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1.
Chaos ; 25(10): 103111, 2015 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26520077

RESUMEN

The spreading of an infectious disease can trigger human behavior responses to the disease, which in turn plays a crucial role on the spreading of epidemic. In this study, to illustrate the impacts of the human behavioral responses, a new class of individuals, S(F), is introduced to the classical susceptible-infected-recovered model. In the model, S(F) state represents that susceptible individuals who take self-initiate protective measures to lower the probability of being infected, and a susceptible individual may go to S(F) state with a response rate when contacting an infectious neighbor. Via the percolation method, the theoretical formulas for the epidemic threshold as well as the prevalence of epidemic are derived. Our finding indicates that, with the increasing of the response rate, the epidemic threshold is enhanced and the prevalence of epidemic is reduced. The analytical results are also verified by the numerical simulations. In addition, we demonstrate that, because the mean field method neglects the dynamic correlations, a wrong result based on the mean field method is obtained-the epidemic threshold is not related to the response rate, i.e., the additional S(F) state has no impact on the epidemic threshold.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/transmisión , Epidemias , Modelos Biológicos , Conducta Social , Humanos
2.
Chaos ; 24(4): 043106, 2014 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25554026

RESUMEN

The interplay between individual behaviors and epidemic dynamics in complex networks is a topic of recent interest. In particular, individuals can obtain different types of information about the disease and respond by altering their behaviors, and this can affect the spreading dynamics, possibly in a significant way. We propose a model where individuals' behavioral response is based on a generic type of local information, i.e., the number of neighbors that has been infected with the disease. Mathematically, the response can be characterized by a reduction in the transmission rate by a factor that depends on the number of infected neighbors. Utilizing the standard susceptible-infected-susceptible and susceptible-infected-recovery dynamical models for epidemic spreading, we derive a theoretical formula for the epidemic threshold and provide numerical verification. Our analysis lays on a solid quantitative footing the intuition that individual behavioral response can in general suppress epidemic spreading. Furthermore, we find that the hub nodes play the role of "double-edged sword" in that they can either suppress or promote outbreak, depending on their responses to the epidemic, providing additional support for the idea that these nodes are key to controlling epidemic spreading in complex networks.


Asunto(s)
Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Brotes de Enfermedades/estadística & datos numéricos , Dinámicas no Lineales , Apoyo Social , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles/métodos , Simulación por Computador , Conductas Relacionadas con la Salud , Humanos , Incidencia , Difusión de la Información/métodos , Modelos Estadísticos , Factores de Riesgo
3.
BMC Microbiol ; 13: 213, 2013 Sep 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24074304

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Dietzia natronolimnaea is one of the most important bacterial bioresources for high efficiency canthaxanthin production. It produces the robust and stable pigment canthaxanthin, which is of special interest for the development of integrated biorefineries. Mutagenesis employing 12C6+ irradiation is a novel technique commonly used to improve microorganism productivity. This study presents a promising route to obtaining the highest feasible levels of biomass dry weight (BDW), and total canthaxanthin by using a microdosimetric model of 12C6+ irradiation mutation in combination with the optimization of nutrient medium components. RESULTS: This work characterized the rate of both lethal and non-lethal dose mutations for 12C6+ irradiation and the microdosimetric kinetic model using the model organism, D. natronolimnaea svgcc1.2736. Irradiation with 12C6+ ions resulted in enhanced production of canthaxanthin, and is therefore an effective method for strain improvement of D. natronolimnaea svgcc1.2736. Based on these results an optimal dose of 0.5-4.5 Gy, Linear energy transfer (LET) of 80 keV µm-1and energy of 60 MeV u-1 for 12C6+ irradiation are ideal for optimum and specific production of canthaxanthin in the bacterium. Second-order empirical calculations displaying high R-squared (0.996) values between the responses and independent variables were derived from validation experiments using response surface methodology. The highest canthaxanthin yield (8.14 mg) was obtained with an optimized growth medium containing 21.5 g L-1 D-glucose, 23.5 g L-1 mannose and 25 ppm Mg2+ in 1 L with an irradiation dose of 4.5 Gy. CONCLUSIONS: The microdosimetric 12C6+ irradiation model was an effective mutagenic technique for the strain improvement of D. natronolimnaea svgcc1.2736 specifically for enhanced canthaxanthin production. At the very least, random mutagenesis methods using 12C6+ions can be used as a first step in a combined approach with long-term continuous fermentation processes. Central composite design-response surface methodologies (CCD-RSM) were carried out to optimize the conditions for canthaxanthin yield. It was discovered D-glucose, Mg2+ and mannose have significant influence on canthaxanthin biosynthesis and growth of the mutant strain.


Asunto(s)
Actinomycetales/efectos de los fármacos , Actinomycetales/efectos de la radiación , Cantaxantina/metabolismo , Carbono , Magnesio/metabolismo , Mutagénesis , Radiación , Actinomycetales/metabolismo , Cationes Bivalentes/metabolismo , Medios de Cultivo/química , Iones Pesados , Ingeniería Metabólica/métodos , Viabilidad Microbiana/efectos de la radiación
4.
World J Hepatol ; 14(11): 1953-1963, 2022 Nov 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36483605

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Asymptomatic infections and mild symptoms are common in patients infected with the Omicron variant, and data on liver test abnormalities are rare. AIM: To evaluated the clinical characteristics of asymptomatic and mild coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with abnormal liver test results. METHODS: This retrospective study included 661 laboratory-confirmed asymptomatic and mild COVID-19 patients who were treated in two makeshift hospitals in Ningbo from April 5, 2022 to April 29, 2022. Clinical information and viral shedding time were collected, and univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were performed in statistical analyses. RESULTS: Of the 661 patients, 83 (12.6%) had liver test abnormalities, and 6 (0.9%) had liver injuries. Abnormal liver tests revealed a reliable correlation with a history of liver disease (P < 0.001) and a potential correlation with male sex and obesity (P < 0.05). Elevated alanine aminotransferase was reliably associated with obesity (P < 0.05) and a history of liver disease (P < 0.001). Elevated aspartate transaminase (AST) was reliably correlated with a history of liver disease (P < 0.001), and potentially correlated with age over 30 years (P < 0.05). There was a reliable correlation between AST ≥ 2× the upper limit of normal and a longer viral shedding time, especially in mild cases. CONCLUSION: Obesity and a history of liver disease are risk factors for liver test abnormalities. Being male and an older age are potential risk factors. Attention should be given to liver tests in asymptomatic and mild COVID-19 patients, which has crucial clinical significance for evaluating the viral shedding time.

5.
Sci Rep ; 7(1): 5269, 2017 07 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28706197

RESUMEN

By defining a new measure to community structure, exclusive modularity, and based on cavity method of statistical physics, we develop a mathematically principled method to determine the completeness of community structure, which represents whether a partition that is either annotated by experts or given by a community-detection algorithm, carries complete information about community structure in the network. Our results demonstrate that the expert partition is surprisingly incomplete in some networks such as the famous political blogs network, indicating that the relation between meta-data and community structure in real-world networks needs to be re-examined. As a byproduct we find that the exclusive modularity, which introduces a null model based on the degree-corrected stochastic block model, is of independent interest. We discuss its applications as principled ways of detecting hidden structures, finding hierarchical structures without removing edges, and obtaining low-dimensional embedding of networks.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Redes Comunitarias , Modelos Teóricos , Características de la Residencia , Humanos
6.
PLoS One ; 9(1): e81424, 2014.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24454687

RESUMEN

Two-way selection is a common phenomenon in nature and society. It appears in the processes like choosing a mate between men and women, making contracts between job hunters and recruiters, and trading between buyers and sellers. In this paper, we propose a model of two-way selection system, and present its analytical solution for the expectation of successful matching total and the regular pattern that the matching rate trends toward an inverse proportion to either the ratio between the two sides or the ratio of the state total to the smaller group's people number. The proposed model is verified by empirical data of the matchmaking fairs. Results indicate that the model well predicts this typical real-world two-way selection behavior to the bounded error extent, thus it is helpful for understanding the dynamics mechanism of the real-world two-way selection system.


Asunto(s)
Conducta , Conducta de Elección , Modelos Psicológicos , Simulación por Computador , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados
7.
Biotechnol Biofuels ; 7(1): 22, 2014 Feb 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24533663

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Butyric acid as a renewable resource has become an increasingly attractive alternative to petroleum-based fuels. Clostridium tyrobutyricum ATCC 25755T is well documented as a fermentation strain for the production of acids. However, it has been reported that butyrate inhibits its growth, and the accumulation of acetate also inhibits biomass synthesis, making production of butyric acid from conventional fermentation processes economically challenging. The present study aimed to identify whether irradiation of C. tyrobutyricum cells makes them more tolerant to butyric acid inhibition and increases the production of butyrate compared with wild type. RESULTS: In this work, the fermentation kinetics of C. tyrobutyricum cultures after being classically adapted for growth at 3.6, 7.2 and 10.8 g·L-1 equivalents were studied. The results showed that, regardless of the irradiation used, there was a gradual inhibition of cell growth at butyric acid concentrations above 10.8 g·L-1, with no growth observed at butyric acid concentrations above 3.6 g·L-1 for the wild-type strain during the first 54 h of fermentation. The sodium dodecyl sulfate polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis also showed significantly different expression levels of proteins with molecular mass around the wild-type and irradiated strains. The results showed that the proportion of proteins with molecular weights of 85 and 106 kDa was much higher for the irradiated strains. The specific growth rate decreased by 50% (from 0.42 to 0.21 h-1) and the final concentration of butyrate increased by 68% (from 22.7 to 33.4 g·L-1) for the strain irradiated at 114 AMeV and 40 Gy compared with the wild-type strains. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that butyric acid production from glucose can be significantly improved and enhanced by using 12C6+ heavy ion-irradiated C. tyrobutyricum. The approach is economical, making it competitive compared with similar fermentation processes. It may prove useful as a first step in a combined method employing long-term continuous fermentation of acid-production processes.

8.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23496573

RESUMEN

In this paper, we study dynamical traffic light strategies in the Biham-Middleton-Levine traffic flow model. The strategies use local vehicular information to control urban traffic, which take into account the interaction of vehicles traveling in different directions via considering their dynamical spatial configuration. Simulations find out two strategies, in which local information at nearby sites is used. The two strategies perform much better than the alternating strategy. Under these two strategies, vehicles can self-organize into a new intermediate state with band structure. The analytical solutions of velocity of this state have been presented, which are in good agreement with simulations.


Asunto(s)
Automóviles/estadística & datos numéricos , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Almacenamiento y Recuperación de la Información/métodos , Modelos Estadísticos , Simulación por Computador
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