RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: A recent community-based disease management (CBDM) pilot study reported a 20.5% prevalence of hypertension and a 0.5 and 3.6% prevalence of stroke and coronary heart disease (CHD), respectively, in an elderly population (mean age 65 years) in the Xin Jiang autonomous region of China. The CBDM was initiated in 2013 as an essential public health service; however, the potential long-term impact of CBDM on cardiovascular (CV: CHD and stroke) events is unknown. The objective of the study was to understand the long-term impact of CBDM interventions on CV risk factors using disease-model simulation based on a single-arm experimental study. METHODS: A discrete event simulation was developed to evaluate the impact of CBDM on the long-term CV risk among patients with hypertension, in China's Xin Jiang autonomous region. The model generated pairs of identical patients; one receives CBDM and one does not (control group). Their clinical courses were simulated based on time to CV events (CHD and strokes), which are estimated using published risk equations. The impact of CBDM was incorporated as improvement in systolic blood pressure (SBP) based on observations from the CBDM study. The simulation estimated the number of CV events over patients' lifetimes. RESULTS: During a 2-year follow up, the CBDM led to an average reduction of 8.73 mmHg in SBP from baseline, and a 42% reduction in smoking. The discrete event simulation showed that, in the control group, the model estimated incidence rates of 276, 1789, and 616 per 100,000 individuals for lifetime CHD, stroke, and CV-related death, respectively. The impact of CBDM on SBP translated into reductions of 8, 28, and 23% in CHD, stroke, and CV-related deaths, respectively. Taking into account CBDM's reduction of both SBP and smoking, deaths from CHD, stroke, and CV-related deaths were reduced by 12, 30, and 26%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of CBDM in China's Xinjiang autonomous region is expected to significantly reduce incidences of CHD, strokes, and CV-related deaths.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/prevención & control , Servicios de Salud Comunitaria/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedad Coronaria/complicaciones , Hipertensión/complicaciones , Accidente Cerebrovascular/complicaciones , Anciano , Pueblo Asiatico/estadística & datos numéricos , Presión Sanguínea/fisiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , China/epidemiología , Simulación por Computador , Enfermedad Coronaria/epidemiología , Manejo de la Enfermedad , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Proyectos Piloto , Factores de Riesgo , Conducta de Reducción del Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
PURPOSE: It has been observed that patients on rivaroxaban require more heparin and frequent activated clotting time (ACT) monitoring throughout the catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation, but the strategy of heparin injection varies in different studies. We sought to examine the determinants of heparin dosage in Chinese patients on rivaroxaban. METHODS: We reviewed consecutive patients who received rivaroxaban before atrial fibrillation ablation and compared them to patients on no anticoagulant. The dosage of heparin required to achieve ACT > 300 s was evaluated. We then tested determinants of heparin dosage prospectively. RESULTS: There were 124 patients on rivaroxaban (R group) and 42 on no anticoagulant (NA group) in retrospective study. Heparin dosage required to achieve target ACT was 0.89 ± 0.01 mg/kg in R group and 0.60 ± 0.01 mg/kg in NA group, P < 0.05. The bolus heparin dosage required was 0.77 ± 0.01 mg/kg (96.1 ± 1.1 U/kg) when baseline ACT > 200 s. In the prospective study, 80/90(88.9%) of patients in R group and 79/90(87.8%) in NA group achieved an ACT > 300 s after initial bolus injection of heparin. The ACT 60 min after target ACT (ACT60) in R group was higher than that in NA group (287.5 ± 28.3 VS 238.9 ± 29.5, P < 0.05). Rivaroxaban was the only independent predictor of ACT60. There was no significant difference in ACT or heparin dosage in patients with different duration on or withdrawal of rivaroxaban. CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing atrial fibrillation ablation on rivaroxaban, the effective duration of heparin is prolonged and the procedural heparin requirement is significantly greater. Heparin dosage can be predicted by baseline ACT, but not influenced by duration on or withdrawal of rivaroxaban.