Serial Mass Screening for Tuberculosis Among Incarcerated Persons in Brazil.

BACKGROUND: An active search for tuberculosis cases through mass screening is widely described as a tool to improve case detection in hyperendemic settings. However, its effectiveness in high-risk populations, such as incarcerated people, is debated. METHODS: Between 2017 and 2021, 3 rounds of mass screening were carried out in 3 Brazilian prisons. Social and health questionnaires, chest X-rays, and Xpert MTB/RIF were performed. RESULTS: More than 80% of the prison population was screened. Overall, 684 cases of pulmonary tuberculosis were diagnosed. Prevalence across screening rounds was not statistically different. Among incarcerated persons with symptoms, the overall prevalence of tuberculosis per 100 000 persons was 8497 (95% confidence interval [CI], 7346-9811), 11 115 (95% CI, 9471-13 082), and 7957 (95% CI, 6380-9882) in screening rounds 1, 2, and 3, respectively. Similar to our overall results, there were no statistical differences between screening rounds and within individual prisons. We found no statistical differences in Computer-Aided Detection for TB version 5 scores across screening rounds among people with tuberculosis-the median scores in rounds 1, 2, and 3 were 82 (interquartile range [IQR], 63-97), 77 (IQR, 60-94), and 81 (IQR, 67-92), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this environment with hyperendemic rates of tuberculosis, 3 rounds of mass screening did not reduce the overall tuberculosis burden. In prisons, where a substantial number of tuberculosis cases is undiagnosed annually, a range of complementary interventions and more frequent tuberculosis cases screening may be required.

Spatial-temporal distribution characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in eastern China from 2011 to 2021.

China is still among the 30 high-burden tuberculosis (TB) countries in the world. Few studies have described the spatial epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary TB (PTB) in Jiangsu Province. The registered incidence data of PTB patients in 95 counties of Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2021 were collected from the Tuberculosis Management Information System. Three-dimensional spatial trends, spatial autocorrelation, and spatial-temporal scan analysis were conducted to explore the spatial clustering pattern of PTB. From 2011 to 2021, a total of 347,495 newly diagnosed PTB cases were registered. The registered incidence rate of PTB decreased from 49.78/100,000 in 2011 to 26.49/100,000 in 2021, exhibiting a steady downward trend (χ2 = 414.22, P < 0.001). The average annual registered incidence rate of PTB was higher in the central and northern regions. Moran's I indices of the registered incidence of PTB were all >0 (P< 0.05) except in 2016, indicating a positive spatial correlation overall. Local autocorrelation analysis showed that 'high-high' clusters were mainly distributed in northern Jiangsu, and 'low-low' clusters were mainly concentrated in southern Jiangsu. The results of this study assist in identifying settings and locations of high TB risk and inform policy-making for PTB control and prevention.

The Long-Term Impact of Early-Life Tuberculosis Disease on Child Health: A Prospective Birth Cohort Study.

Rationale: There is growing concern that post-tuberculosis disease (TB) sequelae and morbidity are substantial, but no studies have controlled for preexisting factors before disease. Whether children have post-TB morbidity is not well characterized. Objectives: To assess the effect of a TB diagnosis on wheezing episodes, lung function, and anthropometric measurements among children enrolled in a prospective birth cohort study in South Africa. Methods: We prospectively followed children from birth through 5 years for TB using diagnostic tests including chest radiography and repeated induced sputum sample testing with Xpert MTB/RIF and liquid culture. We longitudinally measured health outcomes including growth, wheezing, and lung function up to 5 years. Mixed-effects linear regression models were used to assess growth and lung function after TB. Poisson regression was used to assess risk of subsequent wheezing. Measurements and Main Results: Among 1,068 participants, 96 TB cases occurred (1,228 cases per 100,000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI), 1,006-1,500]) occurred over 7,815 child-years of follow-up. TB was associated with lower length-for-age (-0.40 [95% CI, -0.68 to -0.11]), weight-for-age (-0.30 [95% CI, -0.59 to -0.01]), and body mass index (-0.54 [95% CI, -0.83 to -0.25]) z-scores at 5 years. Children developing TB were consistently more likely to wheeze regardless of the timing of TB. Children with diagnoses of TB between 0 and 1 year of age had reduced time to peak tidal expiratory flow over total expiratory time (-2.35% [95% CI, -4.86% to -0.17%]) and higher fractional exhaled nitric oxide (2.88 ppb [95% CI, 0.57-5.19 ppb]) at 5 years. Children with diagnoses of TB between 1 and 4 years of age had impaired Vt (-9.32 ml [95% CI, -14.89 to -3.75 ml]) and time to peak tidal expiratory flow over total expiratory time (-2.73% [95% CI, -5.45% to -0.01%]) at 5 years. Conclusions: Prevention of TB disease in the first few years of life may have substantial long-term benefits through childhood.

Spatial spillover effect of environmental factors on the tuberculosis occurrence among the elderly: a surveillance analysis for nearly a dozen years in eastern China.

BACKGROUND: In many areas of China, over 30% of tuberculosis cases occur among the elderly. We aimed to investigate the spatial distribution and environmental factors that predicted the occurence of tuberculosis in this group. METHODS: Data were collected on notified pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) cases aged ≥ 65 years in Zhejiang Province from 2010 to 2021. We performed spatial autocorrelation and spatial-temporal scan statistics to determine the clusters of epidemics. Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) analysis was used to identify significant environmental factors and their spatial spillover effects. RESULTS: 77,405 cases of PTB among the elderly were notified, showing a decreasing trend in the notification rate. Spatial-temporal analysis showed clustering of epidemics in the western area of Zhejiang Province. The results of the SDM indicated that a one-unit increase in PM2.5 led to a 0.396% increase in the local notification rate. The annual mean temperature and precipitation had direct effects and spatial spillover effects on the rate, while complexity of the shape of the greenspace (SHAPE_AM) and SO2 had negative spatial spillover effects. CONCLUSION: Targeted interventions among the elderly in Western Zhejiang may be more efficient than broad, province-wide interventions. Low annual mean temperature and high annual mean precipitation in local and neighboring areas tend to have higher PTB onset among the elderly.

An Aspiration to Radically Shorten Phase 3 Tuberculosis Vaccine Trials.

A new tuberculosis vaccine is a high priority. However, the classical development pathway is a major deterrent. Most tuberculosis cases arise within 2 years after Mycobacterium tuberculosis exposure, suggesting a 3-year trial period should be possible if sample size is large to maximize the number of early exposures. Increased sample size could be facilitated by working alongside optimized routine services for case ascertainment, with strategies for enhanced case detection and safety monitoring. Shortening enrolment could be achieved by simplifying screening criteria and procedures and strengthening site capacity. Together, these measures could enable radically shortened phase 3 tuberculosis vaccine trials.

Public Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Screening for Active Tuberculosis Disease or Infection Among Children in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Although tuberculosis disease is a leading cause of global childhood mortality, there remain major gaps in diagnosis, treatment, and prevention in children because tuberculosis control programs rely predominantly on presentation of symptomatic children or contact tracing. We assessed the public health impact and cost-effectiveness of age-based routine screening and contact tracing in children in South Africa. METHODS: We used a deterministic mathematical model to evaluate age-based routine screening in 1-year increments from ages 0 to 5 years, with and without contact tracing and preventive treatment. Screening incorporated symptom history and tuberculin skin testing, with chest x-ray and GeneXpert Ultra for confirmatory testing. We projected tuberculosis cases, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and costs (in 2021 U.S. dollars) and evaluated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios comparing each intervention. RESULTS: Routine screening at age 2 years with contact tracing and preventive treatment averted 11 900 tuberculosis cases (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6160-15 730), 1360 deaths (95% CI: 260-3800), and 40 000 DALYs (95% CI: 13 000-100 000) in the South Africa pediatric population over 1 year compared with the status quo. This combined strategy was cost-effective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $9050 per DALY; 95% CI: 2890-22 920) and remained cost-effective above an annual risk of infection of 1.6%. For annual risk of infection between 0.8% and 1.6%, routine screening at age 2 years was the dominant strategy. CONCLUSIONS: Routine screening for tuberculosis among young children combined with contact tracing and preventive treatment would have a large public health impact and be cost-effective in preventing pediatric tuberculosis deaths in high-incidence settings such as South Africa.

Gene Expression in Cord Blood and Tuberculosis in Early Childhood: A Nested Case-Control Study in a South African Birth Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Transcriptomic profiling of adults with tuberculosis (TB) has become increasingly common, predominantly for diagnostic and risk prediction purposes. However, few studies have evaluated signatures in children, particularly in identifying those at risk for developing TB disease. We investigated the relationship between gene expression obtained from umbilical cord blood and both tuberculin skin test conversion and incident TB disease through the first 5 years of life. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study in the Drakenstein Child Health Study, a longitudinal, population-based birth cohort in South Africa. We applied transcriptome-wide screens to umbilical cord blood samples from neonates born to a subset of selected mothers (N = 131). Signatures identifying tuberculin conversion and risk of subsequent TB disease were identified from genome-wide analysis of RNA expression. RESULTS: Gene expression signatures revealed clear differences predictive of tuberculin conversion (n = 26) and TB disease (n = 10); 114 genes were associated with tuberculin conversion and 30 genes were associated with the progression to TB disease among children with early infection. Coexpression network analysis revealed 6 modules associated with risk of TB infection or disease, including a module associated with neutrophil activation in immune response (P < .0001) and defense response to bacterium (P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest multiple detectable differences in gene expression at birth that were associated with risk of TB infection or disease throughout early childhood. Such measures may provide novel insights into TB pathogenesis and susceptibility.

Yield and Efficiency of a Population-Based Mass Tuberculosis Screening Intervention Among Persons With Diabetes in Jiangsu Province, China.

BACKGROUND: The evidence-base for mass tuberculosis screening among persons with diabetes (PWD) is poor. We evaluated the yield and costs of mass screening among PWD in eastern China. METHODS: We included individuals with type 2 diabetes from 38 townships in Jiangsu Province. Screening comprised of physical examinations, symptom screening, and chest X-rays; smear and culture testing were performed through clinical triage. We assessed the yield and number needed to screen (NNS) to detect 1 tuberculosis case among all PWD, those with symptoms, and with suggestive chest X-rays. Unit costing was collected to estimate screening costs and to calculate cost per case detected. We performed a systematic review of other mass tuberculosis screening programs concentrated on PWD. RESULTS: Of 89 549 screened PWD, 160 were diagnosed with tuberculosis (179 cases per 100 000 persons; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 153-205). The NNS was 560 (95% CI: 513-606), 248 (95% CI: 217-279), and 36 (95% CI: 24-48) among all participants, with abnormal chest X-rays, and symptoms. The cost per case was high overall (US$13 930) but lower with symptoms (US$1037) and high fasting blood glucose levels (US$6807). From systematic review, the pooled NNS to detect one case among all PWD (regardless of symptoms or chest X-ray results) in high- versus low-burden settings was 93 (95% CI: 70-141) versus 395 (95% CI: 283-649). CONCLUSIONS: A mass tuberculosis screening program focused on PWD was feasible however, the overall yield was low and not cost-efficient. Risk-stratified approaches may be practical among PWD in low- and medium tuberculosis burden settings.

Mass Tuberculosis Screening Among the Elderly: A Population-Based Study in a Well-Confined, Rural County in Eastern China.

BACKGROUND: Mass tuberculosis (TB) screening has been recommended in certain high-risk populations. However, population-based screening interventions have rarely been implemented. Whether mass screening improves health equity is unknown. METHODS: We implemented a mass TB screening intervention among elderly persons (>60 years old) in Lanxi County, China. Standardized questionnaires, physical examinations, and chest radiographs (CXRs) were administered to all participants. Systematic testing with computed tomography, smear, culture, or Xpert was performed among persons with an abnormal CXR. We assessed TB prevalence per 100 000 persons and constructed multivariable regression models among subgroups that were and were not screened. Medical insurance was categorized as participation in either a basic program with limited coverage or a more comprehensive coverage program. RESULTS: In total, 49 339 individuals (32% of the elderly population in Lanxi) participated in the screening. One hundred fifteen screened persons were diagnosed with TB (233 cases per 100 000 persons), significantly higher than persons not screened (168 cases among 103 979 person-years; prevalence-to-case notification ratio, 1.44 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.14-1.83]). This increase was largely driven by diagnosis of asymptomatic disease during mass screening (n = 57 [50% of participants with TB]). Participants with basic medical insurance were much more likely to be diagnosed through mass screening than by passive detection (adjusted odds ratio, 4.52 [95% CI, 1.35-21.28]). CONCLUSIONS: In a population-based, mass TB screening intervention encompassing >30% of the elderly population in a county in rural China, case finding was 44% higher than background detection, driven by diagnosis of TB without recognized symptoms. Importantly, mass screening identified TB in people with limited healthcare options who were less likely to be found through background case detection.

Evaluation of ESAT6-CFP10 Skin Test for Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection among Persons Living with HIV in China.

Recent global guidelines recommend Mycobacterium tuberculosis antigen-based skin tests, such as the ESAT6-CFP10 (EC) skin test, as acceptable alternatives to the tuberculin skin test (TST) and the QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube test (QFT). However, the diagnostic value of these tests among persons living with HIV (PLHIV) is unknown. We aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the EC among a cohort of PLHIV in China. We recruited PLHIV in Jiangsu Province, China, to assess sensitivity and specificity of the EC test. Participants were tested with the QFT, TST, and EC skin test. Results were stratified by age, M. tuberculosis BCG vaccination, and CD4 count. The sensitivity and specificity of the EC skin test was assessed using distinct cutoffs of the QFT and TST. Of 350 PLHIV enrolled in the study, 58 (16.6%), 89 (25.4%), and 59 (16.9%) tested positive with the EC test, the QFT, and the TST, respectively. Positivity increased with CD4 count; however, these trends were similar across tests. At a 5-mm cutoff, EC skin test specificity was high (99.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 95% CI = 97.7 to 100.0); however, sensitivity was moderate (81.4%; 95% CI = 66.6 to 91.6). After stratifying by BCG, the sensitivity and specificity were 86.4% (95% CI = 65.1 to 97.1) and 99.1% (95% CI = 95.0 to 100.0) among vaccinated PLHIV and 76.2% (95% CI = 52.8 to 91.8) and 100.0% (95% CI = 97.2 to 100.0) among unvaccinated PLHIV, respectively. Among PLHIV, the diagnostic value of the EC skin test remained high, regardless of BCG vaccination or CD4 count. The EC skin test performed comparably to TST and may be a valid alternative diagnostic test to use in settings or populations with high HIV prevalence and BCG vaccination. To our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate the novel ESAT6-CFP10 skin test among PLHIV. Among 350 PLHIV, the test displayed high specificity and sensitivity, a finding which did not markedly differ based on BCG vaccination and CD4 count.

Age-related model for estimating the symptomatic and asymptomatic transmissibility of COVID-19 patients.

Estimation of age-dependent transmissibility of COVID-19 patients is critical for effective policymaking. Although the transmissibility of symptomatic cases has been extensively studied, asymptomatic infection is understudied due to limited data. Using a dataset with reliably distinguished symptomatic and asymptomatic statuses of COVID-19 cases, we propose an ordinary differential equation model that considers age-dependent transmissibility in transmission dynamics. Under a Bayesian framework, multi-source information is synthesized in our model for identifying transmissibility. A shrinkage prior among age groups is also adopted to improve the estimation behavior of transmissibility from age-structured data. The added values of accounting for age-dependent transmissibility are further evaluated through simulation studies. In real-data analysis, we compare our approach with two basic models using the deviance information criterion (DIC) and its extension. We find that the proposed model is more flexible for our epidemic data. Our results also suggest that the transmissibility of asymptomatic infections is significantly lower (on average, 76.45% with a credible interval (27.38%, 88.65%)) than that of symptomatic cases. In both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients, the transmissibility mainly increases with age. Patients older than 30 years are more likely to develop symptoms with higher transmissibility. We also find that the transmission burden of asymptomatic cases is lower than that of symptomatic patients.

Vitamin D Concentrations in Infancy and the Risk of Tuberculosis Disease in Childhood: A Prospective Birth Cohort in Cape Town, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Low vitamin D levels may increase the risk of tuberculosis disease; however, previous observational cohort studies showed variable results. We investigated the relationship between vitamin D levels in infancy and subsequent development of tuberculosis disease throughout childhood. METHODS: We enrolled pregnant women at 20-28 weeks' gestation attending antenatal care in a periurban South African setting in the Drakenstein Child Health Study. Serum 25(OH)D concentrations were measured in newborn infants aged 6-10 weeks. Children were followed prospectively for tuberculosis infection and disease using annual tuberculin skin testing, radiographic examinations, and microbiological diagnosis with GeneXpert, culture, and smear testing. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression was performed and HRs with 95% CIs were calculated. RESULTS: Children were followed for tuberculosis disease for a median of 7.2 years (IQR, 6.2-7.9). Among 744 children (<1% with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), 21% HIV-exposed without HIV), those who were vitamin D deficient in early infancy were not at increased risk of developing tuberculosis disease (adjusted HR, .8; 95% CI, .4-1.6). Infants in the lowest vitamin D concentration tertile were at similar risk of tuberculosis as the highest tertile (adjusted HR, .7; 95% CI, .4-1.4). Vitamin D deficiency was associated with tuberculin conversion ≤2 years of age at a <30-nmol/L (adjusted OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-3.2), but not <50-nmol/L (adjusted OR, 1.5; 95% CI, .8-2.9), cutoff. CONCLUSIONS: In a setting with hyperendemic rates of tuberculosis, vitamin D concentrations in infancy did not predict tuberculosis disease at any point in childhood. However, very low vitamin D levels were associated with tuberculin conversion in young children.

Pooling Sputum Samples for Efficient Mass Tuberculosis Screening in Prisons.

BACKGROUND: Although systematic tuberculosis screening in high-risk groups is recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO), implementation in prisons has been limited due to resource constraints. Whether Xpert Ultra sputum pooling could be a sensitive and efficient approach to mass screening in prisons is unknown. METHODS: In total, 1280 sputum samples were collected from incarcerated individuals in Brazil during mass screening and tested using Xpert G4. We selected samples for mixing in pools of 4, 8, 12, and 16, which were then tested using Ultra. In each pool, a single positive sample of differing Xpert mycobacterial loads was used. Additionally, 10 pools of 16 negative samples each were analyzed as controls. We then simulated tuberculosis screening at prevalences of 0.5-5% and calculated the cost per tuberculosis case detected at different sputum pooling sizes. RESULTS: The sensitivity and specificity of sputum pooling were high (sensitivity: 94%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 88-98; specificity: 100%, 95% CI: 84-100). Sensitivity was greater in pools in which the positive sample had a high mycobacterial load compared to those that were very low (100% vs 88%). In settings with a higher tuberculosis prevalence, pools of 4 and 8 were more efficient than larger pool sizes. Larger pools decreased the costs by 87% at low prevalences, whereas smaller pools led to greater cost savings at higher prevalence at higher prevalences (57%). CONCLUSIONS: Sputum pooling using Ultra was a sensitive strategy for tuberculosis screening. This approach was more efficient than individual testing across a broad range of simulated tuberculosis prevalence settings and could enable active case finding to be scaled while containing costs.

Sensitivity, Specificity, and Safety of a Novel ESAT6-CFP10 Skin Test for Tuberculosis Infection in China: 2 Randomized, Self-Controlled, Parallel-Group Phase 2b Trials.

BACKGROUND: Diagnostics to identify tuberculosis infection are limited. We aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy and safety of ESAT6-CFP10 (EC) skin test for tuberculosis infection in Chinese adults. METHODS: We conducted 2 randomized, parallel-group clinical trials in healthy participants and tuberculosis patients. All participants were tested with the T-SPOT.TB test, then received an EC skin test and tuberculin skin test (TST). The diameter of skin indurations and/or redness at injection sites were measured at different time periods. A bacillus Calmette Guerin (BCG) model was established to assess the diagnosis of tuberculosis infection using an EC skin test. RESULTS: In total, 777 healthy participants and 96 tuberculosis patients were allocated to receive EC skin test at 1.0 µg/0.1 mL or 0.5 µg/0.1 mL. The area under the curve was 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI], .91-.97) for the EC skin test at 1.0 µg/0.1 mL at 24-72 hours. Compared with the T-SPOT.TB test, the EC skin test demonstrated similar sensitivity (87.5, 95% CI, 77.8-97.2 vs 86.5, 95% CI, 79.5-93.4) and specificity (98.9, 95% CI, 96.0-99.9 vs 96.1, 95% CI, 93.5-97.8). Among BCG vaccinated participants, the EC skin test had high consistency with the T-SPOT.TB test (96.3, 95% CI, 92.0-100.0). No serious adverse events related to the EC skin test were observed. CONCLUSIONS: The EC skin test demonstrated both high specificity and sensitivity at a dose of 1.0 µg/0.1 mL, comparable to the T-SPOT.TB test. The diagnostic accuracy of the EC skin test was not impacted by BCG vaccination. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT02389322 and NCT02336542.

The escalating tuberculosis crisis in central and South American prisons.

In the past decade, tuberculosis incidence has declined in much of the world, but has risen in central and South America. It is not yet clear what is driving this reversal of progress in tuberculosis control. Since 2000, the incarcerated population in central and South America has grown by 206%, the greatest increase in the world. Over the same period, notified tuberculosis cases among the incarcerated population (hereinafter termed persons deprived of their liberty [PDL], following the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights) have risen by 269%. In both central and South America, the rise of disease among PDL more than offsets tuberculosis control gains in the general population. Tuberculosis is increasingly concentrated among PDL; currently, 11% of all notified tuberculosis cases in central and South America occur among PDL who comprise less than 1% of the population. The extraordinarily high risk of acquiring tuberculosis within prisons creates a health and human rights crisis for PDL that also undermines wider tuberculosis control efforts. Controlling tuberculosis in this region will require countries to take urgent measures to prioritise the health of PDL.

Transmission roles of symptomatic and asymptomatic COVID-19 cases: a modelling study.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) asymptomatic cases are hard to identify, impeding transmissibility estimation. The value of COVID-19 transmissibility is worth further elucidation for key assumptions in further modelling studies. Through a population-based surveillance network, we collected data on 1342 confirmed cases with a 90-days follow-up for all asymptomatic cases. An age-stratified compartmental model containing contact information was built to estimate the transmissibility of symptomatic and asymptomatic COVID-19 cases. The difference in transmissibility of a symptomatic and asymptomatic case depended on age and was most distinct for the middle-age groups. The asymptomatic cases had a 66.7% lower transmissibility rate than symptomatic cases, and 74.1% (95% CI 65.9-80.7) of all asymptomatic cases were missed in detection. The average proportion of asymptomatic cases was 28.2% (95% CI 23.0-34.6). Simulation demonstrated that the burden of asymptomatic transmission increased as the epidemic continued and could potentially dominate total transmission. The transmissibility of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases is high and asymptomatic COVID-19 cases play a significant role in outbreaks.

Glycemic Trajectories and Treatment Outcomes of Patients with Newly Diagnosed Tuberculosis: A Prospective Study in Eastern China.

Rationale: Patients with newly diagnosed tuberculosis often have inconsistent glycemic measurements during and after treatment. Distinct glycemic trajectories after the diagnosis of tuberculosis are not well characterized, and whether patients with stress hyperglycemia have poor treatment outcomes is not known.Objectives: To identify distinct glycemic trajectories from the point of tuberculosis diagnosis to the posttreatment period and to assess the relationship between glycemic trajectories and tuberculosis treatment outcomes.Methods: Patients with newly diagnosed, drug-susceptible tuberculosis and with at least three fasting plasma glucose tests at tuberculosis diagnosis and during the third and sixth month of treatment were identified and included from Jiangsu Province, China. Patients were also given an additional fasting plasma glucose test at 2 and 4 months after treatment.Measurements and Main Results: Several distinct glycemic trajectories from the point of tuberculosis diagnosis to the posttreatment period were found, including consistently normal glycemic testing results (43%), transient hyperglycemia (24%), erratic glycemic instability (12%), diabetes (16%), and consistent hyperglycemia without diabetes (6%). Compared with participants with a consistently normal glycemic trajectory, patients with transient hyperglycemia were more likely to experience treatment failure (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 4.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.57-11.25; P = 0.004) or erratic glycemic instability (AOR, 5.98; 95% CI, 2.00-17.87; P = 0.001). Patients living with diabetes also had a higher risk of experiencing treatment failure (AOR, 6.56; 95% CI, 2.22-19.35; P = 0.001), and this was modified by glycemic control and metformin use.Conclusions: Among patients with tuberculosis without diabetes, glycemic changes were common and may represent an important marker for patient response to tuberculosis treatment.

Collateral Impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic on Tuberculosis Control in Jiangsu Province, China.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic may impede global tuberculosis elimination goals. In Jiangsu Province, China, tuberculosis notifications dropped 52% in 2020 compared to 2015-2019. Treatment completion and screening for drug resistance decreased continuously in 2020. Urgent attention must be paid to tuberculosis control efforts during and after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Transmission Dynamics in Tuberculosis Patients With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of 32 Observational Studies.

BACKGROUND: There are large knowledge gaps on the transmission dynamics of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in settings where both tuberculosis and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are endemic. We aimed to assess the infectiousness of tuberculosis patients coinfected with HIV. METHODS: We systematically searched for studies of contacts of both HIV-positive and HIV-negative tuberculosis index cases. Our primary outcome was Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection in contacts. Data on sputum smear and lung cavitation status of index cases were extracted from each study to assess effect modification. Secondary outcomes included prevalent tuberculosis and HIV in contacts of HIV-positive and HIV-negative index cases. RESULTS: Of 5255 original citations identified, 32 studies met inclusion criteria, including 25 studies investigating M. tuberculosis infection (Nparticipants = 36 893), 13 on tuberculosis (Nparticipants = 18 853), and 12 on HIV positivity (Nparticipants = 18 424). Risk of M. tuberculosis infection was lower in contacts of HIV-positive index cases (odds ratio [OR], 0.67, 95% confidence interval [CI], .58-.77) but was heterogeneous (I2 = 75.1%). Two factors modified this relationship: the lung cavitary status of the index case and immunosuppression (measured through CD4 counts or HIV or acquired immunodeficiency syndrome diagnoses) among index people living with HIV. Rates of HIV were consistently higher in contacts of coinfected index cases (OR, 4.9; 95% CI, 3.0-8.0). This was modified by whether the study was in sub-Saharan Africa (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.6-4.9) or in another global region (OR, 9.8; 95% CI, 5.9-16.3). CONCLUSIONS: Tuberculosis patients coinfected with HIV are less infectious than HIV-uninfected cases when they have severe immunosuppression or paucibacillary disease. Contacts of coinfected index cases are almost 5 times more likely to also have HIV.

Predictors of Discordant Tuberculin Skin Test and QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-tube Results in Eastern China: A Population-based, Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Discordance between the QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-tube (QFT) and tuberculin skin test (TST) is not well understood. We aimed to identify the factors that determine discordance between the TST and QFT when compared to either TST+QFT+ or TST-QFT- results in a medium tuberculosis (TB) burden setting. METHODS: We conducted a population-based study in Eastern China and administered TSTs and QFTs to participants. We calculated kappa values while constructing multivariable logistic regression models to evaluate predictors of test discordance. We analyzed the predictive value of discordant and concordant test results for progression to TB over 6 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Overall, 5405 participants were enrolled; 2043 (37.8%) and 1104 (20.4%) were TST and QFT positive, respectively. There was fair agreement between the TST and the QFT (kappa values between 0.30-0.39 at different TST cutoffs). Agreement was lower among participants vaccinated with Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG; κ, 0.17 versus 0.47 in nonvaccinated participants). TST+QFT- results were associated with decreasing age, smoking, undiagnosed diabetes, and BCG vaccination (adjusted odds ratio, 1.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-1.90). TST-QFT+ results were associated with increasing age, male sex, smoking, and diagnosed diabetes. Compared to participants with TST-QFT- results, QFT+ and TST+QFT+ participants were 6.3 (95% CI, 1.9-20.4) and 7.5 (95%CI, 2.3-25.1) times more likely to progress to TB, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based study of over 5000 participants from a medium TB burden region, the test agreement between QFT and TST was fair overall and we found multiple novel predictors of discordant QFT/TST results. QFT provides a substantial improvement to the TST among these populations and was multi-fold better at predicting progression to TB.