Prognostic Value of Cardiovascular Biomarkers in the Population.

Importance: Identification of individuals at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease within the population is important to inform primary prevention strategies. Objective: To evaluate the prognostic value of routinely available cardiovascular biomarkers when added to established risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-level analysis including data on cardiovascular biomarkers from 28 general population-based cohorts from 12 countries and 4 continents with assessments by participant age. The median follow-up was 11.8 years. Exposure: Measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, B-type natriuretic peptide, or high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, which included all fatal and nonfatal events. The secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction. Subdistribution hazard ratios (HRs) for the association of biomarkers and outcomes were calculated after adjustment for established risk factors. The additional predictive value of the biomarkers was assessed using the C statistic and reclassification analyses. Results: The analyses included 164 054 individuals (median age, 53.1 years [IQR, 42.7-62.9 years] and 52.4% were women). There were 17 211 incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events. All biomarkers were significantly associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (subdistribution HR per 1-SD change, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.11-1.16] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.23] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T; 1.21 [95% CI, 1.18-1.24] for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; 1.14 [95% CI, 1.08-1.22] for B-type natriuretic peptide; and 1.14 [95% CI, 1.12-1.16] for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) and all secondary outcomes. The addition of each single biomarker to a model that included established risk factors improved the C statistic. For 10-year incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in younger people (aged <65 years), the combination of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein resulted in a C statistic improvement from 0.812 (95% CI, 0.8021-0.8208) to 0.8194 (95% CI, 0.8089-0.8277). The combination of these biomarkers also improved reclassification compared with the conventional model. Improvements in risk prediction were most pronounced for the secondary outcomes of heart failure and all-cause mortality. The incremental value of biomarkers was greater in people aged 65 years or older vs younger people. Conclusions and Relevance: Cardiovascular biomarkers were strongly associated with fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events and mortality. The addition of biomarkers to established risk factors led to only a small improvement in risk prediction metrics for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but was more favorable for heart failure and mortality.

Tirzepatide and blood pressure reduction: stratified analyses of the SURMOUNT-1 randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Treating obesity may be a pathway to prevent and control hypertension. In the SURMOUNT-1 trial in people with obesity or overweight with weight-related complications, 72-week tirzepatide treatment led to clinically meaningful body weight and blood pressure reduction. Post hoc analyses were conducted to further explore the effects of tirzepatide on the pattern of blood pressure reduction and whether the effects were consistent across various subgroups. METHODS: The mixed effect for repeated measure model was used to compare changes in overall blood pressure, across demographic and clinical subgroups, baseline blood pressure subgroups and hypertension categories between SURMOUNT-1 participants randomised to treatment with tirzepatide and placebo. The association between weight changes and blood pressure and adverse events associated with low blood pressure were also evaluated by mediation analysis. RESULTS: Tirzepatide treatment was associated with a rapid decline in systolic and diastolic blood pressure over the first 24 weeks, followed by blood pressure stabilisation until the end of the observation period, resulting in a significant net reduction by 72 weeks of 6.8 mm Hg systolic and 4.2 mm Hg diastolic blood pressure versus placebo. Participants randomly assigned to any tirzepatide group were more likely than those assigned to placebo to have normal blood pressure at week 72 (58.0% vs 35.2%, respectively). The effects were broadly consistent across baseline blood pressure subgroups, shifting the blood pressure distribution curve to lower blood pressure levels. The mediation analysis indicated that weight loss explained 68% of the systolic and 71% of the diastolic blood pressure reduction. Low blood pressure adverse events were infrequent, but the rate was higher in the tirzepatide group. CONCLUSIONS: In these post hoc analyses, in participants with obesity or overweight, tirzepatide was associated with reduced blood pressure consistently across participant groups primarily via weight loss, with relatively few blood pressure-related adverse events. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04184622.

Intensive Blood Pressure Lowering in Individuals With Low Diastolic Blood Pressure and Elevated Troponin Levels in SPRINT.

BACKGROUND: Among individuals with hypertension and low diastolic blood pressure (DBP), the optimal BP target remains controversial due to concerns that BP lowering may reduce coronary perfusion. We determined the impact of intensive BP control among individuals with elevated systolic BP who have low DBP and elevated hs-cTnT (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T) levels. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 8828 participants in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) were stratified by baseline DBP. Those with low DBP (<70 mm Hg) were further stratified by elevated hs-cTnT (≥14 ng/L) at baseline. The effects of intensive versus standard BP lowering on a cardiovascular disease composite end point, all-cause death, and 1-year change in hs-cTnT were determined. The combination of low DBP/high hs-cTnT was independently associated with a higher risk for cardiovascular disease and all-cause death, as well as greater 1-year increases in hs-cTnT, compared with DBP ≥70 mm Hg. However, randomization to intensive versus standard BP lowering led to similar reductions in cardiovascular disease risk among individuals with low DBP/high hs-cTnT (hazard ratio [HR], 0.82 [95% CI, 0.57-1.19]), low DBP/low hs-cTnT (HR, 0.48 [95% CI, 0.29-0.79]), and DBP ≥70 mm Hg (HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.60-0.89]; P for interaction=0.20). Intensive BP lowering also led to a reduction in all-cause death that was similar across groups (P for interaction=0.57). CONCLUSIONS: In this nonprespecified subgroup analysis of SPRINT, individuals with low DBP and elevated hs-cTnT, low DBP and nonelevated hs-cTnT, and DBP ≥70 mm Hg derived similar cardiovascular disease and mortality benefits from intensive BP lowering. These findings warrant confirmation in other studies.

National Variation in Hospital MTEER Outcomes and Correlation With TAVR Outcomes: STS/ACC TVT Registry Analysis.

BACKGROUND: A single, multitiered valve center designation has been proposed to publicly identify centers with expertise for all valve therapies. The correlation between transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and mitral transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (MTEER) procedures is unknown. OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to examine the relationship between site-level volumes and outcomes for TAVR and MTEER. We further explored variability between sites for MTEER outcomes. METHODS: Using the STS/ACC TVT (Society of Thoracic Surgeons/American College of Cardiology Transcatheter Valve Therapy) national registry, TAVR and MTEER procedures at sites offering both therapies from 2013 to 2022 were examined. Sites were ranked into deciles of adjusted in-hospital and 30-day outcomes separately for TAVR and MTEER and compared. Stepwise, hierarchical multivariable models were constructed for MTEER outcomes, and the median OR was calculated. RESULTS: Between 2013 and 2022, 384,394 TAVRs and 53,274 MTEERs (median annualized volumes: 93.6 and 18.8, respectively) were performed across 453 U.S. sites. Annualized TAVR and MTEER volumes were moderately correlated (r = 0.48; P < 0.001). After adjustment, 14.3% of sites had the same decile rank for TAVR and MTEER 30-day composite outcome, 50.6% were within 2 decile ranks; 35% had more discordant outcomes for the 2 procedures (P = 0.0005). For MTEER procedures, the median OR for the 30-day composite outcome was 1.57 (95% CI: 1.51-1.64), indicating a 57% variability in outcome by site. CONCLUSIONS: There is modest correlation between hospital-level volumes for TAVR and MTEER but low interprocedural correlation of outcomes. For similar patients, site-level variability for mortality/morbidity following MTEER was high. Factors influencing outcomes and "centers of excellence" as a whole may differ for TAVR and MTEER.

Novel plasma biomarkers of coronary artery calcium incidence or progression: Insights from the prospective multi-ethnic Dallas Heart Study cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Identifying the association of novel plasma biomarkers with coronary artery calcium (CAC) incidence or progression may provide insights into the pathophysiology of atherogenesis and plaque formation. METHODS: Participants of the Dallas Heart Study (DHS), a multi-ethnic cohort of ambulatory individuals at low-intermediate risk for future atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), who had their blood tested for 31 biomarkers reflecting multiple pathophysiological pathways, underwent 2 serial non-contrast computed tomography assessments for CAC a median ∼7 years apart. The collected biomarkers were explored for association with CAC incidence or progression using univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1424 participants were included; mean age 43 years, 39 % male, and nearly half African-American. Over a 7-year interval between the two CAC measurements, 340 participants (23.9 %) had CAC incidence or progression, 105 (7.4 %) with incident CAC, and 309 (21.7 %) with CAC progression. Although several plasma biomarkers were associated with CAC incidence or progression in a univariate model, only soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (sICAM-1), related to atherosclerosis by the inflammatory pathway, remained independently associated in a multivariate model adjusted for traditional risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Further studies are needed to characterize the role of sICAM-1 in CAC evolvement to establish whether it has a pivotal mechanistic contribution or is rather an innocent bystander. Alternate measures of coronary atherosclerosis may be needed to elucidate contributors to atherosclerosis incidence or progression.

Associations Between Cardiac Function and Brain Health in Diverse Middle-Aged Adults: The Dallas Heart Study-2.

Background: Previous studies have linked cardiovascular risk factors during midlife to cognitive function in later life. However, few studies have looked at the association between cardiac function, brain structure, and cognitive function and even less have included diverse middle-aged populations. Objectives: The objective of this study was to determine associations between cardiac and brain structure and function in a multiethnic cohort of middle-aged adults. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted in participants of the Dallas Heart Study phase 2 (N = 1,919; 46% Black participants). Left ventricular (LV) mass, LV ejection fraction, LV concentricity, and peak systolic strain (LV Ecc) were assessed by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. White matter hyperintensities (WMH) volume was measured by fluid attenuated inversion recovery magnetic resonance imaging. The Montreal Cognitive Assessment was used to measure cognitive functioning. Associations between cardiac and brain measures were determined using multivariable linear regression after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors, education level, and physical activity. Results: LV ejection fraction was associated with total Montreal Cognitive Assessment score (ß = 0.06 [95% CI: 0.003-0.12], P = 0.042) and LV Ecc was associated with WMH volume (ß = 0.08 [95% CI: 0.01-0.14], P = 0.025) in the overall cohort without significant interaction by race/ethnicity. Higher LV mass and concentricity were associated with larger WMH volume in the overall cohort (ß = 0.13 [95% CI: 0.03-0.23], P = 0.008 and 0.10 [95% CI: 0.03-0.17], P = 0.005). These associations were more predominant in Black than White participants (ß = 0.17 [95% CI: 0.04-0.30] vs ß = -0.009 [95% CI: -0.16 to 0.14], P = 0.036 and ß = 0.22 [95% CI: 0.13-0.32] vs ß = -0.11 [95% CI: -0.21 to -0.01], P < 0.0001, for LV mass and concentricity, respectively). Conclusions: Subclinical cardiac dysfunction indicated by LVEF was associated with lower cognitive function. Moreover, LV mass and concentric remodeling were associated with higher WMH burden, particularly among Black individuals.

Circulating transthyretin and retinol binding protein 4 levels among middle-age V122I TTR carriers in the general population.

BACKGROUND: Hereditary transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis (ATTRv-CA) has a long latency phase before clinical onset, creating a need to identify subclinical disease. We hypothesized circulating transthyretin (TTR) and retinol binding protein 4 (RBP4) levels would be associated with TTR carrier status and correlated with possible evidence of subclinical ATTRv-CA. METHODS: TTR and RBP4 were measured in blood samples from V122I TTR carriers and age-, sex- and race-matched non-carrier controls (1:2 matching) among Dallas Heart Study participants (phases 1 (DHS-1) and 2 (DHS-2)). Multivariable linear regression models determined factors associated with TTR and RBP4. RESULTS: There were 40 V122I TTR carriers in DHS-1 and 54 V122I TTR carriers in DHS-2. In DHS-1 and DHS-2, TTR was lower in V122I TTR carriers (p < .001 for both), and RBP4 in DHS-2 was lower in V122I TTR carriers than non-carriers (p = .002). Among V122I TTR carriers, TTR was negatively correlated with markers of kidney function, and limb lead voltage (p < .05 for both) and TTR and RBP4 were correlated with atrial volume in DHS-2 (p < .05). CONCLUSIONS: V122I TTR carrier status is independently associated with lower TTR and RBP4 in comparison with non-carriers. These findings support the hypothesis that TTR and RBP4 may correlate with evidence of subclinical ATTRv-CA.

Trimethylamine-N-Oxide and Related Metabolites: Assessing Cardiovascular Risk in the Dallas Heart Study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) and related metabolites with adverse cardiovascular events in a multiethnic urban primary prevention population. METHODS: We performed a case-control study of 361 participants of the Dallas Heart Study, including 88 participants with an incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) event and 273 controls matched for age, sex, and body mass index without an ASCVD event during 12 years of follow-up (January 1, 2000, through December 31, 2015). Plasma levels of TMAO, choline, carnitine, betaine, and butyrobetaine were measured by mass spectrometry. The differential odds for incident ASCVD by metabolite levels between cases and controls were compared by a conditional logistic regression model adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: Participants with incident ASCVD had higher levels of TMAO and related metabolites compared with those without ASCVD (P<.05 for all). Those with plasma TMAO concentrations in quartile 4 had a more than 2-fold higher odds of ASCVD compared with those in quartile 1 (odds ratio, 2.77 [95% CI, 1.05 to 7.7; P=.04] for hard ASCVD and 2.41 [95% CI, 1.049 to 5.709; P=.04]). Similar trends were seen with the related metabolites choline, betaine, carnitine, and butyrobetaine. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that TMAO and related metabolites are independently associated with ASCVD events. Although further studies are needed, measurement of TMAO and related metabolites may have a role in ASCVD risk stratification for primary prevention.

Associations of Ambulatory Blood Pressure Measurements With High-Sensitivity Troponin and Natriuretic Peptide Levels in SPRINT.

BACKGROUND: Nighttime blood pressure (BP) has greater prognostic importance for cardiovascular disease (CVD) than daytime BP, but less is known about nighttime and daytime BP associations with measures of subclinical CVD. METHODS: Among 897 Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial Study (SPRINT) participants with 24-hour ambulatory BP monitoring obtained near the 27-month study visit, 849 (95%) had N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) measured at the 24-month study visit. Multivariable linear regression analyses were performed to evaluate the associations of nighttime and daytime BP with cardiac biomarker levels. RESULTS: The mean age was 69 ±â€…12 years, 28% were African American, and mean nighttime and daytime SBP were 121 ±â€…16 mm Hg and 132 ±â€…14 mm Hg, respectively. In multivariable models, compared with the lowest tertile of nighttime systolic BP, the highest tertile was associated with 48% higher NT-proBNP levels (adjusted geometric mean ratio [GMR] = 1.48, 95% CI: 1.22, 1.79), and 19% higher hs-cTnT levels (adjusted GMR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.32). In contrast, the highest vs. lowest tertile of daytime systolic BP was not associated with NT-proBNP (adjusted GMR = 1.09, 95% CI: 0.88, 1.34), but was associated with 16% higher hs-cTnT levels (adjusted GMR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.30). Similar results were observed using diastolic BP. CONCLUSIONS: In SPRINT, both higher nighttime and daytime BP were independently associated with higher hs-cTnT levels, but only higher nighttime BP was associated with higher NT-proBNP levels.

Incorporating Individual-Level Treatment Effects and Outcome Preferences Into Personalized Blood Pressure Target Recommendations.

BACKGROUND: There are no shared decision-making frameworks for selecting blood pressure (BP) targets for individuals with hypertension. This study addressed whether results from the SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) could be tailored to individuals using predicted risks and simulated preferences. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among 8202 SPRINT participants, Cox models were developed and internally validated to predict each individual's absolute difference in risk from intensive versus standard BP lowering for cardiovascular events, cognitive impairment, death, and serious adverse events (AEs). Individual treatment effects were combined using simulated preference weights into a net benefit, which represents a weighted sum of risk differences across outcomes. Net benefits were compared among those above versus below the median AE risk. In simulations for which cardiovascular, cognitive, and death events had much greater weight than the AEs of BP lowering, the median net benefit was 3.3 percentage points (interquartile range [IQR], 2.0-5.7), and 100% of participants had a net benefit favoring intensive BP lowering. When simulating benefits and harms to have similar weights, the median net benefit was 0.8 percentage points (IQR, 0.2-2.2), and 87% had a positive net benefit. Compared with participants at lower risk of AEs from BP lowering, those at higher risk had a greater net benefit from intensive BP lowering despite experiencing more AEs (P<0.001 in both simulations). CONCLUSIONS: Most SPRINT participants had a predicted net benefit that favored intensive BP lowering, but the degree of net benefit varied considerably. Tailoring BP targets using each patient's risks and preferences may provide more refined BP target recommendations.

Characteristics of High-Performing Hospitals in Cardiogenic Shock Following Acute Myocardial Infarction.

Cardiogenic shock after acute myocardial infarction (AMI-CS) carries significant mortality despite advances in revascularization and mechanical circulatory support. We sought to identify the process-based and structural characteristics of centers with lower mortality in AMI-CS. We analyzed 16,337 AMI-CS cases across 440 centers enrolled in the National Cardiovascular Data Registry's Chest Pain-MI Registry, a retrospective cohort database, between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2018. Centers were stratified across tertiles of risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality rate (RAMR) for comparison. Risk-adjusted multivariable logistic regression was also performed to identify hospital-level characteristics associated with decreased mortality. The median participant age was 66 (interquartile range 57 to 75) years, and 33.0% (n = 5,390) were women. The median RAMR was 33.4% (interquartile range 26.0% to 40.0%) and ranged from 26.9% to 50.2% across tertiles. Even after risk adjustment, lower-RAMR centers saw patients with fewer co-morbidities. Lower-RAMR centers performed more revascularization (92.8% vs 90.6% vs 85.9%, p <0.001) and demonstrated better adherence to associated process measures. Left ventricular assist device capability (odds ratio [OR] 0.78 [0.67 to 0.92], p = 0.002), more frequent revascularization (OR 0.93 [0.88 to 0.98], p = 0.006), and higher AMI-CS volume (OR 0.95 [0.91 to 0.99], p = 0.009) were associated with lower in-hospital mortality. However, several such characteristics were not more frequently observed at low-RAMR centers, despite potentially reflecting greater institutional experience or resources. This may reflect the heterogeneity of AMI-CS even after risk adjustment. In conclusion, low-RAMR centers do not necessarily exhibit factors associated with decreased mortality in AMI-CS, which may reflect the challenges in performing outcomes research in this complex population.

High-Sensitivity Troponin T, NT-proBNP, and Cognitive Outcomes in SPRINT.

BACKGROUND: Hs-cTnT (cardiac troponin T measured with a highly sensitive assay) and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) may identify adults with hypertension who derive greater cognitive benefits from lower systolic blood pressure targets. METHODS: In the SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) MIND study, participants were categorized as having both hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP in the lower 2 tertiles (n=4226), one in the highest tertile (n=2379), and both in the highest tertile (n=1506). We assessed the effect of intensive versus standard treatment on the composite of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or probable dementia (PD) across biomarker categories. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 5.1 years, 830 of 8111 participants (10.2%) developed MCI or PD. Participants in the highest biomarker category were at higher risk of MCI or PD compared with those in the lowest category (hazard ratio, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.00-1.56]). The effect of intensive treatment on reducing the risk of MCI or PD was greater among participants in the lowest biomarker category (hazard ratio, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.50-0.81]) than those in the intermediate (hazard ratio, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.80-1.28]) or highest categories (hazard ratio, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.72-1.13]; Pinteraction=0.02). The 5-year absolute risk differences in MCI or PD with intensive treatment were -2.9% (-4.4%, -1.3%), -0.2% (-3.0%, 2.6%), and -1.9% (-6.2%, 2.4%) in the lowest, intermediate, and highest biomarker categories, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In SPRINT, the relative effect of intensive systolic blood pressure lowering on preventing cognitive impairment appears to be stronger among participants with lower compared with higher cardiac biomarker levels, though the absolute risk reductions were similar.

Exercise Training, Cardiac Biomarkers, and Cardiorespiratory Fitness in Type 2 Diabetes: The HART-D Study.

Background: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are cardiac biomarkers commonly detected in adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and are associated with heart failure risk. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effects of exercise training (ET) on hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP and evaluate the associations of these biomarkers with cardiorespiratory fitness among adults with T2D. Methods: Participants of the HART-D (Health Benefits of Aerobic and Resistance Training in Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes) trial who were randomly assigned to one of 3 ET groups or a non-exercise control group were included. Cardiac biomarkers and cardiorespiratory fitness (evaluated by peak oxygen uptake [VO2peak]) were assessed at baseline and after 9 months. The effects of ET (3 ET groups pooled) vs non-exercise control on hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP were assessed using separate analysis of covariance models. Multivariable-adjusted linear regression was performed to identify factors associated with follow-up biomarkers and ΔVO2peak. Results: The present study included 166 participants randomized to the ET (n = 135) and non-exercise control (n = 31) groups. Compared with the non-exercise control, ET did not significantly change hs-cTnT or NT-proBNP. In adjusted analysis, each ET group and ΔVO2peak were not significantly associated with hs-cTnT or NT-proBNP levels on follow-up. Among individuals in the ET group, baseline hs-cTnT was inversely associated with ΔVO2peak [per 1 SD higher log (hs-cTnT): ß = -0.08 (95% CI = -0.15 to -0.01)]. Conclusions: Among individuals with T2D, ET did not modify cardiac biomarkers. Higher baseline hs-cTnT was associated with blunted cardiorespiratory fitness improvement in response to exercise.

Type 2 Myocardial Infarction-Poorly Understood, Underevaluated, and Too Often Ignored.

This Viewpoint discusses diagnosis of type 2 myocardial infarction.