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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 120(8): e2216142120, 2023 02 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36791102

RESUMEN

Invasion of the malaria vector Anopheles stephensi across the Horn of Africa threatens control efforts across the continent, particularly in urban settings where the vector is able to proliferate. Malaria transmission is primarily determined by the abundance of dominant vectors, which often varies seasonally with rainfall. However, it remains unclear how An. stephensi abundance changes throughout the year, despite this being a crucial input to surveillance and control activities. We collate longitudinal catch data from across its endemic range to better understand the vector's seasonal dynamics and explore the implications of this seasonality for malaria surveillance and control across the Horn of Africa. Our analyses reveal pronounced variation in seasonal dynamics, the timing and nature of which are poorly predicted by rainfall patterns. Instead, they are associated with temperature and patterns of land use; frequently differing between rural and urban settings. Our results show that timing entomological surveys to coincide with rainy periods is unlikely to improve the likelihood of detecting An. stephensi. Integrating these results into a malaria transmission model, we show that timing indoor residual spraying campaigns to coincide with peak rainfall offers little improvement in reducing disease burden compared to starting in a random month. Our results suggest that unlike other malaria vectors in Africa, rainfall may be a poor guide to predicting the timing of peaks in An. stephensi-driven malaria transmission. This highlights the urgent need for longitudinal entomological monitoring of the vector in its new environments given recent invasion and potential spread across the continent.


Asunto(s)
Anopheles , Malaria , Animales , Humanos , Malaria/epidemiología , Malaria/prevención & control , Estaciones del Año , Mosquitos Vectores , África/epidemiología , Control de Mosquitos
2.
Kidney Int ; 106(3): 326-336, 2024 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39174192

RESUMEN

The term atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome has been in use since the mid-1970s. It was initially used to describe the familial or sporadic form of hemolytic uremic syndrome as opposed to the epidemic, typical form of the disease. Over time, the atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome term has evolved into being used to refer to anything that is not Shiga toxin-associated hemolytic uremic syndrome. The term describes a heterogeneous group of diseases of disparate causes, a circumstance that makes defining disease-specific natural history and/or targeted treatment approaches challenging. A working group of specialty-specific experts in the thrombotic microangiopathies was convened to review the validity of this broad term in an era of swiftly advancing science and targeted therapeutics. A Delphi approach was used to define and interrogate some of the key issues related to the atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome nomenclature.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome Hemolítico Urémico Atípico , Técnica Delphi , Terminología como Asunto , Humanos , Síndrome Hemolítico Urémico Atípico/genética , Síndrome Hemolítico Urémico Atípico/diagnóstico , Consenso , Nefrología/normas
3.
J Surg Res ; 295: 70-80, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37992455

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Acute proximal superior mesenteric artery (SMA) occlusion is highly lethal, and adjuncts are needed to mitigate ischemic injury until definitive therapy. We hypothesized that raising mean arterial pressure (MAP) >90 mmHg with norepinephrine may delay irreversible bowel ischemia by increasing gastroduodenal artery (GDA) flow despite possible pressor-induced vasospasm. METHODS: 12 anesthetized swine underwent laparotomy, GDA flow probe placement, and proximal SMA exposure and clamping. Animals were randomized between conventional therapy (CT) versus targeted MAP >90 mmHg (MAP push; MP) where norepinephrine was titrated after 45 min of SMA occlusion. Animals were followed until bowel death or 4 h. Kaplan-Meier bowel survival, mean normalized GDA flow, and histology were compared. RESULTS: 12 swine (mean 57.8 ± 7.6 kgs) were included, six per group. Baseline weight, HR, MAP and GDA flows were not different. Within 5 min following SMA clamping, all 12 animals had an increase in MAP without other intervention from 81.7 to 105.5 mmHg (29.1%, P < 0.01) with a concomitant 74.9% increase in GDA flow as compared to baseline (P < 0.01). Beyond 45 min postclamp, MAP was greater in the MP group as intended, as were GDA flows. Median time to irreversibly ischemic bowel was 31% longer for MAP push animals (CT: 178 versus MP: 233 min, P = 0.006), Hazard Ratio of CT 8.85 (95% CI: 1.86-42.06); 3/6 MP animals versus 0/6 CT animals with bowel survived to predetermined end point. CONCLUSIONS: In this swine model of acute complete proximal SMA occlusion, increasing MAP >90 mmHg with norepinephrine was associated with an increase in macrovascular blood flow through the GDA and bowel survival. Norepinephrine was not associated with worse bowel survival and a MAP push may increase the time window where ischemic bowel can be salvaged.


Asunto(s)
Presión Arterial , Isquemia Mesentérica , Animales , Presión Sanguínea , Isquemia/patología , Arteria Mesentérica Superior/cirugía , Isquemia Mesentérica/etiología , Isquemia Mesentérica/cirugía , Norepinefrina , Porcinos
4.
J Surg Res ; 300: 102-108, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38805843

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Post-traumatic seizures (PTSs) contribute to morbidity after traumatic brain injury (TBI). Early PTS are rare in combat casualties sustaining TBI, but the prevalence of late PTS is poorly described. We sought to define the prevalence and risk factors of late PTS in combat casualties with computed tomography evidence of TBI. METHODS: From 2010 to 2015, 687 combat casualties were transferred to a military treatment facility and included in the Department of Defense Trauma Registry. 71 patients with radiographic evidence of TBI were analyzed. Data collection included demographics, injury characteristics, interventions, medications, and outcomes. RESULTS: Of the 71 patients with evidence of TBI, 66 patients survived hospitalization and were followed. No patients had early PTS, and most received antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) for prophylaxis. At a median follow-up of 7.4 y, late PTS occurred in 25.8% of patients. Patients with late PTS were more severely injured (median Injury severity score 30 versus 24, P = 0.005) and required more blood products (18 units versus 2, P = 0.045). Patients with late PTS were more likely to have had a penetrating TBI (76.5% versus 38.8%, P = 0.01), multiple types of intracranial hemorrhage (94.1% versus 63.3%, P = 0.02), and cranial decompression (76.5% versus 28.6%, P = 0.001). Six-month Glasgow outcome scores were worse (3.5 versus 4.1 P = 0.001) in the late PTS population. No significant relationship was observed between administration of AEDs for early PTS prophylaxis and late PTS. CONCLUSIONS: Combat casualties with TBI suffering late PTS are more severely injured and require more blood products. Penetrating TBI, intracranial hemorrhage, and need for cranial decompression are correlated with late PTS, and associated with worse Glasgow Outcome Score. The administration of prophylactic AEDs for early PTS was not associated with a difference in rates of late PTS.


Asunto(s)
Lesiones Traumáticas del Encéfalo , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto , Lesiones Traumáticas del Encéfalo/complicaciones , Femenino , Factores de Riesgo , Adulto Joven , Estudios Retrospectivos , Epilepsia Postraumática/etiología , Epilepsia Postraumática/epidemiología , Epilepsia Postraumática/prevención & control , Epilepsia Postraumática/diagnóstico , Convulsiones/etiología , Convulsiones/epidemiología , Convulsiones/prevención & control , Convulsiones/diagnóstico , Anticonvulsivantes/uso terapéutico , Prevalencia , Personal Militar/estadística & datos numéricos , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Sistema de Registros/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios de Seguimiento , Guerra de Irak 2003-2011 , Puntaje de Gravedad del Traumatismo
5.
Surg Endosc ; 2024 Aug 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39143330

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Combat casualties are frequently injured in austere settings where modern imaging modalities are unavailable. Exploratory laparotomies are often performed in these settings when there is suspicion for intra-abdominal injury. Prior studies of combat casualties reported non-therapeutic laparotomy (NTL) rates as high as 32%. Given improvements in combat casualty care over time, we evaluated NTLs performed during later years of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. METHODS: Military personnel with combat-related injuries (6/1/2009-12/31/2014) who underwent exploratory laparotomy based on concern for abdominal injury (i.e. not performed for proximal vascular control or fecal diversion) and were evacuated to Landstuhl Regional Medical Center (Germany) before being transferred to participating U.S. military hospitals were assessed. An NTL was defined as a negative laparotomy without substantial intra-abdominal injuries requiring repair. Characteristics, indications for laparotomy, operative findings, and outcomes were examined. RESULTS: Among 244 patients who underwent laparotomies, 41 (16.8%) had NTLs and 203 (83.2%) had therapeutic laparotomies (i.e. positive findings). Patients with NTLs had more computed tomography scans concerning for injury (48.8% vs 27.1%; p = 0.006), less penetrating injury mechanisms (43.9% vs 71.9%; p < 0.001), and lower Injury Severity Scores (26 vs 33; p = 0.003) compared to patients with therapeutic laparotomies. Patients with NTLs were also less likely to be admitted to the intensive care unit (70.7 vs 89.2% for patients with therapeutic laparotomies; p = 0.007). No patients with NTLs developed abdominal surgical site infections (SSI) compared to 16.7% of patients with therapeutic laparotomies (p = 0.002). There was no significant difference in mortality between the groups (p = 0.198). CONCLUSIONS: Our proportion of NTLs was lower than reported from earlier years during the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. No infectious complications from NTLs (i.e. abdominal SSIs) were identified. Nevertheless, surgeons should continue to have a low threshold for exploratory laparotomy in military patients in austere settings with concern for intra-abdominal injury.

6.
Pediatr Dermatol ; 2024 Aug 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39169477

RESUMEN

Immunoglobulin A (IgA) vasculitis, or Henoch-Schonlein purpura, is the most common systemic vasculitis in children, clinically presenting as palpable purpura in combination with arthritis, gastrointestinal involvement, or kidney injury. Subcutaneous edema is reported in patients with IgA vasculitis, and it commonly affects the lower extremities, especially around joints. Here, we report a case of IgA vasculitis with a rare presentation of edema isolated to the periorbital area in a 7-year-old boy, who subsequently developed crescentic glomerulonephritis with nephrotic range proteinuria. Isolated periorbital edema is an uncommon cutaneous feature of IgA vasculitis.

7.
Curr Top Microbiol Immunol ; 440: 71-110, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32483657

RESUMEN

mRNA vaccines have become a versatile technology for the prevention of infectious diseases and the treatment of cancers. In the vaccination process, mRNA formulation and delivery strategies facilitate effective expression and presentation of antigens, and immune stimulation. mRNA vaccines have been delivered in various formats: encapsulation by delivery carriers, such as lipid nanoparticles, polymers, peptides, free mRNA in solution, and ex vivo through dendritic cells. Appropriate delivery materials and formulation methods often boost the vaccine efficacy which is also influenced by the selection of a proper administration route. Co-delivery of multiple mRNAs enables synergistic effects and further enhances immunity in some cases. In this chapter, we overview the recent progress and existing challenges in the formulation and delivery technologies of mRNA vaccines with perspectives for future development.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmisibles , Nanopartículas , Neoplasias , Vacunas , Humanos , Vacunas de ARNm , Vacunación , ARN Mensajero/genética
8.
Malar J ; 22(1): 99, 2023 Mar 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36932384

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: While many malaria-endemic countries have health management information systems that can measure and report malaria trends in a timely manner, these routine systems have limitations. Periodic community cross-sectional household surveys are used to estimate malaria prevalence and intervention coverage but lack geographic granularity and are resource intensive. Incorporating malaria testing for all women at their first antenatal care (ANC) visit (i.e., ANC1) could provide a more timely and granular source of data for monitoring trends in malaria burden and intervention coverage. This article describes a protocol designed to assess if ANC-based surveillance could be a pragmatic tool to monitor malaria. METHODS: This is an observational, cross-sectional study conducted in Benin, Burkina Faso, Mozambique, Nigeria, Tanzania, and Zambia. Pregnant women attending ANC1 in selected health facilities will be tested for malaria infection by rapid diagnostic test and administered a brief questionnaire to capture key indicators of malaria control intervention coverage and care-seeking behaviour. In each location, contemporaneous cross-sectional household surveys will be leveraged to assess correlations between estimates obtained using each method, and the use of ANC data as a tool to track trends in malaria burden and intervention coverage will be validated. RESULTS: This study will assess malaria prevalence at ANC1 aggregated at health facility and district levels, and by gravidity relative to current pregnancy (i.e., gravida 1, gravida 2, and gravida 3 +). ANC1 malaria prevalence will be presented as monthly trends. Additionally, correlation between ANC1 and household survey-derived estimates of malaria prevalence, bed net ownership and use, and care-seeking will be assessed. CONCLUSION: ANC1-based surveillance has the potential to provide a cost-effective, localized measure of malaria prevalence that is representative of the general population and useful for tracking monthly changes in parasite prevalence, as well as providing population-representative estimates of intervention coverage and care-seeking behavior. This study will evaluate the representativeness of these measures and collect information on operational feasibility, usefulness for programmatic decision-making, and potential for scale-up of malaria ANC1 surveillance.


Asunto(s)
Malaria , Atención Prenatal , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Malaria/diagnóstico , Malaria/epidemiología , Malaria/prevención & control , Número de Embarazos , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto
9.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 89: 293-301, 2023 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36441096

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Acute arterial occlusion of the lower extremity is a time-dependent emergency that requires prompt revascularization. Lower extremity extracorporeal distal revascularization (LEEDR) is a technique that can be initiated bedside when definitive therapy is delayed. The aim of this study is to evaluate this technique in a swine model of prolonged extremity ischemia. METHODS: Anesthetized swine underwent right femoral and left posterior tibial artery cannulation, left iliac venous flow monitoring (mL/min), and continuous left anterior compartment pressure (CP) monitoring (mm Hg). The iliac artery was clamped for 6 hr. LEEDR animals underwent 5 hr of extracorporeal femoral-to-tibial blood flow at 150 mL/min; controls had no intervention. At 6 hr, LEEDR was discontinued, iliac flow restored, and anterior CP monitored for 3 hr. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were similar across both the groups. Iliac clamping saw an expected fall in iliac venous flow (258 ± 30 to 82 ± 19; P < 0.001). LEEDR resulted in a rise in iliac venous flow (82 ± 20 to 181 ± 16; P < 0.001); control arm flow remained reduced (71 ± 8; P < 0.001). Once inflow was restored, venous flow returned to baseline. Revascularization provoked a higher peak CP in the control arm versus in the LEEDR group (25 ± 5 vs. 6 ± 1; P = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: An extracorporeal circuit can temporarily revascularize an extremity in a swine model of prolonged ischemia, mitigating reperfusion injury and maintaining normal CPs. This concept should undergo further evaluation as a bedside tool to mitigate extremity ischemia prior to definitive revascularization.


Asunto(s)
Arteriopatías Oclusivas , Extremidad Inferior , Porcinos , Animales , Resultado del Tratamiento , Extremidad Inferior/irrigación sanguínea , Isquemia/terapia , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares , Arteriopatías Oclusivas/terapia
10.
Ann Vasc Surg ; 97: 18-26, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37068623

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Thoracic aortic stent grafts are thought to decrease aortic compliance and may contribute to hypertension and heart failure after thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR). Left ventricular (LV) biomechanics immediately after TEVAR, however, have not been quantified. Pressure-volume (PV) loop analysis provides gold-standard LV functional information. The aim of this study is to use an LV PV loop catheter and analysis to characterize the LV biomechanics before and acutely after TEVAR. METHODS: Anesthetized Yorkshire swine (N = 6) were percutaneously instrumented with an LV PV loop catheter. A 20 mm × 10 cm stent graft was deployed distal to the left subclavian via the femoral artery under fluoroscopy. Cardiac biomechanics were assessed before and after TEVAR. As a sensitivity analysis, inferior vena cava occlusion with PV loop assessment was performed pre and post-TEVAR in 1 animal to obtain preload and afterload-independent end-systolic and end-diastolic PV relationships (ESPVR and EDPVR). RESULTS: All animals underwent successful instrumentation and TEVAR. Post-TEVAR, all 6 animals had higher mean LV ESP (106 vs. 118 mm Hg, P = 0.04), with no change in the EDPVR. inferior vena cava occlusion also moved the ESPVR curve upward and leftward, indicating increased LV work per unit time. There was no augmentation of EDPVR following TEVAR (P > 0.05). Postmortem exams in all animals revealed appropriate stent placement and no technical complications. CONCLUSIONS: TEVAR was associated with an acute increase in LV end-systolic pressure and shift in the ESPVR, indicating increased ventricular work. This data provides potential mechanistic insights into the development of post-TEVAR hypertension and heart failure. Future stent graft innovation should focus on minimizing the changes in cardiac physiology.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Torácica , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular , Procedimientos Endovasculares , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Hipertensión , Porcinos , Animales , Aneurisma de la Aorta Torácica/cirugía , Fenómenos Biomecánicos , Resultado del Tratamiento , Aorta Torácica/diagnóstico por imagen , Aorta Torácica/cirugía , Procedimientos Endovasculares/efectos adversos , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etiología , Stents , Implantación de Prótesis Vascular/efectos adversos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Prótesis Vascular
11.
J Infect Dis ; 226(4): 696-707, 2022 09 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35811308

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Screen-and-treat strategies with sensitive diagnostic tests may reduce malaria-associated adverse pregnancy outcomes. We conducted a diagnostic accuracy study to evaluate new point-of-care tests to screen pregnant women for malaria at their first antenatal visit in western Kenya. METHODS: Consecutively women were tested for Plasmodium infection by expert microscopy, conventional rapid diagnostic test (cRDT), ultra sensitive RDT (usRDT), and loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP). Photoinduced electron-transfer polymerase chain reaction (PET-PCR) served as the reference standard. Diagnostic performance was calculated and modelled at low parasite densities. RESULTS: Between May and September 2018, 172 of 482 screened participants (35.7%) were PET-PCR positive. Relative to PET-PCR, expert microscopy was least sensitive (40.1%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 32.7%-47.9%), followed by cRDT (49.4%; 95% CI, 41.7%-57.1), usRDT (54.7%; 95% CI, 46.9%-62.2%), and LAMP (68.6%; 95% CI, 61.1%-75.5%). Test sensitivities were comparable in febrile women (n = 90). Among afebrile women (n = 392), the geometric-mean parasite density was 29 parasites/µL and LAMP (sensitivity = 61.9%) and usRDT (43.2%) detected 1.74 (95% CI, 1.31-2.30) and 1.21 (95% CI, 88-2.21) more infections than cRDT (35.6%). Per our model, tests performed similarly at densities >200 parasites/µL. At 50 parasites/µL, the sensitivities were 45%, 56%, 62%, and 74% with expert microscopy, cRDT, usRDT, and LAMP, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This first-generation usRDT provided moderate improvement in detecting low-density infections in afebrile pregnant women compared to cRDTs.


Asunto(s)
Malaria Falciparum , Malaria , Pruebas Diagnósticas de Rutina , Femenino , Humanos , Kenia , Malaria/diagnóstico , Malaria Falciparum/diagnóstico , Técnicas de Diagnóstico Molecular , Técnicas de Amplificación de Ácido Nucleico , Plasmodium falciparum/genética , Embarazo , Mujeres Embarazadas , Sensibilidad y Especificidad
12.
Kidney Int ; 100(6): 1303-1315, 2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34352311

RESUMEN

Kidney failure is common in patients with Coronavirus Disease-19 (COVID-19), resulting in increased morbidity and mortality. In an international collaboration, 284 kidney biopsies were evaluated to improve understanding of kidney disease in COVID-19. Diagnoses were compared to five years of 63,575 native biopsies prior to the pandemic and 13,955 allograft biopsies to identify diseases that have increased in patients with COVID-19. Genotyping for APOL1 G1 and G2 alleles was performed in 107 African American and Hispanic patients. Immunohistochemistry for SARS-CoV-2 was utilized to assess direct viral infection in 273 cases along with clinical information at the time of biopsy. The leading indication for native biopsy was acute kidney injury (45.4%), followed by proteinuria with or without concurrent acute kidney injury (42.6%). There were more African American patients (44.6%) than patients of other ethnicities. The most common diagnosis in native biopsies was collapsing glomerulopathy (25.8%), which was associated with high-risk APOL1 genotypes in 91.7% of cases. Compared to the five-year biopsy database, the frequency of myoglobin cast nephropathy and proliferative glomerulonephritis with monoclonal IgG deposits was also increased in patients with COVID-19 (3.3% and 1.7%, respectively), while there was a reduced frequency of chronic conditions (including diabetes mellitus, IgA nephropathy, and arterionephrosclerosis) as the primary diagnosis. In transplants, the leading indication was acute kidney injury (86.4%), for which rejection was the predominant diagnosis (61.4%). Direct SARS-CoV-2 viral infection was not identified. Thus, our multi-center large case series identified kidney diseases that disproportionately affect patients with COVID-19 and demonstrated a high frequency of APOL1 high-risk genotypes within this group, with no evidence of direct viral infection within the kidney.


Asunto(s)
Lesión Renal Aguda , COVID-19 , Apolipoproteína L1/genética , Humanos , Riñón , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2
13.
BMC Med ; 19(1): 144, 2021 06 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34162389

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia, diarrhoea and malaria are responsible for over one third of all deaths in children under the age of 5 years in low and middle sociodemographic index countries; many of these deaths are also associated with malnutrition. We explore the co-occurrence and clustering of fever, acute respiratory infection, diarrhoea and wasting and their relationship with equity-relevant variables. METHODS: Multilevel, multivariate Bayesian logistic regression models were fitted to Demographic and Health Survey data from over 380,000 children in 39 countries. The relationship between outcome indicators (fever, acute respiratory infection, diarrhoea and wasting) and equity-relevant variables (wealth, access to health care and rurality) was examined. We quantified the geographical clustering and co-occurrence of conditions and a child's risk of multiple illnesses. RESULTS: The prevalence of outcomes was very heterogeneous within and between countries. There was marked spatial clustering of conditions and co-occurrence within children. For children in the poorest households and those reporting difficulties accessing healthcare, there were significant increases in the probability of at least one of the conditions in 18 of 21 countries, with estimated increases in the probability of up to 0.23 (95% CrI, 0.06-0.40). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of fever, acute respiratory infection, diarrhoea and wasting are associated with equity-relevant variables and cluster together. Via pathways of shared aetiology or risk, those children most disadvantaged disproportionately suffer from these conditions. This highlights the need for horizontal approaches, such as integrated community case management, with a focus on equity and targeted to those most at need.


Asunto(s)
Países en Desarrollo , Diarrea , Teorema de Bayes , Niño , Preescolar , Análisis por Conglomerados , Estudios Transversales , Diarrea/epidemiología , Composición Familiar , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Humanos , Lactante , Prevalencia
14.
BMC Med ; 19(1): 146, 2021 06 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34144715

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: As in many countries, quantifying COVID-19 spread in Indonesia remains challenging due to testing limitations. In Java, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were implemented throughout 2020. However, as a vaccination campaign launches, cases and deaths are rising across the island. METHODS: We used modelling to explore the extent to which data on burials in Jakarta using strict COVID-19 protocols (C19P) provide additional insight into the transmissibility of the disease, epidemic trajectory, and the impact of NPIs. We assess how implementation of NPIs in early 2021 will shape the epidemic during the period of likely vaccine rollout. RESULTS: C19P burial data in Jakarta suggest a death toll approximately 3.3 times higher than reported. Transmission estimates using these data suggest earlier, larger, and more sustained impact of NPIs. Measures to reduce sub-national spread, particularly during Ramadan, substantially mitigated spread to more vulnerable rural areas. Given current trajectory, daily cases and deaths are likely to increase in most regions as the vaccine is rolled out. Transmission may peak in early 2021 in Jakarta if current levels of control are maintained. However, relaxation of control measures is likely to lead to a subsequent resurgence in the absence of an effective vaccination campaign. CONCLUSIONS: Syndromic measures of mortality provide a more complete picture of COVID-19 severity upon which to base decision-making. The high potential impact of the vaccine in Java is attributable to reductions in transmission to date and dependent on these being maintained. Increases in control in the relatively short-term will likely yield large, synergistic increases in vaccine impact.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/terapia , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización/métodos , Indonesia , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , Síndrome , Vacunación/métodos , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos
15.
Malar J ; 20(1): 128, 2021 Mar 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33663488

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) is a strategy for malaria control recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) since 2012 for Sahelian countries. The Mali National Malaria Control Programme adopted a plan for pilot implementation and nationwide scale-up by 2016. Given that SMC is a relatively new approach, there is an urgent need to assess the costs and cost effectiveness of SMC when implemented through the routine health system to inform decisions on resource allocation. METHODS: Cost data were collected from pilot implementation of SMC in Kita district, which targeted 77,497 children aged 3-59 months. Starting in August 2014, SMC was delivered by fixed point distribution in villages with the first dose observed each month. Treatment consisted of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and amodiaquine once a month for four consecutive months, or rounds. Economic and financial costs were collected from the provider perspective using an ingredients approach. Effectiveness estimates were based upon a published mathematical transmission model calibrated to local epidemiology, rainfall patterns and scale-up of interventions. Incremental cost effectiveness ratios were calculated for the cost per malaria episode averted, cost per disability adjusted life years (DALYs) averted, and cost per death averted. RESULTS: The total economic cost of the intervention in the district of Kita was US $357,494. Drug costs and personnel costs accounted for 34% and 31%, respectively. Incentives (payment other than salary for efforts beyond routine activities) accounted for 25% of total implementation costs. Average financial and economic unit costs per child per round were US $0.73 and US $0.86, respectively; total annual financial and economic costs per child receiving SMC were US $2.92 and US $3.43, respectively. Accounting for coverage, the economic cost per child fully adherent (receiving all four rounds) was US $6.38 and US $4.69, if weighted highly adherent, (receiving 3 or 4 rounds of SMC). When costs were combined with modelled effects, the economic cost per malaria episode averted in children was US $4.26 (uncertainty bound 2.83-7.17), US $144 (135-153) per DALY averted and US $ 14,503 (13,604-15,402) per death averted. CONCLUSIONS: When implemented at fixed point distribution through the routine health system in Mali, SMC was highly cost-effective. As in previous SMC implementation studies, financial incentives were a large cost component.


Asunto(s)
Amodiaquina/uso terapéutico , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio/estadística & datos numéricos , Malaria/prevención & control , Pirimetamina/uso terapéutico , Sulfadoxina/uso terapéutico , Quimioprevención/economía , Preescolar , Combinación de Medicamentos , Humanos , Lactante , Malí , Estaciones del Año
16.
J Surg Res ; 257: 285-293, 2021 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32866669

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Abdominal injuries historically account for 13% of battlefield surgical procedures. We examined the occurrence of exploratory laparotomies and subsequent abdominal surgical site infections (SSIs) among combat casualties. METHODS: Military personnel injured during deployment (2009-2014) were included if they required a laparotomy for combat-related trauma and were evacuated to Landstuhl Regional Medical Center, Germany, before being transferred to participating US military hospitals. RESULTS: Of 4304 combat casualties, 341 (7.9%) underwent laparotomy. Including re-explorations, 1053 laparotomies (median, 2; interquartile range, 1-3; range, 1-28) were performed with 58% occurring within the combat zone. Forty-nine (14.4%) patients had abdominal SSIs (four with multiple SSIs): 27 (7.9%) with deep space SSIs, 14 (4.1%) with a deep incisional SSI, and 12 (3.5%) a superficial incisional SSI. Patients with abdominal SSIs had larger volume of blood transfusions (median, 24 versus 14 units), more laparotomies (median, 4 versus 2), and more hollow viscus injuries (74% versus 45%) than patients without abdominal SSIs. Abdominal closure occurred after 10 d for 12% of the patients with SSI versus 2% of patients without SSI. Mesh adjuncts were used to achieve fascial closure in 20.4% and 2.1% of patients with and without SSI, respectively. Survival was 98% and 96% in patients with and without SSIs, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Less than 10% of combat casualties in the modern era required abdominal exploration and most were severely injured with hollow viscus injuries and required massive transfusions. Despite the extensive contamination from battlefield injuries, the SSI proportion is consistent with civilian rates and survival was high.


Asunto(s)
Traumatismos Abdominales/cirugía , Laparotomía/efectos adversos , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/epidemiología , Heridas Relacionadas con la Guerra/cirugía , Traumatismos Abdominales/complicaciones , Traumatismos Abdominales/diagnóstico , Traumatismos Abdominales/mortalidad , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Puntaje de Gravedad del Traumatismo , Laparotomía/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Despliegue Militar/estadística & datos numéricos , Personal Militar/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Infección de la Herida Quirúrgica/etiología , Tasa de Supervivencia , Resultado del Tratamiento , Heridas Relacionadas con la Guerra/complicaciones , Heridas Relacionadas con la Guerra/diagnóstico , Heridas Relacionadas con la Guerra/mortalidad , Adulto Joven
17.
Nature ; 528(7580): S86-93, 2015 Dec 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26633770

RESUMEN

The global burden of malaria has been substantially reduced over the past two decades. Future efforts to reduce malaria further will require moving beyond the treatment of clinical infections to targeting malaria transmission more broadly in the community. As such, the accurate identification of asymptomatic human infections, which can sustain a large proportion of transmission, is becoming a vital component of control and elimination programmes. We determined the relationship across common diagnostics used to measure malaria prevalence - polymerase chain reaction (PCR), rapid diagnostic test and microscopy - for the detection of Plasmodium falciparum infections in endemic populations based on a pooled analysis of cross-sectional data. We included data from more than 170,000 individuals comparing the detection by rapid diagnostic test and microscopy, and 30,000 for detection by rapid diagnostic test and PCR. The analysis showed that, on average, rapid diagnostic tests detected 41% (95% confidence interval = 26-66%) of PCR-positive infections. Data for the comparison of rapid diagnostic test to PCR detection at high transmission intensity and in adults were sparse. Prevalence measured by rapid diagnostic test and microscopy was comparable, although rapid diagnostic test detected slightly more infections than microscopy. On average, microscopy captured 87% (95% confidence interval = 74-102%) of rapid diagnostic test-positive infections. The extent to which higher rapid diagnostic test detection reflects increased sensitivity, lack of specificity or both, is unclear. Once the contribution of asymptomatic individuals to the infectious reservoir is better defined, future analyses should ideally establish optimal detection limits of new diagnostics for use in control and elimination strategies.


Asunto(s)
Portador Sano/diagnóstico , Portador Sano/prevención & control , Pruebas Diagnósticas de Rutina , Malaria Falciparum/diagnóstico , Malaria Falciparum/tratamiento farmacológico , Plasmodium falciparum/aislamiento & purificación , Adolescente , Distribución por Edad , Portador Sano/tratamiento farmacológico , Portador Sano/parasitología , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Malaria Falciparum/epidemiología , Malaria Falciparum/prevención & control , Masculino , Prevalencia
18.
Nature ; 528(7580): S94-101, 2015 Dec 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26633771

RESUMEN

Mass-screen-and-treat and targeted mass-drug-administration strategies are being considered as a means to interrupt transmission of Plasmodium falciparum malaria. However, the effectiveness of such strategies will depend on the extent to which current and future diagnostics are able to detect those individuals who are infectious to mosquitoes. We estimate the relationship between parasite density and onward infectivity using sensitive quantitative parasite diagnostics and mosquito feeding assays from Burkina Faso. We find that a diagnostic with a lower detection limit of 200 parasites per microlitre would detect 55% of the infectious reservoir (the combined infectivity to mosquitoes of the whole population weighted by how often each individual is bitten) whereas a test with a limit of 20 parasites per microlitre would detect 83% and 2 parasites per microlitre would detect 95% of the infectious reservoir. Using mathematical models, we show that increasing the diagnostic sensitivity from 200 parasites per microlitre (equivalent to microscopy or current rapid diagnostic tests) to 2 parasites per microlitre would increase the number of regions where transmission could be interrupted with a mass-screen-and-treat programme from an entomological inoculation rate below 1 to one of up to 4. The higher sensitivity diagnostic could reduce the number of treatment rounds required to interrupt transmission in areas of lower prevalence. We predict that mass-screen-and-treat with a highly sensitive diagnostic is less effective than mass drug administration owing to the prophylactic protection provided to uninfected individuals by the latter approach. In low-transmission settings such as those in Southeast Asia, we find that a diagnostic tool with a sensitivity of 20 parasites per microlitre may be sufficient for targeted mass drug administration because this diagnostic is predicted to identify a similar village population prevalence compared with that currently detected using polymerase chain reaction if treatment levels are high and screening is conducted during the dry season. Along with other factors, such as coverage, choice of drug, timing of the intervention, importation of infections, and seasonality, the sensitivity of the diagnostic can play a part in increasing the chance of interrupting transmission.


Asunto(s)
Pruebas Diagnósticas de Rutina , Malaria Falciparum/diagnóstico , Malaria Falciparum/tratamiento farmacológico , Plasmodium falciparum/efectos de los fármacos , Plasmodium falciparum/aislamiento & purificación , Adolescente , Adulto , Animales , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Malaria Falciparum/epidemiología , Malaria Falciparum/parasitología , Masculino , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa , Prevalencia , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Adulto Joven
19.
Int J Mol Sci ; 22(11)2021 May 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34063776

RESUMEN

Calcineurin inhibitors are highly efficacious immunosuppressive agents used in pediatric kidney transplantation. However, calcineurin inhibitor nephrotoxicity (CNIT) has been associated with the development of chronic renal allograft dysfunction and decreased graft survival. This study evaluated 37 formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded biopsies from pediatric kidney transplant recipients using gene expression profiling. Normal allograft samples (n = 12) served as negative controls and were compared to biopsies exhibiting CNIT (n = 11). The remaining samples served as positive controls to validate CNIT marker specificity and were characterized by other common causes of graft failure such as acute rejection (n = 7) and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (n = 7). MiRNA profiles served as the platform for data integration. Oxidative phosphorylation and mitochondrial dysfunction were the top molecular pathways associated with overexpressed genes in CNIT samples. Decreased ATP synthesis was identified as a significant biological function in CNIT, while key toxicology pathways included NRF2-mediated oxidative stress response and increased permeability transition of mitochondria. An integrative analysis demonstrated a panel of 13 significant miRNAs and their 33 CNIT-specific gene targets involved with mitochondrial activity and function. We also identified a candidate panel of miRNAs/genes, which may serve as future molecular markers for CNIT diagnosis as well as potential therapeutic targets.


Asunto(s)
Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Inhibidores de la Calcineurina/toxicidad , Supervivencia de Injerto/genética , Enfermedades Renales/inducido químicamente , Enfermedades Renales/genética , Transcriptoma/genética , Biopsia/métodos , Inhibidores de la Calcineurina/uso terapéutico , Niño , Biología Computacional/métodos , Perfilación de la Expresión Génica/métodos , Rechazo de Injerto/tratamiento farmacológico , Rechazo de Injerto/genética , Humanos , Inmunosupresores/uso terapéutico , Inmunosupresores/toxicidad , Riñón/efectos de los fármacos , Riñón/metabolismo , Trasplante de Riñón/efectos adversos , MicroARNs/genética , Estrés Oxidativo/efectos de los fármacos , Estrés Oxidativo/genética , Receptores de Trasplantes , Trasplante Homólogo/métodos
20.
Malar J ; 19(1): 438, 2020 Nov 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33256758

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: In areas of high transmission, malaria in pregnancy (MiP) primarily causes asymptomatic infections; these infections nonetheless increase the risk of adverse maternal and fetal outcomes. In 2014, Tanzania initiated a single screening and treatment (SST) strategy for all pregnant women at their first antenatal care (ANC) visit using malaria rapid diagnostic tests (RDT) for surveillance purposes. However, there is paucity of data on the effectiveness of SST in the prevention of MiP. The objective of this study was to estimate the number of asymptomatic infections among pregnant women detected by SST, which would have been missed in the absence of the policy. METHODS: Data from pregnant women attending their first ANC visits between October 2017 and June 2018, including gestational age, history of fever, and RDT results, were abstracted from ANC registers in eight health centres in two randomly selected districts, Kilwa and Lindi, in Lindi Region. The proportion of symptomatic (with history of fever in the past 48 h) and asymptomatic pregnant women with positive RDTs were calculated and stratified by trimester (first, second and third). The study areas were categorized as low transmission with prevalence < 10% or moderate/high with ≥ 10%. RESULTS: Over the study period, 1,845 women attended their first ANC visits; 22.1% were in the first trimester (< 12 weeks gestation age). Overall 15.0% of the women had positive RDTs, and there was a trend towards higher malaria prevalence in the first (15.9%) and second (15.2%) trimesters, compared to the third (7.1%), although the differences were not statistically significant (p = 0.07). In total, 6.9% of women reported fever within the past 48 h and, of these, 96.1% were RDT positive. For every 100 pregnant women in the moderate/high and low transmission areas, SST identified 60 and 26 pregnant women, respectively, with asymptomatic infections that would have otherwise been missed. Among the 15.9% of women detected in the first trimester, 50.7% were asymptomatic. CONCLUSION: In areas of moderate/high transmission, many infected women were asymptomatic, and would have been missed in the absence of SST. The benefits on maternal and fetal birth outcomes of identifying these infections depend heavily on the protection afforded by treatment, which is likely to be greatest for women presenting in the first trimester when intermittent preventive treatment (IPTp) with sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) is contraindicated, and in areas with high SP resistance, such as most parts of Tanzania. An evaluation of the impact and cost-effectiveness of SST across different transmission strata is warranted.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Pruebas Diagnósticas de Rutina/estadística & datos numéricos , Malaria/prevención & control , Tamizaje Masivo/estadística & datos numéricos , Complicaciones Parasitarias del Embarazo/prevención & control , Atención Prenatal/métodos , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo , Tanzanía
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