Prognostic Value of the Severity of Clinical Congestion in Patients Hospitalized for Decompensated Heart Failure: Findings From the Japanese KCHF Registry.

BACKGROUND: Congestion is a leading cause of hospitalization and a major therapeutic target in patients with heart failure (HF). Clinical practice in Japan is characterized by a long hospital stay, which facilitates more extensive decongestion during hospitalization. We herein examined the time course and prognostic impact of clinical congestion in a large contemporary Japanese cohort of HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Peripheral edema, jugular venous pressure, and orthopnea were graded on a standardized 4-point scale (0-3) in 3787 hospitalized patients in a Japanese cohort of HF. Composite Congestion Scores (CCS) on admission and at discharge were calculated by summing individual scores. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization. The median admission CCS was 4 (interquartile range, 3-6). Overall, 255 patients died during the median hospitalization length of 16 days, and 1395 died or were hospitalized for HF over a median postdischarge follow-up of 396 days. The cumulative 1-year incidence of the primary outcome increased at higher tertiles of congestion on admission (32.5%, 39.3%, and 41.0% in the mild [CCS ≤3], moderate [CCS = 4 or 5], and severe [CCS ≥6] congestion groups, respectively, log-rank P < .001). The adjusted hazard ratios of moderate and severe congestion relative to mild congestion were 1.205 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.065-1.365; P = .003) and 1.247 (95% CI, 1.103-1.410; P < .001), respectively. Among 3445 patients discharged alive, 85% had CCS of 0 (complete decongestion) and 15% had a CCS of 1 or more (residual congestion) at discharge. Although residual congestion predicted a risk of postdischarge death or HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.314 [1.145-1.509]; P < .001), the admission CCS correlated with the risk of postdischarge death or HF hospitalization, even in the complete decongestion group. No correlation was observed for postdischarge death or HF hospitalization between residual congestion at discharge and admission CCS (P for the interaction = .316). CONCLUSIONS: In total, 85% of patients were discharged with complete decongestion in Japanese clinical practice. Clinical congestion, on admission and at discharge, was of prognostic value. The severity of congestion on admission was predictive of adverse outcomes, even in the absence of residual congestion. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02334891 (NCT02334891) https://upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000017241 (UMIN000015238).

Sex Differences in Clinical Outcomes After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

BACKGROUND: There is a scarcity of studies comparing the clinical outcomes after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for women and men stratified by the presentation of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) or stable coronary artery disease (CAD).Methods and Results: The study population included 26,316 patients who underwent PCI (ACS: n=11,119, stable CAD: n=15,197) from the CREDO-Kyoto PCI/CABG registry Cohort-2 and Cohort-3. The primary outcome was all-cause death. Among patients with ACS, women as compared with men were much older. Among patients with stable CAD, women were also older than men, but with smaller difference. The cumulative 5-year incidence of all-cause death was significantly higher in women than in men in the ACS group (26.2% and 17.9%, log rank P<0.001). In contrast, it was significantly lower in women than in men in the stable CAD group (14.2% and 15.8%, log rank P=0.005). After adjusting confounders, women as compared with men were associated with significantly lower long-term mortality risk with stable CAD but not with ACS (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69-0.82, P<0.001, and HR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.84-1.01, P=0.07, respectively). There was a significant interaction between the clinical presentation and the mortality risk of women relative to men (interaction P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with men, women had significantly lower adjusted mortality risk after PCI among patients with stable CAD, but not among those with ACS.

Polypharmacy and Clinical Outcomes in Hospitalized Patients With Acute Decompensated Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Polypharmacy is a common problem among patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) who often have multiple comorbidities. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to define the number of medications at hospital discharge and whether it is associated with clinical outcomes at 1 year. METHODS: We evaluated the number of medications in 2578 patients with ADHF who were ambulatory at hospital discharge in the Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure Registry and compared 1-year outcomes in 4 groups categorized by quartiles of the number of medications (quartile 1, ≤ 5; quartile 2, 6-8; quartile 3, 9-11; and quartile 4, ≥ 12). RESULTS: At hospital discharge, the median number of medications was 8 (interquartile range, 6-11) with 81.5% and 27.8% taking more than 5 and more than 10 medications, respectively. The cumulative 1-year incidence of a composite of death or rehospitalization (primary outcome measure) increased incrementally with an increasing number of medications (quartile 1, 30.8%; quartile 2, 31.6%; quartile 3, 39.7%; quartile 4, 50.3%; P < .0001). After adjusting for confounders, the excess risks of quartile 4 relative to those of quartile 1 remained significant ( P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: In the contemporary cohort of patients with ADHF in Japan, polypharmacy at hospital discharge was common, and excessive polypharmacy was associated with a higher risk of mortality and rehospitalizations within a 1-year period. Collaborative disease management programs that include a careful review of medication lists and an appropriate deprescribing protocol should be implemented for these patients.

Starting Neurohormonal Antagonists in Patients With Acute Heart Failure With Mid-Range and Preserved Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: The clinical benefits of neurohormonal antagonists for patients with heart failure (HF) with mid-range and preserved ejection fraction (HFmrEF and HFpEF) are uncertain.Methods and Results: This study analyzed 858 consecutive patients with HFmrEF (EF: 40-49%) or HFpEF (EF ≥50%), who were hospitalized for acute HF, and who were discharged alive, and were not taking angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE)-I/ angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARB) or ß-blockers at admission. The study population was classified into 4 groups according to the status of prescription of ACE-I/ARB and ß-blocker at discharge: no neurohormonal antagonist (n=342, 39.9%), ACE-I/ARB only (n=128, 14.9%), ß-blocker only (n=189, 22.0%), and both ACE-I/ARB and ß-blocker (n=199, 23.2%) groups. The primary outcome measure was a composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization. The cumulative 1-year incidence of the primary outcome measure was 41.2% in the no neurohormonal antagonist group, 34.0% in the ACE-I/ARB only group, 28.6% in the ß-blocker only group, and 16.4% in the both ACE-I/ARB and ß-blocker group (P<0.001). Compared with the no neurohormonal antagonist group, both the ACE-I/ARB and ß-blocker groups were associated with a significantly lower risk for a composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization (HR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.28-0.76, P=0.002). CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized patients with HFmrEF and HFpEF, starting both ACE-I/ARB and a ß-blocker was associated with a reduced risk of the composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization compared with patients not starting on an ACE-I/ARB or ß-blocker.

Healed Plaques in Patients With Stable Angina Pectoris.

OBJECTIVE: Healed plaques, signs of previous plaque destabilization, are frequently found in the coronary arteries. Healed plaques can now be diagnosed in living patients. We investigated the prevalence, angiographic, and optical coherence tomography features of healed plaques in patients with stable angina pectoris. Approach and Results: Patients with stable angina pectoris who had undergone optical coherence tomography imaging were included. Healed plaques were defined as plaques with one or more signal-rich layers of different optical density. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on layered or nonlayered phenotype at the culprit lesion. Among 163 patients, 87 (53.4%) had layered culprit plaque. Patients with layered culprit plaque had more multivessel disease (62.1% versus 44.7%, P=0.027) and more angiographically complex culprit lesions (64.4% versus 35.5%, P<0.001). Layered culprit plaques had higher prevalence of lipid plaque (83.9% versus 64.5%, P=0.004), macrophage infiltration (58.6% versus 35.5%, P=0.003), calcifications (78.2% versus 63.2%, P=0.035), and thrombus (28.7% versus 14.5%, P=0.029). Lipid index (P=0.001) and percent area stenosis (P=0.015) were greater in the layered group. The number of nonculprit plaques, evaluated using coronary angiograms, tended to be greater in patients with layered culprit plaque (4.2±2.5 versus 3.5±2.1, P=0.053). Nonculprit plaques in patients with layered culprit lesion had higher prevalence of layered pattern (P=0.002) and lipid phenotype (P=0.005). Lipid index (P=0.013) and percent area stenosis (P=0.002) were also greater in this group. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with stable angina pectoris, healed culprit plaques are common and have more features of vulnerability and advanced atherosclerosis both at culprit and nonculprit lesions.

Overview of the 84th Annual Scientific Meeting of the Japanese Circulation Society　- Change Practice!

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the 84thAnnual Meeting of the Japanese Circulation Society (JCS) was held in a web-based format for the first time in its history as "The Week for JCS 2020" from Monday, July 27 to Sunday, August 2, 2020. All sessions, including general abstracts, were streamed live or on-demand. The main theme of the meeting was "Change Practice!" and the aim was to organize the latest findings in the field of cardiovascular medicine and discuss how to change practice. The total number of registered attendees was over 16,800, far exceeding our expectations, and many of the sessions were viewed by far more people than at conventional face-to-face scientific meetings. At this conference, the power of online information dissemination was fully demonstrated, and the evolution of online academic meetings will be a direction that cannot be reversed in the future. The meeting was completed with great success, and we express our heartfelt gratitude to all affiliates for their enormous amount of work, cooperation, and support.

Application of the Modified High Bleeding Risk Criteria for Japanese Patients in an All-Comers Registry of Percutaneous Coronary Intervention　- From the CREDO-Kyoto Registry Cohort-3.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of and expected bleeding event rate in patients with the Japanese version of high bleeding risk (J-HBR) criteria are currently unknown in real-world percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) practice.Methods and Results:We applied the J-HBR criteria in the multicenter CREDO-Kyoto registry cohort-3 that enrolled 13,258 consecutive patients who underwent first PCI. The J-HBR criteria included Japanese-specific major criteria such as heart failure, low body weight, peripheral artery disease and frailty in addition to the Academic Research Consortium (ARC)-HBR criteria. There were 8,496 patients with J-HBR, and 4,762 patients without J-HBR. The J-HBR criteria identified a greater proportion of patients with HBR than did ARC-HBR (64% and 48%, respectively). Cumulative incidence of the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) type 3 or 5 bleeding was significantly higher in the J-HBR group than in the no-HBR group (14.0% vs. 4.1% at 1 year; 23.1% vs. 8.4% at 5 years, P<0.0001). Cumulative 5-year incidence of BARC 3/5 bleeding was 25.1% in patients with ARC-HBR, and 23.1% in patients with J-HBR. Cumulative incidence of myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke was also significantly higher in the J-HBR group than in the no-HBR group (6.9% vs. 3.6% at 1 year; 13.2% vs. 7.1% at 5 years, P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The J-HBR criteria successfully identified those patients with very high bleeding risk after PCI, who represented 64% of patients in this all-comers registry.

Determinants of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction as clinical presentation of acute coronary syndrome.

Antiplatelet agents and statin therapies are widely used in patients with known cardiovascular disease. Plaque rupture (PR) and plaque erosion (PE) are the most frequent underlying mechanisms of acute coronary syndromes (ACS). The conditions and medications that are associated with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) following PR or PE have not been systematically studied. A total of 838 ACS patients (494 with STEMI, 344 with NSTE-ACS) who were diagnosed with PR or PE by optical coherence tomography were included. The patients were categorized into two groups based on underlying pathology, and the baseline characteristics and culprit plaque morphology associated with STEMI were investigated within each group. Among 838 patients, 467 (55.7%) had PR, and 371 (44.3%) were diagnosed with PE. Among patients with PR, older age, hyperlipidemia, no antiplatelet therapy, higher level of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and greater lipid burden and macrophage infiltration were associated with increased probability of STEMI. Among patients with PE, no dual antiplatelet therapy and no statin therapy were associated with increased probability of STEMI. The incidence of STEMI caused by PR was significantly lower on antiplatelet therapy (P < 0.001), and the incidence of STEMI caused by PE was significantly lower on antiplatelet therapy (P < 0.001) or on statin therapy (P < 0.001). Antiplatelet therapy is associated with lower probability of STEMI, regardless of underlying pathology, and statin therapy is associated with lower probability of STEMI in PE as clinical presentation of ACS. Statin therapy prior to the onset of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) may reduce the probability of plaque rupture. Antiplatelet therapy prior to the onset of ACS is associated with reduced probability of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) following both plaque rupture and plaque erosion, and dual antiplatelet therapy offers additional protection compared to a single antiplatelet agent in plaque erosion. The combination of statin and antiplatelet therapy may have an additive effect on reducing the probability of STEMI caused by plaque erosion. Yellow: lipid pool(necrotic core); red: fibrin-rich thrombus; gray; platelet-rich thrombus.

Relative risk of plaque erosion among different age and sex groups in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

Postmortem studies reported plaque erosion is frequent in young women. Recent in vivo studies failed to show age and sex differences in the plaque erosion prevalence. The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of plaque erosion by age and sex among acute coronary syndromes (ACS) patients. From 1699 ACS patients, 1083 with plaque erosion or rupture were analyzed. Patients were categorized as 5 age groups (≤ 50, 51-60, 61-70, 71-80, ≥ 81 years). Overall prevalence of plaque erosion was similar between males and females (p = 0.831). Males age ≤ 50 had higher (p = 0.018) and age 71-80 had lower (p = 0.006) prevalence of plaque erosion. Females age 61-70 had higher (p = 0.021) and age 71-80 had lower (p = 0.045) prevalence of plaque erosion. In advanced age groups (≥ 71 years), rupture was the dominant etiology in both sexes. In multivariate analysis of males, age ≤ 50 demonstrated a trend to increase (OR 1.418, 95% CI 0.961-2.093, p = 0.078) the erosion risk. Females age ≤ 70 independently increased (OR 2.138, 95% CI 1.249-3.661, p = 0.006) the risk for erosion. The prevalence of plaque erosion was similar between males and females. Plaque erosion risk was increased in the males age ≤ 50 and in the females age ≤ 70 among ACS patients.

Three-Dimensional Fibrous Cap Structure of Coronary Lipid Plaque　- ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction vs. Stable Angina.

BACKGROUND: Fibrous cap thickness (FCT) is one of the key features of coronary vulnerable plaque. FCT is measured at an arbitrary point, determined on visual assessment of 2-D cross-sectional imaging. This method has poor reproducibility. The aim of this study was to compare the 3-D structure of FC in non-culprit lipid plaques between patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and with stable angina (SA) on optical coherence tomography. Methods and Results: A total of 54 non-culprit plaques from 23 STEMI and 23 SA patients were evaluated. Thin cap fibroatheroma (TCFA), defined as lipid plaque with FCT <80 µm, was identified using a novel algorithm. The number of TCFA, surface area of each TCFA, and the sum total area of TCFA in the target vessel were measured. Patients with STEMI had a greater median number of TCFA (9, IQR 1-17 vs. 2, IQR 0-5; P=0.002), the largest median single TCFA area (0.40, IQR 0.14-0.69 vs. 0.08, IQR 0.04-0.16 mm2; P<0.001) and median sum total area of TCFA (1.04, IQR 0.41-1.95 vs. 0.24, IQR 0.08-0.48 mm2, P<0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with STEMI, as compared with those with SA, have greater vulnerability to non-culprit plaque.

A novel guidewire-integrated embolic protection filter device with a handy-folding system: In vitro and in vivo performance assessment.

OBJECTIVES: We developed a novel guidewire-integrated filter device with a handy-folding system (IFD: Inoue filter device). In vitro and in vivo studies were conducted to evaluate the feasibilityof the IFD. BACKGROUND: Although distal atheromatous and thrombotic embolizations remain unresolved critical issues during catheter interventions, distal protection devices are infrequently used partly because of reduced lower maneuverability. METHODS: In the in vitro experiment, we created an experimental circulation model composed of silicone latex tubes, a reservoir, and a roller pump. After the filter device was deployed in the tube, polystyrene fluorescent microspheres were injected and the capture rate was calculated. Ten trials were performed using the IFD and Spider FX. In the in vivo study, five independent operators deployed, and they retrieved the IFD in swine common iliac and internal carotid arteries. The procedural success rate as well as the delivery and retrieval time was evaluated. RESULTS: In the in vitro study, the mean capture rate was 94% and 35% in the IFD and Spider groups, respectively. In the in vivo study, all procedures were successful, with no complications. The mean delivery time was 281 ± 87 s and 194 ± 67 s and the mean retrieval time was 24 ± 9 and 13 ±1 s in the left internal carotid and the left common iliac arteries, respectively. CONCLUSION: Although further studies and improvements are required, the study results indicate that the IFD is feasible.

Demographics, Management, and In-Hospital Outcome of Hospitalized Acute Heart Failure Syndrome Patients in Contemporary Real Clinical Practice in Japan　- Observations From the Prospective, Multicenter Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure (KCHF) Registry.

BACKGROUND: There is a scarcity of reports on the clinical characteristics and management practice in contemporary all-comer patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). Methods and Results: The Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure (KCHF) registry is a prospective observational cohort study enrolling 4,056 consecutive patients who had hospital admission due to ADHF without any exclusion criteria between October 2014 and March 2016 in the 19 participating hospitals in Japan. Baseline characteristics, clinical presentations, management, and in-hospital outcomes were compared between heart failure (HF) with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF; HFrEF, LVEF <40%), HF with mid-range LVEF (HFmrEF, LVEF 40-49%), and HF with preserved LVEF (HFpEF, LVEF ≥50%). Of the 4,041 patients with documented LVEF, 1,744 (43%) had HFpEF; 746 (19%), HFmrEF; and 1,551 (38%), HFrEF. The median age was 80 years (IQR, 72-86 years) in the entire population, and was higher with increasing LVEF (P<0.001). The in-hospital mortality rate was higher in the HFrEF than in the HFmrEF and HFpEF groups (9.2%, 4.8%, and 5.1%, respectively, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This registry elucidated the clinical features and clinically relevant in-hospital outcomes in contemporary consecutive patients with ADHF in real-world clinical practice in Japan. When classified by LVEF, significant differences in characteristics and in-hospital outcomes existed between patients with HFrEF, HFmrEF, and HFpEF.

Effective anti-thrombotic therapy without stenting: intravascular optical coherence tomography-based management in plaque erosion (the EROSION study).

AIMS: Plaque erosion, compared with plaque rupture, has distinctly different underlying pathology and therefore may merit tailored therapy. In this study, we aimed to assess whether patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) caused by plaque erosion might be stabilized by anti-thrombotic therapy without stent implantation. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a single-centre, uncontrolled, prospective, proof-of concept study. Patients with ACS including ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction were prospectively enrolled. If needed, aspiration thrombectomy was performed. Patients diagnosed with plaque erosion by optical coherence tomography (OCT) and residual diameter stenosis <70% on coronary angiogram were treated with anti-thrombotic therapy without stenting. OCT was repeated at 1 month and thrombus volume was measured. The primary endpoint was >50% reduction of thrombus volume at 1 month compared with baseline. The secondary endpoint was a composite of cardiac death, recurrent ischaemia requiring revascularization, stroke, and major bleeding. Among 405 ACS patients with analysable OCT images, plaque erosion was identified in 103 (25.4%) patients. Sixty patients enrolled and 55 patients completed the 1-month follow-up. Forty-seven patients (47/60, 78.3%; 95% confidence interval: 65.8-87.9%) met the primary endpoint, and 22 patients had no visible thrombus at 1 month. Thrombus volume decreased from 3.7 (1.3, 10.9) mm3 to 0.2 (0.0, 2.0) mm3. Minimal flow area increased from 1.7 (1.4, 2.4) mm2 to 2.1 (1.5, 3.8) mm2. One patient died of gastrointestinal bleeding, and another patient required repeat percutaneous coronary intervention. The rest of the patients remained asymptomatic. CONCLUSION: For patients with ACS caused by plaque erosion, conservative treatment with anti-thrombotic therapy without stenting may be an option.

QRS Score at Presentation Electrocardiogram Is Correlated With Infarct Size and Mortality in ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Patients Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

BACKGROUND: In ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), QRS score at presentation ECG may reflect the progression of infarction and facilitate prediction of the degree of myocardial salvage achieved by reperfusion therapy.Methods and Results:Admission electrocardiogram (ECG) was studied in 2,607 patients with STEMI undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) within 24 h of symptom onset. Patients were classified into 3 groups according to QRS score: low (0-3, n=1,227), intermediate (4-7, n=810), and high (≥8, n=570). An increase of infarct size estimated by median peak creatine phosphokinase was observed as QRS score increased (low score, 1,836 IU/L; inter-quartile range (IQR), 979-3,190 IU/L; intermediate score, 2,488 IU/L; IQR, 1,126-4,640 IU/L; high score, 3,454 IU/L; IQR, 1,759-5,639 IU/L; P<0.001). Higher QRS score was associated with higher long-term mortality (low, intermediate, and high score, 15.6%, 19.7%, and 23.7% at 5 years, respectively; log-rank P<0.001). The positive relationship of QRS score with mortality was consistently seen when stratified by infarct location. The association of high QRS score with increased mortality was most remarkably seen in patients with early (≤2 h) presentation (low, intermediate, and high score: 16.7%, 16.6%, and 28.1% at 5 years, respectively; log-rank P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Higher QRS score at presentation ECG was associated with larger infarct size, and higher long-term mortality in patients with STEMI undergoing primary PCI. QRS score appears to be important in the early risk stratification for STEMI.

First clinical experience of the looped Inoue balloon technique for antegrade percutaneous balloon aortic valvuloplasty.

Balloon aortic valvuloplasty (BAV) has played a limited role in the management of patients with severe aortic stenosis. However, BAV is being performed more frequently these days with the emergence of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). We previously described a technique named "looped Inoue balloon technique" to simplify the antegrade transvenous BAV by making a loop in the left atrium using two stylets. We present a case in which the looped Inoue balloon technique was successfully applied. The patient was an 83-year-old woman with progressive dyspnea due to severe aortic stenosis. The aortic valve area was 0.39 cm(2) with a mean transvalvular gradient of 46 mmHg. The patient was deemed high risk for surgical aortic valve replacement or TAVI in view of the multiple comorbidities and frailty. Antegrade BAV using the looped Inoue balloon technique was performed. The procedure was successful without any complications. The post procedural aortic valve area increased to 1.15 cm(2) with a mean pressure gradient of 23 mmHg. This is the first report of clinical use of the looped Inoue balloon technique for antegrade BAV.

Development of interpretable machine learning models to predict in-hospital prognosis of acute heart failure patients.

AIMS: In recent years, there has been remarkable development in machine learning (ML) models, showing a trend towards high prediction performance. ML models with high prediction performance often become structurally complex and are frequently perceived as black boxes, hindering intuitive interpretation of the prediction results. We aimed to develop ML models with high prediction performance, interpretability, and superior risk stratification to predict in-hospital mortality and worsening heart failure (WHF) in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on the Kyoto Congestive Heart Failure registry, which enrolled 4056 patients with AHF, we developed prediction models for in-hospital mortality and WHF using information obtained on the first day of admission (demographics, physical examination, blood test results, etc.). After excluding 16 patients who died on the first or second day of admission, the original dataset (n = 4040) was split 4:1 into training (n = 3232) and test datasets (n = 808). Based on the training dataset, we developed three types of prediction models: (i) the classification and regression trees (CART) model; (ii) the random forest (RF) model; and (iii) the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model. The performance of each model was evaluated using the test dataset, based on metrics including sensitivity, specificity, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Brier score, and calibration slope. For the complex structure of the XGBoost model, we performed SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis, classifying patients into interpretable clusters. In the original dataset, the proportion of females was 44.8% (1809/4040), and the average age was 77.9 ± 12.0. The in-hospital mortality rate was 6.3% (255/4040) and the WHF rate was 22.3% (900/4040) in the total study population. In the in-hospital mortality prediction, the AUC for the XGBoost model was 0.816 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.815-0.818], surpassing the AUC values for the CART model (0.683, 95% CI: 0.680-0.685) and the RF model (0.755, 95% CI: 0.753-0.757). Similarly, in the WHF prediction, the AUC for the XGBoost model was 0.766 (95% CI: 0.765-0.768), outperforming the AUC values for the CART model (0.688, 95% CI: 0.686-0.689) and the RF model (0.713, 95% CI: 0.711-0.714). In the XGBoost model, interpretable clusters were formed, and the rates of in-hospital mortality and WHF were similar among each cluster in both the training and test datasets. CONCLUSIONS: The XGBoost models with SHAP analysis provide high prediction performance, interpretability, and reproducible risk stratification for in-hospital mortality and WHF for patients with AHF.

A novel device for antegrade percutaneous balloon aortic valvuloplasty: feasibility of the looped Inoue balloon technique in swine model.

OBJECTIVES: The study aimed to assess the feasibility of a novel device and technique for antegrade percutaneous balloon aortic valvuloplasty (BAV) in a swine model. BACKGROUND: BAV is currently being applied more frequently compared to the past with the advent of transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Although the antegrade BAV approach offers several advantages over the retrograde approach, the antegrade approach is technically more complicated and demanding. METHODS: We developed a novel balloon catheter and a technique to simplify the antegrade BAV. The balloon catheter was designed to make a loop in left atrium by inserting two different sized stylets. The balloon catheter was easily dropped into the left ventricle via the mitral valve while maintaining the loop. The balloon catheter was advanced to the ascending aorta by holding the two stylets. Then, the balloon was inflated. We named the technique as the looped Inoue balloon technique. The feasibility of the looped Inoue balloon technique was assessed in a healthy swine with a body weight of 40 kg by four independent operators. Every operator conducted the procedure twice. RESULTS: The procedural success rate was 100% in all operators. The average procedure time was 170 ± 35 sec. No procedure related complications were noted. CONCLUSIONS: The study results indicate that the antegrade BAV using the looped Inoue balloon technique is feasible and may simplify the antegrade approach.

Association of intravenous heparin administration with in-hospital clinical outcomes among hospitalized patients with acute heart failure.

BACKGROUNDS: Patients with acute heart failure (AHF) possess a high risk for thromboembolism, and thromboembolism prophylaxis using heparin has been recommended by the guidelines. METHODS: Among 4056 patients enrolled in the KCHF Registry, the current study population consisted of 2525 patients after excluding patients with acute coronary syndrome and oral anticoagulants on admission and those with mechanical circulatory supports. There were 789 patients (31%) with heparin administration within 24 h after admission, and 1736 patients (69%) without. RESULTS: The baseline characteristics included mean age: 78 ± 13 years, New York Heart Association class IV: 51%, ischemic etiology: 30%, atrial fibrillation: 31% and mean left ventricular ejection fraction: 45%. During median hospitalization length of 16 days, 161 patients had all-cause death, 34 patients developed ischemic stroke, and 48 patients developed major bleeding. Multivariable logistic regression analyses demonstrated that heparin administration compared with no heparin administration was not associated with a lower risk for all-cause death (OR: 1.39, 95%CI: 0.90-2.15; P = 0.14), nor for ischemic stroke (OR: 1.14, 95%CI: 0.53-2.43; P = 0.74), but was associated with a higher risk for major bleeding (OR: 2.88, 95%CI: 1.54-5.41; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with AHF, heparin administration within 24 h after admission was not associated with a lower risk of all-cause death and ischemic stroke, but was associated with a higher risk of major bleeding during hospitalization. Our study raises questions about the routine use of heparin for thromboembolism prophylaxis in hospitalized patients with AHF. Further studies are warranted to address the utility of anticoagulant therapy in these patients.