodynamics cross-sectionally and longitudinally, in advanced heart failure (AHF) patients treated with maximally tolerated medical HF therapy. Design. A retrospective study of 309 consecutive AHF patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction < 45% treated with maximally tolerated medical HF therapy who were referred for AHF therapies. All patients underwent right heart catheterization (RHC) using Swan-Ganz catheters. Cardiac output was measured using thermodilution. Measurements of pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP), central venous pressure (CVP), cardiac index (CI) and mean arterial pressure (MAP) were obtained. RHC and evaluation of LF were repeated (median (IQR) = 186.5 (150-208) days) in 33 patients. Results. Mean (SD) age was 50 (±13) years, and 239 (77%) were men. Only 22 (7%) were treated with inotropes, and none were receiving mechanical circulatory support. Median (IQR) plasma alanine transaminase (ALT) was 32 (22-53) U/l, alkaline phosphatase (ALP) 82 (63-122) U/l, bilirubin 14 (9-22) µmol/l, albumin 39 (35-43) g/l, lactate dehydrogenase 212 (175-275) U/l, and the prothrombin time/International Normalized Ratio (PT/INR) 1.1 (1.0-1.3). In multivariate analyses significant associations between LF tests and hemodynamics were seen for CVP: ALP (ß = 0.031, p = .0002), bilirubin (ß = 0.027, p = .004), and INR (ß = 0.013, p = .002). PCWP (ß = 0.020, p = .002) and CI (ß = -0.17, p = .005) were also associated with bilirubin. Over time, changes in bilirubin correlated positively with changes in CVP (ß = 1.496, p = .005). Conclusion. In optimally treated AHF patients, CVP was associated with both markers of biliary excretion and liver synthesis function, whereas changes in CVP were associated with changes in markers of biliary excretion. Decongestion may improve measures of LF in AHF.

Vasopressin and Vasopressin Antagonists in Heart Failure.

Despite the introduction of multiple new pharmacological agents over the past three decades in the field of heart failure (HF), overall prognosis remains poor. Hyponatremia is prevalent in HF patients and has been suggested as a contributor to poor response to standard therapy. Elevated levels of arginine vasopressin (AVP), a peptide hormone produced in the hypothalamus, play a role in development of hyponatremia, and AVP and its surrogate, copeptin, are related to changes in osmolality, hemodynamics, neuro-hormones as well as in overall outcome in HF patients. Of current pharmacological interest are the selective and non-selective vasopressin receptor antagonists (VRAs), which inhibit vasoconstriction and cardiac remodeling mediated by the V1a receptors in smooth blood vessels, and water retention (increased urine osmolality and decreased water excretion) by increasing aquaporin-2 water channels mediated by the V2 receptors in the renal collecting tubules. The optimal use of VRAs is yet to be determined, especially in patients with congestive HF. Although long-term effects on improvement in mortality have not been shown in the Efficacy of Vasopressin Antagonism in Heart Failure Outcome Study with Tolvaptan (EVEREST) trial, the only long-term outcome trial to date, many short-term studies indicate beneficial aquaretic- and hemodynamic-effects of the VRAs. In contrast to loop diuretics, these new agents tend to increase urine flow and the excretion of electrolyte-free water (so-called aquaresis) in patients with HF, without substantial changes in sodium or potassium excretion. This chapter reviews the role of AVP and copeptin in HF, and the treatment potential of VRAs in HF.

Predicting heart failure outcomes by integrating breath-by-breath measurements from cardiopulmonary exercise testing and clinical data through a deep learning survival neural network.

Aims: Mathematical models previously developed to predict outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF) generally have limited performance and have yet to integrate complex data derived from cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET), including breath-by-breath data. We aimed to develop and validate a time-to-event prediction model using a deep learning framework using the DeepSurv algorithm to predict outcomes of HF. Methods and results: Inception cohort of 2490 adult patients with high-risk cardiac conditions or HF underwent CPET with breath-by-breath measurements. Potential predictive features included known clinical indicators, standard summary statistics from CPETs, and mathematical features extracted from the breath-by-breath time series of 13 measurements. The primary outcome was a composite of death, heart transplant, or mechanical circulatory support treated as a time-to-event outcomes. Predictive features ranked as most important included many of the features engineered from the breath-by-breath data in addition to traditional clinical risk factors. The prediction model showed excellent performance in predicting the composite outcome with an area under the curve of 0.93 in the training and 0.87 in the validation data sets. Both the predicted vs. actual freedom from the composite outcome and the calibration of the prediction model were excellent. Model performance remained stable in multiple subgroups of patients. Conclusion: Using a combined deep learning and survival algorithm, integrating breath-by-breath data from CPETs resulted in improved predictive accuracy for long-term (up to 10 years) outcomes in HF. DeepSurv opens the door for future prediction models that are both highly performing and can more fully use the large and complex quantity of data generated during the care of patients with HF.

Pulmonary Artery Catheter Usage and Impact on Mortality in Patients With Cardiogenic Shock: Results From a Canadian Single-Centre Registry.

BACKGROUND: Hemodynamic assessment for cardiogenic shock (CS) phenotyping in patients has led to renewed interest in the use of pulmonary artery catheters (PACs). METHODS: We included patients admitted with CS from January 2014 to December 2020 and compared clinical outcomes among patients who received PACs and those who did not. The primary outcome was the rate of in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included use of advanced heart failure therapies and coronary intensive care unit (CICU) and hospital lengths of stay. RESULTS: A total of 1043 patients were analysed and 47% received PACs. Patients selected for PAC-guided management were younger and had lower left ventricular function. They also had higher use of vasopressor and inotropes, and 15.2% of them were already supported with temporary mechanical circulatory support (MCS). In-hospital mortality was lower in patients who received PACs (29.3% vs 36.2%; P = 0.02), mainly driven by a reduction in mortality among those in Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI) stages D and E CS. Patients who received PACs were more likely to receive temporary MCS with Impella, durable ventricular assist devices (VADs), or orthotopic heart transplantation (OHT) (P < 0.001 for all analyses). CICU and hospital lengths of stay were longer in patients who used PACs. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with CS, the use of PACs was associated with lower in-hospital mortality, especially among those in SCAI stages D and E. Patients who received PACs were also more frequently rescued with temporary MCS or received advanced heart failure therapies, such as durable VADs or OHT.

Better Respiratory Function in Heart Failure Patients With Use of Central-Acting Therapeutics.

Background: Diaphragm atrophy can contribute to dyspnea in patients with heart failure (HF) with its link to central neurohormonal overactivation. HF medications that cross the blood-brain barrier could act centrally and improve respiratory function, potentially alleviating diaphragmatic atrophy. Therefore, we compared the benefit of central- vs peripheral-acting HF drugs on respiratory function, as assessed by a single cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) and outcomes in HF patients. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted of 624 ambulatory adult HF patients (80% male) with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 40% and a complete CPET, followed at a single institution between 2001 and 2017. CPET parameters, and the outcomes all-cause death, a composite endpoint (all-cause death, need for left ventricular assist device, heart transplantation), and all-cause and/or HF hospitalizations, were compared in patients receiving central-acting (n = 550) vs peripheral-acting (n = 74) drugs. Results: Compared to patients who receive peripheral-acting drugs, patients who receive central-acting drugs had better respiratory function (peak breath-by breath oxygen uptake [VO2], P = 0.020; forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV1], P = 0.007), and ventilatory efficiency (minute ventilation / carbon dioxide production [VE/VCO2], P < 0.001; end-tidal carbon dioxide tension [PETCO2], P = 0.015; and trend for forced vital capacity [FVC], P = 0.056). Many of the associations between the CPET parameters and drug type remained significant after multivariate adjustment. Moreover, patients receiving central-acting drugs had fewer composite events (P = 0.023), and HF hospitalizations (P = 0.044), although significance after multivariant correction was not achieved, despite the hazard ratio being 0.664 and 0.757, respectively. Conclusions: Central-acting drugs were associated with better respiratory function as measured by CPET parameters in HF patients. This could extend to clinically meaningful composite outcomes and hospitalizations but required more power to be definitive in linking to drug effect. Central-acting HF drugs show a role in mitigating diaphragm weakness.

Contexte: L'atrophie du diaphragme peut contribuer à la dyspnée chez les personnes atteintes d'insuffisance cardiaque (IC), compte tenu de son lien avec la suractivation neuro-hormonale centrale. Or, les médicaments contre l'IC qui franchissent la barrière hématoencéphalique pourraient exercer une action centrale, améliorer la respiration et ainsi éventuellement atténuer l'atrophie du diaphragme. C'est pourquoi nous avons voulu comparer, au moyen d'une seule épreuve d'effort cardiopulmonaire (EECP), les effets bénéfiques exercés par des médicaments à action périphérique et des médicaments à action centrale sur la fonction respiratoire, de même que l'issue des patients atteints d'IC auxquels ils ont été administrés. Méthodologie: Nous avons réalisé une étude rétrospective auprès de 624 adultes ambulatoires atteints d'IC (80 % d'hommes) dont la fraction d'éjection ventriculaire gauche était réduite (≤ 40 %), qui se sont prêtés à une EECP complète et qui ont été suivis dans le même établissement entre 2001 et 2017. Les paramètres de l'EECP et la mortalité toutes causes confondues, un critère d'évaluation composé (décès toutes causes confondues, nécessité de recourir à un dispositif d'assistance ventriculaire gauche, transplantation cardiaque), et les hospitalisations toutes causes confondues et/ou liées à l'IC ont été comparés entre les patients qui recevaient des médicaments à action centrale (n = 550) et ceux qui recevaient des médicaments à action périphérique (n = 74). Résultats: Comparativement aux patients ayant reçu des médicaments à action périphérique, ceux qui ont reçu des médicaments à action centrale ont bénéficié d'une meilleure fonction respiratoire (consommation maximale d'oxygène [VO2], p = 0,020; volume expiratoire maximal par seconde [VEMS], p = 0,007) et d'une meilleure efficacité ventilatoire (ventilation minute/production de dioxyde de carbone [VE/VCO2], p < 0,001; pression partielle de dioxyde de carbone en fin d'expiration [PETCO2], p = 0,015; et tendance de la capacité vitale forcée [CVF], p = 0,056). De plus, bon nombre des associations entre les paramètres de l'EECP et le type de médicament sont demeurées significatives après ajustement multivarié. Les patients qui ont reçu des médicaments à action centrale ont également présenté moins d'événements faisant partie du critère d'évaluation composé (p = 0,023) et moins d'hospitalisations liées à l'IC (p = 0,044), même si la différence après correction multivariée n'a pas été significative et que les rapports de risques étaient respectivement de 0,664 et de 0,757. Conclusions: Les médicaments à action centrale ont été associés à une meilleure fonction respiratoire, mesurée à l'aide des paramètres d'une EECP, chez les patients atteints d'IC. Ce résultat pourrait également s'appliquer au critère d'évaluation composé et aux hospitalisations, mais une étude plus puissante est nécessaire pour établir un lien cliniquement significatif avec l'effet des médicaments. Les médicaments à action centrale contre l'IC ont donc un rôle à jouer dans la correction de la faiblesse du diaphragme.

Association Between the Incidence of Hospitalizations for Acute Cardiovascular Events, Weather, and Air Pollution.

Background: The incidence of hospitalizations for cardiovascular events has been associated with specific weather conditions and air pollution. A comprehensive model including the interactions between various environmental factors remains to be developed. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to develop a comprehensive model of the association between weather patterns and the incidence of cardiovascular events and use this model to forecast near-term spatiotemporal risk. Methods: We present a spatiotemporal analysis of the association between atmospheric data and the incidence rate of hospital admissions related to heart failure (922,132 episodes), myocardial infarction (521,988 episodes), and ischemic stroke (263,529 episodes) in ∼24 million people in Canada between 2007 and 2017. Our hierarchical Bayesian model captured the spatiotemporal distribution of hospitalizations and identified weather and air pollution-related factors that could partially explain fluctuations in incidence. Results: Models that included weather and air pollution variables outperformed models without those covariates for most event types. Our results suggest that environmental factors may interact in complex ways on human physiology. The impact of environmental factors was magnified with increasing age. The weather and air pollution variables included in our models were predictive of the future incidence of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and ischemic strokes. Conclusions: The increasing importance of environmental factors on cardiovascular events with increasing age raises the need for the development of educational materials for older patients to recognize environmental conditions where exacerbations are more likely. This model could be the basis of a forecasting system used for local, short-term clinical resource planning based on the anticipated incidence of events.