Early clinical predictors of functional recovery following traumatic spinal cord injury: a population-based study of 143 patients.

BACKGROUND: Traumatic spinal cord injuries (TSCI) are associated with uncertainty regarding the prognosis of functional recovery. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the potential of early clinical variables to predict the degree of functional independence assessed by Spinal Cord Independence Measure III (SCIM-III) up to 1 year after injury. METHODS: Prospectively collected data from 143 SCI patients treated in Western Denmark during 2012-2019 were retrospectively analysed. Data analysis involved univariate methods and multivariable linear regression modelling total SCIM-III scores against age, gender, body mass index (BMI), comorbidity, American Spinal Injury Association (ASIA) Impairment Scale (AIS) grades A-B and C-D, ASIA Motor Score (AMS), timing of surgical treatment and occurrence of medical complications. Statistical significance was set at p < .05. RESULTS: Univariate analyses indicated that variables significantly associated with decreased functional independence included increased age (p = .023), increased BMI (p = .012), pre-existing comorbidity (p = .001), AIS grades A-B (p < .001), decreased AMS (p < .001) and occurrence of medical complications (p < .001). However, in the multivariable regression model were pre-existing comorbidity (p = .010), AIS grades A-B (p < .001), low AMS (p < .001) and late surgical treatment (p = .018) significant predictors of decreased functional independence 1 year after injury. CONCLUSION: TSCI patients with greatest potential for functional recovery up to 1 year after injury seem to be patients that immediately after trauma present with few or no comorbidities, who sustain motor-incomplete injuries and undergo early decompressive surgery.