Prediction model of atrial fibrillation recurrence after Cox-Maze IV procedure in patients with chronic valvular disease and atrial fibrillation based on machine learning algorithm. / åŸºäºŽæœºå™¨å­¦ä¹ çš„æ ¢æ€§ç“£è†œç— åˆå¹¶å¿ƒæˆ¿é¢¤åŠ¨æ‚£è€ è¡ŒCox迷宫IV手术后心房颤动复发风险预测模型.

OBJECTIVES: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, and Cox-maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) is a commonly employed surgical technique for its treatment. Currently, the risk factors for atrial fibrillation recurrence following CMP-IV remain relatively unclear. In recent years, machine learning algorithms have demonstrated immense potential in enhancing diagnostic accuracy, predicting patient outcomes, and devising personalized treatment strategies. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of CMP-IV on treating chronic valvular disease with AF, utilize machine learning algorithms to identify potential risk factors for AF recurrence, construct a CMP-IV postoperative AF recurrence prediction model. METHODS: A total of 555 patients with AF combined with chronic valvular disease, who met the criteria, were enrolled from January 2012 to December 2019 from the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University and the Affiliated Xinqiao Hospital of the Army Medical University, with an average age of (57.95±7.96) years, including an AF recurrence group (n=117) and an AF non-recurrence group (n=438). Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the sinus rhythm maintenance rate, and 9 machine learning models were developed including random forest, gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), bootstrap aggregating, logistic regression, categorical boosting (CatBoost), support vector machine, adaptive boosting, and multi-layer perceptron. Five-fold cross-validation and model evaluation indicators [including F1 score, accuracy, precision, recall, and area under the curve (AUC)] were used to evaluate the performance of the models. The 2 best-performing models were selected for further analyze, including feature importance evaluation and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis, identifying AF recurrence risk factors, and building an AF recurrence risk prediction model. RESULTS: The 5-year sinus rhythm maintenance rate for the patients was 82.13% (95% CI 78.51% to 85.93%). Among the 9 machine learning models, XGBoost and CatBoost models performed best, with the AUC of 0.768 (95% CI 0.742 to 0.786) and 0.762 (95% CI 0.723 to 0.801), respectively. Feature importance and SHAP analysis showed that duration of AF, preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction, postoperative heart rhythm, preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, preoperative left atrial diameter, preoperative heart rate, and preoperative white blood cell were important factors for AF recurrence. Conclusion: Machine learning algorithms can be effectively used to identify potential risk factors for AF recurrence after CMP-IV. This study successfuly constructs 2 prediction model which may enhance individualized treatment plans.

Effectiveness of Maze IV procedure versus thoracoscopic ablation for atrial fibrillation: a propensity score-matched analysis.

Background: Thoracoscopic ablation (TA) has emerged as a promising treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF), with the Cox-Maze IV Procedure (CMP-IV) as the current gold-standard intervention. This study aims to evaluate and compare the outcomes of TA and CMP-IV in treating AF. Methods: Patients with AF underwent either CMP-IV or TA through a left-side chest approach. The CMP-IV entailed bi-atrium ablation, whereas the TA involved creating three circular plus three linear ablations in the left atrium. We analyzed baseline characteristics, perioperative outcomes and recurrence rates using propensity score matching (PSM) at a 1:1 ratio, to ensure comparability between the two treatment groups. Results: A total of 459 patients underwent either CMP-IV (n=93) or TA via left chest (n=366) and 174 patients were deemed eligible for 1:1 PSM. The TA group experienced significantly shorter intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital stays. The mean follow-up period was 31.5±22.1 months. Pre- and post-matching analysis showed that CMP-IV had a higher rate of freedom from recurrence compared to TA, particularly in non-paroxysmal AF patients. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that CMP-IV was associated with a reduced risk of recurrence, while an increased left atrial size emerged as an independent predictor of postoperative recurrence, regardless of the use of CMP-IV or TA. Conclusions: Our study suggests that while the therapeutic efficacy of TA for "lone" AF may fall short of the classic CMP-IV, its less invasive nature results in significantly shorter ICU and hospital stays. To enhance patient outcomes following TA, it is essential to improve the quality of ablation, refine the ablation route, and focus on careful patient selection.

Machine learning-based analysis of risk factors for atrial fibrillation recurrence after Cox-Maze IV procedure in patients with atrial fibrillation and chronic valvular disease: A retrospective cohort study with a control group.

Objectives: To evaluate the efficacy of the Cox-Maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) in combination with valve surgery in patients with both atrial fibrillation (AF) and valvular disease and use machine learning algorithms to identify potential risk factors of AF recurrence. Methods: A total of 1,026 patients with AF and valvular disease from two hospitals were included in the study. 555 patients received the CMP-IV procedure in addition to valve surgery and left atrial appendage ligation (CMP-IV group), while 471 patients only received valve surgery and left atrial appendage ligation (Non-CMP-IV group). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate the sinus rhythm maintenance rate. 58 variables were selected as variables for each group and 10 machine learning models were developed respectively. The performance of the models was evaluated using five-fold cross-validation and metrics including F1 score, accuracy, precision, and recall. The four best-performing models for each group were selected for further analysis, including feature importance evaluation and SHAP analysis. Results: The 5-year sinus rhythm maintenance rate in the CMP-IV group was 82.13% (95% CI: 78.51%, 85.93%), while in the Non-CMP-IV group, it was 13.40% (95% CI: 10.44%, 17.20%). The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), LightGBM, Category Boosting (CatBoost) and Random Fores (RF) models performed the best in the CMP-IV group, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.768 (95% CI: 0.742, 0.786), 0.766 (95% CI: 0.744, 0.792), 0.762 (95% CI: 0.723, 0.801), and 0.732 (95% CI: 0.701, 0.763), respectively. In the Non-CMP-IV group, the LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost and RF models performed the best, with AUC values of 0.738 (95% CI: 0.699, 0.777), 0.732 (95% CI: 0.694, 0.770), 0.724 (95% CI: 0.668, 0.789), and 0.716 (95% CI: 0.656, 0.774), respectively. Analysis of feature importance and SHAP revealed that duration of AF, preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction, postoperative heart rhythm, preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, preoperative left atrial diameter and heart rate were significant factors in AF recurrence. Conclusion: CMP-IV is effective in treating AF and multiple machine learning models were successfully developed, and several risk factors were identified for AF recurrence, which may aid clinical decision-making and optimize the individual surgical management of AF.

Concomitant surgical ablation for atrial fibrillation is associated with increased risk of acute kidney injury but improved late survival.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) after cardiac surgery remains a common complication that has been associated with increased morbidity and mortality. This study implemented Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria to evaluate renal outcomes after concomitant surgical ablation for atrial fibrillation. METHODS: Patients with a history of atrial fibrillation who underwent elective cardiac surgery at our institution from 2008 to 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Those with preoperative renal dysfunction were excluded. Patients were classified as those who underwent concomitant Cox-Maze IV (CMP-IV) (n = 376) or no surgical ablation (n = 498). Nearest neighbor 1:1 propensity matching was conducted on fourteen covariates. AKI was evaluated by mixed effects logistic regression analysis. Long-term survival was evaluated by proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Propensity matching yielded 308 patients in each group (n = 616). All preoperative variables were similar between groups. The concomitant CMP-IV group had a greater incidence of AKI: 32% (n = 99) versus 16% (n = 49), P < .001. After accounting for bypass time and nonablation operations on mixed effects analysis, concomitant CMP-IV was associated with increased risk of AKI (odds ratio, 1.89; confidence interval, 1.12-3.18; P = .017). While AKI was associated with decreased late survival (P < .001), patients who received a concomitant CMP-IV maintained superior 7-year survival to patients who received no ablation (P < .001). No patients required permanent dialysis. CONCLUSIONS: Concomitant CMP-IV was independently associated with increased risk of AKI in the acute postoperative period. However, the long-term risks of AKI were offset by the significant survival benefit of CMP-IV. Concerns regarding new-onset renal dysfunction should not prohibit recommendation of this procedure in appropriate patients.

Three-year outcomes of the postapproval study of the AtriCure Bipolar Radiofrequency Ablation of Permanent Atrial Fibrillation Trial.

OBJECTIVES: The Cox Maze IV operation is commonly performed concomitant with other cardiac operations and effectively reduces the burden of atrial fibrillation. Prospective randomized trials have reported outcomes early and at 12 months, but only single-center late durability results are available. As part of the postapproval process for a bipolar radiofrequency ablation system, we sought to determine early and midterm outcomes of patients undergoing the Cox Maze IV operation. METHODS: A prospective, multicenter, single-arm study of 363 patients (mean age, 70 years, 82% valve surgery) with nonparoxysmal atrial fibrillation (mean duration, 60 months, 94% Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥ 75, Diabetes, Stroke, VAScular disease, Age 65-74, Sex category ≥2) undergoing concomitant Maze IV atrial fibrillation ablation at 40 sites with 70 surgeons was performed between June 2010 and October 2014. Compliance with the study lesion set was 94.5%, and 99% had left atrial appendage closure. Freedom from atrial fibrillation was determined by extended monitoring, with a 48-hour Holter monitor minimum. RESULTS: There were no device-related complications. Freedom from atrial fibrillation off antiarrhythmic medications at 1, 2, and 3 years was 66%, 65%, and 64%, respectively, and including those using antiarrhythmics was 80%, 78%, and 76%, respectively. Warfarin was used in 49%, 44%, and 40%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with nonparoxysmal atrial fibrillation, compliance with the protocol was high, and freedom from atrial fibrillation off antiarrhythmics was high and sustained to 3 years. The safety and effectiveness of the system and Cox Maze IV procedure support the Class I guideline recommendation for concomitant atrial fibrillation ablation in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Case Report: Giant Biatrial Myxoma Mimicking Malignant Cardiac Tumor in a Patient With a Hepatic Angiomatous Mass.

Cardiac myxomas, primarily originating from the left atrium, are the most prevalent types of benign cardiac tumors; however, biatrial myxomas are extremely rare. Herein, we present a rare case of a 55-year old male with exertional dyspnea and intermittent chest discomfort due to a giant biatrial mass with concomitant atrial fibrillation and hepatic hemangioma. The giant tumor with its peduncle at the interatrial septum involved both atria; however, bulging through the tricuspid valve to the right ventricle during systole. Hence, excision of the giant cardiac tumor (which grossly composed of three parts: stiff, fleshy, and soft) and Cox-Maze IV procedure was performed with the resected specimen measuring 100 × 80 × 40 mm. The patient who was in a stable condition was discharged home on the 12th post-operative day. Thus, given the excellent post-operative results achieved, surgical treatment in large multi-cavitary benign cardiac tumors is feasible and should be considered a potentially curative therapy.

Case Report: The Cox-Maze IV Procedure in the Mirror: The Use of Three-Dimensional Printing for Pre-operative Planning in a Patient With Situs Inversus Dextrocardia.

The safety and efficacy of the Cox-Maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) for situs inversus dextrocardia patients with atrial fibrillation is yet to be determined. Herein, we present the case of a 39-year-old male patient admitted to our cardiac center following progressive exertional dyspnea. The patient was diagnosed with situs inversus dextrocardia, severe mitral regurgitation, and paroxysmal atrial fibrillation. A three-dimensional (3D) heart model printing device embedded with designated ablation lines was used for pre-operative planning. Mitral valvuloplasty, CMP-IV, and tricuspid annuloplasty were performed. The patient had an uneventful recovery and was in sinus rhythm during a 12-month follow-up period using a 24-h Holter monitoring device. The case herein is one of the first to report on adopting the CMP-IV procedure for situs inversus dextrocardia patients with complex valvuloplasty operation. In addition, the 3D printing technique enabled us to practice the Cox-maze IV procedure, given the patient's unique cardiac anatomy.

The anatomic substrate of mitral annular contraction.

BACKGROUND: Despite the absence of contractile elements, the mitral annulus undergoes sphincter-like "contraction" resulting in an area reduction of approximately 25%. Its anatomic basis has not, however, been delineated. Since annular contraction helps draw the mitral leaflets into apposition, an appreciation of its anatomic basis could enhance our understanding of the pathogenesis of mitral regurgitation. METHODS: Gross dissection of >100 bovine, ovine and human hearts as well as histologic examination of 5 ovine hearts was performed to ascertain the origins, course and insertion points of the atrial and ventricular muscle bundles related to the annulus. RESULTS: Significant circumferentially-oriented left atrial fibers derived from Bachman's bundle flank the annulus internally. These fibers encircle the base of the atrium and insert into the right fibrous trigone. Externally, the annulus is anatomically related to the superficial obliquely-oriented fibers of the left ventricular inlet which course from the subepicardium to the subendocardium. CONCLUSIONS: Intercalation of the annulus between the musculature of the left atrium and left ventricle subjects it to extrinsic contractile forces resulting in sphincter-like narrowing. The circumferential fibers of the left atrial base are favorably positioned such that their contraction imparts a centripetal force onto the inner aspect of the adjacent fibrous annulus which causes it to translate inward in late diastole. During systole, the superficial oblique fibers of the left ventricular inlet, impose a torsional force onto the outer aspect of the annulus causing it to translate inwards. These observations may have mechanistic implications in mitral regurgitation.

A modified Cox maze IV procedure: a simpler technique for the surgical treatment of atrial fibrillation.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the effectiveness of a simplified surgical treatment method for atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: Between September 2012 and October 2013, 120 patients (mean age, 52.3 ± 8.8 years) underwent valve surgery and concomitant bipolar radiofrequency ablation for the treatment of AF. Patients were randomized to a Cox maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) group (n = 60) or a modified CMP-IV (MCMP-IV) group (n = 60). Freedom from AF was defined as freedom from any left atrial arrhythmia lasting <30 s and no requirement of antiarrhythmic drugs after 6 months. Data were recorded at postoperative follow-up examinations, which were scheduled at 1, 3, 6 and 12 months, and annually thereafter. RESULTS: No ablation-related complications occurred in either group. The mean ablation time was longer in the CMP-IV group than in the MCMP-IV group (18.5 ± 1.7 vs 16.6 ± 1.6 min, P < 0.001). The mean follow-up time was 32.4 ± 3.6 months (range, 26-39 months). Freedom from AF tended to be higher, but not significantly so, among the MCMP-IV group than among the CMP-IV group over the entire follow-up period. CONCLUSIONS: The MCMP-IV is an effective surgical procedure for the treatment of AF. In certain patients, such as those with anatomic variations of the pulmonary veins, the MCMP-IV is simpler than the CMP-IV. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION ID: ChiCTR-TRC-12002742.