Dyslipidemia and coronary artery calcium: From association to development of a risk-prediction nomogram.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The associations between dyslipidemia and coronary artery calcium (CAC) are controversial. We investigated their cross-sectional relationships and developed a predictive scoring system for prognostically significant coronary calcification (PSCC). METHODS AND RESULTS: This study evaluated the lipid profiles and the CAC score (CACS) measured through multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) among Taiwanese adult patients in a tertiary hospital between 2011 and 2016. Patients with CACS higher than 100 were classified as having PSCC. Dyslipidemia for each lipid component was defined based on the clinical cutoffs or the use of the lipid-lowering agents. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association between dyslipidemia and PSCC and the model performance was assessed using calibration plot, discrimination, and a decision curve analysis. Of the 3586 eligible patients, 364 (10.2%) had PSCC. Increased age, male sex, higher body mass index (BMI), and higher level of triglyceride (TG) were associated with PSCC. The adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of PSCC was 1.15 (0.90-1.47) for dyslipidemia defined by total cholesterol (TC) ≥200 mg/dL, 1.06 (0.83-1.35) for low-density-lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) ≥130 mg/dL, and 1.36 (1.06-1.75) for TG ≥ 200 mg/dL. The positive association between TG ≥ 200 mg/dL and PSCC was not modified by sex. Incorporating hypertriglyceridemia did not significantly improve the predictive performance of the base model comprising of age, sex, BMI, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and fasting glucose. CONCLUSIONS: Hypertriglyceridemia was significantly associated with the prevalent odds of PSCC. Our proposed predictive model may be a useful screening tool for PSCC.

Effect of blood lipid variability on mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: a large single-center cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Dyslipidemia is a major cardiovascular risk factor and common in diabetes patients. Most guidelines focus on optimal lipid levels, while variation of lipid profiles is far less discussed. This study aims to investigate the association of visit-to-visit variability in blood lipids with all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We identified 10,583 type 2 diabetes patients aged ≥ 30 years with follow-up ≥ 3 years and who participated in the Diabetes Care Management Program at a medical center in Taiwan. Variability in lipid profiles within 3 years after entry was calculated using coefficient of variation. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate lipid variability in relation to subsequent mortality. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 6.4 years, 1838 all-cause deaths (809 cardiovascular deaths) were observed. For each 10% increase in variability in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and total cholesterol, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of all-cause mortality were 1.30 (1.22-1.37), 1.05 (1.01-1.09), and 1.10 (1.03-1.16), respectively; those of cardiovascular mortality were 1.27 (1.16-1.39), 1.08 (1.02-1.15), and 1.16 (1.07-1.27), respectively. Each 10% increase in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol variability conveyed 31% greater risk of non-cardiovascular mortality. High variability in total cholesterol and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol increased all-cause mortality in subgroups of nonsmoking, regular exercising, non-dyslipidemia, and more severe status of diabetes at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Blood lipid variability except for triglyceride variability was associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Building clinical risk score systems for predicting the all-cause and expanded cardiovascular-specific mortality of patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIM: To develop and validate risk score systems by examining the effects of glycaemic and blood pressure variabilities on the all-cause and expanded cardiovascular-specific mortality of people with type 2 diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study consisted of 9692 patients aged 30-85 years, diagnosed with type 2 diabetes and enrolled in a managed care programme of a medical centre from 2002 to 2016. All the patients were randomly allocated into two groups, namely, training and validation sets (2:1 ratio), and followed up until death or August 2019. Cox's proportional hazard regression was performed to develop all-cause and expanded cardiovascular-specific mortality prediction models. The performance of the prediction model was assessed by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: Overall, 2036 deaths were identified after a mean of 8.6 years of follow-up. The AUROC-measured prediction accuracies of 3-, 5-, 10- and 15-year all-cause mortalities based on a model containing the identified traditional risk factors, biomarkers and variabilities in fasting plasma glucose, HbA1c and blood pressure in the validation set were 0.79 (0.76-0.83), 0.78 (0.76-0.81), 0.80 (0.78-0.82) and 0.80 (0.78-0.82), respectively. The corresponding values of the expanded cardiovascular-specific mortalities were 0.85 (0.80-0.90), 0.83 (0.79-0.86), 0.80 (0.77-0.83) and 0.79 (0.77-0.82), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our prediction models considering glycaemic and blood pressure variabilities had good prediction accuracy for the expanded cardiovascular-specific and all-cause mortalities of patients with type 2 diabetes.

Association between glucose variation and lower extremity amputation incidence in individuals with type 2 diabetes: a nationwide retrospective cohort study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Elevated glucose level is one of the risk factors for lower extremity amputation (LEA), but whether glycaemic variability confers independent risks of LEA remains to be elucidated. This study aimed to investigate the association between visit-to-visit glycaemic variability and minor and major LEA risks during 8 years of follow-up in type 2 diabetic individuals aged 50 years and older. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 27,574 ethnic Chinese type 2 diabetic individuals aged ≥50 years from the National Diabetes Care Management Program in Taiwan. Glycaemic variability measures were presented as the CVs of fasting plasma glucose (FPG-CV) and of HbA1c (A1c-CV). The effect of glycaemic variability on the incidence of LEA events was analysed using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 8.9 years, 541 incident cases of LEA with a crude incidence density rate of 2.4 per 1000 person-years were observed. After multivariate adjustment, FPG-CV and A1c-CV were found to be significantly associated with minor LEA, with corresponding HRs of 1.53 (95% CI 1.15, 2.04) and 1.34 (95% CI 1.02, 1.77) for the third tertiles of FPG-CV and A1c-CV, respectively. In addition, these associations were stronger amongst older adults with longer diabetes duration (≥3 years) than amongst those with shorter duration (<3 years) (pinteraction < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our study suggests that visit-to-visit variations in HbA1c and FPG are important predictors of minor LEA amongst older adults with type 2 diabetes, particularly for those with more than 3 years of diabetes duration.

Cognitive function and its transitions in predicting all-cause mortality among urban community-dwelling older adults.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment is accompanied with high rates of comorbid conditions, leading ultimately to death. Few studies examine the relation between cognitive transition and mortality, especially in Asian population. This study evaluated baseline cognition and cognitive transition in relation to all-cause mortality among community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: We conducted a community-based prospective cohort study among 921 participants of Taichung Community Health Study for Elders in 2009. Cognitive function was evaluated by the Mini-Mental State Examination. Cognitive impairment was considered if the total score is less than 27, 24, and 21 for a participant's educational level of more than 6 years, equal or less than 6 years, and illiteracy, respectively. One-year transition in cognitive function was obtained among 517 individuals who were assessed in both 2009 and 2010. Mortality was followed up until 2016. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to estimate the adjusted hazard ratios of mortality for baseline cognitive impairment and one-year transition in cognitive status. RESULTS: After a follow-up of 6.62 years, 160 deaths were recorded. The multivariate adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for baseline cognitive impairment was 2.08 (1.43, 3.01). Significantly increased mortality risk was observed for cognitively impaired-normal and impaired-impaired subgroups over 1 year as compared with those who remained normal [2.87 (1.25, 6.56) and 3.79 (1.64, 8.73), respectively]. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves demonstrated that baseline cognition and one-year cognitive transition had no differential predictive ability for mortality. Besides, there was an interaction of cognitive impairment and frailty, with an additive mortality risk [5.41 (3.14, 9.35)] for the elders who presented with both. CONCLUSION: Baseline cognitive impairment rather than one-year progression is associated with mortality in a six-year follow-up on older adults.

Independent associations of urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio and serum cystatin C with carotid intima-media thickness in community-living Taiwanese adults.

BACKGROUND: Renal function is a key factor of cardiovascular disease. Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) has been widely used as a marker of early subclinical atherosclerosis. The determinants of cystatin C, a novel marker of renal function, have not been extensively studied in the Asian population. This study aimed to assess the determinants of cystatin C and explore whether carotid thickening was associated with urinary albumin-creatinine ratio and cystatin C in community-living Taiwanese adults. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted on participants from Taichung City, Taiwan. All the participants underwent carotid ultrasonography. Carotid IMT-mean and IMT-maximum were derived. Kidney biomarkers were measured on the basis of urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) and cystatin C. Multiple linear regression analysis was used. RESULTS: A total of 1032 individuals were recruited, and 469 (45.44%) of them were men. An increased cystatin C level was significantly associated with older age, male gender, lack of physical activity, low HDL cholesterol, abdominal obesity, high hs-CRP, and high ACR. The multivariate-adjusted mean carotid IMT-mean and IMT-maximum values significantly increased by 80.49 and 195.23 µm for every one unit of increase in cystatin C level and by 0.07 and 0.14 µm for every one unit of increase in ACR, respectively (all p < 0.001 except ACR on IMT-maximum with p < 0.01). Lack of physical activity, low HDL, abdominal obesity, high hs-CRP, and high ACR were the determinants of cystatin C. CONCLUSION: Cystatin C and ACR were strongly and linearly associated with carotid thickening, a marker of subclinical atherosclerosis.

Frailty, transition in frailty status and all-cause mortality in older adults of a Taichung community-based population.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have reported the associations of frailty phenotype or its components with mortality. However, studies that explored the effects of transition in frailty status on mortality were far less in Asian or Chinese. The aim of this study was to evaluate baseline frailty status and one-year change of frailty status in relation to all-cause mortality in Taiwanese community-dwelling older adults who participated in the Taichung Community Health Study for Elders. METHODS: We conducted a community-based prospective cohort study. A total of 921 community-dwelling elderly men and women aged 65-99 years in Taichung City were enrolled in 2009-2010 and were followed up through 2016. We adopted the definition of frailty proposed by Fried et al., including five components: shrinking, weakness, poor endurance and energy, slowness, and low physical activity. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for frailty at baseline and one-year change in frailty status. RESULTS: There were 160 deaths during the follow-up period. The mortality rates in groups of robust and frail were 20.26 and 84.66 per 1000 person-years respectively. After multivariate adjustment, the HR (CIs) for baseline frailty was 2.67 (1.73-4.12). Poor endurance and energy [1.88 (1.03-3.42)], slowness [2.60 (1.76-3.83)] and weakness [1.65 (1.16-2.33)] were found to be predictors of mortality. Increased risks in mortality for subgroups of robust-to-frail [2.76 (1.22-6.27)], frail-to-robust [3.87 (1.63, 9.19)], and frail-to-frail [4.08 (1.92-8.66)] over one-year period were observed compared with those remaining robust. CONCLUSION: Baseline frailty status and one-year change in frailty status are associated with 6-year all-cause mortality among Taiwanese elderly adults. Frailty may be useful for identifying older adults at high risks for mortality prevention.

Association Between Olfactory Dysfunction and Cognitive Impairment in Dementia-Free Older Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies assessing olfactory function and cognition have mostly been cross-sectional, and few have investigated the Asian geriatric population. OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationships of olfaction with global or domain-specific cognitive function in Taiwanese community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: This cohort study (2015-2019) is part of the Taiwan Initiative for Geriatric Epidemiological Research. The Taiwanese version of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA-T) and a battery of neuropsychological tests were assessed at baseline and at a two-year follow-up. The cross-culture modified Sniffin' Sticks Identification Test (SSIT) was utilized to measure olfactory function. Generalized linear mixed models were used to examine the association of olfaction with cognitive performance over two years. RESULTS: Data were collected from 376 participants (55.1% women), with a mean age of 75.6 years. A one-point decrease in the SSIT score (worsening of olfaction) was associated with worse global cognition (MoCA-T: ߈= -0.13), memory (߈= -0.08 to -0.06), and verbal fluency (߈= -0.07). Compared with an SSIT score ≥ 11 (normosmia), an SSIT score < 8 (anosmia) was associated with worse global cognition (MoCA-T: ߈= -0.99), memory (߈= -0.48 to -0.42), executive function (Trail Making Test A: ߈= -0.36), attention (digit span backward: ߈= -0.34), and verbal fluency (߈= -0.45). After stratified analyses, the associations remained in older adults ≥ 75 years, males, and non-carriers of apolipoprotein E ɛ4 in terms of global cognition, memory, and verbal fluency. CONCLUSIONS: Odor identification deficits were associated with poor global or domain-specific cognitive function in a four-year cohort of community-dwelling older adults. Cognitive assessments should be conducted in dementia-free elderly individuals with impaired odor identification.

Effect of blood pressure trajectory and variability on new-onset chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes.

This study aimed to evaluate the effects of BP trajectory and variability on chronic kidney disease (CKD) incidence in patients with type 2 diabetes. This retrospective longitudinal study included 4,560 participants with type 2 diabetes, aged ≥30 years, free of CKD, with ≥3 years of follow-up, and who attended the Diabetes Care Management Program in 2001-2013. The follow-up period ended in 2016. The adverse outcome was a new-onset CKD event, which was determined using eGFR and albuminuria. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the associations. At the end of the follow-up, 1255 participants had developed CKD, with a mean follow-up of 4.3 ± 3.2 years. Three trajectory subgroups of BP, i.e., Cluster 1: "moderate-stable" for SBP and "moderate-downward" for DBP, Cluster 2: "low-upward-downward" for both SBP and DBP, and Cluster 3: "high-downward-upward" for both SBP and DBP, were generated. The BP variability was grouped into three classes on the basis of tertiles. For the BP trajectory, patients in Cluster 3 of DBP had a higher CKD risk than those in Cluster 1 (HR = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.03-1.50). For the BP variability, patients in Tertile 3 had a significantly higher CKD risk than those in Tertile 1 (SBP: 1.28, 1.11-1.47; DBP: 1.17, 1.02-1.34). Persons with type 2 diabetes who achieved a small reduction in DBP after participating in the education program but rebounded and those who had the highest variation in both SBP and DBP faced the highest increase in CKD risk.

Association between coronary artery calcium and all-cause mortality: A large single-center retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Previous studies have revealed that coronary artery calcium is related to cardiovascular diseases and mortality. However, most studies have been conducted in Western countries and have excluded patients with pre-existing heart disease. We investigated the association between coronary artery calcium (CAC) and all-cause mortality in an Asian cohort and in subgroups stratified by age, sex, smoking, obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, blood pressure, and biochemical parameters. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 4529 health examinees who underwent multidetector computed tomography in a tertiary medical center in Taiwan between 2011 and 2016. The mean follow-up was 3.5 years. Cox regression was used to estimate the relative hazards of death. Stratified analyses were performed. RESULTS: The all-cause mortality rates were 2.94, 4.88, 17.6, and 33.1 per 1000 person-years for CAC scores of 0, 1-100, 101-400, and >400, respectively. The multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for all-cause mortality were 0.95 (0.53, 1.72), 1.87 (0.89, 3.90), and 3.05 (1.46, 6.39) for CAC scores of 1-100, 101-400, and >400, respectively, relative to a CAC score of 0. Compared with CAC ≤ 400, the HRs (95% CIs) for CAC > 400 were 6.46 (2.44, 17.15) and 1.94 (1.00, 3.76) in younger and older adults, respectively, indicating that age was a moderating variable (p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: High CAC scores were associated with increased all-cause mortality. Although older adult patients had higher risks of death, the relative risk of death for patients with CAC > 400 was more prominent in people younger than 65 years.

A risk scoring system to predict the risk of new-onset hypertension among patients with type 2 diabetes.

Hypertension (HTN), which frequently co-exists with diabetes mellitus, is the leading major cause of cardiovascular disease and death globally. This study aimed to develop and validate a risk scoring system considering the effects of glycemic and blood pressure (BP) variabilities to predict HTN incidence in patients with type 2 diabetes. This research is a retrospective cohort study that included 3416 patients with type 2 diabetes without HTN and who were enrolled in a managed care program in 2001-2015. The patients were followed up until April 2016, new-onset HTN event, or death. HTN was defined as diastolic BP (DBP) ≥ 90 mm Hg, systolic BP (SBP) ≥ 140 mm Hg, or the initiation of antihypertensive medication. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to develop the risk scoring system for HTN. Of the patients, 1738 experienced new-onset HTN during an average follow-up period of 3.40 years. Age, sex, physical activity, body mass index, type of DM treatment, family history of HTN, baseline SBP and DBP, variabilities of fasting plasma glucose, SBP, and DBP and macroalbuminuria were significant variables for the prediction of new-onset HTN. Using these predictors, the prediction models for 1-, 3-, and 5-year periods demonstrated good discrimination, with AUC values of 0.70-0.76. Our HTN scoring system for patients with type 2 DM, which involves innovative predictors of glycemic and BP variabilities, has good classification accuracy and identifies risk factors available in clinical settings for prevention of the progression to new-onset HTN.

Renal markers and risks of all cause and cardiovascular mortality from the Taichung community based cohort study.

This study aimed to explore the associations between renal-related and arterial stiffness biomarkers with all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in a general Taiwanese population. This prospective community-based cohort study included 4883 subjects aged ≥ 20 years who were followed up until December 31, 2016. Renal-related biomarkers consisted of blood urea nitrogen (BUN), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR). Arterial stiffness biomarker consisted of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV). The death status of the subjects was ascertained by matching information from death records with the identification number and date of birth of the subjects. Cox proportional hazard models with restricted cubic splines estimated the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for all-cause mortality and expanded CVD mortality. During a mean 8.3 years of follow up, 456 deaths were recorded, 146 of which were due to expanded CVD mortality. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios of all-cause mortality was 1.53 (95% CI 1.21-1.94) for BUN (≥ 20 mg/dL vs. < 20 mg/dL), 1.57 (1.15-2.14) for eGFR (< 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 vs. ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2), 1.55 (1.25-1.92) for UACR (≥ 30 mg/g vs. < 30 mg/g), and 1.75 (1.14-2.67) for baPWV (≥ 1400 cm/s vs. < 1400 cm/s). The expanded CVD mortality was 1.89 (95% CI 1.30-2.73) for BUN (≥ 20 mg/dL vs. < 20 mg/dL), 2.28 (1.13-4.57) for eGFR (< 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 vs. ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2), 2.13 (1.52-2.99) for UACR (≥ 25 mg/g vs. < 25 mg/g), and 15.73 (2.14-115.61) for baPWV (≥ 1400 cm/s vs. < 1400 cm/s). High levels of BUN, UACR, and baPWV and low levels of eGFR showed high risks with all-cause and expanded CVD mortality. Our study provides insights into screening tests to target populations at high risk of premature death due to CVD.

Three-year trajectories of metabolic risk factors predict subsequent long-term mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIM: This study aims to evaluate the associations between 3-year trajectories of metabolic risk factors and subsequent mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: A total of 6400 persons aged ≥ 30 years with type 2 diabetes and ≥ 3 years of follow-up period were included. The cluster analysis determined the patterns of 3-year trajectories, and Cox proportional hazards models evaluated the associations between patterns and mortality. RESULTS: Three trajectory subgroups of metabolic risk factors, namely, cluster 1, normal; cluster 2, high-stable or reducing with high level at baseline; and cluster 3, fluctuation: elevated and decreasing, were generated. The clusters 2 and 3 of body mass index (BMI), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), HbA1c, and triglyceride (TG) trajectories were associated with increased risks of all-cause mortality compared with cluster 1 (hazard ratio = 1.27, 95% confidence interval = 1.06-1.51 and 1.45, 1.19-1.78 for BMI; 1.41, 1.22-1.62 and 1.81, 1.38-2.38 for FPG; 1.42, 1.23-1.64 and 1.47, 1.23-1.75 for HbA1c; 1.34, 1.10-1.63 and 2.40, 1.30-4.37 for TG, respectively). For the systolic blood pressure trajectory, only cluster 3 was associated with an increased mortality risk relative to cluster 1 (1.76, 1.13-2.77). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term metabolic risk factor trajectories may be associated with subsequent mortality.

Interactions among IGF-1, AKT2, FOXO1, and FOXO3 variations and between genes and physical activities on physical performance in community-dwelling elders.

This study assessed the interactions among IGF-1, AKT2, FOXO1, and FOXO3 variations and the interactions of gene and physical activity on handgrip strength, arm muscle mass-adjusted handgrip (armGrip), gait speed (GS), timed up and go (TUG), and leg press strength (LPS). Nine single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) containing three IGF-1 SNPs (rs6214, rs5742692, and rs35767), two AKT2 SNPs (rs892119 and rs35817154), two FOXO1 SNPs (rs17446593 and rs10507486), and two FOXO3 SNPs (rs9480865 and rs2153960) were genotyped in 472 unrelated elders with a mean age of 73.8 years. We observed significant interactions of IGF-1 SNP rs6214 and rs35767 with regular physical activity on TUG and GS; and AKT2 SNP rs892119 and FOXO3 SNP rs9480865 with regular physical activity on armGrip. Genotype GG of IGF-1 rs6214 and rs35767 in individuals without regular physical activity had poor performance in TUG and GS, as well as GG of AKT2 rs892119 decreased armGrip in individuals without regular physical activity. After FDR adjustment, no significant gene-gene interactions were found. A sedentary lifestyle may increase the risk of impairing physical performance and regular physical activity is a remedy for sarcopenia, even a little regular physical activity can overcome carrying some risk alleles in this pathway.

Derivation and validation of a clinical prediction model for assessing the risk of lower extremity amputation in patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIM: This study aims to develop and validate a lower extremity amputation (LEA) risk score system in persons with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: A retrospective population-based cohort study was conducted among eligible 21,484 participants in the derivation set and 10,742 participants in the validation set who were enrolled in the Taiwan National Diabetes Care Management Program. The risk score system was developed following the steps proposed by the Framingham Heart Study with a Cox proportional hazards model algorithm. Discrimination ability was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic curve, and calibration was performed by Hosmer-Lemeshow test. RESULTS: A total of 504 patients developed LEA at an average follow-up of 7.4 years. The point scores were derived from 15 predictors as follows: age, gender, duration of type 2 diabetes, body mass index, HbA1c, triglyceride, eGFR, variation of fasting blood glucose, comorbidities of stroke, diabetes retinopathy, hypoglycemia and foot ulcer, anti-diabetes medication, and use of diuretics and nitrates. The c-statistics for predicting 3-, 5-, and 8-year LEA risks were 0.80 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76-0.83], 0.78 (0.75-0.81), and 0.76 (0.74-0.79) in the derivation set, respectively, and 0.81 (0.76-0.85), 0.77 (0.73-0.81), and 0.74 (0.71-0.77) in the validation set, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A new risk score for LEA was developed and validated in the clinical setting with good discriminatory ability. Poor glycemic control, glucose variation, comorbidities, and medication use were identified as predictive factors for LEA in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Subclinical Atherosclerosis Markers of Carotid Intima-Media Thickness, Carotid Plaques, Carotid Stenosis, and Mortality in Community-Dwelling Adults.

Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), plaque, and stenosis are widely used as early surrogate markers of subclinical atherosclerosis and strong predictors of future deaths and cardiovascular events. Albuminuria is an indicator of generalized endothelial dysfunction that speeds up atherosclerosis. However, previous studies reporting these associations cannot rule out the confounding effect of albuminuria. We aimed to examine the independent and joint relationships between IMT markers and 10-year mortality in community-dwelling Taiwanese adults. This work was a community-based prospective cohort study consisting of 2956 adults aged at least 30 years recruited in 2007 and followed up through 2019. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to examine associations of these subclinical atherosclerosis markers with mortality. During an average of 9.41 years of follow up, 242 deaths occurred. The mortality rate was 8.70 per 1000 person-years. Compared with those with carotid IMT less than 1.0 mm, persons with severely increased carotid IMT (≥2.0 mm) had an increased risk for death (hazard ratio (HR): 1.79; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07, 3.00). Compared with those without carotid plaque, persons with carotid plaque were more likely to have an increased risk for death (1.65; 1.21-2.32). Compared with those with carotid stenosis less than 25%, persons with carotid stenosis of 25-36% had a significant increased risk for death (1.57; 1.12-2.22). Considering these three IMT markers along with the traditional risk factors (c-statistic: 0.85) significantly increased their predictive ability of mortality compared with any individual variable's predictive ability (all p-values < 0.001 for comparisons of c-statistic values). Carotid IMT measures, including IMT thickness, carotid plaque, and carotid stenosis were significant independent predictors of mortality. Our study supports evidence of blood pressure-related media thickening markers to assess future mortality risks in Chinese adults of general population.

Dietary Macronutrient Intakes and Mortality among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

The best macronutrient percentages of dietary intake supporting longevity remains unclear. The strength of association between dietary intake and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) should be quantified as a basis for dietary recommendations. Our study cohort consisted of 15,289 type 2 diabetic patients aged 30 years and older in Taiwan during 2001-2014 and was followed up through 2016. Percentages of macronutrient intakes were calculated as dietary energy intake contributed by carbohydrate, protein, and fat, divided by the total energy intake using a 24 h food diary recall approach. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to examine the temporal relation of macronutrient intakes with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. The average follow-up time was 7.4 years, during which 2,784 adults with T2DM died. After multivariable adjustment, people with fourth and fifth quintiles of total energy, second and third quintiles of carbohydrate, and fourth quintiles of protein intakes were likely to have lower risks of all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. People with fifth quintiles of total energy intake were likely to have decreased non-expanded CVD mortality. We found a significant interaction between gender and fat intake on all-cause and expanded CVD mortality. Fat intake was associated with all-cause, expanded and non-expanded CVD mortality among males with T2DM. Total energy, carbohydrate, and protein intakes were associated with lower risks of all-cause and expanded CVD mortality, with minimal risks observed at ≥1673 Kcal total energy, 43-52% carbohydrate intake, and 15-16% protein intake among people with T2DM.

Plasma lipid concentrations and survival in geriatric population: A retrospective cohort study.

Plasma lipids in mid-life are important predictors for cardiovascular events and deaths. However, the association between plasma lipid concentrations and mortality in late life is controversial. Recent studies showed that older people with extremely low total cholesterol (TC) have poor survival outcome, but this conclusion was drawn mostly from Western cohorts. Our study investigated association between plasma lipid concentrations and mortality in Taiwanese elderly population.A retrospective cohort study was conducted among the 69,824 elderly people who participated in the Taipei City Geriatric Health Examination between 2006 and 2010, with a mean follow-up of 3.6 years. The measurements of TC, high density lipoprotein (HDL) and triglycerides were obtained from the records of the participants. Low density lipoprotein (LDL) was calculated using Friedewald formula in 69,088 participants. All lipid components were categorized into quartiles. Males and females were analyzed separately using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models.The elderly with the lowest quartile of TC (<175 mg/dL), HDL cholesterol (<43 mg/dL) and LDL cholesterol (<100.4 mg/dL) were at higher risk of all-cause mortality. Older females with the lowest quartile of TC and LDL cholesterol had higher cardiovascular mortality. Older females with the lowest quartile of HDL had higher mortality from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases.We concluded that TC, mostly attributed to LDL cholesterol, was inversely related to all-cause mortality. HDL remained to be protective against both cardiovascular and stroke mortality in older females. The target levels of plasma lipids in people older than 65 years should be different from that in younger adults.