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BACKGROUND: Identifying lymph node metastasis areas during surgery for early invasive lung adenocarcinoma remains challenging. The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram mathematical model before the end of surgery for predicting lymph node metastasis in patients with early invasive lung adenocarcinoma. METHODS: In this study, we included patients with invasive lung adenocarcinoma measuring ≤ 2 cm who underwent pulmonary resection with definite pathology at Qilu Hospital of Shandong University from January 2020 to January 2022. Preoperative biomarker results, clinical features, and computed tomography characteristics were collected. The enrolled patients were randomized into a training cohort and a validation cohort in a 7:3 ratio. The training cohort was used to construct the predictive model, while the validation cohort was used to test the model independently. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors. The prediction model and nomogram were established based on the independent risk factors. Recipient operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the discrimination ability of the model. Calibration capability was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curves. The clinical utility of the nomogram was assessed using decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: The overall incidence of lymph node metastasis was 13.23% (61/461). Six indicators were finally determined to be independently associated with lymph node metastasis. These six indicators were: age (P < 0.001), serum amyloid (SA) (P = 0.008); carcinoma antigen 125 (CA125) (P = 0. 042); mucus composition (P = 0.003); novel aspartic proteinase of the pepsin family A (Napsin A) (P = 0.007); and cytokeratin 5/6 (CK5/6) (P = 0.042). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.843 (95% CI: 0.779-0.908) in the training cohort and 0.838 (95% CI: 0.748-0.927) in the validation cohort. the P-value of the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was 0.0613 in the training cohort and 0.8628 in the validation cohort. the bias of the training cohort corrected C-index was 0.8444 and the bias-corrected C-index for the validation cohort was 0.8375. demonstrating that the prediction model has good discriminative power and good calibration. CONCLUSIONS: The column line graphs created showed excellent discrimination and calibration to predict lymph node status in patients with ≤ 2 cm invasive lung adenocarcinoma. In addition, the predictive model has predictive potential before the end of surgery and can inform clinical decision making.
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Adenocarcinoma del Pulmón , Adenocarcinoma , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Adenocarcinoma/cirugía , Inmunohistoquímica , Metástasis Linfática , Nomogramas , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: In this study, we aimed to develop a multiparameter prediction model to improve the diagnostic accuracy of invasive adenocarcinoma in pulmonary pure glass nodules. METHOD: We included patients with pulmonary pure glass nodules who underwent lung resection and had a clear pathology between January 2020 and January 2022 at the Qilu Hospital of Shandong University. We collected data on the clinical characteristics of the patients as well as their preoperative biomarker results and computed tomography features. Thereafter, we performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify independent risk factors, which were then used to develop a prediction model and nomogram. We then evaluated the recognition ability of the model via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and assessed its calibration ability using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curves. Further, to assess the clinical utility of the nomogram, we performed decision curve analysis. RESULT: We included 563 patients, comprising 174 and 389 cases of invasive and non-invasive adenocarcinoma, respectively, and identified seven independent risk factors, namely, maximum tumor diameter, age, serum amyloid level, pleural effusion sign, bronchial sign, tumor location, and lobulation. The area under the ROC curve was 0.839 (95% CI: 0.798-0.879) for the training cohort and 0.782 (95% CI: 0.706-0.858) for the validation cohort, indicating a relatively high predictive accuracy for the nomogram. Calibration curves for the prediction model also showed good calibration for both cohorts, and decision curve analysis showed that the clinical prediction model has clinical utility. CONCLUSION: The novel nomogram thus constructed for identifying invasive adenocarcinoma in patients with isolated pulmonary pure glass nodules exhibited excellent discriminatory power, calibration capacity, and clinical utility.
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Adenocarcinoma , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias Pulmonares/cirugía , Modelos Estadísticos , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adenocarcinoma/diagnóstico por imagen , Adenocarcinoma/cirugía , NomogramasRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Prolonged air leak (PAL) remains one of the most frequent postoperative complications after pulmonary resection. This study aimed to develop a predictive nomogram to estimate the risk of PAL for individual patients after minimally invasive pulmonary resection. METHODS: Patients who underwent minimally invasive pulmonary resection for either benign or malignant lung tumors between January 2020 and December 2021 were included. All eligible patients were randomly assigned to the training cohort or validation cohort at a 3:1 ratio. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed to identify independent risk factors. All independent risk factors were incorporated to establish a predictive model and nomogram, and a web-based dynamic nomogram was then built based on the logistic regression model. Nomogram discrimination was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The calibration power was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curves. The nomogram was also evaluated for clinical utility by the decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: A total of 2213 patients were finally enrolled in this study, among whom, 341 cases (15.4%) were confirmed to have PAL. The following eight independent risk factors were identified through logistic regression: age, body mass index (BMI), smoking history, percentage of the predicted value for forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1% predicted), surgical procedure, surgical range, operation side, operation duration. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.7315 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.6979-0.7651] for the training cohort and 0.7325 (95% CI: 0.6743-0.7906) for the validation cohort. The P values of the Hosmer-Lemeshow test were 0.388 and 0.577 for the training and validation cohorts, respectively, with well-fitted calibration curves. The DCA demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful. An operation interface on a web page ( https://lirongyangql.shinyapps.io/PAL_DynNom/ ) was built to improve the clinical utility of the nomogram. CONCLUSION: The nomogram achieved good predictive performance for PAL after minimally invasive pulmonary resection. Patients at high risk of PAL could be identified using this nomogram, and thus some preventive measures could be adopted in advance.
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Nomogramas , Neumonectomía , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Neumonectomía/efectos adversos , Neumonectomía/métodos , Curva ROC , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
Background: This study aimed to construct a clinical prediction model and nomogram to differentiate invasive from non-invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma in solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs). Method: We analyzed computed tomography and clinical features as well as preoperative biomarkers in 1,106 patients with SPN who underwent pulmonary resection with definite pathology at Qilu Hospital of Shandong University between January 2020 and December 2021. Clinical parameters and imaging characteristics were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Predictive models and nomograms were developed and their recognition abilities were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The clinical utility of the nomogram was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). Result: The final regression analysis selected age, carcinoembryonic antigen, bronchus sign, lobulation, pleural adhesion, maximum diameter, and the consolidation-to-tumor ratio as associated factors. The areas under the ROC curves were 0.844 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.817-0.871) and 0.812 (95% CI, 0.766-0.857) for patients in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The predictive model calibration curve revealed good calibration for both cohorts. The DCA results confirmed that the clinical prediction model was useful in clinical practice. Bias-corrected C-indices for the training and validation cohorts were 0.844 and 0.814, respectively. Conclusion: Our predictive model and nomogram might be useful for guiding clinical decisions regarding personalized surgical intervention and treatment options.
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Background: Esophagectomy is the gold standard treatment for resectable esophageal cancer; however, there is insufficient evidence to indicate potential advantages over standard minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE) in treating thoracic esophageal cancer. Robot-assisted minimally invasive esophagectomy (RAMIE) bridges the gap between open and minimally invasive surgery. In this single-center retrospective review, we compare the clinical outcomes of EC patients treated with MIE and RAMIE. Method: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical data of patients with esophageal cancer who underwent surgery at Qilu Hospital between August 2020 and August 2022, including 159 patients who underwent MIE and 35 patients who received RAMIE. The intraoperative, postoperative, and preoperative patient characteristics in both groups were evaluated. Results: Except for height, the MIE and RAMIE groups showed no significant differences in preoperative features (P>0.05). Further, there were no significant differences in intraoperative indices, including TNM stage of the resected tumor, tumor tissue type, or ASA score, between the two groups. However, statistically significant differences were found in some factors; the RAMIE group had a shorter operative time, less intraoperative bleeding, and more lymph nodes removed compared to the MIE group. Patients in the RAMIE group reported less discomfort and greater chest drainage on the first postoperative day than patients in the MIE group; however, there were no differences in other features between the two datasets. Conclusion: By comparing the clinical characteristics and outcomes of RAMIE with MIE, this study verified the feasibility and safety of RAMIE for esophageal cancer. Overall, RAMIE resulted in more complete lymph node clearance, shorter operating time, reduced surgical hemorrhage, reduced postoperative discomfort, and chest drainage alleviation in patients. To investigate the function of RAMIE in esophageal cancer, we propose undertaking a future clinical trial with long-term follow-up to analyze tumor clearance, recurrence, and survival after RAMIE.
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Background: At present, how to identify the benign or malignant nature of small (≤ 2 cm) solitary pulmonary nodules (SPN) are an urgent clinical challenge. This retrospective study aimed to develop a clinical prediction model combining clinical and radiological characteristics for assessing the probability of malignancy in SPNs measuring ≤ 2 cm. Method: In this study, we included patients with SPNs measuring ≤ 2 cm who underwent pulmonary resection with definite pathology at Qilu Hospital of Shandong University from January 2020 to December 2021. Clinical features, preoperative biomarker results, and computed tomography characteristics were collected. The enrolled patients were randomized at a ratio of 7:3 into a training cohort of 775 and a validation cohort of 331. The training cohort was used to construct the predictive model, while the validation cohort was used to test the model independently. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors. The prediction model and nomogram were established based on the independent risk factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the identification ability of the model. The calibration power was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve. The clinical utility of the nomogram was also assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA). Result: A total of 1,106 patients were included in this study. Among them, the malignancy rate of SPNs was 85.08% (941/1,106). We finally identified the following six independent risk factors by logistic regression: age, carcinoembryonic antigen, nodule shape, calcification, maximum diameter, and consolidation-to-tumor ratio. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for the training cohort was 0.764 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.714-0.814), and the AUC for the validation cohort was 0.729 (95% CI: 0.647-0.811), indicating that the prediction accuracy of nomogram was relatively good. The calibration curve of the predictive model also demonstrated a good calibration in both cohorts. DCA proved that the clinical prediction model was useful in clinical practice. Conclusion: We developed and validated a predictive model and nomogram for estimating the probability of malignancy in SPNs measuring ≤ 2 cm. With the application of predictive models, thoracic surgeons can make more rational clinical decisions while avoiding overtreatment and wasting medical resources.
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BACKGROUND: An increasing number of patients are being diagnosed with synchronous multiple primary lung cancer (SMPLC) with the popularization of lung cancer screening programs. However, a strategy for accurate location and suitable surgery therapy is still lacking. The present study aimed to explore the accuracy and feasibility of electromagnetic navigation bronchoscopy (ENB)-guided thoracoscopic sublobectomy for stage IA SMPLC. METHODS: Patients with SMPLC who underwent ENB-guided sublobectomy from January 2020 to June 2022 were enrolled in this study. The analysis of localization accuracy of ENB and surgical outcome was conducted. RESULTS: Overall, 138 patients with 353 malignant nodules were enrolled. The tumor size was 0.7 cm (range from 0.5 to 1.1 cm). ENB localization was performed on 162 nodules, and a customized scoring system was developed to evaluate localization accuracy. The success rate of localization was 98.3% (178/181). Notably, localization accuracy was positively correlated with bronchial signs (p < 0.01) and negatively correlated with the distance from the nodule to the pleura (p = 0.02). All nodules were completely resected. Operation time, drainage volume on the third postoperative day, and catheter time were significantly correlated with the resected lesion numbers (p = 0.009, p = 0.004, and p = 0.01, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: ENB-guided uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic sublobectomy provides accurate preoperative localization and avoids unnecessary lung resection of patients with stage IA SMPLC. However, complete resection of multilocation nodules (more than four lesions) increases the risk of postoperative complications. A new combined treatment strategy for SMPLC should be explored.
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Neoplasias Pulmonares , Neoplasias Primarias Múltiples , Humanos , Broncoscopía , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patología , Cirugía Torácica Asistida por Video , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Neoplasias Primarias Múltiples/cirugíaRESUMEN
Background: The efficacy of sublobar resection and selective lymph node dissection is gradually being accepted by thoracic surgeons for patients within early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Nevertheless, there are still some NSCLC patients develop lymphatic metastasis at clinical T1 stage. Lung adenocarcinoma with a micropapillary (MP) component poses a higher risk of lymph node metastasis and recurrence even when the MP component is not predominant. Our study aimed to explore the genetic features and occult lymph node metastasis (OLNM) risk factors in patients with a non-predominant micropapillary component (NP-MPC) in a large of patient's cohort with surgically resected lung adenocarcinoma. Methods: Between January 2019 and December 2021, 6418 patients who underwent complete resection for primary lung adenocarcinoma at the Qilu Hospital of Shandong University. In our study, 442 patients diagnosed with lung adenocarcinoma with NP-MPC with a tumor size ≤3 cm were included. Genetic alterations were analyzed using amplification refractory mutation system-polymerase chain reaction (ARMS-PCR). Abnormal protein expression of gene mutations was validated using immunohistochemistry. A nomogram risk model based on clinicopathological parameters was developed to predict OLNM. This model was invalidated using the calibration plot and concordance index. Results: In our retrospective cohort, the incidence rate of the micropapillary component was 11.17%, and OLNM was observed in 20.13% of the patients in our study. ARMS-PCR suggested that EGFR exon 19 del was the most frequent alteration in NP-MCP patients compared with other gene mutations (frequency: 21.2%, P<0.001). Patients harboring exon 19 del showed significantly higher risk of OLNM (P< 0.001). A nomogram was developed based on five risk parameters, which showed good calibration and reliable discrimination ability (C-index = 0.84) for evaluating OLNM risk. Conclusions: Intense expression of EGFR exon 19 del characterizes lung adenocarcinoma in patients with NP-MCP and it's a potential risk factor for OLNM. We firstly established a nomogram based on age, CYFRA21-1 level, tumor size, micropapillary and solid composition, that was effective in predicting OLNM among NP-MCP of lung adenocarcinoma measuring ≤ 3 cm.