Treatment reduces the incidence of newly appearing multiple sclerosis lesions evolving into chronic active, slowly expanding lesions: A retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Newly appearing lesions in multiple sclerosis (MS) may evolve into chronically active, slowly expanding lesions (SELs), leading to sustained disability progression. The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence of newly appearing lesions developing into SELs, and their correlation to clinical evolution and treatment. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a fingolimod trial in primary progressive MS (PPMS; INFORMS, NCT00731692) was undertaken. Data were available from 324 patients with magnetic resonance imaging scans up to 3 years after screening. New lesions at year 1 were identified with convolutional neural networks, and SELs obtained through a deformation-based method. Clinical disability was assessed annually by Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), Nine-Hole Peg Test, Timed 25-Foot Walk, and Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test. Linear, logistic, and mixed-effect models were used to assess the relationship between the Jacobian expansion in new lesions and SELs, disability scores, and treatment status. RESULTS: One hundred seventy patients had ≥1 new lesions at year 1 and had a higher lesion count at screening compared to patients with no new lesions (median = 27 vs. 22, p = 0.007). Among the new lesions (median = 2 per patient), 37% evolved into definite or possible SELs. Higher SEL volume and count were associated with EDSS worsening and confirmed disability progression. Treated patients had lower volume and count of definite SELs (ß = -0.04, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.07 to -0.01, p = 0.015; ß = -0.36, 95% CI = -0.67 to -0.06, p = 0.019, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Incident chronic active lesions are common in PPMS, and fingolimod treatment can reduce their number.

The risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis is geographically determined but modifiable.

Geographical variations in the incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis have been reported globally. Latitude as a surrogate for exposure to ultraviolet radiation but also other lifestyle and environmental factors are regarded as drivers of this variation. No previous studies evaluated geographical variation in the risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, an advanced form of multiple sclerosis that is characterized by steady accrual of irreversible disability. We evaluated differences in the risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in relation to latitude and country of residence, modified by high-to-moderate efficacy immunotherapy in a geographically diverse cohort of patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. The study included relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients from the global MSBase registry with at least one recorded assessment of disability. Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis was identified as per clinician diagnosis. Sensitivity analyses used the operationalized definition of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and the Swedish decision tree algorithm. A proportional hazards model was used to estimate the cumulative risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis by country of residence (latitude), adjusted for sex, age at disease onset, time from onset to relapsing-remitting phase, disability (Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score) and relapse activity at study inclusion, national multiple sclerosis prevalence, government health expenditure, and proportion of time treated with high-to-moderate efficacy disease-modifying therapy. Geographical variation in time from relapsing-remitting phase to secondary progressive phase of multiple sclerosis was modelled through a proportional hazards model with spatially correlated frailties. We included 51 126 patients (72% female) from 27 countries. The median survival time from relapsing-remitting phase to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis among all patients was 39 (95% confidence interval: 37 to 43) years. Higher latitude [median hazard ratio = 1.21, 95% credible interval (1.16, 1.26)], higher national multiple sclerosis prevalence [1.07 (1.03, 1.11)], male sex [1.30 (1.22, 1.39)], older age at onset [1.35 (1.30, 1.39)], higher disability [2.40 (2.34, 2.47)] and frequent relapses [1.18 (1.15, 1.21)] at inclusion were associated with increased hazard of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Higher proportion of time on high-to-moderate efficacy therapy substantially reduced the hazard of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis [0.76 (0.73, 0.79)] and reduced the effect of latitude [interaction: 0.95 (0.92, 0.99)]. At the country-level, patients in Oman, Tunisia, Iran and Canada had higher risks of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis relative to the other studied regions. Higher latitude of residence is associated with a higher probability of developing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. High-to-moderate efficacy immunotherapy can mitigate some of this geographically co-determined risk.

Clinical characteristics and dynamics of disability progression in a cohort of patients with multiple sclerosis in Latvians.

There is wide variation in the time from the onset to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) and some controversy regarding the clinical characteristics of the courses (phenotypes) of MS. The present study aimed to characterize demographic and clinical factors that potentially influence long-term disability progression in the cohort of Latvian MS patients. A descriptive longitudinal incidence study was conducted using a cohort of 288 MS patients beginning in 2011 (disease duration from 1 to 51 years). Socio-demographic and clinical information from the first visit to 15/20 years was analysed in groups stratified by gender and visits at five-time points (the first visit; after a year or 2; after 5 ± 1 year; after 10 ± 2 years; after 15-20 years). Our study was dominated by patients from urban areas and non-smokers. The female/male ratio was 2.4:1; the distribution of clinical courses at the first visit was consistent with most European studies. The most common symptom at presentation in our study was optic manifestations, followed by sensory disturbances and motor deficits. In the Latvian study, gender was not a significant influencing factor on the rate of disease progression; however, patient age was statistically significantly associated with EDSS (Expanded Disability Status Scale) value at the first visit. Early clinical features of MS are important in predicting the disability accumulation of patients. Despite the small differences regarding the first MS symptoms, the disability outcomes in the cohort of Latvian patients are similar to other regions of the world.

Risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis after early worsening of disability.

BACKGROUND: Whether progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) heralds earlier onset of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) and more rapid accumulation of disability during SPMS remains to be determined. We investigated the association between early PIRA, relapse-associated worsening (RAW) of disability and time to SPMS, subsequent disability progression and their response to therapy. METHODS: This observational cohort study included patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) from the MSBase international registry across 146 centres and 39 countries. Associations between the number of PIRA and RAW during early multiple sclerosis (MS) (the initial 5 years of MS onset) were analysed with respect to: time to SPMS using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for disease characteristics; and disability progression during SPMS, calculated as the change of Multiple Sclerosis Severity Scores over time, using multivariable linear regression. RESULTS: 10 692 patients met the inclusion criteria: 3125 (29%) were men and the mean MS onset age was 32.2 years. A higher number of early PIRA (HR=1.50, 95% CI 1.28 to 1.76, p<0.001) and RAW (HR=2.53, 95% CI 2.25 to 2.85, p<0.001) signalled a higher risk of SPMS. A higher proportion of early disease-modifying therapy exposure (per 10%) reduced the effect of early RAW (HR=0.94, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.00, p=0.041) but not PIRA (HR=0.97, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.05, p=0.49) on SPMS risk. No association between early PIRA/RAW and disability progression during SPMS was found. CONCLUSIONS: Early disability increase during RRMS is associated with a greater risk of SPMS but not the rate of disability progression during SPMS. The deterioration associated with early relapses represents a potentially treatable risk factor of SPMS. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12605000455662).

The familial risk and heritability of multiple sclerosis and its onset phenotypes: A case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The two main phenotypes of multiple sclerosis (MS), primary progressive (PPMS) and relapsing Onset (ROMS), show clinical and demographic differences suggesting possible differential risk mechanisms. Understanding the heritable features of these phenotypes could provide aetiological insight. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the magnitude of familial components in PPMS and ROMS and to estimate the heritability of disease phenotypes. METHODS: We used data from 25,186 MS patients of Nordic ancestry from the Swedish MS Registry between 1987 and 2019 with known disease phenotype (1593 PPMS and 16,718 ROMS) and 251,881 matched population-based controls and 3,364,646 relatives of cases and controls. Heritability was calculated using threshold-liability models. For familial odds ratios (ORs), logistic regression with robust sandwich estimator was utilized. RESULTS: The OR of MS diagnosis in those with a first-degree family member with ROMS was 7.00 and 8.06 in those with PPMS. The corresponding ORs for having a second-degree family member with ROMS was 2.16 and 2.18 in PPMS. The additive genetic effect in ROMS was 0.54 and 0.22 in PPMS. CONCLUSION: Risk of MS increases by several folds in those with a relative with MS. The likelihood of developing either disease phenotype appears independent of genetic predisposition.

The natural history of primary progressive multiple sclerosis: insights from the German NeuroTransData registry.

BACKGROUND: Primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) is characterised by gradual worsening of disability from symptom onset. Knowledge about the natural course of PPMS remains limited. METHODS: PPMS patients from the German NeuroTransData (NTD) MS registry with data from 56 outpatient practices were employed for retrospective cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses. The cross-sectional analysis included a contemporary PPMS cohort with a documented visit within the last 2 years before index date (1 Jan 2021). The longitudinal analysis included a disease modifying therapy (DMT)-naïve population and focused on the evolution of expanded disability status scale (EDSS) from the first available assessment at or after diagnosis within the NTD registry to index date. Outcome measures were estimated median time from first EDSS assessment to first 24-week confirmed EDSS ≥ 4 and ≥ 7. Besides EDSS change, the proportion of patients on disability pension were described over time. RESULTS: The cross-sectional analysis included 481 PPMS patients (59.9% female, mean [standard deviation, SD] age 60.5 [11.5] years, mean [SD] EDSS 4.9 [2.1]). Estimated median time from first EDSS assessment after diagnosis to reach 24-week confirmed EDSS ≥ 4 for DMT-naïve patients was 6.9 years. Median time to EDSS ≥ 7 was 9.7 years for 25% of the population. Over a decade mean (SD) EDSS scores increased from 4.6 (2.1) to 5.7 (2.0); the proportion of patients on disability pension increased from 18.9% to 33.3%. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides first insights into the German NTD real-world cohort of PPMS patients. Findings confirm the steadily deteriorating course of PPMS accompanied by increasingly limited quality of life.

Alterations of the gut ecological and functional microenvironment in different stages of multiple sclerosis.

Multiple sclerosis (MS), an autoimmune disease of the central nervous system, generally starts as the relapsing remitting form (RRMS), but often shifts into secondary progressive MS (SPMS). SPMS represents a more advanced stage of MS, characterized by accumulating disabilities and refractoriness to medications. The aim of this study was to clarify the microbial and functional differences in gut microbiomes of the different stages of MS. Here, we compared gut microbiomes of patients with RRMS, SPMS, and two closely related disorders with healthy controls (HCs) by 16S rRNA gene and whole metagenomic sequencing data from fecal samples and by fecal metabolites. Each patient group had a number of species having significant changes in abundance in comparison with HCs, including short-chain fatty acid (SCFA)-producing bacteria reduced in MS. Changes in some species had close association with clinical severity of the patients. A marked reduction in butyrate and propionate biosynthesis and corresponding metabolic changes were confirmed in RRMS compared with HCs. Although bacterial composition analysis showed limited differences between the patient groups, metagenomic functional data disclosed an increase in microbial genes involved in DNA mismatch repair in SPMS as compared to RRMS. Together with an increased ratio of cysteine persulfide to cysteine in SPMS revealed by sulfur metabolomics, we postulate that excessive DNA oxidation could take place in the gut of SPMS. Thus, gut ecological and functional microenvironments were significantly altered in the different stages of MS. In particular, reduced SCFA biosynthesis in RRMS and elevated oxidative level in SPMS were characteristic.

Epilepsy as a predictor of disease progression in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Epilepsy development during the course of multiple sclerosis (MS) is considered to be the result of cortical pathology. However, no long-term data exist on whether epilepsy in MS also leads to increasing disability over time. OBJECTIVE: To examine if epilepsy leads to more rapid disease progression. METHODS: We analyzed the data of 31,052 patients on the German Multiple Sclerosis Register in a case-control study. RESULTS: Secondary progressive disease course (odds ratio (OR) = 2.23), age (OR = 1.12 per 10 years), and disability (OR = 1.29 per Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) point) were associated with the 5-year prevalence of epilepsy. Patients who developed epilepsy during the course of the disease had a higher EDSS score at disease onset compared to matched control patients (EDSS 2.0 vs 1.5), progressed faster in each dimension, and consequently showed higher disability (EDSS 4.4 vs 3.4) and lower employment status (40% vs 65%) at final follow-up. After 15 years of MS, 64% of patients without compared to 54% of patients with epilepsy were not severely limited in walking distance. CONCLUSION: This work highlights the association of epilepsy on disability progression in MS, and the need for additional data to further clarify the underlying mechanisms.

Multiple Sclerosis Progressive Courses: A Clinical Cohort Long-Term Disability Progression Study.

OBJECTIVES: Improving the understanding of multiple sclerosis (MS) mechanism and disability progression over time is essential to assess the value of healthcare interventions. Poor or no data on disability progression are available for progressive courses. This study aims to fill this gap. METHODS: An observational cohort study of patients with primary MS (PPMS) and secondary progressive MS (SPMS) was conducted on 2 Italian MS centers disease registries over an observational time of 34 years. Annual transition probabilities among Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) states were estimated using continuous Markov models. A sensitivity analysis was performed in relation to clinical characteristic associated to disability progression. RESULTS: The study cohort included 758 patients (274 PPMS and 434 SPMS) with a median follow-up of 8.2 years. Annual transition probability matrices of SPMS and PPMS reported different annual probabilities to move within EDSS levels. Excluding EDSS associated to relapse events or patient with relapses, the annual probability of staying stable in an EDSS level increased in both disease courses even not significantly. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides estimates of annual disability progression as EDSS changes for PPMS and SPMS. These estimates could be a useful tool for healthcare decision makers and clinicians to properly assess impact of clinical interventions.

Do patients' and referral centers' characteristics influence multiple sclerosis phenotypes? Results from the Italian multiple sclerosis and related disorders register.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is characterized by phenotypical heterogeneity, partly resulting from demographic and environmental risk factors. Socio-economic factors and the characteristics of local MS facilities might also play a part. METHODS: This study included patients with a confirmed MS diagnosis enrolled in the Italian MS and Related Disorders Register in 2000-2021. Patients at first visit were classified as having a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), relapsing-remitting (RR), primary progressive (PP), progressive-relapsing (PR), or secondary progressive MS (SP). Demographic and clinical characteristics were analyzed, with centers' characteristics, geographic macro-areas, and Deprivation Index. We computed the odds ratios (OR) for CIS, PP/PR, and SP phenotypes, compared to the RR, using multivariate, multinomial, mixed effects logistic regression models. RESULTS: In all 35,243 patients from 106 centers were included. The OR of presenting more advanced MS phenotypes than the RR phenotype at first visit significantly diminished in relation to calendar period. Females were at a significantly lower risk of a PP/PR or SP phenotype. Older age was associated with CIS, PP/PR, and SP. The risk of a longer interval between disease onset and first visit was lower for the CIS phenotype, but higher for PP/PR and SP. The probability of SP at first visit was greater in the South of Italy. DISCUSSION: Differences in the phenotype of MS patients first seen in Italian centers can be only partly explained by differences in the centers' characteristics. The demographic and socio-economic characteristics of MS patients seem to be the main determinants of the phenotypes at first referral.

Impact of COVID-19 lockdown on progressive multiple sclerosis patients.

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 pandemic caused major changes in the lifestyle and in the access to health services worldwide. Progressive multiple sclerosis (pMS) patients are a vulnerable population at high risk of disability worsening. OBJECTIVE AND METHODS: The objective of this study was to assess the health outcomes of COVID-19 lockdown in a cohort of 225 pMS patients. RESULTS: Worsening of neurological disability (19.7%) and fatigue (32.4%), depression (30.4%), and weight increase (28.3%) were observed in pMS patients during lockdown, along with discontinuation of regular physical exercise (47.1%) and of physical therapy (59.3%). CONCLUSION: These results highlight the adverse impact, on pMS patients, of the public health measures implemented for the containment of the pandemic.

Association between relapses, stress, and depression in people with multiple sclerosis during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: Stress is a potential trigger for clinical and radiological activity in Multiple Sclerosis (MS). COVID-19 pandemic has been a relevant source of mental distress in people with MS (pwMS) and deeply impacted on disease management. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between stress, anxiety, depression, and risk of relapse during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: From an electronic database used for clinical practice, we extracted data of relapsing-remitting (RR) or relapsing-progressive (RP) MS patients and calculated the annualized relapse rate (ARR) during 2019 and 2020. From 01/12/2020 to 30/12/2020, enrolled patients were invited to fill in a Google Forms survey to investigate depression, anxiety, stress, and Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD). RESULTS: We selected 216 patients with RR or RP-MS to calculate ARR: compared to 2019, in 2020 there was a significant increase in ARR (p = 0.0142). Over 216 selected pwMS, 154 completed the survey. Matching the survey responses and incidence of relapses in 2020, there was a significant association between relapses and stress (p = 0.030) and relapses and depression (p = 0.011), but not between relapses and anxiety (p = 0.130) or PTSD (p = 0.279). CONCLUSIONS: Our results support the hypothesis that pandemic-related stress is associated to clinical exacerbations, both as a possible consequence of the COVID-19 impact on MS care.

Transition to secondary progression in relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis: Definitions and risk factors.

BACKGROUND: No uniform criteria for a sensitive identification of the transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) to secondary-progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) are available. OBJECTIVE: To compare risk factors of SPMS using two definitions: one based on the neurologist judgment (ND) and an objective data-driven algorithm (DDA). METHODS: Relapsing-onset MS patients (n = 19,318) were extracted from the Italian MS Registry. Risk factors for SPMS and for reaching irreversible Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 6.0, after SP transition, were estimated using multivariable Cox regression models. RESULTS: SPMS identified by the DDA (n = 2343, 12.1%) were older, more disabled and with a faster progression to severe disability (p < 0.0001), than those identified by the ND (n = 3868, 20.0%). In both groups, the most consistent risk factors (p < 0.05) for SPMS were a multifocal onset, an age at onset >40 years, higher baseline EDSS score and a higher number of relapses; the most consistent protective factor was the disease-modifying therapy (DMT) exposure. DMT exposure during SP did not impact the risk of reaching irreversible EDSS 6.0. CONCLUSION: A DDA definition of SPMS identifies more aggressive progressive patients. DMT exposure reduces the risk of SPMS conversion, but it does not prevent the disability accumulation after the SP transition.

Clinical and radiological activity of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in a population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Patients with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SP MS) and clinical and/or radiological activity could be the more likely to benefit from disease-modifying treatments. To evaluate the proportions each year after progression onset, patients with SP MS onset between 2002 and 2012 from a population-based multiple sclerosis registry in northeastern France were studied. METHODS: Progression onset was first identified by the neurologist's diagnosis (N cohort), and then by using an automated data-driven definition (D cohort). In a given year after onset of progression, clinical activity was defined as at least one relapse, and radiological activity as at least one new T2 and/or gadolinium-enhancing lesion. A multivariate mixed logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with activity during the year. RESULTS: In the N cohort, amongst 833 patients with SP MS with a median follow-up of 8 years, 10.0%-14.8% had at least one relapse in a year during the first 5 years of progression. Including both clinical and radiological activity increased these proportions to 11.9%-23.7%, with the proportion having a magnetic resonance imaging scan in the year ranging from 29.8% to 40.5%. The first year of progression, a young age and a high relapse rate during the 5 years before progression were associated with activity in a given year. The D cohort results confirmed these findings. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial proportion of patients with SP MS present disease activity. Further studies should evaluate the impact of disease-modifying treatments on the disease course of these patients.

7 T imaging reveals a gradient in spinal cord lesion distribution in multiple sclerosis.

We used 7 T MRI to: (i) characterize the grey and white matter pathology in the cervical spinal cord of patients with early relapsing-remitting and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis; (ii) assess the spinal cord lesion spatial distribution and the hypothesis of an outside-in pathological process possibly driven by CSF-mediated immune cytotoxic factors; and (iii) evaluate the association of spinal cord pathology with brain burden and its contribution to neurological disability. We prospectively recruited 20 relapsing-remitting, 15 secondary progressive multiple sclerosis participants and 11 age-matched healthy control subjects to undergo 7 T imaging of the cervical spinal cord and brain as well as conventional 3 T brain acquisition. Cervical spinal cord imaging at 7 T was used to segment grey and white matter, including lesions therein. Brain imaging at 7 T was used to segment cortical and white matter lesions and 3 T imaging for cortical thickness estimation. Cervical spinal cord lesions were mapped voxel-wise as a function of distance from the inner central canal CSF pool to the outer subpial surface. Similarly, brain white matter lesions were mapped voxel-wise as a function of distance from the ventricular system. Subjects with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis showed a greater predominance of spinal cord lesions nearer the outer subpial surface compared to secondary progressive cases. Inversely, secondary progressive participants presented with more centrally located lesions. Within the brain, there was a strong gradient of lesion formation nearest the ventricular system that was most evident in participants with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Lesion fractions within the spinal cord grey and white matter were related to the lesion fraction in cerebral white matter. Cortical thinning was the primary determinant of the Expanded Disability Status Scale, white matter lesion fractions in the spinal cord and brain of the 9-Hole Peg Test and cortical thickness and spinal cord grey matter cross-sectional area of the Timed 25-Foot Walk. Spinal cord lesions were localized nearest the subpial surfaces for those with relapsing-remitting and the central canal CSF surface in progressive disease, possibly implying CSF-mediated pathogenic mechanisms in lesion development that may differ between multiple sclerosis subtypes. These findings show that spinal cord lesions involve both grey and white matter from the early multiple sclerosis stages and occur mostly independent from brain pathology. Despite the prevalence of cervical spinal cord lesions and atrophy, brain pathology seems more strongly related to physical disability as measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale.

Prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Sardinia: A systematic cross-sectional multi-source survey.

BACKGROUND: Partial surveys in sub-regions of Sardinia have suggested a high prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) on the island, relative to other Mediterranean populations. We assessed the island-wide prevalence of MS and its detailed distribution in Sardinia. METHODS: The study population consisted of 5677 MS patients, 1735 men and 3942 women, living in Sardinia. Neurologists retrospectively examined electronic and paper-based records of patients with a diagnosis of MS. The data were then linked to the administrative health information systems. Crude, age-, and sex-specific prevalence estimates of disease were calculated. RESULTS: The overall age-adjusted MS prevalence was 330 per 100,000 (95% confidence interval (CI) 321-338) in individuals older than 15 years, 447 in women (95% CI 433-461), and 205 in men (95% CI 195-214). The prevalence was highest in the Ogliastra and Nuoro districts, respectively, 425 (95% CI 372-478) and 419 (95% CI 387-451), and lowest in the Olbia-Tempio district, 217 (95% CI 195-239). Most cases had relapsing-remitting MS (79.3%), 16.3% had secondary-progressive MS, and 4.4% had primary-progressive MS. CONCLUSION: These prevalence are among the highest reported so far worldwide. They provide estimates for comparative analyses in other populations and are essential for public health interventions.

Risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: A longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: The risk factors for conversion from relapsing-remitting to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis remain highly contested. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the demographic, clinical and paraclinical features that influence the risk of conversion to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. METHODS: Patients with adult-onset relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and at least four recorded disability scores were selected from MSBase, a global observational cohort. The risk of conversion to objectively defined secondary progressive multiple sclerosis was evaluated at multiple time points per patient using multivariable marginal Cox regression models. Sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: A total of 15,717 patients were included in the primary analysis. Older age (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.02, p < 0.001), longer disease duration (HR = 1.01, p = 0.038), a higher Expanded Disability Status Scale score (HR = 1.30, p < 0.001), more rapid disability trajectory (HR = 2.82, p < 0.001) and greater number of relapses in the previous year (HR = 1.07, p = 0.010) were independently associated with an increased risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Improving disability (HR = 0.62, p = 0.039) and disease-modifying therapy exposure (HR = 0.71, p = 0.007) were associated with a lower risk. Recent cerebral magnetic resonance imaging activity, evidence of spinal cord lesions and oligoclonal bands in the cerebrospinal fluid were not associated with the risk of conversion. CONCLUSION: Risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis increases with age, duration of illness and worsening disability and decreases with improving disability. Therapy may delay the onset of secondary progression.

Epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Santiago de Compostela (Spain).

OBJECTIVES: To analyze the frequency and demographic characteristics of multiple sclerosis (MS) in the Council of Santiago de Compostela (SPAIN). MATERIAL AND METHODS: The patients diagnosed with MS according to the McDonald 2010 diagnostic criteria were identified within the population of the District of Santiago de Compostela. Several sources were used (records and databases from Hospital, General Practitioners, Private Clinics, and the MS Patients Association). Demographic and clinical data were obtained from the electronic files. RESULTS: The incidence of MS between 2010 and 2015 was 8/100 000/year (95% CI: 6-10), and the prevalence on December 31, 2015, was 152/100 000 (95% CI: 127-176). The age-standardized prevalence (using the European Standard Population 2013) was 137 (95% CI: 114-159) and the incidence of 7 (95% CI: 2-12). The female:male ratio was 1.84, the mean age at the first symptom was 32.23 years, the diagnosis was delayed 3.12 years, and the mean EDSS was 2.82. 71.17% had relapsing-remitting MS, 16.55% secondary progressive MS, 7.59% primary progressive MS, and 0.69% progressive relapsing MS. A disease-modifying treatment was established in 62.76% of patients in a mean of 1.96 years after the diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: The northwest of Spain is a high-risk area for MS, with frequencies similar to other Atlantic regions and higher than the rest of the country.

Clinical and demographic characteristics of primary progressive multiple sclerosis in Argentina: Argentinean registry cohort study (RelevarEM).

BACKGROUND: Primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) is an infrequent clinical form of multiple sclerosis (MS). Scarce information is available about PPMS in Latin America. The aim of this work is to describe the clinical and demographic characteristics of PPMS patients in Argentina. MATERIAL AND METHODS: RelevarEM is a longitudinal, strictly observational registry in Argentina. Clinical and epidemiological data from PPMS patients were described. RESULTS: There were 144 cases of PPMS. They represented 7% of MS patients. The mean age was 44.1 years. The female:male ratio was 1.08. The mean Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score was 5.5 and the mean disease evolution time was 10.6 years. Oligoclonal bands were found in 72.9%. At the time of diagnosis, magnetic resonance imaging showed spinal cord lesions in 82.6% and contrast-enhancing brain lesions in 18.1% of patients. Almost one third of patients were treated with a disease-modifying drug, and ocrelizumab was the most frequently used (55.8%). CONCLUSIONS: PPMS is an infrequent subtype of MS and its recognition is of the highest importance as it has its own evolution, treatment, and prognosis. The importance of our research resides in providing local data and contributing to a better understanding of PPMS and its treatment in Latin America.

Do disease-modifying drugs (DMD) have a positive impact on the occurrence of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis? No.

RR MS evolution has changed since the beginning of the availability of MS disease-modifying drugs (DMD). Before concluding a unique impact of the efficiency of DMD, careful analysis of long-term studies has to be conducted. Analysis of the literature points out a few bias in the long-term follow of MS patients under DMD: indication of DMD has changed since 20 years, diagnosis criteria are not the same (including the Will Rogers phenomen), and so far population are not homogeneous and comparable. Analysis criteria of the efficiency of the treatments are not the same, pending on the date of the publications. References concerning the long-term impact of DMD are in fact very limited. In addition, long-term efficiency of 2nd line treatments is not available. Another explanation of the change of MS evolution could be the lower evolutivity of MS patients since 2 decades. Analysis of placebo group in pivotal studies, argues to a decrease of the relapse annual rate and mean EDSS score in the more recent studies and recent MS diagnosed patients. To conclude, long-term evolution of MS patients is more favorable, influence of DMD is likely, but not unique.